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基于优化MaxEnt模型的怒江州滑坡易发性评价
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作者 李益敏 向倩英 +1 位作者 邓选伦 冯显杰 《河南理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2025年第1期57-67,共11页
目的 怒江州是典型的高山峡谷地区,地质灾害(滑坡)频发,严重制约着当地的发展。为解决这一问题,方法 综合考虑怒江州实际情况,从气象水文、地形地貌、地层岩性、植被生态和人类活动5个方面选取坡向,高程等14个影响因子,判断滑坡与各影... 目的 怒江州是典型的高山峡谷地区,地质灾害(滑坡)频发,严重制约着当地的发展。为解决这一问题,方法 综合考虑怒江州实际情况,从气象水文、地形地貌、地层岩性、植被生态和人类活动5个方面选取坡向,高程等14个影响因子,判断滑坡与各影响因子间相关性,构建评价指标体系,对最大熵(maximum entropy, MaxEnt)模型的特征类(feature combination,FC)和正则化乘数(regularization multiplier, RM)参数进行优化,对比优化前后小样本赤池信息量准则(akaikeinformationcriterion,AIC)、遗漏率(omissionrate,OR)和AUC(areaunder curve),并基于优化的MaxEnt模型预测滑坡灾害的发生,实现怒江州滑坡易发性评价。结果结果表明:优化后的MaxEnt模型在研究区滑坡易发性预测中适用性优秀(AUC=0.913);运用刀切法(Jackknife)计算各影响因子对易发性的影响程度,高程(S3, 23.2%)、坡度(S9, 22.4%)、居民点密度(S5, 14.2%)、距河流距离(S13, 13.7%)、距道路距离(S4, 9.6%)和岩性(S7, 8.7%)是前六位影响因子,累计贡献度达91.8%;极高、高、中、低滑坡易发性等级的空间占比分别为4.88%,8.96%,18.40%,67.76%,县域中极高和高易发区占比最大的是泸水市,整体上看,极高、高易发区主要沿河流和道路分布于峡谷中,低易发区主要分布于人类活动少、河谷不发育的区域。结论 优化后的MaxEnt模型更适合怒江州滑坡易发性预测,研究结果可为怒江州防灾减灾与土地利用规划提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 怒江州 最大熵模型 滑坡 易发性
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基于MaxEnt模型的云南香料烟气候适生区 被引量:2
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作者 李含文 张云贵 +5 位作者 李光西 李志宏 甄安忠 刘青丽 唐旭兵 王鹏 《云南农业大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第1期111-117,共7页
【目的】研究香料烟在云南的气候适生区,为其合理种植提供理论依据。【方法】使用ArcGIS将气候数据结合地形校正进行协同克里金插值,利用最大熵(maximum entropy,MaxEnt)模型筛选影响香料烟分布的气象因子,最后使用ArcGIS对云南省香料... 【目的】研究香料烟在云南的气候适生区,为其合理种植提供理论依据。【方法】使用ArcGIS将气候数据结合地形校正进行协同克里金插值,利用最大熵(maximum entropy,MaxEnt)模型筛选影响香料烟分布的气象因子,最后使用ArcGIS对云南省香料烟的气候适生区进行评价。【结果】MaxEnt模型的曲线下面积(the area under curve,AUC)值为0.993,可精准预测云南省香料烟的气候适生区。影响香料烟在云南省分布的气象因子为2月降雨量、1月日照时间、3月日照时间、3月平均气温、3月降雨量、4月降雨量、1月降雨量、2月日照时间和4月最高气温。香料烟在云南省的最适宜种植区(四级适生区)主要分布在保山、德宏和临沧;适宜种植区(三级适生区)主要分布在保山、德宏、临沧、玉溪、楚雄和大理。MaxEnt模型预测结果与香料烟种植区拟合度较高,其种植区主要分布在四级和三级适生区,极少数分布在二级和一级适生区。【结论】云南省适合种植香料烟的地区主要在西南部,适宜种植区主要为沿怒江、澜沧江、黑惠江及其支流的干热河谷地区。2月降雨量、1月日照时间、3月日照时间和3月平均气温是影响香料烟在云南种植的主要气象因子。 展开更多
关键词 香料烟 最大熵模型(maxent) 气候 适生区 潜在分布
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Effective approach for conformal subarray design based on maximum entropy of planar mappings 被引量:1
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作者 Xiao-Dong Zheng Sheng-Teng Shi +3 位作者 Jun Ou-Yang Feng Yang Qammer Abbasi Abubakar Sharif 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期16-25,共10页
In this paper,an effective algorithm for optimizing the subarray of conformal arrays is proposed.The method first divides theconformal array into several first-level subarrays.It uses the X algorithm to solve the feas... In this paper,an effective algorithm for optimizing the subarray of conformal arrays is proposed.The method first divides theconformal array into several first-level subarrays.It uses the X algorithm to solve the feasible solution of first-level subarray tiling and employs the particle swarm algorithm to optimize the conformal array subarray tiling scheme with the maximum entropy of the planar mapping as the fitness function.Subsequently,convex optimization is applied to optimize the subarray amplitude phase.Data results verify that the method can effectively find the optimal conformal array tiling scheme. 展开更多
关键词 Conformal array Irregular arrays Particle swarm optimal algorithm maximum entropy model
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基于MaxEnt模型的厚唇裸重唇鱼当下潜在适宜分布 被引量:1
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作者 吴开阳 赵春娴 +7 位作者 吕红健 李筱芹 鲁桃秀 吴彤飞 田辉伍 邓华堂 姚维志 付梅 《水生生物学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期1-12,共12页
