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Hazardous effects of fried potato chips on the development of retina in albino rats 被引量:1
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作者 Hassan I El-Sayyad Saber A Sakr +1 位作者 Gamal M Badawy Hanaa S Afify 《Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Biomedicine》 SCIE CAS 2011年第4期253-260,共8页
Objective:To evaluate the hazardous effects of fried potato chips upon the retina of two developmental stages of the albino rats aged 7 and 14 days from parturition.Methods:Pregnant rats were arranged into two groups:... Objective:To evaluate the hazardous effects of fried potato chips upon the retina of two developmental stages of the albino rats aged 7 and 14 days from parturition.Methods:Pregnant rats were arranged into two groups:control pregnant rats and consequently their delivered newborns until reaching 7 and 14 days old from parturition and fried potato chips group in which pregnant rats at the 6th day of gestation maintained on diet formed of fried potato chips supplied from the market mixed with standard diet at a concentration of 50%per each till 7 and 14 postpartum.Three fold integrated approaches were adopted,namely,histological,ultrastructural and proteomic analysis.Results:Histological examination of the retina of the experimental offsprings revealed many histopathological changes,including massive degeneration,vacuolization and cell loss in the ganglion cell layer,as well as general reduction in retinal size.At the ultrastructural level,the retina of experimental offsprings exhibited number of deformities,including ill differentiated and degenerated nuclear layer,malformed and vacuolated pigment epithelium with vesiculated and fragmented rough endoplasmic reticulum,degenerated outer segment of photoreceptors,as well as swollen choriocapillaris and loss of neuronal cells.Proteomic analysis of retina of the two experimental developmental stages showed variations in the expressed proteins as a result of intoxication which illustrated the adverse toxic effects of fried potato chips upon the retina.Conclusions:It can be concluded that the effect of fried potato chips on the development of retina in rats may be due to the presence of acrylamide or its metabolite. 展开更多
关键词 Fried potato chips RETINA Development Histology ULTRASTRUCTURE ALBINO rats hazardous effect PROTEOMIC analysis ACRYLAMIDE METABOLITE
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Studies on the Hazardous Effects and the Maximum Allowable Concentration of Pyrophyllite Dust
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作者 ZHANG WEN-CHANG ZHANG QI-FEN SONG ZHI-FANG(Deportment of Occupotional Health, Fujian Medical University, 88 Jiaotong Road, Fuzhou 350004, China)(Division of Pneumoconiosis, Zhejiang Medical University, Yan an Road, Hangzhou 310006, China) 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1997年第4期377-386,共10页
