This study characterizes the instrumental record of California climate for the last 170 years.Our goal is to look for hydrologic variability at decadal and longer time scales that would be consistent with paleoclimate...This study characterizes the instrumental record of California climate for the last 170 years.Our goal is to look for hydrologic variability at decadal and longer time scales that would be consistent with paleoclimate estimates of hydrologic variability in California for the last 3000 years.Our study focuses on meteorological summaries of annual precipitation and temperature.The precipitation records go back as far as 1850;the temperature records go back as far as 1880.California hydrologic records show strong variability at the interannual level due to ENSO forcing.They also all show a strong decadal(∼14 yr)cyclicity and evidence for multi-decadal to centennial variability that is consistent with California paleoclimate studies.California temperature records show a long-term warming of 5°F-6°F(2.8°C-3.4°C)associated with global warming,but there is no evidence for a similar long-term trend in hydrologic variability.Long-term Pacific Ocean variability adjacent to central and northern California,Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO)and North Pacific Gyre Oscillation(NPGO),show a similar decadal to centennial pattern of variability that we associate with our long-term hydrologic variability.The positive phase of the NPGO and the negative phase of the PDO are associated with the decadal scale(∼14 yr)dry cycles in California for the last 70 years.展开更多
Tree-ring chronologies from pine,oak and black locust tree species were used to reconstruct annual streamflow and examine hydrological drought years for Palgong Mountain forested watershed in southeastern South Korea ...Tree-ring chronologies from pine,oak and black locust tree species were used to reconstruct annual streamflow and examine hydrological drought years for Palgong Mountain forested watershed in southeastern South Korea for the period from 1954-2015. The backward elimination multiple regression analysis provided the statistically significant predictor chronologies of streamflow. The final calibration and verification test models accounted for 84.8% and 81.6%,respectively,of the variability in streamflow observed in the gage data. Further verification of the validity of the reconstructed model was undertaken with the Pearson Correlation Coefficient,the Reduction of Error Test,and the Durbin-Watson Statistics and indicated fidelity of the model for reconstructing the annual streamflow. Analyses of the reconstructed annual streamflow indicate that the most persistent years of high flows above the median annual discharge occurred from 1986-2008.This period included 7 single or multiple years of highest flow above the 90 th percentile discharge and multiple years of high flows with a time interval of 2-6 years,although with intervening multiple years of low flows below the 10 th and 50 th percentile. In comparison,the most persistent years of low flows below the median annual discharge occurred from 1954-1985 and 2009-2015. This period included 8 single or multiple years of lowest flow below the 10 th percentiledischarge and multiple years of low flows with a time interval of 2-9 years,although also with intervening multiple years of high flows above the 50 th percentile. No single years of extreme hydrological droughts below the 10 th percentile were identified from 1986-2015 whereas a greater proportion of high flows above the 90 th percentile occurred during this period. The persistent single or multiple years of lowest flows between 1954 and 1985 were the recent most critical hydrological drought years identified in the Palgong Mountain forested watershed providing supportive evidence of the severity of past hydrological droughts during that period,applicable to the southeastern South Korea where the study watershed is located. This interpretation agrees with the hydrological drought event years identified from 1951 to the early 1980 s in a related national study that used precipitation proxy data to reconstruct past occurrences of droughts in Korea.展开更多
The average temperature of Thailand is projected to increase by 2-3 °C, and the annual rainfall is projected to increase by 25% and up to 50% in certain areas. The climate change in future is expected to provide ...The average temperature of Thailand is projected to increase by 2-3 °C, and the annual rainfall is projected to increase by 25% and up to 50% in certain areas. The climate change in future is expected to provide changes in hydrological cycle and therefore impacts the groundwater resources too. In this study, we analyzed the general climate change trends and reviewed the groundwater conditions of Thailand. The climate changes, hydrologic variability and the impact of climate change on groundwater sustainability are also discussed based on a national groundwater monitoring program. Currently, there are 864 groundwater monitoring stations and 1 524 monitoring wells installed in Thailand. Moreover, the impact of climate change on groundwater-dependent systems and sectors is also discussed according to certain case studies, such as saline water intrusion in coastal and inland areas. Managing aquifer recharge and other projects are examples of groundwater adaptation project for the future.展开更多
Wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall tests are employed to evaluate the variation in the East Asian summer monsoon（EASM） and hydrological variables in the Haihe River basin calculated by the Variable Infiltration Capac...Wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall tests are employed to evaluate the variation in the East Asian summer monsoon（EASM） and hydrological variables in the Haihe River basin calculated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity model. The relationships between those variables and the EASM are also examined. The results indicate consistent 40 a periodic variation in both the hydrological variables and the EASM. The hydrologic variables show downward trends in the Haihe River basin over the past 60 years, especially in piedmont regions of the Taihang-Yan Mountains. The variables are closely related to the EASM, whose continuous weakening since the 1970 s has resulted in prolonged drought and severe water shortages in the basin. The periodicity of the EASM index was analyzed using continuous wavelet transform methods. We found the most significant periodic signal of the EASM is ~80 years; therefore, the EASM may reinforce and reach a maximum in the 2040 s, resulting in more precipitation and other impacts on basin water resources. Hydrologic variables in the basin in the 2040 s are predicted, and their spatial distributions in the Haihe River basin are also discussed. These results allow for the estimation of water resources under forecasted EASM, which will be useful for water resources management in the Haihe River basin.展开更多