研究以厚唇裸重唇鱼(Gymnodiptychuspachycheilus)为研究对象,基于其53个野外分布位点,并结合筛选后的3组环境因子(包括第1组:气候因子与地形因素;第2组:淡水环境因子;第3组:气候因子、地形因素与淡水环境因子)分别构建MaxEnt模型Ⅰ、... 研究以厚唇裸重唇鱼(Gymnodiptychuspachycheilus)为研究对象,基于其53个野外分布位点,并结合筛选后的3组环境因子(包括第1组:气候因子与地形因素;第2组:淡水环境因子;第3组:气候因子、地形因素与淡水环境因子)分别构建MaxEnt模型Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ,分析厚唇裸重唇鱼在长江及黄河流域的当下潜在适生区分布及影响其分布的主要环境因子,并进一步探讨MaxEnt模型在内陆淡水鱼类研究中的应用前景。结果表明:(1)基于3组环境因子所构建MaxEnt模型Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ对厚唇裸重唇鱼当下在长江与黄河流域适宜分布的预测均具有较高的可靠性,在气候因子与地形因子的基础上,淡水环境因子的添加进一步增加了MaxEnt模型的可靠性与准确性;(2)MaxEnt模型对厚唇裸重唇鱼在长江和黄河流域的当下潜在地理分布预测结果与其现有分布基本吻合;(3)在长江与黄河流域,MaxEnt模型筛选出影响厚唇裸重唇鱼分布的主要环境因子包括草本植被横跨小集水区范围(Hb-rang)、上游平均高程(Up-ele)和温度季节性变异系数(Bio4)。研究结果为厚唇裸重唇鱼野生资源养护和栖息地保护提供了理论依据,并为MaxEnt模型在我国其他珍稀濒危鱼类适生区研究中的应用提供借鉴。此外,MaxEnt模型在我国内陆鱼类栖息地保护、鱼类更替及其灭绝驱动因素预测、鱼类群落生物多样性监测与评估、外来(或入侵)鱼类风险评估等方面具有广阔的应用前景。 展开更多
关键词 最大熵模型 适生区分布 长江流域 黄河流域 厚唇裸重唇鱼
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Spatial-temporal Evolution and Determinants of the Belt and Road Initiative: A Maximum Entropy Gravity Model Approach 被引量:8
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作者 HUANG Qinshi ZHU Xigang +3 位作者 LIU Chunhui WU Wei LIU Fengbao ZHANG Xinyi 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第5期839-854,共16页
The spatial interaction model is an effective way to explore the geographical disparities inherent in the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) by simulating spatial flows. The traditional gravity model implies the hypothesis... The spatial interaction model is an effective way to explore the geographical disparities inherent in the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) by simulating spatial flows. The traditional gravity model implies the hypothesis of equilibrium points without any reference to when or how to achieve it. In this paper, a dynamic gravity model was established based on the Maximum Entropy(MaxEnt) theory to estimate and monitor the interconnection intensity and dynamic characters of bilateral relations. In order to detect the determinants of interconnection intensity, a Geodetector method was applied to identify and evaluate the determinants of spatial networks in five dimensions. The empirical study clearly demonstrates a heterogeneous and non-circular spatial structure. The main driving forces of spatial-temporal evolution are foreign direct investment, tourism and railway infrastructure construction, while determinants in different sub-regions show obvious spatial differentiation. Southeast Asian countries are typically multi-island area where aviation infrastructure plays a more important role. North and Central Asian countries regard oil as a pillar industry where power and port facilities have a greater impact on the interconnection. While Western Asian countries are mostly influenced by the railway infrastructure, Eastern European countries already have relatively robust infrastructure where tariff policies provide a greater impetus. 展开更多
关键词 spatial interaction model the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) maximum entropy(maxent)gravity model spatial pattern China
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Predicting Potential Distribution of Tibetan Spruce (Picea smithiana) in Qomolangma (Mount Everest) National Nature Preserve Using Maximum Entropy Niche-based Model 被引量:15
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作者 ZHANG Jiping ZHANG Yili +1 位作者 LIU Linshan NIE Yong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第4期417-426,共10页
