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Optimal Configuration of Fault Location Measurement Points in DC Distribution Networks Based on Improved Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm
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作者 Huanan Yu Hangyu Li +1 位作者 He Wang Shiqiang Li 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第6期1535-1555,共21页
The escalating deployment of distributed power sources and random loads in DC distribution networks hasamplified the potential consequences of faults if left uncontrolled. To expedite the process of achieving an optim... The escalating deployment of distributed power sources and random loads in DC distribution networks hasamplified the potential consequences of faults if left uncontrolled. To expedite the process of achieving an optimalconfiguration of measurement points, this paper presents an optimal configuration scheme for fault locationmeasurement points in DC distribution networks based on an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm.Initially, a measurement point distribution optimization model is formulated, leveraging compressive sensing.The model aims to achieve the minimum number of measurement points while attaining the best compressivesensing reconstruction effect. It incorporates constraints from the compressive sensing algorithm and networkwide viewability. Subsequently, the traditional particle swarm algorithm is enhanced by utilizing the Haltonsequence for population initialization, generating uniformly distributed individuals. This enhancement reducesindividual search blindness and overlap probability, thereby promoting population diversity. Furthermore, anadaptive t-distribution perturbation strategy is introduced during the particle update process to enhance the globalsearch capability and search speed. The established model for the optimal configuration of measurement points issolved, and the results demonstrate the efficacy and practicality of the proposed method. The optimal configurationreduces the number of measurement points, enhances localization accuracy, and improves the convergence speedof the algorithm. These findings validate the effectiveness and utility of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 Optimal allocation improved particle swarm algorithm fault location compressed sensing DC distribution network
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Prediction Model of Wax Deposition Rate in Waxy Crude Oil Pipelines by Elman Neural Network Based on Improved Reptile Search Algorithm
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作者 Zhuo Chen Ningning Wang +1 位作者 Wenbo Jin Dui Li 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2024年第4期1007-1026,共20页
A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax depositi... A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Waxy crude oil wax deposition rate chaotic map improved reptile search algorithm Elman neural network prediction accuracy
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Object Recognition Algorithm Based on an Improved Convolutional Neural Network 被引量:1
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作者 Zheyi Fan Yu Song Wei Li 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2020年第2期139-145,共7页
