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Poisson-Gumbel Model for Wind Speed Threshold Estimation of Maximum Wind Speed
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作者 Wenzheng Yu Yang Gao +3 位作者 Zhengyu Yuan Xin Yao Mingxuan Zhu Hanxiaoya Zhang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第10期563-576,共14页
Poisson-Gumbel joint distribution model uses maximum wind speed corresponding to multiple typhoons to construct sample sequence.Thresholds are usually used to filter sample sequences to make them more consistent with ... Poisson-Gumbel joint distribution model uses maximum wind speed corresponding to multiple typhoons to construct sample sequence.Thresholds are usually used to filter sample sequences to make them more consistent with Poisson distribution.However,few studies have discussed the threshold setting and its impact on Poisson-Gumbel joint distribution model.In this study,a sample sequence based on the data of Qinzhou meteorological station from 2005 to 2018 were constructed.We set 0%,5%,10%,20%and 30%gradient thresholds.Then,we analyzed the influence of threshold change on the calculation results of maximum wind speed in different return periods.The results showed that:(1)When the threshold increases,the maximum wind speed of each return period will decrease gradually.This indicates that the length of the sample series may have a positive effect on the return period wind speed calculation in Gumbel and Poisson-Gumbel methods.Although the augment of the threshold increases the average value of the maximum wind speed of the sample sequence,it shortens the length of the sample sequence,resulting in a lower calculated value of the maximum wind speed.However,this deviation is not large.Taking the common 10%threshold as an example,the maximum wind speed calculation deviation in the 50 a return period is about 1.9%;(2)Theoretically,the threshold is set to make the sample sequence more consistent with Poisson distribution,but this example showed that the effect is worth further discussion.Although the overall trend showed that the increase of the threshold can makeχ2 decrease,the correlation coefficient of linear fitting was only 0.182.Taking Qinzhou meteorological station data as an example,theχ2 of 20%threshold was as high as 6.35,meaning that the selected sample sequence was not ideal. 展开更多
关键词 Poisson-Gumbel THRESHOLD maximum wind speed probability distribution return period
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The Change in the Maximum Wind Speed and the Impact of it on Agricultural Production
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作者 WU Jian-mei SUN Jin-sen +2 位作者 SUI Gui-ling XIE Su-he WANG Meng 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2012年第10期66-68,共3页
Using the data on the maximum wind speed within ten minutes every month in the period 1971-2009 in Zhucheng City of Shandong Province, we conduct statistical analysis of the maximum wind speed in Zhucheng City. The re... Using the data on the maximum wind speed within ten minutes every month in the period 1971-2009 in Zhucheng City of Shandong Province, we conduct statistical analysis of the maximum wind speed in Zhucheng City. The results show that over thirty-nine years, the annual maximum wind speed in four seasons in Zhucheng City tends to decline. The annual maximum wind speed declines at the rate of 1.45 m/s every 10 years. It falls fastest in winter, with decline rate of 1.73 m/s every 10 years; it is close to the average annual maximum wind speed in spring and autumn, with decline rate of 1.44 m/s and 14.8 m/s every 10 years, respectively; it falls slowest in summer, and the extreme value of the maximum wind speed occurs mainly in spring. The curve of changes in the monthly maximum wind speed in Zhucheng City assumes diminishing shape of "two peaks and one trough". We conduct preliminary analysis of the windy weather situation, and put forth specific defensive measures against the hazards of strong winds in the different periods. 展开更多
