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GIS-Based Local Spatial Statistical Model of Cholera Occurrence: Using Geographically Weighted Regression 被引量:1
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作者 Felix Ndidi Nkeki Animam Beecroft Osirike 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2013年第6期531-542,共12页
Global statistical techniques often assume homogeneity of relationships between dependent variable and predictors across space. This assumption has been criticized by statistical geographers as a fundamental weakness ... Global statistical techniques often assume homogeneity of relationships between dependent variable and predictors across space. This assumption has been criticized by statistical geographers as a fundamental weakness that may yield misleading result when it is applied to dataset with spatial context. To strengthen this weakness, a new method that accounts for heterogeneity in relationships across geographic space has been presented. This is one of the family of local spatial statistical techniques referred to as geographically weighted regression (GWR). The method captures non-stationarity of relationship in spatial data that the ordinary least square (OLS) regression fails to account for. Thus, the paper is designed to explore and analyze the spatial relationships between cholera occurrence and household sources of water supply using GIS-based GWR, also to compare the modeling fitness of OLS and GWR. Vector dataset (spatial) of the study region by state levels and statistical data (non-spatial) on cholera cases, household sources of water supply and population data were used in this exploratory analysis. The result shows that GWR is a significant improvement on the global model. Comparing both models with the AICc value and the R2 value revealed that for the former, the value is reduced from 698.7 (for OLS model) to 691.5 (for GWR model). For the latter, OLS explained 66.4 percent while GWR explained 86.7 percent. This implies that local model’s fitness is higher than global model. In addition, the empirical analysis revealed that cholera occurrence in the study region is significantly associated with household sources of water supply. This relationship, as detected by GWR, largely varies across the region. 展开更多
关键词 local STATISTICS Global STATISTICS Geographically weighted regression CHOLERA Ordinary Least SQUARE
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Robust Local Weighted Regression for Magnetic Map-Based Localization on Smartphone Platform
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作者 Zhibin Meng Mei Wang +1 位作者 Enliang Wang Xiangyu Xu 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2017年第3期80-90,共11页
The magnetic information measured on the smartphone platform has a large fluctuation and the research of indoor localization algorithm based on smart-phone platform is less. Indoor localization algorithm on smartphone... The magnetic information measured on the smartphone platform has a large fluctuation and the research of indoor localization algorithm based on smart-phone platform is less. Indoor localization algorithm on smartphone platform based on particle filter is studied. Robust local weighted regression is used to smooth the original magnetic data in the process of constructing magnetic map. Use moving average filtering model to filter the online magnetic observation data in positioning process. Compare processed online magnetic data with processed magnetic map collected by smartphone platform and the average matching error is 0.3941uT. Average positioning error is 0.229 meter when using processed online and map data. 展开更多
关键词 INDOOR localIZATION MAGNETIC PARTICLE Filter ROBUST local weighted regression Algorithm
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Modeling of Spatial Distributions of Farmland Density and Its Temporal Change Using Geographically Weighted Regression Model 被引量:3
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作者 ZHANG Haitao GUO Long +3 位作者 CHEN Jiaying FU Peihong GU Jianli LIAO Guangyu 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第2期191-204,共14页
This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 199... This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 1999 and 2009,and discussed the difference between global and local spatial autocorrelations in terms of spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity.Results showed that strong spatial positive correlations existed in the spatial distributions of farmland density,its temporal change and the driving factors,and the coefficients of spatial autocorrelations decreased as the spatial lag distance increased.SAR models revealed the global spatial relations between dependent and independent variables,while the GWR model showed the spatially varying fitting degree and local weighting coefficients of driving factors and farmland indices(i.e.,farmland density and temporal change).The GWR model has smooth process when constructing the farmland spatial model.The coefficients of GWR model can show the accurate influence degrees of different driving factors on the farmland at different geographical locations.The performance indices of GWR model showed that GWR model produced more accurate simulation results than other models at different times,and the improvement precision of GWR model was obvious.The global and local farmland models used in this study showed different characteristics in the spatial distributions of farmland indices at different scales,which may provide the theoretical basis for farmland protection from the influence of different driving factors. 展开更多
关键词 spatial lag model spatial error model geographically weighted regression model global spatial autocorrelation local spatial aurocorrelation
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FUNCTIONAL-COEFFICIENT REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS ESTIMATION 被引量:6
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作者 Mei Changlin Wang NingSchool of Science,Xi’an Jiaotong Univ.,Xi’an 710049. 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2001年第3期304-314,共11页
In this paper,a class of functional-coefficient regression models is proposed and an estimation procedure based on the locally weighted least equares is suggested.This class of models,with the proposed estimation meth... In this paper,a class of functional-coefficient regression models is proposed and an estimation procedure based on the locally weighted least equares is suggested.This class of models,with the proposed estimation method,is a powerful means for exploratory data analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Functional-coefficient regression model locally weighted least equares cross-validation.