In order to accomplish the task of object recognition in natural scenes,a new object recognition algorithm based on an improved convolutional neural network(CNN)is proposed.First,candidate object windows are extracted... In order to accomplish the task of object recognition in natural scenes,a new object recognition algorithm based on an improved convolutional neural network(CNN)is proposed.First,candidate object windows are extracted from the original image.Then,candidate object windows are input into the improved CNN model to obtain deep features.Finally,the deep features are input into the Softmax and the confidence scores of classes are obtained.The candidate object window with the highest confidence score is selected as the object recognition result.Based on AlexNet,Inception V1 is introduced into the improved CNN and the fully connected layer is replaced by the average pooling layer,which widens the network and deepens the network at the same time.Experimental results show that the improved object recognition algorithm can obtain better recognition results in multiple natural scene images,and has a higher degree of accuracy than the classical algorithms in the field of object recognition. 展开更多
关键词 object recognition selective search algorithm improved convolutional neural network(CNN)
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A NEW RETROFIT APPROACH FOR HEAT EXCHANGER NETWORKS—IMPROVED GENETIC ALGORITHM
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作者 王克峰 姚平经 +2 位作者 袁一 于福东 施光燕 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1997年第4期65-76,共12页
Inspired by genetic algorithm(GA),an improved genetic algorithm(IGA)is proposed.It inherits the main idea of evolutionary computing,avoids the process of coding and decoding inorder to probe the solution in the state ... Inspired by genetic algorithm(GA),an improved genetic algorithm(IGA)is proposed.It inherits the main idea of evolutionary computing,avoids the process of coding and decoding inorder to probe the solution in the state space directly and has distributed computing version.Soit is faster and gives higher precision.Aided by IGA,a new optimization strategy for theflexibility analysis and retrofitting of existing heat exchanger networks is presented.A case studyshows that IGA has the ability of finding the global optimum with higher speed and better preci-sion. 展开更多
关键词 HEAT EXCHANGER network FLEXIBILITY analysis and RETROFIT improved GENETIC algorithm
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Improved Bat Algorithm Based Energy Efficient Congestion Control Scheme for Wireless Sensor Networks 被引量:1
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作者 Mukhdeep Singh Manshahia Mayank Dave Satya Bir Singh 《Wireless Sensor Network》 2016年第11期229-241,共14页
Energy conservation and congestion control are widely researched topics in Wireless Sensor Networks in recent years. The main objective is to develop a model to find the optimized path on the basis of distance between... Energy conservation and congestion control are widely researched topics in Wireless Sensor Networks in recent years. The main objective is to develop a model to find the optimized path on the basis of distance between source and destination and the residual energy of the node. This paper shows an implementation of nature inspired improved Bat Algorithm to control congestion in Wireless Sensor Networks at transport layer. The Algorithm has been applied on the fitness function to obtain an optimum solution. Simulation results have shown improvement in parameters like network lifetime and throughput as compared with CODA (Congestion Detection and Avoidance), PSO (Particle Swarm Optimization) algorithm and ACO (Ant Colony Optimization). 展开更多
关键词 improved Bat algorithm Congestion Control Wireless Sensor networks
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AN IMPROVED GN ALGORITHM OF NETWORK COMMUNITY DETECTION METHOD
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作者 WU Guodong SONG Fugen 《International English Education Research》 2017年第4期75-77,共3页
