In response to current issues in basic nursing course instruction,this article proposes a teaching model reform based on the OBE(outcome-based education)concept.By resetting course objectives,innovating teaching metho...In response to current issues in basic nursing course instruction,this article proposes a teaching model reform based on the OBE(outcome-based education)concept.By resetting course objectives,innovating teaching methods and content,reforming the assessment and evaluation system,as well as conducting practical explorations and case studies,the aim is to enhance teaching quality and cultivate students’practical abilities and comprehensive qualities.The article elaborates on the application of the OBE concept in nursing education and its effectiveness evaluation,providing a valuable reference for nursing education reform.展开更多
Objective:To explore and analyze the work process-based practical training teaching model for basic nursing skills in vocational colleges and its implementation effects.Methods:A total of 82 nursing students from our ...Objective:To explore and analyze the work process-based practical training teaching model for basic nursing skills in vocational colleges and its implementation effects.Methods:A total of 82 nursing students from our school were selected for the study,which was conducted from April 2023 to April 2024.Using a random number table method,the students were divided into an observation group and a control group,each with 41 students.The control group received conventional practical training teaching,while the observation group followed the work process-based practical training model for basic nursing skills.The assessment scores and teaching satisfaction of the two groups were compared.Results:The comparison of assessment scores showed that the observation group performed significantly better than the control group(P<0.05).The comparison of teaching satisfaction also indicated that the observation group had significantly higher satisfaction than the control group(P<0.05).Conclusion:The work process-based practical training teaching model for basic nursing skills in vocational colleges can improve students’assessment scores and enhance teaching satisfaction,demonstrating its value for wider application.展开更多
Background:Fundamental internal factors like self-construal and its influence on problematic online game use(POGU)remain underexplored.Hence,this study aims to investigate the effects of independent and interdependent...Background:Fundamental internal factors like self-construal and its influence on problematic online game use(POGU)remain underexplored.Hence,this study aims to investigate the effects of independent and interdependent self-construal on POGU,with the mediation of basic psychological needs satisfaction.Methods:The study surveyed 418 Chinese junior high school students(50.24%male;Meanage=12.68,SD=0.65),assessing their levels of self-construal,basic psychological needs satisfaction,and POGU.Aparallelmediationmodelwas tested.Results:The findings showed that autonomy and competence needs satisfaction fully mediated the negative impact of independent self-construal on POGU(B=−0.052,p<0.05;B=−0.094,p<0.01,respectively),while interdependent self-construal and relatedness needs satisfaction did not have a significant effect on POGU(B=0.005,p=0.758).Additionally,while independent self-construal positively correlated with the satisfaction of all three psychological needs,interdependent self-construal only positively associated with relatedness need satisfaction(B=0.152,p<0.001).Conclusions:The study demonstrates that independent self-construal serves as a protective factor against POGU,mediated by autonomy and competence needs satisfaction,while the effects of interdependent self-construal are more complex.These insights highlight the need for tailored interventions that promote adaptive self-construal and psychological needs satisfaction among Chinese adolescents to prevent POGU.展开更多
Increasing basic farmland soil productivity has significance in reducing fertilizer application and maintaining high yield of crops. In this study, we defined that the basic soil productivity （BSP） is the production...Increasing basic farmland soil productivity has significance in reducing fertilizer application and maintaining high yield of crops. In this study, we defined that the basic soil productivity （BSP） is the production capacity of a farmland soil with its own physical and chemical properties for a specific crop season under local environment and field management. Based on 22-yr （1990-2011） long-term experimental data on black soil （Typic hapludoll） in Gongzhuling, Jilin Province, Northeast China, the decision support system for an agro-technology transfer （DSSAT）-CERES-Maize model was applied to simulate the yield by BSP of spring maize （Zea mays L.） to examine the effects of long-term fertilization on changes of BSP and explore the mechanisms of BSP increasing. Five treatments were examined： （1） no-fertilization control （control）; （2） chemical nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium （NPK）; （3） NPK plus farmyard manure （NPKM）; （4） 1.5 time of NPKM （1.5NPKM） and （5） NPK plus straw （NPKS）. Results showed