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Blockwise Empirical Likelihood Method for Spatial Dependent Data
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作者 TANG Jie ZOU Yunlong +1 位作者 QIN Yongsong LI Yufang 《应用数学》 北大核心 2025年第1期47-63,共17页
Existing blockwise empirical likelihood(BEL)method blocks the observations or their analogues,which is proven useful under some dependent data settings.In this paper,we introduce a new BEL(NBEL)method by blocking the ... Existing blockwise empirical likelihood(BEL)method blocks the observations or their analogues,which is proven useful under some dependent data settings.In this paper,we introduce a new BEL(NBEL)method by blocking the scoring functions under high dimensional cases.We study the construction of confidence regions for the parameters in spatial autoregressive models with spatial autoregressive disturbances(SARAR models)with high dimension of parameters by using the NBEL method.It is shown that the NBEL ratio statistics are asymptoticallyχ^(2)-type distributed,which are used to obtain the NBEL based confidence regions for the parameters in SARAR models.A simulation study is conducted to compare the performances of the NBEL and the usual EL methods. 展开更多
关键词 SARAR model Empirical likelihood Confidence region High-dimensional statistical inference
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Maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of weighted exponential distribution in simple random sampling and ranked set sampling
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作者 DENG Cui-hong CHEN Wang-xue +1 位作者 ZHOU Ya-wen YANG Rui 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 2025年第4期818-832,共15页
Weighted exponential distribution W ED(α,λ)with shape parameterαand scale parameterλpossesses some good properties and can be used as a good fit to survival time data compared to other distributions such as gamma,... Weighted exponential distribution W ED(α,λ)with shape parameterαand scale parameterλpossesses some good properties and can be used as a good fit to survival time data compared to other distributions such as gamma,Weibull,or generalized exponential distribution.In this article,we proved the existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE)of the parameters of W ED(α,λ)in simple random sampling(SRS)and provided explicit expressions for the Fisher information number in SRS.Moreover,we also proved the existence and uniqueness of the MLE of the parameters of W ED(α,λ)in ranked set sampling(RSS)and provided explicit expressions for the Fisher information number in RSS.Simulation studies show that these MLEs in RSS can be real competitors for those in SRS. 展开更多
关键词 simple random sampling ranked set sampling maximum likelihood estimator Fisher information number
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An Online Exploratory Maximum Likelihood Estimation Approach to Adaptive Kalman Filtering
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作者 Jiajun Cheng Haonan Chen +2 位作者 Zhirui Xue Yulong Huang Yonggang Zhang 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 2025年第1期228-254,共27页
Over the past few decades, numerous adaptive Kalman filters(AKFs) have been proposed. However, achieving online estimation with both high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed is challenging, especially when ... Over the past few decades, numerous adaptive Kalman filters(AKFs) have been proposed. However, achieving online estimation with both high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed is challenging, especially when both the process noise and measurement noise covariance matrices are relatively inaccurate. Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) possesses the potential to achieve this goal, since its theoretical accuracy is guaranteed by asymptotic optimality and the convergence speed is fast due to weak dependence on accurate state estimation.Unfortunately, the maximum likelihood cost function is so intricate that the existing MLE methods can only simply ignore all historical measurement information to achieve online estimation,which cannot adequately realize the potential of MLE. In order to design online MLE-based AKFs with high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed, an online exploratory MLE approach is proposed, based on which a mini-batch coordinate descent noise covariance matrix estimation framework is developed. In this framework, the maximum likelihood cost function is simplified for online estimation with fewer and simpler terms which are selected in a mini-batch and calculated with a backtracking method. This maximum likelihood cost function is sidestepped and solved by exploring possible estimated noise covariance matrices adaptively while the historical measurement information is adequately utilized. Furthermore, four specific algorithms are derived under this framework to meet different practical requirements in terms of convergence speed, estimation accuracy,and calculation load. Abundant simulations and experiments are carried out to verify the validity and superiority of the proposed algorithms as compared with existing state-of-the-art AKFs. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive Kalman filtering coordinate descent maximum likelihood estimation mini-batch optimization unknown noise covariance matrix