关键词 The maximum wind SPEED Characteristics of variatio
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Maximum Wind Speed Changes over China 被引量:12
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作者 江滢 罗勇 赵宗慈 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2013年第1期63-74,共12页
In this study, the maximum wind speed (WSmax) changes across China from 1956 to 2004 were analyzed based on observed station data, and the changes of WSmax for 2046-2065 and 2080-2099 are projected using three globa... In this study, the maximum wind speed (WSmax) changes across China from 1956 to 2004 were analyzed based on observed station data, and the changes of WSmax for 2046-2065 and 2080-2099 are projected using three global climate models (GFDL_CM2_0, CCCMA_CGCM3, and MRI_CGCM2) that have participated in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). The observed annual and seasonal WSmax and the frequency of gale days showed obvious declining trends. The annual WSmax decreased by approximately 1.46 m s^-i per decade, and the number of gale days decreased by 3.0 days per decade from 1956 to 2004. The amplitudes of the annual and seasonal WSmax decreases are larger than those of the annual and seasonal average wind speeds (WSavg). The weakening of the East Asian winter and summer monsoons is the cause for the distinct decreases of both WSmax and WSavg over the whole China. The decrease of WSmax in the southeast coastal areas of China is related to the reduced intensity of cold waves in China and the decreasing number (and decreasing intensity) of land-falling typhoons originated in the Northwest Pacific Ocean. The global climate models GFDL_CM2_0, MRI_CGCM2, and EBGCM (the ensemble of above men-tioned three global climate models) consistently suggest that the annual and seasonal WSmax values will decrease during 2046-2065 and 2080 2099 relative to 1981 2000. The models also suggest that decreases in WSmax for whole China during 2046-2065 and 2080 2099 are related to both the reduced intensity of cold waves and the reduced intensity of the winter monsoon, and the decrease in WSmax in the southeast coastal areas of China is corresponding to the decreasing number of tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific Ocean in the summer during the same periods. 展开更多
关键词 maximum wind speed CHANGE PROJECTION China
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A fuzzy control and neural network based rotor speed controller for maximum power point tracking in permanent magnet synchronous wind power generation system 被引量:2
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作者 Min Ding Zili Tao +3 位作者 Bo Hu Meng Ye Yingxiong Ou Ryuichi Yokoyama 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CSCD 2023年第5期554-566,共13页
When the wind speed changes significantly in a permanent magnet synchronous wind power generation system,the maximum power point cannot be easily determined in a timely manner.This study proposes a maximum power refer... When the wind speed changes significantly in a permanent magnet synchronous wind power generation system,the maximum power point cannot be easily determined in a timely manner.This study proposes a maximum power reference signal search method based on fuzzy control,which is an improvement to the climbing search method.A neural network-based parameter regulator is proposed to address external wind speed fluctuations,where the parameters of a proportional-integral controller is adjusted to accurately monitor the maximum power point under different wind speed conditions.Finally,the effectiveness of this method is verified via Simulink simulation. 展开更多