that after 22-yr fertilization, the yield by BSP of spring maize significantly increased 78.0, 101.2, and 69.4% under the NPKM, 1.5NPKM and NPKS, respectively, compared to the initial value （in 1992）, but not significant under NPK （26.9% increase） and the control （8.9% decrease）. The contribution percentage of BSP showed a significant rising trend （P〈0.05） under 1.5NPKM. The average contribution percentage of BSP among fertilizations ranged from 74.4 to 84.7%, and ranked as 1.5NPKM〉NPKM〉NPK〉NPKS, indicating that organic manure combined with chemical fertilizers （I.5NPKM and NPKM） could more effectively increase BSP compared with the inorganic fertilizer application alone （NPK） in the black soil. This study showed that soil organic matter （SOM） was the key factor among various fertility factors that could affect BSP in the black soil, and total N, total P and/or available P also played important role in BSP increasing. Compared with the chemical fertilization, a balanced chemical plus manure or straw fertilization （NPKM or NPKS） not only increased the concentrations of soil nutrient, but also improved the soil physical properties, and structure and diversity of soil microbial population, resulting in an iincrease of BSP. We recommend that a balanced chemical plus manure or straw fertilization （NPKM or NPKS） should be the fertilization practices to enhance spring maize yield and improve BSP in the black soil of Northeast China.展开更多
The LAGFD-WAM wave model is a third generation wave model. In the present paper the physical aspect of the model was shown in great detail including energy spectrum balance equation, complicated characteristics equati...The LAGFD-WAM wave model is a third generation wave model. In the present paper the physical aspect of the model was shown in great detail including energy spectrum balance equation, complicated characteristics equations and source functions.展开更多
This study developed an animal model of surgically wounded submandibular glands （SMGs） and investigated the effects of collagen gel with basic fibroblast growth factor （bFGF） on tissue regeneration of surgically w...This study developed an animal model of surgically wounded submandibular glands （SMGs） and investigated the effects of collagen gel with basic fibroblast growth factor （bFGF） on tissue regeneration of surgically wounded SMGs in vivo. The animal model was produced by creating a surgical wound using a 3-mm diameter biopsy punch in SMGs. The wound was filled with collagen gel with bFGF （bFGF group） or without bFGF （control group）. In the animal model of surgically wounded SMGs, salivary glands without scar tissue around the wound area were observed with smaller areas of collagen gel. Small round and spindle-shape cells invaded the collagen gel in both groups after operation day （AOD） 5, and this invasion dramatically increased at AOD 7. Host tissue completely replaced the collagen gel at AOD 21. The invading immune cells in the group treated with collagen gel with bFGF were positive for vimentin, g-smooth muscle actin （αSMA）, CD49f, c-kit and AQP5 at AOD 7. Similarly, the mRNA expression of vimentin, αSMA, CD49f, keratin 19 and AQP5 was also increased. This study suggests that the use of collagen gels with bFGF improves salivary gland regeneration.展开更多
Dephosphorisation basic oxygen furnaces (deP-BOFs) greatly differ from conventional BOFs in the melting process, especially its many limits on adding scrap. A mathematical model of the steel scrap melting process was ...Dephosphorisation basic oxygen furnaces (deP-BOFs) greatly differ from conventional BOFs in the melting process, especially its many limits on adding scrap. A mathematical model of the steel scrap melting process was established in MATLAB to investigate the mechanism of scrap melting in deP-BOF in terms of coupling effects of the carbon content of the molten steel, temperature, scrap preheating and converter blowing time on the melting rate and size of the steel scraps. The scrap melting rate was influenced by both the heat and mass transfer during the melting process: at 1350℃, when the carbon content was increased from 4.5 to 5.0 mass%, the scrap melting rate increased by 43%;for the carbon content of 4.5 mass%, when the temperature was increased from 1350 to 1400℃, the scrap melting rate increased by 60%. The carbonisation was found to be the restrictive step of the scrap melting process in deP-BOFs with respect to conventional ones. The scrap heating from room temperature to 800℃ reduced the crusting thickness on the scrap surface but there was no obvious influence on the melting rate. The scrap melting size in the deP-BOF was rather limited by its low melting rate and short melting time.展开更多
A simple model for estimating the rate constant between CO_(2)-CO gas and molten slag containing iron oxides was developed using optical basicity only.In this model,the temperature dependence of the rate constant can ...A simple model for estimating the rate constant between CO_(2)-CO gas and molten slag containing iron oxides was developed using optical basicity only.In this model,the temperature dependence of the rate constant can be described by the Arrhenius law,and the activation energy can be expressed with a linear function of the slag's optical basicity.The model was applied to some molten slag systems,such as FeO,FeO-CaO,FeO-SiO_(2),FeO-Na_(2)O,FeO-CaO-SiO_(2),FeO-SiO_(2)-P_(2)O_(5),FeO-SiOE-Na_(2)O,and FeO-CaO-SiO_(2)-P_(2)O_(5).A comparison between the predicted results and measured data showed that the model worked well.展开更多
