The complex structures of distributed energy systems(DES)and uncertainties arising from renewable energy sources and user load variations pose significant operational challenges.Model predictive control(MPC)and reinfo...The complex structures of distributed energy systems(DES)and uncertainties arising from renewable energy sources and user load variations pose significant operational challenges.Model predictive control(MPC)and reinforcement learning(RL)are widely used to optimize DES by predicting future outcomes based on the current state.However,MPC’s real-time application is constrained by its computational demands,making it less suitable for complex systems with extended predictive horizons.Meanwhile,RL’s model-free approach leads to suboptimal data utilization,limiting its overall performance.To address these issues,this study proposes an improved reinforcement learning-model predictive control(RL-MPC)algorithm that combines the high-precision local optimization of MPC with the global optimization capability of RL.In this study,we enhance the existing RL-MPC algorithm by increasing the number of optimization steps performed by the MPC component.We evaluated RL,MPC,and the enhanced RL-MPC on a DES comprising a photovoltaic(PV)and battery energy storage system(BESS).The results indicate the following:(1)The twin delayed deep deterministic policy gradient(TD3)algorithm outperforms other RL algorithms in energy cost optimization,but is outperformed in all cases by RL-MPC.(2)For both MPC and RL-MPC,when the mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the first-step prediction is 5%,the total cost increases by∼1.2%compared to that when the MAPE is 0%.However,if the accuracy of the initial prediction data remains constant while only the error gradient of the data sequence increases,the total cost remains nearly unchanged,with an increase of only∼0.1%.(3)Within a 12 h predictive horizon,RL-MPC outperforms MPC,suggesting it as a suitable alternative to MPC when high-accuracy prediction data are limited.展开更多
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2023YFC3807100)State Grid Corporation of China Science and Technology Program(Grant No.5211YF24000T).
文摘The complex structures of distributed energy systems(DES)and uncertainties arising from renewable energy sources and user load variations pose significant operational challenges.Model predictive control(MPC)and reinforcement learning(RL)are widely used to optimize DES by predicting future outcomes based on the current state.However,MPC’s real-time application is constrained by its computational demands,making it less suitable for complex systems with extended predictive horizons.Meanwhile,RL’s model-free approach leads to suboptimal data utilization,limiting its overall performance.To address these issues,this study proposes an improved reinforcement learning-model predictive control(RL-MPC)algorithm that combines the high-precision local optimization of MPC with the global optimization capability of RL.In this study,we enhance the existing RL-MPC algorithm by increasing the number of optimization steps performed by the MPC component.We evaluated RL,MPC,and the enhanced RL-MPC on a DES comprising a photovoltaic(PV)and battery energy storage system(BESS).The results indicate the following:(1)The twin delayed deep deterministic policy gradient(TD3)algorithm outperforms other RL algorithms in energy cost optimization,but is outperformed in all cases by RL-MPC.(2)For both MPC and RL-MPC,when the mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the first-step prediction is 5%,the total cost increases by∼1.2%compared to that when the MAPE is 0%.However,if the accuracy of the initial prediction data remains constant while only the error gradient of the data sequence increases,the total cost remains nearly unchanged,with an increase of only∼0.1%.(3)Within a 12 h predictive horizon,RL-MPC outperforms MPC,suggesting it as a suitable alternative to MPC when high-accuracy prediction data are limited.
