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Spatial structure optimization of mountainous abandoned mine land reuse based on system dynamics model and CLUE-S model 被引量:8
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作者 Linlin Cheng Haiyuan Sun +1 位作者 Ye Zhang Shaofeng Zhen 《International Journal of Coal Science & Technology》 EI 2019年第1期113-126,共14页
The mountainous abandoned mine land is often distributed in the fomi of fragmented patches. Therefore, it can greatly promote the reuse value of abandoned mine land and relieve the pressure of land demand to realize t... The mountainous abandoned mine land is often distributed in the fomi of fragmented patches. Therefore, it can greatly promote the reuse value of abandoned mine land and relieve the pressure of land demand to realize the rational reuse of abandoned mine land based on the future land use structure and spatial layout of mountainous area. In this paper, optimization of the spatial structure of mountainous abandoned mine land reuse is realized through the system dynamics model and CLUE-S model. Mentougou district, Beijing, China is selected as the research area. System dynamics model with feedback functions is constructed to simulate land use structure from 2011 to 2025, which is taken as the quanfiiative constraint on spatial structure optimization. CLUE-S model with neighborhood analysis function is applied to simulate future land use spatial structure. The simulation result layer is superimposed with the abandoned mine land distribution layer and the optimized spatial structure of abandoned mine land reuse then is determined, checked by reuse suitability evaluation. The result shows that abandoned mine land can be fully optimized as other land use types according to demand, and the reuse directions are water conservancy facilities land, urban land, rural residential land, tourism land, garden land, woodland and grassland. The trend of abandoned mine land reuse tend to be consistent with land use types of neighboring patches. This study can provide theoretical reference for the practices of mountainous abandoned mine land reuse. 展开更多
关键词 Mournainous abandoned MINE land REUSE System dynamics model CLUE-S model spatial structure OPTIMIZATION
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Research on spatial calculating analysis model of landuse change 被引量:5
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作者 张新长 潘琼 赵元 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2004年第3期359-365,共7页
The spatial calculating analysis model is based on GIS overlay. It will compartmentalize the land in research district into three spatial types: unchanged parts, converted parts and increased parts. By this method we ... The spatial calculating analysis model is based on GIS overlay. It will compartmentalize the land in research district into three spatial types: unchanged parts, converted parts and increased parts. By this method we can evaluate the numerical model and dynamic degree model for calculating land-use change rates. Furthermore, the paper raises the possibility of revising the calculating analysis model of spatial information in order to predicate more precisely the dynamic changing level of all types of land uses. In the most concrete terms, the model is used mainly to understand changed area and changed rates (increasing or decreasing) of different land types from microcosmic angle and establish spatial distribution and spatio-temporal principles of the changing urban lands. And we will try to find out why the situation can take place by combining social and economic situations. The result indicates the calculating analysis model of spatial information can derive more accurate procedure of spatial transference and increase of all kinds of land from microcosmic angle. By this model and technology we can conduct the research of land-use spatio-temporal structure evolution more systematically and more deeply, and can obtain a satisfactory result. The result will benefit the rational planning and management of urban land use of developed coastal areas in China in the future. 展开更多
关键词 land use dynamic change spatial calculating analysis model
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Exploration of spatial and temporal characteristics of PM2.5 concentration in Guangzhou, China using wavelet analysis and modified land use regression model 被引量:4
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作者 Fenglei Fan Runping Liu 《Geo-Spatial Information Science》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第4期311-321,共11页
