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Gearbox Fault Diagnosis using Adaptive Zero Phase Time-varying Filter Based on Multi-scale Chirplet Sparse Signal Decomposition 被引量:16
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作者 WU Chunyan LIU Jian +2 位作者 PENG Fuqiang YU Dejie LI Rong 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第4期831-838,共8页
When used for separating multi-component non-stationary signals, the adaptive time-varying filter(ATF) based on multi-scale chirplet sparse signal decomposition(MCSSD) generates phase shift and signal distortion. To o... When used for separating multi-component non-stationary signals, the adaptive time-varying filter(ATF) based on multi-scale chirplet sparse signal decomposition(MCSSD) generates phase shift and signal distortion. To overcome this drawback, the zero phase filter is introduced to the mentioned filter, and a fault diagnosis method for speed-changing gearbox is proposed. Firstly, the gear meshing frequency of each gearbox is estimated by chirplet path pursuit. Then, according to the estimated gear meshing frequencies, an adaptive zero phase time-varying filter(AZPTF) is designed to filter the original signal. Finally, the basis for fault diagnosis is acquired by the envelope order analysis to the filtered signal. The signal consisting of two time-varying amplitude modulation and frequency modulation(AM-FM) signals is respectively analyzed by ATF and AZPTF based on MCSSD. The simulation results show the variances between the original signals and the filtered signals yielded by AZPTF based on MCSSD are 13.67 and 41.14, which are far less than variances (323.45 and 482.86) between the original signals and the filtered signals obtained by ATF based on MCSSD. The experiment results on the vibration signals of gearboxes indicate that the vibration signals of the two speed-changing gearboxes installed on one foundation bed can be separated by AZPTF effectively. Based on the demodulation information of the vibration signal of each gearbox, the fault diagnosis can be implemented. Both simulation and experiment examples prove that the proposed filter can extract a mono-component time-varying AM-FM signal from the multi-component time-varying AM-FM signal without distortion. 展开更多
关键词 zero phase time-varying filter multi-scale CHIRPLET sparse signal decomposition speed-changing gearbox fault diagnosis
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Subinterval Decomposition-Based Interval Importance Analysis Method 被引量:1
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作者 Wenxuan Wang Xiaoyi Wang 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2020年第9期985-1000,共16页
The importance analysis method represents a powerful tool for quantifying the impact of input uncertainty on the output uncertainty.When an input variable is described by a specific interval rather than a certain prob... The importance analysis method represents a powerful tool for quantifying the impact of input uncertainty on the output uncertainty.When an input variable is described by a specific interval rather than a certain probability distribution,the interval importance measure of input interval variable can be calculated by the traditional non-probabilistic importance analysis methods.Generally,the non-probabilistic importance analysis methods involve the Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)and the optimization-based methods,which both have high computational cost.In order to overcome this problem,this study proposes an interval important analytical method avoids the time-consuming optimization process.First,the original performance function is decomposed into a combination of a series of one-dimensional subsystems.Next,the interval of each variable is divided into several subintervals,and the response value of each one-dimensional subsystem at a specific input point is calculated.Then,the obtained responses are taken as specific values of the new input variable,and the interval importance is calculated by the approximated performance function.Compared with the traditional non-probabilistic importance analysis method,the proposed method significantly reduces the computational cost caused by the MCS and optimization process.In the proposed method,the number of function evaluations is equal to one plus the sum of the subintervals of all of the variables.The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are verified by five examples.The results show that the proposed method is not only efficient but also accurate. 展开更多
