This paper presents the results of an experimental research on reinforced concrete beams strengthened with an external carbon fibre reinforced polymer(CFRP) layer under long-term load action that lasted for 330 d.We d...This paper presents the results of an experimental research on reinforced concrete beams strengthened with an external carbon fibre reinforced polymer(CFRP) layer under long-term load action that lasted for 330 d.We describe the characteristics of deflection development of the beams strengthened with different additional anchorages of the external carbon fibre composite layer during the period of interest.The conducted experiments showed that the additional anchorage influences the slip of the external layer with respect to the strengthened element.Thus,concrete and carbon fibre composite interface stiffness decreases with a long-term load action.Therefore,the proposed method of analysis based on the built-up-bars theory can be used to estimate concrete and carbon fibre composite interface stiffness in the case of long-term load.展开更多
Due to creep characteristics of wood,long-term loading can cause a significant stress loss of steel bars in rein-forced glulam beams and high long-term deflection of the beam midspan.In this study,15 glulam beams were...Due to creep characteristics of wood,long-term loading can cause a significant stress loss of steel bars in rein-forced glulam beams and high long-term deflection of the beam midspan.In this study,15 glulam beams were subjected to a 90-day long-term loading test,and the effects of long-term loading value,reinforcement ratio and prestress level on the stress of steel bars,midspan long-term deflection,and other parameters were compared and analyzed.The main conclusions drawn from this study were that the long-term deflection of the reinforced glulam beams accounted for 22.5%,20.6%,and 18.2%of the total deflection respectively when the loading value was 20%,30%,and 40%of the estimated ultimate load under the long-term loading.The higher the loading level was,the smaller the proportion of the long-term deflection in the total deflection was.Compared with ordinary glulam beams,the long-term deflection of the reinforced glulam beam was even smaller.Under the condition of the constant loading level,the total stress value of the steel bars decreased by 17.5%,13.6%,and 9.1%,and the proportion of the long-term deflection of the beam midspan in the total deflection was 26.9%,24.2%,and 20.6%respectively when the reinforcement ratio was 2.05%,2.68%,and 3.39%.With the increase of the reinfor-cement ratio,the stress loss of the steel bars decreased,and the proportion of the long-term deflection decreased as well.When other conditions remained constant and the prestress level of the steel bars was 0 MPa,30 MPa,and 60 MPa,the total stress value of the steel bars decreased by 9.1%,9.4%,and 10.2%,respectively,and the propor-tion of the long-term deflection in the total deflection was 20.6%,26.1%,and 64.9%,respectively.With the increase of the prestress value,the stress loss of the steel bars increased,and the proportion of the long-term deflection increased as well.展开更多
The load growth is the most important uncertainties in power system planning process. The applications of the classical long-term load forecasting methods particularly applied to utilities in transition economy are in...The load growth is the most important uncertainties in power system planning process. The applications of the classical long-term load forecasting methods particularly applied to utilities in transition economy are insufficient and may produce incorrect decisions in power system planning process. This paper discusses using the method of analytic hierarchy process to calculate the probability distribution of load growth obtained previously by standard load forecasting methods.展开更多
Load forecasting is vitally important for electric industry in the deregulated economy. This paper aims to face the power crisis and to achieve energy security in Jordan. Our participation is localized in the southern...Load forecasting is vitally important for electric industry in the deregulated economy. This paper aims to face the power crisis and to achieve energy security in Jordan. Our participation is localized in the southern parts of Jordan including, Ma’an, Karak and Aqaba. The available statistical data about the load of southern part of Jordan are supplied by electricity Distribution Company. Mathematical and statistical methods attempted to forecast future demand by determining trends of past results and use the trends to extrapolate the curve demand in the future.展开更多
Articular cartilage maintains joint homeostasis by adapting to mechanical loading,but both insufficient and excessive loading can impair cartilage integrity.Whether mechanical activity should be restricted in early os...Articular cartilage maintains joint homeostasis by adapting to mechanical loading,but both insufficient and excessive loading can impair cartilage integrity.Whether mechanical activity should be restricted in early osteoarthritis(OA),particularly among exercise enthusiasts,remains controversial.Here,we established in vitro and in vivo models of prolonged moderate mechanical loading(7.5%strain,1 Hz)and analyzed human cartilage from weight-bearing and non-weight-bearing regions using RNA sequencing.Prolonged exposure(≥12 h)significantly increased chondrocyte apoptosis(2.3-fold),reduced expression of the chondrogenic transcription factor SOX9 and the matrix markers COL2A1,and elevated nerve growth factor(NGF)expression(1.8-fold),accompanied by enrichment of neural sensitization and inflammatory pathways.Immunofluorescence staining revealed NGF accumulation in mechanically stressed cartilage.Unlike high-intensity stress,which led to immediate apoptosis,moderate loading induced a delayed pro-apoptotic response after 12 h.These findings indicate that prolonged moderate mechanical loading may promote chondrocyte apoptosis through an NGFmediated inflammatory microenvironment and provide mechanistic evidence suggesting that patients with early OA may benefit from limiting high-impact or prolonged moderate-intensity exercise sessions to prevent cartilage damage and guide rehabilitation.展开更多
The traditional long-term load forecasting only predicts total annual load.As the load as a random variable,it is crucial to meet the demand of long-term load forecasting under flexible and changeable environment.We p...The traditional long-term load forecasting only predicts total annual load.As the load as a random variable,it is crucial to meet the demand of long-term load forecasting under flexible and changeable environment.We propose a panoramic probabilistic optimizer,which can refine the long-term load forecasting.The optimizer can describe long-term load changes over the next 8760 h.First,according to the statistical characteristics,the 8760-h load curve is decomposed into long-term trend,medium-term variation,and short-term variation.The analysis includes multiple time scale load indicators.Second,the load probability optimization model is established with the maximum load probability as the objective function,with transforming the panoramic load prediction into an optimization problem.According to the load characteristics of different time scales,constraint conditions are formed to solve the optimization model and restore the refined annual 8760-h load curve.Finally,it validates the approach by load data from Hubei and Guangxi,China.The results demonstrate the panoramic load can be accurately described in the form of refined 8760-h load curve.It can effectively improve the long-term prediction accuracy and has good generalization and interpretability.展开更多
