As a frequently-observed phenomenon in the northern South China Sea(nSCS),subsurface chlorophyll maximum(SCM)evolution from summer to winter remains unclear,neither the associated hydrographic control.In this study,on...As a frequently-observed phenomenon in the northern South China Sea(nSCS),subsurface chlorophyll maximum(SCM)evolution from summer to winter remains unclear,neither the associated hydrographic control.In this study,on the basis of in-situ data of fall-season cruises in 2004–2006,we characterized the depth,thickness and intensity of the SCM in the nSCS using a general Gaussian-function fitting approach,and investigated a linkage to the corresponding ocean vertical buoyance properties.Our results show that the SCM becomes deeper,thicker and less intense offshore-wards in the nSCS during fall seasons.In parallel,a correlation between the SCM variation and mixed layer depth exists in the nSCS,and it becomes pronounced in the shelf region compared to the slope and basin areas in autumn.Physically,once warmer surface ocean and thus stronger thermo-determined stratification,the SCM layer goes deeper and becomes thicker and less intense in the nSCS,especially in the shelf area of the nSCS.Moreover,the impact of water temperatures at deeper layers on the vertical stratification exerts more consequent roles on the spatial variability of SCM,compared to surface temperatures in the nSCS.Specifically,the isotherm line of 22℃ acts as crucial indicator for variations of the SCM in the nSCS during autumns.展开更多
dOn the basis of the CTD data obtained by the two cruises before and after summer monsoon burst (25th May, 1998), several significant hydrographic characteristics, their variation and formation mechanism in the South ...dOn the basis of the CTD data obtained by the two cruises before and after summer monsoon burst (25th May, 1998), several significant hydrographic characteristics, their variation and formation mechanism in the South China Sea (SCS) are analyzed. The results show that the Kuroshio water intrudes into the SCS in the form of loop current, and its main part is limited to the east of 118degreesE near the Luzon Strait. Then it continuously extends westwards under the influence of the large-scale circulation, and has a distinct impact on the area north of 16degreesN. There are two high temperature and low salinity regions: west off Luzon and east off Vietnam respectively. One region west off Luzon strengthens obviously after summer monsoon burst, the other east off Vietnam shows a tendency of weakening in the north and strengthening in the south. The formation of these two high temperature and low salinity regions is related to the anti-cyclonic eddies existing in this area, besides, it is also related to the high temperature feature west of Luzon, the influx of Sulu Sea water and the influence of the large-scale air circulation. There is a cold region below the depth of 50 m in the south of Zhongsha Islands, and it strengthens after monsoon burst. The formation of cold water is related to the upwelling there.展开更多
Methods for studying oceanic circulation from hydrographic data are reviewed in the context of their applications in the South China Sea. These methods can be classified into three types according to their different d...Methods for studying oceanic circulation from hydrographic data are reviewed in the context of their applications in the South China Sea. These methods can be classified into three types according to their different dynamics as follows: (1) descriptive methods, (2) diagnostic methods without surface and bottom forcing, and (3) diagnostic methods with the above boundary forcing. The paper discusses the progress made in the above methods together with the advancement of study in the South China Sea circulation.展开更多
Study of CTD data collected by the R/V DONG FANG HONG 2 in a 1997 summercruise in the ocean region around the Ryukyu Islands showed: 1) the existence, in the upper layer, of ahigh salinity water (HSW) core at about 20...Study of CTD data collected by the R/V DONG FANG HONG 2 in a 1997 summercruise in the ocean region around the Ryukyu Islands showed: 1) the existence, in the upper layer, of ahigh salinity water (HSW) core at about 200 dbar, and a low salinity water (LSW) core, centered atabout 700 dbar on the Pacific Ocean side of the Ryukyu Ridge, and located shallower on the East Chinafor (ECS) side; 2) the existence, in the upper layer, of warm water regions (WWR) west of Amami Is-land and Ishigaki Island, and a cold water region (CWR) east of Okinawa Ieland; in the lower layer, ofa CWR (WWR) southwest (southeast) of Okinawa Island; 3) the intrusion of North Pacific IntermediateWater into the ECS through the Kerama Trench located south of Okinawa Island and the strait east of Tai-wan Island.展开更多
This article is part of our long-term study on the quantitative at-sea distribution of the marine "upper trophic levels"—seabirds and marine mammals—in polar ecosystems, aiming at quantifying the factors i...This article is part of our long-term study on the quantitative at-sea distribution of the marine "upper trophic levels"—seabirds and marine mammals—in polar ecosystems, aiming at quantifying the factors influencing their distribution as well as detecting possible spatial and temporal changes, with special attention to hydrography and to global climate changes. During an expedition of icebreaking RV Polarstern in February 2010, along the North–South transect between New Zealand and the Ross Gyre, off the Ross Sea, 3200 seabirds belonging to 22 identified pelagic species were recorded during 338 half-hour transect counts. Four major hotspots were identified. These were in Sub-tropical Water off New Zealand(up to 300 birds per count), and at the main Southern Ocean fronts: the Sub-Antarctic Front(up to 240 per count), the Antarctic Front(up to 150 per count) and the Polar Front(up to 200 per count), representing the vast majority of recorded seabirds. The most numerous species in the three frontal zones were: prions—mainly slender-billed Pachyptila belcheri—and Salvin’s albatross Thalassarche [cauta]salvini. The eight more abundant species represented 2650 birds, i.e. more than 80% of the total. A random forest clustering method identified four groups of seabird species occupying similar oceanographic niches.展开更多
The differences of temperature, salinity distribution characteristics and structure of circulation in the upper layer of the South China Sea (SCS) are analyzed, based on the CTD and ADCP data from the two intensive su...The differences of temperature, salinity distribution characteristics and structure of circulation in the upper layer of the South China Sea (SCS) are analyzed, based on the CTD and ADCP data from the two intensive surveyed cruises (IOP1: April 10 - May 5; IOP2: June 12 - July 6) and carried out before and after the Asian monsoon burst (May 25) during the South China Sea Monsoon Experiment (SCSMEX) in 1998. The results showed that field of temperature in the upper layer of the SCS distinctly changed before and after the monsoon burst, the average surface temperature increased by 0.75℃ , with its influence down to the depth of 500 m. The interaction of the local circulation in some areas resulted in the complexity and variability of the temperature and salinity structure in the upper layer, and the alternating distribution of cold and warm water regions (blocks). The high salinity subsurface water obviously intruded into the SCS from the Northwest Pacific, but only limited to the area of southwest of Taiwan Island, and the low salinity intermediate water flowed from the SCS to the Northwest Pacific. The circulation field of the SCS in the summer mainly consisted of cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies (rings). With the burst of the monsoon, the intensity and amount of the anticyclonic or the cyclonic eddies (rings) would vary, showing the complex distribution patterns and variations. The result analyzed by the isopycnic surface method coincided extremely with those by in situ survey (ADCP), which showed that the formation of circulation in the SCS was mainly controlled by the internal mass field, that is, dominated by the geostrophic component.展开更多
