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A Numerical Research on the Influences of the Diurnal Variation of Solar Radiation on the Medium-Range Weather Processes
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作者 黄伯银 赵高祥 纪立人 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1992年第2期231-236,共6页
In this paper, we use a spectral model for the medium-range numerical weather forecast to discuss the impact of the diurnal variation of solar radiation on the medium-range weather processes. Under the tests of two ty... In this paper, we use a spectral model for the medium-range numerical weather forecast to discuss the impact of the diurnal variation of solar radiation on the medium-range weather processes. Under the tests of two typical winter and summer cases, we find that the influences of the diurnal variation of solar radiation on summer weather are really important, especially on its rainfall, surface heat transport and 500 hPa height field. On winter weather, however, the influences are very weak. 展开更多
关键词 In A Numerical Research on the Influences of the Diurnal Variation of Solar Radiation on the medium-range weather processes
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A NUMERICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF THE QINGHAIXIZANG PLATEAU ON THE MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER PROCESSES OF THE SUMMER MONSOON RAIN IN EAST ASIA
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作者 燕启民 郑庆林 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 1991年第2期171-183,共13页
By employing the T42L9 spectral model introduced flom ECMWF and utilizing the FGGE-III_b data covering the period from 14 June to 19 June 1979,the effects of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau on the medium- range weather pro... By employing the T42L9 spectral model introduced flom ECMWF and utilizing the FGGE-III_b data covering the period from 14 June to 19 June 1979,the effects of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau on the medium- range weather processes of the rain during the onset period of the summer monsoon in Eastern Asia in 1979 were studied numerically.According to the initial field of 12GMT 14 June 1979,five-day numerical experiments with or without the orographic effects were carried out respectively.The results show that the Plateau can influence the precipitation significantly during the summer monsoon season.Although the summer monsoon is the result of the seasonal variations of the global circulation and the heating difference between land and sea,it is influenced evidently by the Plateau in medium-range processes.There are very complex interactions between the mountain and diabatic heating effects so that both of them should be considered correctly in the general circulation models in order to describe the nature of the atmosphere reliably. 展开更多
关键词 Qinghai-Xizang Plateau dynamic and thermodynamic effects medium-range weather processes summer monsoon
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Detrital Mode and Geochemistry of the Shurijeh Formation (Late Jurassic-Early Cretaceous) in the Central and Western Parts of the Intracontinental Kopet-Dagh Basin, NE Iran: Implications for Provenance, Tectonic Setting and Weathering Processes 被引量:1
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作者 M. MORTAZAVI R. MOUSSAVI-HARAMI A. MAHBOUBI 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第4期1058-1080,共23页
Petrographical and geochemical methods were combined to investigate the provenance, geodynamic and weathering history of the Shurijeh sandstones, Kopet-Dagh Basin. The point-counting method and XRF technique are used ... Petrographical and geochemical methods were combined to investigate the provenance, geodynamic and weathering history of the Shurijeh sandstones, Kopet-Dagh Basin. The point-counting method and XRF technique are used for modal and geochemical analyses. Based on petrographical examinations, it seems that the Shurijeh sandstones are mainly deposited in the craton interior and recycled orogen belts. In addition to petrographical investigation, geochemical analyses (major oxides and trace elements) of Late Jurassic-Early Cretaceous rocks reveal