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混合分布下GARCH-Jump模型的稳健推断
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作者 张宾 周艺 《哈尔滨商业大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第1期83-89,共7页
金融资产价格的收益率往往呈现尖峰厚尾的特征,且收益率可以分解为跳跃过程和非跳跃过程,其中跳跃行为会对金融市场产生显著影响.对现有文献中基于高斯分布的GARCH-Jump模型进行了改进,研究更符合金融数据的混合分布条件下对数收益率的G... 金融资产价格的收益率往往呈现尖峰厚尾的特征,且收益率可以分解为跳跃过程和非跳跃过程,其中跳跃行为会对金融市场产生显著影响.对现有文献中基于高斯分布的GARCH-Jump模型进行了改进,研究更符合金融数据的混合分布条件下对数收益率的GARCH-Jump模型,运用EM算法进行参数估计,判断跳跃点的发生.通过实证分析,发现在混合分布下建立的GARCH-Jump模型更符合对数收益率的分布特征,对于跳跃点的识别比现有基于混合高斯分布的模型更加稳健,同时可以获得更高收益. 展开更多
关键词 对数收益率 GARCH-jump模型 混合分布 T分布 参数估计 EM算法
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Biological Jumping Mechanism Analysis and Modeling for Frog Robot 被引量:19
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作者 Meng Wang Xi-zhe Zang Ji-zhuang Fan Jie Zhao 《Journal of Bionic Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2008年第3期181-188,共8页
This paper presents a mechanical model of jumping robot based on the biological mechanism analysis of frog. By biological observation and kinematic analysis the frog jump is divided into take-offphase, aerial phase an... This paper presents a mechanical model of jumping robot based on the biological mechanism analysis of frog. By biological observation and kinematic analysis the frog jump is divided into take-offphase, aerial phase and landing phase. We find the similar trajectories of hindlimb joints during jump, the important effect of foot during take-off and the role of forelimb in supporting the body. Based on the observation, the frog jump is simplified and a mechanical model is put forward. The robot leg is represented by a 4-bar spring/linkage mechanism model, which has three Degrees of Freedom (DOF) at hip joint and one DOF (passive) at tarsometatarsal joint on the foot. The shoulder and elbow joints each has one DOF for the balancing function of arm. The ground reaction force of the model is analyzed and compared with that of frog during take-off. The results show that the model has the same advantages of low likelihood of premature lift-off and high efficiency as the frog. Analysis results and the model can be employed to develop and control a robot capable of mimicking the jumping behavior of frog. 展开更多
关键词 frog jump modality kinematic analysis mechanical model jumping robot
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Valuing Credit Default Swap under a double exponential jump diffusion model 被引量:2
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作者 YANG Rui-cheng PANG Maooxiu JIN Zhuang 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第1期36-43,共8页
This paper discusses the valuation of the Credit Default Swap based on a jump market, in which the asset price of a firm follows a double exponential jump diffusion process, the value of the debt is driven by a geomet... This paper discusses the valuation of the Credit Default Swap based on a jump market, in which the asset price of a firm follows a double exponential jump diffusion process, the value of the debt is driven by a geometric Brownian motion, and the default barrier follows a continuous stochastic process. Using the Gaver-Stehfest algorithm and the non-arbitrage asset pricing theory, we give the default probability of the first passage time, and more, derive the price of the Credit Default Swap. 展开更多
关键词 Credit Default Swap Brownian motion double exponential jump diffusion model
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PRICING EUROPEAN OPTION IN A DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL JUMP-DIFFUSION MODEL WITH TWO MARKET STRUCTURE RISKS AND ITS COMPARISONS 被引量:14
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作者 Deng Guohe 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2007年第2期127-137,共11页
Using Fourier inversion transform, P.D.E. and Feynman-Kac formula, the closedform solution for price on European call option is given in a double exponential jump-diffusion model with two different market structure ri... Using Fourier inversion transform, P.D.E. and Feynman-Kac formula, the closedform solution for price on European call option is given in a double exponential jump-diffusion model with two different market structure risks that there exist CIR stochastic volatility of stock return and Vasicek or CIR stochastic interest rate in the market. In the end, the result of the model in the paper is compared with those in other models, including BS model with numerical experiment. These results show that the double exponential jump-diffusion model with CIR-market structure risks is suitable for modelling the real-market changes and very useful. 展开更多
关键词 double exponential distribution jump-diffusion model market structure risk
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WAVELET ESTIMATION FOR JUMPS IN A HETEROSCEDASTIC REGRESSION MODEL 被引量:4
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作者 任浩波 赵延孟 +1 位作者 李元 谢衷洁 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2002年第2期269-276,共8页