Hydrographical parameters and phytoplankton assemblages were determined along the Pondicherry, Parangipettai and Nagapattinam coastal waters, southeast coast of India. All the hydrographical parameters such as sea sur...Hydrographical parameters and phytoplankton assemblages were determined along the Pondicherry, Parangipettai and Nagapattinam coastal waters, southeast coast of India. All the hydrographical parameters such as sea surface temperature, salinity, p H, total alkalinity, dissolved oxygen and nutrients like nitrate, nitrite, inorganic phosphate and reactive silicate, chlorophyll a and phytoplankton assemblages were studied for a period of five months(May, August, September 2010, March and November 2011). Over 121 species of phytoplankton represented by 93 species of diatoms, 16 species of dinoflagellates, 9 species of blue-green algae, 2 species of greens and 1 species of silicoflagellate were recorded. High phytoplankton species diversity was found in March 2011 when salinity and nitrate concentrations were low and reactive silicate and inorganic phosphates were moderate. Species diversity was low during May 2010 when increased sea surface temperature, salinity and low nutrients availability were observed. Coscinodiscus centralis, Diatoma vulgaris and Proboscia alata were dominant, especially Coscinodiscus sp. distributed in all stations whereas Skeletonema costatum, Odontella sinensis and Ditylum brightwellii were abundant in August and September 2010. From principal component analysis and multiple regression analysis, it is evident that variables like sea surface temperature and dissolved oxygen are the most important factors influencing the seasonal pattern of phytoplankton population.展开更多
-On the basis of the hydrographic data observed within the Canary Basin in autumn 1985, temperature-salinity properties, distributions of water masses and barocltne flow field, as well as the volume transports in this...-On the basis of the hydrographic data observed within the Canary Basin in autumn 1985, temperature-salinity properties, distributions of water masses and barocltne flow field, as well as the volume transports in this area are described more detailly. The analyses indicate that the activity in the waters of the Canary Basin is mainly attributed to the interleaving and mixing between the originated water masses (e. g. Surface Water, North Atlantic Central Water, Mediterranean Water and Deep Water) and the modified water masses (Subpolar Mode Water, Labrador Sea Water and Antarctic Intermediate Water) from the outside of the study area and the variation of themselves. The east recirculation of the Subtropic Gyre in the North Atlantic consists of Azores Current and Canary Current.Azores Current is formed with several flow branches around the Azores Island, while the main flow lies at 35?N south of the Azores Island. It begins to diverge near the 15?W. The return flow found off the Portugal coast may be its northern branch. The southern invasion of the Labrador Sea Water and the Subpolar Mode Water are prevented by Azores front which serves an obvious boundary separating the North Western Atlantic (Central) Water and the North Eastern Atlantic (Central) Water.展开更多
This article demonstrates how currently available digital elevation (NASA SRTM;30 m resolution) and hourly global precipitation data (rain, snow;5 and 10 km resolution) can be used to hydrographically quantify the reg...This article demonstrates how currently available digital elevation (NASA SRTM;30 m resolution) and hourly global precipitation data (rain, snow;5 and 10 km resolution) can be used to hydrographically quantify the regional watershed management context across northern Chile. This is done through comprehensive derivations of flow direction, flow accumulation, flow channels, floodplain extent, depressions, and upslope watershed outlines. In turn, these derivations allow for estimating potential precipitation accumulations within any watershed, and turn these into subsequent storm-averaged discharge estimates at, e.g., at any road—flow-channel crossing points. This article elaborates on this by modelling and mapping hydrological conditions and subsequent storm damage at the regional scale and at select locations in terms of recent flood events on March 2015, May 2017, and June 2017. It was found that modelled flood extent and storm-estimated discharge volumes and rates generally conform to reported values including storm-caused damages within communities along the Huasco, Elqui, Limari, Copiapó and Salado rivers. This included the storm response assessment of six water reservoirs as these varied, as quantified, from normal (Puclaro, La Laguna, Cogoti), at capacity (La Paloma, Cogoli), and overflowing (Recoleta). The details of the local to regional assessments are presented in the form hydrologically explicit maps, figures and tables. Together, these attest to the general validity of the framework as introduced. Hydrometrically based stream-discharge calibrations would assist in further refining the approach, especially in terms of estimating local to regional run-off coefficients.展开更多
Hydrographic surveying in reservoirs is a key activity in order to collect data for a variety of purposes like estimation of storage capacity, rate and pattern of sediment deposition, movement of underwater sediment d...Hydrographic surveying in reservoirs is a key activity in order to collect data for a variety of purposes like estimation of storage capacity, rate and pattern of sediment deposition, movement of underwater sediment delta and reservoir routing, etc. These parameters play a pivotal role in any planning, management and operation activity of the reservoirs. Traditional approaches to perform hydrographic surveying in Indus Basin are time consuming, laborious, comparatively inaccurate and costly. As water resources are under immense pressure due to a variety of factors, such inefficient methods are not acceptable for efficient water management. In this study, an integrated approach for hydrographic surveying is introduced and evaluated in terms of its efficiency in comparison with the traditional methods of hydrographic surveying. The approach develops an integrated environment of hydrographic surveying comprising human, hardware and software. The process of surveying starts from in-house planning using specialized geo-spatial softwares. Then, on site a combination of computer hardware, echosounder, differential global positioning system (DGPS), survey vessel and survey crew is made. Post-processing is performed after conducting a survey in order to improve quality of data by filtering errors and producing the end product like reservoir underwater terrain, development of reservoir stage-area and stage-storage relationships, etc. The study was applied to Tarbela Reservoir, Pakistan.展开更多