that the sedimentation processes are performed in a passive continental margin. Such interpretation is supported with geodynamic and paleogeographical studies of the Kopeh-Dagh basin during this time. The geochemical investigations suggested that the composition of probable source rocks mostly was acidic-intermediate with minor mafic igneous rocks. Based on the above, Paleo-Tethys remnants and their collision-related granitoids, in the south and west of Mashhad, may have been the source area for these rocks. CIA values, which range from 63.8 to 94.9 in samples, are suggesting a moderate to relatively high degree of alteration (weathering) in the source area. Therefore, petrographical and paleogeographical studies of siliciclastic rocks can be used for the provenance, tectonic setting and paleoweathering studies in the source area. 展开更多
关键词 PETROGRAPHY GEOCHEMISTRY tectonic setting PROVENANCE weathering processes ShurijehFormation
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Sensitivity of Medium-Range Weather Forecasts to the Use of Reference Atmosphere 被引量:2
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作者 陈嘉滨 A.J.Simmons 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1990年第3期275-293,共19页
In this paper, the authors develop the earlier work of Chen Jiabin et al. (1986). In order to reduce spectral truncation errors, the reference atmosphere has been introduced in ECMWF model, and the spectrally-represen... In this paper, the authors develop the earlier work of Chen Jiabin et al. (1986). In order to reduce spectral truncation errors, the reference atmosphere has been introduced in ECMWF model, and the spectrally-represented variables, temperature, geopotential height and orography, are replaced by their deviations from the reference atmosphere. Two modified semi- implicit schemes have been proposed to alleviate the computational instability due to the introduction of reference atmosphere. Concerning the deviation of surface geopotential height from reference atmosphere, an exact computational formulation has been used instead of the approximate one in the earlier work. To re duce aliasing errors in the computations of the deviation of the surface geopotential height, a spectral fit has been used slightly to modify the original Gaussian grid-point values of orography.A series of experiments has been performed in order to assess the impact of the reference atmosphere on ECMWF medium- range forecasts at the resolution T21, T42 and T63. The results we have obtained reveal that the reference atmosphere introduced in ECMWF spectral model is generally beneficial to the mean statistical scores of 1000-200 hPa height 10-day forecasts over the globe. In the Southern Hemisphere, it is a clear improvement for T21, T42 and T63 throughout the 10-day forecast period. In the Northern Hemisphere, the impact of the reference atmos phere on anomaly correlation is positive for resolution T21, a very slightly damaging at T42 and almost neutral at T63 in the range of day 1 to day 4. Beyond the day 4 there is a clear improvement at all resolutions. 展开更多
关键词 Sensitivity of medium-range weather Forecasts to the Use of Reference Atmosphere ECMWF
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Impact of Soil Thermal Process on Short-Range High-Temperature Weather Forecasts by CMA-TRAMS
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作者 HUANG Li-na CHEN Zi-tong +5 位作者 ZHANG Yan-xia ZHANG Guan-shun LI Shan-shan LI Wen-yao LONG Yu-qing ZHANG Ru-qing 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 2025年第2期197-211,共15页
Precise high-temperature weather forecasts are essential, as heatwaves are increasing in frequency under the ongoing climate change. Land-surface schemes have been demonstrated to be crucial to numerical weather predi... Precise high-temperature weather forecasts are essential, as heatwaves are increasing in frequency under the ongoing climate change. Land-surface schemes have been demonstrated to be crucial to numerical weather predictions.However, few studies have explored the impact of land surface schemes on short-range high-temperature weather forecasts via operational numerical weather prediction models. To evaluate the impact of