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An Intelligent Early Warning Method of Press-Assembly Quality Based on Outlier Data Detection and Linear Regression
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作者 XUE Shanliang LI Chen 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2020年第4期597-606,共10页
Focusing on controlling the press-assembly quality of high-precision servo mechanism,an intelligent early warning method based on outlier data detection and linear regression is proposed.Linear regression is used to d... Focusing on controlling the press-assembly quality of high-precision servo mechanism,an intelligent early warning method based on outlier data detection and linear regression is proposed.Linear regression is used to deal with the relationship between assembly quality and press-assembly process,then the mathematical model of displacement-force in press-assembly process is established and a qualified press-assembly force range is defined for assembly quality control.To preprocess the raw dataset of displacement-force in the press-assembly process,an improved local outlier factor based on area density and P weight(LAOPW)is designed to eliminate the outliers which will result in inaccuracy of the mathematical model.A weighted distance based on information entropy is used to measure distance,and the reachable distance is replaced with P weight.Experiments show that the detection efficiency of the algorithm is improved by 5.6 ms compared with the traditional local outlier factor(LOF)algorithm,and the detection accuracy is improved by about 2%compared with the local outlier factor based on area density(LAOF)algorithm.The application of LAOPW algorithm and the linear regression model shows that it can effectively carry out intelligent early warning of press-assembly quality of high precision servo mechanism. 展开更多
关键词 quality early warning outlier data detection linear regression local outlier factor based on area density and P weight(LAOPW) information entropy P weight
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Concentration Prediction of Total Flavonoids in Aurantii Fructus Extraction Process:Locally Weighted Regression versus Kinetic Model Equation Based on Fick's Law
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作者 Yang Chen Jun-hui Shen +4 位作者 Jian Ni Meng-jie Xu Hao-ran Dou Jing Fu Xiao-xu Dong 《Chinese Herbal Medicines》 CAS 2015年第1期69-74,共6页
Objective To predict the total flavonoids concentration of Aurantii Fructus fried with bran in its extraction process. Methods Ultraviolet spectrophotometry was used to determine the concentration of total flavonoids ... Objective To predict the total flavonoids concentration of Aurantii Fructus fried with bran in its extraction process. Methods Ultraviolet spectrophotometry was used to determine the concentration of total flavonoids in different extraction time (t) and solvent load (M). Then the predicted procedure was carried out using the following data: 1 ) based on Ficks second law, the parameters