In order to understand the fundamental questions of the biology of life and to duplicate the pathogenesis of human diseases, animal models using different experimental animals, such as rodents, Drosophila, Caenorhabdi...In order to understand the fundamental questions of the biology of life and to duplicate the pathogenesis of human diseases, animal models using different experimental animals, such as rodents, Drosophila, Caenorhabditis elegans, and zebrafish, have been established and used widely for many decades. The controllability of environmental conditions, the high reproducibility, the ease of scale and the comparability of results, as well as the ability to use different standards for ethical protocols, all make an animal model the ideal tool for carrying out studies on human diseases and the development of novel pharmaceuticals and new therapies （Xue et al., 2014）. An ideal animal model should reflect the complete spectra of a specific human disease, with similar features on the following key issues： （1） genetic basis; （2） anatomy and physiology; （3） pathological response（s） and underlying mechanism（s）; （4） phenotypic endpoints as clinical studies; （5） responsiveness to known drugs with clinical efficacy; and （6） prediction of clinical efficacy （McGonigle and Ruggeri, 2014）.展开更多
We have proposed a new mathematical method,the SEIHCRD model,which has an excellent potential to predict the incidence of COVID-19 diseases.Our proposed SEIHCRD model is an extension of the SEIR model.Three-compartmen...We have proposed a new mathematical method,the SEIHCRD model,which has an excellent potential to predict the incidence of COVID-19 diseases.Our proposed SEIHCRD model is an extension of the SEIR model.Three-compartments have added death,hospitalized,and critical,which improves the basic understanding of disease spread and results.We have studiedCOVID-19 cases of six countries,where the impact of this disease in the highest are Brazil,India,Italy,Spain,the United Kingdom,and the United States.After estimating model parameters based on available clinical data,the modelwill propagate and forecast dynamic evolution.Themodel calculates the Basic reproduction number over time using logistic regression and the Case fatality rate based on the selected countries’age-category scenario.Themodel calculates two types of Case fatality rate one is CFR daily,and the other is total CFR.The proposed model estimates the approximate time when the disease is at its peak and the approximate time when death cases rarely occur and calculate how much hospital beds and ICU beds will be needed in the peak days of infection.The SEIHCRD model outperforms the classic ARXmodel and the ARIMA model.RMSE,MAPE,andRsquaredmatrices are used to evaluate results and are graphically represented using Taylor and Target diagrams.The result shows RMSE has improved by 56%–74%,and MAPE has a 53%–89%improvement in prediction accuracy.展开更多
The amount of oxygen blown into the converter is one of the key parameters for the control of the converter blowing process,which directly affects the tap-to-tap time of converter. In this study, a hybrid model based ...The amount of oxygen blown into the converter is one of the key parameters for the control of the converter blowing process,which directly affects the tap-to-tap time of converter. In this study, a hybrid model based on oxygen balance mechanism (OBM) and deep neural network (DNN) was established for predicting oxygen blowing time in converter. A three-step method was utilized in the hybrid model. First, the oxygen consumption volume was predicted by the OBM model and DNN model, respectively. Second, a more accurate oxygen consumption volume was obtained by integrating the OBM model and DNN model. Finally, the converter oxygen blowing time was calculated according to the oxygen consumption volume and the oxygen supply intensity of each heat. The proposed hybrid model was verified using the actual data collected from an integrated steel plant in China, and compared with multiple linear regression model, OBM model, and neural network model including extreme learning machine, back propagation neural network, and DNN. The test results indicate that the hybrid model with a network structure of 3 hidden layer layers, 32-16-8 neurons per hidden layer, and 0.1 learning rate has the best prediction accuracy and stronger generalization ability compared with other models. The predicted hit ratio of oxygen consumption volume within the error±300 m^(3)is 96.67%;determination coefficient (R^(2)) and root mean square error (RMSE) are0.6984 and 150.03 m^(3), respectively. The oxygen blow time prediction hit ratio within the error±0.6 min is 89.50%;R2and RMSE are0.9486 and 0.3592 min, respectively. As a result, the proposed model can effectively predict the oxygen consumption volume and oxygen blowing time in the converter.展开更多
