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Monitoring models for base flow effect and daily variation of dam seepage elements considering time lag effect 被引量:14
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作者 Shao-wei Wang Ying-li Xu +1 位作者 Chong-shi Gu Teng-fei Bao 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2018年第4期344-354,共11页
Affected by external environmental factors and evolution of dam performance, dam seepage behavior shows nonlinear time-varying characteristics. In this study, to predict and evaluate the long-term development trend an... Affected by external environmental factors and evolution of dam performance, dam seepage behavior shows nonlinear time-varying characteristics. In this study, to predict and evaluate the long-term development trend and short-term fluctuation of the dam seepage behavior, two monitoring models were developed, one for the base flow effect and one for daily variation of dam seepage elements. In the first model, to avoid the influence of the time lag effect on the evaluation of seepage variation with the time effect component of seepage elements, the base values of the seepage element and the reservoir water level were extracted using the wavelet multi-resolution analysis method, and the time effect component was separated by the established base flow effect monitoring model. For the development of the daily variation monitoring model for dam seepage elements, all the previous factors, of which the measured time series prior to the dam seepage element monitoring time may have certain influence on the monitored results, were considered. Those factors that were positively correlated with the analyzed seepage element were initially considered to be the support vector machine(SVM) model input factors, and then the SVM kernel function-based sensitivity analysis was performed to optimize the input factor set and establish the optimized daily variation SVM model. The efficiency and rationality of the two models were verified by case studies of the water level of two piezometric tubes buried under the slope of a concrete gravity dam.Sensitivity analysis of the optimized SVM model shows that the influences of the daily variation of the upstream reservoir water level and rainfall on the daily variation of piezometric tube water level are processes subject to normal distribution. 展开更多
关键词 Dam seepage monitoring model Time lag effect Support vector machine(SVM) Sensitivity analysis Base flow Daily variation Piezometric tube water level
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Closed-form solution for shear lag effects of steel-concrete composite box beams considering shear deformation and slip 被引量:10
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作者 周旺保 蒋丽忠 +1 位作者 刘志杰 刘小洁 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第10期2976-2982,共7页