Investigations into the long-term creep behavior of Beishan granite in uniaxial compression were conducted.Four levels of axial stress(60,70,87,and 95 MPa)were applied to rock specimens.Contrasting with earlier resear...Investigations into the long-term creep behavior of Beishan granite in uniaxial compression were conducted.Four levels of axial stress(60,70,87,and 95 MPa)were applied to rock specimens.Contrasting with earlier research,the long-term creep data in this work present a substantial advancement in the time dimension.Except for the sample subjected to 60 MPa axial loading,which did not fail after a loading duration of 1650 d,the specimens under the other three stresses all failed after sustained constant loading durations of 1204,1023,and 839 d,respectively.A lower envelope of driving stress-ratio for crystalline rocks was obtained,tending towards approximately 0.45 over an infinite time scale.According to the experimental results,as axial stress increases,both the axial strain accumulated in the transient creep process and the strain rate associated with steady-state creep deformation increase exponentially;however,the share of steady-state creep strain remains nearly constant at about82.53%.A novel damage-based creep model was put forward.It provides an enhanced depiction of the comprehensive creep process in rocks,notably improving the accuracy in forecasting the accelerated creep phase,which significantly impacts the long-term stability of engineering structures.展开更多
Load frequency control(LFC)is a critical function to balance the power consumption and generation.Thegrid frequency is a crucial indicator for maintaining balance.However,the widely used information and communication ...Load frequency control(LFC)is a critical function to balance the power consumption and generation.Thegrid frequency is a crucial indicator for maintaining balance.However,the widely used information and communication infrastructure for LFC increases the risk of being attacked by malicious actors.The dynamic load altering attack(DLAA)is a typical attack that can destabilize the power system,causing the grid frequency to deviate fromits nominal value.Therefore,in this paper,we mathematically analyze the impact of DLAA on the stability of the grid frequency and propose the network parameter regulation(NPR)to mitigate the impact.To begin with,the dynamic LFC model is constructed by highlighting the importance of the network parameter.Then,we model the DLAA and analyze its impact on LFC using the theory of second-order dynamic systems.Finally,we model the NPR and prove its effect in mitigating the DLAA.Besides,we construct a least-effort NPR considering its infrastructure cost and aim to reduce the operation cost.Finally,we carry out extensive simulations to demonstrate the impact of the DLAA and evaluate the mitigation performance of NPR.The proposed cost-benefit NPR approach can not only mitigate the impact of DLAA with 100%and also save 41.18$/MWh in terms of the operation cost.展开更多
While oceanic and coastal acidification has gained increased attention,long-term pH trends and their drivers in large freshwater systems remain poorly understood.The Laurentian Great Lakes are the world’s largest fre...While oceanic and coastal acidification has gained increased attention,long-term pH trends and their drivers in large freshwater systems remain poorly understood.The Laurentian Great Lakes are the world’s largest freshwater system,and in many ways resemble marine ecosystems.However,unlike the open ocean and coastal waters where pH has declined due to rising atmospheric CO_(2),no significant pH trends have been observed in the Laurentian Great Lakes,despite significant ecosystem changes driven partly by the invasion of dreissenid mussels.This study examined 41 years of field observations from Lake Michigan to investigate the long-term carbonate chemistry dynamics.Observational results revealed substantial declines in both total alkalinity(TA)and dissolved inorganic carbon(DIC)over the four decades.Mussel shell calcification emerged as the primary mechanism behind these declines,accounting for 97%and 47%of the observed changes in TA and DIC,respectively,lowering water column pH by 0.24 units.Elevated carbon accumulation in soft mussel tissues,coupled with long-term changes in the air-water pCO_(2)gradient during summer,significantly contributed to long-term DIC variations,explaining 18%and 28%of the lake-wide DIC loss.These two mechanisms also resulted in an overall pH increase of 0.09 and 0.12 units,largely offsetting the calcification-driven pH decrease.These findings bridge a gap in acidification research for large freshwater systems and provide valuable insights for comprehensive lake-wide management strategies.展开更多
This paper studies the structural response of high-speed train wipers under the combined action of complex flow fields and scraping actions.The stress concentration areas are determined through simulation analysis,and...This paper studies the structural response of high-speed train wipers under the combined action of complex flow fields and scraping actions.The stress concentration areas are determined through simulation analysis,and the stress and aerodynamic load measurement points are reasonably arranged accordingly.The actual measurement is carried out in combination with the operating conditions of the existing lines.The stress variations and spectral characteristics of the train under different speed levels(80,160,180,200 km/h),tunnel entry and exit,and scraper action conditions were compared and analyzed.The stress amplification factors under tunnel intersection and scraper action were obtained,providing boundary conditions for the design of wipers for highspeed s.The research results show that the maximum stress of the wiper structure obtained through simulation calculation is concentrated at the connection of the wiper arm.Structural stress increases with the rise of speed grade.The stress increases by 1.11 times when the tunnel meets.When the scraper operates,the stress on the scraper arm increases by 4.1–7.6 times.Due to the broadband excitation effect of the aerodynamic load,the spectral energy of the structure is relatively high at the natural frequency,which excites the natural mode of the wiper.展开更多
Conventionally,foundations have been classified as shallow or deep in routine civil engineering practice.However,due to recent developments,two other approaches,semi-deep and ground modification foundations,are now av...Conventionally,foundations have been classified as shallow or deep in routine civil engineering practice.However,due to recent developments,two other approaches,semi-deep and ground modification foundations,are now available,complicating foundation categorization.Accordingly,a new concept for foundation categorization is introduced in this paper based on insights into the theory of structure analysis.Based on the form aspect,foundation systems can be categorized as one-dimensional(linear),two-dimensional(planar),and threedimensional(volumetric).Based on the load transfer aspect,foundations can also be categorized as vector-acting(piles),section or surface-acting(rafts and shells),and block-acting(piled rafts).As a step toward implementing this new categorization scheme,a database of 22 cases has been compiled,symbolizing novel introduced foundation systems.This compilation involves structures such as offshore jackets,high-rise buildings,towers and storages,and diverse geomaterials.Among them,a few have been selected for detailed evaluation,emphasizing influential factors in foundation selection,comprising superstructure,subsoil condition,foundation system,circumferential conditions,and supplementary considerations,that is,constructional and sustainability-based issues.Lessons learned from experience and these knowledge-based cases have described for foundation selection and implementation.Geotechnical and practical aspects with critical components have been realized as major performance assessment and comparison factors.Foundation systems have been compared and ranked using the improved analytic hierarchy process approach.Finally,four categories of buildings,from low-rise to towers and four prevailing levels of soil strength,from soft to very hard,have been considered to propose a perspective for building substructure implementation,adapted via relevant cases.Overall,the introduced categorization is recognized as an efficient algorithm for the experimentation of appropriate foundations for specific structures and subsoil conditions.展开更多
