Over the past few decades, numerous adaptive Kalman filters(AKFs) have been proposed. However, achieving online estimation with both high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed is challenging, especially when ...Over the past few decades, numerous adaptive Kalman filters(AKFs) have been proposed. However, achieving online estimation with both high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed is challenging, especially when both the process noise and measurement noise covariance matrices are relatively inaccurate. Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) possesses the potential to achieve this goal, since its theoretical accuracy is guaranteed by asymptotic optimality and the convergence speed is fast due to weak dependence on accurate state estimation.Unfortunately, the maximum likelihood cost function is so intricate that the existing MLE methods can only simply ignore all historical measurement information to achieve online estimation,which cannot adequately realize the potential of MLE. In order to design online MLE-based AKFs with high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed, an online exploratory MLE approach is proposed, based on which a mini-batch coordinate descent noise covariance matrix estimation framework is developed. In this framework, the maximum likelihood cost function is simplified for online estimation with fewer and simpler terms which are selected in a mini-batch and calculated with a backtracking method. This maximum likelihood cost function is sidestepped and solved by exploring possible estimated noise covariance matrices adaptively while the historical measurement information is adequately utilized. Furthermore, four specific algorithms are derived under this framework to meet different practical requirements in terms of convergence speed, estimation accuracy,and calculation load. Abundant simulations and experiments are carried out to verify the validity and superiority of the proposed algorithms as compared with existing state-of-the-art AKFs.展开更多
BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emoti...BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emotional functioning.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)provides critical insights into the functional architecture of the brain in ADHD.Despite extensive research,specific brain regions consistently affected in ADHD patients during these formative years have not been comprehensively delineated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent ADHD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We conducted a comprehensive literature search up to August 31,2024,to identify studies investigating functional brain alterations in adolescents with ADHD.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF),dynamic ALFF(dALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with ADHD with those in healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Fifteen studies(468 adolescent ADHD patients and 466 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF/dALFF data,the results revealed increased activity in the right lingual gyrus[LING,Brodmann Area(BA)18],left LING(BA 18),and right cuneus(CUN,BA 23)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:592-32 mm³,P<0.05).Decreased activity was observed in the left medial frontal gyrus(MFG,BA 9)and left precuneus(PCUN,BA 31)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:960-456 mm³,P<0.05).Jackknife sensitivity analyses demonstrated robust reproducibility in 11 of the 13 tests for the right LING,left LING,and right CUN and in 11 of the 14 tests for the left MFG and left PCUN.CONCLUSION We identified specific brain regions with both increased and decreased activity in adolescent ADHD patients,enhancing our understanding of the neural alterations that occur during this pivotal stage of development.展开更多
随着风电渗透率的持续上升,电力系统的惯量水平显著下降,对系统频率稳定性构成了新的挑战。为有效评估风电并网情况下电力系统节点惯量的变化,提出了一种基于受控自回归滑动平均(autoregressive moving average with exogenous variable...随着风电渗透率的持续上升,电力系统的惯量水平显著下降,对系统频率稳定性构成了新的挑战。为有效评估风电并网情况下电力系统节点惯量的变化,提出了一种基于受控自回归滑动平均(autoregressive moving average with exogenous variable,ARMAX)模型的改进最大似然估计(maximum likelihood estimation,MLE)参数辨识方法对系统机组直接相连节点进行惯量评估。首先,构建ARMAX模型对发电机组直接相连节点的动态特性进行建模,并利用改进MLE对模型参数进行辨识,以评估与机组直接相连的节点惯量。然后,基于k-means聚类算法对发电机组节点惯量进行分区,计算得到系统区域惯量和中心频率,并进一步对非发电机组节点频率进行自适应多项式拟合计算,得到其系统节点惯量。最后,搭建IEEE39含风力发电机组节点系统,绘制热力图直观展示电力系统节点和区域的惯量分布,验证了所提改进方法的有效性。该方法有助于精准识别系统中不同节点的动态响应特性,为风电并网系统的分析和规划提供了有力支持。展开更多
Beamspace super-resolution methods for elevation estimation in multipath environment has attracted significant attention, especially the beamspace maximum likelihood(BML)algorithm. However, the difference beam is rare...Beamspace super-resolution methods for elevation estimation in multipath environment has attracted significant attention, especially the beamspace maximum likelihood(BML)algorithm. However, the difference beam is rarely used in superresolution methods, especially in low elevation estimation. The target airspace information in the difference beam is different from the target airspace information in the sum beam. And the use of difference beams does not significantly increase the complexity of the system and algorithms. Thus, this paper applies the difference beam to the beamformer to improve the elevation estimation performance of BML algorithm. And the direction and number of beams can be adjusted according to the actual needs. The theoretical target elevation angle root means square error(RMSE) and the computational complexity of the proposed algorithms are analyzed. Finally, computer simulations and real data processing results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.展开更多