关键词 maximum wind power tracking Fuzzy control Neural network
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Sensored and sensorless scalar-control strategy of a wind-driven BDFRG for maximum wind-power extraction 被引量:1
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作者 Mohamed G.Mousa S.M.Allam Essam M.Rashad 《Journal of Control and Decision》 EI 2018年第2期209-227,共19页
This paper presents a scalar volt per hertz(V/f)control technique for maximum power tracking of a grid-connected wind-driven brushless doubly fed reluctance generator(BDFRG).The proposed generator has two stator windi... This paper presents a scalar volt per hertz(V/f)control technique for maximum power tracking of a grid-connected wind-driven brushless doubly fed reluctance generator(BDFRG).The proposed generator has two stator windings namely;power winding,directly connected to the grid and control winding,connected to the grid through a bi-directional converter.In order to enhance the performance of the proposed scalar-control strategy,a soft starting method is suggested to avoid the over-current of the bi-directional converter.Moreover,the capability of generator speed estimation for sensorless control is also studied.The capability of the proposed scalar-control technique is validated using a sample of simulation results.In addition,the presented simulation results ensure the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy for maximum wind-power extraction under windspeed variations.Furthermore,the results show that the estimated generator speed is in a good accordance with the actual generator speed which supports sensorless control capability. 展开更多
关键词 Brushless doubly fed reluctance generator wind-power generation systems soft starting scalar V/f control maximum windpower extraction speed estimation
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Physical processes associated with movement of maximum wind of Typhoon Rammasun(2014)
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作者 Xin QUAN Xiaofan LI Guoqing ZHAI 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第2期407-416,共10页
In this study,the movement of the maximum wind of Typhoon Rammasun(2014)was measured by the radial movement of the maximum symmetric rotational kinetic energy.The weather research and forecasting(WRF)model was used to... In this study,the movement of the maximum wind of Typhoon Rammasun(2014)was measured by the radial movement of the maximum symmetric rotational kinetic energy.The weather research and forecasting(WRF)model was used to simulate Typhoon Rammasun,and validated simulation data for the lower troposphere were analyzed to examine the physical processes responsible for the radial movement of the maximum wind.The radii,where maximum symmetric rotational kinetic energy and its maximum tendency were located,were compared to explain radial movement.The tendency in the lower troposphere is controlled by the flux convergence of symmetric rotational kinetic energy and the conversion from symmetric divergent kinetic energy to symmetric rotational kinetic energy,as well as frictional dissipation in the symmetric rotational kinetic energy budget.The inward movement before rapid intensification(RI)resulted from radial flux convergence;cyclonic circulation develops while moving inward.Stationary maximum symmetric rotational kinetic energy and RI were caused by the conversion,which was observed to be proportional to the symmetric rotational kinetic energy.Landfall increased terrain-induced friction dissipation,which led to outward movement and ended the RI. 展开更多
