In the context of China’ s dual carbon goals, transforming traditional manufacturing agglomeration into green manufacturing agglomeration is pivotal in aligning economic development with environmental protection, ult...In the context of China’ s dual carbon goals, transforming traditional manufacturing agglomeration into green manufacturing agglomeration is pivotal in aligning economic development with environmental protection, ultimately contributing to the country’ s high-quality economic growth. This study examines the dynamic nonlinear effects of manufacturing agglomeration on economic development, energy consumption, environmental pollution, and green total factor productivity. We developed a theoretical framework that considered local government constraints and incentives as transition variables and employed panel data from 280 cities at or above the prefecture level in China from 2006 to 2020 using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression model. The results reveal that, first, under both constraints and incentives, a single threshold effect exists beyond which the positive impact of manufacturing agglomeration on economic development, energy consumption, and environmental pollution gradually weakens. Second, the spatiotemporal evolution of manufacturing agglomeration shows that traditional manufacturing agglomerations are gradually spreading from the central and western regions to the resourcebased regions in the eastern part of the country, while green manufacturing agglomerations are shrinking annually. Third, a comparative analysis indicates that, in both developed and developing countries, manufacturing agglomeration effects are strongest when government constraints do not exceed the threshold. However, in developing countries, when this threshold is surpassed, the momentum for green transformation becomes insufficient. Finally, digital infrastructure positively promotes the green transformation of manufacturing agglomerations, although its effects are influenced by other factors.展开更多
Industrial agglomeration is a highly prominent geographical feature of economic activities,and it is an important research topic in economic geography.However,mechanism-based explanations of industrial agglomeration o...Industrial agglomeration is a highly prominent geographical feature of economic activities,and it is an important research topic in economic geography.However,mechanism-based explanations of industrial agglomeration often differ due to a failure to distinguish properly between the spatial distribution of industries and the stages of industrial agglomeration.Based on micro data from three national economic censuses,this study uses the Duranton-Overman(DO)index method to calculate the spatial distribution of manufacturing industries(three-digit classifications)in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region(BTH region hereafter)from 2004 to 2013 as well as the hurdle model to explain quantitatively the influencing factors and differences in the two stages of agglomeration formation and agglomeration development.The research results show the following:(1)In 2004,2008,and 2013,there were 124,127,and 129 agglomerations of three-digit industry types in the BTH region,respectively.Technology-intensive and labor-intensive manufacturing industries had high agglomeration intensity,but overall agglomeration intensity declined during the study period,from 0.332 to 0.261.(2)There are two stages of manufacturing agglomeration,with different dominant factors.During the agglomeration formation stage,the main locational considerations of enterprises are basic conditions.Agricultural resources and transportation have negative effects on agglomeration formation,while labor pool and foreign investment have positive effects.In the agglomeration development stage,enterprises focus more on factors such as agglomeration economies and policies.Internal and external industry linkages both have a positive effect,with the former having a stronger effect,while development zone policies and electricity,gas,and water resources have a negative effect.(3)Influencing factors on industrial agglomeration have a scale effect,and they all show a weakening trend as distance increases,but different factors respond differently to distance.展开更多
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the vanguard of economic development in northern China.Its manufacturing industry is more and more developed,but environmental pollution is also more serious.Based on the data of 13...The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the vanguard of economic development in northern China.Its manufacturing industry is more and more developed,but environmental pollution is also more serious.Based on the data of 13 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2017 to 2021,the paper verifies the impact of manufacturing agglomeration on environmental pollution.Both manufacturing agglomeration and environmental pollution are dependent on spatial distribution.Therefore,the paper selects spatial econometric model to study.First,the spatial lag model and spatial error model are constructed,and then the spatial lag model is selected through the results of OLS regression,LM Test and Hausman test,and the empirical process is carried out.Finally,the empirical results are analyzed and the conclusion is drawn.展开更多
The primary object of this paper is to examine the spatial-temporal pattern evolution of manufacturing geographical agglomeration of the old industrial base.Industrial spatial agglomeration index and concentration rat...The primary object of this paper is to examine the spatial-temporal pattern evolution of manufacturing geographical agglomeration of the old industrial base.Industrial spatial agglomeration index and concentration ratio are used in this paper.Multiple linear regression models are also applied to try to explore the internal driving mechanisms on manufacturing geographical agglomeration.The results show that:1) the manufacturing agglomeration degree of Jilin Province is increasing gradually.The spatial polarization structure is visible;and the central region is the agglomeration area,in addition,the manufacturing industries of Changchun Proper present a trend of dispersion;2) the structure of manufacturing industries has changed,and the concentration ratio of labor-intensive manufacturing industry is declining,while the proportions of technology-intensive and capital-intensive manufacturing industry are relatively rising;3) marketing level,location accessibility,labor resources,capital,science and technology innovation capability,scale economy and the level of globalization affect manufacturing agglomeration with different degree.There are significant differences of the effects about employment,technology,the quality of residents and the export-oriented market on the industrial concentration ratio;4) in the future,the impact of policy and institution,export-oriented market and quality of resident on manufacturing geographical agglomeration pattern will be more profound.展开更多
基金supported by the National Social Science Founda‐tion of China[Grant No.20&ZD100]the Shandong Province Key Research and Development Program(Soft Science)Major Project[Grant No.2024RZA0101].