of the kinetic model could be deduced and the equation was established; 2) Locally weighted regression (LWR) code was developed in the WEKA software environment to predict the concentration. And then we used both methods to predict the concentration of total flavonoids in new experiments. Results After comparing the predicted results with the experimental data, the LWR model had better accuracy and performance in the prediction. Conclusion LWR is applied to analyze the extraction process of Chinese herb for the first time, and it is totally fit for the extraction. LWR-based system is a more simple and accurate way to predict than the established equation. It is a good choice especially for a process which exists no clear rules, and can be used in the real-time control during the process. 展开更多
关键词 Aurantii Fructus kinetic model locally weighted regression total flavonoids prediction
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Adaptive Locally Weighted Projection Regression Method for Uncertainty Quantification
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作者 Peng Chen Nicholas Zabaras 《Communications in Computational Physics》 SCIE 2013年第9期851-878,共28页
We develop an efficient,adaptive locally weighted projection regression(ALWPR)framework for uncertainty quantification(UQ)of systems governed by ordinary and partial differential equations.The algorithm adaptively sel... We develop an efficient,adaptive locally weighted projection regression(ALWPR)framework for uncertainty quantification(UQ)of systems governed by ordinary and partial differential equations.The algorithm adaptively selects the new input points with the largest predictive variance and decides when and where to add new localmodels.It effectively learns the local features and accurately quantifies the uncertainty in the prediction of the statistics.The developed methodology provides predictions and confidence intervals at any query input and can dealwithmulti-output cases.Numerical examples are presented to show the accuracy and efficiency of the ALWPR framework including problems with non-smooth local features such as discontinuities in the stochastic space. 展开更多
关键词 locally weighted projection regression MULTI-OUTPUT adaptivity uncertainty quantification
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STATISTICAL INFERENCES FOR VARYING-COEFFICINT MODELS BASED ON LOCALLY WEIGHTED REGRESSION TECHNIQUE 被引量:6
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作者 梅长林 张文修 梁怡 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 2001年第3期407-417,共11页
Some fundamental issues on statistical inferences relating to varying-coefficient regression models are addressed and studied. An exact testing procedure is proposed for checking the goodness of fit of a varying-coeff... Some fundamental issues on statistical inferences relating to varying-coefficient regression models are addressed and studied. An exact testing procedure is proposed for checking the goodness of fit of a varying-coefficient model fited by the locally weighted regression technique versus an ordinary linear regression model. Also, an appropriate statistic for testing variation of model parameters over the locations where the observations are collected is constructed and a formal testing approach which is essential to exploring spatial non-stationarity in geography science is suggested. 展开更多