On the basis of the nonlinear stability theorem in the context of Arnol'd's second theorem for the generalized Phillips model,nonlinear saturation of baroclinic instability in the generalized Phillips model is...On the basis of the nonlinear stability theorem in the context of Arnol'd's second theorem for the generalized Phillips model,nonlinear saturation of baroclinic instability in the generalized Phillips model is investigatedThe lower bound on the disturbance energy and potential enstrophy to the nonlinearly unstable basic flow in the generalized Phillips model is presented,which indicates that there may exist an allocation between a nonlinearly unstable basic flow and a growing disturbance展开更多
The adsorb model of formic acid on NaX derived from TPD was discussed. It was showed that the adsorb sites were various exposed framework O2- centers bearing different basic intensity and spatial resistance. The h-pea...The adsorb model of formic acid on NaX derived from TPD was discussed. It was showed that the adsorb sites were various exposed framework O2- centers bearing different basic intensity and spatial resistance. The h-peak was attributed to O2- near S-III in supercage and l-peak to O2- near S-II in beta-cage of faujusite zeolite. The model can explain the experimental results. Meanwhile, a relative standard of basic intensity based on TPD of formic acid was founded.展开更多
This paper investigates the stability and bifurcation phenomena of a cholera transmission model in which individuals who have recovered from the disease may become susceptible again.The threshold for determining disea...This paper investigates the stability and bifurcation phenomena of a cholera transmission model in which individuals who have recovered from the disease may become susceptible again.The threshold for determining disease prevalence is established,and the parameter conditions for the existence of equilibria are discussed.The Routh-Hurwitz criterion is applied to demonstrate the local asymptotic stability of equilibria.By utilizing composite matrices and geometric techniques,the global dynamic behavior of the endemic equilibrium is investigated,and the sufficient conditions for its global asymptotic stability are derived.Furthermore,the disease-free equilibrium is a saddle-node when the basic reproductive number is 1,and tthe transcritical bifurcation in this case is discussed.展开更多
Speeding up the promotion of the basic course "Curriculum Ideological and Political Theory" is a kind of teaching idea and practical innovation to implement the important speech spirit of General Secretary X...Speeding up the promotion of the basic course "Curriculum Ideological and Political Theory" is a kind of teaching idea and practical innovation to implement the important speech spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinping on strengthening ideological and political education. This paper analyzes the main and difficult problems existing in the current teaching reform of "course ideological and political theory" in basic courses, and combines with the teaching practice of "basic courses" in our school to promote the course ideological and political theory, digs deep into the ideological and political elements contained in basic courses, and constructs two "five in one" ideological and political education modes.展开更多
文摘In response to current issues in basic nursing course instruction,this article proposes a teaching model reform based on the OBE(outcome-based education)concept.By resetting course objectives,innovating teaching methods and content,reforming the assessment and evaluation system,as well as conducting practical explorations and case studies,the aim is to enhance teaching quality and cultivate students’practical abilities and comprehensive qualities.The article elaborates on the application of the OBE concept in nursing education and its effectiveness evaluation,providing a valuable reference for nursing education reform.
文摘Objective:To explore and analyze the work process-based practical training teaching model for basic nursing skills in vocational colleges and its implementation effects.Methods:A total of 82 nursing students from our school were selected for the study,which was conducted from April 2023 to April 2024.Using a random number table method,the students were divided into an observation group and a control group,each with 41 students.The control group received conventional practical training teaching,while the observation group followed the work process-based practical training model for basic nursing skills.The assessment scores and teaching satisfaction of the two groups were compared.Results:The comparison of assessment scores showed that the observation group performed significantly better than the control group(P<0.05).The comparison of teaching satisfaction also indicated that the observation group had significantly higher satisfaction than the control group(P<0.05).Conclusion:The work process-based practical training teaching model for basic nursing skills in vocational colleges can improve students’assessment scores and enhance teaching satisfaction,demonstrating its value for wider application.
基金supported by The National Social Science Fund of China(24ASH013).
