To address the problem that a general augmented state Kalman filter or a two-stage Kalman filter cannot achieve satisfactory positioning performance when facing uncertain noise of the micro-electro-mechanical system（...To address the problem that a general augmented state Kalman filter or a two-stage Kalman filter cannot achieve satisfactory positioning performance when facing uncertain noise of the micro-electro-mechanical system（MEMS） inertial sensors, a novel interacting multiple model-based two-stage Kalman filter（IMM-TSKF） is proposed to adapt to the uncertain inertial sensor noise. Three bias filters are developed based on different noise characteristics to cover a wide range of noise levels. Then, an accurate estimation of biases is calculated by the interacting multiple model algorithm to correct the bias-free filter. Thus, the vehicle positioning system can achieve good performance when suffering from uncertain inertial sensor noise. The experimental results indicate that the average position error of the proposed IMMTSKF is 25% lower than that of the general TSKF.展开更多
To avoid missing track caused by the target maneuvers in automatic target tracking system, a new maneuvering target tracking technique called threshold interacting multiple model （TIMM） is proposed. This algorithm i...To avoid missing track caused by the target maneuvers in automatic target tracking system, a new maneuvering target tracking technique called threshold interacting multiple model （TIMM） is proposed. This algorithm is based on the interacting multiple model （IMM） method and applies a threshold controller to improve tracking accuracy. It is also applicable to other advanced algorithms of IMM. In this research, we also compare the position and velocity root mean square （RMS） errors of TIMM and IMM algorithms with two different examples. Simulation results show that the TIMM algorithm is superior to the traditional IMM alzorithm in estimation accuracy.展开更多
Combining interacting multiple model （IMM） and unscented particle filter （UPF）, a new multiple model filtering algorithm is presented. Multiple models can be adapted to targets＇ high maneu- vering. Particle filte...Combining interacting multiple model （IMM） and unscented particle filter （UPF）, a new multiple model filtering algorithm is presented. Multiple models can be adapted to targets＇ high maneu- vering. Particle filter can be used to deal with the nonlinear or non-Gaussian problems and the unscented Kalman filter （UKF） can improve the approximate accuracy. Compared with other interacting multiple model algorithms in the simulations, the results demonstrate the validity of the new filtering method.展开更多
This paper presents a data fusion algorithm for dynamic system with multi-sensor and uncertain system models. The algorithm is mainly based on Kalman filter and interacting multiple model(IMM). It processes crosscorre...This paper presents a data fusion algorithm for dynamic system with multi-sensor and uncertain system models. The algorithm is mainly based on Kalman filter and interacting multiple model(IMM). It processes crosscorrelated sensor noises by using augmented fusion before model interacting. And eigenvalue decomposition is utilized to reduce calculation complexity and implement parallel computing. In simulation part, the feasibility of the algorithm was tested and verified, and the relationship between sensor number and the estimation precision was studied. Results show that simply increasing the number of sensor cannot always improve the performance of the estimation. Type and number of sensors should be optimized in practical applications.展开更多
An Extended Kalman Filter（EKF） is commonly used to fuse raw Global Navigation Satellite System（GNSS） measurements and Inertial Navigation System（INS） derived measurements. However, the Conventional EKF（CEKF） s...An Extended Kalman Filter（EKF） is commonly used to fuse raw Global Navigation Satellite System（GNSS） measurements and Inertial Navigation System（INS） derived measurements. However, the Conventional EKF（CEKF） suffers the problem for which the uncertainty of the statistical properties to dynamic and measurement models will degrade the performance.In this research, an Adaptive Interacting Multiple Model（AIMM） filter is developed to enhance performance. The soft-switching property of Interacting Multiple Model（IMM） algorithm allows the adaptation between two levels of process noise, namely lower and upper bounds of the process noise. In particular, the Sage adaptive filtering is applied to adapt the measurement covariance on line. In addition, a classified measurement update strategy is utilized, which updates the pseudorange and Doppler observations sequentially. A field experiment was conducted to validate the proposed algorithm, the pseudorange and Doppler observations from Global Positioning System（GPS） and Bei Dou Navigation Satellite System（BDS） were post-processed in differential mode.The results indicate that decimeter-level positioning accuracy is achievable with AIMM for GPS/INS and GPS/BDS/INS configurations, and the position accuracy is improved by 35.8%, 34.3% and 33.9% for north, east and height components, respectively, compared to the CEKF counterpartfor GPS/BDS/INS. Degraded performance for BDS/INS is obtained due to the lower precision of BDS pseudorange observations.展开更多