关键词 Varying-coefficient regression model locally weighted regression spatial non-stationarity p-value
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大角度姿态下基于体压分布的人体参数预测
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作者 张志飞 刘奇 +3 位作者 邱茂昌 刘畅 谭侃伦 白乐 《汽车工程》 北大核心 2026年第1期195-206,224,共13页
为探寻汽车座椅大角度姿态下体压与人体参数之间的关系,招募21位被试开展体压分布试验。参考相关人体测量学标准,选取身高、体质量、小腿长、大腿长、坐高、大腿围、最大体宽等7项人体特征参数作为预测目标,并与体压数据作Spearman相关... 为探寻汽车座椅大角度姿态下体压与人体参数之间的关系,招募21位被试开展体压分布试验。参考相关人体测量学标准,选取身高、体质量、小腿长、大腿长、坐高、大腿围、最大体宽等7项人体特征参数作为预测目标,并与体压数据作Spearman相关性分析,筛选出相关性较强的体压指标,使用局部加权回归(locally weighted regression,LWR),拟合人体参数预测模型。研究结果表明,针对7项人体特征参数拟合得到的预测模型误差均位于20%以内,除体质量外剩余6项人体特征参数预测模型的相对误差均小于10%,且对于身高的预测效果相对较好。同时,为验证此方法的适用性,选取两种不同躯干角的乘坐姿态作为验证组。结果表示,两种姿态下的拟合精度均与第1组试验相近,预测效果良好。 展开更多
关键词 汽车座椅 大角度姿态 体压分布 人体参数预测 局部加权回归
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多效应GTWPR模型的局部线性极大似然估计
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作者 殷梦娜 张辉国 《应用数学》 北大核心 2026年第2期397-413,共17页
时空地理加权泊松回归(GTWPR)模型是时空地理加权回归(GTWR)模型的扩展,它既考虑了时空异质性,又能实现对计数型数据的建模.鉴于局部线性拟合技术改进边界效应的优点,本文提出了GTWPR模型的局部线性极大似然估计(LLMLE)方法.基于系数平... 时空地理加权泊松回归(GTWPR)模型是时空地理加权回归(GTWR)模型的扩展,它既考虑了时空异质性,又能实现对计数型数据的建模.鉴于局部线性拟合技术改进边界效应的优点,本文提出了GTWPR模型的局部线性极大似然估计(LLMLE)方法.基于系数平均的思想,进一步给出了多效应时空地理加权泊松回归(MEGTWPR)模型的两阶段局部线性极大似然估计(TSLLMLE)方法,该方法不仅能够拟合某些解释变量的时空变化、空间变化和时间变化的非平稳关系,同时也能刻画某些变量的全局平稳关系,从而提升系数的估计精度.数值模拟结果显示,与现有的基于系数平均估计(CABE)方法相比, TSLLMLE方法可以提高系数估计的精确性,并在边界处表现出良好的性能. 展开更多
关键词 时空地理加权泊松回归模型 多效应时空地理加权泊松回归模型 局部线性极大似然估计 两阶段估计
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新质生产力关注度的多维量化评价及时空双维度分析——基于时空分解与空间异质性方法
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作者 姜磊 戴源 +1 位作者 朱竑 陈晓亮 《地域研究与开发》 北大核心 2026年第1期58-68,共11页
各地区对新质生产力关注度的差异可以视为衡量潜在新质生产力发展潜力的一个重要指标。获取中国296个城市6万多条新质生产力的搜索数据,运用时空分析方法研究新质生产力全社会关注度的时空格局演化特征,然后探究其驱动因素。此外,利用... 各地区对新质生产力关注度的差异可以视为衡量潜在新质生产力发展潜力的一个重要指标。获取中国296个城市6万多条新质生产力的搜索数据,运用时空分析方法研究新质生产力全社会关注度的时空格局演化特征,然后探究其驱动因素。此外,利用文本分析方法计算出新质生产力政府关注度指标,同样采用时空分析方法来进行稳健性检验以及对比分析。结果表明:(1)经验正交函数结果显示,新质生产力概念提出后,各城市积极关注这一新理论。(2)局域空间异方差指数分析结果表明,不同城市之间存在较大的差异。(3)新质生产力政府关注度的空间分布与社会关注度对比发现,二者高值区域较为相似,主要分布在直辖市、省会城市及东南沿海地区的城市。(4)运用多种相关性分析方法检验新质生产力发展水平与两种关注度之间的相关性。(5)地理探测器检验结果显示,新质生产力全社会关注度与新质生产力政府关注度受到多种因素的影响,且影响大小呈现出显著的空间差异。 展开更多
关键词 新质生产力 时空分析 经验正交函数 集合经验模态分解 局域空间异质性指数 多尺度地理加权回归
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基于改进高斯过程回归模型的光伏发电功率预测
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作者 肖春 郝俊博 +1 位作者 杨晓霞 韩肖清 《太原理工大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期287-295,共9页
【目的】随着我国光伏发电占比不断提高,光伏发电受气象因素的影响较大,其输出功率因气象特征的复杂多变表现出强烈的间歇性和波动性,对未来光伏发电功率预测的准确度将直接影响电网的稳定安全运行。针对光伏发电功率的预测精度提升问题... 【目的】随着我国光伏发电占比不断提高,光伏发电受气象因素的影响较大,其输出功率因气象特征的复杂多变表现出强烈的间歇性和波动性,对未来光伏发电功率预测的准确度将直接影响电网的稳定安全运行。针对光伏发电功率的预测精度提升问题,提出了一种融合局部离群因子算法、遗传算法与高斯过程回归(GA-LOF-GPR)的预测模型。【方法】首先,本文挖掘发电功率与气象特征的关系,并采用特征权重K均值聚类对气象类型进行分类;其次,将局部离群因子算法与高斯过程回归模型结合,构建局部异常因子加权的高斯过程回归(LOFGPR)的预测模型;最后,通过运用遗传算法优化加权高斯过程回归模型的超参数。【结果】通过对2018年澳大利亚的光伏发电数据的仿真预测,验证了该预测模型的有效性和准确性。 展开更多
