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Human Error Model and Definition of Human Reliability
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作者 景国勋 冯长根 王海亮 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 1999年第2期103-107,共5页
Aim A model of human errors is given. His reliability of action is also determined. Safety countermeasures to prevent human errors are put forward. Methods\ Human system is regarded as a maintainable Markov system. O... Aim A model of human errors is given. His reliability of action is also determined. Safety countermeasures to prevent human errors are put forward. Methods\ Human system is regarded as a maintainable Markov system. On the basis of Markov method, the deduction and calculation in practice are made. Results\ Human errors are the chief factors leading to accidents, and may appear in different models. There are two kinds of states the normal and error state in a process of work. The process of state transfer human system is a Markov process. Human action reliability will be decreased with the continuation of time. Conclusion\ Human errors are described in the quantified form. It will have some significance in terms of theory in the study of the relationship between human action and accidents. Thus helping us in the preven tion of accident occurrence. The safety of a system can be improved in this way. 展开更多
关键词 human error RELIABILITY safety countermeasures
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Engineering approach for human error probability quantification 被引量:6
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作者 Sun Zhiqiang Xie Hongwei Shi Xiujian Liu Fengqiang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第5期1144-1152,共9页
A novel approach for engineering application to human error probability quantification is presented based on an overview of the existing human reliability analysis methods. The set of performance shaping factors is cl... A novel approach for engineering application to human error probability quantification is presented based on an overview of the existing human reliability analysis methods. The set of performance shaping factors is classified as two subsets of dominant factors and adjusting factors respectively. Firstly, the dominant factors are used to determine the probabilities of three behavior modes. The basic probability and its interval of human error for each behavior mode are given. Secondly, the basic probability and its interval are modified by the adjusting factors, and the total probability of human error is calculated by a total probability formula. Finally, a simple example is introduced, and the consistency and validity of the presented approach are illustrated. 展开更多
关键词 human reliability assessment probabilistic risk assessment human error performance shaping factor system safety.
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Formal safety assessment and application of the navigation simulators for preventing human error in ship operations 被引量:4
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作者 FANG Quan-gen YANG Zai-li +1 位作者 HU Shen-ping WANG Jin 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2005年第3期5-12,共8页
The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has encouraged its member countries to introduce Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) for ship operations since the end of the last century. FSA can be used through certain form... The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has encouraged its member countries to introduce Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) for ship operations since the end of the last century. FSA can be used through certain formal assessing steps to generate effective recommendations and cautions to control marine risks and improve the safety of ships. On the basis of the brief introduction of FSA, this paper describes the ideas of applying FSA to the prevention of human error in ship operations. It especially discusses the investigation and analysis of the information and data using navigation simulators and puts forward some suggestions for the introduction and development of the FSA research work for safer ship operations. 展开更多
关键词 FSA human error PREVENTION marine accidents operation of ship navigation simulators
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Method of Estimating Human Error Probabilities in Construction for Structural Reliability Analysis Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process and Failure Likelihood Index Method 被引量:3
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作者 周冲 寇新建 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2010年第3期291-296,共6页
Human error(HE) is the most important factor influencing on structural safety because its effect often exceeds the random deviation.Large numbers of facts have shown that structural failures may be caused by the gross... Human error(HE) is the most important factor influencing on structural safety because its effect often exceeds the random deviation.Large numbers of facts have shown that structural failures may be caused by the gross error due to HE.So it is essential to analyze HE in construction.The crucial work of human error analysis(HEA) is the estimation of human error probability(HEP) in construction.The method for estimating HEP,analytic hierarchy process and failure likelihood index method(AHP-FLIM),is introduced in this paper.The method also uses the process of expert judgment within the failure likelihood index method(FLIM).A numerical example shows the effectiveness of the methods proposed. 展开更多
关键词 analytic hierarchy process(AHP) failure likelihood index method(FLIM) human error(HE) structural reliability
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Causation mechanism of coal miners' human errors in the perspective of life events 被引量:5
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作者 Zhang Weihua 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2014年第4期581-586,共6页