This study evaluates the ocean climatology simulated by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Models(BCC-CSMs)participating in phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5 and CMIP6).CMIP6 BCC...This study evaluates the ocean climatology simulated by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Models(BCC-CSMs)participating in phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5 and CMIP6).CMIP6 BCC models generally outperform CMIP5 ones in reproducing ocean states.The CMIP6 high-resolution model,BCC-CSM2-HR,with an enhanced ocean component,exhibits the best simulation performance overall.Specifically,only BCC-CSM2-HR can accurately reproduce the southern equatorial current in the Pacific Ocean,implying the benefits of an enhanced ocean component.Persistent biases are also identified in BCC models across CMIP5 to CMIP6,including substantial biases in sea surface salinity in the Arctic Ocean,warm biases in the intermediate and deep ocean,and notable salinity biases in the northern Indian Ocean.These biases are also commonly presented in other CMIP5 and CMIP6 models.Furthermore,this study evaluates how BCC models simulate modes of climate variability,such as ENSO(El Niño-Southern Oscillation),PDO(Pacific Decadal Oscillation),and NPGO(North Pacific Gyre Oscillation).Future plans are also outlined,including the online integration of an ocean surface wave model and the refinement of model resolution,for development efforts aimed at bolstering the accuracy and reliability of BCC model simulations of ocean climatology.展开更多
Neotectonic activity can be deduced from stream network patterns and as an outcome of its evolution. The objective of this study is to investigate the use of the stream network morphology and morphometric methods to a...Neotectonic activity can be deduced from stream network patterns and as an outcome of its evolution. The objective of this study is to investigate the use of the stream network morphology and morphometric methods to assess neotectonic signatures in Nefza region situated in North-West of Tunisia. For this aim, a Digital Elevation Model (DEM), hydrographic layers extracted from Nefza topographic map (1/25,000), lithology and tectonic lineament parameters extracted from the geologic map (1/50,000) were used. The objective of this paper is to map structural and lithological discontinuities of the study area, by the morphostructural analysis of the topography extracted of DEM as well as the drainage anomalies. This work allowed the characterization of discontinuities of lithologic and structural origin. The previously conducted studies in the study area, confirm that is crossed by lineaments at several directions E-W, N-S, NE-SW and NW-SE. Based on the results obtained from this study regarding the correlation between tectonic and hydrographic network, we can highlight a regional rejuvenation tendency of the most mapped lineaments.展开更多
The combination of structural and lithological data with morphometric indicators in a GIS environment constitutes a methodological approach with high added value to identify neotectonic deformations, in particular in ...The combination of structural and lithological data with morphometric indicators in a GIS environment constitutes a methodological approach with high added value to identify neotectonic deformations, in particular in the Quaternary outcrops where faults are generally masked by thick recent sediments. This approach, based on the crossing of multisource data, is used in this work to understand the mechanisms that generate landscape forms in the Quaternary outcrop of Oued Lahmar, which belongs to the northwest of Tunisia. In fact, the databases of various morphometric indicators, extracted from the hydrographic network, have been generated using remote sensing data and open sources applications. This database has been enriched by lithological and tectonic data extracted from the regional geological map, to understand the results of the morphometric analysis. The results obtained provide valuable information on the identification of subsurface activity in Oued Lahmar and large vicinity areas with heterogeneous geomorphic and structural characteristics. Indeed, this study revealed the existence of an E-W subsurface tectonic control covered by the Quaternary sedimentary series not indicated on the geological map of the region. This tectonic direction, which follows most of the magmatic outcrop edge in the region, may allow the intrusion of magma and the rejuvenation of ancient deep faults.展开更多
This study focuses on the mapping of lineaments using remote sensing techniques and Geographic Information Systems.The aim is to carry out a statistical analysis of the lineaments in order to better understand the org...This study focuses on the mapping of lineaments using remote sensing techniques and Geographic Information Systems.The aim is to carry out a statistical analysis of the lineaments in order to better understand the organization of fracturing in the Batie district,and to identify areas of high fracturing density and their relationship with the hydrographic network.The methodology implemented to achieve these objectives is based on the processing and analysis of Landsat 9 Operational Land Imager/Thermal Infrared Sensor(OLI/TIRS)satellite imagery and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission(SRTM)data covering the study area.After essential pre-processing of data,the following processing techniques were applied:Principal Component Analysis,Sobel Directional Filter with a 3×3 matrix and shaded relief of SRTM data with a sun azimuth of 345°,altitude of 45 m and an elevation factor of 3,followed by manual lineament extraction.The results reveal a total of 176 lineaments,ranging in size from 0.002 to 2.461 km,with an average length of 840.66 km.The projection of these lineaments on a Rose diagram shows a predominance of the North East–South-West(NE-SW)direction,which is the direction of the major tectonic fractures that affect the basement of Central Africa.These lineaments are organized into networks and corridors that define large fracture zones or corridors that control the drainage of the study area.The zones with networks show medium and high densities.This fracturing density gives good aquifer and reservoir potential to the study area.展开更多
The analysis and quantification of hydro-morphometric characteristics are essential for better management of water resources and more effective planning of hydroelectric projects in the Tshopo basin.Unfortunately,few ...The analysis and quantification of hydro-morphometric characteristics are essential for better management of water resources and more effective planning of hydroelectric projects in the Tshopo basin.Unfortunately,few studies have been carried out to assess these characteristics at the scale of this basin.Our methodological approach consists of using Geographic Information System(GIS)software analysis tools applied to the Digital Elevation Model(DEM)derived from the Advanced Land Observing Satellite(ALOS)World 3D-30m image.This enabled us to automatically extract the hydrographic network and generate the Tshopo sub-watersheds.The results of this analysis show that the Tshopo catchment area is of the order of magnitude 7.A total of 8 sub-watersheds were identified,covering an area of around 19,335 km2.They are elongated in shape,with a coefficient of compactness(KG)of between 1.84 and 2.52.Average slopes are low,ranging from 0.84%to 3.58%.Run-off velocity is generally low,with a velocity range(Ve)of 2.3 to 4.79 km/h.The duration of run-off concentration(Tc)varies between 30.2 and 70.2 h in the tributaries of the Tshopo.The hydrographic network is dense,with drainage densities(Dd)ranging from 0.91 to 1.72 km/km2.The watercourses form a homogeneous dendritic network,but with local variations.In some places,the network can take on a parallel or rectangular shape.展开更多
