The anthem investigate the hitting probability, polarity and the relationship between the polarity and Hausdorff dimension for self-similar Markov processes with state space (0, infinity) and increasing path.
In order to solve the problems of high experimental cost of ammunition,lack of field test data,and the difficulty in applying the ammunition hit probability estimation method in classical statistics,this paper assumes...In order to solve the problems of high experimental cost of ammunition,lack of field test data,and the difficulty in applying the ammunition hit probability estimation method in classical statistics,this paper assumes that the projectile dispersion of ammunition is a two-dimensional joint normal distribution,and proposes a new Bayesian inference method of ammunition hit probability based on normal-inverse Wishart distribution.Firstly,the conjugate joint prior distribution of the projectile dispersion characteristic parameters is determined to be a normal inverse Wishart distribution,and the hyperparameters in the prior distribution are estimated by simulation experimental data and historical measured data.Secondly,the field test data is integrated with the Bayesian formula to obtain the joint posterior distribution of the projectile dispersion characteristic parameters,and then the hit probability of the ammunition is estimated.Finally,compared with the binomial distribution method,the method in this paper can consider the dispersion information of ammunition projectiles,and the hit probability information is more fully utilized.The hit probability results are closer to the field shooting test samples.This method has strong applicability and is conducive to obtaining more accurate hit probability estimation results.展开更多
The wind effects on steady-state scan characteristics and hit probability of terminal-sensitive projectile were discussed in this paper. Considering wind as the constitutions of the average wind and the impulsive wind...The wind effects on steady-state scan characteristics and hit probability of terminal-sensitive projectile were discussed in this paper. Considering wind as the constitutions of the average wind and the impulsive wind, a simplified wind field model was established for the ballistic calculation of the steady-state scan phase; under the windy condition, the effects of the range wind and the beam wind on the steady-state scan characteristics of the terminal-sensitive projectile were analyzed in detail and its hit probabilities for a certain armored target were calculated. The calculated results show that, when the wind speed exceeds a certain value, the hit probabilities of terminal-sensitive projectile drop rapidly; the wind effects must be considered in the application of the terminal-sensitive projectiles. This paper provides some theoretical references for the fire wind speed correction and the global structure optimization of the terminal-sensitive projectile.展开更多
In this article,we study the hitting probabilities of weighted Poisson processes and their subordinated versions with different intensities.Furthermore,we simulate and analyze the asymptotic properties of the hitting ...In this article,we study the hitting probabilities of weighted Poisson processes and their subordinated versions with different intensities.Furthermore,we simulate and analyze the asymptotic properties of the hitting probabilities in different weights and give an example in the case of subordination.展开更多
Let X^(H)={X^(H)(s),s∈R^(N_(1))}and X^(K)={X^(K)(t),t∈R^(N_(2))}be two independent time-space anisotropic random fields with indices H∈(0,1)^(N_(1)) and K∈(0,1)^(N_(2)),which may not possess Gaussianity,and which ...Let X^(H)={X^(H)(s),s∈R^(N_(1))}and X^(K)={X^(K)(t),t∈R^(N_(2))}be two independent time-space anisotropic random fields with indices H∈(0,1)^(N_(1)) and K∈(0,1)^(N_(2)),which may not possess Gaussianity,and which take values in R^(d) with a space metric τ.Under certain general conditions with density functions defined on a bounded interval,we study problems regarding the hitting probabilities of time-space anisotropic random fields and the existence of intersections of the sample paths of random fields X^(H) and X^(K).More generally,for any Borel set F⊂R^(d),the conditions required for F to contain intersection points of X^(H) and X^(K) are established.As an application,we give an example of an anisotropic non-Gaussian random field to show that these results are applicable to the solutions of non-linear systems of stochastic fractional heat equations.展开更多
Taking aim at light torpedo search trajectory characteristic of warship, by analyzing common used torpedo search trajectory, a better torpedo search trajectory is designed, a mathematic model is built up, and the simu...Taking aim at light torpedo search trajectory characteristic of warship, by analyzing common used torpedo search trajectory, a better torpedo search trajectory is designed, a mathematic model is built up, and the simulation calculation taking MK46 torpedo for example is carried out. The calculation results testify that this method can increase acquisition probability and hit probability by about 10%-30% at some situations and becomes feasible for the torpedo trajectory design. The research is of great reference value for the acoustic homing torpedo trajectory design and the torpedo combat efficiency research.展开更多
Under the conditions of multiple hits and quadratic effects,the aircraft vulnerability assessment method is proposed by means of kill-tree diagram and state transition matrix.Four instances of the quadratic effects ar...Under the conditions of multiple hits and quadratic effects,the aircraft vulnerability assessment method is proposed by means of kill-tree diagram and state transition matrix.Four instances of the quadratic effects are investigated:non-redundant components to non-redundant components,non-redundant to redundant,redundant to non-redundant and redundant to redundant.The application of the proposed method to the calculation of quadratic effects is also studied.展开更多
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the StateEducation of Commission Ph.D. Station Foundation
文摘The anthem investigate the hitting probability, polarity and the relationship between the polarity and Hausdorff dimension for self-similar Markov processes with state space (0, infinity) and increasing path.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71501183).