Multirotor has been applied to many military and civilian mission scenarios. From the perspective of reliability, it is difficult to ensure that multirotors do not generate hardware and software failures or performanc...Multirotor has been applied to many military and civilian mission scenarios. From the perspective of reliability, it is difficult to ensure that multirotors do not generate hardware and software failures or performance anomalies during the flight process. These failures and anomalies may result in mission interruptions, crashes, and even threats to the lives and property of human beings.Thus, the study of flight reliability problems of multirotors is conductive to the development of the drone industry and has theoretical significance and engineering value. This paper proposes a reliable flight performance assessment method of multirotors based on an Interacting Multiple Model Particle Filter(IMMPF) algorithm and health degree as the performance indicator. First, the multirotor is modeled by the Stochastic Hybrid System(SHS) model, and the problem of reliable flight performance assessment is formulated. In order to solve the problem, the IMMPF algorithm is presented to estimate the real-time probability distribution of hybrid state of the established SHS-based multirotor model, since it can decrease estimation errors compared with the standard interacting multiple model algorithm based on extended Kalman filter. Then, the reliable flight performance is assessed with health degree based on the estimation result. Finally, a case study of a multirotor suffering from sensor anomalies is presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
In airborne tracking,the blind Doppler makes the target undetectable,resulting in tracking difficulties. In this paper,we studied most possible blind-Doppler cases and summed them up into two types:targets' intent...In airborne tracking,the blind Doppler makes the target undetectable,resulting in tracking difficulties. In this paper,we studied most possible blind-Doppler cases and summed them up into two types:targets' intentional tangential flying to radar and unintentional flying with large tangential speed. We proposed an interacting multiple model(IMM) particle filter which combines a constant velocity model and an acceleration model to handle maneuvering motions. We compared the IMM particle filter with a previous particle filter solution. Simulation results showed that the IMM particle filter outperforms the method in previous works in terms of tracking accuracy and continuity.展开更多
This paper studies the algorithm of the adaptive grid and fuzzy interacting multiple model （AGFIMM） for maneuvering target tracking, while focusing on the problems of the fixed structure multiple model （FSMM） algo...This paper studies the algorithm of the adaptive grid and fuzzy interacting multiple model （AGFIMM） for maneuvering target tracking, while focusing on the problems of the fixed structure multiple model （FSMM） algorithm＇s cost-efficiency ratio being not high and the Markov transition probability of the interacting multiple model （IMM） algorithm being difficult to determine exactly. This algorithm realizes the adaptive model set by adaptive grid adjustment, and obtains each model matching degree in the model set by fuzzy logic inference. The simulation results show that the AGFIMM algorithm can effectively improve the accuracy and cost-efficiency ratio of the multiple model algorithm, and as a result is suitable for enineering apolications.展开更多
According to the requirements of real-time performance and reliability in underwater maneuvering target tracking as well as clarifying motion features of the underwater target, an interacting multiple model algorithm ...According to the requirements of real-time performance and reliability in underwater maneuvering target tracking as well as clarifying motion features of the underwater target, an interacting multiple model algorithm based on fuzzy logic inference （FIMM） is proposed. Maneuvering patterns of the target are represented by model sets, including the constant velocity model （CA）, the Singer mode~, and the nearly constant speed horizontal-turn model （HT） in FIMM technology. The simulation results show that compared to conventional IMM, the reliability and real-time performance of underwater target tracking can be improved by FIMM algorithm.展开更多