the soil thermal process on high-temperature weather forecasts, we coupled the soil thermal process of the state-of-the-art Common Land Model(CoLM) with the South China operational numerical weather prediction model(CMA-TRAMS) and compared the coupled model with the original CMA-TRAMS, which incorporated the Simplified Model for land Surface(SMS). Contrast experiments based on two versions of CMA-TRAMS were conducted for the year 2022 when persistent extreme heatwaves were observed in Central-East China. The results are as follows:(1) Short-range high-temperature weather forecasts were sensitive to soil thermal process schemes. The original CMA-TRAMS clearly underestimated the summertime near-surface air temperature(T2m) over almost all areas of China, whereas the CoLM led to a reduction of the negative biases by approximately 0.5°C.(2) The more accurate initial soil temperatures and the deeper soil structure used in the CoLM test contributed to actual predictions of soil heat flux, soil temperature, and T2m. Nevertheless, the SMS test failed to capture upward heat transport from deeper to shallower soil layers at night due to the shallow soil structure and lower accuracy of the bottom and initial soil temperatures.(3) Higher soil temperatures resulted in increased near-surface moisture and cloud cover in the CoLM test, which led to the warmer soil and further mitigated the cold biases of T2m through reduced longwave and shortwave radiation losses at the land surface. 展开更多
关键词 numerical weather prediction land-surface parameterization scheme soil thermal process high-temperature weather Common Land Model
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Comparative Analysis of Two Heavy to Blizzard Processes in Beijing Area
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作者 Jixiong HUANG 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 2025年第1期31-36,共6页
This paper conducted a more comprehensive review and comparative analysis of the two heavy to blizzard processes that occurred in the Beijing area during December 13-15,2023,and February 20-21,2024,in terms of compreh... This paper conducted a more comprehensive review and comparative analysis of the two heavy to blizzard processes that occurred in the Beijing area during December 13-15,2023,and February 20-21,2024,in terms of comprehensive weather situation diagnosis,forecasting,and decision-making services,and summarized the meteorological service support experience of such heavy snow weather processes.It was found that both blizzard processes were jointly influenced by the 700 hPa southwesterly warm and humid jet stream and the near-surface easterly backflow;the numerical forecast was relatively accurate in the overall description of the snowfall process,and the forecast bias of the position of the 700 hPa southwesterly warm and humid jet stream determined the bias of the snowfall magnitude forecast at a certain point;when a deviation was found between the actual snowfall and the forecast,the cause should be analyzed in a timely manner,and the warning and forecast conclusions should be updated.With the full cooperation of relevant departments,it can greatly make up for the deviation of the early forecast snowfall amount,and ensure the safety and efficiency of people's travel. 展开更多
关键词 Heavy to blizzard process weather situation diagnosis Forecasting and decision-making services Review Comparative analysis
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Weathering Processes on Martian Craters: Implications on Recurring Slope Lineae and the Location of Liquid Water
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作者 Pablo Garcia-Chevesich Eduardo Bendek +5 位作者 Roberto Pizarro Rodrigo Valdes-Pineda David Gonzalez Horacio Bown Eduardo Martínez Luis Gonzalez 《Open Journal of Modern Hydrology》 2017年第4期245-256,共12页