This article attempts to detail time series characteristics of PM2.5 concentration in Guangzhou(China)from 1 June 2012 to 31 May 2013 based on wavelet analysis tools,and discuss its spatial distribution using geograph... This article attempts to detail time series characteristics of PM2.5 concentration in Guangzhou(China)from 1 June 2012 to 31 May 2013 based on wavelet analysis tools,and discuss its spatial distribution using geographic information system software and a modified land use regression model.In this modified model,an important variable(land use data)is substituted for impervious surface area,which can be obtained conveniently from remote sensing imagery through the linear spectral mixture analysis method.Impervious surface has higher precision than land use data because of its sub-pixel level.Seasonal concentration pattern and day-by-day change feature of PM2.5 in Guangzhou with a micro-perspective are discussed and understood.Results include:(1)the highest concentration of PM2.5 occurs in October and the lowest in July,respectively;(2)average concentration of PM2.5 in winter is higher than in other seasons;and(3)there are two high concentration zones in winter and one zone in spring. 展开更多
关键词 PM2.5 temporal change spatial distribution wavelet analysis land use regression(LUR)model GIS
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Using autologistic spatial models to simulate the distribution of land-use patterns in Zhangjiajie, Hunan Province 被引量:6
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作者 WU Guiping ZENG Yongnian +2 位作者 XIAO Pengfeng FENG Xuezhi HU Xiaotian 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第2期310-320,共11页
Nowadays, spatial simulation on land use patterns is one of the key contents of LUCC. Modeling is an important tool for simulating land use patterns due to its ability to integrate measurements of changes in land cove... Nowadays, spatial simulation on land use patterns is one of the key contents of LUCC. Modeling is an important tool for simulating land use patterns due to its ability to integrate measurements of changes in land cover and the associated drivers. The conventional regression model can only analyze the correlation between land use types and driving factors but cannot depict the spatial autocorrelation characteristics. Land uses in Yongding County, which is located in the typical karst mountain areas in northwestern Hunan province, were investigated by means of modeling the spatial autocorrelation of land use types with the purpose of deriving better spatial land use patterns on the basis of terrain characteristics and infrastructural conditions. Through incorporating components describing the spatial autocorrelation into a conventional logistic model, we constructed a regression model (Autologistic model), and used this model to simulate and analyze the spatial land use patterns in Yongding County. According to the comparison with the conventional logistic model without considering the spatial autocorrelation, this model showed better goodness and higher accuracy of fitting. The distribution of arable land, wood land, built-up land and unused land yielded areas under the ROC curves (AUC) was improved to 0.893, 0.940, 0.907 and 0.863 respectively with the autologistic model. It is argued that the improved model based on autologistic method was reasonable to a certain extent. Meanwhile, these analysis results could provide valuable information for modeling future land use change scenarios with actual conditions of local and regional land use, and the probability maps of land use types obtained from this study could also support government decision-making on land use management for Yongding County and other similar areas. 展开更多
关键词 land-use patterns spatial simulation autologistic model spatial autocorrelation Yongding County of Zhangjiajie City
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Future Land-Use Land-Cover Scenarios for the Flint River Watershed in Northern Alabama Using the Prescott Spatial Growth Model
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作者 Wubishet Tadesse Stephanie Whitaker +1 位作者 William Crosson Constance Wilson 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2015年第4期319-327,共9页