Wavelets are applied to detect the jumps in a heteroscedastic regression model. It is shown that the wavelet coefficients of the data have significantly large absolute values across fine scale levels near the jump poi... Wavelets are applied to detect the jumps in a heteroscedastic regression model. It is shown that the wavelet coefficients of the data have significantly large absolute values across fine scale levels near the jump points. Then a procedure is developed to estimate the jumps and jump heights. All estimators are proved to be consistent. 展开更多
关键词 Heteroscedastic regression model jumpS WAVELETS
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JUMP DETECTION BY WAVELET IN NONLINEAR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS 被引量:2
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作者 李元 谢衷洁 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 1999年第3期261-271,共11页
Wavelets are applied to detection of the jump points of a regression function in nonlinear autoregressive model x(t) = T(x(t-1)) + epsilon t. By checking the empirical wavelet coefficients of the data,which have signi... Wavelets are applied to detection of the jump points of a regression function in nonlinear autoregressive model x(t) = T(x(t-1)) + epsilon t. By checking the empirical wavelet coefficients of the data,which have significantly large absolute values across fine scale levels, the number of the jump points and locations where the jumps occur are estimated. The jump heights are also estimated. All estimators are shown to be consistent. Wavelet method ia also applied to the threshold AR(1) model(TAR(1)). The simple estimators of the thresholds are given,which are shown to be consistent. 展开更多
关键词 jump points nonlinear autoregressive models WAVELETS
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Pricing VIX options in a 3/2 plus jumps model
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作者 TAN Xiao-yu WANG Cheng-xiang +1 位作者 HUANG Wen-li LI Sheng-hong 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第3期323-334,共12页
This paper proposes and makes a study of a new model(called the 3/2 plus jumps model) for VIX option pricing. The model allows the mean-reversion speed and volatility of volatility to be highly sensitive to the actual... This paper proposes and makes a study of a new model(called the 3/2 plus jumps model) for VIX option pricing. The model allows the mean-reversion speed and volatility of volatility to be highly sensitive to the actual level of VIX. In particular, the positive volatility skew is addressed by the 3/2 plus jumps model. Daily calibration is used to prove that the proposed model preserves its validity and reliability for both in-sample and out-of-sample tests.The results show that the models are capable of fitting the market price while generating positive volatility skew. 展开更多
关键词 PRICING VIX options 3/2 plus jumps model positive volatility skew
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Modeling of Carrier-based Aircraft Ski Jump Take-off Based on Tensor 被引量:8
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作者 刘伟伟 屈香菊 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第4期326-335,共10页
A general mathematical model of carrier-based aircraft ski jump take-off is derived based on tensor. The carrier, the aircraft body and the movable parts of the landing gears are treated as independent entities. These... A general mathematical model of carrier-based aircraft ski jump take-off is derived based on tensor. The carrier, the aircraft body and the movable parts of the landing gears are treated as independent entities. These entities are assembled into a multi-rigid-body system with flexible links. Dynamical equations of each entity are derived on the basis of the Newton law and the Euler transformation. Using the invariance property of the tensor, the dynamical and kinematical equations are converted to tensor forms which are invariant under time-dependent coordinate transformations. Then the tensor-formed equations are expressed by the matrix operation. Differential equation group of the matrix form is formulated for the programming. The closure of the model is discussed, and the simulation results are given. 展开更多
关键词 mathematical model TENSOR carrier-based aircraft ski jump TAKE-OFF
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Structural jump-diffusion model for pricing collateralized debt obligations tranches
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作者 YANG Rui-cheng 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第4期420-428,共9页
This paper considers the pricing problem of collateralized debt obligations tranches under a structural jump-diffusion model, where the asset value of each reference entity is generated by a geometric Brownian motion ... This paper considers the pricing problem of collateralized debt obligations tranches under a structural jump-diffusion model, where the asset value of each reference entity is generated by a geometric Brownian motion and jump with an asymmetric double exponential distribution. Conditioned on the common factor of individual entity, this paper gets the conditional distribution, and further obtains the loss distribution of the whole reference portfolio. Based on the semi-analytic approach, the fair spreads of collateralized debt obligations tranches, i.e., the prices of collateralized debt obligations tranches, are derived. 展开更多