Tibetan spruce (Picea smithiana) is an endemic species of the Himalayas,and it distributes only in a re-stricted area with very low number.To address the lack of detailed distributional information,we used maximum en-... Tibetan spruce (Picea smithiana) is an endemic species of the Himalayas,and it distributes only in a re-stricted area with very low number.To address the lack of detailed distributional information,we used maximum en-tropy (Maxent) niche-based model to predict the species' potential distribution from limited occurrence-only records.The location data of P.smithiana,relative bioclimatic variables,vegetation data,digital elevation model (DEM),and the derived data were analyzed in Maxent.The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to assess the prediction accuracy.The Maxent jackknife test was performed to quantify the training gains from data layers and the response of P.smithiana distribution to four typical environmental variables was analyzed.Results show that the model performs well at the regional scale.There is a potential for continued expansion of P.smithiana population numbers and distribution in China.P.smithiana potentially distributes in the lower reaches of Gyirong Zangbo and Poiqu rivers in Gyirong and Nyalam counties in Qomolangma (Mount Everest) National Nature Preserve (QNNP),China.The species prefers warm temperate climate in mountain area and mainly distributes in needle-leaved evergreen closed to open forest and mixed forest along the river valley at relatively low altitudes of about 2000-3000 m.Model simulations suggest that distribution patterns of rare species with few species numbers can be well predicted by Max-ent. 展开更多
关键词 Picea smithiana maximum entropy niche-based model potential distribution Qomolangma (Mount Ev-erest) National Nature Preserve (QNNP)
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A MAXIMUM ENTROPY CHUNKING MODEL WITH N-FOLD TEMPLATE CORRECTION 被引量:1
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作者 Sun Guanglu Guan Yi Wang Xiaolong 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2007年第5期690-695,共6页
This letter presents a new chunking method based on Maximum Entropy (ME) model with N-fold template correction model.First two types of machine learning models are described.Based on the analysis of the two models,the... This letter presents a new chunking method based on Maximum Entropy (ME) model with N-fold template correction model.First two types of machine learning models are described.Based on the analysis of the two models,then the chunking model which combines the profits of conditional probability model and rule based model is proposed.The selection of features and rule templates in the chunking model is discussed.Experimental results for the CoNLL-2000 corpus show that this approach achieves impressive accuracy in terms of the F-score:92.93%.Compared with the ME model and ME Markov model,the new chunking model achieves better performance. 展开更多
关键词 CHUNKING maximum entropy (ME) model Template correction Cross-validation
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RESEARCH OF PINYIN-TO-CHARACTER CONVERSION BASED ON MAXIMUM ENTROPY MODEL 被引量:1
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作者 Zhao Yan Wang Xiaolong Liu Bingquan Guan Yi 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2006年第6期864-869,共6页
This paper applied Maximum Entropy (ME) model to Pinyin-To-Character (PTC) conversion in-stead of Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that could not include complicated and long-distance lexical informa-tion. Two ME models were... This paper applied Maximum Entropy (ME) model to Pinyin-To-Character (PTC) conversion in-stead of Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that could not include complicated and long-distance lexical informa-tion. Two ME models were built based on simple and complex templates respectively, and the complex one gave better conversion result. Furthermore, conversion trigger pair of y A → y B cBwas proposed to extract the long-distance constrain feature from the corpus; and then Average Mutual Information (AMI) was used to se-lect conversion trigger pair features which were added to the ME model. The experiment shows that conver-sion error of the ME with conversion trigger pairs is reduced by 4% on a small training corpus, comparing with HMM smoothed by absolute smoothing. 展开更多