Based on the consideration of longitudinal warp caused by shear lag effects on concrete slabs and bottom plates of steel beams,shear deformation of steel beams and interface slip between steel beams and concrete slabs... Based on the consideration of longitudinal warp caused by shear lag effects on concrete slabs and bottom plates of steel beams,shear deformation of steel beams and interface slip between steel beams and concrete slabs,the governing differential equations and boundary conditions of the steel-concrete composite box beams under lateral loading were derived using energy-variational method.The closed-form solutions for stress,deflection and slip of box beams under lateral loading were obtained,and the comparison of the analytical results and the experimental results for steel-concrete composite box beams under concentrated loading or uniform loading verifies the closed-form solution.The investigation of the parameters of load effects on composite box beams shows that:1) Slip stiffness has considerable impact on mid-span deflection and end slip when it is comparatively small;the mid-span deflection and end slip decrease significantly with the increase of slip stiffness,but when the slip stiffness reaches a certain value,its impact on mid-span deflection and end slip decreases to be negligible.2) The shear deformation has certain influence on mid-span deflection,and the larger the load is,the greater the influence is.3) The impact of shear deformation on end slip can be neglected.4) The strain of bottom plate of steel beam decreases with the increase of slip stiffness,while the shear lag effect becomes more significant. 展开更多
关键词 steel-concrete composite box beam shear lag effect shear deformation SLIP closed-form solution
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Theoretical and experimental study on shear lag effect of partially cable-stayed bridge 被引量:1
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作者 吴高峰 徐鸿 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第8期875-877,共3页
In order to resolve the traffic congestion problem, many cable-stayed bridges are designed with a large width to span ratio. This results in significant shear lag effect to cause nonuniform stress distribution along t... In order to resolve the traffic congestion problem, many cable-stayed bridges are designed with a large width to span ratio. This results in significant shear lag effect to cause nonuniform stress distribution along the flanges of the beam of bridge. This paper reports study on the shear lag effect of the Lanzhou Xiaoxihu Yellow River Bridge. A 3D finite element model of the bridge was developed and finite element analysis (FEA) was done to obtain the theoretical results. To evaluate the theoretical results, a scaled model was made to conduct static test in laboratory. The experiment results accorded with the results obtained by FEA. It is proved that FEA is an effective method to predict shear lag effect of bridges of this type. 展开更多
关键词 Cable-stayed bridge FEA EXPERIMENTAL Shear lag effect
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PERIODIC AND ALMOST PERIODIC SOLUTIONS FOR A NON-AUTONOMOUS RESPIRATORY DISEASE MODEL WITH A LAG EFFECT 被引量:1
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作者 Lei SHI Longxing QI Sulan ZHAI 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期187-211,共25页