Pyrophyllite (H2Al2,Si4 O22, ) dust (P-dust) is a mixture of silica (10-40% ), differentproportions of a luminium oxide (Al2O3 ), and various metal compounds. People with occupa-tions known to be associated with expos... Pyrophyllite (H2Al2,Si4 O22, ) dust (P-dust) is a mixture of silica (10-40% ), differentproportions of a luminium oxide (Al2O3 ), and various metal compounds. People with occupa-tions known to be associated with exposure to P-dust include miners, other industrial workersand persons engaged in artistic carving. Currently, little is known about pyrophyllite pneumo-coniosis from P-dust. This study was designed to investigate the hazardous effects of P-dustand to suggest a maximum allowable concentration (MAC) of the dust.This.study included four parts: (i) Occupational epidemiology surveys in 781 workersfrom 1 pyrophyllite mine (PM) and four pyrophyllite carving mills (PCM), with a registra-tion rate of 98 %. (ii) In vitro studies: Six groups of rats were expeed to different levels ofP-dust; the cytotoxicity of P-dust on rat alveolar macrophages (AM) was investigated by de-termining the potassium'content of AM and the activity levels of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)in AM culture fluid. (iii) Mineralogical analysis of P-dust: The contents of silica (SiO2 ), alu-minium (Al), ferrum (Fe), niikel (Ni), zinc (Zn) and copper (Cu) in hath PM-dust andPCMdust were determined. (iv ) Determination of P-dust MAC: Using the life-talbemethod, an investigation of the hygiene standard of P-dust was carried out in 625 workers ex-POSed to either PM-dust or PCM-dust, uPon whom routine radiographs were Performed.The results suggest that the risk of developing pneumoconiosis from pyrophyllite dust issignificantly higher for PM workers than for PCM workers. The prevalence rate of PCM-dustpneumoconiosis is significantly higher in men than in women. The content of SiO2 and AlO3in the mixture of P-dust is the most important factor in the etiology of pyrophyllitosis. De-pending on the different P-dust MAC values, we suggest that 2 rng/m3 and 4 mg/m' shouldbe considered as the MAC for PM-dust and PCM-dust, respectively, and 3 mg/m' fOr P-dust. We believe that establishing different hygiene standards is more accurate even thoughworkers are exposured to the 'same' dust 展开更多
关键词 PCM Studies on the hazardous effects and the Maximum Allowable Concentration of Pyrophyllite Dust PM ZHANG SiO
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A Statistical Model with Non-Linear Effects and Non-Proportional Hazards for Breast Cancer Survival Analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Muditha Perera Chris Tsokos 《Advances in Breast Cancer Research》 2018年第1期65-89,共25页
The Cox proportional hazard model is being used extensively in oncology in studying the relationship between survival times and prognostic factors. The main question that needs to be addressed with respect to the appl... The Cox proportional hazard model is being used extensively in oncology in studying the relationship between survival times and prognostic factors. The main question that needs to be addressed with respect to the applicability of the Cox PH model is whether the proportional hazard assumption is met. Failure to justify the subject assumption will lead to misleading results. In addition, identifying the correct functional form of the continuous covariates is an important aspect in the development of a Cox proportional hazard model. The purpose of this study is to develop an extended Cox regression model for breast cancer survival data which takes non-proportional hazards and non-linear effects that exist in prognostic factors into consideration. Non-proportional hazards and non-linear effects are detected