BACKGROUND Major depressive disorder(MDD)in adolescents and young adults contributes significantly to global morbidity,with inconsistent findings on brain structural changes from structural magnetic resonance imaging ...BACKGROUND Major depressive disorder(MDD)in adolescents and young adults contributes significantly to global morbidity,with inconsistent findings on brain structural changes from structural magnetic resonance imaging studies.Activation likeli-hood estimation(ALE)offers a method to synthesize these diverse findings and identify consistent brain anomalies.METHODS We performed a comprehensive literature search in PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure databases for neuroi-maging studies on MDD among adolescents and young adults published up to November 19,2023.Two independent researchers performed the study selection,quality assessment,and data extraction.The ALE technique was employed to synthesize findings on localized brain function anomalies in MDD patients,which was supplemented by sensitivity analyses.RESULTS Twenty-two studies comprising fourteen diffusion tensor imaging(DTI)studies and eight voxel-based morphome-try(VBM)studies,and involving 451 MDD patients and 465 healthy controls(HCs)for DTI and 664 MDD patients and 946 HCs for VBM,were included.DTI-based ALE demonstrated significant reductions in fractional anisotropy(FA)values in the right caudate head,right insula,and right lentiform nucleus putamen in adolescents and young adults with MDD compared to HCs,with no regions exhibiting increased FA values.VBM-based ALE did not demonstrate significant alterations in gray matter volume.Sensitivity analyses highlighted consistent findings in the right caudate head(11 of 14 analyses),right insula(10 of 14 analyses),and right lentiform nucleus putamen(11 of 14 analyses).CONCLUSION Structural alterations in the right caudate head,right insula,and right lentiform nucleus putamen in young MDD patients may contribute to its recurrent nature,offering insights for targeted therapies.展开更多
BACKGROUND Adolescent major depressive disorder(MDD)is a significant mental health concern that often leads to recurrent depression in adulthood.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)offers uniqu...BACKGROUND Adolescent major depressive disorder(MDD)is a significant mental health concern that often leads to recurrent depression in adulthood.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)offers unique insights into the neural mechanisms underlying this condition.However,despite previous research,the specific vulnerable brain regions affected in adolescent MDD patients have not been fully elucidated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We performed a comprehensive literature search through July 12,2023,for studies investigating brain functional changes in adolescent MDD patients.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with MDD vs healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Ten studies(369 adolescent MDD patients and 313 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF data,the results revealed that the activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus was lower in the adolescent MDD patients than in the HCs(voxel size:648 mm3,P<0.05),and no brain region exhibited increased activity.Based on the ALFF data,we found decreased activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus in adolescent MDD patients(voxel size:736 mm3,P<0.05),with no regions exhibiting increased activity.CONCLUSION Through ALE meta-analysis,we consistently identified the right cuneus and left precuneus as vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients,increasing our understanding of the neuropathology of affected adolescents.展开更多
The calibration of transfer functions is essential for accurate pavement performance predictions in the PavementME design. Several studies have used the least square approach to calibrate these transfer functions. Lea...The calibration of transfer functions is essential for accurate pavement performance predictions in the PavementME design. Several studies have used the least square approach to calibrate these transfer functions. Least square is a widely used simplistic approach based on certain assumptions. Literature shows that these least square approach assumptions may not apply to the non-normal distributions. This study introduces a new methodology for calibrating the transverse cracking and international roughness index(IRI) models in rigid pavements using maximum likelihood estimation(MLE). Synthetic data for transverse cracking, with and without variability, are generated to illustrate the applicability of MLE using different known probability distributions(exponential,gamma, log-normal, and negative binomial). The approach uses measured data from the Michigan Department of Transportation's(MDOT) pavement management system(PMS) database for 70 jointed plain concrete pavement(JPCP) sections to calibrate and validate transfer functions. The MLE approach is combined with resampling techniques to improve the robustness of calibration coefficients. The results show that the MLE transverse cracking model using the gamma distribution consistently outperforms the least square for synthetic and observed data. For observed data, MLE estimates of parameters produced lower SSE and bias than least squares(e.g., for the transverse cracking model, the SSE values are 3.98 vs. 4.02, and the bias values are 0.00 and-0.41). Although negative binomial distribution is the most suitable fit for the IRI model for MLE, the least square results are slightly better than MLE. The bias values are-0.312 and 0.000 for the MLE and least square methods. Overall, the findings indicate that MLE is a robust method for calibration, especially for non-normally distributed data such as transverse cracking.展开更多