This paper studies a kind of non-autonomous respiratory disease model with a lag effect.First of all,the permanence and extinction of the system are discussed by using the comparison principle and some differential in... This paper studies a kind of non-autonomous respiratory disease model with a lag effect.First of all,the permanence and extinction of the system are discussed by using the comparison principle and some differential inequality techniques.Second,it assumes that all coefficients of the system are periodic.The existence of positive periodic solutions of the system is proven,based on the continuation theorem in coincidence with the degree theory of Mawhin and Gaines.In the meantime,the global attractivity of positive periodic solutions of the system is obtained by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov functional and using the Razumikin theorem.In addition,the existence and uniform asymptotic stability of almost periodic solutions of the system are analyzed by assuming that all parameters in the model are almost periodic in time.Finally,the theoretical derivation is verified by a numerical simulation. 展开更多
关键词 respiratory disease lag effect periodic solution almost periodic solution Lyapunov functional
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Experimental Study on Shear Lag Effect of Partial Cable-Stayed Bridge and Elasto-Plastic Seismic Analysis
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作者 吴高峰 徐鸿 陈兴冲 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2005年第2期170-174,共5页
The project of Xiaoxihu Yellow River Bridge in Lanzhou is chosen as partial cable-stayed bridge. To get the shear lag effect and anti-earthquake performance of the actual bridge under various loading conditions, organ... The project of Xiaoxihu Yellow River Bridge in Lanzhou is chosen as partial cable-stayed bridge. To get the shear lag effect and anti-earthquake performance of the actual bridge under various loading conditions, organic glass scaled model was adopted to have an experiment and a theory research at one time. The experiment result is the basically same as the theory calculation which proves the FEA method can well calculate shear lag effect and dynamical performance. As a result, because the bridge is located in a seismic area of 8 degree, an elasto-plastic seismic checking is performed by customized FEA program in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 partial cable-stayed bridge EXPERIMENT shear lag effect elasto-plastic seismic analysis
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Shear Lag Effect for PC Continuous Curved Box-section Girder Bridge under the Moving Vehicular Loads
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作者 Jianqing Bu Jinli Mo 《土木工程与技术(中英文版)》 2013年第2期25-33,共9页
关键词 土木工程 建筑工程 建筑设计 建筑材料
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Effect of different cold air intensities and their lagged effects on outpatient visits for respiratory illnesses in Handan in different seasons 被引量:2
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作者 Xingshan Zhang Guiqin Fu +4 位作者 Liang Zhao Ji Wang Caimeng Liang Juanhuai Wang Meng Li 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2024年第1期39-44,共6页