关键词 Pinyin-To-Character (PTC) conversion maximum entropy (ME) model Hidden Markov model(HMM) Conversion trigger pair Average Mutual Information (AMI)
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Droplets diameter distribution using maximum entropy formulation combined with a new energy-based sub-model 被引量:2
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作者 Seyed Mostafa Hosseinalipour Hadiseh Karimaei Ehsan Movahednejad 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第11期1625-1630,共6页
The maximum entropy principle(MEP) is one of the first methods which have been used to predict droplet size and velocity distributions of liquid sprays. This method needs a mean droplets diameter as an input to predic... The maximum entropy principle(MEP) is one of the first methods which have been used to predict droplet size and velocity distributions of liquid sprays. This method needs a mean droplets diameter as an input to predict the droplet size distribution. This paper presents a new sub-model based on the deterministic aspects of liquid atomization process independent of the experimental data to provide the mean droplets diameter for using in the maximum entropy formulation(MEF). For this purpose, a theoretical model based on the approach of energy conservation law entitled energy-based model(EBM) is presented. Based on this approach, atomization occurs due to the kinetic energy loss. Prediction of the combined model(MEF/EBM) is in good agreement with the available experimental data. The energy-based model can be used as a fast and reliable enough model to obtain a good estimation of the mean droplets diameter of a spray and the combined model(MEF/EBM) can be used to well predict the droplet size distribution at the primary breakup. 展开更多
关键词 Mean droplets diameter Energy conservation maximum entropy formulation (MEF) Size distribution Statistical thermodynamics Mathematical modeling
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基于MaxEnt模型的湖南莽山国家级自然保护区藏酋猴生境栖息地评价
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作者 杨智敏 陈德胜 +2 位作者 卢盛焌 周彭晨 王斌 《生命科学研究》 2025年第3期247-254,264,共9页
藏酋猴仅在中国有分布,是中国特有种及国家二级重点保护野生动物,根据世界自然保护联盟濒危物种红色名录(IUCN Red List of Threatened Species),其属于近危物种。为了解湖南莽山国家级自然保护区内藏酋猴的生存情况,为该保护区未来藏... 藏酋猴仅在中国有分布,是中国特有种及国家二级重点保护野生动物,根据世界自然保护联盟濒危物种红色名录(IUCN Red List of Threatened Species),其属于近危物种。为了解湖南莽山国家级自然保护区内藏酋猴的生存情况,为该保护区未来藏酋猴的野外保护工作提供参考,对湖南莽山国家级自然保护区内藏酋猴的栖息地进行了适宜性研究和评价。首先,于2020年1月至2023年9月在保护区内共布设红外相机69台,通过红外相机监测,共记录到37个藏酋猴的有效位点。随后,基于这些数据,利用最大熵(maximum entropy,MaxEnt)模型分析了保护区内藏酋猴的生境适宜性,并预测了其潜在适宜栖息地。结果显示:模型受试者操作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线重复运行10次的平均曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为0.930,说明预测结果极准确。距河流距离(disriver_ms)、等温性(bio3)、距竹林距离(disbamf_ms)、海拔(altitude_ms)、距道路距离(disroad_ms)、最干季度平均温度(bio9)是影响藏酋猴适宜栖息地分布的主要环境变量,其栖息地选择偏好为海拔在644~910 m和1094~1750 m的靠近河流的竹林。保护区内藏酋猴的总适生区面积为105.1149 km^(2),占研究地总面积的53%;非适生区面积为93.2151 km^(2),占研究地总面积的47%,其适宜栖息地主要分布在坪坑、红旗桥、十八支线、相思坑、竹坑、南门庄、泽子坪等区域。 展开更多
关键词 藏酋猴 生境适宜性 最大熵(maxent)模型 湖南莽山国家级自然保护区
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A New Detection Approach Based on the Maximum Entropy Model
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作者 DONG Xiaomei XIANG Guang YU Ge LI Xiaohua 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2006年第6期1765-1768,共4页