In order to effectively decrease the safety accidents caused by coal miners’human errors,this paper probes into the causality between human errors and life events,coping,psychological stress,psychological function,ph... In order to effectively decrease the safety accidents caused by coal miners’human errors,this paper probes into the causality between human errors and life events,coping,psychological stress,psychological function,physiological function based on life events’vital influence on human errors,establishing causation mechanism model of coal miners’human errors in the perspective of life events by the researching method of structural equation.The research findings show that life events have significantly positive influence on human errors,with a influential effect value of 0.7945 and a influential effect path of‘‘life events—psychological stress—psychological function—physiological function—human errors’’and‘‘life events—psychological stress—physiological function—human errors’’. 展开更多
关键词 Life events human errors Structural equation Coal miners
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Applications of Human Error Analysis Model in Ship Oil—spill Accident Emergency Response 被引量:1
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作者 ZHANG Xin 《中国航海》 CSCD 北大核心 2008年第4期360-363,378,共5页
Emergency response for ship oil-spill accident should be regarded as a dynamic complex system consisting of human,machine and organization.Recently the reliability evaluation and optimization of machine and organizati... Emergency response for ship oil-spill accident should be regarded as a dynamic complex system consisting of human,machine and organization.Recently the reliability evaluation and optimization of machine and organization in emergency response attached much attention,but the human reliability was ignored in the research.This igno-rance will negatively affect the reliability of the whole emergency response system.Ship oil-spill accident not only leads to heave losses of money and human lives,but also produces serious environmental pollutions.Consequently more and more international maritime institutions have attached highly importance to it.In an attempt to improve the reliability of emergency response for ship oil-spill accident,a human error analysis model was developed considering features of ship oil-spill accident.The model was developed on a theoretical basis with reference to cognitive psychology and HRA.It analyzed three types of human errors including cognitive error,decisive error and act error and four types factors causing human error including external environment,organization,operator own factor and human-machine interface.Finally an example of ineffective oil-ship accident emergency re-sponse has been analyzed with CREAM(Cognitive reliability and error analysis method),a classical second genera-tion HRA methods,in order to test the feasibility and efficiency of HRA model. 展开更多
关键词 waterway transportation Ship oil-spill accident emergency response human error HRA
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Inspection-Based Policy Considering Human Errors for Three-Stage Delay Time Degradation Systems 被引量:1
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作者 ZHAO Fei LIU Xuejuan PENG Rui 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2018年第5期702-706,共5页
A periodic inspection policy for a single component system based on a three-stage failure process is proposed, and two different kinds of failures covering "hard" and "human" are considered in the ... A periodic inspection policy for a single component system based on a three-stage failure process is proposed, and two different kinds of failures covering "hard" and "human" are considered in the proposed policy.The system is periodically inspected and inspections are perfect so that they can identify the intended defect.If the severe defect is detected by an inspection, an immediate repair is needed. However, once the system is identified to be in the minor defective state, there are two options. The first is to do nothing till the arrival of identifying the severe defect or hard failure, and the second is to repair immediately. Repair for any defect can renew the system with a limited probability such that the system may fail after repair due to human errors, which is common in many industrial applications. Two models are constructed by minimizing the expected cost per unit time and compared. We provide a numerical example to demonstrate the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 delay time preventive maintenance INSPECTION human errors renewal theory
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Software defect prevention based on human error theories 被引量:1
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作者 Fuqun HUANG Bin LIU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第3期1054-1070,共17页
Software defect prevention is an important way to reduce the defect introduction rate.As the primary cause of software defects,human error can be the key to understanding and preventing software defects.This paper pro... Software defect prevention is an important way to reduce the defect introduction rate.As the primary cause of software defects,human error can be the key to understanding and preventing software defects.This paper proposes a defect prevention approach based on human error mechanisms:DPe HE.The approach includes both knowledge and regulation training in human error prevention.Knowledge training provides programmers with explicit knowledge on why programmers commit errors,what kinds of errors tend to be committed under different circumstances,and how these errors can be prevented.Regulation training further helps programmers to promote the awareness and ability to prevent human errors through practice.The practice is facilitated by a problem solving checklist and a root cause identification checklist.This paper provides a systematic framework that integrates knowledge across disciplines,e.g.,cognitive science,software psychology and software engineering to defend against human errors in software development.Furthermore,we applied this approach in an international company at CMM Level 5 and a software development institution at CMM Level 1 in the Chinese Aviation Industry.The application cases show that the approach is feasible and effective in promoting developers' ability to prevent software defects,independent of process maturity levels. 展开更多