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Vulnerable brain regions in adolescent attention deficit hyperactivity disorder:An activation likelihood estimation meta-analysis
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作者 Yan-Ping Shu Qin Zhang +4 位作者 Da Li Jiao-Ying Liu Xiao-Ming Wang Qiang He Yong-Zhe Hou 《World Journal of Psychiatry》 2025年第4期298-309,共12页
BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emoti... BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emotional functioning.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)provides critical insights into the functional architecture of the brain in ADHD.Despite extensive research,specific brain regions consistently affected in ADHD patients during these formative years have not been comprehensively delineated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent ADHD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We conducted a comprehensive literature search up to August 31,2024,to identify studies investigating functional brain alterations in adolescents with ADHD.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF),dynamic ALFF(dALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with ADHD with those in healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Fifteen studies(468 adolescent ADHD patients and 466 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF/dALFF data,the results revealed increased activity in the right lingual gyrus[LING,Brodmann Area(BA)18],left LING(BA 18),and right cuneus(CUN,BA 23)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:592-32 mm³,P<0.05).Decreased activity was observed in the left medial frontal gyrus(MFG,BA 9)and left precuneus(PCUN,BA 31)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:960-456 mm³,P<0.05).Jackknife sensitivity analyses demonstrated robust reproducibility in 11 of the 13 tests for the right LING,left LING,and right CUN and in 11 of the 14 tests for the left MFG and left PCUN.CONCLUSION We identified specific brain regions with both increased and decreased activity in adolescent ADHD patients,enhancing our understanding of the neural alterations that occur during this pivotal stage of development. 展开更多
关键词 Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder ADOLESCENT Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging Activation likelihood estimation META-ANALYSIS Medial frontal gyrus PRECUNEUS Cuneus Lingual gyrus
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采用似然比检测的电动车锂离子电池传感器故障检测方法
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作者 刘盼芝 巫春玲 +1 位作者 李艳波 郭国防 《西安交通大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期211-222,共12页
为了降低电池管理系统中传感器故障对电动汽车性能的影响,设计了一种采用似然比检测的故障诊断方法。首先,建立电池等效电路模型,并进行参数辨识,使用扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)算法,对所建立的电池模型进行状态估计;接着,根据状态估计结果计... 为了降低电池管理系统中传感器故障对电动汽车性能的影响,设计了一种采用似然比检测的故障诊断方法。首先,建立电池等效电路模型,并进行参数辨识,使用扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)算法,对所建立的电池模型进行状态估计;接着,根据状态估计结果计算电池端电压残差,并结合电池荷电状态估计,使用似然比检测方法处理残差数据,对电池传感器故障进行诊断,提高故障检测方法的效率;最后,使用电池工况实验数据验证算法的有效性和适应性。结果表明,设计的方法能及时准确地检测到2种传感器故障。对于给定的测试条件,电压故障时根据端电压残差检测所需诊断时间在20 s内;根据荷电状态(SOC)残差检测所需诊断时间在100 s内;电流故障时根据端电压残差检测所需诊断时间在20 s内;根据SOC残差检测所需诊断时间在400 s内。同样测试条件下,采用传统的累积和方法(CUSUM)的诊断时间分别是20 s内、445 s以上、150 s以上和1000 s以上,可见设计的方法可以明显缩短诊断时间。同时,该方法对故障有较好的敏感性,可以检测传感器小幅度故障,当电压故障信号为正常电压1%时仍可以实现故障检测。另外,当电压和电流传感器的发生多次故障时,该方法仍能实现故障检测目标。 展开更多
关键词 电池模型 似然比检测 电池传感器故障 故障检测 残差
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泾河油田长8致密油藏地震Likelihood裂缝预测 被引量:8
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作者 刘忠群 秦锐 +1 位作者 郝前勇 吴锦伟 《成都理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第5期609-616,共8页
预测鄂尔多斯盆地西南部泾河油田长8地层致密油藏裂缝发育特征。针对研究区裂缝具有小规模、弱信息、突变和线性展布发育的特点,采用Likelihood算法对裂缝进行了预测和表征。研究表明:在垂直于裂缝方位的地震响应异常最明显,在确定裂缝... 预测鄂尔多斯盆地西南部泾河油田长8地层致密油藏裂缝发育特征。针对研究区裂缝具有小规模、弱信息、突变和线性展布发育的特点,采用Likelihood算法对裂缝进行了预测和表征。研究表明:在垂直于裂缝方位的地震响应异常最明显,在确定裂缝方位和进行叠前方位数据处理的基础上采用Likelihood算法更加有效;在方位数据上提取的长8致密储层裂缝分布预测成果精度高,其发育位置及特性与实钻水平井钻遇裂缝段显示吻合度高。Likelihood算法是与研究区地质特性相匹配的地震裂缝预测技术。 展开更多
关键词 致密油藏 裂缝 各向异性 方位数据处理 likelihood算法