关键词 Importance analysis method interval variable subinterval decomposition performance function MCS
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Multi-scale spatial relationships between soil total nitrogen and influencing factors in a basin landscape based on multivariate empirical mode decomposition 被引量:1
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作者 ZHU Hongfen CAO Yi +3 位作者 JING Yaodong LIU Geng BI Rutian YANG Wude 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第3期385-399,共15页
The relationships between soil total nitrogen(STN)and influencing factors are scale-dependent.The objective of this study was to identify the multi-scale spatial relationships of STN with selected environmental factor... The relationships between soil total nitrogen(STN)and influencing factors are scale-dependent.The objective of this study was to identify the multi-scale spatial relationships of STN with selected environmental factors(elevation,slope and topographic wetness index),intrinsic soil factors(soil bulk density,sand content,silt content,and clay content)and combined environmental factors(including the first two principal components(PC1 and PC2)of the Vis-NIR soil spectra)along three sampling transects located at the upstream,midstream and downstream of Taiyuan Basin on the Chinese Loess Plateau.We separated the multivariate data series of STN and influencing factors at each transect into six intrinsic mode functions(IMFs)and one residue by multivariate empirical mode decomposition(MEMD).Meanwhile,we obtained the predicted equations of STN based on MEMD by stepwise multiple linear regression(SMLR).The results indicated that the dominant scales of explained variance in STN were at scale 995 m for transect 1,at scales 956 and 8852 m for transect 2,and at scales 972,5716 and 12,317 m for transect 3.Multi-scale correlation coefficients between STN and influencing factors were less significant in transect 3 than in transects 1 and 2.The goodness of fit root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(NRMSE),and coefficient of determination(R2)indicated that the prediction of STN at the sampling scale by summing all of the predicted IMFs and residue was more accurate than that by SMLR directly.Therefore,the multi-scale method of MEMD has a good potential in characterizing the multi-scale spatial relationships between STN and influencing factors at the basin landscape scale. 展开更多
关键词 intrinsic MODE function MULTIVARIATE empirical MODE decomposition multi-scale spatial relationship sampling TRANSECT soil total nitrogen Chinese LOESS PLATEAU
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Discrete Wavelet Multi-scale Decomposition of the Temporal Gravity Variations in North China
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作者 Liu Fang Zhu Yiqing Chen Shi 《Earthquake Research in China》 2014年第3期360-369,共10页
On the basis of the absolute and relative gravity observations in North China,spatial dynamic variation of regional gravity fields is obtained. A multi-scale decomposition technique is used to separate anomalies at di... On the basis of the absolute and relative gravity observations in North China,spatial dynamic variation of regional gravity fields is obtained. A multi-scale decomposition technique is used to separate anomalies at different depths,and give some explanation to gravity variation at different time space scales. Gravity variation trends in North China are improved. Based on this result and the analysis of wavelet power spectrum,the images of the depth of wavelet approximation and detail are obtained. The results obtained are of scientific significance for the deep understanding of potential seismic risk in North China from gravity variations in different time space scales. 展开更多
关键词 Wavelet decomposition multi-scale Gravity variation field POWERSPECTRUM North China