A changing mosaic of natural vegetation and human land uses has evolved within and around the Flint River Watershed (FRW) in Alabama and Tennessee over the past several decades. To determine the cause of change and li... A changing mosaic of natural vegetation and human land uses has evolved within and around the Flint River Watershed (FRW) in Alabama and Tennessee over the past several decades. To determine the cause of change and linkage between human activities and environmental change can prove problematic. Subsequently, there is a need to produce projections of future environments based on planning instruments and socio-economic parameters. Scenarios of potential future land use land cover (LULC) change are required in order to better manage potential impacts on many environmental issues. This study creates future scenarios for the year 2030 from baseline land use of 2001, relative to three projected land use scenarios which include differences related to conservation, planning, and development. The future growth scenarios were created using the ArcGIS tool, Prescott Spatial Growth Model (PSGM). The model allows users to build different future growth scenarios based on socio-economic projections such as population, employment and other controlling factors. The simulation results indicate that LULC changes associated with future urbanization can increase by ~23% - 43% within the FRW, which will lead to significant environmental issues if not managed properly. The overall analysis and model results demonstrate the ability of future growth scenarios to explore and evaluate options for a future environment. Spatial modeling and analysis tools, such as PSGM, provide a powerful approach to evaluate potential impacts of LULC change in the future and should be used to manage urbanization in areas with more intense development. 展开更多
关键词 PRESCOTT spatial Growth model land Use land Cover
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Spatial data modeling for coalfield geological environment
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作者 JIA Bei SU Qiao-mei LIU Chen LI Hui-juan 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2010年第3期300-305,共6页
Presented a study on the design and implementation of spatial data modelingand application in the spatial data organization and management of a coalfield geologicalenvironment database.Based on analysis of a number of... Presented a study on the design and implementation of spatial data modelingand application in the spatial data organization and management of a coalfield geologicalenvironment database.Based on analysis of a number of existing data models and takinginto account the unique data structure and characteristic, methodology and key techniquesin the object-oriented spatial data modeling were proposed for the coalfield geological environment.The model building process was developed using object-oriented technologyand the Unified Modeling Language (UML) on the platform of ESRI geodatabase datamodels.A case study of spatial data modeling in UML was presented with successful implementationin the spatial database of the coalfield geological environment.The modelbuilding and implementation provided an effective way of representing the complexity andspecificity of coalfield geological environment spatial data and an integrated managementof spatial and property data. 展开更多
关键词 spatial data model object-oriented Unified modeling Language (UML) coal- field geological environment
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Spatial Analysis for Flood Control by Using Environmental Modeling
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作者 Alireza Gharagozlou Hassan Nazari Mohammadjavad Seddighi 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2011年第4期367-372,共6页
To create the final spatial information and analysis, flood hazard maps and land development priority maps and information, data for the flood events to 2009 in north of Iran were incorporated with using Geo-spatial I... To create the final spatial information and analysis, flood hazard maps and land development priority maps and information, data for the flood events to 2009 in north of Iran were incorporated with using Geo-spatial Information System data of physiographic divisions, geologic divisions, land cover classification, elevation, drainage network, administrative districts and population density and environmental parameters modeling. Special analysis also attention was paid to population density for the construction of the land development priority map and using satellite image analysis to determine land use changes and analysis of geo-spatial information, because highly dense populated areas represent the highly important urban and industrial areas. While geo-information technology offers an opportunity to support flood management adequate geo-spatial information is a prerequisite for sustainable development, but many parts of the world lack adequate information on environmental resources. Such information providing, which