文摘Background:Fundamental internal factors like self-construal and its influence on problematic online game use(POGU)remain underexplored.Hence,this study aims to investigate the effects of independent and interdependent self-construal on POGU,with the mediation of basic psychological needs satisfaction.Methods:The study surveyed 418 Chinese junior high school students(50.24%male;Meanage=12.68,SD=0.65),assessing their levels of self-construal,basic psychological needs satisfaction,and POGU.Aparallelmediationmodelwas tested.Results:The findings showed that autonomy and competence needs satisfaction fully mediated the negative impact of independent self-construal on POGU(B=−0.052,p<0.05;B=−0.094,p<0.01,respectively),while interdependent self-construal and relatedness needs satisfaction did not have a significant effect on POGU(B=0.005,p=0.758).Additionally,while independent self-construal positively correlated with the satisfaction of all three psychological needs,interdependent self-construal only positively associated with relatedness need satisfaction(B=0.152,p<0.001).Conclusions:The study demonstrates that independent self-construal serves as a protective factor against POGU,mediated by autonomy and competence needs satisfaction,while the effects of interdependent self-construal are more complex.These insights highlight the need for tailored interventions that promote adaptive self-construal and psychological needs satisfaction among Chinese adolescents to prevent POGU.
基金supported by the National 973 Program of China (2011CB100501)the National 863 Program of China(2013AA102901)+1 种基金the Special Fund for Agro-Scientific Research in the Public Interest, China (201203077)the Science and Technology Project for Grain Production, China (2011BAD16B15)
文摘Increasing basic farmland soil productivity has significance in reducing fertilizer application and maintaining high yield of crops. In this study, we defined that the basic soil productivity （BSP） is the production capacity of a farmland soil with its own physical and chemical properties for a specific crop season under local environment and field management. Based on 22-yr （1990-2011） long-term experimental data on black soil （Typic hapludoll） in Gongzhuling, Jilin Province, Northeast China, the decision support system for an agro-technology transfer （DSSAT）-CERES-Maize model was applied to simulate the yield by BSP of spring maize （Zea mays L.） to examine the effects of long-term fertilization on changes of BSP and explore the mechanisms of BSP increasing. Five treatments were examined： （1） no-fertilization control （control）; （2） chemical nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium （NPK）; （3） NPK plus farmyard manure （NPKM）; （4） 1.5 time of NPKM （1.5NPKM） and （5） NPK plus straw （NPKS）. Results showed that after 22-yr fertilization, the yield by BSP of spring maize significantly increased 78.0, 101.2, and 69.4% under the NPKM, 1.5NPKM and NPKS, respectively, compared to the initial value （in 1992）, but not significant under NPK （26.9% increase） and the control （8.9% decrease）. The contribution percentage of BSP showed a significant rising trend （P〈0.05） under 1.5NPKM. The average contribution percentage of BSP among fertilizations ranged from 74.4 to 84.7%, and ranked as 1.5NPKM〉NPKM〉NPK〉NPKS, indicating that organic manure combined with chemical fertilizers （I.5NPKM and NPKM） could more effectively increase BSP compared with the inorganic fertilizer application alone （NPK） in the black soil. This study showed that soil organic matter （SOM） was the key factor among various fertility factors that could affect BSP in the black soil, and total N, total P and/or available P also played important role in BSP increasing. Compared with the chemical fertilization, a balanced chemical plus manure or straw fertilization （NPKM or NPKS） not only increased the concentrations of soil nutrient, but also improved the soil physical properties, and structure and diversity of soil microbial population, resulting in an iincrease of BSP. We recommend that a balanced chemical plus manure or straw fertilization （NPKM or NPKS） should be the fertilization practices to enhance spring maize yield and improve BSP in the black soil of Northeast China.
文摘The LAGFD-WAM wave model is a third generation wave model. In the present paper the physical aspect of the model was shown in great detail including energy spectrum balance equation, complicated characteristics equations and source functions.