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基于Fault Likelihood属性分区标定的裂缝预测与三维地质建模——以川西坳陷新场气田须二段气藏为例 被引量:9
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作者 商晓飞 王鸣川 李蒙 《东北石油大学学报》 CAS 北大核心 2022年第4期62-76,I0005,I0006,共17页
川西坳陷新场地区须家河组二段(须二段)天然裂缝发育,储层整体致密。基于Fault Likelihood(FL)属性提取、预处理,结合钻井资料揭示裂缝发育程度,通过构造单元分区进行裂缝井震标定,确定每一构造单元的裂缝响应阈值,采用等比例归一化方法... 川西坳陷新场地区须家河组二段(须二段)天然裂缝发育,储层整体致密。基于Fault Likelihood(FL)属性提取、预处理,结合钻井资料揭示裂缝发育程度,通过构造单元分区进行裂缝井震标定,确定每一构造单元的裂缝响应阈值,采用等比例归一化方法,整合各分区调整后的属性,进行裂缝预测与三维地质建模。结果表明:经过分区标定的FL属性与钻井裂缝吻合率超过85%,与倾角大于30°的有效裂缝密度相关关系最好,提高基于FL属性对裂缝探测的准确度;三维裂缝地质模型能够准确反映储层裂缝及其参数的空间分布,为新场气田须二段致密砂岩气藏产能建设提供定量化数据基础。 展开更多
关键词 Fault likelihood属性 裂缝预测 裂缝建模 须二段 新场气田 川西坳陷
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Life prediction for vacuum fluorescent display using maximum likelihood estimation 被引量:3
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作者 张建平 王睿韬 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2009年第2期189-192,共4页
In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display (VFD) in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests (CSALT) is established with its filament temperature increased, an... In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display (VFD) in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests (CSALT) is established with its filament temperature increased, and four constant stress tests are conducted. The Weibull function is applied to describe the life distribution of the VFD, and the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and its iterative flow chart are used to calculate the shape parameters and the scale parameters. Furthermore, the accelerated life equation is determined by the least square method, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is performed to verify whether the VFD life meets the Weibull distribution or not, and selfdeveloped software is employed to predict the average life and the reliable life. Statistical data analysis results demonstrate that the test plans are feasible and versatile, that the VFD life follows the Weibull distribution, and that the VFD accelerated model satisfies the linear Arrhenius equation. The proposed method and the estimated life information of the VFD can provide some significant guideline to its manufacturers and customers. 展开更多
关键词 vacuum fluorescent display accelerated life test constant stress Weibull distribution maximum likelihood estimation
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Gaussian mixture model clustering with completed likelihood minimum message length criterion 被引量:1
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作者 曾洪 卢伟 宋爱国 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2013年第1期43-47,共5页
An improved Gaussian mixture model (GMM)- based clustering method is proposed for the difficult case where the true distribution of data is against the assumed GMM. First, an improved model selection criterion, the ... An improved Gaussian mixture model (GMM)- based clustering method is proposed for the difficult case where the true distribution of data is against the assumed GMM. First, an improved model selection criterion, the completed likelihood minimum message length criterion, is derived. It can measure both the goodness-of-fit of the candidate GMM to the data and the goodness-of-partition of the data. Secondly, by utilizing the proposed criterion as the clustering objective function, an improved expectation- maximization (EM) algorithm is developed, which can avoid poor local optimal solutions compared to the standard EM algorithm for estimating the model parameters. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can rectify the over-fitting tendency of representative GMM-based clustering approaches and can robustly provide more accurate clustering results. 展开更多
关键词 Gaussian mixture model non-Gaussian distribution model selection expectation-maximization algorithm completed likelihood minimum message length criterion
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EMPIRICAL LIKELIHOOD FOR LINEAR MODELS UNDER m-DEPENDENT ERRORS 被引量:3
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作者 QinYongsong JiangBo LiYufang 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2005年第2期205-212,共8页
In this paper,the empirical likelihood confidence regions for the regression coefficient in a linear model are constructed under m-dependent errors.It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood is a good way to ... In this paper,the empirical likelihood confidence regions for the regression coefficient in a linear model are constructed under m-dependent errors.It is shown that the blockwise empirical likelihood is a good way to deal with dependent samples. 展开更多
关键词 m-dependent errors linear model empirical likelihood.