.GN algorithm has high classification accuracy on community detection, but its time complexity is too high. In large scale network, the algorithm is lack of practical values. This paper puts forward an improved GN alg... .GN algorithm has high classification accuracy on community detection, but its time complexity is too high. In large scale network, the algorithm is lack of practical values. This paper puts forward an improved GN algorithm. The algorithm firstly get the network center nodes set, then use the shortest paths between center nodes and other nodes to calculate the edge betweenness, and then use incremental module degree as the algorithm terminates standard. Experiments show that, the new algorithm not only ensures accuracy of network community division, but also greatly reduced the time complexity, and improves the efficiency of community division. 展开更多
关键词 Complex network Community detection Center node improved GN algorithm
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Coal mine safety production forewarning based on improved BP neural network 被引量:38
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作者 Wang Ying Lu Cuijie Zuo Cuiping 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第2期319-324,共6页
Firstly, the early warning index system of coal mine safety production was given from four aspects as per- sonnel, environment, equipment and management. Then, improvement measures which are additional momentum method... Firstly, the early warning index system of coal mine safety production was given from four aspects as per- sonnel, environment, equipment and management. Then, improvement measures which are additional momentum method, adaptive learning rate, particle swarm optimization algorithm, variable weight method and asynchronous learning factor, are used to optimize BP neural network models. Further, the models are applied to a comparative study on coal mine safety warning instance. Results show that the identification precision of MPSO-BP network model is higher than GBP and PSO-BP model, and MPSO- BP model can not only effectively reduce the possibility of the network falling into a local minimum point, but also has fast convergence and high precision, which will provide the scientific basis for the forewarnin~ management of coal mine safetv production. 展开更多
关键词 improved PSO algorithm BP neural network Coal mine safety production Early warning
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Fault Attribute Reduction of Oil Immersed Transformer Based on Improved Imperialist Competitive Algorithm
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作者 Li Bian Hui He +1 位作者 Hongna Sun Wenjing Liu 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2020年第6期83-90,共8页
The original fault data of oil immersed transformer often contains a large number of unnecessary attributes,which greatly increases the elapsed time of the algorithm and reduces the classification accuracy,leading to ... The original fault data of oil immersed transformer often contains a large number of unnecessary attributes,which greatly increases the elapsed time of the algorithm and reduces the classification accuracy,leading to the rise of the diagnosis error rate.Therefore,in order to obtain high quality oil immersed transformer fault attribute data sets,an improved imperialist competitive algorithm was proposed to optimize the rough set to discretize the original fault data set and the attribute reduction.The feasibility of the proposed algorithm was verified by experiments and compared with other intelligent algorithms.Results show that the algorithm was stable at the 27th iteration with a reduction rate of 56.25%and a reduction accuracy of 98%.By using BP neural network to classify the reduction results,the accuracy was 86.25%,and the overall effect was better than those of the original data and other algorithms.Hence,the proposed method is effective for fault attribute reduction of oil immersed transformer. 展开更多
关键词 transformer fault improved imperialist competitive algorithm rough set attribute reduction BP neural network