Objective:To investigate the long-term prognosis and postoperative cosmetic outcomes of breast-conserving surgery combined with sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with early-stage breast cancer,providing a referen...Objective:To investigate the long-term prognosis and postoperative cosmetic outcomes of breast-conserving surgery combined with sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with early-stage breast cancer,providing a reference for the selection of clinical treatment plans.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 68 patients with early-stage breast cancer admitted from January 2022 to December 2025.Based on the surgical approach,patients were divided into an observation group(breast-conserving surgery+sentinel lymph node biopsy)and a control group(other surgical methods such as modified radical mastectomy/total mastectomy).Clinical and pathological characteristics,incidence of postoperative complications,follow-up prognosis,and satisfaction with cosmetic outcomes were compared between the two groups.Results:Among the 68 patients,41 were in the observation group and 27 in the control group.The average age of patients in the observation group was(54.32±8.15)years,while that in the control group was(62.45±9.76)years.The average tumor size in the observation group was(1.86±0.72)cm,compared to(3.21±1.45)cm in the control group.The incidence of postoperative complications in the observation group was 9.76%,significantly lower than that in the control group at 33.33%(P<0.05).The 6-month disease-free survival rate was 95.12%in the observation group and 88.89%in the control group,with no statistically significant difference between the two groups(P>0.05).The excellent and good rate of cosmetic outcomes in the observation group was 87.80%,significantly higher than that in the control group at 29.63%(P<0.05).Conclusion:Breast-conserving surgery combined with sentinel lymph node biopsy for early-stage breast cancer can achieve long-term prognostic outcomes comparable to those of traditional radical surgery,with the advantages of fewer postoperative complications and superior cosmetic results.This approach is worthy of clinical promotion and application,particularly for early-stage breast cancer patients who have a demand for preserving breast morphology.展开更多
The variation laws of runoff and sediment load under different climate,vegetation,and human activity scenarios are significantly different.Exploring the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff and sed...The variation laws of runoff and sediment load under different climate,vegetation,and human activity scenarios are significantly different.Exploring the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff and sediment load dynamics can provide a profound understanding of the mechanism of runoff and sediment load variability in basins,which is crucial for the sustainable development of regional ecosystems.This study investigates the Tao River Basin(TRB)on the Tibetan Plateau,as well as the Zuli River Basin(ZRB)and Jing River Basin(JRB)on the Loess Plateau,to differentiate the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff and sediment load dynamics.The runoff and sediment load of the three watersheds have shown a decreasing trend over the past 40 years,and combined with the DMC(Dual mass curve)method,it was found that the slope of the runoff sediment gradually tends to flatten out.After the time period was divided,the CA(Cumulative anomaly)method was used for verification,which revealed good correspondence between the two before 2000 and then gradual deviations.The power function best represents the relationship between runoff and sediment load.During the initial period,climate had a significant impact on runoff variation in the TRB and JRB,with contribution rates of-54.93%and-63.02%,respectively.In the later period,human activities became the dominant influence,contributing more than-60%of the runoff variation.In the ZRB,human activities consistently dominated runoff variation,with contribution rates of-72.72%and-55.66%during both periods.In the early stages of research,the impact of climate change on sediment load was more severe in the TRB and JRB,and human activities played a significant role in the later stages.However,in the ZRB,human activities have always been the main contributor.Based on the actual local situation,runoff and sediment load in the TRB are influenced primarily by engineering measures,and vegetation and check dams exert greater impacts on the ZRB and JRB.This study explores the attribution of water and sediment load changes in different ecological geographic regions from a comparative perspective,providing a valuable theoretical basis and reference for understanding global runoff and sediment transport changes in similar areas.展开更多
Existing load forecasting methods typically assume that recent load data are available for prediction.This is not in conformity with reality since there is a time gap between the flow date(when power is consumed)and w...Existing load forecasting methods typically assume that recent load data are available for prediction.This is not in conformity with reality since there is a time gap between the flow date(when power is consumed)and when measurement values are obtained.To this end,this letter proposes an online learning-based probabilistic load forecasting method considering the impact of the data gap.Specifically,an adaptive ensemble backpropagation-enabled online quantile regression algorithm is developed to optimize the parameters of the attention network recursively using the newly obtained load observations.To further improve the reliability and sharpness of prediction intervals under significant data gaps,we introduce an online interval calibration technique.The proposed online learning method allows us to adaptively capture the dynamic changes in load patterns and alleviate the information lags caused by data gaps.Comparative tests utilizing real-world datasets reveal the superiority of the proposed method.展开更多
Fatigue loads on wind turbines are critical factors that significantly influence operational lifespan and reliability.The passive yaw control of wind turbines often fails to capture the dynamic gradient changes of win...Fatigue loads on wind turbines are critical factors that significantly influence operational lifespan and reliability.The passive yaw control of wind turbines often fails to capture the dynamic gradient changes of wind speed and direction in the wind field,leading to an increased risk of load overload,severely affecting operational lifespan and reducing power generation efficiency.This impact is even more pronounced during the passage of a cold front.To address this issue,this paper proposes an independent variable-pitch control method that optimizes predictions by utilizing the spatiotemporal relationship between pre-observed cold front patterns and their dynamic propagation.First,a cold front and cold front propagation model suitable for engineering applications was derived.And a non-uniform inflow load model of turbine is established,which,combined with tower vibration response and rotor dynamic loads,accurately simulates the force distribution under complex inflow conditions.Subsequently,a pre-observation-based active cyclic pitch control method is presented,dynamically computing optimal pitch angle sequences by predicting wind field trends.This method eliminates the need for iterative optimization algorithms and reduces control latency to achieve proactive load management.Simulation verification shows that the proposed control strategy can effectively reduce key structural loads and increase power generation without relying on complex optimization algorithms.This method provides a practical solution for improving the economic benefits and operational reliability of wind farms under special wind conditions.展开更多