Recent attention has been put into recurring slope lineae (RSL), after the discovery that water is present in them. It is assumed that RSL are due to flowing water. However, even though that might be the case, the gen... Recent attention has been put into recurring slope lineae (RSL), after the discovery that water is present in them. It is assumed that RSL are due to flowing water. However, even though that might be the case, the general characteristics of RSL as well as their seasonal and spatial distribution in Mars, and their occurrence within craters, suggest that RSL correspond to the weathering of frozen aquifers, which coincides with slope stability processes occurring in impact craters and scree slopes from Earth. In this study, we associated RSL with similar weathering processes occurring on impact craters and hydrogeological processes occurring on Earth (including ice, water, and wind erosion and natural aquifer recharge processes). We were able to create a conceptual model on how RSL develop, why are they found mostly in mid latitudes around craters, why are they present in more frequency in one side of crates in high latitudes, and why are there more RSL in the Martian southern hemisphere. Considering the whole hydrogeological processes occurring in craters that experience RSL, we were able to predict where large quantities of liquid water are most likely to be present in the red planet. 展开更多
关键词 MARS Recurring SLOPE Lineae (RSL) weatherING processes CRATERS GROUNDWATER
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Diagnosis of the Medium-Range Variation of the Subtropical High over the Western Pacific during a Meiyu Process by Three-Dimensional E-P Flux
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作者 张启和 喻世华 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1990年第4期463-474,共12页
In this paper, using the daily grid data (2.5 × 2.5) of the ECMWF / WMO, we have computed respectively the three-dimensional wave activity flux in the stages of pre-onset, prevailing and post ending of Meiyu from... In this paper, using the daily grid data (2.5 × 2.5) of the ECMWF / WMO, we have computed respectively the three-dimensional wave activity flux in the stages of pre-onset, prevailing and post ending of Meiyu from 1 to 31 July 1982. The potential vorticity field is taken as the physical quantity relating the wave activity flux to the variation of the subtropical high over the Western Pacific. It is found that the three-dimensional wave activity flux is a powerful means for diagnosis of the variation of the subtropical high over the Western Pacific: The region of the subtropical high is just the confluence area of wave energy, whose changes in intensity and range decide the variation of the subtropical high. The confluence of wave energy comes from the monsoon flow in low latitudes, the Meiyu rain belts in middle latitudes and the heating fields on the eastern side of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. The relation between these sources and the subtropical high displays the self-adjusting mechanism among members of East-Asia summer monsoon. 展开更多
关键词 Diagnosis of the medium-range Variation of the Subtropical High over the Western Pacific during a Meiyu process by Three-Dimensional E-P Flux OVER
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Column leaching process of rare earth and aluminum from weathered crust elution-deposited rare earth ore with ammonium salts 被引量:19
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作者 何正艳 张臻悦 +4 位作者 余军霞 徐志高 徐源来 周芳 池汝安 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第11期3024-3033,共10页
In order to better understand the leaching process of rare earth (RE) and aluminum (Al) from the weathered crust elutiondepositedRE ore, the mass transfer of RE and Al in column leaching was investigated using the... In order to better understand the leaching process of rare earth (RE) and aluminum (Al) from the weathered crust elutiondepositedRE ore, the mass transfer of RE and Al in column leaching was investigated using the chromatographic plate theory. Theresults show that a higher initial ammonium concentration in a certain range can enhance the mass transfer process. pH of leachingagent in the range of 2 to 8 almost has no effect on the mass transfer efficiency of RE, but plays a positive role in the mass transferefficiency of Al under strong acidic condition (pH〈4). There is an optimum flow rate that makes the highest mass transfer efficiency.The optimum leaching condition of RE is the leaching agent pH of 4?8, ammonium concentration of 0.4 mol/L and flow rate of0.5 mL/min. The mass transfer efficiencies of RE and Al both follow the order: (NH4)2SO4〈NH4Cl〈NH4NO3, implying thecomplexing ability of anion. 展开更多