The maximum entropy model was introduced and a new intrusion detection approach based on the maximum entropy model was proposed. The vector space model was adopted for data presentation. The minimal entropy partitioni... The maximum entropy model was introduced and a new intrusion detection approach based on the maximum entropy model was proposed. The vector space model was adopted for data presentation. The minimal entropy partitioning method was utilized for attribute diseretization. Experiments on the KDD CUP 1999 standard data set were designed and the experimental results were shown. The receiver operating eharaeteristie(ROC) curve analysis approach was utilized to analyze the experimental results. The analysis results show that the proposed approach is comparable to those based on support vector maehine(SVM) and outperforms those based on C4.5 and Naive Bayes classifiers. According to the overall evaluation result, the proposed approach is a little better than those based on SVM. 展开更多
关键词 intrusion detection maximum entropy model CLASSIFIER support vector machine receiver operating characteristic curve
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基于MaxEnt模型的林芝市越冬赤麻鸭生境适宜性评价
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作者 陈进勋 邬玖久 +3 位作者 沈邱筱潇 申婉青 邹成成 王忠斌 《广西科学院学报》 2025年第2期213-221,共9页
掌握物种的生境需求及其适宜生境的空间分布格局对于物种的保护工作至关重要。本研究通过实地考察和网络检索相结合的方式,收集赤麻鸭(Tadorna ferruginea)在林芝市越冬的46个有效分布点,利用最大熵(Maximum Entropy,MaxEnt)模型预实验... 掌握物种的生境需求及其适宜生境的空间分布格局对于物种的保护工作至关重要。本研究通过实地考察和网络检索相结合的方式,收集赤麻鸭(Tadorna ferruginea)在林芝市越冬的46个有效分布点,利用最大熵(Maximum Entropy,MaxEnt)模型预实验和ENMTools工具筛选12个主要环境变量后,运用MaxEnt模型对其适宜生境进行预测分析。结果表明:MaxEnt模型的受试者工作特征(Receiver Operating Characteristic,ROC)曲线下面积(Area Under Curve,AUC)值高达0.950,说明该模型具有较高的精度,并且预测结果具有较高的可信度。影响林芝市越冬赤麻鸭选择生境的主要环境变量包括距道路距离(贡献率56.4%)、距水源距离(贡献率9.3%)、最干月份降水量(贡献率8.9%)、土地利用类型(贡献率8.6%)、坡度(贡献率6.2%)以及最冷月份最低温度(贡献率6.1%)。赤麻鸭的适宜生境通常位于距离道路较近、气候条件温和且河岸两侧植被覆盖度较高的水源附近。从适宜生境分布图来看,赤麻鸭的高适宜生境面积仅占总研究区域的1.25%,说明林芝市目前存在较大面积的生态保护空白区域,建议采取措施保护并改善赤麻鸭的生境质量。 展开更多
关键词 赤麻鸭 最大熵模型 生境 适宜性评价
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Video segmentation using Maximum Entropy Model
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作者 秦莉娟 庄越挺 +1 位作者 潘云鹤 吴飞 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第B08期47-52,共6页
Detecting objects of interest from a video sequence is a fundamental and critical task in automated visual surveillance. Most current approaches only focus on discriminating moving objects by background subtraction wh... Detecting objects of interest from a video sequence is a fundamental and critical task in automated visual surveillance. Most current approaches only focus on discriminating moving objects by background subtraction whether or not the objects of interest can be moving or stationary. In this paper, we propose layers segmentation to detect both moving and stationary target objects from surveillance video. We extend the Maximum Entropy (ME) statistical model to segment layers with features, which are collected by constructing a codebook with a set of codewords for each pixel. We also indicate how the training models are used for the discrimination of target objects in surveillance video. Our experimental results are presented in terms of the success rate and the segmenting precision. 展开更多
关键词 Layers segmentation maximum entropy model Visual surveillance
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Prediction of the global potential geographical distribution of Hylurgus ligniperda using a maximum entropy model
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作者 Zhuojin Wu Tai Gao +1 位作者 Youqing Luo Juan Shi 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第4期449-459,共11页