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基于Maximum Likelihood与HMM的文本挖掘 被引量:1
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作者 邹腊梅 肖基毅 龚向坚 《计算机技术与发展》 2007年第12期110-112,共3页
随着信息技术、数据库技术、网络技术的发展,各行各业均存储了大量的文本数据,怎样从这些文本数据中发掘有价值的信息和知识成为人们急需解决的问题。提出基于Maximum Likelihood与HMM的文本挖掘方法,利用Maximum Likelihood构建隐马尔... 随着信息技术、数据库技术、网络技术的发展,各行各业均存储了大量的文本数据,怎样从这些文本数据中发掘有价值的信息和知识成为人们急需解决的问题。提出基于Maximum Likelihood与HMM的文本挖掘方法,利用Maximum Likelihood构建隐马尔可夫模型,对论文条目进行特定信息的发掘,并克服了实验过程中"零概率"的缺陷。实验结果表明准确率平均达到0.9,召回率平均达到0.85,从理论和实践上证明该方法是有效的。 展开更多
关键词 隐马尔可夫模型 最大似然 文本挖掘 信息抽取
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混合高频数据下线性模型的经验似然
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作者 赖喜祥 秦永松 《应用数学》 北大核心 2026年第1期278-291,共14页
高频数据在经济、统计及其他领域被广泛研究,而线性模型是统计学中最常见的回归模型之一.本文利用分组经验似然方法,构造了α-混合高频数据下线性模型回归系数的经验似然比统计量.在一定假设和条件下,证明了该统计量的渐近分布为卡方分... 高频数据在经济、统计及其他领域被广泛研究,而线性模型是统计学中最常见的回归模型之一.本文利用分组经验似然方法,构造了α-混合高频数据下线性模型回归系数的经验似然比统计量.在一定假设和条件下,证明了该统计量的渐近分布为卡方分布,根据此结果进一步给出了回归系数的经验似然置信域.通过模拟比较了经验似然和正态逼近方法的置信域,结果表明,基于经验似然方法构造的置信域的覆盖率优于正态逼近方法.此外,还将理论结果应用于实际数据分析. 展开更多
关键词 混合高频数据 Α-混合 线性模型 经验似然
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Joint empirical likelihood confidence regions for a finite number of quantiles under strong mixing samples
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作者 LEI Qing-zhu QIN Yong-song 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第1期44-54,共11页
In this paper, we obtain the joint empirical likelihood confidence regions for a finite number of quantiles under strong mixing samples. As an application of this result, the empirical likelihood confidence intervals ... In this paper, we obtain the joint empirical likelihood confidence regions for a finite number of quantiles under strong mixing samples. As an application of this result, the empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the difference of any two quantiles are also obtained. 展开更多
关键词 strong mixing sample QUANTILE confidence region blockwise empirical likelihood.