关键词 TYPHOON radial movement of maximum wind symmetric rotational kinetic energy rapid intensification kinetic energy budget flux convergence conversion
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A laboratory study of directional spectra with maximum likelihood method─I Developing wind wave 被引量:2
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作者 Zhao Dongliang Masuda Akira Wen Shengchang and Guan Changlong 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1999年第1期59-74,共16页
From measurements by a circular array consisting of 18 wave gauges in a large wave tank, directional spectra of wind-generated waves in deep water are systematically determined by using maximum likehood method.The inv... From measurements by a circular array consisting of 18 wave gauges in a large wave tank, directional spectra of wind-generated waves in deep water are systematically determined by using maximum likehood method.The investigations reveal that the angular spreading of the wave energy is consistent with cos2s(θ/2) proposed by Longuet-Higgins et al. (1963, Ocean Wad Spectra,11~136), if the bimodal distributions of wave energy are not taken into account. Bimodality occurring on higher frequency than peak frequency is too rare to affect our whole results. Surprisingly, a much broader directional spreading than that of the field, which is interpreted by the strongly nonlinear energy transfer because of the very young waves in laboratory, is found. The parameter s depends on frequency in the same way as observed by Mitsuyasu et al. (1975, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 5, 750~760)and Hasselmann et al. (1980, Journal of physical Oceanography, 10, 1264~1280) in the field, and the relationship between the four nondimensional parameters sm, fo, b1 and b2, determining the directional width, and (corresponding to the inverse of wave age) are given respectively. The observed distributions are found to agree well with the suggestion of Donelan et al. (1985, Philosophical Transaction of Royal Society of London, A315, 509~562) when applied to field waves. 展开更多
关键词 Directional spectrum maximum likelihood method wind wave
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考虑并行时序卷积的短期风电功率预测
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作者 李练兵 高一波 +1 位作者 陈业 雒威 《华中科技大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期53-59,共7页
为进一步提高风电功率预测精度,对功率序列与外部变量序列进行有效特征提取与融合,提出一种考虑并行时序卷积的短期风电功率预测方法.首先,利用最大互信息系数(MIC)选取与风电功率相关性较高的外部变量,作为与风电功率强相关的外部序列... 为进一步提高风电功率预测精度,对功率序列与外部变量序列进行有效特征提取与融合,提出一种考虑并行时序卷积的短期风电功率预测方法.首先,利用最大互信息系数(MIC)选取与风电功率相关性较高的外部变量,作为与风电功率强相关的外部序列,风电功率序列作为内部序列,二者并行输入到两个编码器模块中进行序列编码与特征提取.然后,将内部序列并行输入到全局TCN和局部TCN中,全局TCN通过扩张时序感受野,有效提取功率序列长时间时序依赖关系,局部TCN通过膨胀因果卷积感知局部时序关系;两个编码器并行进行外部序列与内部序列的特征提取,两个TCN模块进行内部序列的双时间尺度时序感知,基于双交叉注意力层融合关联外部序列与内部序列的时序关系及风电功率内部序列的全局依赖与局部时序特征.最后,基于实际风电场站数据进行模型对比实验与模块消融实验,证明所提方法有效提高了风电功率预测精度. 展开更多
关键词 风电功率预测 最大互信息系数 时间序列 编码器 时序卷积 交叉注意力
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微波遥感资料在热带气旋丰满度提取中的应用
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作者 张国胜 翁之梅 +1 位作者 孙轶 方贺 《大气科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期37-50,共14页