Background: Hylurgus ligniperda(Fabricius) is native to Europe but has established populations in many countries and regions. H. ligniperda mainly infests Pinus species, and can cause severe weakness and even death of... Background: Hylurgus ligniperda(Fabricius) is native to Europe but has established populations in many countries and regions. H. ligniperda mainly infests Pinus species, and can cause severe weakness and even death of the host through its boring activity;it can also be a vector of various pathogenic fungi. This study was conducted to investigate the environmental variables limiting the distribution of H. ligniperda and the change trend of its suitable areas under climate change.Results: We used a maximum entropy model to predict the potential geographical distribution of H. ligniperda on a global scale under near current and future climatic scenarios using its occurrence data and environmental variables. The result shows that the areas surrounding the Mediterranean region, the eastern coastal areas of Asia, and the southeastern part of Oceania are highly suitable for H. ligniperda. The environmental variables with the greatest effect on the distribution of H. ligniperda were determined using the jackknife method and Pearson’s correlation analysis and included the monthly average maximum temperature in April, precipitation of driest quarter, the monthly average minimum temperature in December, precipitation of coldest quarter, mean temperature of driest quarter and mean diurnal range.Conclusions: Excessive precipitation in winter and low temperatures in spring had a great effect on the distribution of H. ligniperda. The potential geographical distribution of H. ligniperda was predicted to change under future climatic conditions compared with near current climate conditions. Highly suitable areas, moderately suitable areas and low suitable areas were predicted to increase by 59.99%, 44.43% and 22.92%, respectively, under the2081–2100 ssp245 scenario. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change Hylurgus ligniperda Invasive pest maximum entropy model Potential geographical distribution
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Mapping and modelling impacts of tobacco farming on local higher plant diversity:A case study in Yunnan Province,China
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作者 Jiacheng Shao Qingyu Zhang Jinnan Wang 《Geography and Sustainability》 2025年第1期185-196,共12页
The rapid expansion of tobacco farming poses a significant threat to biodiversity in Yunnan Province,China,a region known for its rich biodiversity.This study aims to understand the trade-offs between tobacco farming ... The rapid expansion of tobacco farming poses a significant threat to biodiversity in Yunnan Province,China,a region known for its rich biodiversity.This study aims to understand the trade-offs between tobacco farming and higher plant species diversity,and to identify priority counties for conservation.We employed an integrated approach combining species distribution modeling,GIS overlay analysis,and empirical spatial regression to em pirically assess the impact of tobacco farming intensity on biodiversity risk.Our findings reveal a compelling negative spatial correlation between tobacco farming expansion and higher plant species diversity.Specifically,southern counties in Wenshan and Honghe prefectures are major priority areas of conservation that exhibit signif icant spatial correlations between biodiversity risks and high tobacco farming intensity.Quantitatively,at county level,a 1%increase in tobacco farming area corresponds to a 0.094%decrease in endemic higher plant species richness across the entire province.These results underscore the need for targeted and region-specific regulations to mitigate biodiversity loss and promote sustainable development in Yunnan Province.The integrated approach used in this study provides a comprehensive assessment of the tobacco-biodiversity trade-offs,offering actionable insights for policymaking. 展开更多