关键词 Structural jump-ditlusion model Brownian motion asymmetric double exponential distribution collateralized debt obligations loss distribution
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Numerical Methods for Discrete Double Barrier Option Pricing Based on Merton Jump Diffusion Model
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作者 Mingjia Li 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2017年第3期446-458,共13页
As a kind of weak-path dependent options, barrier options are an important kind of exotic options. Because the pricing formula for pricing barrier options with discrete observations cannot avoid computing a high dimen... As a kind of weak-path dependent options, barrier options are an important kind of exotic options. Because the pricing formula for pricing barrier options with discrete observations cannot avoid computing a high dimensional integral, numerical calculation is time-consuming. In the current studies, some scholars just obtained theoretical derivation, or gave some simulation calculations. Others impose underlying assets on some strong assumptions, for example, a lot of calculations are based on the Black-Scholes model. This thesis considers Merton jump diffusion model as the basic model to derive the pricing formula of discrete double barrier option;numerical calculation method is used to approximate the continuous convolution by calculating discrete convolution. Then we compare the results of theoretical calculation with simulation results by Monte Carlo method, to verify their efficiency and accuracy. By comparing the results of degeneration constant parameter model with the results of previous models we verified the calculation method is correct indirectly. Compared with the Monte Carlo simulation method, the numerical results are stable. Even if we assume the simulation results are accurate, the time consumed by the numerical method to achieve the same accuracy is much less than the Monte Carlo simulation method. 展开更多
关键词 DISCRETE DOUBLE Barrier OPTION MERTON jump Diffusion model DISCRETE Convolution Monte Carlo Method
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On the Parameterization of Convective Entrainment: Inherent Relationships among Entrainment Parameters in Bulk Models 被引量:2
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作者 孙鉴泞 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2009年第5期1005-1014,共10页
In this paper, the equilibrium entrainment into a shear-free, linearly stratified atmosphere is discussed under the framework of bulk models, namely, the zero-order jump model (ZOM) and the first-order jump model (... In this paper, the equilibrium entrainment into a shear-free, linearly stratified atmosphere is discussed under the framework of bulk models, namely, the zero-order jump model (ZOM) and the first-order jump model (FOM). The parameterizations for the dimensionless entrainment rate versus the convective Richard- son number in the two models are compared. Based on the assumption that the parameterized entrainment rates in ZOM and FOM should be the same, the inherent relationships among the entrainment parameters in the bulk models are revealed. These relationships are supported by tank experiments and large-eddy sim- ulations. The validity of these inherent relationships indicates that, for a convective boundary layer growing into a linearly stratified free atmosphere, the only dominant factors of the growth rate are the turbulent buoyancy in the mixed layer and the stratification in the free atmosphere. In the point of the similarity view, the former is characterized by turbulent temperature and mixing length scales (mixed layer depth), and the latter is characterized by the lapse rate of potential temperature in the free atmosphere. Thus, the commonly-used Richardson number scheme for the parameterization of the entrainment rate is just as an equivalent description. The variability of the total entrainment flux ratio in FOM, which is connected with the entrainment zone thickness, can implicitly describe the effect of the stratification in the free atmosphere, but the entrainment zone thickness is not an independent parameter. These results demonstrate the validity of the hypothesis that there exists a similarity limit in which the mixed layer depth is the only lengthscale. 展开更多
关键词 zero-order jump model first-order jump model convective Richardson number entrainmentrate lengthscale
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Distributed Model Predictive Control with Actuator Saturation for Markovian Jump Linear System 被引量:2