The unique survey in December 1998 mapped the entire western boundary area of the South China Sea（SCS）,which reveals the three-dimensional structure and huge volume transport of the swift and narrow winter western b...The unique survey in December 1998 mapped the entire western boundary area of the South China Sea（SCS）,which reveals the three-dimensional structure and huge volume transport of the swift and narrow winter western boundary current of the SCS（SCSwwbc） in full scale. The current is found to flow all the way from the shelf edge off Hong Kong to the Sunda Shelf with a width around 100 km and a vertical scale of about 400 m. It appears to be the strongest off the Indo-China Peninsula, where its volume transport reached over 20×10~6 m^3/s. The current is weaker upstream in the northern SCS to the west of Hong Kong. A Kuroshio loop or detached eddy intruded through the Luzon Strait is observed farther east where the SCSwwbc no more exists. The results suggest that during the survey the SCSwwbc was fed primarily by the interior recirculation of the SCS rather than by the＂branching＂ of the Kuroshio from the Luzon Strait as indicated by surface drifters, which is likely a near-surface phenomenon and only contributes a minor part to the total transport of the SCSwwbc. Several topics related to the SCSwwbc are also discussed.展开更多
Floods are one of the most common natural hazards occurring all around the world.However,the knowledge of the origins of a food and its possible magnitude in a given region remains unclear yet.This lack of understandi...Floods are one of the most common natural hazards occurring all around the world.However,the knowledge of the origins of a food and its possible magnitude in a given region remains unclear yet.This lack of understanding is particularly acute in mountainous regions with large degrees in Sichuan Province,China,where runoff is seldom measured.The nature of streamflow in a region is related to the time and spatial distribution of rainfall quantity and watershed geomorphology.The geomorphologic characteristics are the channel network and surrounding landscape which transform the rainfall input into an output hydrograph at the outlet of the watershed.With the given geomorphologic properties of the watershed,theoretically the hydrological response function can be determined hydraulically without using any recorded data of past rainfall or runoff events.In this study,a kinematic-wave-based geomorphologic instantaneous unit hydrograph (KW-GIUH) model was adopted and verified to estimate runoff in ungauged areas.Two mountain watersheds,the Yingjing River watershed and Tianquan River watershed in Sichuan were selected as study sites.The geomorphologic factors of the two watersheds were obtained by using a digital elevation model (DEM) based on the topographic database obtained from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission of US's NASA.The tests of the model on the two watersheds were performed both at gauged and ungauged sites.Comparison between the simulated and observed hydrographs for a number of rainstorms at the gauged sites indicated the potential of the KW-GIUH model as a useful tool for runoff analysis in these regions.Moreover,to simulate possible concentrated rainstorms that could result in serious flooding in these areas,synthetic rainfall hyetographs were adopted as input to the KW-GIUH model to obtain the flow hydrographs at two ungauged sites for different return period conditions.Hydroeconomic analysis can be performed in the future to select the optimum design return period for determining the flood control work.展开更多
The deficiencies of basic particle swarm optimization （bPSO） are its ubiquitous prematurity and its inability to seek the global optimal solution when optimizing complex high-dimensional functions. To overcome such ...The deficiencies of basic particle swarm optimization （bPSO） are its ubiquitous prematurity and its inability to seek the global optimal solution when optimizing complex high-dimensional functions. To overcome such deficiencies, the chaos-PSO （COSPSO） algorithm was established by introducing the chaos optimization mechanism and a global particle stagnation-disturbance strategy into bPSO. In the improved algorithm, chaotic movement was adopted for the particles＇ initial movement trajectories to replace the former stochastic movement, and the chaos factor was used to guide the particles＇ path. When the global particles were stagnant, the disturbance strategy was used to keep the particles in motion. Five benchmark optimizations were introduced to test COSPSO, and they proved that COSPSO can remarkably improve efficiency in optimizing complex functions. Finally, a case study of COSPSO in calculating design flood hydrographs demonstrated the applicability of the improved algorithm.展开更多
Cryospheric meltwater is an important runoff component and it profoundly influences changes in water resources in the Tibetan Plateau.Significant changes in runoff components occur in the three-river headwater region(...Cryospheric meltwater is an important runoff component and it profoundly influences changes in water resources in the Tibetan Plateau.Significant changes in runoff components occur in the three-river headwater region(TRHR),which is an important part of“Chinese Water Tower”due to climate warming.However,these effects remain unclear owing to the sparse and uneven distribution of monitoring sites and limited field investigations.Quantifying the contribution of cryospheric meltwater to outlet runoff is a key scientific question that needs to be addressed.In this study,we analyzed 907 precipitation,river water,ground ice,supra-permafrost water,and glacier snow meltwater samples collected from October 2019 to September 2020 in the TRHR.The following results were obtained:(1)There was significant spatio-temporal variation in stable isotopes in different waters;(2)The seasonal trends of stable isotopes for different waters,the relationship between each water body and the local meteoric water line(LWML)confirmed that river water was mainly recharged by precipitation,supra-permafrost water,and glacier snow meltwater;(3)Precipitation,supra-permafrost water,and glacier snow meltwater accounted for 52%,39%,and 9%of river water,respectively,during the ablation period according to the end-member mixing analysis(EMMA);(4)In terms of future runoff components,there will be many challenges due to increasing precipitation and evaporation,decreasing snow cover,glacier retreat,and permafrost degradation.Therefore,it is crucial to establish the“star-machine-ground”observation networks,forecast extreme precipitation and hydrological events,build the“TRHE on the Cloud”platform,and implement systematic hydraulic engineering projects to support the management and utilization of water resources in the TRHR.The findings of environmental isotope analysis provide insights into water resources as well as scientific basis for rational use of water resources in the TRHR.展开更多
