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Mapping paddy rice in northeast China with a knowledge-based algorithm and time series optical,microwave,and thermal imagery
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作者 Chenchen ZHANG Xiangming XIAO +6 位作者 Xinxin WANG Yuanwei QIN Russell DOUGHTY Xuebin YANG Cheng MENG Yuan YAO Jinwei DONG 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 2025年第3期364-379,共16页
Accurate and timely large-scale paddy rice maps with remote sensing are essential for crop monitoring and management and are used for assessing its impacts on food security,water resource management,and transmission o... Accurate and timely large-scale paddy rice maps with remote sensing are essential for crop monitoring and management and are used for assessing its impacts on food security,water resource management,and transmission of zoonotic infectious diseases.Optical image-based paddy rice mapping studies employed the unique spectral feature during the flooding/transplanting period of paddy rice.However,the lack of high-quality observations during the flooding/transplanting stage caused by rain and clouds and spectral similarity between paddy rice and natural wetlands often introduce errors in paddy rice identification,especially in paddy rice and wetland coexistent areas.In this study,we used a knowledge-based algorithm and time series observation from optical images(Sentinel-2 and Landsat 7/8)and microwave images(Sentinel-1)to address these issues.The final 10-m paddy rice map had user’s accuracy,producer’s accuracy,F1-score,and overall accuracy of 0.91±0.004,0.74±0.010,0.82,and 0.98±0.001(±value is the standard error),respectively.Over half(62.0%)of the paddy rice pixels had a confidence level of 1(detected by both optical images and microwave images),while 38.0%had a confidence level of 0.5(detected by either optical images or microwave images).The estimated paddy rice area in northeast China for 2020 was 60.83±0.86×10^(3)km^(2).Provincial and municipal rice areas in our data set agreed well with other existing paddy rice data sets and the Agricultural Statistical Yearbooks.These findings indicate that knowledge-based paddy rice mapping algorithms and a combination of optical and microwave images hold great potential for timely and frequently accurate paddy rice mapping in large-scale complex landscapes. 展开更多
关键词 paddy rice rice-wetland coexistence area flooding signal knowledge-based algorithm confidence map
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A physics knowledge-based surrogate model framework for timedependent slope deformation:Considering water effect and sliding states
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作者 Wenyu Zhuang Yaoru Liu +3 位作者 Kai Zhang Qingchao Lyu Shaokang Hou Qiang Yang 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2025年第9期5416-5436,共21页
The surrogate model serves as an efficient simulation tool during the slope parameter inversion process.However,the creep constitutive model integrated with dynamic damage evolution poses challenges in development of ... The surrogate model serves as an efficient simulation tool during the slope parameter inversion process.However,the creep constitutive model integrated with dynamic damage evolution poses challenges in development of the required surrogate model.In this study,a novel physics knowledge-based surrogate model framework is proposed.In this framework,a Transformer module is employed to capture straindriven softening-hardening physical mechanisms.Positional encoding and self-attention are utilized to transform the constitutive parameters associated with shear strain,which are not directly time-related,into intermediate latent features for physical loss calculation.Next,a multi-layer stacked GRU(gated recurrent unit)network is built to provide input interfaces for time-dependent intermediate latent features,hydraulic boundary conditions,and water-rock interaction degradation equations,with static parameters introduced via external fully-connected layers.Finally,a combined loss function is constructed to facilitate the collaborative training of physical and data loss,introducing time-dependent weight adjustments to focus the surrogate model on accurate deformation predictions during critical phases.Based on the deformation of a reservoir bank landslide triggered by impoundment and subsequent restabilization,an elasto-viscoplastic constitutive model that considers water effect and sliding state dependencies is developed to validate the proposed surrogate model framework.The results indicate that the framework exhibits good performance in capturing physical mechanisms and predicting creep behavior,reducing errors by about 30 times compared to baseline models such as GRU and LSTM(long short-term memory),meeting the precision requirements for parameter inversion.Ablation experiments also confirmed the effectiveness of the framework.This framework can also serve as a reference for constructing other creep surrogate models that involve non-time-related across dimensions. 展开更多