Bioclimatic zonation is critical for understanding how climate shapes biodiversity and biogeographic patterns.However,existing studies have primarily focused on macroorganisms,leaving microbial communities largely und...Bioclimatic zonation is critical for understanding how climate shapes biodiversity and biogeographic patterns.However,existing studies have primarily focused on macroorganisms,leaving microbial communities largely underexplored.This study seeks to address this gap through extensive sampling of bacterial communities from 931 sediment samples across 199 lakes in China.Based on the obtained data,we identified five distinct lacustrine microbial bioclimatic zones,each showing significant differences in multiple facets of bacterial diversity(i.e.,alpha,beta,and gamma diversity)and clear bioclimatic zone-dependent microbial biogeographic patterns.Notably,the alpha and beta diversity of the bacterial communities showed opposing patterns across bioclimatic zones.Dominant environmental variables—specifically mean annual temperature,elevation,lake hydrological variables,and sediment pH—exerted contrasting effects on the alpha and beta diversity and played critical roles in shaping microbial community distribution at different spatial scales.At continental scales,predominant geographic and climatic variables dictated the patterns of bioclimatic zonation of lacustrine microbial communities.At regional scales,hydrological variables influenced the dispersal capacity of lake microbes,whereas sediment physicochemical variables were the most important selection factors shaping local microbial communities.Furthermore,our findings indicated that bioclimatic boundaries substantially enhanced the contribution of variable selection on bacterial community assembly and led to marked changes in distance-decay relationships in community dissimilarities.Overall,this study established a continental bioclimatic framework for lacustrine microbial communities,clarifying how environmental variables control microbial distributions across spatial scales,providing new insights into microbial biogeography,and advancing our knowledge about biodiversity under future climate change scenarios.展开更多
文摘This study characterizes the instrumental record of California climate for the last 170 years.Our goal is to look for hydrologic variability at decadal and longer time scales that would be consistent with paleoclimate estimates of hydrologic variability in California for the last 3000 years.Our study focuses on meteorological summaries of annual precipitation and temperature.The precipitation records go back as far as 1850;the temperature records go back as far as 1880.California hydrologic records show strong variability at the interannual level due to ENSO forcing.They also all show a strong decadal(∼14 yr)cyclicity and evidence for multi-decadal to centennial variability that is consistent with California paleoclimate studies.California temperature records show a long-term warming of 5°F-6°F(2.8°C-3.4°C)associated with global warming,but there is no evidence for a similar long-term trend in hydrologic variability.Long-term Pacific Ocean variability adjacent to central and northern California,Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO)and North Pacific Gyre Oscillation(NPGO),show a similar decadal to centennial pattern of variability that we associate with our long-term hydrologic variability.The positive phase of the NPGO and the negative phase of the PDO are associated with the decadal scale(∼14 yr)dry cycles in California for the last 70 years.
基金support of Forest Science and Technology Projects (Project No.S211215L020210) provided by Korea Forest Service
文摘Tree-ring chronologies from pine,oak and black locust tree species were used to reconstruct annual streamflow and examine hydrological drought years for Palgong Mountain forested watershed in southeastern South Korea for the period from 1954-2015. The backward elimination multiple regression analysis provided the statistically significant predictor chronologies of streamflow. The final calibration and verification test models accounted for 84.8% and 81.6%,respectively,of the variability in streamflow observed in the gage data. Further verification of the validity of the reconstructed model was undertaken with the Pearson Correlation Coefficient,the Reduction of Error Test,and the Durbin-Watson Statistics and indicated fidelity of the model for reconstructing the annual streamflow. Analyses of the reconstructed annual streamflow indicate that the most persistent years of high flows above the median annual discharge occurred from 1986-2008.This period included 7 single or multiple years of highest flow above the 90 th percentile discharge and multiple years of high flows with a time interval of 2-6 years,although with intervening multiple years of low flows below the 10 th and 50 th percentile. In comparison,the most persistent years of low flows below the median annual discharge occurred from 1954-1985 and 2009-2015. This period included 8 single or multiple years of lowest flow below the 10 th percentiledischarge and multiple years of low flows with a time interval of 2-9 years,although also with intervening multiple years of high flows above the 50 th percentile. No single years of extreme hydrological droughts below the 10 th percentile were identified from 1986-2015 whereas a greater proportion of high flows above the 90 th percentile occurred during this period. The persistent single or multiple years of lowest flows between 1954 and 1985 were the recent most critical hydrological drought years identified in the Palgong Mountain forested watershed providing supportive evidence of the severity of past hydrological droughts during that period,applicable to the southeastern South Korea where the study watershed is located. This interpretation agrees with the hydrological drought event years identified from 1951 to the early 1980 s in a related national study that used precipitation proxy data to reconstruct past occurrences of droughts in Korea.
