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高频网络波动率矩阵模型构建及其应用
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作者 赵树然 李金宸 +1 位作者 张洁 任培民 《中国管理科学》 北大核心 2026年第3期122-133,共12页
波动率矩阵的建模是众多金融活动的基础与核心,然而,在高维情形下,该问题常常面临维数危机等挑战。考虑高频数据包含丰富波动信息的优势,本文基于传统高频多元波动率模型,通过引入具有风险积聚和风险分散特性的正、负关联网络,预设波动... 波动率矩阵的建模是众多金融活动的基础与核心,然而,在高维情形下,该问题常常面临维数危机等挑战。考虑高频数据包含丰富波动信息的优势,本文基于传统高频多元波动率模型,通过引入具有风险积聚和风险分散特性的正、负关联网络,预设波动间的传导结构,并进一步结合异质市场假说建立双层网络波动率矩阵模型,实现模型的结构性降维与经济意义的提升。在此框架下,推导出资产波动沿不同路径传导的网络效应与溢出效应。对我国股票市场的实证研究结果表明:资产间的关联性在时间维度上存在异质性,横截面上存在显著的正负非对称性;资产间的波动传导具有显著的网络效应;资产间短期波动溢出效应强于中长期。统计预测效果和最小方差投资组合策略均表明,双层网络波动率矩阵模型优于非网络高频模型和低频多元GARCH类模型。新模型为网络计量模型从向量变量向矩阵变量的拓展提供了理论支撑,为高频金融计量的发展探寻了一个全新的导向和研究手段。 展开更多
关键词 高频波动率矩阵模型 网络关联性 结构性降维 波动溢出效应
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High-Dimensional Volatility Matrix Estimation with Cross-Sectional Dependent and Heavy-Tailed Microstructural Noise 被引量:2
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作者 LIANG Wanwan WU Ben +2 位作者 FAN Xinyan JING Bingyi ZHANG Bo 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第5期2125-2154,共30页
The estimates of the high-dimensional volatility matrix based on high-frequency data play a pivotal role in many financial applications.However,most existing studies have been built on the sub-Gaussian and cross-secti... The estimates of the high-dimensional volatility matrix based on high-frequency data play a pivotal role in many financial applications.However,most existing studies have been built on the sub-Gaussian and cross-sectional independence assumptions of microstructure noise,which are typically violated in the financial markets.In this paper,the authors proposed a new robust volatility matrix estimator,with very mild assumptions on the cross-sectional dependence and tail behaviors of the noises,and demonstrated that it can achieve the optimal convergence rate n-1/4.Furthermore,the proposed model offered better explanatory and predictive powers by decomposing the estimator into low-rank and sparse components,using an appropriate regularization procedure.Simulation studies demonstrated that the proposed estimator outperforms its competitors under various dependence structures of microstructure noise.Additionally,an extensive analysis of the high-frequency data for stocks in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China demonstrated the practical effectiveness of the estimator. 展开更多
关键词 Cross-sectional dependence high-dimensional data high-frequency data integrated volatility matrix market microstructure noise
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