关键词 功率预测 特征权重K均值聚类 局部离群因子 高斯过程回归 遗传算法
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FI-DAC峰值幅频非线性误差预校正方法
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作者 刘胜剑 刘连胜 +1 位作者 张益维 彭宇 《电子测量与仪器学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期133-142,共10页
任意波形发生器(arbitrary waveform generator,AWG)的输出带宽受到数模转换器(digital to analog converter,DAC)模拟带宽的限制。频率交织数模转换器(frequency interleaved DAC,FI-DAC)能够有效实现带宽提升。然而,模拟器件的非理想... 任意波形发生器(arbitrary waveform generator,AWG)的输出带宽受到数模转换器(digital to analog converter,DAC)模拟带宽的限制。频率交织数模转换器(frequency interleaved DAC,FI-DAC)能够有效实现带宽提升。然而,模拟器件的非理想特性和FI-DAC系统的分频特性将导致输出信号在边缘频带区域存在典型的峰值幅频误差,从而降低了输出信号的平坦性,严重影响系统的性能。因此,提出了一种针对FI-DAC系统的改进预校准器,专注于解决FI-DAC系统中峰值非线性幅频误差问题。首先,通过理论推导校准FI-DAC系统两通道线性相位误差;其次,该方法基于支持向量回归(support vector regression,SVR),通过构建精确的回归模型,设计预校准器以对幅频误差进行初步校准;然后,结合局部加权学习(locally weighted learning,LWL)方法,对频带边缘区域分配对应权重,从而更加精准地聚焦关键误差区域,进一步提升预校准器的设计效果和校准精度;最后,通过FI-DAC技术的应用,针对双路采样率为1.25 GSa/s的DAC,实现了850 MHz的输出带宽,提升了信号输出的频带范围。并且基于SVR-LWL算法设计的预校准器被集成到FI-DAC系统中,校正后系统输出信号幅频特性通带内的最小平坦度为-0.061 dB,最大平坦度为0.032 dB,接近理想平坦度0 dB。在5 GSa/s实验平台上进一步验证表明,基于SVR-LWL的预校准器在校正FI-DAC系统中峰值型幅频误差方面,相较其他算法表现出更高的精度与有效性。 展开更多
关键词 频率交织数模转换器 支持向量回归-局部加权学习 峰值非线性幅频预校准器
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Local attribute-similarity weighting regression algorithm for interpolating soil property values 被引量:1
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作者 Zhou Jiaogen Dong Daming Li Yuyuan 《International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS 2017年第5期95-103,共9页
Existing spatial interpolation methods estimate the property values of an unmeasured point with observations of its closest points based on spatial distance(SD).However,considering that properties of the neighbors spa... Existing spatial interpolation methods estimate the property values of an unmeasured point with observations of its closest points based on spatial distance(SD).However,considering that properties of the neighbors spatially close to the unmeasured point may not be similar,the estimation of properties at the unmeasured one may not be accurate.The present study proposed a local attribute-similarity weighted regression(LASWR)algorithm,which characterized the similarity among spatial points based on non-spatial attributes(NSA)better than on SD.The real soil datasets were used in the validation.Mean absolute error(MAE)and root mean square error(RMSE)were used to compare the performance of LASWR with inverse distance weighting(IDW),ordinary kriging(OK)and geographically weighted regression(GWR).Cross-validation showed that LASWR generally resulted in more accurate predictions than IDW and OK and produced a finer-grained characterization of the spatial relationships between SOC and environmental variables relative to GWR.The present research results suggest that LASWR can play a vital role in improving prediction accuracy and characterizing the influence patterns of environmental variables on response variable. 展开更多