关键词 human factor human error Programming Root cause analysis Software defect prevention Software design Software quality Software psychology
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Bayesian estimator of human error probability based on human performance data
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作者 Zhiqiang Sun Erling Gong +2 位作者 Zhengyi Li Yingjie Jiang Hongwei Xie 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第2期242-249,共8页
A Bayesian method for estimating human error probability(HEP) is presented.The main idea of the method is incorporating human performance data into the HEP estimation process.By integrating human performance data an... A Bayesian method for estimating human error probability(HEP) is presented.The main idea of the method is incorporating human performance data into the HEP estimation process.By integrating human performance data and prior information about human performance together,a more accurate and specific HEP estimation can be achieved.For the time-unrelated task without rigorous time restriction,the HEP estimated by the common-used human reliability analysis(HRA) methods or expert judgments is collected as the source of prior information.And for the time-related task with rigorous time restriction,the human error is expressed as non-response making.Therefore,HEP is the time curve of non-response probability(NRP).The prior information is collected from system safety and reliability specifications or by expert judgments.The(joint) posterior distribution of HEP or NRP-related parameter(s) is constructed after prior information has been collected.Based on the posterior distribution,the point or interval estimation of HEP/NRP is obtained.Two illustrative examples are introduced to demonstrate the practicality of the aforementioned approach. 展开更多
关键词 human error probability(HEP) human performance data human reliability probabilistic safety assessment Bayesian approach
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An Evaluation of Human Error Probabilities for Critical Failures in Auxiliary Systems of Marine Diesel Engines
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作者 Hakan Demirel 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 CSCD 2021年第1期128-137,共10页
Human error,an important factor,may lead to serious results in various operational fields.The human factor plays a critical role in the risks and hazards of the maritime industry.A ship can achieve safe navigation whe... Human error,an important factor,may lead to serious results in various operational fields.The human factor plays a critical role in the risks and hazards of the maritime industry.A ship can achieve safe navigation when all operations in the engine room are conducted vigilantly.This paper presents a systematic evaluation of 20 failures in auxiliary systems of marine diesel engines that may be caused by human error.The Cognitive Reliability Error Analysis Method(CREAM)is used to determine the potentiality of human errors in the failures implied thanks to the answers of experts.Using this method,the probabilities of human error on failures were evaluated and the critical ones were emphasized.The measures to be taken for these results will make significant contributions not only to the seafarers but also to the ship owners. 展开更多
关键词 Marine diesel engine human error prediction Cognitive Reliability error Analysis Method Critical failures Marine engineering
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Analysis on the Human Errors in Coal Mines based on Ant Clustering Algorithm
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作者 Shuangyue LIU Zixin FANG 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2013年第1期61-63,共3页
The human error mechanism in coal mine safety is analyzed specifically from safety psychological and physiological factors, worker' s quality, safety management, safety education, mechanical equipment, and working en... The human error mechanism in coal mine safety is analyzed specifically from safety psychological and physiological factors, worker' s quality, safety management, safety education, mechanical equipment, and working environment, and also a human error' dominant factors classification model playing a great effect on the safety production of coal mine is established with the application of ant clustering algorithm. The experimental results show that management is the key in the human errors of coal mine. 展开更多
关键词 Ant Clustering Algorithm Coal Mine human errors
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Human Errors Monitoring in Electrical Transmission Networks
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作者 Gheorghe Grigoras Cecilia Barbulescu +1 位作者 Gheorghe Cartina Daniela Comanescu 《Journal of Energy and Power Engineering》 2012年第3期425-428,共4页
The electrical transmission networks are complex systems that are commonly run near their operational limits. Such systems can undergo major disturbances that have serious consequences. Individually, these disturbance... The electrical transmission networks are complex systems that are commonly run near their operational limits. Such systems can undergo major disturbances that have serious consequences. Individually, these disturbances can be attributed to specific causes, such as lightning strikes, ice storms, equipment failure, shorts resulting from untrimmed trees, excessive customer demand, or human errors. In the paper, the human errors from electrical transmission networks of Romanian Power Grid Company over period of 10 years are analyzed. It is hoped that obtained results will provide engineers a better understanding so they can cater to the needs of the human operators when to implement new interfaces for network monitoring tasks, not for the other technical objectives. 展开更多
关键词 Electrical transmission monitoring human errors accidental events clustering techniques.