文摘This study developed an animal model of surgically wounded submandibular glands （SMGs） and investigated the effects of collagen gel with basic fibroblast growth factor （bFGF） on tissue regeneration of surgically wounded SMGs in vivo. The animal model was produced by creating a surgical wound using a 3-mm diameter biopsy punch in SMGs. The wound was filled with collagen gel with bFGF （bFGF group） or without bFGF （control group）. In the animal model of surgically wounded SMGs, salivary glands without scar tissue around the wound area were observed with smaller areas of collagen gel. Small round and spindle-shape cells invaded the collagen gel in both groups after operation day （AOD） 5, and this invasion dramatically increased at AOD 7. Host tissue completely replaced the collagen gel at AOD 21. The invading immune cells in the group treated with collagen gel with bFGF were positive for vimentin, g-smooth muscle actin （αSMA）, CD49f, c-kit and AQP5 at AOD 7. Similarly, the mRNA expression of vimentin, αSMA, CD49f, keratin 19 and AQP5 was also increased. This study suggests that the use of collagen gels with bFGF improves salivary gland regeneration.
基金The authors are grateful for the financial support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51674030)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2016YFB0601301).
文摘Dephosphorisation basic oxygen furnaces (deP-BOFs) greatly differ from conventional BOFs in the melting process, especially its many limits on adding scrap. A mathematical model of the steel scrap melting process was established in MATLAB to investigate the mechanism of scrap melting in deP-BOF in terms of coupling effects of the carbon content of the molten steel, temperature, scrap preheating and converter blowing time on the melting rate and size of the steel scraps. The scrap melting rate was influenced by both the heat and mass transfer during the melting process: at 1350℃, when the carbon content was increased from 4.5 to 5.0 mass%, the scrap melting rate increased by 43%;for the carbon content of 4.5 mass%, when the temperature was increased from 1350 to 1400℃, the scrap melting rate increased by 60%. The carbonisation was found to be the restrictive step of the scrap melting process in deP-BOFs with respect to conventional ones. The scrap heating from room temperature to 800℃ reduced the crusting thickness on the scrap surface but there was no obvious influence on the melting rate. The scrap melting size in the deP-BOF was rather limited by its low melting rate and short melting time.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.50834007,50874128,and 50674012)
文摘A simple model for estimating the rate constant between CO_(2)-CO gas and molten slag containing iron oxides was developed using optical basicity only.In this model,the temperature dependence of the rate constant can be described by the Arrhenius law,and the activation energy can be expressed with a linear function of the slag's optical basicity.The model was applied to some molten slag systems,such as FeO,FeO-CaO,FeO-SiO_(2),FeO-Na_(2)O,FeO-CaO-SiO_(2),FeO-SiO_(2)-P_(2)O_(5),FeO-SiOE-Na_(2)O,and FeO-CaO-SiO_(2)-P_(2)O_(5).A comparison between the predicted results and measured data showed that the model worked well.
文摘In order to understand the fundamental questions of the biology of life and to duplicate the pathogenesis of human diseases, animal models using different experimental animals, such as rodents, Drosophila, Caenorhabditis elegans, and zebrafish, have been established and used widely for many decades. The controllability of environmental conditions, the high reproducibility, the ease of scale and the comparability of results, as well as the ability to use different standards for ethical protocols, all make an animal model the ideal tool for carrying out studies on human diseases and the development of novel pharmaceuticals and new therapies （Xue et al., 2014）. An ideal animal model should reflect the complete spectra of a specific human disease, with similar features on the following key issues： （1） genetic basis; （2） anatomy and physiology; （3） pathological response（s） and underlying mechanism（s）; （4） phenotypic endpoints as clinical studies; （5） responsiveness to known drugs with clinical efficacy; and （6） prediction of clinical efficacy （McGonigle and Ruggeri, 2014）.
基金The work has been supported by a grant received from the Ministry of Education,Government of India under the Scheme for the Promotion of Academic and Research Collaboration(SPARC)(ID:SPARC/2019/1396).