热带气旋丰满度(TCF)通过量化热带气旋内核与外围尺度的配置关系来表征风暴结构,对台风业务预报具有一定的指示意义。星载微波传感器可以不受天气条件限制直接探测台风海面风,为TCF的准确提取提供了新的技术手段。本文以2023年超强台风... 热带气旋丰满度(TCF)通过量化热带气旋内核与外围尺度的配置关系来表征风暴结构,对台风业务预报具有一定的指示意义。星载微波传感器可以不受天气条件限制直接探测台风海面风,为TCF的准确提取提供了新的技术手段。本文以2023年超强台风“玛娃”为例,通过采集的星载合成孔径雷达(SAR)、散射计和辐射计等微波遥感资料建立TCF独立提取模型,并利用最佳台风路径数据集资料对提取结果进行验证。结果显示,多源星载微波传感器探测资料在TCF估算方面具有良好的适用性,与最佳台风路径数据的均方根误差(RMSE)为0.08,相关系数为0.78。虽然星载散射计(ASCAT-B和ASCAT-C)海面风场产品会对台风强度造成低估,但它对台风最大风速半径(r_(max))和17 m s^(-1)风圈半径(r_(17))的估算是准确的。ASCAT-B估算r_(max)和r_(17)的RMSE分别为21.91 km和39.22 km,ASCAT-C则分别为16.72 km和48.82 km。本文证明了虽然微波传感器工作在不同波段以及拥有不同的空间分辨率,但是它们在TCF独立提取方面都具有较好的适用性。 展开更多
关键词 台风 星载合成孔径雷达 丰满度 最大风速半径 台风结构
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固原地区地面风速风向时空分布特征
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作者 牟仕运 袁淑杰 +4 位作者 施红霞 苏丽欣 史海玲 顾娟 翟昱明 《成都信息工程大学学报》 2026年第1期108-115,共8页
为明确固原风速风向时空分布特征,利用1991-2023年固原5个国家地面常规气象观测站逐小时风速风向和2011-2022年固原市原州区自动气象观测站逐小时极大风速风向、平均风速风向,利用EOF统计学方法分析该地区风速风向时空分布。结果表明:(1... 为明确固原风速风向时空分布特征,利用1991-2023年固原5个国家地面常规气象观测站逐小时风速风向和2011-2022年固原市原州区自动气象观测站逐小时极大风速风向、平均风速风向,利用EOF统计学方法分析该地区风速风向时空分布。结果表明:(1)国家站在春季的月平均风速明显高于其他季节。风速EOF第一模态(方差贡献率78.3%)变化特征为彭阳县风速减小,其他县增加。根据国家站风向分布,固原1、2、11、12月风向主要为西北风或西风,4-10月主要为东南风。(2)与国家站相似,原州区区域站春季月平均(极大)风速显著高于其他季节。寨科、炭山等高海拔站平均风级盛行2~4级风,其他站盛行0~2级风,而须弥山、寨科、炭山和彭堡镇等站极大风级盛行4~5级风,其他站盛行2~3级风。原州区大部分区域站3-10月平均、极大风向主要为东南风或南风,1、2、11、12月主要为西北风或北风,而须弥山、硝口和张易站由于其独特的地理条件,平均、极大风向全年主要为西南风或南风。 展开更多
关键词 宁夏固原 极大风速 平均风速 风速分布 风向分布
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A New Method for Calculating the Wind Speed Distribution of a Moving Tropical Cyclone 被引量:1
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作者 胡邦辉 杨修群 +2 位作者 谭言科 王咏青 范勇 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第1期69-79,共11页
Based on gradient wind equations, including frictional force, and considering the effect of the movement of a tropical cyclone on wind speed, the Fujita Formula is improved and further simplified, and the numerical sc... Based on gradient wind equations, including frictional force, and considering the effect of the movement of a tropical cyclone on wind speed, the Fujita Formula is improved and further simplified, and the numerical scheme for calculating the maximum wind speed radius and wind velocity distribution of a moving tropical cyclone is derived. In addition, the effect of frictional force on the internal structure of the tropical cyclone is discussed. By comparison with observational data, this numerical scheme demonstrates great advantages, i.e. it can not only describe the asymmetrical wind speed distribution of a tropical cyclone reasonably, but can also calculate the maximum wind speed in each direction within the typhoon domain much more accurately. Furthermore, the combination of calculated and analyzed wind speed distributions by the scheme is perfectly consistent with observations. 展开更多
关键词 tropical cyclone maximum wind speed radius wind velocity distribution
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考虑机组健康状态的风电机组出力概率预测
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作者 杨伟新 赵洪山 +2 位作者 杨铎 张扬帆 林诗雨 《华北电力大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期99-109,共11页
风电机组健康状态会影响功率预测精度,为了提高短期风功率预测的准确度,促进可再生能源应用,提出了一种考虑机组健康状态的风电机组出力概率预测方法。首先构建基于自适应最大均值差异算法(AM⁃MD)的风电机组健康状态评估模型;其次对风... 风电机组健康状态会影响功率预测精度,为了提高短期风功率预测的准确度,促进可再生能源应用,提出了一种考虑机组健康状态的风电机组出力概率预测方法。首先构建基于自适应最大均值差异算法(AM⁃MD)的风电机组健康状态评估模型;其次对风速等特征向量进行斯皮尔曼相关系数的重要性评估,将影响权重较大的因素与风电机组健康状态评估结果作为影响因素输入到随机森林概率预测模型中预测风电出力概率;最后采用某风电场SCADA数据进行预测区间准确度实例验证。实验结果表明,使用的方法相比于传统随机森林方法,平均绝对误差(MAE)降低了3.521,R^(2)提高了12%;相比于其他对比算法预测效果也均有不同程度提高。研究成果可为低健康度的风电功率预测工作提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 风电概率预测 最大均值偏差 决策树 随机森林
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考虑盈余功率分配的海上风电全直流汇集拓扑结构及控制策略研究