本文利用2016年到2019年邯郸市气象要素和呼吸系统疾病门诊数据,分析了不同季节不同强度的冷空气过程及其对呼吸系统疾病的影响,结果显示:尽管呼吸系统疾病在冬季高发,夏季最低,但冷空气对呼吸系统疾病的影响在夏,春季最大,就诊人数分... 本文利用2016年到2019年邯郸市气象要素和呼吸系统疾病门诊数据,分析了不同季节不同强度的冷空气过程及其对呼吸系统疾病的影响,结果显示:尽管呼吸系统疾病在冬季高发,夏季最低,但冷空气对呼吸系统疾病的影响在夏,春季最大,就诊人数分别在冷空气日后两天和五天增加18.4%和13.3%,而冬季就诊人数在冷空气日后三天仅增加3.2%.冷空气对疾病影响的滞后时间在夏,秋和冬季随冷空气强度的增加而减少,而春季的滞后时间总是很长.这些发现可为科学应对气候异常导致的人群健康风险提供针对性依据. 展开更多
关键词 冷空气过程 降温幅度 呼吸系统疾病 滞后效应
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Closed-form solution to thin-walled box girders considering effects of shear deformation and shear lag 被引量:18
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作者 周旺保 蒋丽忠 +1 位作者 刘志杰 刘小洁 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第9期2650-2655,共6页
Considering three longitudinal displacement functions and uniform axial displacement functions for shear lag effect and uniform axial deformation of thin-walled box girder with varying depths,a simple and efficient me... Considering three longitudinal displacement functions and uniform axial displacement functions for shear lag effect and uniform axial deformation of thin-walled box girder with varying depths,a simple and efficient method with high precision to analyze the shear lag effect of thin-walled box girders was proposed.The governing differential equations and boundary conditions of the box girder under lateral loading were derived based on the energy-variational method,and closed-form solutions to stress and deflection corresponding to lateral loading were obtained.Analysis and calculations were carried out with respect to a trapezoidal box girder under concentrated loading or uniform loading and a rectangular box girder under concentrated loading.The analytical results were compared with numerical solutions derived according to the high order finite strip element method and the experimental results.The investigation shows that the closed-form solution is in good agreement with the numerical solutions derived according to the high order finite strip method and the experimental results,and has good stability.Because of the shear lag effect,the stress in cross-section centroid is no longer zero,thus it is not reasonable enough to assume that the strain in cross-section centroid is zero without considering uniform axial deformation. 展开更多
关键词 shear lag effect thin-walled box girder energy-variational method shear deformation closed-form solution
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Effects of time lag and stress loading rate on permeability in low permeability reservoirs 被引量:4
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作者 WANG Rui YUE Xiang-an +2 位作者 ZHANG Wei TAN Xi-qun ZHANG Yan 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第4期526-530,共5页
In order to study the effect of time lag and stress loading rates on rock deformation,the conventional stepped stress loading mode was changed into a continuous mode to investigate the effect of effective pressure on ... In order to study the effect of time lag and stress loading rates on rock deformation,the conventional stepped stress loading mode was changed into a continuous mode to investigate the effect of effective pressure on permeability and porosity.The time lag effect of rock deformation illustrating the relationship between changes in permeability