关键词 column leaching process weathered crust elution-deposited rare earth ore rare earth ALUMINUM ammonium salt MASSTRANSFER
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Composition, origin and weathering process of surface sediment in Kumtagh Desert, Northwest China 被引量:15
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作者 XU Zhiwei LU Huayu +6 位作者 ZHAO Cunfa WANG Xianyan SU Zhizhu WANG Zhenting LIU Hongyi WANG Lixin LU Qi 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第6期1062-1076,共15页
Kumtagh Desert is one of the eight biggest deserts in China, but poorly investigated before our interdisciplinary study because of the difficulty of access. In this paper, 33 representative surface sediment samples we... Kumtagh Desert is one of the eight biggest deserts in China, but poorly investigated before our interdisciplinary study because of the difficulty of access. In this paper, 33 representative surface sediment samples were collected from the Kumtagh Desert and analyzed in the laboratory to obtain heavy mineral components and geochemical element contents. Results show that various kinds of heavy minerals are present in these samples, with high levels of epidote and hornblende. Si and AI take up a large part of chemical composition. Compared with the average composition of geochemical elements of the upper continental crust (UCC), except Si and Ca, all elements are depleted to a certain degree; Fe, Mg, Ca, P, Ti and Mn have high correlation coefficients in their contents. The mineral and geochemical composition of the Kumtagh Desert sediments have a similarity with that of rocks of Altyn Tagh Mountains, and the surface sediments of the alluvial/diluvial fans around the Altyn Tagh Mountains and that of the Taklamakan Desert, indicating that one major source of the Kumtagh Desert sediments is located in the Altyn Tagh Mountains. Alluvial deposits and lake sediments in Aqik valley and lower reaches of Shule River are prone to be eroded and transported by the strong northeasterly wind into the Kumtagh Desert, forming another source of the desert deposits. An A-CN-K ternary diagram shows that a weak degree chemical weathering by the loss of Na and K occurred in these sediments, whereas A-CNK-FM ternary diagram suggests that Fe and Mg have undergone a significant chemical differentiation. Physical weathering processes cause easy erosion and enrichment in fine particles for mafic minerals, thus coarse desert sand particles can be relatively depleted in Fe and Mg. The mineral and geochemical composition of sediments in arid regions experiencing less chemical weathering are mostly affected by physical weathering. 展开更多
关键词 MINERALS geochemical elements sediment provenance weathering process Kumtagh Desert
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Process optimization of rare earth and aluminum leaching from weathered crust elution-deposited rare earth ore with compound ammonium salts 被引量:43
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作者 何正艳 张臻悦 +2 位作者 余军霞 徐志高 池汝安 《Journal of Rare Earths》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第4期413-419,共7页
In order to intensify the leaching process of rare earth(RE) and reduce the impurities in the leachate, ammonium chloride(NH4Cl) and ammonium nitrate(NH4NO3) were mixed as a compound leaching agent to treat the ... In order to intensify the leaching process of rare earth(RE) and reduce the impurities in the leachate, ammonium chloride(NH4Cl) and ammonium nitrate(NH4NO3) were mixed as a compound leaching agent to treat the weathered crust elution-deposited RE ore. Effects of molar ratio of NH~+_4Cl and NH_4NO_3, ammonium(NH_4) concentration, leaching agent pH and flow rate on the leaching process of RE were studied and evaluated by the chromatographic plate theory. Leaching process of the main impurity aluminium(Al) was also discussed in detail. Results showed that a higher initial ammonium concentration in a certain range could enhance the mass transfer process of RE and Al by providing a driving force to overcome the resistance of