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THEOREMS OF INTERVAL FUZZY SET AND ITS OPERATION RULES 被引量:3
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作者 吴顺祥 曹达 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2012年第2期136-144,共9页
Although the concept of interval fuzzy set and its properties have been defined, its three theorems and their effectiveness are not proved. Therefore, the knowledge presentation and its operation rules of interval fuz... Although the concept of interval fuzzy set and its properties have been defined, its three theorems and their effectiveness are not proved. Therefore, the knowledge presentation and its operation rules of interval fuzzy set are studied firstly, and then the cut set of interval fuzzy set is proposed. Moreover, the decomposition theo- rem, the representation theorem and the extension theorem of interval fuzzy set are presented. Finally, examples are given to demonstrate that the classical fuzzy set is a special case of interval fuzzy set and interval fuzzy set is an effective expansion of the classical fuzzy set. 展开更多
关键词 interval fuzzy set decomposition theorem representation theorem extension theorem
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On Improved Delay-dependent Robust Stability Criteria for Uncertain Systems with Interval Time-varying Delay 被引量:6
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作者 Jun-Jun Hui He-Xin Zhang +1 位作者 Xiang-Yu Kong Xin Zhou 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI CSCD 2015年第1期102-108,共7页
This paper considers the problem of delay-dependent robust stability for uncertain systems with interval time-varying delays. By using the direct Lyapunov method, a new Lyapunov-Krasovskii(L-K) functional is introduce... This paper considers the problem of delay-dependent robust stability for uncertain systems with interval time-varying delays. By using the direct Lyapunov method, a new Lyapunov-Krasovskii(L-K) functional is introduced based on decomposition approach, when dealing with the time derivative of L-K functional, a new tight integral inequality is adopted for bounding the cross terms. Then, a new less conservative delay-dependent stability criterion is formulated in terms of linear matrix inequalities(LMIs),which can be easily solved by optimization algorithms. Numerical examples are given to show the effectiveness and the benefits of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Lyapunov-Krasovskii(L-K) functional delay decomposition approach linear matrix inequality(LMI) interval timevarying delay robust stability
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Denoising of seismic data via multi-scale ridgelet transform 被引量:4
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作者 Henglei Zhang Tianyou Liu Yuncui Zhang 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2009年第5期493-498,共6页
Noise has traditionally been suppressed or eliminated in seismic data sets by the use of Fourier filters and, to a lesser degree, nonlinear statistical filters. Although these methods are quite useful under specific c... Noise has traditionally been suppressed or eliminated in seismic data sets by the use of Fourier filters and, to a lesser degree, nonlinear statistical filters. Although these methods are quite useful under specific conditions, they may produce undesirable effects for the low signal to noise ratio data. In this paper, a new method, multi-scale ridgelet transform, is used in the light of the theory of ridgelet transform. We employ wavelet transform to do sub-band decomposition for the signals and then use non-linear thresholding in ridgelet domain for every block. In other words, it is based on the idea of partition, at sufficiently fine scale, a curving singularity looks straight, and so ridgelet transform can work well in such cases. Applications on both synthetic data and actual seismic data from Sichuan basin, South China, show that the new method eliminates the noise portion of the signal more efficiently and retains a greater amount of geologic data than other methods, the quality and consecutiveness of seismic event are improved obviously as well as the quality of section is improved. 展开更多