The main objective of the present study is to introduce new empirical equations for the determination of breach geometrical dimensions and peak outflow discharge(Q_(p)).Therefore,a historic failure database of 109 emb...The main objective of the present study is to introduce new empirical equations for the determination of breach geometrical dimensions and peak outflow discharge(Q_(p)).Therefore,a historic failure database of 109 embankments was collected and examined.The most important factors that affect the breach evolution,including grading size,hydraulic,and outflow characteristics are also studied.Some of the parameters used for the determination of Q_(p) and average breach width(Bave)have a significant effect on the erosion process,but they are less reflected in the technical literature.To study the behavior of noncohesive soils during overtopping,15 physical tests were performed at the laboratory,and the effects of interfering parameters were investigated.The experimental output hydrograph was used to simulate the hydrographs resulting from the failure of real dams,and recent artificial intelligence techniques along with linear and nonlinear regression models were employed.The area-time analysis of the laboratory hydrographs shows that the soil particle size and the characteristics of reservoir-basin significantly affect the rate of breach formation and outflow discharge.New relationships are introduced,based on the breach characteristics,by a combination of historical and experimental data,as well as case studies conducted on the hypothetical failure of 10 operational dams.The mathematical model is also used to simulate the process of breach evaluation.Based on statistical indices,comparison of the results,and sensitivity analysis,the developed equations can better express the susceptibility of materials to erosion and their application can minimize downstream vulnerabilities.展开更多
基金Supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China(No.2019 YFE 0125000)the National Natural Science Foundation of China-Shandong Joint Fund(No.U 1906215)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41406010)partially by the Key Laboratory of Coastal Environmental Processes and Ecological Remediation,Chinese Academy of Sciences Opening Fund(No.2020 KFJJ 04)。
文摘As a frequently-observed phenomenon in the northern South China Sea(nSCS),subsurface chlorophyll maximum(SCM)evolution from summer to winter remains unclear,neither the associated hydrographic control.In this study,on the basis of in-situ data of fall-season cruises in 2004–2006,we characterized the depth,thickness and intensity of the SCM in the nSCS using a general Gaussian-function fitting approach,and investigated a linkage to the corresponding ocean vertical buoyance properties.Our results show that the SCM becomes deeper,thicker and less intense offshore-wards in the nSCS during fall seasons.In parallel,a correlation between the SCM variation and mixed layer depth exists in the nSCS,and it becomes pronounced in the shelf region compared to the slope and basin areas in autumn.Physically,once warmer surface ocean and thus stronger thermo-determined stratification,the SCM layer goes deeper and becomes thicker and less intense in the nSCS,especially in the shelf area of the nSCS.Moreover,the impact of water temperatures at deeper layers on the vertical stratification exerts more consequent roles on the spatial variability of SCM,compared to surface temperatures in the nSCS.Specifically,the isotherm line of 22℃ acts as crucial indicator for variations of the SCM in the nSCS during autumns.
文摘dOn the basis of the CTD data obtained by the two cruises before and after summer monsoon burst (25th May, 1998), several significant hydrographic characteristics, their variation and formation mechanism in the South China Sea (SCS) are analyzed. The results show that the Kuroshio water intrudes into the SCS in the form of loop current, and its main part is limited to the east of 118degreesE near the Luzon Strait. Then it continuously extends westwards under the influence of the large-scale circulation, and has a distinct impact on the area north of 16degreesN. There are two high temperature and low salinity regions: west off Luzon and east off Vietnam respectively. One region west off Luzon strengthens obviously after summer monsoon burst, the other east off Vietnam shows a tendency of weakening in the north and strengthening in the south. The formation of these two high temperature and low salinity regions is related to the anti-cyclonic eddies existing in this area, besides, it is also related to the high temperature feature west of Luzon, the influx of Sulu Sea water and the influence of the large-scale air circulation. There is a cold region below the depth of 50 m in the south of Zhongsha Islands, and it strengthens after monsoon burst. The formation of cold water is related to the upwelling there.
基金supported by the National key program for Derelop-ing Basic Sciences(G 1999043805 and G19999043810)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.40076009)the Chinese Academny of Sciences(KZCX1-SW-01-16).
文摘Methods for studying oceanic circulation from hydrographic data are reviewed in the context of their applications in the South China Sea. These methods can be classified into three types according to their different dynamics as follows: (1) descriptive methods, (2) diagnostic methods without surface and bottom forcing, and (3) diagnostic methods with the above boundary forcing. The paper discusses the progress made in the above methods together with the advancement of study in the South China Sea circulation.
文摘Study of CTD data collected by the R/V DONG FANG HONG 2 in a 1997 summercruise in the ocean region around the Ryukyu Islands showed: 1) the existence, in the upper layer, of ahigh salinity water (HSW) core at about 200 dbar, and a low salinity water (LSW) core, centered atabout 700 dbar on the Pacific Ocean side of the Ryukyu Ridge, and located shallower on the East Chinafor (ECS) side; 2) the existence, in the upper layer, of warm water regions (WWR) west of Amami Is-land and Ishigaki Island, and a cold water region (CWR) east of Okinawa Ieland; in the lower layer, ofa CWR (WWR) southwest (southeast) of Okinawa Island; 3) the intrusion of North Pacific IntermediateWater into the ECS through the Kerama Trench located south of Okinawa Island and the strait east of Tai-wan Island.
文摘This article is part of our long-term study on the quantitative at-sea distribution of the marine "upper trophic levels"—seabirds and marine mammals—in polar ecosystems, aiming at quantifying the factors influencing their distribution as well as detecting possible spatial and temporal changes, with special attention to hydrography and to global climate changes. During an expedition of icebreaking RV Polarstern in February 2010, along the North–South transect between New Zealand and the Ross Gyre, off the Ross Sea, 3200 seabirds belonging to 22 identified pelagic species were recorded during 338 half-hour transect counts. Four major hotspots were identified. These were in Sub-tropical Water off New Zealand(up to 300 birds per count), and at the main Southern Ocean fronts: the Sub-Antarctic Front(up to 240 per count), the Antarctic Front(up to 150 per count) and the Polar Front(up to 200 per count), representing the vast majority of recorded seabirds. The most numerous species in the three frontal zones were: prions—mainly slender-billed Pachyptila belcheri—and Salvin’s albatross Thalassarche [cauta]salvini. The eight more abundant species represented 2650 birds, i.e. more than 80% of the total. A random forest clustering method identified four groups of seabird species occupying similar oceanographic niches.
基金This study was supported by the National Key Foundation Research Program under contract No. G1999043805 the National Climbing Project A: "South China Sea Monsoon Experiment " the State Oceanic Administration.