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Real-Time Ship Roll Prediction via a Novel Stochastic Trainer-Based Feedforward Neural Network
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作者 XU Dong-xing YIN Jian-chuan 《China Ocean Engineering》 2025年第4期608-620,共13页
Enhancing the accuracy of real-time ship roll prediction is crucial for maritime safety and operational efficiency.To address the challenge of accurately predicting the ship roll status with nonlinear time-varying dyn... Enhancing the accuracy of real-time ship roll prediction is crucial for maritime safety and operational efficiency.To address the challenge of accurately predicting the ship roll status with nonlinear time-varying dynamic characteristics,a real-time ship roll prediction scheme is proposed on the basis of a data preprocessing strategy and a novel stochastic trainer-based feedforward neural network.The sliding data window serves as a ship time-varying dynamic observer to enhance model prediction stability.The variational mode decomposition method extracts effective information on ship roll motion and reduces the non-stationary characteristics of the series.The energy entropy method reconstructs the mode components into high-frequency,medium-frequency,and low-frequency series to reduce model complexity.An improved black widow optimization algorithm trainer-based feedforward neural network with enhanced local optimal avoidance predicts the high-frequency component,enabling accurate tracking of abrupt signals.Additionally,the deterministic algorithm trainer-based neural network,characterized by rapid processing speed,predicts the remaining two mode components.Thus,real-time ship roll forecasting can be achieved through the reconstruction of mode component prediction results.The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid prediction scheme for ship roll motion are demonstrated through the measured data of a full-scale ship trial.The proposed prediction scheme achieves real-time ship roll prediction with superior prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 ship roll prediction data preprocessing strategy sliding data widow improved black widow optimization algorithm stochastic trainer feedforward neural network
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基于小波变换与IAGA-BP神经网络的短期风电功率预测 被引量:5
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作者 孙国良 伊力哈木·亚尔买买提 +3 位作者 张宽 吐松江·卡日 李振恩 邸强 《电测与仪表》 北大核心 2024年第5期126-134,145,共10页
为提高风功率预测精度,减轻输出风能波动性对风电并网不利影响,提出了基于WT-IAGA-BP神经网络的短期风电功率预测方法。利用风速分区、3σ准则及拉格朗日插值法清洗风电场历史数据;其次,依据小波重构误差,选择db4小波分别提取风速、风... 为提高风功率预测精度,减轻输出风能波动性对风电并网不利影响,提出了基于WT-IAGA-BP神经网络的短期风电功率预测方法。利用风速分区、3σ准则及拉格朗日插值法清洗风电场历史数据;其次,依据小波重构误差,选择db4小波分别提取风速、风向、历史风功率的不同频率特征信号,并引入改进自适应遗传算法(IAGA)对各序列BP神经网络的初始权值与阈值寻优,使用Sigmiod函数通过适应度值自适应改变交叉概率与变异概率;构建各序列的WT-IAGA-BP模型对短期风功率组合预测。通过仿真分析,并与ELM、IAGA-BP、WT-ELM及WT-LSSVM方法对比,验证该方法具有更高的预测精度和更好的预测性能。 展开更多
关键词 风电功率预测 数据清洗 小波变换 改进自适应遗传算法 神经网络
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Research on BP Neural Network Algorithm Based on Quasi- Newton Method 被引量:3
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作者 Lu Peixin 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2014年第7期71-74,共4页
With more and more researches about improving BP algorithm, there are more improvement methods. The paper researches two improvement algorithms based on quasi-Newton method, DFP algorithm and L-BFGS algorithm. After f... With more and more researches about improving BP algorithm, there are more improvement methods. The paper researches two improvement algorithms based on quasi-Newton method, DFP algorithm and L-BFGS algorithm. After fully analyzing the features of quasi- Newton methods, the paper improves BP neural network algorithm. And the adjustment is made for the problems in the improvement process. The paper makes empirical analysis and proves the effectiveness of BP neural network algorithm based on quasi-Newton method. The improved algorithms are compared with the traditional BP algorithm, which indicates that the imoroved BP algorithm is better. 展开更多