In recent years,the global installed capacity of wind power has grown rapidly,making the enhancement of wind power prediction accuracy crucial for facilitating the integration and consumption of renewable energy.Curre...In recent years,the global installed capacity of wind power has grown rapidly,making the enhancement of wind power prediction accuracy crucial for facilitating the integration and consumption of renewable energy.Current research on ultra-short-term wind power prediction often overlooks load characteristics,resulting in an inability to adequately address grid connection requirements and load dispatching demands across different time periods.To address this limitation,this study proposes a novel approach to ultra-short-term wind power prediction error correction that incorporates load peak-valley characteristics.The methodology involves three key steps:first,deriving interannual prediction error characteristics from ultra-short-term prediction results of wind farm clusters;second,establishing error correction intervals for load peak and valley periods,calculating corresponding correction coefficients,and analyzing the impact of varying correction radii on the final results;third,validating the proposed method through empirical analysis of wind farm clusters in three northeastern provinces.The results demonstrate that this approach not only improves wind power prediction accuracy but also significantly reduces the occurrence of harmful error days,thereby better meeting the operational requirements of power system dispatch.展开更多
Taking the rural low-income population of Zhejiang Province as its subject, this paper examines how to build a sustainable income-growth mechanism and identify feasible implementation paths within the context of the c...Taking the rural low-income population of Zhejiang Province as its subject, this paper examines how to build a sustainable income-growth mechanism and identify feasible implementation paths within the context of the common prosperity strategy. The research identifies key obstacles to income expansion, including an undiversified industrial structure, insufficient human capital, and a lack of robust social protection. These call for systemic solutions featuring institutional innovation, resource consolidation, and capability enhancement. Building on Zhejiang's experience as a common prosperity demonstration zone, the article constructs an integrated framework centered on four pillars: industrial empowerment, education upgrading, social security reinforcement, and digital coordination. It further offers concrete policy proposals involving the cultivation of localized industries, vocational skill training, enhanced safety nets, and the adoption of digital tools. The study thus offers both theoretical insights and practical paradigms for tackling the challenge of raising incomes in low-income rural areas.展开更多
Studies of wave-current interactions are vital for the safe design of structures.Regular waves in the presence of uniform,linear shear,and quadratic shear currents are explored by the High-Level Green-Naghdi model in ...Studies of wave-current interactions are vital for the safe design of structures.Regular waves in the presence of uniform,linear shear,and quadratic shear currents are explored by the High-Level Green-Naghdi model in this paper.The five-point central difference method is used for spatial discretization,and the fourth-order Adams predictor-corrector scheme is employed for marching in time.The domain-decomposition method is applied for the wave-current generation and absorption.The effects of currents on the wave profile and velocity field are examined under two conditions:the same velocity of currents at the still-water level and the constant flow volume of currents.Wave profiles and velocity fields demonstrate substantial differences in three types of currents owing to the diverse vertical distribution of current velocity and vorticity.Then,loads on small-scale vertical cylinders subjected to regular waves and three types of background currents with the same flow volume are investigated.The maximum load intensity and load fluctuation amplitude in uniform,linear shear,and quadratic shear currents increase sequentially.The stretched superposition method overestimates the maximum load intensity and load fluctuation amplitude in opposing currents and underestimates these values in following currents.The stretched superposition method obtains a poor approximation for strong nonlinear waves,particularly in the case of the opposing quadratic shear current.展开更多
AIM:To investigate the long-term outcomes in acute primary angle closure(APAC)patients treated with lens extraction(LE)surgery and to identify risk factors for glaucomatous optic neuropathy(GON).METHODS:In this longit...AIM:To investigate the long-term outcomes in acute primary angle closure(APAC)patients treated with lens extraction(LE)surgery and to identify risk factors for glaucomatous optic neuropathy(GON).METHODS:In this longitudinal observational study,detailed medical histories of APAC patients and comprehensive ophthalmic examinations at final followup were collected.Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of blindness.Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses were conducted to determine risk factors associated with visual outcomes.RESULTS:This study included 39 affected eyes of 31 subjects(26 females)with an average age of 74.1±8.0y.At 6.7±4.2y after APAC attack,2(5.7%)eyes had bestcorrected visual acuity(VA)worse than 3/60.Advanced glaucomatous visual field loss was observed in 15(39.5%)affected eyes and 5(25.0%)fellow eyes.Nine affected eyes(23.7%)had GON,and 11(28.9%)were blind.Six(15.4%)affected eyes and 2(9.1%)fellow eyes had suspicious progression.A significantly higher blindness rate in factory workers compared to office workers.Logistic regression identified that worse VA at attack(OR 10.568,95%CI 1.288-86.695;P=0.028)and worse early postoperative VA(OR 13.214,95%CI 1.157-150.881;P=0.038)were risk factors for blindness.Multivariate regression showed that longer duration of elevated intraocular pressure(P=0.004)and worse early postoperative VA(P=0.009)were associated with worse visual outcomes.CONCLUSION:Despite LE surgery,some APAC patients experience continued visual function deterioration.Lifelong monitoring is necessary.Target pressure and progression rates should be re-evaluated during follow-up.展开更多
文摘This paper presents the results of an experimental research on reinforced concrete beams strengthened with an external carbon fibre reinforced polymer(CFRP) layer under long-term load action that lasted for 330 d.We describe the characteristics of deflection development of the beams strengthened with different additional anchorages of the external carbon fibre composite layer during the period of interest.The conducted experiments showed that the additional anchorage influences the slip of the external layer with respect to the strengthened element.Thus,concrete and carbon fibre composite interface stiffness decreases with a long-term load action.Therefore,the proposed method of analysis based on the built-up-bars theory can be used to estimate concrete and carbon fibre composite interface stiffness in the case of long-term load.