关键词 BIODIVERSITY Tobacco farming maximum entropy Spatial autoregressive model Trade-offs
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Modeling the potential distribution of Argentine shortfin squid in the southwest Atlantic Ocean
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作者 Hewei LIU Wei YU 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 2025年第1期326-340,共15页
The Argentine shortfin squid Illex argentinus is an economically important short-lived species widely distributed in the southwest Atlantic Ocean.The abundance and distribution of I.argentinus are associated with clim... The Argentine shortfin squid Illex argentinus is an economically important short-lived species widely distributed in the southwest Atlantic Ocean.The abundance and distribution of I.argentinus are associated with climate change and environmental fluctuations.The potential distribution of I.argentinus was modeled with various environmental variables including sea surface temperature(SST),sea surface height(SSH),chlorophyll a,sea surface salinity(SSS),net primary productivity(NPP),mixed layer depth(MLD),eddy kinetic energy(EKE),and photosynthetically active radiation(PAR)using the maximum entropy(MaxEnt)approach during the peak fishing seasons(January–April).The habitat suitability index(HSI)was defined as the probability of species emergence from the MaxEnt model and the area of HSI≥0.6 was regarded as suitable.Results indicate that the predicted habitat correlated with the actual fishing position,with similar trends in the percentages of suitable habitats and catch per unit effort(CPUE)of I.argentinus from January to April.Moreover,SST,SSH,PAR,and MLD were identified critical environmental variables for the distribution of I.argentinus.In addition,the median of preferred ranges of the critical environmental variables were concentrated within the suitable habitats of I.argentinus.The Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve(AUC)was greater than 0.96 for all four months.Variations in latitudinal and longitudinal gravity centers(LATG and LONG)of fishing effort were consistent with latitudinal and longitudinal gravity centers(LATG_H and LONG_H)of the HSI.Our findings suggest that the MaxEnt model is an effective tool to predict the potential distribution of I.argentinus.Meanwhile,SST,SSH,PAR,and MLD should be given with more extensive attention in predicting the potential distribution of I.argentinus,as they are important environmental indicators that can help decision-makers search for the fishing ground of I.argentinus in the Southwest Atlantic. 展开更多
关键词 Illex argentinus maximum entropy model potential distribution oceanographic environmental condition
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基于MaxEnt和ArcGIS的山西省3种黄芩属药用植物生态适宜性区划
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作者 姜霞 赵俊禧 +3 位作者 石盼盼 平莉莉 杜晨晖 詹海仙 《生态学杂志》 北大核心 2025年第7期2456-2464,共9页
开展黄芩属(Scutellaria)药用植物现有资源生态适宜性区划能为其生态适宜性范围预测及栽培区域的选择提供科学依据。本研究收集了山西省3种分布较多的黄芩属药用植物样点分布信息(其中黄芩(Scutellaria baicalensis Georgi)421个、并头... 开展黄芩属(Scutellaria)药用植物现有资源生态适宜性区划能为其生态适宜性范围预测及栽培区域的选择提供科学依据。本研究收集了山西省3种分布较多的黄芩属药用植物样点分布信息(其中黄芩(Scutellaria baicalensis Georgi)421个、并头黄芩(S.scordifolia Fisch.ex Schrank)87个、粘毛黄芩(S.viscidula Bunge.)14个),结合55个生态因子数据,应用最大熵模型(MaxEnt)和地理信息系统(ArcGIS)分析影响3种黄芩属药用植物适生区分布的关键生态因子。结果表明:影响3种黄芩属药用植物适生区分布的关键生态因子主要有植被类型、海拔、降水量等,不同物种间影响其生态适宜性的关键生态因子差异显著;黄芩和并头黄芩在山西省的适生区分布较广,忻州、吕梁、临汾、长治、晋中、太原、朔州等地均有较大面积的适宜分布区;粘毛黄芩在山西的适生区分布较少,主要集中在山西省北部大同、朔州、忻州等地。研究结果对于山西省黄芩及其代替品并头黄芩和粘毛黄芩的合理引种栽培和黄芩的规范化生产具有参考和指导性意义。 展开更多