using methods based on residuals. An extended Cox model with non-linear effects and time-varying effects is proposed to adjust the Cox proportional hazard model. Age and tumor size were found to have nonlinear effects. Progesterone receptor assay status and age violated the proportional hazard assumption in the Cox model. Quadratic effect of age and progesterone receptor assay status had hazard ratio that changes with time. We have introduced a statistical model to overcome the presence of the proportional hazard assumption violation for the Cox proportional hazard model for breast cancer data. The proposed extended model considers the time varying nature of the hazard ratio and non-linear effects of the covariates. Our improved Cox model gives a better insight on the hazard rates associated with the breast cancer risk factors. 展开更多
关键词 BREAST Cancer COX Model NON-LINEAR effects Non-Proportional hazards
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Mixed-Effects Parametric Proportional Hazard Model with Generalized Log-Logistic Baseline Distribution
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作者 Maryrose Wausi Peter Samuel Musili Mwalili +1 位作者 Anthony Kibira Wanjoya Abdsalam Hassan Muse 《Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing》 2023年第2期81-102,共22页
Clustered survival data are widely observed in a variety of setting. Most survival models incorporate clustering and grouping of data accounting for between-cluster variability that creates correlation in order to pre... Clustered survival data are widely observed in a variety of setting. Most survival models incorporate clustering and grouping of data accounting for between-cluster variability that creates correlation in order to prevent underestimate of the standard errors of the parameter estimators but do not include random effects. In this study, we developed a mixed-effect parametric proportional hazard (MEPPH) model with a generalized log-logistic distribution baseline. The parameters of the model were estimated by the application of the maximum likelihood estimation technique with an iterative optimization procedure (quasi-Newton Raphson). The developed MEPPH model’s performance was evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation. The Leukemia dataset with right-censored data was used to demonstrate the model’s applicability. The results revealed that all covariates, except age in PH models, were significant in all considered distributions. Age and Townsend score were significant when the GLL distribution was used in MEPPH, while sex, age and Townsend score were significant in MEPPH model when other distributions were used. Based on information criteria values, the Generalized Log-Logistic Mixed-Effects Parametric Proportional Hazard model (GLL-MEPPH) outperformed other models. 展开更多
关键词 Survival Analysis Generalized Log-Logistic PARAMETRIC Proportional hazard Mixed-effects Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood Estimation
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Seismic hazard assessment of Tehran,Iran with emphasis on near-fault rupture directivity effects
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作者 Ehsan Bazarchi Reza Saberi Majid Alinejad 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2018年第1期1-11,共11页