diffusion. pH almost had no effects on the mass transfer efficiency of RE and Al in the range of 4 to 8. The relationship between the flow rate and height equivalent to a theoretical plate(HETP) could fit well with the Van Deemter equation, and the flow rate at the lowest HETP was determined. The optimum conditions of column leaching for RE and Al were 1:1(molar ratio) of NH_4Cl and NH_4NO_3, 0.2 mol/L of ammonium concentration, pH 4–8 of leaching agent and 0.5 mL /min of flow rate. Under this condition, the mass transfer efficiency of RE was improved, but no change was observed for Al compared with the most widely used ammonium sulfate. Moreover, the significant difference value(around 20 mL) of retention volume at the peak concentration between RE and Al provided a possibility for their separation. It suggested the potential application of the novel compound leaching agent(NH_4Cl/NH_4NO_3). It was found that the relative concentration of RE in the leachate could be easily obtained by monitoring the pH of leachate. 展开更多
关键词 weathered crust elution-deposited rare earth ore aluminum leaching process mass transfer ammonium chloride ammonium nitrate
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Groundwater Quality and Identification of Hydrogeochemical Processes within University of Lagos, Nigeria 被引量:1
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作者 Abiodun Mary Odukoya Adetayo Femi Folorunso +1 位作者 Elijah Adebowale Ayolabi Ezekiel Adelere Adeniran 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 2013年第10期930-940,共11页
Water samples from twenty one boreholes were collected within University of Lagos and analyzed for physical properties, trace elements and cations using inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OE... Water samples from twenty one boreholes were collected within University of Lagos and analyzed for physical properties, trace elements and cations using inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES). Physical analysis of the samples shows slight acidity and alkalinity with 78% of the samples exceeded recommended standards. They can be classified as fresh water based on TDS and EC. Chloride concentrations fall within water standards in most samples while Al, Na, Pb and Br exceeded recommended standards in most samples. Gibbs plot, relationship between total cations, Na + K, Ca + Mg and Cl showed that all the groundwater samples fall in the water-rock interaction field which suggests that the weathering of rocks and influence of sea water primarily controls the major chemistry of groundwater in the area. Sodium Absorption Ratio (SAR) for all the water samples was less than 10 and excellent for irrigation purpose. Only 33% of water samples were suitable for irrigation based on Soluble Sodium Percentage (SSP) and Magnesium Adsorption Ratio (MAR), whereas based on Kellys Ratios (KR) all the water samples were not good for irrigation purpose having KR greater than 1. Fifty percent of the water samples showed pollution index (PI) above 1 with highest contribution (37.8%) from lead (Pb). Mn, Al, Ni, Fe and As contributed 29.3%, 19.13%, 8.66%, 4.25% and 0.82% respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Hydrogeochemical processes GROUNDWATER GEOCHEMISTRY weatherING IRRIGATION Pollution Index
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Analysis on the Heavy Snow Weather Process in Benxi Area 被引量:1
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作者 KOU Si-cong CAO Wen 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2011年第1期24-27,共4页
[Objective] The aim was to study the formation and development of a heavy snow in Benxi area. [Method] Based on conventional meteorological data, the formation and development of a heavy snow in Benxi area from Decemb... [Objective] The aim was to study the formation and development of a heavy snow in Benxi area. [Method] Based on conventional meteorological data, the formation and development of a heavy snow in Benxi area from December 4th to 5th in 2009 were analyzed from the aspects of weather situation evolution and physical quantity field feature. [Result] The heavy snow was caused by upper trough and North China cyclone. In this process, there was