serves as an important tool for decision-making in land use planning, can help provide effective information to natural disaster management. This paper develops a framework for flood control and begins with some general comments on the importance of land use planning and outlines some current environmental issues and then presenting environmental models to use in disaster management plan by using GIS and remote sensing results. Flood control is a complex problem that requires cooperation of many scientists in different fields. The article also discusses the role that geo-information and environmental planning and GIS and remote sensing technology play in disaster management control to reduce negative impacts of flood and present proper alternatives for developing of Gorganrood in the north of Iran. Advanced high-resolution sensor technology has provided immense scope to the decision makers for analysis of flood and damages details using GIS and remote sensing. 展开更多
关键词 ENVIRONMENTAL modeling land Use PLANNING Geo-spatial Information GIS
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Coordinated development efficiency between cultivated land spatial morphology and agricultural economy in underdeveloped areas in China:Evidence from western Hubei province 被引量:6
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作者 XIANG Jingwei HAN Peng CHEN Wanxu 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第4期801-822,共22页
Suitable spatial morphology of cultivated land is a basic requirement for sustaining agricultural economic development in mountainous areas.Coordinated development efficiency of cultivated land spatial morphology and ... Suitable spatial morphology of cultivated land is a basic requirement for sustaining agricultural economic development in mountainous areas.Coordinated development efficiency of cultivated land spatial morphology and agricultural economy(CECA)is of great practical significance to measure the efficiency of cultivated land use,and thereby promote regional rural revitalization.However,few studies to date have focused on coordinated development efficiency between cultivated land use and agricultural economy in mountainous areas from the perspective of cultivated land spatial morphology.Thus,the present study explores CECA with this focus using the data envelopment analysis method,and analyzes the key influencing factors via a geographical detector model in 16 counties in western Hubei province.The results show the following:(1)CECA exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity that is high in the south of the study area and low in the north;(2)scale efficiency is the primary limiting factor for CECA;(3)the insufficient output of cultivated land use mainly restricts CECA in the south of the study area,while individual county in the north suffered from input redundancy and insufficient output;and(4)population density in the southern region has the most significant effect on CECA,and gross domestic product has the greatest impact in the northern region.The results contribute to the derivation of specific measures by which to promote cultivated land use efficiency and sustainable development of the social economy. 展开更多
关键词 cultivated land spatial morphology agricultural economy data envelopment analysis geographical detector model coordinated development efficiency western Hubei
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Spatial restructuring and the logic of industrial land redevelopment in urban China: Ⅳ. A case study of jointly redevelopment by multi-actors 被引量:3
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作者 Gao Jinlong 《Regional Sustainability》 2023年第1期44-53,共10页
Within the inventory era, urban shrinkage characterized by economic decline and space decay has been widely witnessed in China. The modes and trajectories of urban redevelopment have thus become areas of major concern... Within the inventory era, urban shrinkage characterized by economic decline and space decay has been widely witnessed in China. The modes and trajectories of urban redevelopment have thus become areas of major concern for both policymakers and scholars. Taking the multi-actor participation nature of redevelopment, this paper stemming from the game-theoretical approach demonstrates in empirical terms on two major fronts. First, the redevelopment of industrial land without the transfer of land use right is shown to be deadlocked by the incapacitation of the original land-user and unlocked with the participation of the new developer. Second, the preference of the original land-user to maximize its interests by operating by itself rather than continue to cooperate with the new developer is observed in the post-redevelopment stage. Therein, the entrepreneurial local government acts only as a “mediator” between the two market entities and tends not to directly intervene in their cooperation. Thus that, it is the reasonable distribution of potential benefits or the pricing of different rights in the land property right bundle rather than their definition that matters more for land redevelopment. Because the delineation of land property rights has never been a problem in a mature land market, particularly for stock industrial land. 展开更多