文摘In the context of China’ s dual carbon goals, transforming traditional manufacturing agglomeration into green manufacturing agglomeration is pivotal in aligning economic development with environmental protection, ultimately contributing to the country’ s high-quality economic growth. This study examines the dynamic nonlinear effects of manufacturing agglomeration on economic development, energy consumption, environmental pollution, and green total factor productivity. We developed a theoretical framework that considered local government constraints and incentives as transition variables and employed panel data from 280 cities at or above the prefecture level in China from 2006 to 2020 using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression model. The results reveal that, first, under both constraints and incentives, a single threshold effect exists beyond which the positive impact of manufacturing agglomeration on economic development, energy consumption, and environmental pollution gradually weakens. Second, the spatiotemporal evolution of manufacturing agglomeration shows that traditional manufacturing agglomerations are gradually spreading from the central and western regions to the resourcebased regions in the eastern part of the country, while green manufacturing agglomerations are shrinking annually. Third, a comparative analysis indicates that, in both developed and developing countries, manufacturing agglomeration effects are strongest when government constraints do not exceed the threshold. However, in developing countries, when this threshold is surpassed, the momentum for green transformation becomes insufficient. Finally, digital infrastructure positively promotes the green transformation of manufacturing agglomerations, although its effects are influenced by other factors.
基金Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA19040401)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41871117)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41771173)。
文摘Industrial agglomeration is a highly prominent geographical feature of economic activities,and it is an important research topic in economic geography.However,mechanism-based explanations of industrial agglomeration often differ due to a failure to distinguish properly between the spatial distribution of industries and the stages of industrial agglomeration.Based on micro data from three national economic censuses,this study uses the Duranton-Overman(DO)index method to calculate the spatial distribution of manufacturing industries(three-digit classifications)in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region(BTH region hereafter)from 2004 to 2013 as well as the hurdle model to explain quantitatively the influencing factors and differences in the two stages of agglomeration formation and agglomeration development.The research results show the following:(1)In 2004,2008,and 2013,there were 124,127,and 129 agglomerations of three-digit industry types in the BTH region,respectively.Technology-intensive and labor-intensive manufacturing industries had high agglomeration intensity,but overall agglomeration intensity declined during the study period,from 0.332 to 0.261.(2)There are two stages of manufacturing agglomeration,with different dominant factors.During the agglomeration formation stage,the main locational considerations of enterprises are basic conditions.Agricultural resources and transportation have negative effects on agglomeration formation,while labor pool and foreign investment have positive effects.In the agglomeration development stage,enterprises focus more on factors such as agglomeration economies and policies.Internal and external industry linkages both have a positive effect,with the former having a stronger effect,while development zone policies and electricity,gas,and water resources have a negative effect.(3)Influencing factors on industrial agglomeration have a scale effect,and they all show a weakening trend as distance increases,but different factors respond differently to distance.
文摘The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the vanguard of economic development in northern China.Its manufacturing industry is more and more developed,but environmental pollution is also more serious.Based on the data of 13 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2017 to 2021,the paper verifies the impact of manufacturing agglomeration on environmental pollution.Both manufacturing agglomeration and environmental pollution are dependent on spatial distribution.Therefore,the paper selects spatial econometric model to study.First,the spatial lag model and spatial error model are constructed,and then the spatial lag model is selected through the results of OLS regression,LM Test and Hausman test,and the empirical process is carried out.Finally,the empirical results are analyzed and the conclusion is drawn.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41371135)Science and Technology Guide Plan Soft Science Project of Jilin Province(No.20120635)
文摘The primary object of this paper is to examine the spatial-temporal pattern evolution of manufacturing geographical agglomeration of the old industrial base.Industrial spatial agglomeration index and concentration ratio are used in this paper.Multiple linear regression models are also applied to try to explore the internal driving mechanisms on manufacturing geographical agglomeration.The results show that:1) the manufacturing agglomeration degree of Jilin Province is increasing gradually.The spatial polarization structure is visible;and the central region is the agglomeration area,in addition,the manufacturing industries of Changchun Proper present a trend of dispersion;2) the structure of manufacturing industries has changed,and the concentration ratio of labor-intensive manufacturing industry is declining,while the proportions of technology-intensive and capital-intensive manufacturing industry are relatively rising;3) marketing level,location accessibility,labor resources,capital,science and technology innovation capability,scale economy and the level of globalization affect manufacturing agglomeration with different degree.There are significant differences of the effects about employment,technology,the quality of residents and the export-oriented market on the industrial concentration ratio;4) in the future,the impact of policy and institution,export-oriented market and quality of resident on manufacturing geographical agglomeration pattern will be more profound.