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Air Traffic Volume and Air Traffic Control Human Errors 被引量:5
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作者 Woo-Choon Moon Kwang-Eui Yoo Youn-Chul Choi 《Journal of Transportation Technologies》 2011年第3期47-53,共7页
Navigable airspaces are becoming more crowded with increasing air traffic, and the number of accidents caused by human errors is increasing. The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the relationship between air... Navigable airspaces are becoming more crowded with increasing air traffic, and the number of accidents caused by human errors is increasing. The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the relationship between air traffic volume and human error in air traffic control (ATC). First, the paper identifies categories and elements of ATC human error through a review of existing literature, and a study through interviews and surveys of ATC safety experts. And then the paper presents the results of an experiment conducted on 52 air traffic controllers sampled from the Korean ATC organization to find out if there is any relationship between traffic volume and air traffic controller human errors. An analysis of the experiment clearly showed that several types of ATC human error are influenced by traffic volume. We hope that the paper will make its contribution to aviation safety by providing a realistic basis for securing proper manpower and facility in accordance with the level of air traffic volume. 展开更多
关键词 ATC human error AIR TRAFFIC VOLUME WORKLOAD
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Integrated Framework for Understanding Relationship Between Human Error and Aviation Safety
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作者 XU Xi-dong 《中国民航大学学报》 CAS 2009年第4期5-10,共6页
关键词 飞行安全 飞机 CRM 航空行业
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Human Perception of Group Synchronization Error in Remote Learning: Dependencies of Voice and Video Contents in One-Way Communication
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作者 Hay Mar Mo Mo Lwin Yutaka Ishibashi Khin Than Mya 《International Journal of Communications, Network and System Sciences》 2022年第3期31-42,共12页
This paper examines dependencies of voice and video contents on human perception of group (or inter-destination) synchronization error in remote learning by Quality of Experience (QoE) assessment. In our assessment, w... This paper examines dependencies of voice and video contents on human perception of group (or inter-destination) synchronization error in remote learning by Quality of Experience (QoE) assessment. In our assessment, we use two videos and three voices (two voices for one video and one voice for the other video). We also investigate influences of silence periods in the voices and temporal relations between the voices and videos (called the tightly-coupled and loosely-coupled contents here). The voices are spoken by a teacher according to the videos. Each subject as a student assesses the group synchronization quality by watching each lecture video and the corresponding explanation voice, and then the subject answers whether he/she perceives the group synchronization error or not. As a result, assessment results illustrate that silence periods mitigate the perception rate of the error, and we can also find that we can more easily perceive the error for tightly-coupled contents than loosely-coupled ones. 展开更多
关键词 Remote Learning VOICE VIDEO Group Synchronization error human Perception QoE Assessment
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APPLICATION OF HUMAN COGNITIVE MODEL FOR TIME DEPENDENT OPERATOR BEHAVIOR IN CHINESE NPP
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作者 黄祥瑞 高佳 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 1998年第1期31-35,共5页
This paper discusses some issues on human reliability model of time dependent human behavior. Some results of the crew reliability experiment on Tsinghua training simulator in China are given, Meanwhile, a case of ca... This paper discusses some issues on human reliability model of time dependent human behavior. Some results of the crew reliability experiment on Tsinghua training simulator in China are given, Meanwhile, a case of calculation for human error probability during anticipated transient without scram (ATWS) based on the data drew from the recent experiment is offered. 展开更多
关键词 reliability analysis cognitive model human error behavior probabilistic safety assessment human machine interaction
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城市燃气泄漏事故人因失误影响因素分析
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作者 钟虹 韩梦萦 +2 位作者 李琼 吴敏 姬荣斌 《安全与环境学报》 北大核心 2025年第7期2717-2725,共9页
人因失误引起的燃气泄漏事故,严重影响城市正常运转。加强人的不安全行为管理可减少燃气事故风险。针对城市燃气人因失误引起的泄漏事故,采用人因分析与分类系统(Human Factors Analysis and Classification System, HFACS)识别20个影... 人因失误引起的燃气泄漏事故,严重影响城市正常运转。加强人的不安全行为管理可减少燃气事故风险。针对城市燃气人因失误引起的泄漏事故,采用人因分析与分类系统(Human Factors Analysis and Classification System, HFACS)识别20个影响因素,以问卷形式邀请专家评分,并通过决策试验与评估实验法(Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory, DEMATEL)、对抗解释结构模型(Adversarial Interpretation Structural Modeling, AISM)和交叉影响矩阵相乘法(Matrices Impacts Croises-Multiplication Appliance Classement, MICMAC)等方法,深入分析各影响因素间的相互作用关系、影响程度、层次结构及风险传导逻辑。研究表明:安全意识、习惯性违规和安全监督监察等因素对城市燃气泄漏人因失误有显著影响,且有强敏感性;规章制度为影响城市燃气泄漏人因失误的根源因素;影响因素层级反馈系统呈多变性和不稳定性特点。 展开更多