关键词 Urban renewal spatial transformation Game model Cost-benefit analysis Property rights Industrial land REDEVELOPMENT Nanjing City
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Improving remote sensing-based net primary production estimation in the grazed land with defoliation formulation model 被引量:3
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作者 YE Hui HUANG Xiao-tao +3 位作者 LUO Ge-ping WANG Jun-bang ZHANG Miao WANG Xin-xin 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第2期323-336,共14页
Remote sensing(RS) technologies provide robust techniques for quantifying net primary productivity(NPP) which is a key component of ecosystem production management. Applying RS, the confounding effects of carbon consu... Remote sensing(RS) technologies provide robust techniques for quantifying net primary productivity(NPP) which is a key component of ecosystem production management. Applying RS, the confounding effects of carbon consumed by livestock grazing were neglected by previous studies, which created uncertainties and underestimation of NPP for the grazed lands. The grasslands in Xinjiang were selected as a case study to improve the RS based NPP estimation. A defoliation formulation model(DFM) based on RS is developed to evaluate the extent of underestimated NPP between 1982 and 2011. The estimates were then used to examine the spatiotemporal patterns of the calculated NPP. Results show that average annual underestimated NPP was 55.74 gC·m^(-2)yr^(-1) over the time period understudied, accounting for 29.06% of the total NPP for the Xinjiang grasslands. The spatial distribution of underestimated NPP is related to both grazing intensity and time. Data for the Xinjiang grasslands show that the average annual NPP was 179.41 gC·m^(-2)yr^(-1), the annual NPP with an increasing trend was observed at a rate of 1.04 gC·m^(-2)yr^(-1) between 1982 and 2011. The spatial distribution of NPP reveals distinct variations from high to low encompassing the geolocations of the Tianshan Mountains, northern and southern Xinjiang Province and corresponding with mid-mountain meadow, typical grassland, desert grassland, alpine meadow, and saline meadow grassland types. This study contributes to improving RS-based NPP estimations for grazed land and provides a more accurate data to support the scientific management of fragile grassland ecosystems in Xinjiang. 展开更多
关键词 REMOTE sensing DEFOLIATION FORMULATION model Net PRIMARY production Grazed land spatial-temporal patterns XINJIANG
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Spatial Allocation of Land Use in Luodeli Village,Luquan County,Yunnan Province from the Perspective of Rural Complex
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作者 Yuting DONG Zisheng YANG 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2019年第10期29-33,共5页
Conceptually,rural complex is actually a comprehensive sustainable development model for new agricultural and rural areas across industries and functions.From the perspective of rural complex,combined with the actual ... Conceptually,rural complex is actually a comprehensive sustainable development model for new agricultural and rural areas across industries and functions.From the perspective of rural complex,combined with the actual case of Idyllic Orient in Yangshan,Wuxi,the first rural complex in China,this paper analyzes the current benefits of relevant projects.Considering the basic situation of Luodeli Village in Luquan County,Yunnan Province,the direction,development model and spatial allocation of land use are initially determined.Finally,the overall development path is proposed for Luodeli Village in Luquan County,in order to provide some ideas for its next development. 展开更多
关键词 RURAL COMPLEX Luodeli VILLAGE land use direction Development model spatial ALLOCATION
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Spatial Pressure Distribution of Cultivated Land and the Analysis of Food Safety in Kunming City,China