Blade Tip Timing(BTT)enables non-contact measurements of rotating blades by placing probes strategically.Due to the uneven probe layout,BTT signals exhibit periodic irregularities.While recovering parameters like freq...Blade Tip Timing(BTT)enables non-contact measurements of rotating blades by placing probes strategically.Due to the uneven probe layout,BTT signals exhibit periodic irregularities.While recovering parameters like frequency from such signals is possible,achieving high-precision vibration parameters remains challenging.This paper proposed a novel two-stage off-grid estimation method.It leverages a unique array layout(coprime array)to obtain a regular augmented covariance matrix.Subsequently,parameters in the matrix are recovered using the sparse iterative covariance-based estimation method based on covariance fitting criteria.Finally,high-precision estimates of imprecise parameters are obtained using unconditional maximum likelihood estimation,effectively eliminating the effects of basis mismatch.Through substantial numerical and experimental validation,the proposed method demonstrates significantly higher accuracy compared to classical BTT parameter estimation methods,approaching the lower bound of unbiased estimation variance.Furthermore,due to its immunity to frequency gridding,it can track minor frequency deviations,making it more suitable for indicating blade condition.展开更多
The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE)of parameter for the exponential-Poisson distribution is discussed by Ku s[2007.A new lifetime distribution.Computational Statistics and Data Analys...The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE)of parameter for the exponential-Poisson distribution is discussed by Ku s[2007.A new lifetime distribution.Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 51(9):4497-4509]in simple random sampling(SRS).As an alternative to the MLEs in SRS,Joukar et al.[2021.Parameter estimation for the exponential-poisson distribution based on ranked set samples.Communication in Statistics-Theory and Methods 50(3):560-581]discussed the MLE of parameter for this distribution in ranked set sampling(RSS).However,they did not discuss the existence and uniqueness of the MLE in RSS and did not provide explicit expressions for the Fisher information in RSS.In this article,we discuss the existence and uniqueness of the MLE of parameter in RSS and give explicit expressions for the Fisher information in RSS.The MLEs will be compared in terms of asymptotic efficiencies.Numerical studies and a real data application show that these MLEs in RSS can be real competitors for those in SRS.展开更多
As vehicular networks become increasingly pervasive,enhancing connectivity and reliability has emerged as a critical objective.Among the enabling technologies for advanced wireless communication,particularly those tar...As vehicular networks become increasingly pervasive,enhancing connectivity and reliability has emerged as a critical objective.Among the enabling technologies for advanced wireless communication,particularly those targeting low latency and high reliability,time synchronization is critical,especially in vehicular networks.However,due to the inherent mobility of vehicular environments,consistently exchanging synchronization packets with a fixed base station or access point is challenging.This issue is further exacerbated in signal shadowed areas such as urban canyons,tunnels,or large-scale indoor hallswhere other technologies,such as global navigation satellite system(GNSS),are unavailable.One-way synchronization techniques offer a feasible approach under such transient connectivity conditions.One-way schemes still suffer from long convergence times to reach the required synchronization accuracy in these circumstances.In this paper,we propose a WLAN-based multi-stage clock synchronization scheme(WMC)tailored for vehicular networks.The proposed method comprises an initial hard update stage to rapidly achieve synchronization,followed by a high-precision stable stage based on Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE).By implementing the scheme directly at the network driver,we address key limitations of hard update mechanisms.Our approach significantly reduces the initial period to collect high-quality samples and offset estimation time to reach sub-50μs accuracy,and subsequently transitions to a refined MLE-based synchronization stage,achieving stable accuracy at approximately 30μs.The windowed moving average stabilized(reaching 90%of the baseline)in approximately 35 s,which corresponds to just 5.1%of the baseline time accuracy.Finally,the impact of synchronization performance on the localization model was validated using the Simulation of Urban Mobility(SUMO).The results demonstrate that more accurate conditions for position estimation can be supported,with an improvement about 38.5%in the mean error.展开更多
In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display (VFD) in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests (CSALT) is established with its filament temperature increased, an...In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display (VFD) in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests (CSALT) is established with its filament temperature increased, and four constant stress tests are conducted. The Weibull function is applied to describe the life distribution of the VFD, and the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and its iterative flow chart are used to calculate the shape parameters and the scale parameters. Furthermore, the accelerated life equation is determined by the least square method, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is performed to verify whether the VFD life meets the Weibull distribution or not, and selfdeveloped software is employed to predict the average life and the reliable life. Statistical data analysis results demonstrate that the test plans are feasible and versatile, that the VFD life follows the Weibull distribution, and that the VFD accelerated model satisfies the linear Arrhenius equation. The proposed method and the estimated life information of the VFD can provide some significant guideline to its manufacturers and customers.展开更多