文摘The average temperature of Thailand is projected to increase by 2-3 °C, and the annual rainfall is projected to increase by 25% and up to 50% in certain areas. The climate change in future is expected to provide changes in hydrological cycle and therefore impacts the groundwater resources too. In this study, we analyzed the general climate change trends and reviewed the groundwater conditions of Thailand. The climate changes, hydrologic variability and the impact of climate change on groundwater sustainability are also discussed based on a national groundwater monitoring program. Currently, there are 864 groundwater monitoring stations and 1 524 monitoring wells installed in Thailand. Moreover, the impact of climate change on groundwater-dependent systems and sectors is also discussed according to certain case studies, such as saline water intrusion in coastal and inland areas. Managing aquifer recharge and other projects are examples of groundwater adaptation project for the future.
基金the National Major Basic Research Program of China(2010CB428404)the“Hundred Talents Program”of Chinese Academy of Sciences(for Dong Chen)Open Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Hohai University(2015490711)
文摘Wavelet analysis and Mann-Kendall tests are employed to evaluate the variation in the East Asian summer monsoon（EASM） and hydrological variables in the Haihe River basin calculated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity model. The relationships between those variables and the EASM are also examined. The results indicate consistent 40 a periodic variation in both the hydrological variables and the EASM. The hydrologic variables show downward trends in the Haihe River basin over the past 60 years, especially in piedmont regions of the Taihang-Yan Mountains. The variables are closely related to the EASM, whose continuous weakening since the 1970 s has resulted in prolonged drought and severe water shortages in the basin. The periodicity of the EASM index was analyzed using continuous wavelet transform methods. We found the most significant periodic signal of the EASM is ~80 years; therefore, the EASM may reinforce and reach a maximum in the 2040 s, resulting in more precipitation and other impacts on basin water resources. Hydrologic variables in the basin in the 2040 s are predicted, and their spatial distributions in the Haihe River basin are also discussed. These results allow for the estimation of water resources under forecasted EASM, which will be useful for water resources management in the Haihe River basin.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(92351303,92251304,U23A20153 and 92251307)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(2019QZKK0503)+1 种基金the National Key R&D Program of China(2023YFF1304501)the Science&Technology Basic Resources Investigation Program of China(2017FY100300)。
文摘Bioclimatic zonation is critical for understanding how climate shapes biodiversity and biogeographic patterns.However,existing studies have primarily focused on macroorganisms,leaving microbial communities largely underexplored.This study seeks to address this gap through extensive sampling of bacterial communities from 931 sediment samples across 199 lakes in China.Based on the obtained data,we identified five distinct lacustrine microbial bioclimatic zones,each showing significant differences in multiple facets of bacterial diversity(i.e.,alpha,beta,and gamma diversity)and clear bioclimatic zone-dependent microbial biogeographic patterns.Notably,the alpha and beta diversity of the bacterial communities showed opposing patterns across bioclimatic zones.Dominant environmental variables—specifically mean annual temperature,elevation,lake hydrological variables,and sediment pH—exerted contrasting effects on the alpha and beta diversity and played critical roles in shaping microbial community distribution at different spatial scales.At continental scales,predominant geographic and climatic variables dictated the patterns of bioclimatic zonation of lacustrine microbial communities.At regional scales,hydrological variables influenced the dispersal capacity of lake microbes,whereas sediment physicochemical variables were the most important selection factors shaping local microbial communities.Furthermore,our findings indicated that bioclimatic boundaries substantially enhanced the contribution of variable selection on bacterial community assembly and led to marked changes in distance-decay relationships in community dissimilarities.Overall,this study established a continental bioclimatic framework for lacustrine microbial communities,clarifying how environmental variables control microbial distributions across spatial scales,providing new insights into microbial biogeography,and advancing our knowledge about biodiversity under future climate change scenarios.