An explicit model management framework is introduced for predictive Groundwater Levels(GWL),particularly suitable to Observation Wells(OWs)with sparse and possibly heterogeneous data.The framework implements Multiple ...An explicit model management framework is introduced for predictive Groundwater Levels(GWL),particularly suitable to Observation Wells(OWs)with sparse and possibly heterogeneous data.The framework implements Multiple Models(MM)under the architecture of organising them at levels,as follows:(i)Level 0:treat heterogeneity in the data,e.g.Self-Organised Mapping(SOM)to classify the OWs;and decide on model structure,e.g.formulate a grey box model to predict GWLs.(ii)Level 1:construct MMs,e.g.two Fuzzy Logic(FL)and one Neurofuzzy(NF)models.(iii)Level 2:formulate strategies to combine the MM at Level 1,for which the paper uses Artificial Neural Networks(Strategy 1)and simple averaging(Strategy 2).Whilst the above model management strategy is novel,a critical view is presented,according to which modelling practices are:Inclusive Multiple Modelling(IMM)practices contrasted with existing practices,branded by the paper as Exclusionary Multiple Modelling(EMM).Scientific thinking over IMMs is captured as a framework with four dimensions:Model Reuse(MR),Hierarchical Recursion(HR),Elastic Learning Environment(ELE)and Goal Orientation(GO)and these together make the acronym of RHEO.Therefore,IMM-RHEO is piloted in the aquifer of Tabriz Plain with sparse and possibly heterogeneous data.The results provide some evidence that(i)IMM at two levels improves on the accuracy of individual models;and(ii)model combinations in IMM practices bring‘model-learning’into fashion for learning with the goal to explain baseline conditions and impacts of subsequent management changes.展开更多
The purpose of this research is to improve the robustness of the autonomous system in order to improve the position and velocity estimation of an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV).Therefore, new integrated SINS/GPS navigat...The purpose of this research is to improve the robustness of the autonomous system in order to improve the position and velocity estimation of an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV).Therefore, new integrated SINS/GPS navigation scheme based on Interacting Multiple Nonlinear Fuzzy Adaptive H_∞ Models(IMM-NFAH_∞) filtering technique for UAV is presented. The proposed IMM-NFAH_∞ strategy switches between two different Nonlinear Fuzzy Adaptive H_∞(NFAH_∞) filters and each NFAH_∞ filter is based on different fuzzy logic inference systems. The newly proposed technique takes into consideration the high order Taylor series terms and adapts the nonlinear H_∞ filter based on different fuzzy inference systems via adaptive filter bounds(di),along with disturbance attenuation parameter c. Simulation analysis validates the performance of the proposed algorithm, and the comparison with nonlinear H_∞(NH_∞) filter and that with different NFAH_∞ filters demonstrate the effectiveness of UAV localization utilizing IMM-NFAH_∞ filter.展开更多
In this paper,an interacting multiple-model(IMM)method based on datadriven identification model is proposed for the prediction of nonlinear dynamic systems.Firstly,two basic models are selected as combination componen...In this paper,an interacting multiple-model(IMM)method based on datadriven identification model is proposed for the prediction of nonlinear dynamic systems.Firstly,two basic models are selected as combination components due to their proved effectiveness.One is Gaussian process(GP)model,which can provide the predictive variance of the predicted output and only has several optimizing parameters.The other is regularized extreme learning machine(RELM)model,which can improve the overfitting problem resulted by empirical risk minimization principle and enhances the overall generalization performance.Then both of the models are updated continually using meaningful new data selected by data selection methods.Furthermore,recursive methods are employed in the two models to reduce the computational burden caused by continuous renewal.Finally,the two models are combined in IMM algorithm to realize the hybrid prediction,which can avoid the error accumulation in the single-model prediction.In order to verify the performance,the proposed method is applied to the prediction of moisture content of alkali-surfactant-polymer(ASP)flooding.The simulation results show that the proposed model can match the process very well.And IMM algorithm can outperform its components and provide a nice improvement in accuracy and robustness.展开更多
In order to realize the aircraft trajectory prediction,a modified interacting multiple model(M-IMM) algorithm is proposed,which is based on the performance analysis of the standard interacting multiple model(IMM) algo...In order to realize the aircraft trajectory prediction,a modified interacting multiple model(M-IMM) algorithm is proposed,which is based on the performance analysis of the standard interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm.In the proposed M-IMM algorithm,a new likelihood function is defined for the sake of updating flight mode probabilities,in which the influences of interacting to residual's mean error are taken into account and the assumption of likelihood function being a zero mean Gaussian function is discarded.Finally,the proposed M-IMM algorithm is applied to the simulation of the aircraft trajectory prediction,and the comparative studies are conducted to existing algorithms.The simulation results indicate the proposed M-IMM algorithm can predict aircraft trajectory more quickly and accurately.展开更多