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作者 Yan Song Haifeng Lou Shuai Liu 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI 2015年第4期374-381,共8页
This paper is concerned with the distributed model predictive control (MPC) problem for a class of discrete-time Markovian jump linear systems (MJLSs) subject to actuator saturation and polytopic uncertainty in system... This paper is concerned with the distributed model predictive control (MPC) problem for a class of discrete-time Markovian jump linear systems (MJLSs) subject to actuator saturation and polytopic uncertainty in system matrices. The global system is decomposed into several subsystems which coordinate with each other. A set of distributed controllers is designed by solving a min-max optimization problem in terms of the solutions of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). An iterative algorithm is developed to achieve the online computation. Finally, a simulation example is employed to show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. © 2014 Chinese Association of Automation. 展开更多
关键词 Actuators ALGORITHMS Iterative methods Linear matrix inequalities Linear systems Markov processes Matrix algebra model predictive control Optimization Predictive control systems Robustness (control systems)
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Experimental investigation on single person's jumping load model 被引量:2
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作者 Chen Jun Wang Haoqi Wang Ling 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第4期703-714,共12页
This paper presents a modified half-sine-squared load model of the jumping impulses for a single person. The model is based on a database of 22,921 experimentally measured single jumping load cycles from 100 test subj... This paper presents a modified half-sine-squared load model of the jumping impulses for a single person. The model is based on a database of 22,921 experimentally measured single jumping load cycles from 100 test subjects. Threedimensional motion capture technology in conjunction with force plates was employed in the experiment to record jumping loads. The variation range and probability distribution of the controlling parameters for the load model such as the impact factor, jumping frequency and contact ratio, are discussed using the experimental data. Correlation relationships between the three parameters are investigated. The contact ratio and jumping frequency are identified as independent model parameters, and an empirical frequency-dependent function is derived for the impact factor. The feasibility of the proposed load model is established by comparing the simulated load curves with measured ones, and by comparing the acceleration responses of a single-degree-of-freedom system to the simulated and measured jumping loads. The results show that a realistic individual jumping load can be generated by the proposed method. This can then be used to assess the dynamic response of assembly structures. 展开更多
关键词 jumping loads three dimensional motion capture technology half-sine-squared model contact ratio impact factor
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A revised jump-diffusion and rotation-diffusion model
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作者 Hua Li Yu-Hang Chen Bin-Ze Tang 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第5期216-221,共6页
Quasi-elastic neutron scattering(QENS) has many applications that are directly related to the development of highperformance functional materials and biological macromolecules, especially those containing some water. ... Quasi-elastic neutron scattering(QENS) has many applications that are directly related to the development of highperformance functional materials and biological macromolecules, especially those containing some water. The analysis method of QENS spectra data is important to obtain parameters that can explain the structure of materials and the dynamics of water. In this paper, we present a revised jump-diffusion and rotation-diffusion model(rJRM) used for QENS spectra data analysis. By the rJRM, the QENS spectra from a pure magnesium-silicate-hydrate(MSH) sample are fitted well for the Q range from 0.3 ^(-1) to 1.9 ^(-1) and temperatures from 210 K up to 280 K. The fitted parameters can be divided into two kinds. The first kind describes the structure of the MSH sample, including the ratio of immobile water(or bound water) C and the confining radius of mobile water a_0. The second kind describes the dynamics of confined water in pores contained in the MSH sample, including the translational diffusion coefficient Dt, the average translational residence timeτ0, the rotational diffusion coefficient D_r, and the mean squared displacement(MSD) u^2. The r JRM is a new practical method suitable to fit QENS spectra from porous materials, where hydrogen atoms appear in both solid and liquid phases. 展开更多