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作者 PENG Er-rui WANG Sui +3 位作者 LV Xia ZHANG Jian-sheng ZHANG Chuan HAO Li-sha 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2010年第2期53-56,共4页
The social and economical condition,cultivated land resources and general situation of grain production of research area are introduced.According to relevant data of cultivated land of Kunming City in 2006,taking the ... The social and economical condition,cultivated land resources and general situation of grain production of research area are introduced.According to relevant data of cultivated land of Kunming City in 2006,taking the minimum per capita cultivated land and index model of cultivated land pressure,and combining with two conditions of per capita grain demand which are 300 kg and 400 kg,the comparative research method was used to calculate and analyze the minimum per capita cultivated land and index model of cultivated land pressure.The results show that when per capita grain demand-Gr is 300 kg,the per capita cultivated land in Kunming City has regional differences,reflects different regular patterns of spatial distribution,and presents obvious and typical radial distribution.Urban area of Kunming has the lowest point and be taken as the center,per capita cultivated land decreases progressively from suburban to the periphery;when per capita grain demand-Gr is 400 kg,under the same consumption level,cultivated land pressures of each county in Kunming City are different,and so are the driven factors;when per capita grain demand-Gr is 300 kg or 400 kg,the indexes of cultivated land pressure in Kunming are all greater than 1,cultivated land pressure is enormous,the indexes of cultivated land pressure of each county(district) have two conditions-greater than 1 and less than 2,and the reasons differ from one another.Combining with the spatial distribution characteristics of the cultivated land and food and the situation of industrial development,the countermeasures and suggestions are put forwarded to make full use of back-up cultivated land,to plan the distribution of industrial structure in each county(district) of Kunming City as a whole,to dispose cultivated land resources reasonably and so on. 展开更多
关键词 Food safety Index model of cultivated land pressure Minimum per capita cultivated land Regular pattern of spatial distribution China
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Geospatial Analysis of Urban Heat Island Effects and Tree Equity
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作者 Jillian Gorrell Sharon R. Jean-Philippe +3 位作者 Paul D. Ries Jennifer K. Richards Neelam C. Poudyal Rochelle Butler 《Open Journal of Forestry》 2024年第1期1-18,共18页
In recent decades, Urban Heat Island Effects have become more pronounced and more widely examined. Despite great technological advances, our current societies still experience great spatial disparity in urban forest a... In recent decades, Urban Heat Island Effects have become more pronounced and more widely examined. Despite great technological advances, our current societies still experience great spatial disparity in urban forest access. Urban Heat Island Effects are measurable phenomenon that are being experienced by the world’s most urbanized areas, including increased summer high temperatures and lower evapotranspiration from having impervious surfaces instead of vegetation and trees. Tree canopy cover is our natural mitigation tool that absorbs sunlight for photosynthesis, protects humans from incoming radiation, and releases cooling moisture into the air. Unfortunately, urban areas typically have low levels of vegetation. Vulnerable urban communities are lower-income areas of inner cities with less access to heat protection like air conditioners. This study uses mean evapotranspiration levels to assess the variability of urban heat island effects across the state of Tennessee. Results show that increased developed land surface cover in Tennessee creates measurable changes in atmospheric evapotranspiration. As a result, the mean evapotranspiration levels in areas with less tree vegetation are significantly lower than the surrounding forested areas. Central areas of urban cities in Tennessee had lower mean evapotranspiration recordings than surrounding areas with less development. This work demonstrates the need for increased tree canopy coverage. 展开更多
关键词 spatial Analysis land Cover Urban Heat Island Effect (UHIE) EVAPOTRANSPIRATION Tree Canopy Impervious Surface GIS Prediction model GIS Machine Learning
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Land use/cover change and ecological network in Gansu Province,China during 2000-2020 and their simulations in 2050 被引量:1