关键词 Reservoir bank slope Time-dependent deformation Elasto-viscoplastic constitutive model Physics knowledge-based deep learning Surrogate model
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基于Cross-Validation的小波自适应去噪方法 被引量:5
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作者 黄文清 戴瑜兴 李加升 《湖南大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第11期40-43,共4页
小波去噪算法中,阈值的选择非常关键.提出一种自适应阈值选择算法.该算法先通过Cross-Validation方法将噪声干扰信号分成两个子信号,一个用于阈值处理,一个用作参考信号;再采用最深梯度法来寻求一个最优去噪阈值.仿真和实验结果表明:在... 小波去噪算法中,阈值的选择非常关键.提出一种自适应阈值选择算法.该算法先通过Cross-Validation方法将噪声干扰信号分成两个子信号,一个用于阈值处理,一个用作参考信号;再采用最深梯度法来寻求一个最优去噪阈值.仿真和实验结果表明:在均方误差意义上,所提算法去噪效果优于Donoho等提出的VisuShrink和SureShrink两种去噪算法,且不需要带噪信号的任何'先验信息',适应于实际信号去噪处理. 展开更多
关键词 小波变换 cross-validation 自适应滤波 阈值
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Knowledge-Based Classification in Automated Soil Mapping 被引量:10
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作者 ZHOU BIN and WANG RENCHAOInstitute of Agricultural Remote Sensing and Information Technology Application, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310029 (China) 《Pedosphere》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第3期209-218,共10页
A machine-learning approach was developed for automated building of knowledgebases for soil resources mapping by using a classification tree to generate knowledge from trainingdata. With this method, building a knowle... A machine-learning approach was developed for automated building of knowledgebases for soil resources mapping by using a classification tree to generate knowledge from trainingdata. With this method, building a knowledge base for automated soil mapping was easier than usingthe conventional knowledge acquisition approach. The knowledge base built by classification tree wasused by the knowledge classifier to perform the soil type classification of Longyou County,Zhejiang Province, China using Landsat TM bi-temporal images and CIS data. To evaluate theperformance of the resultant knowledge bases, the classification results were compared to existingsoil map based on a field survey. The accuracy assessment and analysis of the resultant soil mapssuggested that the knowledge bases built by the machine-learning method was of good quality formapping distribution model of soil classes over the study area. 展开更多
关键词 CLASSIFICATION classification tree knowledge-based rule extracting soilmapping
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Knowledge-based bridge detection from SAR images 被引量:5
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作者 Wang Wenguang Sun Jinping Hu Rui Mao Shiyi 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第5期929-936,共8页
Automatic bridge detection is an important application of SAR images. Differed from the classical CFAR method, a new knowledge-based bridge detection approach is proposed. The method not only uses the backscattering i... Automatic bridge detection is an important application of SAR images. Differed from the classical CFAR method, a new knowledge-based bridge detection approach is proposed. The method not only uses the backscattering intensity difference between targets and background but also applies the contextual information and spatial relationship between objects. According to bridges' special characteristics and scattering properties in SAR images, the new knowledge-based method includes three processes: river segmentation, potential bridge areas detection and bridge discrimination. The application to AIRSAR data shows that the new method is not sensitive to rivers' shape. Moreover, this method can detect bridges successfully when river segmentation is not very exact and is more robust than the radius projection method. 展开更多
关键词 knowledge-based bridge detection SAR contextual information mathematical morphology.