关键词 ridgelet transform multi-scale random noise sub-band decomposition complex Morlet wavelet
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Multi-scale prediction of MEMS gyroscope random drift based on EMD-SVR 被引量:1
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作者 HE Jia-ning ZHONG Ying LI Xing-fei 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS CSCD 2020年第3期290-296,共7页
To improve the prediction accuracy of micro-electromechanical systems(MEMS)gyroscope random drift series,a multi-scale prediction model based on empirical mode decomposition(EMD)and support vector regression(SVR)is pr... To improve the prediction accuracy of micro-electromechanical systems(MEMS)gyroscope random drift series,a multi-scale prediction model based on empirical mode decomposition(EMD)and support vector regression(SVR)is proposed.Firstly,EMD is employed to decompose the raw drift series into a finite number of intrinsic mode functions(IMFs)with the frequency descending successively.Secondly,according to the time-frequency characteristic of each IMF,the corresponding SVR prediction model is established based on phase space reconstruction.Finally,the prediction results are obtained by adding up the prediction results of all IMFs with equal weight.The experimental results demonstrate the validity of the proposed model in random drift prediction of MEMS gyroscope.Compared with a single SVR model,the proposed model has higher prediction precision,which can provide the basis for drift error compensation of MEMS gyroscope. 展开更多
关键词 random drift MEMS gyroscope empirical mode decomposition(EMD) support vector regression(SVR) phase space reconstruction multi-scale prediction
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An EMD based method for detrending RR interval series without resampling
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作者 曾超 蒋奇云 +1 位作者 陈朝阳 徐敏 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第2期567-574,共8页
Slow trends in the RR interval(RRI) series should be removed in the preprocessing step to get a reliable result of heart rate variability(HRV) analysis. Re-sampling is required to convert the unevenly sampled RRI seri... Slow trends in the RR interval(RRI) series should be removed in the preprocessing step to get a reliable result of heart rate variability(HRV) analysis. Re-sampling is required to convert the unevenly sampled RRI series into evenly sampled time series when using the widely accepted smoothness priors approach(SPA). Noise is introduced in this process and the information quality is thus compromised. Empirical mode decomposition(EMD) and its variants, were introduced to directly process the unevenly sampled RRI series. Besides, a RR interval model was proposed to fascinate the introduction of standard metrics for the evaluation of the detrending performance. Based on standard metrics including signal-to-noise-ratio in d B(ISNR), mean square error(EMS), and percent root square difference(DPRS), the effectiveness of detrending methods in RR interval analysis were determined. Results demonstrate that complementary ensemble EMD(CEEMD, a variant of EMD) based method has a higher ISNR, a lower EMS and a lower DPRS as well as a better RRI series detrending performance compared with the SPA method, which would in turn lead to a more accurate HRV analysis. 展开更多
关键词 heart rate variability empirical mode decomposition DETRENDING RR interval model
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Study on spline wavelet finite-element method in multi-scale analysis for foundation
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作者 Qiang Xu Jian-Yun Chen +2 位作者 Jing Li Gang Xu Hong-Yuan Yue 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第5期699-708,共10页