upper level divergence and lower level convergence over Benxi area, and it was warm at low attitude and cold at high attitude; southwest jet at low attitude transported water vapor from Bohai Sea to eastern Liaoning, which provided good water vapor condition for snow, but it didn’t reach heavy snow due to inadequate ascending force. The development of Ural Mountains high ridge played an important role in the snow process and the strengthened high ridge moving northward was beneficial to the southward movement of cold air and deepening of upper trough. Analysis on physical quantity field could provide reference for predicting beginning and ending time and strength of heavy snow. [Conclusion] The study could provide basis for the forecast of heavy snow. 展开更多
关键词 Heavy snow weather situation Physical quantity process analysis Benxi area China
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Analysis of Rainfall Weather Process in Most of China from 3-6 October, 2021
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作者 Yifei Liu 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2022年第11期184-193,共10页
Heavy rain is a common abnormal weather in China, which is prone to major natural disasters such as floods. By using China National Climate Center’s DERF2.0 (the second-generation product of monthly dynamic extended ... Heavy rain is a common abnormal weather in China, which is prone to major natural disasters such as floods. By using China National Climate Center’s DERF2.0 (the second-generation product of monthly dynamic extended ensemble prediction) models and NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) data, and using synoptic and dynamic methods and other research methods, the rainfall weather process in most of China from October 3-6, 2021 is analyzed. The results show that: 1) this process had a long duration, large cumulative rainfall and strong extreme. 2) The warm and wet flow and the cold air intersected in the central and western regions of China and Northeast China, which resulted in a regional rainstorm process within ten days. 3) There was a low-level jet moving from Guizhou and Hunan to the south of Northeast China, bringing a lot of water vapor. To sum up, the rainfall process of this round has a certain relationship with the adjustment of atmospheric circulation. 展开更多
关键词 Rainfall weather process Subtropical High Warm and Wet Flow Cold Vortex Low-Level Shear Line
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基于直接阵元-脉冲域对消的PSTAP风切变检测
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作者 李海 郭景瑞 +2 位作者 仇一璠 范庆斌 范懿 《系统工程与电子技术》 北大核心 2026年第2期478-489,共12页
针对非均匀环境下独立同分布样本数严重不足,现有的极化空时自适应处理方法对风切变检测性能下降的问题,提出一种基于直接阵元-脉冲域对消的极化空时自适应处理风切变检测方法。首先,根据先验知识构造杂波基矩阵,并采用加权最小二乘准... 针对非均匀环境下独立同分布样本数严重不足,现有的极化空时自适应处理方法对风切变检测性能下降的问题,提出一种基于直接阵元-脉冲域对消的极化空时自适应处理风切变检测方法。首先,根据先验知识构造杂波基矩阵,并采用加权最小二乘准则迭代估计杂波源幅度,完成杂波数据的重构。其次,利用重构得到的杂波数据直接在阵元-脉冲域进行杂波对消。最后,将杂波抑制后的信号进行极化融合处理、风速估计及F因子的计算,以完成低空风切变的检测。仿真实验结果显示该方法与其他方法相比,在风速估计方面表现出更小的误差,估计结果与原始风速分布具有更高的一致性;同时,F因子的危险区域判决结果与真实F因子判决结果一致,证明所提方法可以有效实现非均匀环境下的极化风切变信号检测。 展开更多
关键词 机载双极化气象雷达 极化空时自适应处理 非均匀环境 风切变检测
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基于重大天气过程温度等势面波动的省级负荷预测
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作者 梁志峰 康重庆 +4 位作者 孙大雁 钟海旺 王建平 周海松 杨登宇 《电力自动化设备》 北大核心 2026年第2期176-184,共9页
重大天气过程期间省级系统负荷的精准预测对于新型电力系统的电力电量平衡至关重要。针对这一问题,提出了一种使用温度等势面图替代多站点温度的方法,将传统温度数据与负荷的关系转变为温度等势面图与负荷的关系,利用深度神经网络的图... 重大天气过程期间省级系统负荷的精准预测对于新型电力系统的电力电量平衡至关重要。针对这一问题,提出了一种使用温度等势面图替代多站点温度的方法,将传统温度数据与负荷的关系转变为温度等势面图与负荷的关系,利用深度神经网络的图形识别和时序记忆能力,分析温度等势面图集合与负荷集合的复杂对应关系,构建了能够捕捉温度等势面波动与系统负荷变化规律的通用预测模型。在此基础上,采用迁移学习方法建立了寒潮、高温两类重大天气过程的日前96点系统负荷预测专项模型,分析了这两类重大天气过程的典型温度等势面图特征。基于某省2021年至2023年寒潮、高温期间的历史数据开展算例分析,结果表明负荷预测精度显著提升,验证了所提方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 重大天气过程 省级电网 负荷预测 等势面图 卷积神经网络-长短期记忆神经网络 人工智能
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基于EMA-UNet模型的次季节温度预报校正
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作者 张鉴 张煜杰 +3 位作者 翁彬 饶嘉蔚 叶晓炜 李爽 《福建师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期11-21,共11页