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作者 MA Xinshu XIN Cunlin +6 位作者 CHEN Ning XIN Shunjie CHEN Hongxiang ZHANG Bo KANG Ligang WANG Yu JIAO Jirong 《Journal of Arid Land》 2025年第1期43-57,共15页
Land use/cover change(LUCC)constitutes the spatial and temporal patterns of ecological security,and the construction of ecological networks is an effective way to ensure ecological security.Exploring the spatial and t... Land use/cover change(LUCC)constitutes the spatial and temporal patterns of ecological security,and the construction of ecological networks is an effective way to ensure ecological security.Exploring the spatial and temporal change characteristics of ecological network and analyzing the integrated relationship between LUCC and ecological security are crucial for ensuring regional ecological security.Gansu is one of the provinces with fragile ecological environment in China,and rapid changes in land use patterns in recent decades have threatened ecological security.Therefore,taking Gansu Province as the study area,this study simulated its land use pattern in 2050 using patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model based on the LUCC trend from 2000 to 2020 and integrated the LUCC into morphological spatial pattern analysis(MSPA)to identify ecological sources and extract the ecological corridors to construct ecological network using circuit theory.The results revealed that,according to the prediction results in 2050,the areas of cultivated land,forest land,grassland,water body,construction land,and unused land would be 63,447.52,39,510.80,148,115.18,4605.21,8368.89,and 161,752.40 km^(2),respectively.The number of ecological sources in Gansu Province would increase to 80,with a total area of 99,927.18 km^(2).The number of ecological corridors would increase to 191,with an estimated total length of 6120.66 km.Both ecological sources and ecological corridors showed a sparse distribution in the northwest and dense distribution in the southeast of the province at the spatial scale.The number of ecological pinch points would reach 312 and the total area would expect to increase to 842.84 km^(2),with the most pronounced increase in the Longdong region.Compared with 2020,the number and area of ecological barriers in 2050 would decrease significantly by 63 and 370.71 km^(2),respectively.In general,based on the prediction results,the connectivity of ecological network of Gansu Province would increase in 2050.To achieve the predicted ecological network in 2050,emphasis should be placed on the protection of cultivated land and ecological land,the establishment of ecological sources in desert areas,the reinforcement of the protection for existing ecological sources,and the construction of ecological corridors to enhance the stability of ecological network.This study provides valuable theoretical support and references for the future construction of ecological networks and regional land resource management decision-making. 展开更多
关键词 patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model morphological spatial pattern analysis(MSPA) circuit theory ecological source ecological resistance surface ecological corridor ecological pinch point
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Spatial sample weighted machine learning for multitemporal land cover change modeling with imbalanced datasets
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作者 Alysha van Duynhoven Suzana Dragicevic 《Big Earth Data》 2025年第4期828-859,共32页
Despite the widespread use of machine learning(ML)models for geospatial applications,adaptations to imbalanced multitemporal land cover(LC)datasets remain underexplored.For over two dec-ades,studies have predominantly... Despite the widespread use of machine learning(ML)models for geospatial applications,adaptations to imbalanced multitemporal land cover(LC)datasets remain underexplored.For over two dec-ades,studies have predominantly trained ML models on a single interval of LC data to model changes,with detriments of imbal-anced training datasets managed through manual manipulations.Therefore,this study proposes and implements an ML-spatial sam-ple weighting(ML-SSW)approach to leverage available multitem-poral LC data while adjusting sample influence to reflect recency of change occurrence and class-level spatial pattern measures to enable data-driven LC change modeling.Random Forest(RF),Neural Network(NN),and Extreme Gradient Boosting Machine(XGB)models are trained under the ML-SSW strategy on three study areas located in British Columbia,Canada.The RF-SSW,NN-SSW,and XGB-SSW models forecasted more realistic changes across multiple timesteps with fewer errors than baseline configurations.The presented methodology provides a step toward establishing spatialized cost-sensitive learning strategies and extending classical ML models to multitemporal LC datasets. 展开更多