A new finite element method (FEM) of B-spline wavelet on the interval (BSWI) is proposed. Through analyzing the scaling functions of BSWI in one dimension, the basic formula for 2D FEM of BSWI is deduced. The 2D F... A new finite element method (FEM) of B-spline wavelet on the interval (BSWI) is proposed. Through analyzing the scaling functions of BSWI in one dimension, the basic formula for 2D FEM of BSWI is deduced. The 2D FEM of 7 nodes and 10 nodes are constructed based on the basic formula. Using these proposed elements, the multiscale numerical model for foundation subjected to harmonic periodic load, the foundation model excited by external and internal dynamic load are studied. The results show the pro- posed finite elements have higher precision than the tradi- tional elements with 4 nodes. The proposed finite elements can describe the propagation of stress waves well whenever the foundation model excited by extemal or intemal dynamic load. The proposed finite elements can be also used to con- nect the multi-scale elements. And the proposed finite elements also have high precision to make multi-scale analysis for structure. 展开更多
关键词 Finite-element method Dynamic response B-spline wavelet on the interval multi-scale analysis
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基于RIME-VMD和自适应核密度估计的短期风电功率区间预测
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作者 阿合朱力·吾木尔吾扎克 买买提热依木·阿布力孜 +1 位作者 吴许坤 谢丽蓉 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2026年第3期1054-1064,共11页
精准的风电功率预测对于新型电力系统的安全稳定运行和经济调度至关重要。针对传统点预测无法充分反映风电功率不确定性的问题,提出一种短期风电功率点预测与区间预测相结合的模型。首先,采用霜冰优化算法(rime optimization algorithm,... 精准的风电功率预测对于新型电力系统的安全稳定运行和经济调度至关重要。针对传统点预测无法充分反映风电功率不确定性的问题,提出一种短期风电功率点预测与区间预测相结合的模型。首先,采用霜冰优化算法(rime optimization algorithm,RIME)优化变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)参数,并对风电功率进行VMD分解。其次,应用皮尔逊相关系数法选取与风电功率关联性较大的气象因素,作为卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆网络(convolutional neural network-bidirectional long short-term memory network,CNN-BiLSTM)预测模型的输入,最终将得到的各分量预测值叠加得到总点预测值。接着,在点预测的基础上构建自适应核密度估计(adaptive kernel density estimation,AKDE)区间预测模型,即解决了传统核密度估计在不同置信水平下鲁棒性较差的问题,也有效量化了风电功率预测的不确定性。最后,通过对新疆某风电场实测数据的验证与对比分析,得出本文方法在提升风电功率确定性预测精度和区间预测鲁棒性方面具有显著优势。 展开更多
关键词 风电功率 变分模态分解 区间预测 CNN-BiLSTM 自适应核密度估计
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基于双层分解与MOISMA-SVM的超短期风电功率点-区间预测
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作者 崔曦文 张潇丹 牛东晓 《计算机工程》 北大核心 2026年第3期376-391,共16页
风电等新能源的大规模并网是完成“双碳”目标的重要措施之一,而可靠的风电功率预测是保障电网安全运行的不可或缺的技术支撑。为此,提出一种超短期风电功率点-区间预测模型。首先,对风电功率原始序列进行异常值筛选以及修正,让修正后... 风电等新能源的大规模并网是完成“双碳”目标的重要措施之一,而可靠的风电功率预测是保障电网安全运行的不可或缺的技术支撑。为此,提出一种超短期风电功率点-区间预测模型。首先,对风电功率原始序列进行异常值筛选以及修正,让修正后的数据更符合客观规律;然后,构建双层分解模型对原始序列进行分解,双层分解算法的应用可以获得趋势更加具有预测性的子序列,以降低风电功率预测难度;接着,构建多目标策略结合改进黏菌算法优化的支持向量机(MOISMA-SVM)模型来精准预测子序列并进行相加重构。MOISMA在兼顾预测的精度和稳定性的同时对SVM参数实现了寻优,得到风电功率预测结果;最后,通过MOISMA-SVM模型对预测结果的绝对误差进行进一步修正,将误差预测结果与风电功率预测结果相加,得到了风电功率点预测结果。通过实验对比分析,证明了所提模型拥有最好的误差指标结果,在两个数据集中的平均绝对误差(MAE)分别达到了0.505 7 MW和0.672 6 MW,相比于SVM模型分别提升了98.79%和98.50%,展现出模型的高精度结果和稳定性。根据点预测结果,构建改进的核密度估计区间预测模型,得到区间预测结果。两个数据集的预测区间具有较高的可靠性和较窄的区间带宽,综合覆盖宽度准则(CWC)分别达到0.002 4和0.002 8,能更准确地描述风电功率的波动趋势,提高了整体模型的实用性。 展开更多
关键词 风电功率预测 分解模型 误差修正 区间预测 多目标优化
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基于BSLO优化分解与Transformer模型的滑坡位移多级置信预测方法
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作者 郑子凌 李勇 +3 位作者 王家秀 卢书强 陆昊 陈陆军 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》 2026年第1期75-87,共13页
针对阶跃型滑坡位移预测中变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)参数选择依赖经验、传统模型长序列处理能力不足及缺乏不确定性量化等问题,文章提出基于吸水蛭算法(blood-sucking leech optimizer,BSLO)分解与Transformer... 针对阶跃型滑坡位移预测中变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition,VMD)参数选择依赖经验、传统模型长序列处理能力不足及缺乏不确定性量化等问题,文章提出基于吸水蛭算法(blood-sucking leech optimizer,BSLO)分解与Transformer模型的滑坡位移多级置信预测方法。该方法采用BSLO算法构建VMD参数自适应优化框架,基于信息熵最小化准则实现信号分解;设计Transformer模型用于时序预测,移除不适用组件并增加特征增强层;构建多级置信区间预测框架,实现多时间尺度不确定性量化。以三峡库区谭家河滑坡4个监测点为例进行验证,结果显示该方法在未来1,3,7,15 d预测中表现稳定,各时间尺度R2值均超0.95,均方根误差控制在5 mm以内,95%、90%、80%置信水平下压间覆盖率分别达到0.811~0.986、0.739~0.975、0.617~0.960,覆盖率接近理论期望。相比VMD-SSA-LSTM和CNN-BiLSTM-Attention模型,本文方法在各预测时间尺度下均表现出较好的稳定性和预测精度,为库区滑坡监测预警提供了一种技术方法。 展开更多
关键词 滑坡 位移预测 BSLO优化算法 变分模态分解 TRANSFORMER 置信区间预测 K折交叉验证
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Interpretations of gravity and Songliao Basin with Wavelet magnetic anomalies in the Multi-scale Decomposition 被引量:2
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作者 Changbo LI Liangshu WANG +2 位作者 Bin SUN Runhai FENG Yongjing WU 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第3期427-436,共10页