Measurements are always interfered with glint noise in a radar target tracking system, which makes the performance of traditional filtering fall sharply and even divergent.Against this problem, a new Interactive Multi...Measurements are always interfered with glint noise in a radar target tracking system, which makes the performance of traditional filtering fall sharply and even divergent.Against this problem, a new Interactive Multiple Model Particle Filter (IMMPF) algorithm is proposed for target tracking by introducing PF into Interactive Multiple Model (IMM).Different from the general method to select importance density function from PF, the particles are extracted from observation likelihood function within depending on observation noises.Observation noise is modelled, and the latest observation is fused, then the target can be effectively tracked.Finally, the optimized method is simulated with respect to bearings-only tracking of maneuvering target in a glint noise environment.Compared with the existing filtering algorithms, it turns out that the developed filtering algorithm is more efficient and closer to the real-time tracking requirement of high maneuvering targets.展开更多
In fault identification, the Strong Tracking Filter (STF) has strong ability to track the change of some parameters by whitening filtering innovation. In this paper, the authors give out a modified STF by searching th...In fault identification, the Strong Tracking Filter (STF) has strong ability to track the change of some parameters by whitening filtering innovation. In this paper, the authors give out a modified STF by searching the fading factor based on the Least Squared Estimation. In hybrid estimation, the well known Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) Technique can model the change of the system modes. So one can design a new adaptive filter — SIMM. In this filter, our modified STF is a parameter adaptive part and IMM is a mode adaptive part. The benefit of the new filter is that the number of models can be reduced considerably. The simulations show that SIMM greatly improves accuracy of velocity and acceleration compared with the standard IMM to track the maneuvering target when 2 model conditional estimators are used in both filters. And the computation burden of SIMM increases only 6% compared with IMM.展开更多
To solve low precision and poor stability of the extended Kalman filter （EKF） in the vehicle integrated positioning system owing to acceleration, deceleration and turning （hereinafter referred to as maneuvering） ,...To solve low precision and poor stability of the extended Kalman filter （EKF） in the vehicle integrated positioning system owing to acceleration, deceleration and turning （hereinafter referred to as maneuvering） , the paper presents an adaptive filter algorithm that combines interacting multiple model （IMM） and non linear Kalman filter. The algorithm describes the motion mode of vehicle by using three state spacemode]s. At first, the parallel filter of each model is realized by using multiple nonlinear filters. Then the weight integration of filtering result is carried out by using the model matching likelihood function so as to get the system positioning information. The method has advantages of nonlinear system filter and overcomes disadvantages of single model of filtering algorithm that has poor effects on positioning the maneuvering target. At last, the paper uses IMM and EKF methods to simulate the global positioning system （OPS）/inertial navigation system （INS）/dead reckoning （DR） integrated positioning system, respectively. The results indicate that the IMM algorithm is obviously superior to EKF filter used in the integrated positioning system at present. Moreover, it can greatly enhance the stability and positioning precision of integrated positioning system.展开更多
Aim To develop a practical target tracking algorithm for different motion modes. Methods After creation of the new model, it was implemented by computer simulation to prove its performance and compared with the of...Aim To develop a practical target tracking algorithm for different motion modes. Methods After creation of the new model, it was implemented by computer simulation to prove its performance and compared with the often-used current statistical model. Results The simulation results show that the new IMM (interactive multiple model) have low tracking error in both maneuVering segment and non^Inaneuwi segment while the current statistical model bas muCh higher tracking error in non-maneuvering segment. Conclusion In the point of trackintaccuracy, the new IMM method is much better than the current acceleration method. It can develop into a practical target hacking method.展开更多