Many destructive earthquakes happened in Tehran, Iran in the last centuries. The existence of active faults like the North Tehran is the main cause of seismicity in this city. According to past investigations, it is e... Many destructive earthquakes happened in Tehran, Iran in the last centuries. The existence of active faults like the North Tehran is the main cause of seismicity in this city. According to past investigations, it is estimated that in the scenario of activation of the North Tehran fault, many structures in Tehran will collapse. Therefore, it is necessary to incorporate the near field rupture directivity effects of this fault into the seismic hazard assessment of important sites in Tehran. In this study, using calculations coded in MATLAB, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) is conducted for an important site in Tehran. Following that, deaggregation technique is performed on PSHA and the contribution of seis- mic scenarios to hazard is obtained in the range of distance and magnitude. After identifying the North Tehran fault as the most hazardous source affecting the site in 10000-year return period, rupture directivity effects of this fault is incorporated into the seismic hazard assessment using Somerville et al. (1997) model with broadband approach and Shahi and Baker (2011) model with narrowband approach. The results show that the narrowband approach caused a 27% increase in the peak of response spectrum in 10000-year return period compared with the conventional PSHA. Therefore, it is necessary to incorporate the near fault rupture directivity effects into the higher levels of seismic hazard assessment attributed to important sites. 展开更多
关键词 Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis North Tehran fault rupture directivity effect DEAGGREGATION controlling earthquake
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基于特征价格法的地震危险性资本化效应研究
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作者 顾曈炜 于汐 +1 位作者 唐彦东 唐毅 《灾害学》 北大核心 2026年第1期187-194,共8页
针对既有文献对地震灾害的资本化效应关注较少的问题。该文基于特征价格法,以中国281个城市的住宅市场为例,建立普通特征价格模型、空间杜宾特征价格模型、地理加权回归模型,研究地震危险性的资本化效应及其异质性。结果表明:(1)地震危... 针对既有文献对地震灾害的资本化效应关注较少的问题。该文基于特征价格法,以中国281个城市的住宅市场为例,建立普通特征价格模型、空间杜宾特征价格模型、地理加权回归模型,研究地震危险性的资本化效应及其异质性。结果表明:(1)地震危险性已资本化于城市住宅价格之中,具体表现为基本地震动峰值加速度每增加1%,城市住宅价格平均下降0.119%,地震危险性的隐含价格为-0.119 HP/PGA;(2)考虑城市间住宅价格相关性时,地震危险性资本效应表现出显著的“本地化”特征,城市基本地震动峰值加速度每增加1%,其本地住宅价格下降约0.085%;(3)地震危险性资本化效应具有较强空间异质性。资本化效应在80%的样本城市中显著,且作用范围覆盖了我国绝大部分高地震危险性区域。 展开更多
关键词 特征价格法 地震危险性 资本化效应 空间特征价格模型
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医疗失效模式与效应分析在我国医院应用现状分析
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作者 张丹 张欣 +2 位作者 徐仪嘉 李林瑾 刘庭芳 《中国医院》 北大核心 2026年第1期39-43,共5页
目的:通过分析第9~11届全国医院品管圈暨多维工具大会中的HFMEA专场参会案例,了解HFMEA在医院的应用现况,总结相关问题并提出建议。方法:对参会案例进行统计分析和主题归纳,并就HFMEA应用各阶段存在的常见问题进行解析。结果:研究分析了... 目的:通过分析第9~11届全国医院品管圈暨多维工具大会中的HFMEA专场参会案例,了解HFMEA在医院的应用现况,总结相关问题并提出建议。方法:对参会案例进行统计分析和主题归纳,并就HFMEA应用各阶段存在的常见问题进行解析。结果:研究分析了236个HFMEA参会案例,发现其在医院中的应用领域包括药品管理、并发症控制、管路安全管理、转运安全管理、临床标本管理、手术流程管理、疫情防控、跌倒预防、物料管理等领域,主要存在子流程功能与目的描述不足、失效原因分析阶段缺乏决策树的使用等问题。结论:HFMEA是具有前瞻性的风险防控与流程优化工具;下一步可以推动多元主体开展HFMEA应用,提升HFMEA工具使用的规范性,扩大HFMEA工具的应用领域,以及结合其他工具促进质量持续改进。 展开更多
关键词 医院 医疗失效模式与效应分析 危害分数 决策树 应用现况
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Effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection on pregnancy outcome:An overview
