The study of the propagation of infectious diseases in urban centers finds a close connection with their population's social characteristics and behavior.This work performs a spatial analysis of dengue cases in ur...The study of the propagation of infectious diseases in urban centers finds a close connection with their population's social characteristics and behavior.This work performs a spatial analysis of dengue cases in urban centers based on the basic reproduction numbers,R0,and incidence by planning areas(PAs),as well as their correlations with the Human Development Index(HDI)and the number of trips.We analyzed dengue epidemics in 2002 at two Brazilian urban centers,Belo Horizonte(BH)and Rio de Janeiro(RJ),using PAs as spatial units.Our results reveal heterogeneous spatial scenarios for both cities,with very weak correlations between R0 and both the number of trips and the HDI;in BH,the values of R0 show a less spatial heterogeneous pattern than in RJ.For BH,there are moderate correlations between incidence and both the number of trips and the HDI;meanwhile,they weakly correlate for RJ.Finally,the absence of strong correlations between the considered measures indicates that the transmission process should be treated considering the city as a whole.展开更多
基金support of the National Council of Technological and Scientific Development,CNPq,Brazil(grant no.305941/2021-6)support of Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior/Programa de Excelência Acadêmica(CAPES/PROEX)for the publication charge.
文摘The study of the propagation of infectious diseases in urban centers finds a close connection with their population's social characteristics and behavior.This work performs a spatial analysis of dengue cases in urban centers based on the basic reproduction numbers,R0,and incidence by planning areas(PAs),as well as their correlations with the Human Development Index(HDI)and the number of trips.We analyzed dengue epidemics in 2002 at two Brazilian urban centers,Belo Horizonte(BH)and Rio de Janeiro(RJ),using PAs as spatial units.Our results reveal heterogeneous spatial scenarios for both cities,with very weak correlations between R0 and both the number of trips and the HDI;in BH,the values of R0 show a less spatial heterogeneous pattern than in RJ.For BH,there are moderate correlations between incidence and both the number of trips and the HDI;meanwhile,they weakly correlate for RJ.Finally,the absence of strong correlations between the considered measures indicates that the transmission process should be treated considering the city as a whole.