针对跟踪复杂机动目标过程中由于目标运动状态发生变化导致的跟踪误差较大的问题,提出一种自适应交互多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波(interacting multiple model unscented Kalman filter,IMM-UKF)算法,使用模型概率后验信息和模型似然函数自适...针对跟踪复杂机动目标过程中由于目标运动状态发生变化导致的跟踪误差较大的问题,提出一种自适应交互多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波(interacting multiple model unscented Kalman filter,IMM-UKF)算法,使用模型概率后验信息和模型似然函数自适应修正马尔可夫转移概率矩阵(transition probability matrix,TPM)。设计模型概率校正方法和模型转移加速方法,两种方法分别作用于模型稳定阶段和模型转移阶段,提高模型概率准确度和模型转移响应速度,减小状态估计误差。最后,通过两种场景下的实验验证所提算法在目标具有复杂运动状态下的性能,并与传统方法进行对比分析,在目标做机动运动时,位置精度和速度精度分别提高了15%和26%,验证了算法的有效性和可行性。展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61273236)the Scientific Research Foundation of Graduate School of Southeast University(No.YBJJ1637),China Scholarship Council
文摘To address the problem that a general augmented state Kalman filter or a two-stage Kalman filter cannot achieve satisfactory positioning performance when facing uncertain noise of the micro-electro-mechanical system（MEMS） inertial sensors, a novel interacting multiple model-based two-stage Kalman filter（IMM-TSKF） is proposed to adapt to the uncertain inertial sensor noise. Three bias filters are developed based on different noise characteristics to cover a wide range of noise levels. Then, an accurate estimation of biases is calculated by the interacting multiple model algorithm to correct the bias-free filter. Thus, the vehicle positioning system can achieve good performance when suffering from uncertain inertial sensor noise. The experimental results indicate that the average position error of the proposed IMMTSKF is 25% lower than that of the general TSKF.
文摘To avoid missing track caused by the target maneuvers in automatic target tracking system, a new maneuvering target tracking technique called threshold interacting multiple model （TIMM） is proposed. This algorithm is based on the interacting multiple model （IMM） method and applies a threshold controller to improve tracking accuracy. It is also applicable to other advanced algorithms of IMM. In this research, we also compare the position and velocity root mean square （RMS） errors of TIMM and IMM algorithms with two different examples. Simulation results show that the TIMM algorithm is superior to the traditional IMM alzorithm in estimation accuracy.
文摘Combining interacting multiple model （IMM） and unscented particle filter （UPF）, a new multiple model filtering algorithm is presented. Multiple models can be adapted to targets＇ high maneu- vering. Particle filter can be used to deal with the nonlinear or non-Gaussian problems and the unscented Kalman filter （UKF） can improve the approximate accuracy. Compared with other interacting multiple model algorithms in the simulations, the results demonstrate the validity of the new filtering method.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61374160)the Shanghai Aerospace Science and Technology Innovation Fund(No.SAST201237)
文摘This paper presents a data fusion algorithm for dynamic system with multi-sensor and uncertain system models. The algorithm is mainly based on Kalman filter and interacting multiple model(IMM). It processes crosscorrelated sensor noises by using augmented fusion before model interacting. And eigenvalue decomposition is utilized to reduce calculation complexity and implement parallel computing. In simulation part, the feasibility of the algorithm was tested and verified, and the relationship between sensor number and the estimation precision was studied. Results show that simply increasing the number of sensor cannot always improve the performance of the estimation. Type and number of sensors should be optimized in practical applications.
基金co-supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC0803103)Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Future Urban Design(No.UDC2016050100)Beijing Postdoctoral Research Foundation
文摘An Extended Kalman Filter（EKF） is commonly used to fuse raw Global Navigation Satellite System（GNSS） measurements and Inertial Navigation System（INS） derived measurements. However, the Conventional EKF（CEKF） suffers the problem for which the uncertainty of the statistical properties to dynamic and measurement models will degrade the performance.In this research, an Adaptive Interacting Multiple Model（AIMM） filter is developed to enhance performance. The soft-switching property of Interacting Multiple Model（IMM） algorithm allows the adaptation between two levels of process noise, namely lower and upper bounds of the process noise. In particular, the Sage adaptive filtering is applied to adapt the measurement covariance on line. In addition, a classified measurement update strategy is utilized, which updates the pseudorange and Doppler observations sequentially. A field experiment was conducted to validate the proposed algorithm, the pseudorange and Doppler observations from Global Positioning System（GPS） and Bei Dou Navigation Satellite System（BDS） were post-processed in differential mode.The results indicate that decimeter-level positioning accuracy is achievable with AIMM for GPS/INS and GPS/BDS/INS configurations, and the position accuracy is improved by 35.8%, 34.3% and 33.9% for north, east and height components, respectively, compared to the CEKF counterpartfor GPS/BDS/INS. Degraded performance for BDS/INS is obtained due to the lower precision of BDS pseudorange observations.