In order to detect whether the data conforms to the given model, it is necessary to diagnose the data in the statistical way. The diagnostic problem in generalized nonlinear models based on the maximum Lq-likelihood e...In order to detect whether the data conforms to the given model, it is necessary to diagnose the data in the statistical way. The diagnostic problem in generalized nonlinear models based on the maximum Lq-likelihood estimation is considered. Three diagnostic statistics are used to detect whether the outliers exist in the data set. Simulation results show that when the sample size is small, the values of diagnostic statistics based on the maximum Lq-likelihood estimation are greater than the values based on the maximum likelihood estimation. As the sample size increases, the difference between the values of the diagnostic statistics based on two estimation methods diminishes gradually. It means that the outliers can be distinguished easier through the maximum Lq-likelihood method than those through the maximum likelihood estimation method.展开更多
To estimate the spreading sequence of the direct sequence spread spectrum (DSSS) signal, a fast algorithm based on maximum likelihood function is proposed, and the theoretical derivation of the algorithm is provided. ...To estimate the spreading sequence of the direct sequence spread spectrum (DSSS) signal, a fast algorithm based on maximum likelihood function is proposed, and the theoretical derivation of the algorithm is provided. By simplifying the objective function of maximum likelihood estimation, the algorithm can realize sequence synchronization and sequence estimation via adaptive iteration and sliding window. Since it avoids the correlation matrix computation, the algorithm significantly reduces the storage requirement and the computation complexity. Simulations show that it is a fast convergent algorithm, and can perform well in low signal to noise ratio (SNR).展开更多
To estimate the period of a periodic point process from noisy and incomplete observations, the classical periodogram algorithm is modified. The original periodogram algorithm yields an estimate by performing grid sear...To estimate the period of a periodic point process from noisy and incomplete observations, the classical periodogram algorithm is modified. The original periodogram algorithm yields an estimate by performing grid search of the peak of a spectrum, which is equivalent to the periodogram of the periodic point process, thus its performance is found to be sensitive to the chosen grid spacing. This paper derives a novel grid spacing formula, after finding a lower bound of the width of the spectral mainlobe. By employing this formula, the proposed new estimator can determine an appropriate grid spacing adaptively, and is able to yield approximate maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) with a computational complexity of O(n2). Experimental results prove that the proposed estimator can achieve better trade-off between statistical accuracy and complexity, as compared to existing methods. Simulations also show that the derived grid spacing formula is also applicable to other estimators that operate similarly by grid search.展开更多
By taking the subsequence out of the input-output sequence of a system polluted by white noise, an independent observation sequence and its probability density are obtained and then a maximum likelihood estimation of ...By taking the subsequence out of the input-output sequence of a system polluted by white noise, an independent observation sequence and its probability density are obtained and then a maximum likelihood estimation of the identification parameters is given. In order to decrease the asymptotic error, a corrector of maximum likelihood (CML) estimation with its recursive algorithm is given. It has been proved that the corrector has smaller asymptotic error than the least square methods. A simulation example shows that the corrector of maximum likelihood estimation is of higher approximating precision to the true parameters than the least square methods.展开更多
The conformal array can make full use of the aperture,save space,meet the requirements of aerodynamics,and is sensitive to polarization information.It has broad application prospects in military,aerospace,and communic...The conformal array can make full use of the aperture,save space,meet the requirements of aerodynamics,and is sensitive to polarization information.It has broad application prospects in military,aerospace,and communication fields.The joint polarization and direction-of-arrival(DOA)estimation based on the conformal array and the theoretical analysis of its parameter estimation performance are the key factors to promote the engineering application of the conformal array.To solve these problems,this paper establishes the wave field signal model of the conformal array.Then,for the case of a single target,the cost function of the maximum likelihood(ML)estimator is rewritten with Rayleigh quotient from a problem of maximizing the ratio of quadratic forms into those of minimizing quadratic forms.On this basis,rapid parameter estimation is achieved with the idea of manifold separation technology(MST).Compared with the modified variable projection(MVP)algorithm,it reduces the computational complexity and improves the parameter estimation performance.Meanwhile,the MST is used to solve the partial derivative of the steering vector.Then,the theoretical performance of ML,the multiple signal classification(MUSIC)estimator and Cramer-Rao bound(CRB)based on the conformal array are derived respectively,which provides theoretical foundation for the engineering application of the conformal array.Finally,the simulation experiment verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
The estimation of target parameters in MIMO radar signal processing is one of the most important research topics. An efficient implementation of the Maximum Likelihood estimator is presented in this paper to estimate ...The estimation of target parameters in MIMO radar signal processing is one of the most important research topics. An efficient implementation of the Maximum Likelihood estimator is presented in this paper to estimate the DOA (Direction of Arrival), initial velocity and acceleration of a maneuvering target in colocated MIMO radar. The target’s DOA is estimated in the first place, then a Maximum-Likelihood (ML) estimation based on peak search is applied to a two-dimensional grids providing estimation of initial velocity and acceleration. Simulations show that the MIMO radar has a better performance in DOA estimation than the phased array radar. By means of Monte Carlo simulations, the estimation error of initial velocity and acceleration on different SNRs are calculated. The results also suggest the effectiveness of this method.展开更多