关键词 attribute similarity geographically weighted regression local regression spatial interpolation
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基于局部-地理加权回归的时变谐波阻抗估计
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作者 徐方维 谢佩昂 +3 位作者 王川 刘凯 郭凯 樊丽娟 《电力工程技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期20-29,共10页
现有研究中通常假定电力系统谐波阻抗恒定,但不符合真实工况中情况。实际中,系统侧谐波阻抗和背景谐波随运行工况时变,当两谐波电压样本点时间间隔较大时,对应时刻的阻抗和背景谐波的差值可能较大,难以根据时间间隔较远样本点的信息估... 现有研究中通常假定电力系统谐波阻抗恒定,但不符合真实工况中情况。实际中,系统侧谐波阻抗和背景谐波随运行工况时变,当两谐波电压样本点时间间隔较大时,对应时刻的阻抗和背景谐波的差值可能较大,难以根据时间间隔较远样本点的信息估计关注样本点的阻抗值。由此,文中提出一种基于局部-地理加权回归的时变系统侧谐波阻抗估计方法,首先依据时间间隔大小构建权重矩阵,对与关注样本点时间间隔较大的样本点赋予较小权重,并采用局部加权回归(locally weighted regression,LWR)初步估计系统侧谐波阻抗和背景谐波参考值。然后利用阻抗参考值修正回归方程以降低原回归方程的欠定程度,同时以背景谐波参考值为先验信息,筛选出与关注样本点背景谐波相似的样本点,再基于所筛选样本逐一采用地理加权回归(geographically weighted regression,GWR)求解各点的背景谐波电压和系统侧谐波阻抗。在强背景谐波波动的情况下,文中所提方法能识别阻抗的突变点、估计系统侧谐波阻抗的变化趋势。最后通过仿真分析可知,文中所提方法相对于传统恒定谐波阻抗估计方法,估计准确度提升约40%;相对于现有变阻抗估计方法,估计准确度提升约30%。 展开更多
关键词 谐波阻抗 背景谐波 阻抗变化 权重矩阵 局部加权回归(LWR) 地理加权回归(GWR)
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融合局部加权回归与LQR控制的线控转向系统控制策略研究
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作者 潘公宇 刘艳旭 《重庆理工大学学报(自然科学)》 北大核心 2025年第8期1-9,共9页
以线控转向系统汽车为研究对象,提出了一种利用局部加权回归和样条插值法优化理想传动比结合线性二次型调节器(linear quadratic regulator,LQR)控制算法的线控转向控制策略,实现了前轮主动转向控制。通过Simulink与Carsim的联合仿真,... 以线控转向系统汽车为研究对象,提出了一种利用局部加权回归和样条插值法优化理想传动比结合线性二次型调节器(linear quadratic regulator,LQR)控制算法的线控转向控制策略,实现了前轮主动转向控制。通过Simulink与Carsim的联合仿真,对线控转向系统进行分析,以验证其工作稳定性。通过固定横摆角速度增益和侧向加速度增益,制定了理想的角传动比控制策略,同时利用局部加权回归和样条插值法对设计得到的角传动比曲线进行平滑处理,确保了传动比曲线的连续性和稳定性。在此基础上,设计了LQR控制器,用于计算附加转角,以补偿车辆在行驶过程中的不稳定性。仿真结果表明:所提出的控制策略能够有效提高车辆的操控性和稳定性,并且在速度60 km/h时,横摆角速度和质心侧偏角的峰值分别下降35.7%和36.3%,为进一步提升车辆在各种复杂路况下的适应能力奠定了坚实的基础。 展开更多
关键词 线控转向系统 线性二次型 理想传动比 局部加权回归 样条插值法
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四川省城镇化发展与极端降水事件的关联影响研究
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作者 李谢辉 杨静坤 蕾沁雅 《成都信息工程大学学报》 2025年第5期660-666,共7页
为研究四川省城镇化发展与极端降水事件的关联影响,利用36个气象站点1980-2020年降水日值数据、夜间灯光和土地利用遥感数据、经济和人口空间分布网格数据,计算11个极端降水指数,利用K-means和层次聚类相结合的方法划分城市、城郊和乡... 为研究四川省城镇化发展与极端降水事件的关联影响,利用36个气象站点1980-2020年降水日值数据、夜间灯光和土地利用遥感数据、经济和人口空间分布网格数据,计算11个极端降水指数,利用K-means和层次聚类相结合的方法划分城市、城郊和乡村三类气象站点后,对四川省城镇化进程中极端降水事件的时间变化趋势及其与城镇化的关联影响进行分析,还对3个时段(1980-2010年、1980-2015年、1980-2020年)极端降水事件的区域平均变化趋势和城乡不同类别气象站点的变化趋势差值进行了研究。结果表明:四川省1980-2020年极端降水指数的年际变化除极端降水事件的强度有上升趋势外,其他变化均不显著;城市和城郊站点的连续干旱日数、湿日降水量和强降水量受城镇化影响可能很大,但连续湿润日数、中等强度降水日数和暴雨以上降水日数则受城镇化影响可能很小;连续湿润日数在1980-2010年呈减少趋势,降水强度在1980-2020年呈增强趋势,连续干旱日数在1980-2015年城市与乡村站点、城郊与乡村站点的变化趋势差值都呈增加趋势。研究结果可为减少四川极端降水事件灾害风险,布局未来城市规划和城市可持续发展提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 四川省 城镇化影响 极端降水指数 聚类分析 鲁棒局部权重回归法
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基于多录井参数特征同步的溢流事故监测研究 被引量:1
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作者 陈青 黄志强 +3 位作者 孔祥伟 何弦桀 徐洲 安果涛 《应用数学和力学》 北大核心 2025年第2期241-253,共13页