and steady time was studied.Permeability reduction ratios were measured under different stress loading rates which were achieved by different pump rate settings.The results show that permeability and porosity gradually decrease with increases in effective pressure.Permeability at high effective pressure attains stability quickly.Steady times at low effective pressure are very long.Reduction in permeability at lower stress loading rates is small,while,in contrast,it is large at high stress loading rates. 展开更多
关键词 low permeability stress sensitivity time lag effect stress loading rate
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Time Lag Effect of Supply Chain Management on Firm Performance
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作者 Lu Xiao Quan Zhu +1 位作者 Xiaolin Xu Christoph Wäger 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第3期321-338,共18页
The objective of this paper is to identify time lag effect in the relationship between supply chain management and financial performance.We hypothesize that firms with higher supply chain management capability are ass... The objective of this paper is to identify time lag effect in the relationship between supply chain management and financial performance.We hypothesize that firms with higher supply chain management capability are associated with higher financial performance and the impact would last longer.In addition,we introduce two contextual variables,ownership and market orientation,to detect the moderating effect of ownership structure and organizational culture,respectively.We use firm-level empirical data from 1,131 public Chinese manufacturing firms for the 2010–2019 period to investigate the effect and the result shows that there is a two-year time lag effect in the relationship,which means the positive impact of current supply chain management would last for three years.Furthermore,we find evidence that supply chain management in non-state-owned firms is more efficient and its positive financial impact would last longer than that in state-owned enterprises.Finally,we indicate that market-orientation can’t moderate the relationship between supply chain management and financial performance. 展开更多
关键词 Supply chain management financial performance time lag effect OWNERSHIP market orientation
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Study on the spatial differences and its time lag effect on climatic factors of the vegetation in the Longitudinal Range-Gorge Region 被引量:12
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作者 BAO YaJing SONG GuoBao +5 位作者 LI ZhengHai GAO JiXi LU HaiYan WANG HaiMei CHENG Yan XU Tian 《Chinese Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS 2007年第A02期42-49,共8页
这篇文章包括温度和降水分析 NDVI 和二个气象学的数据的关联,并且探查回答植被的敏感到温度和降水变化的空间模式。由构造 NDVIr 索引,在在纵的范围峡区域(LRGR ) 的植被盖子和陆地使用之间的关系被揭示。结论如下:(1 ) 时间落后那... 这篇文章包括温度和降水分析 NDVI 和二个气象学的数据的关联,并且探查回答植被的敏感到温度和降水变化的空间模式。由构造 NDVIr 索引,在在纵的范围峡区域(LRGR ) 的植被盖子和陆地使用之间的关系被揭示。结论如下:(1 ) 时间落后那植被回答到温度和降水变化的效果被证明。不同区域有相应于最大的关联系数的不同延期时间。根据降水和温度联合的反应时间,也就是,三种温度降水形式被定义在一样的时间的降水和温度,在温度以前的降水和在降水以前的温度。(2 ) 敏感的空间分发,哪个对温度的植被回答,被几个高、低的散布关联中心描绘。与温度,二个感觉迟钝的区域和二条敏感的带不同被形成介绍植被的反应给降水。(3 ) NDVIr 被构造,它能完美地在 LRGR 反映在气象学的因素和陆地使用状况之间的相应关系。 展开更多