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作者 Yahia A.Amin 《Asian pacific Journal of Reproduction》 2023年第4期155-161,共7页
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2)infection may have harmful effects on expectant moms,labor,and newborns born to infected mothers.There is a risk of the initiation of pregnancy with infection... Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2)infection may have harmful effects on expectant moms,labor,and newborns born to infected mothers.There is a risk of the initiation of pregnancy with infection.Even if the gametes are non-infected,pregnancies could be exposed later for infection by coronavirus.Investigations of COVID-19 during pregnancy highlighted the non-transmission or surprising transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to the offspring.However,other studies have exhibited the potential mother-to-fetus transmission.In this way,unanswered concerns about SARS-CoV-2 fetal transmission and the particular interface(s)controlling its pathogenesis throughout pregnancy persist.This review focuses on the potential effects of SARS-CoV-2 on vertical transmission,as well as the influence of the virus on pregnancy and placenta. 展开更多
关键词 SARS-CoV-2 hazard effects PREGNANCY PLACENTA
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Quantity:a parameter deciding various health hazards
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作者 Sankalpa N.Navathar Pritam P.Pandit 《Toxicology Advances》 2023年第3期13-21,共9页
Plants are vital to the survival of life on e arth and have enormous implications for both the environment and human well-being.Plants carr y both medicinal and toxic properties.The plants were used by people traditio... Plants are vital to the survival of life on e arth and have enormous implications for both the environment and human well-being.Plants carr y both medicinal and toxic properties.The plants were used by people traditionally for medicinal purposes.But people were not aware of the concentration of the dose s.So,excessive quantity of dose s may lead to severe toxic effects on the human body.This topic discusses the potential hazards of toxic plants on human health.There are many plants around the world that can cause adverse effects,ranging from mild irritation to severe organ damage or death.This review focuses on the plants which are available locally used as medicines carrying toxic properties too.It is essential to learn to recognize them and avoid touching or ingesting them.If exposure does occur,prompt medical attention is necessary.Understanding the risks associated with toxic plants can help individuals take the necessary precautions to protect their health. 展开更多
关键词 toxic plants POISON hazardous effects fatal period DOSAGE
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Measurement of Gamma Emitting Radionuclides for Assessment, Environmental Hazards of Radiation in Rock and Soil Samples of Shabwah and Hadramout Regions, Yemen
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作者 Sherif S. Nafee Dheya Al-Othmany +3 位作者 Safia H.Q. Hamidalddin J.H. Al-Zahrani W.R. Alharbi Hanan M. Barashed 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2017年第5期66-75,共10页