依据录井参数进行溢流事故的判断十分依赖坐岗人员的经验,且现场采集的综合录井参数信噪严重,参数变化特征不明显,溢流监测准确率低.通过低通滤波处理和局部加权线性回归,去除现场综合录井参数曲线的高频信号和低频信噪,经归一化处理,... 依据录井参数进行溢流事故的判断十分依赖坐岗人员的经验,且现场采集的综合录井参数信噪严重,参数变化特征不明显,溢流监测准确率低.通过低通滤波处理和局部加权线性回归,去除现场综合录井参数曲线的高频信号和低频信噪,经归一化处理,得到了多参数同步的溢流识别方法,并结合GCN图形匹配和BRNN双向传递的特点,建立了GCN-BRNN相融合的模型,提高了溢流事故监测的准确率.结果表明,通过局部加权线性回归处理后能够使曲线变化特征更加明显,且归一化后的多参数同步监测比单一参数监测的准确率更高;以川西某井的综合录井数据为例进行溢流识别测试,与原先模型相比,结合后的模型溢流识别准确率更高,可达到85%;储层特征会影响录井参数的采集精度,储层分布结构越均匀、性质越稳定,溢流监测的准确率越高.经JT井现场应用,溢流事故识别准确率≥89%,实际溢流风险与模型识别结果一致.该方法能有效处理多源信息间的冲突,提高溢流监测的识别精度,对现场结合录井参数的溢流事故监测方法具有指导意义. 展开更多
关键词 钻井溢流监测 参数特征 滤波去噪 局部加权线性回归 神经网络
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改进Tikhonov正则化的激励修正与结构响应重构
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作者 张大伟 殷红 彭珍瑞 《噪声与振动控制》 北大核心 2025年第3期21-27,48,共8页
针对结构响应重构中激励难以准确识别与重构过程中的离散不适定性问题,提出一种改进Tikhonov正则化的激励修正与结构响应重构方法。首先,基于状态空间模型构建传递矩阵,引入结构外部激励识别与响应重构方程。其次,改进Tikhonov正则化方... 针对结构响应重构中激励难以准确识别与重构过程中的离散不适定性问题,提出一种改进Tikhonov正则化的激励修正与结构响应重构方法。首先,基于状态空间模型构建传递矩阵,引入结构外部激励识别与响应重构方程。其次,改进Tikhonov正则化方法以改善重构过程中的离散不适定性,求出激励的正则化解,并采用局部加权回归进行修正,结合需重构位置对应的传递矩阵重构未测点响应。最后,通过简支梁数值仿真和悬臂梁试验分析验证所提方法的可行性。结果表明,所提方法能够利用实测响应以较高精度重构结构激励和未测量位置处的响应,改善重构过程中的离散不适定性。 展开更多
关键词 振动与波 激励修正 响应重构 不适定性 正则化 局部加权回归
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Approximation by randomly weighting method in censored regression model 被引量:6
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作者 WANG ZhanFeng WU YaoHua ZHAO LinCheng 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE 2009年第3期561-576,共16页
Censored regression ("Tobit") models have been in common use, and their linear hypothesis testings have been widely studied. However, the critical values of these tests are usually related to quantities of a... Censored regression ("Tobit") models have been in common use, and their linear hypothesis testings have been widely studied. However, the critical values of these tests are usually related to quantities of an unknown error distribution and estimators of nuisance parameters. In this paper, we propose a randomly weighting test statistic and take its conditional distribution as an approximation to null distribution of the test statistic. It is shown that, under both the null and local alternative hypotheses, conditionally asymptotic distribution of the randomly weighting test statistic is the same as the null distribution of the test statistic. Therefore, the critical values of the test statistic can be obtained by randomly weighting method without estimating the nuisance parameters. At the same time, we also achieve the weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the randomly weighting least absolute deviation estimate in censored regression model. Simulation studies illustrate that the per-formance of our proposed resampling test method is better than that of central chi-square distribution under the null hypothesis. 展开更多
关键词 censored regression model least absolute deviation asymptotic normality local alternative randomly weighting method asymptotic power 62G10 62G20 62G05
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