关键词 land cover change modeling multi-class geospatial modeling spatial sample weights spatialized cost-sensitive learning XGBoost(XGB) neural network(NN) random forest(RF) geospatial artifi cial intelligence(GeoAl)
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安徽省县域耕地景观破碎化评价与模拟预测研究
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作者 张晓瑞 杨欣悦 +3 位作者 李杰铭 王振波 王鑫 徐图 《华中农业大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期200-212,共13页
耕地是保障国家粮食安全的根基,评价和预测耕地景观的破碎化程度对于制定耕地保护政策、优化耕地空间布局具有重要的价值和意义。为明确耕地景观破碎化的现状与演变趋势,以2000—2020年安徽省县域单元为研究对象,在多源大数据支持下,综... 耕地是保障国家粮食安全的根基,评价和预测耕地景观的破碎化程度对于制定耕地保护政策、优化耕地空间布局具有重要的价值和意义。为明确耕地景观破碎化的现状与演变趋势,以2000—2020年安徽省县域单元为研究对象,在多源大数据支持下,综合运用土地利用变化分析模型、景观格局指数、地理探测器和PLUS模型等方法,系统分析安徽省耕地景观的时空演变特征、驱动机制及未来发展预测。结果显示:2000年以来安徽省耕地总面积持续减少,主要转化为建设用地;耕地景观破碎化在多因素交互作用下不断加剧,综合指数平均值持续升高,空间分布呈“北高南低”格局;基于2030年的安徽省耕地变化模拟预测发现,仅在保护情景下,耕地景观破碎化程度有所改善。研究表明,未来安徽省需严格落实耕地保护政策,通过宏观调控土地利用和耕地占补平衡,实现安徽省耕地资源的可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 耕地景观 时空演变 破碎化 空间自相关 地理探测器 PLUS模型 安徽省
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西部陆海新通道物流业碳排放时空演变及影响因素分析
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作者 陈宁宁 林寿康 王进 《环境科学与技术》 北大核心 2026年第1期261-272,共12页
物流业作为国民经济发展的基础性产业,研究西部陆海新通道物流业碳排放时空演变趋势及影响因素对推动物流业绿色高效发展至关重要。该文以2011-2022年西部陆海新通道沿线省(自治区、直辖市)物流业为研究对象,采用IPCC排放因子法计算2011... 物流业作为国民经济发展的基础性产业,研究西部陆海新通道物流业碳排放时空演变趋势及影响因素对推动物流业绿色高效发展至关重要。该文以2011-2022年西部陆海新通道沿线省(自治区、直辖市)物流业为研究对象,采用IPCC排放因子法计算2011-2022年西部陆海新通道沿线省份物流业碳排放量,利用KAYA-LMDI分解法、空间自相关法及空间杜宾模型分析西部陆海新通道沿线省份物流业碳排放时空演变及影响因素。结果表明:(1)在2011-2022年间,研究区域物流业碳排放量呈上升趋势。(2)时间维度影响因素分析,能源强度是抑制西部陆海新通道物流业碳排放的主导因素。经济水平是促进西部陆海新通道物流业碳排放的关键因素。(3)西部陆海新通道沿线省份物流业存在显著的空间负相关性和异质性,且主要分布在“低-高”异质区及“高-低”异质区内。(4)空间维度影响因素效应分析,在直接效应方面,清洁能源、能源强度、物流业份额、经济水平、人口规模对本省碳排放影响显著。在间接效应方面,物流业份额、人口规模对周边物流业碳排放有显著带动作用,经济水平、产业结构及清洁能源占比则抑制周边物流业碳排放。基于此,为西部陆海新通道建设绿色高效的物流业提出建议。 展开更多
关键词 西部陆海新通道 物流业碳排放 时空演变 空间杜宾模型 影响因素
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“以地谋发展”模式对新质生产力的影响——基于要素配置视角 被引量:1
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作者 孔维龙 周家和 +1 位作者 王兴邦 张正峰 《资源科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期71-87,共17页
【目的】极具特色的“以地谋发展”模式对于中国的“增长奇迹”发挥了举足轻重的作用,探讨这一模式能否继续支撑未来新质生产力的发展具有重要的理论和现实意义。【方法】本文基于2010—2021年中国282个地级及以上城市面板数据,使用双... 【目的】极具特色的“以地谋发展”模式对于中国的“增长奇迹”发挥了举足轻重的作用,探讨这一模式能否继续支撑未来新质生产力的发展具有重要的理论和现实意义。【方法】本文基于2010—2021年中国282个地级及以上城市面板数据,使用双向固定效应模型、门槛效应模型和空间杜宾模型,从要素配置视角系统探讨了“以地谋发展”模式对新质生产力的影响及机制。【结果】①“以地谋发展”模式整体上对于新质生产力呈现抑制作用,但其分维度效应存在分化:以地引资尚存短期正效应,而以地取财与以地融资构成了主要的负效应来源。②机制分析表明,该模式存在“结构性矛盾”:虽能通过土地要素保障促进产业集聚,但在资本层面挤出市场创新投资,在劳动层面排斥高素质人才,在技术与数据层面抑制创新生态。③“以地谋发展”模式的边际效应呈现非线性递增,且在城市发展水平更高、土地市场化程度更低的地区表现尤为显著。④“以地谋发展”模式的影响具有空间溢出效应,并主要通过城市间的“模仿竞争”策略导致其负面效应在区域层面扩散。【结论】“以地谋发展”模式对新质生产力的负效应大于正效应,其核心弊端在于系统性地扭曲了创新要素的配置。需进一步优化土地要素配置机制、靶向破解模式路径依赖以及构建协同改革体系赋能新质生产力发展。 展开更多
关键词 以地谋发展 新质生产力 要素配置 资源配置 土地制度 空间杜宾模型 中国
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基于Landsat TM数据的若尔盖县LUCC时空特征研究 被引量:11
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作者 陈玲 王根绪 王惠林 《遥感技术与应用》 CSCD 2006年第4期277-283,F0005,共8页
若尔盖县是世界著名若尔盖湿地的主要组成部分,是青藏高原高寒生态系统的典型代表。基于1989年、1997年和2004年3期Landsat TM影像的土地利用/土地覆被分类结果,运用地理信息系统空间分析方法和数理统计学方法,深入分析了四川省若尔盖县... 若尔盖县是世界著名若尔盖湿地的主要组成部分,是青藏高原高寒生态系统的典型代表。基于1989年、1997年和2004年3期Landsat TM影像的土地利用/土地覆被分类结果,运用地理信息系统空间分析方法和数理统计学方法,深入分析了四川省若尔盖县近15年来各土地利用/覆被类型尤其是草地和沼泽的数量和空间变化特征。结果表明:①研究区主要土地利用与土地覆被类型为草地、沼泽、林地和裸地,其中草地与沼泽面积逐步减少,而裸地面积成倍增长。②通过建立研究区LUCC幅度、LUCC数量和空间变化模型以及趋势与状态指数模型,很好的表现了研究区LUCC的时空特征。从整个区域来看,前期综合LUCC趋势和状态指数为0.37,处于准平衡状态;后期小于前期,为0.23,处于平衡状态,整个时段其指数为0.35,为准平衡状态,呈现双向转换态势。③定位分析了研究区LUCC情况,发现区域草地和沼泽退化相当严重,而且前后两期退化区在空间上有所转移。 展开更多
关键词 土地利用/土地覆被变化 数量分析模型 空间信息分析模型 趋势与状态指数 准平衡状态 若尔盖县
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基于三生空间的三江源土地利用情景模拟和冲突测度
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作者 李文 张婷玉 +1 位作者 郭晓东 王梅梅 《地理空间信息》 2026年第1期34-40,共7页
基于2010年、2015年和2020年土地利用数据,运用PLUS和PFCI模型对三江源地区2035年土地利用进行自然增长情景预测和相对冲突测算,以期更好地协调各地类之间的冲突,为三江源地区可持续发展提供参考和建议。结果表明:①2035年建设生活空间... 基于2010年、2015年和2020年土地利用数据,运用PLUS和PFCI模型对三江源地区2035年土地利用进行自然增长情景预测和相对冲突测算,以期更好地协调各地类之间的冲突,为三江源地区可持续发展提供参考和建议。结果表明:①2035年建设生活空间增加最快,其他生态空间减少最显著,其余空间类型变化不明显,总体上生活、生态空间有所增加,生产空间有所减少;②2035年显著相对冲突主要体现在农业生产空间、草地生态空间、水域生态空间和建设生活空间,其中建设生活空间最显著;③根据相对冲突策略分析,农业生产空间应布局在贵南县,草地生态空间应集中在治多县,唐古拉山镇和治多县应发展水域生态空间,玛沁县和囊谦县应发展林地生态空间,共和县应发展建设生活空间。 展开更多
关键词 三江源地区 土地利用预测 空间冲突 PLUS模型 PFCI模型
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