The natural radioactivity of 226Ra, 232Th and 40K and the fallout of 137Cs in soils and granite rocks of two regions in Yemen (Shabwah and Hadramout) were measured by using gamma-ray spectrometry (HPGe) detector. The ... The natural radioactivity of 226Ra, 232Th and 40K and the fallout of 137Cs in soils and granite rocks of two regions in Yemen (Shabwah and Hadramout) were measured by using gamma-ray spectrometry (HPGe) detector. The average values of the radionuclides 226Ra, 232Th and 40K in the soil samples are 14.34, 25.78 and 566.05 Bq/kg respectively. For rock samples, the average activity concentration for 226Ra, 232Th and 40K are 45, 106 and 1235 Bq/kg respectively. Low concentration values of 137Cs in soil and rock samples under investigation, are not radiologically important. The radium equivalent activity (Raeq) and external hazard index (Hex) of all samples are less than the limits of 370 Bq·kg-1 and unity, respectively. The average values of total absorbed dose rate due to three primordial radionuclides in soil and rock samples are 46.5 nGy/h and 138.36 nGy/h, respectively, where the absorbed average value of the granite is higher than the permitted limit. So, the local people must avoid using these granite samples as the interior decorative materials of dwelling without radioactivity control. 展开更多
关键词 GAMMA SPECTROMETRY ANNUAL effective DOSE External hazard Index
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Environment Geological Effect of Groundwater Exploitation in Linfen
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作者 董东林 武强 +1 位作者 董云峰 杨明 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2000年第2期107-110,共4页
Through analyzing environment geological effect of groundwater in detail, the authors hold that the groundwater exploitation is excessive in Linfen City. A regional depression cone has been formed in the civic center;... Through analyzing environment geological effect of groundwater in detail, the authors hold that the groundwater exploitation is excessive in Linfen City. A regional depression cone has been formed in the civic center; The subsidence scale keeps increasing, and five developed earth fissure hazards zones have been formed. This hinders the sustainable economic development of Linfen severely. Large scale observation net of groundwater should be established to dynamically monitor the ground water, ensuring a rational exploitation. 展开更多
关键词 GROUNDWATER EXPLOITATION ENVIRONMENT GEOLOGICAL effect SUBSIDENCE earth FISSURE hazards
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海平面上升的灾害效应、风险评估及应对策略
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作者 周健 于道德 +4 位作者 李琼 朱现晔 李莉 杨韫琪 吴志宏 《海洋科学》 北大核心 2025年第2期67-80,共14页
海平面上升是一种全球性、缓发性的海洋灾害,其广泛和深入的影响对人类社会发展带来严重挑战,受到学界普遍关注,但当前研究普遍存在灾害效应分析孤立割裂、风险评估体系差异明显、防范应对存在局限等问题。基于此,本文通过归纳梳理国内... 海平面上升是一种全球性、缓发性的海洋灾害,其广泛和深入的影响对人类社会发展带来严重挑战,受到学界普遍关注,但当前研究普遍存在灾害效应分析孤立割裂、风险评估体系差异明显、防范应对存在局限等问题。基于此,本文通过归纳梳理国内外海平面上升相关文献资料,系统总结了海平面上升所诱发的风暴潮增水、海岸侵蚀、海水/咸潮入侵、湿地退化等不同类型灾害效应及其机制的研究成果,并从灾害管理角度阐述了海平面上升风险评估、应对策略的研究现状与前沿动态,最后展望了未来研究趋向。未来研究应在健全完善调查监测体系的基础上,推进海平面上升影响综合研究及量化评价,总结凝练经典研究范式,推进灾害链式协同防治,强化动态风险预测评估,提升滨海地区适应气候变化扰动的韧性,推进海平面上升应对与管理能力现代化。 展开更多
关键词 海平面上升 灾害效应 风险评估 灾害管理 应对策略
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盆山过渡带多灾种地质灾害监测——以都江堰市白沙河流域为例
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作者 田宏岭 李梦苑 《人民长江》 北大核心 2025年第9期56-65,共10页