关键词 纵向岭谷区 空间差异性 气候 植被
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2000—2019年黄淮海流域植被覆盖度变化归因研究 被引量:2
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作者 郑荣伟 张子元 +2 位作者 高学睿 王庆明 黄志强 《水土保持研究》 北大核心 2025年第3期214-221,共8页
[目的]科学评估黄淮海流域植被覆盖度变化中气候演变和人类活动的影响及定量贡献,为优化水土保持工作提供科学建议。[方法]基于黄淮海流域及其周围226个站点的气象数据以及SPOT-NDVI数据,利用像元二分法、线性斜率、Mann-Kendall趋势检... [目的]科学评估黄淮海流域植被覆盖度变化中气候演变和人类活动的影响及定量贡献,为优化水土保持工作提供科学建议。[方法]基于黄淮海流域及其周围226个站点的气象数据以及SPOT-NDVI数据,利用像元二分法、线性斜率、Mann-Kendall趋势检验和Person相关等方法,探讨植被覆盖度演变对蒸散发、降水、气温等气候因子响应的时间滞后效应,在残差分析法中增加时滞效应影响,评估了植被覆盖度变化原因。[结果](1)2000—2019年黄淮海流域年均植被覆盖度增长显著,线性斜率为0.038/10 a。(2)黄淮海流域植被覆盖度对降水响应滞后以0月和1月为主,分别占比52%和48%;对气温响应主要为无滞后性和滞后1月,分别占比61%和38%;对潜在蒸散发响应主要滞后1月和2月,分别占比49%和34%。[结论]影响黄淮海流域植被变化的主要因素为人类活动,气候变化的平均贡献率为33%,人类活动的平均贡献率为67%;其中约47%的区域人类活动影响贡献率超过80%,主要位于黄河流域西北部和东南部、海河流域南部和淮河流域。 展开更多
关键词 植被覆盖度 时滞效应 气候变化 人类活动 黄淮海流域
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数字经济对城乡融合发展的空间效应分析 被引量:3
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作者 赵翠萍 许永生 张颖 《农业现代化研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期33-45,共13页
城乡融合是实现乡村振兴和共同富裕的重要举措,数字经济的蓬勃发展为实现城乡融合提供了有效手段。本文基于2013—2022年我国30个省级行政区面板数据,采用熵值法测度了数字经济与城乡融合发展水平,对数字经济发展和城乡融合发展水平进... 城乡融合是实现乡村振兴和共同富裕的重要举措,数字经济的蓬勃发展为实现城乡融合提供了有效手段。本文基于2013—2022年我国30个省级行政区面板数据,采用熵值法测度了数字经济与城乡融合发展水平,对数字经济发展和城乡融合发展水平进行时空演变分析,采用空间滞后模型分析了数字经济对城乡融合的影响及其空间效应。结果表明:1)数字经济对城乡融合发展存在显著的促进作用;2)数字经济不仅促进了本地城乡融合的进程,也对邻近地区的城乡融合产生了正向的空间溢出效应;3)数字经济对不同地区城乡融合的影响存在区域异质性,对东部和西部地区的促进效果显著,而中部地区并未通过显著性检验。基于此,本文建议推动数字经济发展,利用数字化手段加速城乡融合进程;促进区域间技术合作与共享,发挥数字经济的辐射带动作用;因地制宜出台数字经济发展政策。 展开更多
关键词 数字经济 城乡融合发展 空间滞后模型 空间效应 溢出效应
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泰州市2016—2020年每日平均温度对居民循环及呼吸系统疾病死亡的滞后效应分析 被引量:1
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作者 张德坤 田元睿 +3 位作者 赵小兰 卢海燕 张艳秋 俞浩 《环境与健康杂志》 2025年第2期140-144,F0003,共6页
目的研究泰州市日均温度对居民每日循环、呼吸系统疾病死亡的影响。方法基于泰州市2016年1月1日至2020年12月31日居民死亡资料和气象资料,采用非线性分布滞后模型,并调整长期趋势、星期几效应等混杂因素,研究每日平均温度与循环、呼吸... 目的研究泰州市日均温度对居民每日循环、呼吸系统疾病死亡的影响。方法基于泰州市2016年1月1日至2020年12月31日居民死亡资料和气象资料,采用非线性分布滞后模型,并调整长期趋势、星期几效应等混杂因素,研究每日平均温度与循环、呼吸系统疾病死亡之间的相关性。结果日均气温对循环、呼吸系统疾病死亡效应曲线均呈“J”形。冷效应具有死亡延迟效应,气温对循环系统疾病、呼吸系统疾病死亡的冷效应分别在第5天和第6天时达到最大值,RR值分别为1.04(1.02~1.06)和1.04(1.01~1.06)。热效应具有死亡急性效应,气温对循环系统疾病、呼吸系统疾病死亡的热效应均在当天表现出最大,RR值分别为1.28(1.23~1.34)和1.29(1.20~1.38)。低温对循环系统死亡的累积效应在0~14 d滞后最强,而高温对循环、呼吸系统疾病死亡的累积效应均在0~7 d滞后最强。结论泰州市每日平均温度与循环、呼吸系统疾病死亡有关,在一定程度上存在滞后效应。提示应增加老年人在温度骤变情况时的防病意识,降低死亡风险。 展开更多
关键词 每日平均温度 每日死亡数 滞后效应研究
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大数据赋能的多任务旅游信息分析框架 被引量:1
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作者 杨光辉 李源彬 杨红兵 《无线电通信技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期187-195,共9页
以旅游大数据为基础,考虑长时间范围内的滞后效应以及不同搜索强度指数(Search Intensity Index,SII)之间的多任务影响,提出一种基于大数据的多任务旅游信息分析(Multi-tasking Tourism Information Analysis Based on Big Data,MTIABD... 以旅游大数据为基础,考虑长时间范围内的滞后效应以及不同搜索强度指数(Search Intensity Index,SII)之间的多任务影响,提出一种基于大数据的多任务旅游信息分析(Multi-tasking Tourism Information Analysis Based on Big Data,MTIABD)框架。使用融合信息重排序技术预测旅游需求,具体根据图引导结构模拟历史变量对未来变量的滞后影响。每个变量通过时间维度上的卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network,CNN)进行独立编码,利用二分图动态建模滞后效应,通过图聚合进行挖掘,实现对旅游需求的精准预测。基于上述技术,构建旅游需求预测系统,旅游者能够根据需求检索不同景点的信息。在真实数据集上进行大量实验,结果表明所提出的MTIABD框架在一步和多步预测方面均优于现有方法。在平均绝对百分比误差(Mean Absolute Percentage Error,MAPE)指标下,相较于基于实例的多变量时间序列图预测框架(Instance-wise Graph-rased Framework for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting,IGMTF),MTIABD在HK-2021数据集上的性能提高了16.75%,在MO-2021数据集上的性能提高了19.79%。 展开更多