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFB3906403)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62373118,62173105)the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province of China(ZD2023F002)
文摘Over the past few decades, numerous adaptive Kalman filters(AKFs) have been proposed. However, achieving online estimation with both high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed is challenging, especially when both the process noise and measurement noise covariance matrices are relatively inaccurate. Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) possesses the potential to achieve this goal, since its theoretical accuracy is guaranteed by asymptotic optimality and the convergence speed is fast due to weak dependence on accurate state estimation.Unfortunately, the maximum likelihood cost function is so intricate that the existing MLE methods can only simply ignore all historical measurement information to achieve online estimation,which cannot adequately realize the potential of MLE. In order to design online MLE-based AKFs with high estimation accuracy and fast convergence speed, an online exploratory MLE approach is proposed, based on which a mini-batch coordinate descent noise covariance matrix estimation framework is developed. In this framework, the maximum likelihood cost function is simplified for online estimation with fewer and simpler terms which are selected in a mini-batch and calculated with a backtracking method. This maximum likelihood cost function is sidestepped and solved by exploring possible estimated noise covariance matrices adaptively while the historical measurement information is adequately utilized. Furthermore, four specific algorithms are derived under this framework to meet different practical requirements in terms of convergence speed, estimation accuracy,and calculation load. Abundant simulations and experiments are carried out to verify the validity and superiority of the proposed algorithms as compared with existing state-of-the-art AKFs.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.82460282Guizhou Province Science and Technology Plan Project,No.ZK-2023-195+1 种基金Guizhou High-Level Innovative Talent Project,No.gzwjrs2022-013Health Commission of Guizhou Province Project,No.gzwkj2024-475 and No.gzwkj2021-150.
文摘BACKGROUND Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder(ADHD)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder in adolescents characterized by inattention,hyperactivity,and impulsivity,which impact cognitive,behavioral,and emotional functioning.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)provides critical insights into the functional architecture of the brain in ADHD.Despite extensive research,specific brain regions consistently affected in ADHD patients during these formative years have not been comprehensively delineated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent ADHD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We conducted a comprehensive literature search up to August 31,2024,to identify studies investigating functional brain alterations in adolescents with ADHD.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF),dynamic ALFF(dALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with ADHD with those in healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Fifteen studies(468 adolescent ADHD patients and 466 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF/dALFF data,the results revealed increased activity in the right lingual gyrus[LING,Brodmann Area(BA)18],left LING(BA 18),and right cuneus(CUN,BA 23)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:592-32 mm³,P<0.05).Decreased activity was observed in the left medial frontal gyrus(MFG,BA 9)and left precuneus(PCUN,BA 31)in adolescent ADHD patients compared with HCs(voxel size:960-456 mm³,P<0.05).Jackknife sensitivity analyses demonstrated robust reproducibility in 11 of the 13 tests for the right LING,left LING,and right CUN and in 11 of the 14 tests for the left MFG and left PCUN.CONCLUSION We identified specific brain regions with both increased and decreased activity in adolescent ADHD patients,enhancing our understanding of the neural alterations that occur during this pivotal stage of development.
文摘随着风电渗透率的持续上升,电力系统的惯量水平显著下降,对系统频率稳定性构成了新的挑战。为有效评估风电并网情况下电力系统节点惯量的变化,提出了一种基于受控自回归滑动平均(autoregressive moving average with exogenous variable,ARMAX)模型的改进最大似然估计(maximum likelihood estimation,MLE)参数辨识方法对系统机组直接相连节点进行惯量评估。首先,构建ARMAX模型对发电机组直接相连节点的动态特性进行建模,并利用改进MLE对模型参数进行辨识,以评估与机组直接相连的节点惯量。然后,基于k-means聚类算法对发电机组节点惯量进行分区,计算得到系统区域惯量和中心频率,并进一步对非发电机组节点频率进行自适应多项式拟合计算,得到其系统节点惯量。最后,搭建IEEE39含风力发电机组节点系统,绘制热力图直观展示电力系统节点和区域的惯量分布,验证了所提改进方法的有效性。该方法有助于精准识别系统中不同节点的动态响应特性,为风电并网系统的分析和规划提供了有力支持。
基金supported by the Fund for Foreign Scholars in University Research and Teaching Programs (B18039)。
文摘Beamspace super-resolution methods for elevation estimation in multipath environment has attracted significant attention, especially the beamspace maximum likelihood(BML)algorithm. However, the difference beam is rarely used in superresolution methods, especially in low elevation estimation. The target airspace information in the difference beam is different from the target airspace information in the sum beam. And the use of difference beams does not significantly increase the complexity of the system and algorithms. Thus, this paper applies the difference beam to the beamformer to improve the elevation estimation performance of BML algorithm. And the direction and number of beams can be adjusted according to the actual needs. The theoretical target elevation angle root means square error(RMSE) and the computational complexity of the proposed algorithms are analyzed. Finally, computer simulations and real data processing results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.