当前大型复合灾害、链生灾害的威胁凸显,但其研究面临灾害区域偏僻,难以监测和数据缺乏的难题。四川盆地紧邻青藏高原和云贵高原,高原-盆地之间的盆山过渡带地形变变化大,地质构造活跃,降雨丰沛,地表物质运移导致的地地貌发生不断改变,... 当前大型复合灾害、链生灾害的威胁凸显,但其研究面临灾害区域偏僻,难以监测和数据缺乏的难题。四川盆地紧邻青藏高原和云贵高原,高原-盆地之间的盆山过渡带地形变变化大,地质构造活跃,降雨丰沛,地表物质运移导致的地地貌发生不断改变,是国内大中型地质灾害的密集之地,多种地质灾害链生、伴生,造成人员伤亡、财产损失并破坏环境,严重影响重大工程如雅康高速、成兰铁路等的施工与运营。国内外对单灾种研究丰富,监测案例多,对于多灾种研究较少,目标难寻,监测缺乏。以都江堰白沙河流域为示范,利用其汶川地震后群生、伴生、链生灾害发育,灾种齐全的优势,自震后的2010年起,建立了坡-沟-河为场景的多尺度多灾种复合监测系统。针对多灾种间物质与能量转换研究与预警需要,确立以物质(水、土)、能量(运动)为核心参数的监测体系,采用经济型物联网传感器,实现现了低成本多灾种长期监测。通过该体系获取的长期观测数据,有效揭示了盆山过渡带海拔主导的灾害分异性及震后灾害演化的由下游至上游的逐渐减弱的时空规律,证实了灾害治理工程可有效降低区域灾害风险,为多灾种监测目标选择、灾害监测体系构建、灾害数据关联分析等提供了有益探索和思路。 展开更多
关键词 地质灾害 多灾种灾害监测 灾害效应 四川盆地 都江堰市 白沙河流域
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滚石冲击作用下考虑全植株形态的树木拦挡效应与能量吸收特性
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作者 豆红强 郑彬彬 +1 位作者 王浩 严华祥 《振动与冲击》 北大核心 2025年第15期259-271,共13页
防护林在抵御滚石灾害方面具有重要的拦挡作用,但由于树木“冠-干-根-土”的复杂结构和各向异性特性,导致其对滚石冲击拦挡效应和能量吸收特性的研究相对不足。为此,构建了树木全植株形态“冠-干-根-土”系统的三维数值仿真模型,研究了... 防护林在抵御滚石灾害方面具有重要的拦挡作用,但由于树木“冠-干-根-土”的复杂结构和各向异性特性,导致其对滚石冲击拦挡效应和能量吸收特性的研究相对不足。为此,构建了树木全植株形态“冠-干-根-土”系统的三维数值仿真模型,研究了不同碰撞工况下单株树木对滚石冲击的拦挡效应和能量吸收特性。研究结果表明:树木通过干冠缓冲承载、根系锚固及土壤消散的多层结构协同作用,拦挡滚石并吸收其冲击能量;树木的能量吸收率随滚石动能的增大而降低,峰值冲击力随滚石动能的增大而增大,但二者均随碰撞高度和碰撞偏心率的增大而降低;当滚石冲击动能较小时,约75%的滚石动能在最初25 ms内通过树冠晃动和树干断裂破坏被吸收,树木结构的能量吸收占比为80%~90%,根-土系统和周围土体的能量吸收占比总和为10%~20%;树木对滚石的能量吸收率随冲击角度的增大呈现先增大后减小的趋势,根-土系统和周围土体的能量吸收占比总和在15%~25%。研究成果可为滚石灾害防护林的优化设计和应用提供理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 全植株树木 滚石灾害 数值仿真 拦挡效应 能量吸收特性
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Experimental and Simulated Effective Dose for Some Building Materials in France
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作者 Samir Dziri Abdellatif Nachab +2 位作者 Abdelmjid Nourreddine Addil Sellam Dominique Gelus 《World Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology》 2013年第2期41-45,共5页
The specific radioactivity of several building materials used in France, which is considered a direct exposure to radiation, has been assessed by γ-ray spectrometry. Corrected for coincidence summing and self-absorpt... The specific radioactivity of several building materials used in France, which is considered a direct exposure to radiation, has been assessed by γ-ray spectrometry. Corrected for coincidence summing and self-absorption effects, the values for 226Ra, 232Th and 40K were in the ranges 4 - 56, 3 - 72 and 9 - 1136 Bq·kg-1, respectively. The samples were found to have radium-equivalent activities between 5 and 245 Bq·kg-1. Values of 0.02 - 0.67 for the external and 0.03 - 0.82 for the internal hazard indexes were estimated. The calculated absorbed dose in air agrees closely with MCNPX simulations. The conversion of absorbed dose to annual effective dose gave values between 0.03 - 1.09 mSv·y-1. All these values are below action limits recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection. The materials examined would not contribute a significant radiation exposure for an occupant and thus are acceptable for construction. 展开更多
关键词 Building Materials hazard Indexes Radium-Equivalent Absorbed DOSE ANNUAL effective DOSE MCNPX
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知识图谱视角下危险化学品多米诺事故研究综述 被引量:1
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作者 李圆圆 郑梓然 +2 位作者 左鸿运 周小寒 吴军 《灾害学》 北大核心 2025年第2期138-144,152,共8页