基金This research work was supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(2572017DB02)the natural science foundation of Heilongjiang Province(LH2019E005)the natural science of Heilongjiang Province(LH2020E009).
文摘Due to creep characteristics of wood,long-term loading can cause a significant stress loss of steel bars in rein-forced glulam beams and high long-term deflection of the beam midspan.In this study,15 glulam beams were subjected to a 90-day long-term loading test,and the effects of long-term loading value,reinforcement ratio and prestress level on the stress of steel bars,midspan long-term deflection,and other parameters were compared and analyzed.The main conclusions drawn from this study were that the long-term deflection of the reinforced glulam beams accounted for 22.5%,20.6%,and 18.2%of the total deflection respectively when the loading value was 20%,30%,and 40%of the estimated ultimate load under the long-term loading.The higher the loading level was,the smaller the proportion of the long-term deflection in the total deflection was.Compared with ordinary glulam beams,the long-term deflection of the reinforced glulam beam was even smaller.Under the condition of the constant loading level,the total stress value of the steel bars decreased by 17.5%,13.6%,and 9.1%,and the proportion of the long-term deflection of the beam midspan in the total deflection was 26.9%,24.2%,and 20.6%respectively when the reinforcement ratio was 2.05%,2.68%,and 3.39%.With the increase of the reinfor-cement ratio,the stress loss of the steel bars decreased,and the proportion of the long-term deflection decreased as well.When other conditions remained constant and the prestress level of the steel bars was 0 MPa,30 MPa,and 60 MPa,the total stress value of the steel bars decreased by 9.1%,9.4%,and 10.2%,respectively,and the propor-tion of the long-term deflection in the total deflection was 20.6%,26.1%,and 64.9%,respectively.With the increase of the prestress value,the stress loss of the steel bars increased,and the proportion of the long-term deflection increased as well.
文摘The load growth is the most important uncertainties in power system planning process. The applications of the classical long-term load forecasting methods particularly applied to utilities in transition economy are insufficient and may produce incorrect decisions in power system planning process. This paper discusses using the method of analytic hierarchy process to calculate the probability distribution of load growth obtained previously by standard load forecasting methods.
文摘Load forecasting is vitally important for electric industry in the deregulated economy. This paper aims to face the power crisis and to achieve energy security in Jordan. Our participation is localized in the southern parts of Jordan including, Ma’an, Karak and Aqaba. The available statistical data about the load of southern part of Jordan are supplied by electricity Distribution Company. Mathematical and statistical methods attempted to forecast future demand by determining trends of past results and use the trends to extrapolate the curve demand in the future.
基金supported by the Zhejiang Medical and Health Innovation Talent Support Project(Grant No.2021RC128 to S.S.)Zhejiang Medicine and Health Science and Technology Project(2025KY1540 to J.J.L.)+3 种基金Zhejiang Province Health Science and Technology Project(2024KY409 and 2021KY1086 to J.Y.L.)Huzhou Science and Technology Planning Project(2020GY10 to W.L.,2022GZ65 to J.Y.L.)Huzhou Basic and Clinical Translation of Orthopedics Key Laboratory(Grant No.HZGKSYS01Y to S.S.)South Taihu Lake Outstanding Young Health Talents Cultivation Program(Grant No.rsk2023001 to S.S.).
文摘Articular cartilage maintains joint homeostasis by adapting to mechanical loading,but both insufficient and excessive loading can impair cartilage integrity.Whether mechanical activity should be restricted in early osteoarthritis(OA),particularly among exercise enthusiasts,remains controversial.Here,we established in vitro and in vivo models of prolonged moderate mechanical loading(7.5%strain,1 Hz)and analyzed human cartilage from weight-bearing and non-weight-bearing regions using RNA sequencing.Prolonged exposure(≥12 h)significantly increased chondrocyte apoptosis(2.3-fold),reduced expression of the chondrogenic transcription factor SOX9 and the matrix markers COL2A1,and elevated nerve growth factor(NGF)expression(1.8-fold),accompanied by enrichment of neural sensitization and inflammatory pathways.Immunofluorescence staining revealed NGF accumulation in mechanically stressed cartilage.Unlike high-intensity stress,which led to immediate apoptosis,moderate loading induced a delayed pro-apoptotic response after 12 h.These findings indicate that prolonged moderate mechanical loading may promote chondrocyte apoptosis through an NGFmediated inflammatory microenvironment and provide mechanistic evidence suggesting that patients with early OA may benefit from limiting high-impact or prolonged moderate-intensity exercise sessions to prevent cartilage damage and guide rehabilitation.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(52177110)China Power Engineering Consulting Group CO.,LTD.Project Funding(DG2-X02-2022).