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New Knowledge-based Genetic Algorithm for Excavator Boom Structural Optimization 被引量:6
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作者 HUA Haiyan LIN Shuwen 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第2期392-401,共10页
Due to the insufficiency of utilizing knowledge to guide the complex optimal searching, existing genetic algorithms fail to effectively solve excavator boom structural optimization problem. To improve the optimization... Due to the insufficiency of utilizing knowledge to guide the complex optimal searching, existing genetic algorithms fail to effectively solve excavator boom structural optimization problem. To improve the optimization efficiency and quality, a new knowledge-based real-coded genetic algorithm is proposed. A dual evolution mechanism combining knowledge evolution with genetic algorithm is established to extract, handle and utilize the shallow and deep implicit constraint knowledge to guide the optimal searching of genetic algorithm circularly. Based on this dual evolution mechanism, knowledge evolution and population evolution can be connected by knowledge influence operators to improve the conflgurability of knowledge and genetic operators. Then, the new knowledge-based selection operator, crossover operator and mutation operator are proposed to integrate the optimal process knowledge and domain culture to guide the excavator boom structural optimization. Eight kinds of testing algorithms, which include different genetic operators, arc taken as examples to solve the structural optimization of a medium-sized excavator boom. By comparing the results of optimization, it is shown that the algorithm including all the new knowledge-based genetic operators can more remarkably improve the evolutionary rate and searching ability than other testing algorithms, which demonstrates the effectiveness of knowledge for guiding optimal searching. The proposed knowledge-based genetic algorithm by combining multi-level knowledge evolution with numerical optimization provides a new effective method for solving the complex engineering optimization problem. 展开更多
关键词 boom structural optimization dual evolution mechanism knowledge-based genetic strategies deep implicit knowledge domain culture
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Structural Topology Design of Container Ship Based on Knowledge-Based Engineering and Level Set Method 被引量:5
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作者 崔进举 王德禹 史琪琪 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第4期551-564,共14页
Knowledge-Based Engineering (KBE) is introduced into the ship structural design in this paper. From the implementation of KBE, the design solutions for both Rules Design Method (RDM) and Interpolation Design Meth... Knowledge-Based Engineering (KBE) is introduced into the ship structural design in this paper. From the implementation of KBE, the design solutions for both Rules Design Method (RDM) and Interpolation Design Method (IDM) are generated. The corresponding Finite Element (FE) models are generated. Topological design of the longitudinal structures is studied where the Gaussian Process (GP) is employed to build the surrogate model for FE analysis. Multi-objective optimization methods inspired by Pareto Front are used to reduce the design tank weight and outer surface area simultaneously. Additionally, an enhanced Level Set Method (LSM) which employs implicit algorithm is applied to the topological design of typical bracket plate which is used extensively in ship structures. Two different sets of boundary conditions are considered. The proposed methods show satisfactory efficiency and accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 knowledge-based Engineering (KBE) Level Set Method (LSM) Gaussian Process GP)
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Cross-Validation, Shrinkage and Variable Selection in Linear Regression Revisited 被引量:3
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作者 Hans C. van Houwelingen Willi Sauerbrei 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2013年第2期79-102,共24页
In deriving a regression model analysts often have to use variable selection, despite of problems introduced by data- dependent model building. Resampling approaches are proposed to handle some of the critical issues.... In deriving a regression model analysts often have to use variable selection, despite of problems introduced by data- dependent model building. Resampling approaches are proposed to handle some of the critical issues. In order to assess and compare several strategies, we will conduct a simulation study with 15 predictors and a complex correlation structure in the linear regression model. Using sample sizes of 100 and 400 and estimates of the residual variance corresponding to R2 of 0.50 and 0.71, we consider 4 scenarios with varying amount of information. We also consider two examples with 24 and 13 predictors, respectively. We will discuss the value of cross-validation, shrinkage and backward elimination (BE) with