In this paper, we introduce the method of Wavelet Multi-scale Decomposition (WMD) combined with Power Spectrum Analysis (PSA) for the separation of regional gravity and magnetic anomalies. The Songliao Basin is si... In this paper, we introduce the method of Wavelet Multi-scale Decomposition (WMD) combined with Power Spectrum Analysis (PSA) for the separation of regional gravity and magnetic anomalies. The Songliao Basin is situated between the Siberian Plate and the North China Plate, and its main structural trend of gravity and magnetic anomaly fields is NNE. The study area shows a significant feature of deep collage-type construction. According to the feature of gravity field, the region was divided into five sub-regions. The gravity and magnetic fields of the Songliao Basin were separated using WMD with a 4th order separation. The apparent depth of anomalies in each order was determined by Logarithmic PSA. Then, the shallow high-frequency anomalies were removed and the 2nd-4th order wavelet detail anomalies were used to study the basin's major faults. Twenty-six faults within the basement were recognized. The 4th order wavelet approximate anomalies were used for the inversion of the Moho discontinuity and the Curie isothermal surface. 展开更多
关键词 gravity and magnetic anomalies SongliaoBasin deep structure and geodynamics Wavelet multi-scale decomposition Power Spectrum Analysis
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Variation in decomposition stages and carrion insect succession in a dry tropical climate and its effect on estimating postmortem interval
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作者 Kirsty Griffiths Matt N.Krosch Kirsty Wright 《Forensic Sciences Research》 CSCD 2020年第4期327-335,共9页
Insects have an important role in minimum postmortem interval(PMImin)estimation.An accurate PMImin estimation relies on a comprehensive study of the development and succes-sion of local carrion insects.No published re... Insects have an important role in minimum postmortem interval(PMImin)estimation.An accurate PMImin estimation relies on a comprehensive study of the development and succes-sion of local carrion insects.No published research on carrion insect succession exists for tropical north Queensland.To address this,we aimed to obtain preliminary observational data concerning the rate of decomposition and insect succession on pig carcasses in Townsville and compare these with other regions of Australia and overseas.Adult insects were collected daily from three pig carcasses for 30d during summer and identified to fa-mily level.Observations of decomposition rate were made each day and progression through the stages of decomposition were recorded.Adult insects were identified to family and their presence/absence used as a proxy for arrival at/departure from the remains,respectively.These preliminary data highlight several interesting trends that may be inform-ative for forensic PMImin estimation.Decomposition was rapid:all carcasses were at the dry/remains stage by Day 5,which was substantially quicker than all other regions in the com-parison.Differences were also observed in the presence/absence of insect families and their arrival and departure times.Given the rapid progression through early decomposition,we argue that later-arriving coleopteran taxa may be more forensically informative in tropical Australia,in contrast with temperate regions where Diptera appear most useful.This research contributes preliminary observational data to understanding insect succession pat-terns in tropical Australia and demonstrates the critical need for comprehensive local succes-sion data for each climatic region of Australia to enable accurate PMImin estimation.These data will inform future research targeted at gaining a more comprehensive understanding of insect succession in the Australian tropics. 展开更多
关键词 Forensic sciences forensic entomology postmortem interval DIPTERA COLEOPTERA decomposition
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Efficiency decomposition in parallel production systems with shared sources on interval data: An illustration of Iranian Banks
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作者 Sohrab Kordrostami 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 2014年第5期229-235,共7页