文摘In order to solve the problems of high experimental cost of ammunition,lack of field test data,and the difficulty in applying the ammunition hit probability estimation method in classical statistics,this paper assumes that the projectile dispersion of ammunition is a two-dimensional joint normal distribution,and proposes a new Bayesian inference method of ammunition hit probability based on normal-inverse Wishart distribution.Firstly,the conjugate joint prior distribution of the projectile dispersion characteristic parameters is determined to be a normal inverse Wishart distribution,and the hyperparameters in the prior distribution are estimated by simulation experimental data and historical measured data.Secondly,the field test data is integrated with the Bayesian formula to obtain the joint posterior distribution of the projectile dispersion characteristic parameters,and then the hit probability of the ammunition is estimated.Finally,compared with the binomial distribution method,the method in this paper can consider the dispersion information of ammunition projectiles,and the hit probability information is more fully utilized.The hit probability results are closer to the field shooting test samples.This method has strong applicability and is conducive to obtaining more accurate hit probability estimation results.
基金Sponsored by Doctoral Foundation of Ministry of Education of China (20093219120006)
文摘The wind effects on steady-state scan characteristics and hit probability of terminal-sensitive projectile were discussed in this paper. Considering wind as the constitutions of the average wind and the impulsive wind, a simplified wind field model was established for the ballistic calculation of the steady-state scan phase; under the windy condition, the effects of the range wind and the beam wind on the steady-state scan characteristics of the terminal-sensitive projectile were analyzed in detail and its hit probabilities for a certain armored target were calculated. The calculated results show that, when the wind speed exceeds a certain value, the hit probabilities of terminal-sensitive projectile drop rapidly; the wind effects must be considered in the application of the terminal-sensitive projectiles. This paper provides some theoretical references for the fire wind speed correction and the global structure optimization of the terminal-sensitive projectile.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11571262,11731012 and 11971361)。
文摘In this article,we study the hitting probabilities of weighted Poisson processes and their subordinated versions with different intensities.Furthermore,we simulate and analyze the asymptotic properties of the hitting probabilities in different weights and give an example in the case of subordination.
基金supported by National NaturalScience Foundation of China(11971432)Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(LY21G010003)+1 种基金First Class Discipline of Zhejiang-A(Zhejiang Gongshang University-Statistics)the Natural Science Foundation of Chuzhou University(zrjz2019012)。
文摘Let X^(H)={X^(H)(s),s∈R^(N_(1))}and X^(K)={X^(K)(t),t∈R^(N_(2))}be two independent time-space anisotropic random fields with indices H∈(0,1)^(N_(1)) and K∈(0,1)^(N_(2)),which may not possess Gaussianity,and which take values in R^(d) with a space metric τ.Under certain general conditions with density functions defined on a bounded interval,we study problems regarding the hitting probabilities of time-space anisotropic random fields and the existence of intersections of the sample paths of random fields X^(H) and X^(K).More generally,for any Borel set F⊂R^(d),the conditions required for F to contain intersection points of X^(H) and X^(K) are established.As an application,we give an example of an anisotropic non-Gaussian random field to show that these results are applicable to the solutions of non-linear systems of stochastic fractional heat equations.
文摘Taking aim at light torpedo search trajectory characteristic of warship, by analyzing common used torpedo search trajectory, a better torpedo search trajectory is designed, a mathematic model is built up, and the simulation calculation taking MK46 torpedo for example is carried out. The calculation results testify that this method can increase acquisition probability and hit probability by about 10%-30% at some situations and becomes feasible for the torpedo trajectory design. The research is of great reference value for the acoustic homing torpedo trajectory design and the torpedo combat efficiency research.
文摘Under the conditions of multiple hits and quadratic effects,the aircraft vulnerability assessment method is proposed by means of kill-tree diagram and state transition matrix.Four instances of the quadratic effects are investigated:non-redundant components to non-redundant components,non-redundant to redundant,redundant to non-redundant and redundant to redundant.The application of the proposed method to the calculation of quadratic effects is also studied.