基金Supported by the Guizhou Province Science and Technology Plan Project,No.ZK-2023-1952021 Health Commission of Guizhou Province Project,No.gzwkj2021-150.
文摘BACKGROUND Major depressive disorder(MDD)in adolescents and young adults contributes significantly to global morbidity,with inconsistent findings on brain structural changes from structural magnetic resonance imaging studies.Activation likeli-hood estimation(ALE)offers a method to synthesize these diverse findings and identify consistent brain anomalies.METHODS We performed a comprehensive literature search in PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure databases for neuroi-maging studies on MDD among adolescents and young adults published up to November 19,2023.Two independent researchers performed the study selection,quality assessment,and data extraction.The ALE technique was employed to synthesize findings on localized brain function anomalies in MDD patients,which was supplemented by sensitivity analyses.RESULTS Twenty-two studies comprising fourteen diffusion tensor imaging(DTI)studies and eight voxel-based morphome-try(VBM)studies,and involving 451 MDD patients and 465 healthy controls(HCs)for DTI and 664 MDD patients and 946 HCs for VBM,were included.DTI-based ALE demonstrated significant reductions in fractional anisotropy(FA)values in the right caudate head,right insula,and right lentiform nucleus putamen in adolescents and young adults with MDD compared to HCs,with no regions exhibiting increased FA values.VBM-based ALE did not demonstrate significant alterations in gray matter volume.Sensitivity analyses highlighted consistent findings in the right caudate head(11 of 14 analyses),right insula(10 of 14 analyses),and right lentiform nucleus putamen(11 of 14 analyses).CONCLUSION Structural alterations in the right caudate head,right insula,and right lentiform nucleus putamen in young MDD patients may contribute to its recurrent nature,offering insights for targeted therapies.
基金Supported by The 2024 Guizhou Provincial Health Commission Science and Technology Fund Project,No.gzwkj2024-47502022 Provincial Clinical Key Specialty Construction Project。
文摘BACKGROUND Adolescent major depressive disorder(MDD)is a significant mental health concern that often leads to recurrent depression in adulthood.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)offers unique insights into the neural mechanisms underlying this condition.However,despite previous research,the specific vulnerable brain regions affected in adolescent MDD patients have not been fully elucidated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We performed a comprehensive literature search through July 12,2023,for studies investigating brain functional changes in adolescent MDD patients.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with MDD vs healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Ten studies(369 adolescent MDD patients and 313 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF data,the results revealed that the activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus was lower in the adolescent MDD patients than in the HCs(voxel size:648 mm3,P<0.05),and no brain region exhibited increased activity.Based on the ALFF data,we found decreased activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus in adolescent MDD patients(voxel size:736 mm3,P<0.05),with no regions exhibiting increased activity.CONCLUSION Through ALE meta-analysis,we consistently identified the right cuneus and left precuneus as vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients,increasing our understanding of the neuropathology of affected adolescents.
基金the Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT) for the financial support of this study (report no. SPR1723)。
文摘The calibration of transfer functions is essential for accurate pavement performance predictions in the PavementME design. Several studies have used the least square approach to calibrate these transfer functions. Least square is a widely used simplistic approach based on certain assumptions. Literature shows that these least square approach assumptions may not apply to the non-normal distributions. This study introduces a new methodology for calibrating the transverse cracking and international roughness index(IRI) models in rigid pavements using maximum likelihood estimation(MLE). Synthetic data for transverse cracking, with and without variability, are generated to illustrate the applicability of MLE using different known probability distributions(exponential,gamma, log-normal, and negative binomial). The approach uses measured data from the Michigan Department of Transportation's(MDOT) pavement management system(PMS) database for 70 jointed plain concrete pavement(JPCP) sections to calibrate and validate transfer functions. The MLE approach is combined with resampling techniques to improve the robustness of calibration coefficients. The results show that the MLE transverse cracking model using the gamma distribution consistently outperforms the least square for synthetic and observed data. For observed data, MLE estimates of parameters produced lower SSE and bias than least squares(e.g., for the transverse cracking model, the SSE values are 3.98 vs. 4.02, and the bias values are 0.00 and-0.41). Although negative binomial distribution is the most suitable fit for the IRI model for MLE, the least square results are slightly better than MLE. The bias values are-0.312 and 0.000 for the MLE and least square methods. Overall, the findings indicate that MLE is a robust method for calibration, especially for non-normally distributed data such as transverse cracking.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52105117,52222504&51875433)the Funds for Distinguished Young talent of Shaanxi Province,China(No.2019JC-04)。
文摘Blade Tip Timing(BTT)enables non-contact measurements of rotating blades by placing probes strategically.Due to the uneven probe layout,BTT signals exhibit periodic irregularities.While recovering parameters like frequency from such signals is possible,achieving high-precision vibration parameters remains challenging.This paper proposed a novel two-stage off-grid estimation method.It leverages a unique array layout(coprime array)to obtain a regular augmented covariance matrix.Subsequently,parameters in the matrix are recovered using the sparse iterative covariance-based estimation method based on covariance fitting criteria.Finally,high-precision estimates of imprecise parameters are obtained using unconditional maximum likelihood estimation,effectively eliminating the effects of basis mismatch.Through substantial numerical and experimental validation,the proposed method demonstrates significantly higher accuracy compared to classical BTT parameter estimation methods,approaching the lower bound of unbiased estimation variance.Furthermore,due to its immunity to frequency gridding,it can track minor frequency deviations,making it more suitable for indicating blade condition.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11901236,12261036)Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education Department(21A0328)Young Core Teacher Foundation of Hunan Province([2020]43).