基金co-supported by the Beijing Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 4194074)the National Key R&D Program of China (No. 2017YFC1600605)+1 种基金the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (No. ZR2018BF016)the Beijing Municipal Education Commission Research Program-General Project of China (No. KM201910011011)
文摘Multirotor has been applied to many military and civilian mission scenarios. From the perspective of reliability, it is difficult to ensure that multirotors do not generate hardware and software failures or performance anomalies during the flight process. These failures and anomalies may result in mission interruptions, crashes, and even threats to the lives and property of human beings.Thus, the study of flight reliability problems of multirotors is conductive to the development of the drone industry and has theoretical significance and engineering value. This paper proposes a reliable flight performance assessment method of multirotors based on an Interacting Multiple Model Particle Filter(IMMPF) algorithm and health degree as the performance indicator. First, the multirotor is modeled by the Stochastic Hybrid System(SHS) model, and the problem of reliable flight performance assessment is formulated. In order to solve the problem, the IMMPF algorithm is presented to estimate the real-time probability distribution of hybrid state of the established SHS-based multirotor model, since it can decrease estimation errors compared with the standard interacting multiple model algorithm based on extended Kalman filter. Then, the reliable flight performance is assessed with health degree based on the estimation result. Finally, a case study of a multirotor suffering from sensor anomalies is presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
基金Project supported by China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.20060400313)partly by Zhejiang Postdoctoral Science Founda-tion of China (No. 2006-bsh-25)
文摘In airborne tracking,the blind Doppler makes the target undetectable,resulting in tracking difficulties. In this paper,we studied most possible blind-Doppler cases and summed them up into two types:targets' intentional tangential flying to radar and unintentional flying with large tangential speed. We proposed an interacting multiple model(IMM) particle filter which combines a constant velocity model and an acceleration model to handle maneuvering motions. We compared the IMM particle filter with a previous particle filter solution. Simulation results showed that the IMM particle filter outperforms the method in previous works in terms of tracking accuracy and continuity.
基金Foundation item： Supported by the National Nature Science Foundation of China （No. 61074053, 61374114） and the Applied Basic Research Program of Ministry of Transport of China （No. 2011-329-225 -390）.
文摘This paper studies the algorithm of the adaptive grid and fuzzy interacting multiple model （AGFIMM） for maneuvering target tracking, while focusing on the problems of the fixed structure multiple model （FSMM） algorithm＇s cost-efficiency ratio being not high and the Markov transition probability of the interacting multiple model （IMM） algorithm being difficult to determine exactly. This algorithm realizes the adaptive model set by adaptive grid adjustment, and obtains each model matching degree in the model set by fuzzy logic inference. The simulation results show that the AGFIMM algorithm can effectively improve the accuracy and cost-efficiency ratio of the multiple model algorithm, and as a result is suitable for enineering apolications.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （No.40067116）, the Research Development Foundation of Dalian Naval Academy （No.K200821）.
文摘According to the requirements of real-time performance and reliability in underwater maneuvering target tracking as well as clarifying motion features of the underwater target, an interacting multiple model algorithm based on fuzzy logic inference （FIMM） is proposed. Maneuvering patterns of the target are represented by model sets, including the constant velocity model （CA）, the Singer mode~, and the nearly constant speed horizontal-turn model （HT） in FIMM technology. The simulation results show that compared to conventional IMM, the reliability and real-time performance of underwater target tracking can be improved by FIMM algorithm.
基金the University of Tabriz through a Grant scheme No.808.