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Landscape Pattern Evaluation Based on Maximum Likelihood Classification——A Case Study of Irrigated Area of Hongsibao Town in China
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作者 喻小倩 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2012年第6期47-50,共4页
By using maximum likelihood classification, several landscape indexes have been adopted to evaluate landscape structure of the irrigated area of Hongsibao Town, and landscape pattern and dynamic change of Hongsibao in... By using maximum likelihood classification, several landscape indexes have been adopted to evaluate landscape structure of the irrigated area of Hongsibao Town, and landscape pattern and dynamic change of Hongsibao in 1989, 1999, 2003 and 2008 had been analyzed based on landscape patch, landscape type and transfer matrix. The results show that landscape pattern had changed obviously, patch number, fragmentation and dominance had increased, evenness had decreased, and landscape shape had become regular in the irrigated area of Hongsibao Town from 1989 to 2008. The primary landscape type in 1989 was grassland and in 2008 was sand, directly influenced by human activities. 展开更多
关键词 MAXIMUM likelihood classification LANDSCAPE PATTERN REMOTE sensing
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^(18)F-FDG PET/CT BPL重建技术与肺癌自身抗体联合检测鉴别肺结节良恶性效能研究
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作者 詹莹莹 张亚光 +3 位作者 邢宇 左超 韩瑜 刘爱玲 《影像科学与光化学》 2026年第1期138-144,共7页
目的:探讨^(18)F-FDG PET/CT贝叶斯正则化似然(BPL)重建技术联合肺癌自身抗体检测在孤立性肺结节(SPN)良恶性中鉴别诊断效能。方法:选取2021年2月至2024年5月在我院进行治疗的129例SPN患者为研究对象,均行^(18)F-FDG PET/CT BPL重建技... 目的:探讨^(18)F-FDG PET/CT贝叶斯正则化似然(BPL)重建技术联合肺癌自身抗体检测在孤立性肺结节(SPN)良恶性中鉴别诊断效能。方法:选取2021年2月至2024年5月在我院进行治疗的129例SPN患者为研究对象,均行^(18)F-FDG PET/CT BPL重建技术及自身抗体检测,以术后病理结果为诊断金标准,探究二者联合在肺结节良恶性鉴别诊断中的应用价值。结果:恶性组SUVmax、SUVmean、SBR、SUV_(SD)、SNR值均显著高于良性组(P<0.05);恶性组血清p53、PGP9.5、SOX2、GAGE7、GBU4-5、MAGEA1、CAGE值均显著高于良性组(P<0.05);以病理结果为诊断金标准,发现联合^(18)F-FDG PET/CT BPL重建与自身抗体在SPN中诊断效能显著高于单项检测,其敏感度为89.02%,特异度为82.98%,准确率为86.82%。结论:联合应用^(18)F-FDG PET/CT BPL重建技术与肺癌自身抗体检测相较于单项检测,能够显著提高诊断的敏感度、特异度和准确率,提示两者联合应用在临床实践中的可行性和优越性,能够为SPN的良恶性鉴别诊断提供更加全面、准确的信息,从而有助于制定更加合理、有效的治疗策略,值得在临床推广。 展开更多
关键词 ^(18)F-FDG PET/CT 贝叶斯正则化似然 重建技术 肺癌 自身抗体检测 肺结节 良恶性 鉴别诊断
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基于likelihood地震属性的致密气藏断裂预测——以四川盆地川西坳陷新场地区须二段为例 被引量:20
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作者 李蒙 商晓飞 +2 位作者 赵华伟 吴双 段太忠 《石油与天然气地质》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第6期1299-1309,共11页
传统地震断裂预测属性难以满足致密砂岩气藏勘探开发中对不同尺度断裂精细刻画的需求。将likelihood属性引入四川盆地须家河组致密砂岩气藏断裂识别,建立了基于likelihood属性及其衍生属性的地震断裂预测方法体系,提出基于Otsu阈值分割... 传统地震断裂预测属性难以满足致密砂岩气藏勘探开发中对不同尺度断裂精细刻画的需求。将likelihood属性引入四川盆地须家河组致密砂岩气藏断裂识别,建立了基于likelihood属性及其衍生属性的地震断裂预测方法体系,提出基于Otsu阈值分割方法和成像测井约束下的断层发育区、裂缝带发育区和断裂欠发育区的空间分类,实现了对新场地区须家河组二段断裂精细预测。研究表明:经细化处理的likelihood属性可以体现最可能发育断裂的位置及其概率,断裂密度属性则有效反映了断裂发育强度特征,该属性对产量具有一定预测性。基于likelihood地震属性的断裂预测方法有效提升了新场地区须二段致密气藏断裂地震预测效果,对于其他裂缝型储层断裂预测具有一定借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 likelihood属性 阈值分割 高产气层 断裂预测 致密气藏 须家河组 新场地区 川西坳陷
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Diagnostics in generalized nonlinear models based on maximum L_q-likelihood estimation 被引量:1
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作者 徐伟娟 林金官 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2013年第1期106-110,共5页
In order to detect whether the data conforms to the given model, it is necessary to diagnose the data in the statistical way. The diagnostic problem in generalized nonlinear models based on the maximum Lq-likelihood e... In order to detect whether the data conforms to the given model, it is necessary to diagnose the data in the statistical way. The diagnostic problem in generalized nonlinear models based on the maximum Lq-likelihood estimation is considered. Three diagnostic statistics are used to detect whether the outliers exist in the data set. Simulation results show that when the sample size is small, the values of diagnostic statistics based on the maximum Lq-likelihood estimation are greater than the values based on the maximum likelihood estimation. As the sample size increases, the difference between the values of the diagnostic statistics based on two estimation methods diminishes gradually. It means that the outliers can be distinguished easier through the maximum Lq-likelihood method than those through the maximum likelihood estimation method. 展开更多
