Consider the design problem for estimation and extrapolation in approximately linear regression models with possible misspecification. The design space is a discrete set consisting of finitely many points, and the mod...Consider the design problem for estimation and extrapolation in approximately linear regression models with possible misspecification. The design space is a discrete set consisting of finitely many points, and the model bias comes from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Two different design criteria are proposed by applying the minimax approach for estimating the parameters of the regression response and extrapolating the regression response to points outside of the design space. A simulated annealing algorithm is applied to construct the minimax designs. These minimax designs are compared with the classical D-optimal designs and all-bias extrapolation designs. Numerical results indicate that the simulated annealing algorithm is feasible and the minimax designs are robust against bias caused by model misspecification.展开更多
The steam turbine is a prime mover that converts kinetic energy in steam into rotational mechanical energy through the impact or reaction of the steam against the blades. The aim of this study is to design a steam tur...The steam turbine is a prime mover that converts kinetic energy in steam into rotational mechanical energy through the impact or reaction of the steam against the blades. The aim of this study is to design a steam turbine for a small scale steam power plant with target of producing electricity. The turbine is driven by the heat energy from palm kernel shells as a renewable energy source obtained at a lower or no cost. The study was concentrated on design of turbine elements and its validation using computer packages. Specifically, the microturbine design was limited to design, modeling, simulation and analysis of the rotor, blades and nozzle under the palm kernel shell as fuel for the micro power plant. In blade design, stress failures, efficiency and blade angle parameters were considered. In casing volume design, the overall heat transfer and mean temperature, and different concepts were applied. The thermal distribution on stator and rotor was considered in order to determine its level of tolerance. The design software packages used for design validation were Solidworks and Comsol Multiphysics for analysis. Simulation results showed that the designed steam turbine can adequately tolerate change in stress/load, torsion/compression, temperature and speeds.展开更多
With plants as the "kernel",based on the deliberation on the "kernel",by combining with "cultural inheritance and scientific development" as the theme of the exhibition,the paper has illu...With plants as the "kernel",based on the deliberation on the "kernel",by combining with "cultural inheritance and scientific development" as the theme of the exhibition,the paper has illustrated the design idea of Kernel Garden with plants landscaping as the dominance.On the basis of the natural condition,location and terrain of the No.6 exhibition garden,four functional spaces,seven transport nodes and a diagonal composition have been designed by adopting modern landscaping techniques.Through the illustration of seasonal plant landscapes,it has created the artistic conception of "inhaling in spring","enjoying in summer","tasting in autumn" and "listening in winter".Through the creative design of "Kernel Garden",it hopes to arouse the society's concern and pursuit of the future living environment and explore the development direction of landscaping and living environment.展开更多
This paper studies the model-robust design problem for general models with an unknown bias or contamination and the correlated errors. The true response function is assumed to be from a reproducing kernel Hilbert spac...This paper studies the model-robust design problem for general models with an unknown bias or contamination and the correlated errors. The true response function is assumed to be from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space and the errors are fitted by the qth order moving average process MA（q）, especially the MA（1） errors and the MA（2） errors. In both situations, design criteria are derived in terms of the average expected quadratic loss for the least squares estimation by using a minimax method. A case is studied and the orthogonality of the criteria is proved for this special response. The robustness of the design criteria is discussed through several numerical examples.展开更多
In order to obtain accurate conflict risks in terminal airspace design,the concept and calculation model of potential conflict frequency for intersected routes are proposed.Conflict frequency is represented by the pro...In order to obtain accurate conflict risks in terminal airspace design,the concept and calculation model of potential conflict frequency for intersected routes are proposed.Conflict frequency is represented by the product of horizontal conflict frequency and vertical conflict probability.The horizontal conflict frequency is derived from the probability density distribution of conflicts in a period of time.Based on the recorded radar trajectory data,the concept and model of ROUTE distance are proposed,and the probability density function of aircraft height at a specified ROUTE distance is deduced by kernel density estimation.Furthermore,vertical conflict probability and its horizontal distribution are achieved.Examples of three intersected arrival and departure route design schemes are studied.Compared with scheme 1,the conflict frequency values of the other two improved schemes decrease to53% and 24%,respectively.The results show that the model can quantify potential conflict frequency of intersected routes.展开更多
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(11471216,11301332)E-Institutes of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission(E03004)+1 种基金Central Finance Project(YC-XK-13105)Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Research Project(14DZ1201902)
文摘Consider the design problem for estimation and extrapolation in approximately linear regression models with possible misspecification. The design space is a discrete set consisting of finitely many points, and the model bias comes from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Two different design criteria are proposed by applying the minimax approach for estimating the parameters of the regression response and extrapolating the regression response to points outside of the design space. A simulated annealing algorithm is applied to construct the minimax designs. These minimax designs are compared with the classical D-optimal designs and all-bias extrapolation designs. Numerical results indicate that the simulated annealing algorithm is feasible and the minimax designs are robust against bias caused by model misspecification.