文摘We have proposed a new mathematical method,the SEIHCRD model,which has an excellent potential to predict the incidence of COVID-19 diseases.Our proposed SEIHCRD model is an extension of the SEIR model.Three-compartments have added death,hospitalized,and critical,which improves the basic understanding of disease spread and results.We have studiedCOVID-19 cases of six countries,where the impact of this disease in the highest are Brazil,India,Italy,Spain,the United Kingdom,and the United States.After estimating model parameters based on available clinical data,the modelwill propagate and forecast dynamic evolution.Themodel calculates the Basic reproduction number over time using logistic regression and the Case fatality rate based on the selected countries’age-category scenario.Themodel calculates two types of Case fatality rate one is CFR daily,and the other is total CFR.The proposed model estimates the approximate time when the disease is at its peak and the approximate time when death cases rarely occur and calculate how much hospital beds and ICU beds will be needed in the peak days of infection.The SEIHCRD model outperforms the classic ARXmodel and the ARIMA model.RMSE,MAPE,andRsquaredmatrices are used to evaluate results and are graphically represented using Taylor and Target diagrams.The result shows RMSE has improved by 56%–74%,and MAPE has a 53%–89%improvement in prediction accuracy.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.51974023 and52374321)the funding of State Key Laboratory of Advanced Metallurgy,University of Science and Technology Beijing,China (No.41620007)。
文摘The amount of oxygen blown into the converter is one of the key parameters for the control of the converter blowing process,which directly affects the tap-to-tap time of converter. In this study, a hybrid model based on oxygen balance mechanism (OBM) and deep neural network (DNN) was established for predicting oxygen blowing time in converter. A three-step method was utilized in the hybrid model. First, the oxygen consumption volume was predicted by the OBM model and DNN model, respectively. Second, a more accurate oxygen consumption volume was obtained by integrating the OBM model and DNN model. Finally, the converter oxygen blowing time was calculated according to the oxygen consumption volume and the oxygen supply intensity of each heat. The proposed hybrid model was verified using the actual data collected from an integrated steel plant in China, and compared with multiple linear regression model, OBM model, and neural network model including extreme learning machine, back propagation neural network, and DNN. The test results indicate that the hybrid model with a network structure of 3 hidden layer layers, 32-16-8 neurons per hidden layer, and 0.1 learning rate has the best prediction accuracy and stronger generalization ability compared with other models. The predicted hit ratio of oxygen consumption volume within the error±300 m^(3)is 96.67%;determination coefficient (R^(2)) and root mean square error (RMSE) are0.6984 and 150.03 m^(3), respectively. The oxygen blow time prediction hit ratio within the error±0.6 min is 89.50%;R2and RMSE are0.9486 and 0.3592 min, respectively. As a result, the proposed model can effectively predict the oxygen consumption volume and oxygen blowing time in the converter.
文摘On the basis of the nonlinear stability theorem in the context of Arnol'd's second theorem for the generalized Phillips model,nonlinear saturation of baroclinic instability in the generalized Phillips model is investigatedThe lower bound on the disturbance energy and potential enstrophy to the nonlinearly unstable basic flow in the generalized Phillips model is presented,which indicates that there may exist an allocation between a nonlinearly unstable basic flow and a growing disturbance
文摘The adsorb model of formic acid on NaX derived from TPD was discussed. It was showed that the adsorb sites were various exposed framework O2- centers bearing different basic intensity and spatial resistance. The h-peak was attributed to O2- near S-III in supercage and l-peak to O2- near S-II in beta-cage of faujusite zeolite. The model can explain the experimental results. Meanwhile, a relative standard of basic intensity based on TPD of formic acid was founded.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12171337)the Central Government Guided Local Science and Technology Development Projects(No.2024ZYD0059)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province(No.2022NSFSC0529)the Open Research Fund Program of Data Recovery Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province(No.DRN2405)。
文摘This paper investigates the stability and bifurcation phenomena of a cholera transmission model in which individuals who have recovered from the disease may become susceptible again.The threshold for determining disease prevalence is established,and the parameter conditions for the existence of equilibria are discussed.The Routh-Hurwitz criterion is applied to demonstrate the local asymptotic stability of equilibria.By utilizing composite matrices and geometric techniques,the global dynamic behavior of the endemic equilibrium is investigated,and the sufficient conditions for its global asymptotic stability are derived.Furthermore,the disease-free equilibrium is a saddle-node when the basic reproductive number is 1,and tthe transcritical bifurcation in this case is discussed.
文摘Speeding up the promotion of the basic course "Curriculum Ideological and Political Theory" is a kind of teaching idea and practical innovation to implement the important speech spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinping on strengthening ideological and political education. This paper analyzes the main and difficult problems existing in the current teaching reform of "course ideological and political theory" in basic courses, and combines with the teaching practice of "basic courses" in our school to promote the course ideological and political theory, digs deep into the ideological and political elements contained in basic courses, and constructs two "five in one" ideological and political education modes.