In real-world applications, some systems are composed of independent production units that use different inputs to produce outputs. The conventional data envelopment analysis model measures the relative efficiencies o... In real-world applications, some systems are composed of independent production units that use different inputs to produce outputs. The conventional data envelopment analysis model measures the relative efficiencies of a set of decision-making units with exact values of both inputs and outputs. In this paper, we propose an approach to assess parallel production systems with shared sources and bounded interval data, and also we provide a model that focuses on calculating the efficiency of the whole of a system along with the efficiencies of its components. 展开更多
关键词 DEA parallel system efficiency decomposition interval data.
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不同采样间隔下GNSS-IR海面高度反演方法分析 被引量:1
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作者 王硕 贺凯飞 +2 位作者 颜舒琳 侯金华 邹宗瑞 《导航定位学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期52-61,共10页
全球导航卫星系统反射干涉测量(GNSS-IR)可使用信噪比数据来反演海平面高度。不同测站全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)观测数据常用采样间隔不同,不同反演方法的适用性不同,为研究不同采样间隔在不同方法下的反演效果,利用美国SC02站、澳大利亚S... 全球导航卫星系统反射干涉测量(GNSS-IR)可使用信噪比数据来反演海平面高度。不同测站全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)观测数据常用采样间隔不同,不同反演方法的适用性不同,为研究不同采样间隔在不同方法下的反演效果,利用美国SC02站、澳大利亚SPBY站和非洲东海岸MAYG站GNSS观测数据,采用经典周期图(Lomb-Scargle)、变分模态分解及小波分解3种方法分别处理1、5、15、30 s常用采样间隔的GNSS观测数据。实验结果表明,采样间隔和反演精度整体上呈负相关,小波分解法在1、5、15 s采样间隔下反演结果最优,且受采样间隔影响最大;Lomb-Scargle法在30 s采样间隔下最优,其受影响最小;另外S5信号反演结果比S1信号受采样间隔影响更小。 展开更多
关键词 全球卫星导航系统反射干涉测量(GNSS-IR) 信噪比 海平面高度 采样间隔 周期图(Lomb-Scargle) 变分模态分解 小波分解
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磁流变液制动器系统区间动态可靠性分析
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作者 杨恒 张宇鹏 +3 位作者 杨鹏凯 李淑君 董青 王震 《哈尔滨工程大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期301-308,319,共9页
针对磁流变液制动器结构冗余、失效数据少且动态失效等问题,本文引入动态故障树和区间理论,提出一种区间动态故障树的磁流变液制动器系统可靠性分析方法。融合区间理论和动态故障树,提出区间动态故障树方法,并推导了区间动态故障门和区... 针对磁流变液制动器结构冗余、失效数据少且动态失效等问题,本文引入动态故障树和区间理论,提出一种区间动态故障树的磁流变液制动器系统可靠性分析方法。融合区间理论和动态故障树,提出区间动态故障树方法,并推导了区间动态故障门和区间动态故障树重要度求解方法;分析和定义了磁流变液制动器的故障模式影响及危害性和严酷度等级,同时,建立了磁流变液制动器的系统动态故障树;以某新型多槽式磁流变液制动器为例开展了可靠性和重要度分析,验证了方法的可行性和与产品失效的一致性。研究为磁流变液制动器的推广应用和优化和改进优化提供了理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 磁流变液制动器 区间理论 动态故障树 MARKOV链 二元决策图(BDD) 模块化分解 系统可靠性 重要度
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计及NWP风速误差修正的风电组合模型区间预测方法
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作者 杨桐 汤旻安 +2 位作者 田智愚 李瀚婷 李锦萍 《兰州交通大学学报》 2025年第6期119-129,共11页
风资源的随机波动性导致数值天气预报(numerical weather forecasting,NWP)风速数据的相位滞后,进而导致风力发电预测的准确性较差。准确的风速预测可以提高可再生能源的利用率和并网电能质量。为解决这一问题,本文提出一种考虑NWP风速... 风资源的随机波动性导致数值天气预报(numerical weather forecasting,NWP)风速数据的相位滞后,进而导致风力发电预测的准确性较差。准确的风速预测可以提高可再生能源的利用率和并网电能质量。为解决这一问题,本文提出一种考虑NWP风速修正的风电功率预测方法。本方法通过输入修正后的NWP风速数据和变模态分解分解的历史风功率数据,采用优化超参数的双向门控递归模型预测风电功率。首先,结合非参数核密度估计和双向门控递归模型修正NWP风速数据。然后,分解历史风电功率,采用优化鲸鱼算法寻优预测模型超参数,并利用修正后的风速和模态分量预测风电功率。最后,在不同的风电场验证了该方法的点预测和区间预测结果。结果表明,该模型的预测精度高于其他模型。此外,使用速度修正方法后,决定系数提高了12.56%。四季区间预测实验中,当置信度在95%~75%间,PICP指数均高于0.9254,PINAW低于0.1068。因此,该模型可以提供更精确的置信区间,为未来高精度的风能预测提供可靠依据。 展开更多
关键词 NWP风速修正 风电功率预测 变分模态分解 双向门控递归模型 区间预测
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基于深度学习集合优化模型的径流区间预测研究 被引量:6
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作者 黄靖涵 王兆才 +1 位作者 吴俊豪 姚之远 《水利学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期240-252,265,共14页
由于极端天气事件趋多趋强和径流变化的复杂性,实现准确的径流预测具有挑战性,且以往研究多基于确定数值的点预测,难以考虑不确定性影响,导致预测结果缺乏实用性。本研究开发了基于气象和水文变量的径流区间预测深度学习集合模型。首先... 由于极端天气事件趋多趋强和径流变化的复杂性,实现准确的径流预测具有挑战性,且以往研究多基于确定数值的点预测,难以考虑不确定性影响,导致预测结果缺乏实用性。本研究开发了基于气象和水文变量的径流区间预测深度学习集合模型。首先通过皮尔逊相关系数(PCC)筛选出影响径流的关键驱动变量;接着将原始数据通过变分模态分解(VMD)分解为多个模态分量(IMFs);然后利用互补集合经验模态分解法(CEEMD)对分量进行二次分解,捕捉更多的数据细节;径流的点预测结果由融合注意力机制的门控循环单元(AM-GRU)来取得,并使用改进的麻雀优化算法(ISSA)优化GRU的学习率、隐藏层维数等超参数以提升模型性能;最后,引入了非参数核密度估计(NKDE)进行径流区间预测。采用构建的组合模型VMD-CEEMD-ISSA-AM-GRU(VCIAG)对嘉陵江流域的9个水文站点进行多期预测。计算结果表明:本文模型在短期尺度表现优异,多个站点的纳什效率系数(NSE)接近1;在洪水预报方面,模型在东津沱站、武胜站、金溪站的NSE分别为0.73、0.92和0.92;此外,通过沙普利值法(Shapley)量化了输入变量对径流的影响。本研究提出的VCIAG模型不仅在径流点预测精度方面表现出色,而且在不确定性的区间预测方面也有显著优势,可为管理者提供更加准确、可靠的径流信息,从而在实践中更好地支持径流风险评估和科学决策方案的制定。 展开更多
关键词 深度学习集合模型 径流区间预测 模态分解 改进的麻雀优化算法 注意力机制
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