文摘The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE)of parameter for the exponential-Poisson distribution is discussed by Ku s[2007.A new lifetime distribution.Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 51(9):4497-4509]in simple random sampling(SRS).As an alternative to the MLEs in SRS,Joukar et al.[2021.Parameter estimation for the exponential-poisson distribution based on ranked set samples.Communication in Statistics-Theory and Methods 50(3):560-581]discussed the MLE of parameter for this distribution in ranked set sampling(RSS).However,they did not discuss the existence and uniqueness of the MLE in RSS and did not provide explicit expressions for the Fisher information in RSS.In this article,we discuss the existence and uniqueness of the MLE of parameter in RSS and give explicit expressions for the Fisher information in RSS.The MLEs will be compared in terms of asymptotic efficiencies.Numerical studies and a real data application show that these MLEs in RSS can be real competitors for those in SRS.
基金supported by Korea Institute of Energy Technology Evaluation and Planning(KETEP)grant funded by the Korea government(MOTIE)(No.20224B10300090)supported by the MSIT(Ministry of Science and ICT),Republic of Korea,under the ITRC(Information Technology Research Center)support program(IITP-2025-RS-2021-II211835)supervised by the IITP(Institute of Information&Communications Technology Planning&Evaluation).
文摘As vehicular networks become increasingly pervasive,enhancing connectivity and reliability has emerged as a critical objective.Among the enabling technologies for advanced wireless communication,particularly those targeting low latency and high reliability,time synchronization is critical,especially in vehicular networks.However,due to the inherent mobility of vehicular environments,consistently exchanging synchronization packets with a fixed base station or access point is challenging.This issue is further exacerbated in signal shadowed areas such as urban canyons,tunnels,or large-scale indoor hallswhere other technologies,such as global navigation satellite system(GNSS),are unavailable.One-way synchronization techniques offer a feasible approach under such transient connectivity conditions.One-way schemes still suffer from long convergence times to reach the required synchronization accuracy in these circumstances.In this paper,we propose a WLAN-based multi-stage clock synchronization scheme(WMC)tailored for vehicular networks.The proposed method comprises an initial hard update stage to rapidly achieve synchronization,followed by a high-precision stable stage based on Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE).By implementing the scheme directly at the network driver,we address key limitations of hard update mechanisms.Our approach significantly reduces the initial period to collect high-quality samples and offset estimation time to reach sub-50μs accuracy,and subsequently transitions to a refined MLE-based synchronization stage,achieving stable accuracy at approximately 30μs.The windowed moving average stabilized(reaching 90%of the baseline)in approximately 35 s,which corresponds to just 5.1%of the baseline time accuracy.Finally,the impact of synchronization performance on the localization model was validated using the Simulation of Urban Mobility(SUMO).The results demonstrate that more accurate conditions for position estimation can be supported,with an improvement about 38.5%in the mean error.