varying significance level. We will assess whether 2-step approaches using global or parameterwise shrinkage (PWSF) can improve selected models and will compare results to models derived with the LASSO procedure. Beside of MSE we will use model sparsity and further criteria for model assessment. The amount of information in the data has an influence on the selected models and the comparison of the procedures. None of the approaches was best in all scenarios. The performance of backward elimination with a suitably chosen significance level was not worse compared to the LASSO and BE models selected were much sparser, an important advantage for interpretation and transportability. Compared to global shrinkage, PWSF had better performance. Provided that the amount of information is not too small, we conclude that BE followed by PWSF is a suitable approach when variable selection is a key part of data analysis. 展开更多
关键词 cross-validation LASSO SHRINKAGE SIMULATION STUDY VARIABLE SELECTION
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FAULT DIAGNOSIS OF ROTATING MACHINERY USING KNOWLEDGE-BASED FUZZY NEURAL NETWORK 被引量:2
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作者 李如强 陈进 伍星 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2006年第1期99-108,共10页
A novel knowledge-based fuzzy neural network (KBFNN) for fault diagnosis is presented. Crude rules were extracted and the corresponding dependent factors and antecedent coverage factors were calculated firstly from ... A novel knowledge-based fuzzy neural network (KBFNN) for fault diagnosis is presented. Crude rules were extracted and the corresponding dependent factors and antecedent coverage factors were calculated firstly from the diagnostic sample based on rough sets theory. Then the number of rules was used to construct partially the structure of a fuzzy neural network and those factors were implemented as initial weights, with fuzzy output parameters being optimized by genetic algorithm. Such fuzzy neural network was called KBFNN. This KBFNN was utilized to identify typical faults of rotating machinery. Diagnostic results show that it has those merits of shorter training time and higher right diagnostic level compared to general fuzzy neural networks. 展开更多
关键词 rotating machinery fault diagnosis rough sets theory fuzzy sets theory generic algorithm knowledge-based fuzzy neural network
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Knowledge-based potentials in bioinformatics: From a physicist's viewpoint 被引量:1
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作者 郑伟谋 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第12期22-27,共6页
Biological raw data are growing exponentially, providing a large amount of information on what life is. It is believed that potential functions and the rules governing protein behaviors can be revealed from analysis o... Biological raw data are growing exponentially, providing a large amount of information on what life is. It is believed that potential functions and the rules governing protein behaviors can be revealed from analysis on known native structures of proteins. Many knowledge-based potentials for proteins have been proposed. Contrary to most existing review articles which mainly describe technical details and applications of various potential models, the main foci for the discussion here are ideas and concepts involving the construction of potentials, including the relation between free energy and energy, the additivity of potentials of mean force and some key issues in potential construction. Sequence analysis is briefly viewed from an energetic viewpoint. 展开更多
关键词 knowledge-based potentials for proteins protein native structures sequence signals
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A Knowledge-based System for the Analysis of the Ability of Paying back Loans 被引量:1
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作者 Zhu Ming(朱明) +1 位作者 Yang Baoan(杨保安) 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2001年第1期123-126,共4页
This paper describes the development of a knowledgebased system (KBS) for determining whether or not, and under what conditions, a bank Ioan officer should grant a business loan to a company. The prototype system deve... This paper describes the development of a knowledgebased system (KBS) for determining whether or not, and under what conditions, a bank Ioan officer should grant a business loan to a company. The prototype system developed focuses on what is bank loans risks management, how to prevent risk by the analysis of the ability of paying back loans. The paper makes the structural analysis involved in the system's decision situation, the structured situation diagram or model, dependency diagram and the document needed by the KBS prototype system thus are developed. Through testing the samples from loan business, the quality for the analysis of the ability of paying back loans can be effectively evaluated by the KBS prototype system. 展开更多
关键词 knowledge-based SYSTEM (KBS) the KBS prototype system the ABILITY of paying BACK loans bank LOANS risk management.