关键词 公共安全 人因失误 燃气泄漏 人因分析与分类系统 决策试验与评估实验法 对抗解释结构模型 交叉影响矩阵相乘法
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Human Factor Based Leadership: Critical Leadership Tools to Reduce Burnout and Latent Error in a Time of Accelerating Change 被引量:1
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作者 Michael R. Privitera 《Health》 2019年第9期1224-1245,共22页
The majority of errors in healthcare are from systems factors that create the latent conditions for error to occur. The majority of occupational stressors causing burnout are also the result of systemic factors. Advan... The majority of errors in healthcare are from systems factors that create the latent conditions for error to occur. The majority of occupational stressors causing burnout are also the result of systemic factors. Advances in technology create new levels of stress and expectations on healthcare workers (HCW) with an endless infusion of requirements from multiple authoritative sources that are tracked and monitored. The quality of care and safety of patients is affected by the wellbeing of HCWs who now practice in an environment that has become more complex to navigate, often expending limited neural resource (brainpower) on classifying, organizing, constantly making decisions on how and when they can accomplish what is required(extraneous cognitive load) in addition to direct patient care. New information demonstrates profound biological impact on the brains of those who have burnout in areas that affect the quality and safety of the decisions they make-which affects risk to patients in healthcare. Healthcare administration curriculum currently does not include ways to address these stress-induced problems in healthcare delivery. The science of human factors and ergonomics (HFE) promotes system performance and worker wellbeing. Patient safety is one component of system performance. Since many requirements come without resource to accomplish them, it becomes incumbent upon health system leadership to organize the means for completion of these to minimize the needless loss of brain power diverted away from the delivery of patient care. Human Factor-Based Leadership (HFBL) is an interactive, problem solving seminar series designed for healthcare leaders. The purpose is to provide relevant human factor science to integrate into their leadership and management decisions to make HCWs occupational environment more manageable and sustainable-which makes safer conditions for clinician wellbeing and patient care. After learning the content, a cohort of healthcare leaders believed that adequately addressing HFE in healthcare delivery would significantly reduce clinician burnout and risk of latent errors from upstream leadership decisions. An overview of the content of the seminars is described. Leadership feedback on usability of these seminars is reported. Three HFBL seminars described are Human Factor Relevance in Leadership, Biopsychosocial Approach to Wellness and Burnout, Human Factor Based Leadership: Examples and Applications. 展开更多
关键词 LEADERSHIP BURNOUT LATENT Conditions LATENT error Patient Safety Quality of Care human Factor Science COGNITIVE Load OCCUPATIONAL Stress Work Environment Healthcare
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XAI: Navigating the future of autonomous ships
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作者 李朦 《疯狂英语(新读写)》 2025年第8期24-27,77,共5页
The Titanic sunk 113 years ago on April 14-15,after hitting an iceberg,with human error likely causing the ship to wander into those dangerous waters.Today,autonomous systems built on AI can help ships avoid such acci... The Titanic sunk 113 years ago on April 14-15,after hitting an iceberg,with human error likely causing the ship to wander into those dangerous waters.Today,autonomous systems built on AI can help ships avoid such accidents.But could such a system explain to the captain why it was controlling the ship in a certain way? 展开更多
关键词 controlling ship navigation safety autonomous ships iceberg avoidance AI captain explanation human error
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基于大模型启发式提问的学生元认知能力提升研究 被引量:1
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作者 吴雯 任飞霏 《心理科学》 北大核心 2025年第4期985-996,共12页
元认知能力指个体对自身思维过程的察觉、反思与调节,有助于学习者自主监测学习过程。启发式提问被认为是提升元认知的有效手段,但传统课堂中实施难度大,结合大语言模型后仍面临模板化、缺乏逻辑递进与评估机制不足等问题。为此构建了... 元认知能力指个体对自身思维过程的察觉、反思与调节,有助于学习者自主监测学习过程。启发式提问被认为是提升元认知的有效手段,但传统课堂中实施难度大,结合大语言模型后仍面临模板化、缺乏逻辑递进与评估机制不足等问题。为此构建了基于错因的启发式问题库,并设计多种策略引导大模型提问,推动其从“问题百科”转变为“提问导师”。同时引入人工与大模型双重评分机制评估提问效果。结果显示:(1)基于错因的问题库能有效提升学习者的元认知能力;(2)多种提问策略中,半自由提问策略(即基于错因提问,其余自由发挥)表现优于完全自由或严格策略;(3)通过多维度评价,证明提出的智能启发式提问机制能有效促进学习者元认知发展。 展开更多
关键词 元认知能力 启发式提问 大语言模型 错因分析 提问策略 人机共测
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