文摘The traditional long-term load forecasting only predicts total annual load.As the load as a random variable,it is crucial to meet the demand of long-term load forecasting under flexible and changeable environment.We propose a panoramic probabilistic optimizer,which can refine the long-term load forecasting.The optimizer can describe long-term load changes over the next 8760 h.First,according to the statistical characteristics,the 8760-h load curve is decomposed into long-term trend,medium-term variation,and short-term variation.The analysis includes multiple time scale load indicators.Second,the load probability optimization model is established with the maximum load probability as the objective function,with transforming the panoramic load prediction into an optimization problem.According to the load characteristics of different time scales,constraint conditions are formed to solve the optimization model and restore the refined annual 8760-h load curve.Finally,it validates the approach by load data from Hubei and Guangxi,China.The results demonstrate the panoramic load can be accurately described in the form of refined 8760-h load curve.It can effectively improve the long-term prediction accuracy and has good generalization and interpretability.
基金financially supported by the China Atomic Energy Authority(CAEA)through the Geological Disposal Programthe National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42307258)the China National Nuclear Corporation Fundamental Research Project(No.CNNC-JCYJ-202307)。
文摘Investigations into the long-term creep behavior of Beishan granite in uniaxial compression were conducted.Four levels of axial stress(60,70,87,and 95 MPa)were applied to rock specimens.Contrasting with earlier research,the long-term creep data in this work present a substantial advancement in the time dimension.Except for the sample subjected to 60 MPa axial loading,which did not fail after a loading duration of 1650 d,the specimens under the other three stresses all failed after sustained constant loading durations of 1204,1023,and 839 d,respectively.A lower envelope of driving stress-ratio for crystalline rocks was obtained,tending towards approximately 0.45 over an infinite time scale.According to the experimental results,as axial stress increases,both the axial strain accumulated in the transient creep process and the strain rate associated with steady-state creep deformation increase exponentially;however,the share of steady-state creep strain remains nearly constant at about82.53%.A novel damage-based creep model was put forward.It provides an enhanced depiction of the comprehensive creep process in rocks,notably improving the accuracy in forecasting the accelerated creep phase,which significantly impacts the long-term stability of engineering structures.
基金supported by the project Major Scientific and Technological Special Project of Guizhou Province([2024]014).
文摘Load frequency control(LFC)is a critical function to balance the power consumption and generation.Thegrid frequency is a crucial indicator for maintaining balance.However,the widely used information and communication infrastructure for LFC increases the risk of being attacked by malicious actors.The dynamic load altering attack(DLAA)is a typical attack that can destabilize the power system,causing the grid frequency to deviate fromits nominal value.Therefore,in this paper,we mathematically analyze the impact of DLAA on the stability of the grid frequency and propose the network parameter regulation(NPR)to mitigate the impact.To begin with,the dynamic LFC model is constructed by highlighting the importance of the network parameter.Then,we model the DLAA and analyze its impact on LFC using the theory of second-order dynamic systems.Finally,we model the NPR and prove its effect in mitigating the DLAA.Besides,we construct a least-effort NPR considering its infrastructure cost and aim to reduce the operation cost.Finally,we carry out extensive simulations to demonstrate the impact of the DLAA and evaluate the mitigation performance of NPR.The proposed cost-benefit NPR approach can not only mitigate the impact of DLAA with 100%and also save 41.18$/MWh in terms of the operation cost.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.43277051)the Key Laboratory of Integrated Regulation and Resources Development of Shallow Lakes of Ministry of Education(No.B230203006).
文摘While oceanic and coastal acidification has gained increased attention,long-term pH trends and their drivers in large freshwater systems remain poorly understood.The Laurentian Great Lakes are the world’s largest freshwater system,and in many ways resemble marine ecosystems.However,unlike the open ocean and coastal waters where pH has declined due to rising atmospheric CO_(2),no significant pH trends have been observed in the Laurentian Great Lakes,despite significant ecosystem changes driven partly by the invasion of dreissenid mussels.This study examined 41 years of field observations from Lake Michigan to investigate the long-term carbonate chemistry dynamics.Observational results revealed substantial declines in both total alkalinity(TA)and dissolved inorganic carbon(DIC)over the four decades.Mussel shell calcification emerged as the primary mechanism behind these declines,accounting for 97%and 47%of the observed changes in TA and DIC,respectively,lowering water column pH by 0.24 units.Elevated carbon accumulation in soft mussel tissues,coupled with long-term changes in the air-water pCO_(2)gradient during summer,significantly contributed to long-term DIC variations,explaining 18%and 28%of the lake-wide DIC loss.These two mechanisms also resulted in an overall pH increase of 0.09 and 0.12 units,largely offsetting the calcification-driven pH decrease.These findings bridge a gap in acidification research for large freshwater systems and provide valuable insights for comprehensive lake-wide management strategies.
文摘This paper studies the structural response of high-speed train wipers under the combined action of complex flow fields and scraping actions.The stress concentration areas are determined through simulation analysis,and the stress and aerodynamic load measurement points are reasonably arranged accordingly.The actual measurement is carried out in combination with the operating conditions of the existing lines.The stress variations and spectral characteristics of the train under different speed levels(80,160,180,200 km/h),tunnel entry and exit,and scraper action conditions were compared and analyzed.The stress amplification factors under tunnel intersection and scraper action were obtained,providing boundary conditions for the design of wipers for highspeed s.The research results show that the maximum stress of the wiper structure obtained through simulation calculation is concentrated at the connection of the wiper arm.Structural stress increases with the rise of speed grade.The stress increases by 1.11 times when the tunnel meets.When the scraper operates,the stress on the scraper arm increases by 4.1–7.6 times.Due to the broadband excitation effect of the aerodynamic load,the spectral energy of the structure is relatively high at the natural frequency,which excites the natural mode of the wiper.