关键词 revised jump-DIFFUSION and rotation-diffusion model (rJRM) data analysis of quasi-elastic neutron scattering (QENS) spectra dynamics of water magnesium-silicate-hydrate (MSH) samples
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溢流管开缝耦合滤网对旋流分离器分离效率的影响研究
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作者 栾飞 张博豪 +3 位作者 李爱霞 门鑫蕊 范凯龙 许兴杭 《现代制造工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期103-110,共8页
针对旋流分离器在实际分离过程中的低效率、高能耗问题,提出在旋流分离器溢流管处开缝并耦合滤网。据此设计了溢流管单层开缝、双层开缝和三层开缝的结构模型,并在开缝处分别耦合了150目和200目两种滤网,得出了6种改进方案。对滤网实际... 针对旋流分离器在实际分离过程中的低效率、高能耗问题,提出在旋流分离器溢流管处开缝并耦合滤网。据此设计了溢流管单层开缝、双层开缝和三层开缝的结构模型,并在开缝处分别耦合了150目和200目两种滤网,得出了6种改进方案。对滤网实际模型和多孔阶跃模型在压降上的误差进行比较,并分析了在不同速度下溢流管开缝层数和滤网目数对分离效率的影响。结果表明,流速大于10 m/s时,150目和200目两种滤网的实际模型和多孔阶跃模型的压降相对误差为0.70%和0.40%,验证了多孔阶跃模型的可靠性。在同一入口流速下,开缝层数越多,旋流器的切向速度越小、压降越低、分离效率越小,在相同开缝层数下,耦合150目滤网的切向速度和径向速度均低于耦合200目滤网,改进后旋流分离器的压降降幅最大可达18.76%。当入口速度为20 m/s时,改进后的6种旋流器的分离效率位于97.25%~97.59%之间,较常规旋流器97.63%的分离效率相差不大。采用旋流分离器溢流管开缝并耦合滤网的设计,可以在保持效率的前提下有效地降低能耗。 展开更多
关键词 水力旋流器 溢流管 滤网 多孔阶跃边界模型
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面向并联四足机器人跳跃步态的控制策略研究
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作者 郭凌岑 李愿 李维 《机械设计与制造》 北大核心 2025年第10期311-317,共7页
针对四足机器人的步态控制,提出了适应于并联四足机器人跳跃步态的高频模型预测控制方法(MPC)。根据机器人跳跃步态的特点,将四足机器人模型简化为等效的平面双足模型。在双足机器人模型下,通过MPC计算机器人腿部与地面之间的作用力,应... 针对四足机器人的步态控制,提出了适应于并联四足机器人跳跃步态的高频模型预测控制方法(MPC)。根据机器人跳跃步态的特点,将四足机器人模型简化为等效的平面双足模型。在双足机器人模型下,通过MPC计算机器人腿部与地面之间的作用力,应用比例差分控制器将作用力分配到四足机器人的各个腿部上,实现四足机器人跳跃步态的控制。为了验证所提控制方法的有效性,在开发的四足机器人样机上进行了验证实验,实验表明当机器人以跳跃步态稳定高效运行时,MPC的更新频率可以稳定在500Hz。研究结果可以为四足机器人工作效率提升和稳定性控制提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 四足机器人 跳跃步态 模型预测控制 平面双足模型
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Critical Exercise Price for American Floating Strike Lookback Option in a Mixed Jump-Diffusion Model 被引量:4
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作者 YANG Zhao-qiang 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 2018年第3期240-259,共20页
This paper studies the critical exercise price of American floating strike lookback options under the mixed jump-diffusion model. By using It formula and Wick-It-Skorohod integral, a new market pricing model estab... This paper studies the critical exercise price of American floating strike lookback options under the mixed jump-diffusion model. By using It formula and Wick-It-Skorohod integral, a new market pricing model established under the environment of mixed jumpdiffusion fractional Brownian motion. The fundamental solutions of stochastic parabolic partial differential equations are estimated under the condition of Merton assumptions. The explicit integral representation of early exercise premium and the critical exercise price are also given, then the American floating strike lookback options factorization formula is obtained, the results is generalized the classical Black-Scholes market pricing model. 展开更多
关键词 MIXED jump-DIFFUSION fractional BROWNIAN motion Wick-Ito-Skorohod integral market pricing model option factorization CRITICAL exercise price
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Extinction and Stationary Distribution of a Stochastic SIR Epidemic Model with Jumps
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作者 ZHU Min LI Jun-ping ZHU Yong-xiang 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2016年第6期843-850,共8页
A stochastic susceptible-infective-recovered(SIR)epidemic model with jumps was considered.The contributions of this paper are as follows.(1) The stochastic differential equation(SDE)associated with the model has a uni... A stochastic susceptible-infective-recovered(SIR)epidemic model with jumps was considered.The contributions of this paper are as follows.(1) The stochastic differential equation(SDE)associated with the model has a unique global positive solution;(2) the results reveal that the solution of this epidemic model will be stochastically ultimately bounded,and the non-linear SDE admits a unique stationary distribution under certain parametric conditions;(3) the coefficients play an important role in the extinction of the diseases. 展开更多
关键词 susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic model stochastically ultimately bounded FELLER stationary distribution EXTINCTION lumps
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基于非仿射双因子带跳随机波动率模型的期权定价研究
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作者 孙有发 陈嘉棋 +1 位作者 龚翼山 刘彩燕 《运筹与管理》 北大核心 2025年第8期127-133,I0083-I0092,共17页
短到期虚值期权的精确定价一直是金融衍生品领域的难点之一。现有基于Heston随机波动率模型的改进工作,如放宽对波动率扩散项系数的平方根设定、引入跳扩散过程、增加随机因子的数量,虽有各自的适用场景,但始终没能显著提升短到期虚值... 短到期虚值期权的精确定价一直是金融衍生品领域的难点之一。现有基于Heston随机波动率模型的改进工作,如放宽对波动率扩散项系数的平方根设定、引入跳扩散过程、增加随机因子的数量,虽有各自的适用场景,但始终没能显著提升短到期虚值期权的定价精度。为此,本文试图将已被证明有效、且得到广泛应用的特征结构,如非仿射波动率结构、泊松跳跃结构和双因子波动率结构,集成到一个Heston模型中,构建了一类非仿射双因子带跳随机波动率模型(Non-affine Double Heston Stochastic Volatility Jump-diffusion Model,NDHJ);然后应用特征函数局部微扰法以及能兼顾计算效率、精度与收敛性的Fourier-Sinc定价技术,推导出期权价格的近似解析表达式。数值实验与实证研究表明:与经典Heston模型、非仿射单因子带跳随机波动率模型等相比,NDHJ模型的期权定价精度显著更高,尤其是短到期期权和OTM期权。本文有望为期权定价提供一套通用的技术框架。 展开更多
关键词 期权定价 随机波动率模型 非仿射 跳扩散 Fourier-Sinc方法 特征函数微扰法
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