基金Undergraduate Education High land Construction Project of Shanghaithe Key Course Construction of Shanghai Education Committee (No.20075302)the Key Technology R&D Program of Shanghai Municipality (No.08160510600)
文摘In order to obtain the life information of the vacuum fluorescent display (VFD) in a short time, a model of constant stress accelerated life tests (CSALT) is established with its filament temperature increased, and four constant stress tests are conducted. The Weibull function is applied to describe the life distribution of the VFD, and the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and its iterative flow chart are used to calculate the shape parameters and the scale parameters. Furthermore, the accelerated life equation is determined by the least square method, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is performed to verify whether the VFD life meets the Weibull distribution or not, and selfdeveloped software is employed to predict the average life and the reliable life. Statistical data analysis results demonstrate that the test plans are feasible and versatile, that the VFD life follows the Weibull distribution, and that the VFD accelerated model satisfies the linear Arrhenius equation. The proposed method and the estimated life information of the VFD can provide some significant guideline to its manufacturers and customers.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11171065)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK2011058)
文摘In order to detect whether the data conforms to the given model, it is necessary to diagnose the data in the statistical way. The diagnostic problem in generalized nonlinear models based on the maximum Lq-likelihood estimation is considered. Three diagnostic statistics are used to detect whether the outliers exist in the data set. Simulation results show that when the sample size is small, the values of diagnostic statistics based on the maximum Lq-likelihood estimation are greater than the values based on the maximum likelihood estimation. As the sample size increases, the difference between the values of the diagnostic statistics based on two estimation methods diminishes gradually. It means that the outliers can be distinguished easier through the maximum Lq-likelihood method than those through the maximum likelihood estimation method.
基金supported by Joint Foundation of and China Academy of Engineering Physical (10676006)
文摘To estimate the spreading sequence of the direct sequence spread spectrum (DSSS) signal, a fast algorithm based on maximum likelihood function is proposed, and the theoretical derivation of the algorithm is provided. By simplifying the objective function of maximum likelihood estimation, the algorithm can realize sequence synchronization and sequence estimation via adaptive iteration and sliding window. Since it avoids the correlation matrix computation, the algorithm significantly reduces the storage requirement and the computation complexity. Simulations show that it is a fast convergent algorithm, and can perform well in low signal to noise ratio (SNR).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 61002026)
文摘To estimate the period of a periodic point process from noisy and incomplete observations, the classical periodogram algorithm is modified. The original periodogram algorithm yields an estimate by performing grid search of the peak of a spectrum, which is equivalent to the periodogram of the periodic point process, thus its performance is found to be sensitive to the chosen grid spacing. This paper derives a novel grid spacing formula, after finding a lower bound of the width of the spectral mainlobe. By employing this formula, the proposed new estimator can determine an appropriate grid spacing adaptively, and is able to yield approximate maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) with a computational complexity of O(n2). Experimental results prove that the proposed estimator can achieve better trade-off between statistical accuracy and complexity, as compared to existing methods. Simulations also show that the derived grid spacing formula is also applicable to other estimators that operate similarly by grid search.
文摘By taking the subsequence out of the input-output sequence of a system polluted by white noise, an independent observation sequence and its probability density are obtained and then a maximum likelihood estimation of the identification parameters is given. In order to decrease the asymptotic error, a corrector of maximum likelihood (CML) estimation with its recursive algorithm is given. It has been proved that the corrector has smaller asymptotic error than the least square methods. A simulation example shows that the corrector of maximum likelihood estimation is of higher approximating precision to the true parameters than the least square methods.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62071144,61971159,61871149).
文摘The conformal array can make full use of the aperture,save space,meet the requirements of aerodynamics,and is sensitive to polarization information.It has broad application prospects in military,aerospace,and communication fields.The joint polarization and direction-of-arrival(DOA)estimation based on the conformal array and the theoretical analysis of its parameter estimation performance are the key factors to promote the engineering application of the conformal array.To solve these problems,this paper establishes the wave field signal model of the conformal array.Then,for the case of a single target,the cost function of the maximum likelihood(ML)estimator is rewritten with Rayleigh quotient from a problem of maximizing the ratio of quadratic forms into those of minimizing quadratic forms.On this basis,rapid parameter estimation is achieved with the idea of manifold separation technology(MST).Compared with the modified variable projection(MVP)algorithm,it reduces the computational complexity and improves the parameter estimation performance.Meanwhile,the MST is used to solve the partial derivative of the steering vector.Then,the theoretical performance of ML,the multiple signal classification(MUSIC)estimator and Cramer-Rao bound(CRB)based on the conformal array are derived respectively,which provides theoretical foundation for the engineering application of the conformal array.Finally,the simulation experiment verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.
文摘The estimation of target parameters in MIMO radar signal processing is one of the most important research topics. An efficient implementation of the Maximum Likelihood estimator is presented in this paper to estimate the DOA (Direction of Arrival), initial velocity and acceleration of a maneuvering target in colocated MIMO radar. The target’s DOA is estimated in the first place, then a Maximum-Likelihood (ML) estimation based on peak search is applied to a two-dimensional grids providing estimation of initial velocity and acceleration. Simulations show that the MIMO radar has a better performance in DOA estimation than the phased array radar. By means of Monte Carlo simulations, the estimation error of initial velocity and acceleration on different SNRs are calculated. The results also suggest the effectiveness of this method.