关键词 大数据 多任务 图神经网络 滞后效应
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干旱对云南省植被生产力的影响累积效应和滞后效应
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作者 徐虹 王玉尤婷 +1 位作者 周云 张茂松 《生态学报》 北大核心 2025年第19期9700-9711,共12页
植被总初级生产力(Gross Primary Productivity,GPP)是陆地生态系统碳汇的重要组成部分。深入理解干旱对植被GPP影响的累积效应和滞后效应,揭示植被响应机制,对云南省生态安全具有重要意义。然而,关于植被GPP干旱响应机制的时空异质性... 植被总初级生产力(Gross Primary Productivity,GPP)是陆地生态系统碳汇的重要组成部分。深入理解干旱对植被GPP影响的累积效应和滞后效应,揭示植被响应机制,对云南省生态安全具有重要意义。然而,关于植被GPP干旱响应机制的时空异质性和影响因子的研究仍较为匮乏。研究基于2001—2023年植被GPP和标准化降水蒸散发指数数据,采用时间序列分析方法和最大相关系数法,分析了云南省气象干旱和植被GPP的时空变化特征,量化并探讨了干旱对植被GPP的累积效应与滞后效应,及其受长期干湿状况和海拔的影响。结果表明:(1)近23年以来,云南省总体上表现为不显著干旱化趋势。干旱的高发区域主要分布在西北部、西部和中东部,高发时段为春季和秋季。植被GPP多年均值为1600.2 g C/m^(2),年际变化表现为极显著上升趋势(6.8 g C m^(-2) a^(-1),P<0.001),但年际波动较为明显。(2)植被GPP对干旱的响应具有明显的时空异质性,以秋季和春季响应最为显著,空间上干热河谷地区最易受干旱影响,响应强烈且迅速。(3)全省52.0%和54.9%的区域植被GPP显著受干旱累积效应和滞后效应的影响。累积效应时间尺度以中短期(4—6个月)和长期(10—12个月)为主,滞后时间以长期(10—12个月)为主。相较灌木和森林,农田和草地对干旱的响应更强烈、时间尺度更短。滞后时间在不同植被类型间的差异较小。(4)长期干湿状况和海拔是影响干旱累积效应和滞后效应的重要因素。随着环境从干燥转为湿润或是海拔升高,干旱影响强度会逐渐降低,累积效应时间尺度延长,而滞后时间则缩短。海拔对干旱影响强度的作用大于干湿状况,而累积效应时间尺度和滞后时间受干湿状况的影响则更显著。研究结果可以为干旱风险缓解与应对管理策略的制定提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 总初级生产力 干旱影响 累积效应 滞后效应 云南省
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考虑库水位变化速率的土石坝渗流监控模型
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作者 马福恒 马琳 +2 位作者 娄本星 叶伟 李伟伟 《水利水运工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期78-87,共10页
近年来,暴雨洪涝、干旱等灾害频发,土石坝运行过程中常遭遇库水位骤变等非常规工况。现有土石坝渗流监控模型大多只考虑库水位的滞后效应,忽略了库水位变化速率对渗流的影响。为此,提出了一种改进的土石坝渗流监控模型,该模型结合库水... 近年来,暴雨洪涝、干旱等灾害频发,土石坝运行过程中常遭遇库水位骤变等非常规工况。现有土石坝渗流监控模型大多只考虑库水位的滞后效应,忽略了库水位变化速率对渗流的影响。为此,提出了一种改进的土石坝渗流监控模型,该模型结合库水位变化速率及滞后效应函数,优化了传统渗流模型中水压分量的计算方法,从而更精确地反映了库水位变化对土石坝渗流的影响。结合某水库的实测渗流数据,验证了所提模型的有效性,并与已有方法进行了对比分析。结果表明:在拟合效果上,本模型的复相关系数提升显著;在预测效果上,本模型表现出了良好的适应性和预测准确性,特别是在库水位发生突变的情况下,模型的平均绝对误差、平均绝对误差百分比和均方根误差分别降低了42.6%~58.0%、42.7%~58.2%、42.1%~55.2%。研究结果可为土石坝在极端条件下的安全性能评估提供理论依据和技术支持。 展开更多
关键词 土石坝 渗流 监控模型 水位变化速率 滞后效应
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Spatio-temporal patterns and climatic drivers of spring phenology in eight forest communities across the north-south transitional zone of China 被引量:1
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作者 ZHU Wenbin LU Yu 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第1期17-38,共22页
The Qinba Mountains are climatically and ecologically recognized as the north-south transitional zone of China.Analysis of its phenology is critical for comprehending the response of vegetation to climatic change.We r... The Qinba Mountains are climatically and ecologically recognized as the north-south transitional zone of China.Analysis of its phenology is critical for comprehending the response of vegetation to climatic change.We retrieved the start of spring phenology(SOS)of eight forest communities from the MODIS products and adopted it as an indicator for spring phenology.Trend analysis,partial correlation analysis,and