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作者 赵佩绮 孟永庆 +3 位作者 杨子月 葛梦薇 王秀丽 王锡凡 《中国电机工程学报》 北大核心 2026年第6期2241-2257,I0006,共18页
在海上风电场大规模、深远海化的发展下,海上风电全直流输电系统成为研究热点之一。该文针对海上风电全直流系统提出一种新型的串并联直流风电场汇集拓扑,包括中压直流风机的串并联机侧变换器拓扑设计,该拓扑用于减小子模块电容电压纹波... 在海上风电场大规模、深远海化的发展下,海上风电全直流输电系统成为研究热点之一。该文针对海上风电全直流系统提出一种新型的串并联直流风电场汇集拓扑,包括中压直流风机的串并联机侧变换器拓扑设计,该拓扑用于减小子模块电容电压纹波,能够适用于中压大容量直流风机;针对串联风机容易出现的“弃风”问题,提出一种辅助功率平衡变换器,用于为串联风机间的盈余功率提供流通通道,从而使每台风机都能实现最大功率点跟踪运行;然后,针对所提出的新型海上风机全直流汇集拓扑,设计相应的控制策略与调制策略;最后,通过搭建Matlab/Simulink仿真模型,验证所提拓扑的可行性以及控制策略和调制策略的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 海上风电 全直流系统 串并联汇集 中压直流风机 最大功率跟踪控制
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台风“摩羯”分形特征演变及其与风速的关系
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作者 陈汉印 俞晓牮 +1 位作者 张伊利 张博宇 《应用海洋学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期227-235,共9页
台风是一种复杂的自然现象,其结构、强度和演化过程显著展现出分形特征。本研究聚焦于2024年超强台风“摩羯”的分形特征,运用气象常规资料以及FY-2H卫星的云顶黑体亮度数据产品,分析台风在登陆过程及其前后阶段的分形特征与结构变化的... 台风是一种复杂的自然现象,其结构、强度和演化过程显著展现出分形特征。本研究聚焦于2024年超强台风“摩羯”的分形特征,运用气象常规资料以及FY-2H卫星的云顶黑体亮度数据产品,分析台风在登陆过程及其前后阶段的分形特征与结构变化的关系,以及分形特征与台风最大风速之间的关联。研究发现,台风“摩羯”的分形维数在登陆过程中经历了3个阶段:上升、下降和再上升。分形维数的变化与吸收对流区的过程密切相关,而吸收对流区的速度也是最大风速增长的关键因素。研究结果表明,台风“摩羯”的分形维数与最大风速的变化率呈现出一致的变化趋势,揭示了台风复杂结构与其强度之间的密切联系。 展开更多
关键词 FY-2H卫星遥感 台风“摩羯” 分形维数 最大风速
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台湾海峡区域格点分析风场极大值订正技术研究
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作者 冯志明 潘宁 高聪晖 《大气科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期122-134,共13页
中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS)和高分辨率CLDAS(HRCLDAS)实况格点分析资料弥补了海面风观测稀疏的不足,然而其风速极大值与实际存在偏差,例如在狭管效应显著的台湾海峡区域普遍存在低估现象,其中CLDAS低估更严重,不能满足气象服务... 中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS)和高分辨率CLDAS(HRCLDAS)实况格点分析资料弥补了海面风观测稀疏的不足,然而其风速极大值与实际存在偏差,例如在狭管效应显著的台湾海峡区域普遍存在低估现象,其中CLDAS低估更严重,不能满足气象服务需求。因此本文提出一种基于地面站点观测风速二次融合的格点风场极大值订正技术,即采用反距离权重法将站点风速极大值观测周围一定影响半径区域内的站点风速观测插值到区域内的风场格点上,并综合考虑区域内风场误差和空间平滑程度以确定最优影响半径。利用2021~2023年CLDAS和HRCLDAS数据开展台湾海峡区域分区域(闽东、闽中及闽南渔场)风场极大值订正试验,结果表明:风场极大值订正技术能有效改进CLDAS和HRCLDAS对台湾海峡区域格点风速极大值低估情况,且HRCLDAS改进效果更优。HRCLDAS相较CLDAS出现小值最优影响半径频率增加。极值订正后,CLDAS和HRCLDAS逐小时平均绝对误差(MAE)降低率大多达到70%~85%和90%~95%;不同月份MAE降低率均超过60%,其中10月至次年1月订正效果最优,MAE降低率分别超过85%和90%;订正后误差空间分布与海岸线平行,自西向东减少,位于福建沿海及台湾海峡区域浮标站点区域MAE极值订正后降低至1 m s^(-1)以下。2305号台风“杜苏芮”和2023年1月23~25日典型冷空气大风过程的评估结果进一步表明,风场极大值订正技术对不同类别的大风过程均有效。 展开更多
关键词 台湾海峡区域 极值风速 订正方法 中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS) 最优影响半径
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基于不同极值分布的南充市极大风速估算研究
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作者 胡彦 饶智杰 +1 位作者 罗佳 邓子奇 《安徽农学通报》 2026年第6期105-109,共5页
本文基于四川南充地区185个站点2023年3月至2024年2月的风速资料和7个国家基本气象站2004—2024年的极大风速资料,分析了该区域极大风速的时间和空间分布特征,并利用极值Ⅰ型分布和P-Ⅲ型分布2种方法对极大风速进行了估算。结果表明,(1... 本文基于四川南充地区185个站点2023年3月至2024年2月的风速资料和7个国家基本气象站2004—2024年的极大风速资料,分析了该区域极大风速的时间和空间分布特征,并利用极值Ⅰ型分布和P-Ⅲ型分布2种方法对极大风速进行了估算。结果表明,(1)研究区风速分布不均,大风天气多发生于春季和夏季。(2)研究区7个站点的极大风速均值在13.826~19.737 m/s,差异明显;西北部受地形影响,风速较大。(3)极值Ⅰ型估算结果表明,7个站点在15年、30年、50年的极大风速估算值分别在18.574~25.411、20.182~27.909和21.352~29.727 m/s。(4)P-Ⅲ型估算结果表明,7个站点在15年、30年、50年的极大风速估算值分别在18.907~25.934、19.563~28.522和20.388~29.673 m/s。(5)比较分析表明,2种方法的估算结果差值均在1 m/s左右,差异较小。本文为相关地区大风气象灾害的预警与防御提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 极值Ⅰ型分布 P-Ⅲ型分布 极大风速 农业灾害预防
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一种考虑载荷影响的风力机MPPT加速最优转矩法
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作者 杨雪琪 宋丹丹 +1 位作者 陈载宇 李阳 《电力工程技术》 北大核心 2026年第4期34-40,共7页
一类改进的最优转矩(optimal torque, OT)法通过扩大风力机最大功率点跟踪(maximum power point tracking, MPPT)过程中的不平衡转矩来提升转速跟踪能力,进而捕获更多风能。然而,此类方法在提高风能捕获效率的同时会造成电磁转矩的频繁... 一类改进的最优转矩(optimal torque, OT)法通过扩大风力机最大功率点跟踪(maximum power point tracking, MPPT)过程中的不平衡转矩来提升转速跟踪能力,进而捕获更多风能。然而,此类方法在提高风能捕获效率的同时会造成电磁转矩的频繁波动,导致风力机传动链载荷显著提升。针对这一问题,文中研究发现在风速变化下补偿转矩引起的额外电磁转矩波动是产生上述现象的主要原因。为此,文中提出一种考虑载荷影响的风力机加速OT法,在风速变化时通过利用恒转矩过渡阶段抑制额外的电磁转矩波动,提升MPPT过程中的转速跟踪能力,从而实现在提升风力机风能捕获效率的同时尽可能避免载荷增大。最后,仿真结果验证表明,文中所提加速OT法不仅可以提升不同风况下的风能捕获效率,而且能够有效抑制传动链载荷的上升。 展开更多