文摘The differences of temperature, salinity distribution characteristics and structure of circulation in the upper layer of the South China Sea (SCS) are analyzed, based on the CTD and ADCP data from the two intensive surveyed cruises (IOP1: April 10 - May 5; IOP2: June 12 - July 6) and carried out before and after the Asian monsoon burst (May 25) during the South China Sea Monsoon Experiment (SCSMEX) in 1998. The results showed that field of temperature in the upper layer of the SCS distinctly changed before and after the monsoon burst, the average surface temperature increased by 0.75℃ , with its influence down to the depth of 500 m. The interaction of the local circulation in some areas resulted in the complexity and variability of the temperature and salinity structure in the upper layer, and the alternating distribution of cold and warm water regions (blocks). The high salinity subsurface water obviously intruded into the SCS from the Northwest Pacific, but only limited to the area of southwest of Taiwan Island, and the low salinity intermediate water flowed from the SCS to the Northwest Pacific. The circulation field of the SCS in the summer mainly consisted of cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies (rings). With the burst of the monsoon, the intensity and amount of the anticyclonic or the cyclonic eddies (rings) would vary, showing the complex distribution patterns and variations. The result analyzed by the isopycnic surface method coincided extremely with those by in situ survey (ADCP), which showed that the formation of circulation in the SCS was mainly controlled by the internal mass field, that is, dominated by the geostrophic component.
基金the University Grants Commission,Govt.of India,New Delhi for financial support through UGCResearch Award(No.F.30-1/2014(SA-II)/RA-2014-16-SCTAM-4364 dated 05/02/2015)
文摘Hydrographical parameters and phytoplankton assemblages were determined along the Pondicherry, Parangipettai and Nagapattinam coastal waters, southeast coast of India. All the hydrographical parameters such as sea surface temperature, salinity, p H, total alkalinity, dissolved oxygen and nutrients like nitrate, nitrite, inorganic phosphate and reactive silicate, chlorophyll a and phytoplankton assemblages were studied for a period of five months(May, August, September 2010, March and November 2011). Over 121 species of phytoplankton represented by 93 species of diatoms, 16 species of dinoflagellates, 9 species of blue-green algae, 2 species of greens and 1 species of silicoflagellate were recorded. High phytoplankton species diversity was found in March 2011 when salinity and nitrate concentrations were low and reactive silicate and inorganic phosphates were moderate. Species diversity was low during May 2010 when increased sea surface temperature, salinity and low nutrients availability were observed. Coscinodiscus centralis, Diatoma vulgaris and Proboscia alata were dominant, especially Coscinodiscus sp. distributed in all stations whereas Skeletonema costatum, Odontella sinensis and Ditylum brightwellii were abundant in August and September 2010. From principal component analysis and multiple regression analysis, it is evident that variables like sea surface temperature and dissolved oxygen are the most important factors influencing the seasonal pattern of phytoplankton population.
文摘-On the basis of the hydrographic data observed within the Canary Basin in autumn 1985, temperature-salinity properties, distributions of water masses and barocltne flow field, as well as the volume transports in this area are described more detailly. The analyses indicate that the activity in the waters of the Canary Basin is mainly attributed to the interleaving and mixing between the originated water masses (e. g. Surface Water, North Atlantic Central Water, Mediterranean Water and Deep Water) and the modified water masses (Subpolar Mode Water, Labrador Sea Water and Antarctic Intermediate Water) from the outside of the study area and the variation of themselves. The east recirculation of the Subtropic Gyre in the North Atlantic consists of Azores Current and Canary Current.Azores Current is formed with several flow branches around the Azores Island, while the main flow lies at 35?N south of the Azores Island. It begins to diverge near the 15?W. The return flow found off the Portugal coast may be its northern branch. The southern invasion of the Labrador Sea Water and the Subpolar Mode Water are prevented by Azores front which serves an obvious boundary separating the North Western Atlantic (Central) Water and the North Eastern Atlantic (Central) Water.
文摘This article demonstrates how currently available digital elevation (NASA SRTM;30 m resolution) and hourly global precipitation data (rain, snow;5 and 10 km resolution) can be used to hydrographically quantify the regional watershed management context across northern Chile. This is done through comprehensive derivations of flow direction, flow accumulation, flow channels, floodplain extent, depressions, and upslope watershed outlines. In turn, these derivations allow for estimating potential precipitation accumulations within any watershed, and turn these into subsequent storm-averaged discharge estimates at, e.g., at any road—flow-channel crossing points. This article elaborates on this by modelling and mapping hydrological conditions and subsequent storm damage at the regional scale and at select locations in terms of recent flood events on March 2015, May 2017, and June 2017. It was found that modelled flood extent and storm-estimated discharge volumes and rates generally conform to reported values including storm-caused damages within communities along the Huasco, Elqui, Limari, Copiapó and Salado rivers. This included the storm response assessment of six water reservoirs as these varied, as quantified, from normal (Puclaro, La Laguna, Cogoti), at capacity (La Paloma, Cogoli), and overflowing (Recoleta). The details of the local to regional assessments are presented in the form hydrologically explicit maps, figures and tables. Together, these attest to the general validity of the framework as introduced. Hydrometrically based stream-discharge calibrations would assist in further refining the approach, especially in terms of estimating local to regional run-off coefficients.
文摘Hydrographic surveying in reservoirs is a key activity in order to collect data for a variety of purposes like estimation of storage capacity, rate and pattern of sediment deposition, movement of underwater sediment delta and reservoir routing, etc. These parameters play a pivotal role in any planning, management and operation activity of the reservoirs. Traditional approaches to perform hydrographic surveying in Indus Basin are time consuming, laborious, comparatively inaccurate and costly. As water resources are under immense pressure due to a variety of factors, such inefficient methods are not acceptable for efficient water management. In this study, an integrated approach for hydrographic surveying is introduced and evaluated in terms of its efficiency in comparison with the traditional methods of hydrographic surveying. The approach develops an integrated environment of hydrographic surveying comprising human, hardware and software. The process of surveying starts from in-house planning using specialized geo-spatial softwares. Then, on site a combination of computer hardware, echosounder, differential global positioning system (DGPS), survey vessel and survey crew is made. Post-processing is performed after conducting a survey in order to improve quality of data by filtering errors and producing the end product like reservoir underwater terrain, development of reservoir stage-area and stage-storage relationships, etc. The study was applied to Tarbela Reservoir, Pakistan.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42230608)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2022YFC3004203)+1 种基金the Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2242214)the S&T Development Fund of the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences(2024KJ013).