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Classification of aviation incident causes using LGBM with improved cross-validation 被引量:1
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作者 NI Xiaomei WANG Huawei +1 位作者 CHEN Lingzi LIN Ruiguan 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期396-405,共10页
Aviation accidents are currently one of the leading causes of significant injuries and deaths worldwide. This entices researchers to investigate aircraft safety using data analysis approaches based on an advanced mach... Aviation accidents are currently one of the leading causes of significant injuries and deaths worldwide. This entices researchers to investigate aircraft safety using data analysis approaches based on an advanced machine learning algorithm.To assess aviation safety and identify the causes of incidents, a classification model with light gradient boosting machine (LGBM)based on the aviation safety reporting system (ASRS) has been developed. It is improved by k-fold cross-validation with hybrid sampling model (HSCV), which may boost classification performance and maintain data balance. The results show that employing the LGBM-HSCV model can significantly improve accuracy while alleviating data imbalance. Vertical comparison with other cross-validation (CV) methods and lateral comparison with different fold times comprise the comparative approach. Aside from the comparison, two further CV approaches based on the improved method in this study are discussed:one with a different sampling and folding order, and the other with more CV. According to the assessment indices with different methods, the LGBMHSCV model proposed here is effective at detecting incident causes. The improved model for imbalanced data categorization proposed may serve as a point of reference for similar data processing, and the model’s accurate identification of civil aviation incident causes can assist to improve civil aviation safety. 展开更多
关键词 aviation safety imbalance data light gradient boosting machine(LGBM) cross-validation(CV)
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Integration of Decision-Support and Knowledge-Based Techniques in a Problem-Solving Strategy for Selection Problems 被引量:1
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作者 David McSherry(School of Information and Software Engineering,Faculty of Informatics, University of Ulster,Coleraine BT52 1SA, Northern Ireland) 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1996年第2期35-54,共20页
The limitations of traditional approaches to selection problems are examined. A problemsolving strategy is presented in which decision-support and knowledge-based techniques play complementary roles. An approach to th... The limitations of traditional approaches to selection problems are examined. A problemsolving strategy is presented in which decision-support and knowledge-based techniques play complementary roles. An approach to the representation of knowledge to support the problem-solving strategy is presented which avoids commitment to a specific programming language or implementation environment. The problem of choosing a home is used to illustrate the representation of knowledge in a specific problem domain. Techniques for implementation of the problem-solving strategy are described. Knowledge elicitation techniques and their implementation in a development shell for application of the problem-solving strategy to any selection problem are also described. 展开更多
关键词 knowledge-based systems Decision-support systems Knowledge acquisition Multiple criteria decision making Operational research Analytic hierarchy process
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Yarn Quality Prediction and Diagnosis Based on Rough Set and Knowledge-Based Artificial Neural Network 被引量:1
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作者 杨建国 徐兰 +1 位作者 项前 刘彬 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2014年第6期817-823,共7页
In the spinning process, some key process parameters( i. e.,raw material index inputs) have very strong relationship with the quality of finished products. The abnormal changes of these process parameters could result... In the spinning process, some key process parameters( i. e.,raw material index inputs) have very strong relationship with the quality of finished products. The abnormal changes of these process parameters could result in various categories of faulty products. In this paper, a hybrid learning-based model was developed for on-line intelligent monitoring and diagnosis of the spinning process. In the proposed model, a knowledge-based artificial neural network( KBANN) was developed for monitoring the spinning process and recognizing faulty quality categories of yarn. In addition,a rough set( RS)-based rule extraction approach named RSRule was developed to discover the causal relationship between textile parameters and yarn quality. These extracted rules were applied in diagnosis of the spinning process, provided guidelines on improving yarn quality,and were used to construct KBANN. Experiments show that the proposed model significantly improve the learning efficiency, and its prediction precision is improved by about 5. 4% compared with the BP neural network model. 展开更多
关键词 yarn quality prediction rough set(RS) knowledge discovery knowledge-based artificial neural network(KBANN)
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MY PERSONAL STUDY ON KNOWLEDGE-BASED ECONOMY 被引量:2
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作者 Deng Shuhui(Institute of Systems Science, the CAS) 《Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences》 1999年第2期119-120,共2页