文摘The steam turbine is a prime mover that converts kinetic energy in steam into rotational mechanical energy through the impact or reaction of the steam against the blades. The aim of this study is to design a steam turbine for a small scale steam power plant with target of producing electricity. The turbine is driven by the heat energy from palm kernel shells as a renewable energy source obtained at a lower or no cost. The study was concentrated on design of turbine elements and its validation using computer packages. Specifically, the microturbine design was limited to design, modeling, simulation and analysis of the rotor, blades and nozzle under the palm kernel shell as fuel for the micro power plant. In blade design, stress failures, efficiency and blade angle parameters were considered. In casing volume design, the overall heat transfer and mean temperature, and different concepts were applied. The thermal distribution on stator and rotor was considered in order to determine its level of tolerance. The design software packages used for design validation were Solidworks and Comsol Multiphysics for analysis. Simulation results showed that the designed steam turbine can adequately tolerate change in stress/load, torsion/compression, temperature and speeds.
基金Supported by the Sharing Platform of Provincial Key Discipline,Provincial College Key Laboratories and School Laboratory,and the Key Scientific Research Fund Project of Southwest Forestry University(110809)~~
文摘With plants as the "kernel",based on the deliberation on the "kernel",by combining with "cultural inheritance and scientific development" as the theme of the exhibition,the paper has illustrated the design idea of Kernel Garden with plants landscaping as the dominance.On the basis of the natural condition,location and terrain of the No.6 exhibition garden,four functional spaces,seven transport nodes and a diagonal composition have been designed by adopting modern landscaping techniques.Through the illustration of seasonal plant landscapes,it has created the artistic conception of "inhaling in spring","enjoying in summer","tasting in autumn" and "listening in winter".Through the creative design of "Kernel Garden",it hopes to arouse the society's concern and pursuit of the future living environment and explore the development direction of landscaping and living environment.
基金Supported by NSFC grant(10671129)the Special Funds for Doctoral Authorities of Education Ministry(20060270002)+1 种基金E-Institutes of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission(E03004)Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project(S30405)
文摘This paper studies the model-robust design problem for general models with an unknown bias or contamination and the correlated errors. The true response function is assumed to be from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space and the errors are fitted by the qth order moving average process MA（q）, especially the MA（1） errors and the MA（2） errors. In both situations, design criteria are derived in terms of the average expected quadratic loss for the least squares estimation by using a minimax method. A case is studied and the orthogonality of the criteria is proved for this special response. The robustness of the design criteria is discussed through several numerical examples.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61039001)the State Technology Supporting Plan(2011BAH24B08)
文摘In order to obtain accurate conflict risks in terminal airspace design,the concept and calculation model of potential conflict frequency for intersected routes are proposed.Conflict frequency is represented by the product of horizontal conflict frequency and vertical conflict probability.The horizontal conflict frequency is derived from the probability density distribution of conflicts in a period of time.Based on the recorded radar trajectory data,the concept and model of ROUTE distance are proposed,and the probability density function of aircraft height at a specified ROUTE distance is deduced by kernel density estimation.Furthermore,vertical conflict probability and its horizontal distribution are achieved.Examples of three intersected arrival and departure route design schemes are studied.Compared with scheme 1,the conflict frequency values of the other two improved schemes decrease to53% and 24%,respectively.The results show that the model can quantify potential conflict frequency of intersected routes.