文摘This study evaluates the ocean climatology simulated by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Models(BCC-CSMs)participating in phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5 and CMIP6).CMIP6 BCC models generally outperform CMIP5 ones in reproducing ocean states.The CMIP6 high-resolution model,BCC-CSM2-HR,with an enhanced ocean component,exhibits the best simulation performance overall.Specifically,only BCC-CSM2-HR can accurately reproduce the southern equatorial current in the Pacific Ocean,implying the benefits of an enhanced ocean component.Persistent biases are also identified in BCC models across CMIP5 to CMIP6,including substantial biases in sea surface salinity in the Arctic Ocean,warm biases in the intermediate and deep ocean,and notable salinity biases in the northern Indian Ocean.These biases are also commonly presented in other CMIP5 and CMIP6 models.Furthermore,this study evaluates how BCC models simulate modes of climate variability,such as ENSO(El Niño-Southern Oscillation),PDO(Pacific Decadal Oscillation),and NPGO(North Pacific Gyre Oscillation).Future plans are also outlined,including the online integration of an ocean surface wave model and the refinement of model resolution,for development efforts aimed at bolstering the accuracy and reliability of BCC model simulations of ocean climatology.
文摘Neotectonic activity can be deduced from stream network patterns and as an outcome of its evolution. The objective of this study is to investigate the use of the stream network morphology and morphometric methods to assess neotectonic signatures in Nefza region situated in North-West of Tunisia. For this aim, a Digital Elevation Model (DEM), hydrographic layers extracted from Nefza topographic map (1/25,000), lithology and tectonic lineament parameters extracted from the geologic map (1/50,000) were used. The objective of this paper is to map structural and lithological discontinuities of the study area, by the morphostructural analysis of the topography extracted of DEM as well as the drainage anomalies. This work allowed the characterization of discontinuities of lithologic and structural origin. The previously conducted studies in the study area, confirm that is crossed by lineaments at several directions E-W, N-S, NE-SW and NW-SE. Based on the results obtained from this study regarding the correlation between tectonic and hydrographic network, we can highlight a regional rejuvenation tendency of the most mapped lineaments.
文摘The combination of structural and lithological data with morphometric indicators in a GIS environment constitutes a methodological approach with high added value to identify neotectonic deformations, in particular in the Quaternary outcrops where faults are generally masked by thick recent sediments. This approach, based on the crossing of multisource data, is used in this work to understand the mechanisms that generate landscape forms in the Quaternary outcrop of Oued Lahmar, which belongs to the northwest of Tunisia. In fact, the databases of various morphometric indicators, extracted from the hydrographic network, have been generated using remote sensing data and open sources applications. This database has been enriched by lithological and tectonic data extracted from the regional geological map, to understand the results of the morphometric analysis. The results obtained provide valuable information on the identification of subsurface activity in Oued Lahmar and large vicinity areas with heterogeneous geomorphic and structural characteristics. Indeed, this study revealed the existence of an E-W subsurface tectonic control covered by the Quaternary sedimentary series not indicated on the geological map of the region. This tectonic direction, which follows most of the magmatic outcrop edge in the region, may allow the intrusion of magma and the rejuvenation of ancient deep faults.
文摘This study focuses on the mapping of lineaments using remote sensing techniques and Geographic Information Systems.The aim is to carry out a statistical analysis of the lineaments in order to better understand the organization of fracturing in the Batie district,and to identify areas of high fracturing density and their relationship with the hydrographic network.The methodology implemented to achieve these objectives is based on the processing and analysis of Landsat 9 Operational Land Imager/Thermal Infrared Sensor(OLI/TIRS)satellite imagery and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission(SRTM)data covering the study area.After essential pre-processing of data,the following processing techniques were applied:Principal Component Analysis,Sobel Directional Filter with a 3×3 matrix and shaded relief of SRTM data with a sun azimuth of 345°,altitude of 45 m and an elevation factor of 3,followed by manual lineament extraction.The results reveal a total of 176 lineaments,ranging in size from 0.002 to 2.461 km,with an average length of 840.66 km.The projection of these lineaments on a Rose diagram shows a predominance of the North East–South-West(NE-SW)direction,which is the direction of the major tectonic fractures that affect the basement of Central Africa.These lineaments are organized into networks and corridors that define large fracture zones or corridors that control the drainage of the study area.The zones with networks show medium and high densities.This fracturing density gives good aquifer and reservoir potential to the study area.
文摘The analysis and quantification of hydro-morphometric characteristics are essential for better management of water resources and more effective planning of hydroelectric projects in the Tshopo basin.Unfortunately,few studies have been carried out to assess these characteristics at the scale of this basin.Our methodological approach consists of using Geographic Information System(GIS)software analysis tools applied to the Digital Elevation Model(DEM)derived from the Advanced Land Observing Satellite(ALOS)World 3D-30m image.This enabled us to automatically extract the hydrographic network and generate the Tshopo sub-watersheds.The results of this analysis show that the Tshopo catchment area is of the order of magnitude 7.A total of 8 sub-watersheds were identified,covering an area of around 19,335 km2.They are elongated in shape,with a coefficient of compactness(KG)of between 1.84 and 2.52.Average slopes are low,ranging from 0.84%to 3.58%.Run-off velocity is generally low,with a velocity range(Ve)of 2.3 to 4.79 km/h.The duration of run-off concentration(Tc)varies between 30.2 and 70.2 h in the tributaries of the Tshopo.The hydrographic network is dense,with drainage densities(Dd)ranging from 0.91 to 1.72 km/km2.The watercourses form a homogeneous dendritic network,but with local variations.In some places,the network can take on a parallel or rectangular shape.
基金The National Basic Research Program(973 Program)of China under contract Nos 2009CB421205 and 2011CB40350the National Key Research and Development Program of China under contract No.2016YFC1402607the State Oceanic Administration Special Grant of China under contract No.HY126-04-02-03
文摘The unique survey in December 1998 mapped the entire western boundary area of the South China Sea（SCS）,which reveals the three-dimensional structure and huge volume transport of the swift and narrow winter western boundary current of the SCS（SCSwwbc） in full scale. The current is found to flow all the way from the shelf edge off Hong Kong to the Sunda Shelf with a width around 100 km and a vertical scale of about 400 m. It appears to be the strongest off the Indo-China Peninsula, where its volume transport reached over 20×10~6 m^3/s. The current is weaker upstream in the northern SCS to the west of Hong Kong. A Kuroshio loop or detached eddy intruded through the Luzon Strait is observed farther east where the SCSwwbc no more exists. The results suggest that during the survey the SCSwwbc was fed primarily by the interior recirculation of the SCS rather than by the＂branching＂ of the Kuroshio from the Luzon Strait as indicated by surface drifters, which is likely a near-surface phenomenon and only contributes a minor part to the total transport of the SCSwwbc. Several topics related to the SCSwwbc are also discussed.