The Financial Crisis in Asia is having a negative impacion the economic development of China, but it also enlightens us. It makes us consider and take measures to avoid such a crisis. I have put forward six measures, ... The Financial Crisis in Asia is having a negative impacion the economic development of China, but it also enlightens us. It makes us consider and take measures to avoid such a crisis. I have put forward six measures, one of which is to promote the transformation of S&T knowledge into productive forces. 展开更多
关键词 MODE MY PERSONAL STUDY ON knowledge-based ECONOMY
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ON THE CONSISTENCY OF CROSS-VALIDATIONIN NONLINEAR WAVELET REGRESSION ESTIMATION
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作者 张双林 郑忠国 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2000年第1期1-11,共11页
For the nonparametric regression model Y-ni = g(x(ni)) + epsilon(ni)i = 1, ..., n, with regularly spaced nonrandom design, the authors study the behavior of the nonlinear wavelet estimator of g(x). When the threshold ... For the nonparametric regression model Y-ni = g(x(ni)) + epsilon(ni)i = 1, ..., n, with regularly spaced nonrandom design, the authors study the behavior of the nonlinear wavelet estimator of g(x). When the threshold and truncation parameters are chosen by cross-validation on the everage squared error, strong consistency for the case of dyadic sample size and moment consistency for arbitrary sample size are established under some regular conditions. 展开更多
关键词 CONSISTENCY cross-validation nonparametric regression THRESHOLD TRUNCATION wavelet estimator
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Research on Knowledge-based Connecting Elements Modeling
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作者 HUANG Xiang, YAN Chong-jing (College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Nanjing University o f Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China) 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期162-163,共2页
Steps of manipulation is required to complete the m od eling of the connection elements such as bolt, pin and the like in commerce CAD system. It leads to low efficiency, difficulty to assure the relative position, im... Steps of manipulation is required to complete the m od eling of the connection elements such as bolt, pin and the like in commerce CAD system. It leads to low efficiency, difficulty to assure the relative position, impossibility to express rules and knowledge. Based on the inner character analy sis of interpart, detail modification and assembly relation of mechanical connec ting element, the idea, which extends the feature modeling of part to the interp art feature modeling for assembly purpose, is presented, and virtual part based connecting element modeling is proposed. Virtual part is a complement set of lo cal modification of part to be connected. In assembly modeling, base part is mod ified by Boolean operation between base part and virtual part. The modeling and assembly is finished just in one operation, at the same time the rules and knowl edge of the connection elements are encapsulated through virtual part. According to this mechanism, a knowledge-based connecting elements rapid design module i s developed on commerce software package UG with satisfying results. 展开更多
关键词 CAD knowledge-based engineering ASSEMBLY conn ecting element
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Optimizing the atom types of proteins through iterative knowledge-based potentials
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作者 汪心享 黄胜友 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第2期43-50,共8页
Knowledge-based scoring functions have been widely used for protein structure prediction, protein-small molecule, and protein-nucleic acid interactions, in which one critical step is to find an appropriate representat... Knowledge-based scoring functions have been widely used for protein structure prediction, protein-small molecule, and protein-nucleic acid interactions, in which one critical step is to find an appropriate representation of protein structures. A key issue is to determine the minimal protein representations, which is important not only for developing of scoring func- tions but also for understanding the physics of protein folding. Despite significant progresses in simplifying residues into alphabets, few studies have been done to address the optimal number of atom types for proteins. Here, we have investigated the atom typing issue by classifying the 167 heavy atoms of proteins through 11 schemes with 1 to 20 atom types based on their physicochemical and functional environments. For each atom typing scheme, a statistical mechanics-based iterative method was used to extract atomic distance-dependent potentials from protein structures. The atomic distance-dependent pair potentials for different schemes were illustrated by several typical atom pairs with different physicochemical proper- ties. The derived potentials were also evaluated on a high-resolution test set of 148 diverse proteins for native structure recognition. It was found that there was a crossover around the scheme of four atom types in terms of the success rate as a function of the number of atom types, which means that four atom types may be used when investigating the basic folding mechanism of proteins. However, it was revealed by a close examination of typical potentials that 14 atom types were needed to describe the protein interactions at atomic level. The present study will be beneficial for the development of protein related scoring functions and the understanding of folding mechanisms. 展开更多