针对次季节气温预测中传统模型与现有深度学习方法因未能充分挖掘多变量时空依赖性而导致的预测偏差问题,提出一种基于改进U-Net架构的集成神经网络模型(EMA-UNet)。该模型通过引入多层级残差结构、时间嵌入模块及跨通道时空注意力机制... 针对次季节气温预测中传统模型与现有深度学习方法因未能充分挖掘多变量时空依赖性而导致的预测偏差问题,提出一种基于改进U-Net架构的集成神经网络模型(EMA-UNet)。该模型通过引入多层级残差结构、时间嵌入模块及跨通道时空注意力机制,克服了传统架构的局限性,实现了对气温动态演变规律的精准建模。实验表明,EMA-UNet相比传统物理模型(EC)及主流深度学习模型展现出更优的预测精度,显著降低了次季节尺度的预测误差,且在夏季高温时段表现出更强的稳定性。消融实验进一步验证了各核心模块在优化多变量建模中的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 次季节气候预测 气温预测 数值天气预报后处理 深度U-Net
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Enhanced warming due to afforestation and deforestation driven by both radiative and non-radiative effects in the mid-latitude Greater and Lesser Khingan mountains ecoregion of China
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作者 Wenjuan Shen Tongyu Wang +4 位作者 Zhuang Zuo Jiaying He Tao He Xiangping Hu Chengquan Huang 《Forest Ecosystems》 2026年第1期188-199,共12页
Temperate forests are vital for maintaining ecological security and regulating the global climate.Despite considerable controversy surrounding the biophysical impacts of temperate forests on mid-latitude temperatures,... Temperate forests are vital for maintaining ecological security and regulating the global climate.Despite considerable controversy surrounding the biophysical impacts of temperate forests on mid-latitude temperatures,we analyzed the effects of forest cover change on local temperature using the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model from 2010 to 2020 in the Greater and Lesser Khingan Mountains(GLKM),Northeastern China,and explored the related driving factors.The conversions between forest and open lands(i.e.,cropland and grassland)were predominant.During the growing season,the conversion of cropland and grassland to forest resulted in warming(0.38±0.10 and 0.41±0.09℃,respectively)in air temperature(Ta),while the reverse conversion caused cooling(-0.31 peratur±0.08 and e-0.24±0.07℃,respectively),which was less than the changes observed in land surface tem(LST).Conversion of forest to impervious land caused warming(1.16 the±0.11℃),and opposite conversion resulted in cooling(can-0.88 t±0.17℃).These results indicate that radiative effects like albedo and net radiation drive the signifi net warming effect from afforestation on open lands within the temperate forest ecoregion.Conversely,conversion to impervious land produced the most substantial net warming impacts,driven by non-radiative effects like sensible heat,latent heat,and ground heat flux(GH).In these conversions,temperature can indirectly influence precipitation(Pre)through vapor pressure deficit(VPD),and Pre can also indirectly affect temperature via evapotranspiration(ET).This study highlights the need to thoroughly understand the impacts of afforestation in temperate forests while avoiding deforestation to regulate the climate effectively. 展开更多
关键词 Forest cover change weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) climate model Local temperature Biophysical process Temperate forests
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电白2014—2023年雷暴活动特征及一次雷雨天气过程分析
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作者 江铭诺 陈桂荣 +3 位作者 韩浦城 黄宇宸 易峰 何纯丽 《科技创新与应用》 2026年第6期89-92,96,共5页
该文根据电白2014—2023年雷暴观测资料、闪电定位资料和雷达基数据实况资料再结合该站天气观测资料,简述电白雷电的活动特征及代表性天气条件下闪电的活动规律。结果表明,电白的雷电活动主要集中在4—9月,其中最高是6月,其次是8月,过... 该文根据电白2014—2023年雷暴观测资料、闪电定位资料和雷达基数据实况资料再结合该站天气观测资料,简述电白雷电的活动特征及代表性天气条件下闪电的活动规律。结果表明,电白的雷电活动主要集中在4—9月,其中最高是6月,其次是8月,过去一段时间的年雷暴日数呈明显的减少趋势;闪电次数无明显的日分布特征;一般来说,具有强降水特征的雷暴往往产生以负极性地闪为主的放电,而且在固定的地点,闪电的起始时间要比降水早,结束时间也比降水晚。 展开更多
关键词 电白 雷暴日数 闪电资料 雷雨 天气过程
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面向星载气象雷达的谱矩估计算法研究
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作者 王晖涵 江柏森 +3 位作者 刘斌 徐波 袁正坤 曹蕾 《遥测遥控》 2026年第1期180-187,共8页
气象雷达获取的多普勒功率中的谱矩量(平均速度、谱宽等),是全球大气风场反演、灾害性天气预警的关键数据,其估计精度决定着风场反演和灾害预警的准确性。然而传统的谱矩估计算法存在局限性:频域的快速傅里叶变换(Fast Fourier Transfor... 气象雷达获取的多普勒功率中的谱矩量(平均速度、谱宽等),是全球大气风场反演、灾害性天气预警的关键数据,其估计精度决定着风场反演和灾害预警的准确性。然而传统的谱矩估计算法存在局限性:频域的快速傅里叶变换(Fast Fourier Transform,FFT)法受限于频谱分辨率,在估计带宽时会出现较大误差;而时域的脉冲对处理(Pulse Pair Processing)在低信噪比以及复杂谱型条件下性能会明显下降。为解决此问题,本文提出了一种基于快速傅里叶变换与线性调频Z变换(Chirp-Z Transform,CZT)联合的高精度谱矩估计算法。该算法首先利用FFT粗估计快速定位信号谱峰所在的主要能量区域,然后利用Chirp-Z Transform对已定位的信号区域进行高分辨率的频谱细化,进而获取谱矩参数,最后通过模拟数据和机载实测数据验证算法有效性。结果表明:与传统快速傅里叶变换算法和脉冲对处理算法相比,本文所提出的算法在保持速度估计稳定的同时,提升了谱宽估计的准确性。 展开更多
关键词 谱矩估计 线性调频Z变换 气象雷达 快速傅里叶变换 脉冲对处理 风场反演 灾害性天气预警
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