关键词 maximum Lq-likelihood estimation generalized nonlinear regression model case-deletion model generalized Cook distance likelihood distance difference of deviance
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WOMBAT—A tool for mixed model analyses in quantitative genetics by restricted maximum likelihood (REML) 被引量:46
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作者 MEYER Karin 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science B(Biomedicine & Biotechnology)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第11期815-821,共7页
WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted ma... WOMBAT is a software package for quantitative genetic analyses of continuous traits, fitting a linear, mixed model; estimates of covariance components and the resulting genetic parameters are obtained by restricted maximum likelihood. A wide range of models, comprising numerous traits, multiple fixed and random effects, selected genetic covariance structures, random regression models and reduced rank estimation are accommodated. WOMBAT employs up-to-date numerical and computational methods. Together with the use of efficient compilers, this generates fast executable programs, suitable for large scale analyses. Use of WOMBAT is illustrated for a bivariate analysis. The package consists of the executable program, available for LINUX and WINDOWS environments, manual and a set of worked example, and can be downloaded free of charge from http://agbu. une.edu.au/-kmeyer/wombat.html 展开更多
关键词 SOFTWARE Variance components Genetic parameters Mixed model Restricted maximum likelihood
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The role of tumor size,ultrasonographic findings,and serum tumor markers in predicting the likelihood of malignant testicular histology 被引量:5
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作者 Gang Song Geng-Yan Xiong +6 位作者 Yu Fan Cong Huang Yong-Ming Kang Guang-Jie Ji Jin-Chao Chen Zhong-Cheng Xin Li-Qun Zhou 《Asian Journal of Andrology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第2期196-200,共5页
The clin ical predictive factors for maligna nt testicular histology remain unclear because of the low prevale nee.Therefore,the aim of this study was to investigate predictors of malignant histology for testicular ma... The clin ical predictive factors for maligna nt testicular histology remain unclear because of the low prevale nee.Therefore,the aim of this study was to investigate predictors of malignant histology for testicular masses and decide more testis-sparing surgeries before surgery.This retrospective study enrolled 325 consecutive testicular mass patients who underwent radical orchiectomy(310/325)or testicular preserving surgery(15/325)from January 2001 to June 2016.The clinicopathological factors,including tumor diameter,cryptorchidism history,ultraso und fin dings,serum alpha-fetoprotein,and human chorio nic gonadotropin(HCG)levels,were collected retrospectively for statistical an alysis.A predictive no mogram was also gen erated to evaluate the qua ntitative probability.Among all patients,247(76.0%)were diagnosed with a malignant testicular tumor and 78(24.0%)with benign histology.Larger tumor diameter(percm increased,hazard ratio[HR]=1.284,P=0.036),lower ultrasound echo(HR=3.191,P=0.001),higher ultrasound blood flow(HR=3.320,P<0.001),and abnormal blood HCG(HR=10.550,P<0.001)were significant predictive factors for malignant disease in all testicular mass patients?The nomogram generated was well calibrated for all predicti ons of malig nant probability,and the accuracy of the model no mogram measured by HarrelTs C statistic(C-in dex)was 0.92.According to our data,the proportion of patients who underwent radical orchiectomy for benign tumors(24.0%)was much larger tha n gen erally believed(10.0%).Our results in dicated that the diameter,ultras onic echo,ultras onic blood flow,and serum HCG levels could predict the malignancy in testicular mass patients. 展开更多
关键词 MALIGNANT likelihood predictive model TESTICULAR tumor UROLOGICAL oncology
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