文摘Conventionally,foundations have been classified as shallow or deep in routine civil engineering practice.However,due to recent developments,two other approaches,semi-deep and ground modification foundations,are now available,complicating foundation categorization.Accordingly,a new concept for foundation categorization is introduced in this paper based on insights into the theory of structure analysis.Based on the form aspect,foundation systems can be categorized as one-dimensional(linear),two-dimensional(planar),and threedimensional(volumetric).Based on the load transfer aspect,foundations can also be categorized as vector-acting(piles),section or surface-acting(rafts and shells),and block-acting(piled rafts).As a step toward implementing this new categorization scheme,a database of 22 cases has been compiled,symbolizing novel introduced foundation systems.This compilation involves structures such as offshore jackets,high-rise buildings,towers and storages,and diverse geomaterials.Among them,a few have been selected for detailed evaluation,emphasizing influential factors in foundation selection,comprising superstructure,subsoil condition,foundation system,circumferential conditions,and supplementary considerations,that is,constructional and sustainability-based issues.Lessons learned from experience and these knowledge-based cases have described for foundation selection and implementation.Geotechnical and practical aspects with critical components have been realized as major performance assessment and comparison factors.Foundation systems have been compared and ranked using the improved analytic hierarchy process approach.Finally,four categories of buildings,from low-rise to towers and four prevailing levels of soil strength,from soft to very hard,have been considered to propose a perspective for building substructure implementation,adapted via relevant cases.Overall,the introduced categorization is recognized as an efficient algorithm for the experimentation of appropriate foundations for specific structures and subsoil conditions.
文摘Objective:To investigate the long-term prognosis and postoperative cosmetic outcomes of breast-conserving surgery combined with sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with early-stage breast cancer,providing a reference for the selection of clinical treatment plans.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 68 patients with early-stage breast cancer admitted from January 2022 to December 2025.Based on the surgical approach,patients were divided into an observation group(breast-conserving surgery+sentinel lymph node biopsy)and a control group(other surgical methods such as modified radical mastectomy/total mastectomy).Clinical and pathological characteristics,incidence of postoperative complications,follow-up prognosis,and satisfaction with cosmetic outcomes were compared between the two groups.Results:Among the 68 patients,41 were in the observation group and 27 in the control group.The average age of patients in the observation group was(54.32±8.15)years,while that in the control group was(62.45±9.76)years.The average tumor size in the observation group was(1.86±0.72)cm,compared to(3.21±1.45)cm in the control group.The incidence of postoperative complications in the observation group was 9.76%,significantly lower than that in the control group at 33.33%(P<0.05).The 6-month disease-free survival rate was 95.12%in the observation group and 88.89%in the control group,with no statistically significant difference between the two groups(P>0.05).The excellent and good rate of cosmetic outcomes in the observation group was 87.80%,significantly higher than that in the control group at 29.63%(P<0.05).Conclusion:Breast-conserving surgery combined with sentinel lymph node biopsy for early-stage breast cancer can achieve long-term prognostic outcomes comparable to those of traditional radical surgery,with the advantages of fewer postoperative complications and superior cosmetic results.This approach is worthy of clinical promotion and application,particularly for early-stage breast cancer patients who have a demand for preserving breast morphology.
基金funding from the Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province(202403021222245,20240302121217)。
文摘The variation laws of runoff and sediment load under different climate,vegetation,and human activity scenarios are significantly different.Exploring the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff and sediment load dynamics can provide a profound understanding of the mechanism of runoff and sediment load variability in basins,which is crucial for the sustainable development of regional ecosystems.This study investigates the Tao River Basin(TRB)on the Tibetan Plateau,as well as the Zuli River Basin(ZRB)and Jing River Basin(JRB)on the Loess Plateau,to differentiate the impacts of climate change and human activities on runoff and sediment load dynamics.The runoff and sediment load of the three watersheds have shown a decreasing trend over the past 40 years,and combined with the DMC(Dual mass curve)method,it was found that the slope of the runoff sediment gradually tends to flatten out.After the time period was divided,the CA(Cumulative anomaly)method was used for verification,which revealed good correspondence between the two before 2000 and then gradual deviations.The power function best represents the relationship between runoff and sediment load.During the initial period,climate had a significant impact on runoff variation in the TRB and JRB,with contribution rates of-54.93%and-63.02%,respectively.In the later period,human activities became the dominant influence,contributing more than-60%of the runoff variation.In the ZRB,human activities consistently dominated runoff variation,with contribution rates of-72.72%and-55.66%during both periods.In the early stages of research,the impact of climate change on sediment load was more severe in the TRB and JRB,and human activities played a significant role in the later stages.However,in the ZRB,human activities have always been the main contributor.Based on the actual local situation,runoff and sediment load in the TRB are influenced primarily by engineering measures,and vegetation and check dams exert greater impacts on the ZRB and JRB.This study explores the attribution of water and sediment load changes in different ecological geographic regions from a comparative perspective,providing a valuable theoretical basis and reference for understanding global runoff and sediment transport changes in similar areas.
基金supported in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 72401055in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52277083in part by the joint founding of Guangdong,and Dongguan under Grant 2023A1515110939.