关键词 Newton method BP neural network improved algorithm
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A new PQ disturbances identification method based on combining neural network with least square weighted fusion algorithm
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作者 吕干云 程浩忠 翟海保 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2006年第6期649-653,共5页
A new method for power quality (PQ) disturbances identification is brought forward based on combining a neural network with least square (LS) weighted fusion algorithm. The characteristic components of PQ disturbances... A new method for power quality (PQ) disturbances identification is brought forward based on combining a neural network with least square (LS) weighted fusion algorithm. The characteristic components of PQ disturbances are distilled through an improved phase-located loop (PLL) system at first, and then five child BP ANNs with different structures are trained and adopted to identify the PQ disturbances respectively. The combining neural network fuses the identification results of these child ANNs with LS weighted fusion algorithm, and identifies PQ disturbances with the fused result finally. Compared with a single neural network, the combining one with LS weighted fusion algorithm can identify the PQ disturbances correctly when noise is strong. However, a single neural network may fail in this case. Furthermore, the combining neural network is more reliable than a single neural network. The simulation results prove the conclusions above. 展开更多
关键词 PQ disturbances identification combining neural network LS weighted fusion algorithm improved PLL system
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基于改进EMD和GA-BPNN的机器人磨削颤振监测 被引量:2
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作者 刘伟 刘旺 +3 位作者 曹大虎 葛吉民 万林林 陈加 《振动与冲击》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第9期131-138,174,共9页
由于工业机器人的灵活性,被广泛应用于机器人焊缝磨削任务中。但由于机器人的弱刚性,在焊缝磨削过程中系统容易发生颤振,因此对加工过程中的颤振监测是保证加工质量的基础。针对在加工振动信号处理过程中的模态混叠现象,提出了一种基于... 由于工业机器人的灵活性,被广泛应用于机器人焊缝磨削任务中。但由于机器人的弱刚性,在焊缝磨削过程中系统容易发生颤振,因此对加工过程中的颤振监测是保证加工质量的基础。针对在加工振动信号处理过程中的模态混叠现象,提出了一种基于排列熵算法改进的经验模态分解方法,通过排列熵算法检测振动信号中的异常信号并剔除。通过相关系数法提取相关性最大的固有模态函数的能量熵作为特征值,同时提取方差、峰峰值、均方根和峭度4种时域特征。利用遗传算法优化BP神经网络(back propagation neural network,BPNN)建立颤振辨识模型,最后将提取的5种特征参数作为特征向量代入辨识模型中对加工状态进行监测。试验结果显示,提出的改进经验模态分解算法结合遗传算法优化的BPNN模型能够有效地对机器人焊缝磨削中的颤振进行监测。 展开更多
关键词 机器人磨削 颤振监测 改进经验模态分解 遗传算法 BP神经网络
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基于IWOA-LSTM算法的预应力钢筋混凝土梁损伤识别 被引量:5
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作者 范旭红 章立栋 +2 位作者 杨帆 李青 郁董凯 《江苏大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2025年第1期105-112,119,共9页
为准确识别桥梁结构的损伤程度,制作了桥梁的关键构件——预应力钢筋混凝土梁,进行三点弯曲加载试验.收集了损伤破坏全过程的声发射(AE)信号,通过AE信号参数分析,将梁的损伤破坏过程划分为4个典型阶段.构建了长短时记忆神经网络(LSTM)模... 为准确识别桥梁结构的损伤程度,制作了桥梁的关键构件——预应力钢筋混凝土梁,进行三点弯曲加载试验.收集了损伤破坏全过程的声发射(AE)信号,通过AE信号参数分析,将梁的损伤破坏过程划分为4个典型阶段.构建了长短时记忆神经网络(LSTM)模型,根据经验设置LSTM模型的超参数容易导致网络陷入局部最优而影响了分类结果,提出采用Sine混沌映射和自适应权重来改进鲸鱼优化算法(WOA),对LSTM进行超参数寻优.设计了IWOA-LSTM算法模型,训练识别试验梁各损伤阶段的AE信号特征参数.定型网络结构,并识别同种工况下其他梁的AE信号.结果表明:IWOA-LSTM算法模型识别准确率均超过或接近92%,相较于普通LSTM模型,IWOA-LSTM模型识别准确率提高了约7%. 展开更多
关键词 预应力钢筋混凝土梁 声发射 损伤识别 长短时记忆神经网络 改进的鲸鱼优化算法
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基于改进型YOLOv5的粉尘检测算法 被引量:2
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作者 陈清华 张俊伟 +2 位作者 程迎松 张旭 程建华 《煤矿安全》 北大核心 2025年第6期79-88,共10页