关键词 山西省 黄芩 最大熵模型 地理信息系统 生态适宜性区划
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基于MaxEnt和ArcGIS预测濒危植物资源冷杉潜在适生区分析 被引量:17
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作者 李莎 莫舜华 +1 位作者 胡兴华 邓涛 《生态学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期533-541,共9页
资源冷杉(Abies ziyuanensis)是我国特有的珍稀濒危物种,全球气候变化导致其生境脆弱且生长不佳。本研究分析气候变化对该物种地理分布的影响,为该物种在全球气候变化背景下的种群保护及野外回归提供理论依据。本研究结合资源冷杉现有... 资源冷杉(Abies ziyuanensis)是我国特有的珍稀濒危物种,全球气候变化导致其生境脆弱且生长不佳。本研究分析气候变化对该物种地理分布的影响,为该物种在全球气候变化背景下的种群保护及野外回归提供理论依据。本研究结合资源冷杉现有地理分布数据和环境变量,利用最大熵模型(MaxEnt 3.4.4)和地理信息系统(ArcGIS 10.2),通过模拟未来两个时期的3种气候情景,预测资源冷杉潜在分布区域及其变化特征。结果表明:MaxEnt模型的预测准确性较高,AUC值达到0.998;在当前气候情景下,除广西、湖南、江西现存分布区外,福建西北部与江西交界处、台湾中北部高山地区也是资源冷杉最适宜生境区;最适宜生长的主要气候因子有最冷季度降水量、等温性、最干月降水量、最湿季度平均温,其范围分别为231.99~433.06 mm、≤21.8%、50.38~83.57 mm和10.6~20.5℃,峰值分别为331.11 mm、21.8%、67.19 mm和15.6℃;未来气候情景下,资源冷杉总适生区面积总体上呈扩张趋势;SSP126情景下,2021—2040年总适生区面积最大,为24.47万km^(2),比当前气候情景下增加63.7%;在SSP126与SSP585未来情景下,高适生区明显收缩,中、低适生区呈现扩张趋势。 展开更多
关键词 资源冷杉 珍稀濒危植物 maxent模型 适生区
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基于MAXENT的番茄潜叶蛾在贵州省的适生区分布预测 被引量:1
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作者 金剑雪 张晓明 +3 位作者 叶照春 王宇 邵昌余 张桂芬 《中国生物防治学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期750-759,共10页
为研究番茄潜叶蛾在贵州省的适生区分布及未来扩张/收缩趋势,明确其在我省的潜在危害及威胁,利用MaxEnt生态位模型结合ArcGIS软件,基于331个分布点地理信息、23组生物气候变量及未来4种共享社会经济途径下2021—2100年的生物环境变量对... 为研究番茄潜叶蛾在贵州省的适生区分布及未来扩张/收缩趋势,明确其在我省的潜在危害及威胁,利用MaxEnt生态位模型结合ArcGIS软件,基于331个分布点地理信息、23组生物气候变量及未来4种共享社会经济途径下2021—2100年的生物环境变量对番茄潜叶蛾在我省的适生区分布及未来模式下发生趋势进行预测分析。结果表明,MaxEnt预测模型AUC值为0.958,说明模型对番茄潜叶蛾的适生区预测结果较为精准。通过刀切法筛选出11月的降水量(p11)、最冷月最低温(bio6)、年平均温(bio1)、海拔(elev)、年温变化范围(bio7)等5个因子是影响番茄潜叶蛾潜在分布的主要限制环境变量。经预测,在我省的适生区面积约为15.967万km^(2),占全省面积的99.99%,高适生区主要集中在贵阳市、安顺市、黔西南州和六盘水市大部分地区、毕节市东部地区、合肥市西北部与黔南州大部地区,面积约为8.94万km^(2),占全省面积的55.96%;中适生区主要集中在黔东南州、铜仁市、毕节西部、合肥市东南部、黔南州南部等,面积为6.47万km^(2),占比为40.54%,贵州省近99.99%的区域均为番茄潜叶蛾的适生区。从未来模式的发展趋势可知,番茄潜叶蛾在我国的适生区范围总体呈现先缩减后扩张的趋势。至2081—2100年,适生区面积变化范围在-32.74万km^(2)~8.54万km^(2)间浮动;在我省的适生区总面积没有变化,其中高适生区整体往我省西部移动;我省东部、南部、北部等部分区域将由高适生区转变为中适生区或低适生区。因此,我省将成为番茄潜叶蛾在我国扩张蔓延最重要的中转站,其西部地区也将成为高风险地区,应进一步提升对该虫的监测预警意识,积极开展该虫的预测预报及防控力度,采取积极措施防止该虫进一步扩张蔓延。 展开更多
关键词 番茄潜叶蛾 适生区预测 最大熵模型
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Maximum Entropy Distribution Function and Uncertainty Evaluation Criteria 被引量:6
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作者 CHEN Bai-yu KOU Yi +3 位作者 ZHAO Daniel WU Fang WANG Li-ping LIU Gui-lin 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第2期238-249,共12页
Marine environmental design parameter extrapolation has important applications in marine engineering and coastal disaster prevention.The distribution models used for environmental design parameter usually pass the hyp... Marine environmental design parameter extrapolation has important applications in marine engineering and coastal disaster prevention.The distribution models used for environmental design parameter usually pass the hypothesis tests in statistical analysis,but the calculation results of different distribution models often vary largely.In this paper,based on the information entropy,the overall uncertainty test criteria were studied for commonly used distributions including Gumbel,Weibull,and Pearson-III distribution.An improved method for parameter estimation of the maximum entropy distribution model is proposed on the basis of moment estimation.The study in this paper shows that the number of sample data and the degree of dispersion are proportional to the information entropy,and the overall uncertainty of the maximum entropy distribution model is minimal compared with other models. 展开更多
关键词 maximum entropy distribution model UNCERTAINTY information entropy evaluation criterion
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