文摘An explicit model management framework is introduced for predictive Groundwater Levels(GWL),particularly suitable to Observation Wells(OWs)with sparse and possibly heterogeneous data.The framework implements Multiple Models(MM)under the architecture of organising them at levels,as follows:(i)Level 0:treat heterogeneity in the data,e.g.Self-Organised Mapping(SOM)to classify the OWs;and decide on model structure,e.g.formulate a grey box model to predict GWLs.(ii)Level 1:construct MMs,e.g.two Fuzzy Logic(FL)and one Neurofuzzy(NF)models.(iii)Level 2:formulate strategies to combine the MM at Level 1,for which the paper uses Artificial Neural Networks(Strategy 1)and simple averaging(Strategy 2).Whilst the above model management strategy is novel,a critical view is presented,according to which modelling practices are:Inclusive Multiple Modelling(IMM)practices contrasted with existing practices,branded by the paper as Exclusionary Multiple Modelling(EMM).Scientific thinking over IMMs is captured as a framework with four dimensions:Model Reuse(MR),Hierarchical Recursion(HR),Elastic Learning Environment(ELE)and Goal Orientation(GO)and these together make the acronym of RHEO.Therefore,IMM-RHEO is piloted in the aquifer of Tabriz Plain with sparse and possibly heterogeneous data.The results provide some evidence that(i)IMM at two levels improves on the accuracy of individual models;and(ii)model combinations in IMM practices bring‘model-learning’into fashion for learning with the goal to explain baseline conditions and impacts of subsequent management changes.
基金supported by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61375082)
文摘The purpose of this research is to improve the robustness of the autonomous system in order to improve the position and velocity estimation of an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV).Therefore, new integrated SINS/GPS navigation scheme based on Interacting Multiple Nonlinear Fuzzy Adaptive H_∞ Models(IMM-NFAH_∞) filtering technique for UAV is presented. The proposed IMM-NFAH_∞ strategy switches between two different Nonlinear Fuzzy Adaptive H_∞(NFAH_∞) filters and each NFAH_∞ filter is based on different fuzzy logic inference systems. The newly proposed technique takes into consideration the high order Taylor series terms and adapts the nonlinear H_∞ filter based on different fuzzy inference systems via adaptive filter bounds(di),along with disturbance attenuation parameter c. Simulation analysis validates the performance of the proposed algorithm, and the comparison with nonlinear H_∞(NH_∞) filter and that with different NFAH_∞ filters demonstrate the effectiveness of UAV localization utilizing IMM-NFAH_∞ filter.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.60974039National Natural Science Foundation under Grant No.61573378+1 种基金Natural Science Foundation of Shandong province under Grant No.ZR2011FM002the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant No.15CX06064A.
文摘In this paper,an interacting multiple-model(IMM)method based on datadriven identification model is proposed for the prediction of nonlinear dynamic systems.Firstly,two basic models are selected as combination components due to their proved effectiveness.One is Gaussian process(GP)model,which can provide the predictive variance of the predicted output and only has several optimizing parameters.The other is regularized extreme learning machine(RELM)model,which can improve the overfitting problem resulted by empirical risk minimization principle and enhances the overall generalization performance.Then both of the models are updated continually using meaningful new data selected by data selection methods.Furthermore,recursive methods are employed in the two models to reduce the computational burden caused by continuous renewal.Finally,the two models are combined in IMM algorithm to realize the hybrid prediction,which can avoid the error accumulation in the single-model prediction.In order to verify the performance,the proposed method is applied to the prediction of moisture content of alkali-surfactant-polymer(ASP)flooding.The simulation results show that the proposed model can match the process very well.And IMM algorithm can outperform its components and provide a nice improvement in accuracy and robustness.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71401072)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China(No.BK20130814)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.NS2013064)
文摘In order to realize the aircraft trajectory prediction,a modified interacting multiple model(M-IMM) algorithm is proposed,which is based on the performance analysis of the standard interacting multiple model(IMM) algorithm.In the proposed M-IMM algorithm,a new likelihood function is defined for the sake of updating flight mode probabilities,in which the influences of interacting to residual's mean error are taken into account and the assumption of likelihood function being a zero mean Gaussian function is discarded.Finally,the proposed M-IMM algorithm is applied to the simulation of the aircraft trajectory prediction,and the comparative studies are conducted to existing algorithms.The simulation results indicate the proposed M-IMM algorithm can predict aircraft trajectory more quickly and accurately.