近年来,由于基于图像识别的粉尘检测方法不存在安装和检测范围局限性等问题,因此得到了充分重视和发展,但现有方法实时性和准确性仍需提升。为此,提出了一种基于改进YOLOv5算法的粉尘图像检测方法。首先,对现有YOLOv5算法主干网络以及N... 近年来,由于基于图像识别的粉尘检测方法不存在安装和检测范围局限性等问题,因此得到了充分重视和发展,但现有方法实时性和准确性仍需提升。为此,提出了一种基于改进YOLOv5算法的粉尘图像检测方法。首先,对现有YOLOv5算法主干网络以及Neck网络进行改进,将轻量化网络GhostNet替换原有主干网络,以降低网络参数,再输出3个特征层;然后,针对主干网络输出的3个特征层,施加注意力机制CA,增加网络精度;最后,设计消融实验和对比实验验证改进算法的有效性。结果表明:改进算法的平均检测精度mAP(mean Average Precision)能达到92.11%,检测速度达37帧/s。 展开更多
关键词 粉尘图像检测 改进YOLOv5算法 置信度 轻量化网络 CA注意力机制
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基于改进神经网络的医院通信安全态势感知方法 被引量:3
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作者 邓从香 《电子设计工程》 2025年第1期166-170,175,共6页
针对医院通信安全态势感知不及时,易导致医院信息系统重要信息受到损害的问题,提出基于改进神经网络的医院通信安全态势感知方法。使用基于小波消噪的通信信号去除噪声并保留关键信息,输入基于改进RBF神经网络的医院通信安全态势感知模... 针对医院通信安全态势感知不及时,易导致医院信息系统重要信息受到损害的问题,提出基于改进神经网络的医院通信安全态势感知方法。使用基于小波消噪的通信信号去除噪声并保留关键信息,输入基于改进RBF神经网络的医院通信安全态势感知模型。利用花朵授粉算法完成改进RBF神经网络训练。通过径向基函数对输入数据进行非线性变换,将得到的权值进行加权求和,得到当前通信网络信号的安全态势预测结果。实验结果显示,应用该文方法的医院通信网络异常信息可在1 s内完成感知。 展开更多
关键词 改进神经网络 医院通信 安全态势 小波消噪 信号去噪 花朵授粉算法
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基于优化VMD和BiLSTM的短期负荷预测 被引量:3
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作者 谢国民 陆子俊 《电力系统及其自动化学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期30-39,共10页
针对电力负荷数据周期性强、波动性高,预测效果不佳的问题,建立一种基于优化变分模态分解、改进沙猫群优化(improved sand cat swarm optimization,ISCSO)算法和双向长短时记忆(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)网络的集... 针对电力负荷数据周期性强、波动性高,预测效果不佳的问题,建立一种基于优化变分模态分解、改进沙猫群优化(improved sand cat swarm optimization,ISCSO)算法和双向长短时记忆(bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)网络的集成预测模型。首先,对原始电力负荷数据进行变分模态分解,降低数据复杂度,在变分模态分解中,引入白鲸算法对分解层数和惩罚因子寻优,优化分解效果。其次,采用Logistic混沌映射、螺旋搜索和麻雀思想引入的多策略改进方法,增加原始沙猫群优化算法的种群多样性,提升收敛精度和全局搜索能力,并用改进后的算法对BiLSTM中的超参数进行优化。然后,结合AdaBoost集成学习算法构建ISCSO-Bi LSTM-AdaBoost预测模型,将分解后的各分量输入模型预测。最后将各预测值叠加,得到最终预测结果。实验结果表明,本文建立的组合模型预测精度高,稳定性强。 展开更多
关键词 电力负荷预测 变分模态分解 双向长短期记忆网络 改进沙猫群优化算法 集成学习算法
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基于改进蚁群算法的无线传感网络路由优化方法 被引量:2
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作者 李忠 严莉 +1 位作者 倪建军 汤嘉立 《计算机与网络》 2025年第1期67-75,共9页
为了提高传统无线传感网络路由的性能,提出基于改进蚁群算法的无线传感网络路由优化方法,包括路由控制层、SDN信息收集层和数据转发层。借助参考节点和锚节点确定未知节点位置,并根据节点位置设计优化目标函数。通过改进蚁群算法中的转... 为了提高传统无线传感网络路由的性能,提出基于改进蚁群算法的无线传感网络路由优化方法,包括路由控制层、SDN信息收集层和数据转发层。借助参考节点和锚节点确定未知节点位置,并根据节点位置设计优化目标函数。通过改进蚁群算法中的转移概率和信息素浓度,求解目标函数,获得最佳的路由方案。实验结果表明,该方法在能量消耗、传输时延、死亡节点数量和网络吞吐量等方面均有明显改善,有效提高了无线传感网络路由的性能。 展开更多
关键词 改进蚁群算法 无线传感网络 路由优化 路由模型 目标函数
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目标支路减维的接地网双向故障诊断方法 被引量:1
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作者 商立群 马童童 《电力系统保护与控制》 北大核心 2025年第7期144-154,共11页
为了减少变电站接地网故障诊断中经常出现误诊漏诊的情况,提出一种目标支路减维的接地网双向故障诊断方法。首先基于电网络理论建立接地网的模型。其次设置故障支路检测向和健康支路约简向,故障支路检测向实现模糊故障支路向明晰故障支... 为了减少变电站接地网故障诊断中经常出现误诊漏诊的情况,提出一种目标支路减维的接地网双向故障诊断方法。首先基于电网络理论建立接地网的模型。其次设置故障支路检测向和健康支路约简向,故障支路检测向实现模糊故障支路向明晰故障支路的转变,健康支路约简向根据评价函数定义故障影响系数,选出每次影响系数最高的支路作为目标减维对象,实现模糊健康支路拓扑结构的约简。最后采用经Logistic映射、自适应权重优化的改进萤火虫算法(improved firefly algorithm,IFA)对目标函数求解。通过对具体案例的诊断结果分析,验证了所提方法在确保诊断精度的同时,不易出现误诊漏诊的情况。 展开更多
关键词 接地网 腐蚀故障 双向诊断 目标支路减维 改进萤火虫算法
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基于改进粒子群算法和极限学习机模型的配电网物资需求预测 被引量:1
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作者 王永利 赵中华 +2 位作者 张一诺 冯天义 刘怡然 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2025年第15期6410-6418,共9页
为解决电网物资品种繁多、规格多样、数量巨大、用途广泛、受政策和投资影响大等特点所导致的预测模型构建困难的问题。首先,通过德尔菲法和灰色关联分析法(gray correlation analysis,GRA)筛选影响基建、业扩及抢修项目物资需求数量的... 为解决电网物资品种繁多、规格多样、数量巨大、用途广泛、受政策和投资影响大等特点所导致的预测模型构建困难的问题。首先,通过德尔菲法和灰色关联分析法(gray correlation analysis,GRA)筛选影响基建、业扩及抢修项目物资需求数量的因素。其次,利用引入自适应惯性因子和学习因子的改进粒子群算法调整极限学习机的最佳参数组合,训练各类配网项目物资需求预测模型。最后,以南方电网深圳市某供电局2020—2022年基建项目10 kV电力电缆需求情况为例,将GRA-IPSO-ELM(grey relational analysis,improved particle swarm optimization,and extreme learning machines)德尔菲法和灰色关联分析法模型与常见的4种预测模型的结果进行对比。结果表明,相较于ELM模型、支持向量机模型以及PSO-ELM模型,GRA-IPSO-ELM模型预测准确率得到10.38%、5.37%、3.83%的提升,可见,所提出的模型实现了对配网物资需求数量准确且高效的预测。 展开更多
关键词 物资需求预测 配电网 极限学习机 改进粒子群优化算法
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