GeoDetector were employed to reveal the spatio-temporal patterns and climatic drivers of SOS.The results indicated that the SOS presented an advance trend from 2001 to 2020,with a mean rate of−0.473 d yr^(−1).The SOS of most forests correlated negatively with air temperature(TEMP)and positively with precipitation(PRE),suggesting that rising TEMP and increasing PRE in spring would forward and delay SOS,respectively.The dominant factors influencing the sensitivity of SOS to climatic variables were altitude,forest type,and latitude,while the effects of slope and aspect were relatively minor.The response of SOS to climatic factors varied significantly in space and among forest communities,partly due to the influence of altitude,slope,and aspect. 展开更多
关键词 spring phenology climatic drivers altitude forest communities lag effect Qinba Mountains
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深江铁路虎跳门特大桥混凝土板-钢桁组合梁斜拉桥总体设计
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作者 刘振标 胡方杰 +1 位作者 夏正春 印涛 《铁道标准设计》 北大核心 2025年第2期67-74,共8页
虎跳门特大桥为新建深圳至江门铁路控制性工程之一,主桥采用主跨300 m斜拉桥。为研究适用于300 m级铁路斜拉桥主梁最优结构形式,对组合箱梁、混合箱梁、混凝土板-钢桁组合梁等3种主梁进行比选,混凝土板-钢桁组合梁在景观效果、抗风性能... 虎跳门特大桥为新建深圳至江门铁路控制性工程之一,主桥采用主跨300 m斜拉桥。为研究适用于300 m级铁路斜拉桥主梁最优结构形式,对组合箱梁、混合箱梁、混凝土板-钢桁组合梁等3种主梁进行比选,混凝土板-钢桁组合梁在景观效果、抗风性能、经济性等方面具有明显优势,作为推荐方案。针对混凝土板-钢桁组合梁开展设计关键技术研究,以最小用钢量为目标确定了结构关键设计参数;揭示了结构的受力行为,得出了构件内力分配比例;分析“Π”形宽板的剪力滞效应。研究结果表明,当下弦钢结构与混凝土板截面积比约为1.2%时,主梁用钢量达到最小;此时混凝土板承担约90%轴向力,在有索节点承担约70%剪力,无索节点承担约40%剪力。混凝土板剪力滞系数从跨中至桥塔支点总体呈增大趋势,恒载1.02~1.16,活载1.09~1.22;主梁具有良好的抗风性能和行车性能,不会成为全线列车运行速度控制点。 展开更多
关键词 高速铁路 斜拉桥 总体设计 设计参数 内力分配 剪力滞效应
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2019—2023年大气污染物对儿童哮喘的影响——基于南京市儿童医院哮喘门诊量的分析
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作者 韦丽 龚兴 +4 位作者 熊丽林 张艺 孙凤霞 潘伟 许长娣 《环境与职业医学》 北大核心 2025年第4期408-414,419,共8页
[背景]哮喘严重影响着儿童的生长发育和心理健康,对儿童哮喘水平的控制和风险因素的评估逐渐为人们所重视。越来越多的研究发现大气污染物暴露能够明显增加儿童哮喘的发病风险。[目的]了解南京市大气污染物浓度变化及南京市儿童医院哮... [背景]哮喘严重影响着儿童的生长发育和心理健康,对儿童哮喘水平的控制和风险因素的评估逐渐为人们所重视。越来越多的研究发现大气污染物暴露能够明显增加儿童哮喘的发病风险。[目的]了解南京市大气污染物浓度变化及南京市儿童医院哮喘门诊就诊情况,定量分析不同大气污染物暴露对儿童哮喘门诊就诊量的影响。[方法]收集南京市2019年1月1日—20_(2)3年12月31日的逐日细颗粒物(PM_(2.5))、可吸入颗粒物(PM_(10))、二氧化硫(SO_(2))、二氧化氮(NO_(2))、一氧化碳(CO)、臭氧(O_(3))浓度数据,气象数据(气温、气压和相对湿度)以及哮喘儿童门诊就诊资料,采用基于类泊松分布的广义相加模型定量分析大气污染物短期暴露对儿童哮喘门诊就诊量的影响。[结果]2019—2023年南京市大气污染物PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、SO_(2)、NO_(2)年平均浓度均未超过国家限值。单污染物模型分析显示PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、NO_(2)、CO均对儿童哮喘就诊量的单日滞后效应均在污染当天时最大,污染物浓度每升高10个单位,超额风险(ER)值分别为1.39%(95%CI:0.65%~2.14%)、1.46%(95%CI:0.97%~1.95%)、5.46%(95%CI:4.36%~6.57%)、0.18%(95%CI:0.11%~0.26%),SO_(2)在lag1时达到最大效应,浓度每升高10个单位,ER值为23.15%(95%CI:13.57%~33.53%)。不同污染物最大累积滞后效应的时间不同,PM_(10)、PM_(2.5)、SO_(2)、NO_(2)、CO分别在lag01、lag01、lag0_(2)、lag0_(2)和lag03时的累积滞后效应最大,ER值分别为1.35%(95%CI:0.77%~1.92%)、0.96%(95%CI:0.10%~1.83%)、28.50%(95%CI:15.49%~42.98%)、6.92%(95%CI:5.53%~8.33%)和0.31%(95%CI:0.20%~0.42%)。PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)对儿童哮喘门诊量的影响随年龄的增大而增加,NO_(2)、SO_(2)和CO则呈现随年龄的增大而减小的现象。[结论]大气污染物(PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)、SO_(2)、NO_(2)、CO)会增加儿童哮喘就诊量,且不同污染物对不同年龄段儿童哮喘就诊量的影响不同。 展开更多
关键词 大气污染物 儿童 哮喘 门诊就诊量 滞后效应
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