基金Sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.71271165)
文摘Measurements are always interfered with glint noise in a radar target tracking system, which makes the performance of traditional filtering fall sharply and even divergent.Against this problem, a new Interactive Multiple Model Particle Filter (IMMPF) algorithm is proposed for target tracking by introducing PF into Interactive Multiple Model (IMM).Different from the general method to select importance density function from PF, the particles are extracted from observation likelihood function within depending on observation noises.Observation noise is modelled, and the latest observation is fused, then the target can be effectively tracked.Finally, the optimized method is simulated with respect to bearings-only tracking of maneuvering target in a glint noise environment.Compared with the existing filtering algorithms, it turns out that the developed filtering algorithm is more efficient and closer to the real-time tracking requirement of high maneuvering targets.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China !( No.69772 0 3 1)
文摘In fault identification, the Strong Tracking Filter (STF) has strong ability to track the change of some parameters by whitening filtering innovation. In this paper, the authors give out a modified STF by searching the fading factor based on the Least Squared Estimation. In hybrid estimation, the well known Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) Technique can model the change of the system modes. So one can design a new adaptive filter — SIMM. In this filter, our modified STF is a parameter adaptive part and IMM is a mode adaptive part. The benefit of the new filter is that the number of models can be reduced considerably. The simulations show that SIMM greatly improves accuracy of velocity and acceleration compared with the standard IMM to track the maneuvering target when 2 model conditional estimators are used in both filters. And the computation burden of SIMM increases only 6% compared with IMM.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61663020)Project of Education Department of Gansu Province(No.2016B-036)
文摘To solve low precision and poor stability of the extended Kalman filter （EKF） in the vehicle integrated positioning system owing to acceleration, deceleration and turning （hereinafter referred to as maneuvering） , the paper presents an adaptive filter algorithm that combines interacting multiple model （IMM） and non linear Kalman filter. The algorithm describes the motion mode of vehicle by using three state spacemode]s. At first, the parallel filter of each model is realized by using multiple nonlinear filters. Then the weight integration of filtering result is carried out by using the model matching likelihood function so as to get the system positioning information. The method has advantages of nonlinear system filter and overcomes disadvantages of single model of filtering algorithm that has poor effects on positioning the maneuvering target. At last, the paper uses IMM and EKF methods to simulate the global positioning system （OPS）/inertial navigation system （INS）/dead reckoning （DR） integrated positioning system, respectively. The results indicate that the IMM algorithm is obviously superior to EKF filter used in the integrated positioning system at present. Moreover, it can greatly enhance the stability and positioning precision of integrated positioning system.
文摘Aim To develop a practical target tracking algorithm for different motion modes. Methods After creation of the new model, it was implemented by computer simulation to prove its performance and compared with the often-used current statistical model. Results The simulation results show that the new IMM (interactive multiple model) have low tracking error in both maneuVering segment and non^Inaneuwi segment while the current statistical model bas muCh higher tracking error in non-maneuvering segment. Conclusion In the point of trackintaccuracy, the new IMM method is much better than the current acceleration method. It can develop into a practical target hacking method.
文摘针对跟踪复杂机动目标过程中由于目标运动状态发生变化导致的跟踪误差较大的问题,提出一种自适应交互多模型无迹卡尔曼滤波(interacting multiple model unscented Kalman filter,IMM-UKF)算法,使用模型概率后验信息和模型似然函数自适应修正马尔可夫转移概率矩阵(transition probability matrix,TPM)。设计模型概率校正方法和模型转移加速方法,两种方法分别作用于模型稳定阶段和模型转移阶段,提高模型概率准确度和模型转移响应速度,减小状态估计误差。最后,通过两种场景下的实验验证所提算法在目标具有复杂运动状态下的性能,并与传统方法进行对比分析,在目标做机动运动时,位置精度和速度精度分别提高了15%和26%,验证了算法的有效性和可行性。