关键词 atom types knowledge-based potentials statistical mechanics ITERATION
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Using Multiple Risk Factors and Generalized Linear Mixed Models with 5-Fold Cross-Validation Strategy for Optimal Carotid Plaque Progression Prediction
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作者 Qingyu Wang Dalin Tang +5 位作者 Liang Wang Gador Canton Zheyang Wu Thomas SHatsukami Kristen L Billiar Chun Yuan 《医用生物力学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2019年第A01期74-75,共2页
Background Cardiovascular diseases are closely linked to atherosclerotic plaque development and rupture.Plaque progression prediction is of fundamental significance to cardiovascular research and disease diagnosis,pre... Background Cardiovascular diseases are closely linked to atherosclerotic plaque development and rupture.Plaque progression prediction is of fundamental significance to cardiovascular research and disease diagnosis,prevention,and treatment.Generalized linear mixed models(GLMM)is an extension of linear model for categorical responses while considering the correlation among observations.Methods Magnetic resonance image(MRI)data of carotid atheroscleroticplaques were acquired from 20 patients with consent obtained and 3D thin-layer models were constructed to calculate plaque stress and strain for plaque progression prediction.Data for ten morphological and biomechanical risk factors included wall thickness(WT),lipid percent(LP),minimum cap thickness(MinCT),plaque area(PA),plaque burden(PB),lumen area(LA),maximum plaque wall stress(MPWS),maximum plaque wall strain(MPWSn),average plaque wall stress(APWS),and average plaque wall strain(APWSn)were extracted from all slices for analysis.Wall thickness increase(WTI),plaque burden increase(PBI)and plaque area increase(PAI) were chosen as three measures for plaque progression.Generalized linear mixed models(GLMM)with 5-fold cross-validation strategy were used to calculate prediction accuracy for each predictor and identify optimal predictor with the highest prediction accuracy defined as sum of sensitivity and specificity.All 201 MRI slices were randomly divided into 4 training subgroups and 1 verification subgroup.The training subgroups were used for model fitting,and the verification subgroup was used to estimate the model.All combinations(total1023)of 10 risk factors were feed to GLMM and the prediction accuracy of each predictor were selected from the point on the ROC(receiver operating characteristic)curve with the highest sum of specificity and sensitivity.Results LA was the best single predictor for PBI with the highest prediction accuracy(1.360 1),and the area under of the ROC curve(AUC)is0.654 0,followed by APWSn(1.336 3)with AUC=0.6342.The optimal predictor among all possible combinations for PBI was the combination of LA,PA,LP,WT,MPWS and MPWSn with prediction accuracy=1.414 6(AUC=0.715 8).LA was once again the best single predictor for PAI with the highest prediction accuracy(1.184 6)with AUC=0.606 4,followed by MPWSn(1. 183 2)with AUC=0.6084.The combination of PA,PB,WT,MPWS,MPWSn and APWSn gave the best prediction accuracy(1.302 5)for PAI,and the AUC value is 0.6657.PA was the best single predictor for WTI with highest prediction accuracy(1.288 7)with AUC=0.641 5,followed by WT(1.254 0),with AUC=0.6097.The combination of PA,PB,WT,LP,MinCT,MPWS and MPWS was the best predictor for WTI with prediction accuracy as 1.314 0,with AUC=0.6552.This indicated that PBI was a more predictable measure than WTI and PAI. The combinational predictors improved prediction accuracy by 9.95%,4.01%and 1.96%over the best single predictors for PAI,PBI and WTI(AUC values improved by9.78%,9.45%,and 2.14%),respectively.Conclusions The use of GLMM with 5-fold cross-validation strategy combining both morphological and biomechanical risk factors could potentially improve the accuracy of carotid plaque progression prediction.This study suggests that a linear combination of multiple predictors can provide potential improvement to existing plaque assessment schemes. 展开更多
关键词 Multiple Risk FACTORS GENERALIZED Linear 5-Fold cross-validation STRATEGY AUC
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A knowledge-based decision support system for engineering design
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作者 JIANG Hua, GAO Guo-an (Advanced Manufacturing Technology Center, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China) 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2000年第S1期41-44,共4页
A knowledge-based decision supporting system, used for engineering design is introduced by describing the architecture, function, workflow of the system and its way of implementation. Based upon information composed o... A knowledge-based decision supporting system, used for engineering design is introduced by describing the architecture, function, workflow of the system and its way of implementation. Based upon information composed of knowledge, models, data, cases, methods, etc, the system is designed to use such methods as knowledge-based reasoning, case-based reasoning, and multi-criteria evaluation techniques to provide effective tools to support the decision-making process. 展开更多
关键词 intelligent SUPPORTING SYSTEM knowledge-based REASONING multiple CRITERIA DECISION evaluation support SYSTEM
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