危险化学品在工业和农业中具有不可替代的作用,但其潜在危险性质对城市安全构成了重大威胁。尤其是多米诺事故可能导致严重后果。该文通过文献计量方法,对270篇英文文献进行深入分析。研究发现,该领域的研究主要集中在事故规避、风险评... 危险化学品在工业和农业中具有不可替代的作用,但其潜在危险性质对城市安全构成了重大威胁。尤其是多米诺事故可能导致严重后果。该文通过文献计量方法,对270篇英文文献进行深入分析。研究发现,该领域的研究主要集中在事故规避、风险评估、事故过程分析和应急响应四个方面。现有研究方法主要包括贝叶斯网络、系统仿真、目标规划和机器学习;未来研究热点可能包括基于动态贝叶斯网络和机器学习的多米诺事故研究及其应急管理,跨学科的合作研究或取得更多创新和突破。该研究为学者了解危险化学品多米诺事故领域的研究现状和未来趋势提供重要参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 危险化学品 多米诺效应 知识图谱 风险评估
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近断层边坡概率地震位移危险性分析——以鲜水河走滑断层炉霍-道孚段为例
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作者 宋健 张盛 薛银龙 《地球物理学报》 北大核心 2025年第11期4259-4272,共14页
基于永久位移的边坡概率地震危险性分析可用于评估边坡在未来潜在地震事件中发生失稳的风险,并提供一定设防水准下的边坡地震位移和滑坡危险性区划结果.通过将不同场地边坡可能遭受的地震事件分为近断层速度脉冲、近断层非脉冲以及远场... 基于永久位移的边坡概率地震危险性分析可用于评估边坡在未来潜在地震事件中发生失稳的风险,并提供一定设防水准下的边坡地震位移和滑坡危险性区划结果.通过将不同场地边坡可能遭受的地震事件分为近断层速度脉冲、近断层非脉冲以及远场地震动,基于不同类型地震动作用引起的边坡地震位移预测模型,提出近断层边坡地震位移概率危险性分析方法.该方法以地震动较强方位与边坡倾向一致的最不利情况,即所有转向地震位移最大值作为评价指标,考虑了断层破裂位置和长度、震源位置、震级、地震动强度以及边坡地震位移响应等因素及其不确定性.以四川鲜水河走滑断层炉霍-道孚段为例,得到不同超越概率设防水准下区域内各场地边坡的最大地震位移区划图,并与传统方法的结果进行了对比分析,结果表明:基于提出的方法得到的边坡地震位移结果在断层附近高于传统方法,断层两端尤为明显,最大比值达2.5~3倍.最后针对研究断层东南端道孚县北侧的具体边坡进行了设定地震分析,给出了475年重现期设防水准下不同类型地震事件的贡献率以及相应的设定地震震级和断层距,可为具体场地边坡进一步地震稳定分析和抗震设计中的地震荷载确定提供一定参考. 展开更多
关键词 边坡地震位移 概率地震危险性分析 近断层地震动 方向性效应 走滑断层
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炮孔内多点双向聚能爆破裂纹形成机理研究
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作者 刘兵 于超才 +2 位作者 赵国锋 崔铁楠 丁建 《工程爆破》 北大核心 2025年第5期52-60,共9页
为适应脆弱生态地区爆破危害效应严格控制要求,保证边坡快速成型的爆破效果,基于炮孔切槽和多点聚能射流冲击岩石的定向劈裂机制,设计了一种低装药量、低危害效应的多点双向聚能爆破方法。结合理论分析与数值模拟,分别研究了1个、2个和... 为适应脆弱生态地区爆破危害效应严格控制要求,保证边坡快速成型的爆破效果,基于炮孔切槽和多点聚能射流冲击岩石的定向劈裂机制,设计了一种低装药量、低危害效应的多点双向聚能爆破方法。结合理论分析与数值模拟,分别研究了1个、2个和4个聚能射流同时冲击预切槽岩石的致裂效果。结果表明:切槽能改变岩石的应力场分布,使得应力沿切槽方向集中作用,初始裂纹在切槽处优先生成;多个聚能射流同时冲击岩石时,岩石内的动态应力场因应力波的相互干涉而改变,致使局部应力叠加增强,从而促进断裂面的扩展延伸;2个和4个射流同时作用时,岩石断裂面分别扩大42%和66%。最后,通过现场试验验证了多点双向聚能爆破装置的定向致裂能力,在两炮孔间形成了贯穿的平直裂纹,且单孔装药量大大降低,可有效降低爆破危害效应。研究结果为降低爆破危害效应及定向断裂面的形成提供重要参考。 展开更多
关键词 聚能爆破 定向裂纹 切槽爆破 爆破危害效应
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自然破片战斗部爆炸事故风险评估方法
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作者 辛大钧 薛琨 《兵工学报》 北大核心 2025年第10期348-359,共12页
针对自然破片战斗部爆炸事故风险评估中的关键问题,提出了一套完整的参数化综合分析方法。通过系统整合破片形成有限元模拟、破片远距离精确弹道计算、三维命中概率评估和人体损伤量化等关键环节,建立了多尺度耦合的风险评估体系。在破... 针对自然破片战斗部爆炸事故风险评估中的关键问题,提出了一套完整的参数化综合分析方法。通过系统整合破片形成有限元模拟、破片远距离精确弹道计算、三维命中概率评估和人体损伤量化等关键环节,建立了多尺度耦合的风险评估体系。在破片运动学建模方面,开发了基于人工神经网络的气动力代理模型,通过引入破片球形度参数和马赫数双变量,大大提升了自然破片随机翻滚状态轨迹计算的精度;在危害效应评估方面,创新性提出三维饼状靶板模型,结合人体几何参数,将弹道轨迹及人员的相对位置引入破片命中人员的概率计算中;在风险量化方面,构建了融合简明损伤定级标准(Abbreviated Injury Scale,AIS)中损伤等级与破片动能分布的多层级概率评估框架。以155 mm弹体为典型案例验证表明:该方法不仅可以通过环形均匀安全距离来描述破片危险性,还可以生成破片危险概率的二维空间分布。研究实现了破片初始随机性、运动复杂性与损伤渐进性的全过程量化表征,为弹药储运安全距离动态划定、靶场安全区优化设计以及工业爆炸防护提供了新的分析工具和决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 破片危险性 终点效应 风险评估 安全距离
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质量风险管控在中药制剂生产中的应用 被引量:2
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作者 王珍 崔鑫 梁毅 《中国新药杂志》 北大核心 2025年第17期1793-1801,共9页
目的:在中药制剂生产过程中引入风险管理的理念和工具。方法:研究中药制剂生产与化学药品生产的差异,结合风险管控的特点进行匹配,使用鱼骨图、危害分析和关键控制点(hazard analysis and critical control points,HACCP)、失效模式与... 目的:在中药制剂生产过程中引入风险管理的理念和工具。方法:研究中药制剂生产与化学药品生产的差异,结合风险管控的特点进行匹配,使用鱼骨图、危害分析和关键控制点(hazard analysis and critical control points,HACCP)、失效模式与影响分析(failure mode and effects analysis,FMEA)等质量风险管理工具,并以某中药制剂生产企业为例,对其生产的中药制剂开展质量风险管理。结果:通过风险管控模式的引入,使整个中药制剂生产过程质量管控更加清晰,能够广泛识别不同方面的潜在危害,提高中药制剂的质量安全水平。结论:运用风险管理的理念和工具进行中药制剂生产与质量管控具有优势,值得推广应用。 展开更多
关键词 质量风险管理 中药制剂 失效模式与影响分析 危害分析和关键控制点 鱼骨图
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