基金supported by the key project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC No. 50739002)the National Science Council of Taibei of China (NSC 97-2625-M-019-001)+1 种基金the Open Research Fund Program of State key Laboratory of Hydraulics and River Engineering,Sichuan University,China (No. 1001)Financial supports from the above organizations are fully acknowledged
文摘Floods are one of the most common natural hazards occurring all around the world.However,the knowledge of the origins of a food and its possible magnitude in a given region remains unclear yet.This lack of understanding is particularly acute in mountainous regions with large degrees in Sichuan Province,China,where runoff is seldom measured.The nature of streamflow in a region is related to the time and spatial distribution of rainfall quantity and watershed geomorphology.The geomorphologic characteristics are the channel network and surrounding landscape which transform the rainfall input into an output hydrograph at the outlet of the watershed.With the given geomorphologic properties of the watershed,theoretically the hydrological response function can be determined hydraulically without using any recorded data of past rainfall or runoff events.In this study,a kinematic-wave-based geomorphologic instantaneous unit hydrograph (KW-GIUH) model was adopted and verified to estimate runoff in ungauged areas.Two mountain watersheds,the Yingjing River watershed and Tianquan River watershed in Sichuan were selected as study sites.The geomorphologic factors of the two watersheds were obtained by using a digital elevation model (DEM) based on the topographic database obtained from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission of US's NASA.The tests of the model on the two watersheds were performed both at gauged and ungauged sites.Comparison between the simulated and observed hydrographs for a number of rainstorms at the gauged sites indicated the potential of the KW-GIUH model as a useful tool for runoff analysis in these regions.Moreover,to simulate possible concentrated rainstorms that could result in serious flooding in these areas,synthetic rainfall hyetographs were adopted as input to the KW-GIUH model to obtain the flow hydrographs at two ungauged sites for different return period conditions.Hydroeconomic analysis can be performed in the future to select the optimum design return period for determining the flood control work.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) (Grant No.2006CB403402)
文摘The deficiencies of basic particle swarm optimization （bPSO） are its ubiquitous prematurity and its inability to seek the global optimal solution when optimizing complex high-dimensional functions. To overcome such deficiencies, the chaos-PSO （COSPSO） algorithm was established by introducing the chaos optimization mechanism and a global particle stagnation-disturbance strategy into bPSO. In the improved algorithm, chaotic movement was adopted for the particles＇ initial movement trajectories to replace the former stochastic movement, and the chaos factor was used to guide the particles＇ path. When the global particles were stagnant, the disturbance strategy was used to keep the particles in motion. Five benchmark optimizations were introduced to test COSPSO, and they proved that COSPSO can remarkably improve efficiency in optimizing complex functions. Finally, a case study of COSPSO in calculating design flood hydrographs demonstrated the applicability of the improved algorithm.
基金supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(2019QZKK0405)National Nature Science Foundation of China(42077187)+2 种基金Chinese Academy of Sciences Young Crossover Team Project(JCTD-2022-18)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2020YFA0607702)the"Western Light"-Key Laboratory Cooperative Research Cross-Team Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Innovative Groups in Gansu Province(20JR10RA038).
文摘Cryospheric meltwater is an important runoff component and it profoundly influences changes in water resources in the Tibetan Plateau.Significant changes in runoff components occur in the three-river headwater region(TRHR),which is an important part of“Chinese Water Tower”due to climate warming.However,these effects remain unclear owing to the sparse and uneven distribution of monitoring sites and limited field investigations.Quantifying the contribution of cryospheric meltwater to outlet runoff is a key scientific question that needs to be addressed.In this study,we analyzed 907 precipitation,river water,ground ice,supra-permafrost water,and glacier snow meltwater samples collected from October 2019 to September 2020 in the TRHR.The following results were obtained:(1)There was significant spatio-temporal variation in stable isotopes in different waters;(2)The seasonal trends of stable isotopes for different waters,the relationship between each water body and the local meteoric water line(LWML)confirmed that river water was mainly recharged by precipitation,supra-permafrost water,and glacier snow meltwater;(3)Precipitation,supra-permafrost water,and glacier snow meltwater accounted for 52%,39%,and 9%of river water,respectively,during the ablation period according to the end-member mixing analysis(EMMA);(4)In terms of future runoff components,there will be many challenges due to increasing precipitation and evaporation,decreasing snow cover,glacier retreat,and permafrost degradation.Therefore,it is crucial to establish the“star-machine-ground”observation networks,forecast extreme precipitation and hydrological events,build the“TRHE on the Cloud”platform,and implement systematic hydraulic engineering projects to support the management and utilization of water resources in the TRHR.The findings of environmental isotope analysis provide insights into water resources as well as scientific basis for rational use of water resources in the TRHR.
文摘The main objective of the present study is to introduce new empirical equations for the determination of breach geometrical dimensions and peak outflow discharge(Q_(p)).Therefore,a historic failure database of 109 embankments was collected and examined.The most important factors that affect the breach evolution,including grading size,hydraulic,and outflow characteristics are also studied.Some of the parameters used for the determination of Q_(p) and average breach width(Bave)have a significant effect on the erosion process,but they are less reflected in the technical literature.To study the behavior of noncohesive soils during overtopping,15 physical tests were performed at the laboratory,and the effects of interfering parameters were investigated.The experimental output hydrograph was used to simulate the hydrographs resulting from the failure of real dams,and recent artificial intelligence techniques along with linear and nonlinear regression models were employed.The area-time analysis of the laboratory hydrographs shows that the soil particle size and the characteristics of reservoir-basin significantly affect the rate of breach formation and outflow discharge.New relationships are introduced,based on the breach characteristics,by a combination of historical and experimental data,as well as case studies conducted on the hypothetical failure of 10 operational dams.The mathematical model is also used to simulate the process of breach evaluation.Based on statistical indices,comparison of the results,and sensitivity analysis,the developed equations can better express the susceptibility of materials to erosion and their application can minimize downstream vulnerabilities.