文摘Existing load forecasting methods typically assume that recent load data are available for prediction.This is not in conformity with reality since there is a time gap between the flow date(when power is consumed)and when measurement values are obtained.To this end,this letter proposes an online learning-based probabilistic load forecasting method considering the impact of the data gap.Specifically,an adaptive ensemble backpropagation-enabled online quantile regression algorithm is developed to optimize the parameters of the attention network recursively using the newly obtained load observations.To further improve the reliability and sharpness of prediction intervals under significant data gaps,we introduce an online interval calibration technique.The proposed online learning method allows us to adaptively capture the dynamic changes in load patterns and alleviate the information lags caused by data gaps.Comparative tests utilizing real-world datasets reveal the superiority of the proposed method.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China,grant number 2023YFB4203200。
文摘Fatigue loads on wind turbines are critical factors that significantly influence operational lifespan and reliability.The passive yaw control of wind turbines often fails to capture the dynamic gradient changes of wind speed and direction in the wind field,leading to an increased risk of load overload,severely affecting operational lifespan and reducing power generation efficiency.This impact is even more pronounced during the passage of a cold front.To address this issue,this paper proposes an independent variable-pitch control method that optimizes predictions by utilizing the spatiotemporal relationship between pre-observed cold front patterns and their dynamic propagation.First,a cold front and cold front propagation model suitable for engineering applications was derived.And a non-uniform inflow load model of turbine is established,which,combined with tower vibration response and rotor dynamic loads,accurately simulates the force distribution under complex inflow conditions.Subsequently,a pre-observation-based active cyclic pitch control method is presented,dynamically computing optimal pitch angle sequences by predicting wind field trends.This method eliminates the need for iterative optimization algorithms and reduces control latency to achieve proactive load management.Simulation verification shows that the proposed control strategy can effectively reduce key structural loads and increase power generation without relying on complex optimization algorithms.This method provides a practical solution for improving the economic benefits and operational reliability of wind farms under special wind conditions.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Technology and application of wind power/photovoltaic power prediction for promoting renewable energy consumption(2018YFB0904200).
文摘In recent years,the global installed capacity of wind power has grown rapidly,making the enhancement of wind power prediction accuracy crucial for facilitating the integration and consumption of renewable energy.Current research on ultra-short-term wind power prediction often overlooks load characteristics,resulting in an inability to adequately address grid connection requirements and load dispatching demands across different time periods.To address this limitation,this study proposes a novel approach to ultra-short-term wind power prediction error correction that incorporates load peak-valley characteristics.The methodology involves three key steps:first,deriving interannual prediction error characteristics from ultra-short-term prediction results of wind farm clusters;second,establishing error correction intervals for load peak and valley periods,calculating corresponding correction coefficients,and analyzing the impact of varying correction radii on the final results;third,validating the proposed method through empirical analysis of wind farm clusters in three northeastern provinces.The results demonstrate that this approach not only improves wind power prediction accuracy but also significantly reduces the occurrence of harmful error days,thereby better meeting the operational requirements of power system dispatch.
文摘Taking the rural low-income population of Zhejiang Province as its subject, this paper examines how to build a sustainable income-growth mechanism and identify feasible implementation paths within the context of the common prosperity strategy. The research identifies key obstacles to income expansion, including an undiversified industrial structure, insufficient human capital, and a lack of robust social protection. These call for systemic solutions featuring institutional innovation, resource consolidation, and capability enhancement. Building on Zhejiang's experience as a common prosperity demonstration zone, the article constructs an integrated framework centered on four pillars: industrial empowerment, education upgrading, social security reinforcement, and digital coordination. It further offers concrete policy proposals involving the cultivation of localized industries, vocational skill training, enhanced safety nets, and the adoption of digital tools. The study thus offers both theoretical insights and practical paradigms for tackling the challenge of raising incomes in low-income rural areas.
基金Supported by the Development and Application Project of Ship CAE Software.
文摘Studies of wave-current interactions are vital for the safe design of structures.Regular waves in the presence of uniform,linear shear,and quadratic shear currents are explored by the High-Level Green-Naghdi model in this paper.The five-point central difference method is used for spatial discretization,and the fourth-order Adams predictor-corrector scheme is employed for marching in time.The domain-decomposition method is applied for the wave-current generation and absorption.The effects of currents on the wave profile and velocity field are examined under two conditions:the same velocity of currents at the still-water level and the constant flow volume of currents.Wave profiles and velocity fields demonstrate substantial differences in three types of currents owing to the diverse vertical distribution of current velocity and vorticity.Then,loads on small-scale vertical cylinders subjected to regular waves and three types of background currents with the same flow volume are investigated.The maximum load intensity and load fluctuation amplitude in uniform,linear shear,and quadratic shear currents increase sequentially.The stretched superposition method overestimates the maximum load intensity and load fluctuation amplitude in opposing currents and underestimates these values in following currents.The stretched superposition method obtains a poor approximation for strong nonlinear waves,particularly in the case of the opposing quadratic shear current.
文摘AIM:To investigate the long-term outcomes in acute primary angle closure(APAC)patients treated with lens extraction(LE)surgery and to identify risk factors for glaucomatous optic neuropathy(GON).METHODS:In this longitudinal observational study,detailed medical histories of APAC patients and comprehensive ophthalmic examinations at final followup were collected.Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of blindness.Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses were conducted to determine risk factors associated with visual outcomes.RESULTS:This study included 39 affected eyes of 31 subjects(26 females)with an average age of 74.1±8.0y.At 6.7±4.2y after APAC attack,2(5.7%)eyes had bestcorrected visual acuity(VA)worse than 3/60.Advanced glaucomatous visual field loss was observed in 15(39.5%)affected eyes and 5(25.0%)fellow eyes.Nine affected eyes(23.7%)had GON,and 11(28.9%)were blind.Six(15.4%)affected eyes and 2(9.1%)fellow eyes had suspicious progression.A significantly higher blindness rate in factory workers compared to office workers.Logistic regression identified that worse VA at attack(OR 10.568,95%CI 1.288-86.695;P=0.028)and worse early postoperative VA(OR 13.214,95%CI 1.157-150.881;P=0.038)were risk factors for blindness.Multivariate regression showed that longer duration of elevated intraocular pressure(P=0.004)and worse early postoperative VA(P=0.009)were associated with worse visual outcomes.CONCLUSION:Despite LE surgery,some APAC patients experience continued visual function deterioration.Lifelong monitoring is necessary.Target pressure and progression rates should be re-evaluated during follow-up.