关键词 风力机 最大功率点跟踪(MPPT) 最优转矩(OT)法 风能捕获效率 传动链载荷 等效疲劳载荷
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基于Koopman算子的风电机组RMPC控制
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作者 李士哲 陈培栋 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2026年第3期261-268,共8页
结合Koopman算子和鲁棒的方法,提出基于Koopman算子的风电机组鲁棒模型预测控制(RMPC)。依据动力学原理,构建风电机组及其风速的数学模型,并收集数据建立基于Koopman的线性预测模型。通过Matlab仿真验证模型的有效性。针对预测模型的误... 结合Koopman算子和鲁棒的方法,提出基于Koopman算子的风电机组鲁棒模型预测控制(RMPC)。依据动力学原理,构建风电机组及其风速的数学模型,并收集数据建立基于Koopman的线性预测模型。通过Matlab仿真验证模型的有效性。针对预测模型的误差结合鲁棒的方法进行管理。仿真结果表明,改进方法有效提高风电机组的鲁棒性。 展开更多
关键词 风电机组 模型预测控制 最大功率点跟踪 鲁棒性 Koopman算子 扩大动态模式分解
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Prediction of extreme wind velocity at the site of the Runyang Suspension Bridge 被引量:6
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作者 Yang DENG You-liang DING Ai-qun LI Guang-dong ZHOU 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第8期605-615,共11页
This paper presents a distribution free method for predicting the extreme wind velocity from wind monitoring data at the site of the Runyang Suspension Bridge (RSB), China using the maximum entropy theory. The maximum... This paper presents a distribution free method for predicting the extreme wind velocity from wind monitoring data at the site of the Runyang Suspension Bridge (RSB), China using the maximum entropy theory. The maximum entropy theory is a rational approach for choosing the most unbiased probability distribution from a small sample, which is consistent with available data and contains a minimum of spurious information. In this paper, the theory is used for estimating a joint probability density function considering the combined action of wind speed and direction based on statistical analysis of wind monitoring data at the site of the RSB. The joint probability distribution model is further used to estimate the extreme wind velocity at the deck level of the RSB. The results of the analysis reveal that the probability density function of the maximum entropy method achieves a result that fits well with the monitoring data. Hypothesis testing shows that the distributions of the wind velocity data collected during the past three years do not obey the Gumbel distribution. Finally, our comparison shows that the wind predictions of the maximum entropy method are higher than that of the Gumbel distribution, but much lower than the design wind speed. 展开更多
关键词 Extreme wind velocity maximum entropy theory Probability density function Structural health monitoring(SHM)
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The Basic Features of Sea Surface Wind of each Season in the Shore and Offshore Areas of Qingdao
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作者 Diao Xuexian(Qingdao Marine Forecast Station, SOA, Qingdao) 《Marine Science Bulletin》 CAS 1999年第2期59-68,共10页
Based on sorting out the data, this paper makes statistics and analysis for the basic features of sea surface wind of each season in the shore and offshore areas of Qingdao and calculates the maximum wind velocity onc... Based on sorting out the data, this paper makes statistics and analysis for the basic features of sea surface wind of each season in the shore and offshore areas of Qingdao and calculates the maximum wind velocity once in a century. 展开更多
关键词 SEA surface wind wind direction mean wind VELOCITY maximum wind VELOCITY
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