In order to improve the accuracy and efficiency of graphical method and maximum likelihood estimation( MLE) in Mixed Weibull distribution parameters estimation,Graphical-GA combines the advantage of graphical method a...In order to improve the accuracy and efficiency of graphical method and maximum likelihood estimation( MLE) in Mixed Weibull distribution parameters estimation,Graphical-GA combines the advantage of graphical method and genetic algorithm( GA) is proposed.Firstly,with the analysis of Weibull probability paper( WPP),mixed Weibull is identified to data fitting.Secondly,the observed value of shape and scale parameters are obtained by graphical method with least square,then optimizing the parameters of mixed Weibull with GA.Thirdly,with the comparative analysis on graphical method,piecewise Weibull and two-Weibull,it shows graphical-GA mixed Weibull is the best.Finally,the spindle MTBF point estimation and interval estimation are got based on mixed Weibull distribution.The results indicate that graphical-GA are improved effectively and the evaluation of spindle can provide the basis for design and reliability growth.展开更多
基金Sponsored by the Scientific and Technological Developing Project of Jilin Province(Grant No.20140520126JH)the Spring Plan of Ministry of Education(Grant No.Z2014140)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51275205)the Department of Education of Jilin Province(Grant No.2015-80)
文摘In order to improve the accuracy and efficiency of graphical method and maximum likelihood estimation( MLE) in Mixed Weibull distribution parameters estimation,Graphical-GA combines the advantage of graphical method and genetic algorithm( GA) is proposed.Firstly,with the analysis of Weibull probability paper( WPP),mixed Weibull is identified to data fitting.Secondly,the observed value of shape and scale parameters are obtained by graphical method with least square,then optimizing the parameters of mixed Weibull with GA.Thirdly,with the comparative analysis on graphical method,piecewise Weibull and two-Weibull,it shows graphical-GA mixed Weibull is the best.Finally,the spindle MTBF point estimation and interval estimation are got based on mixed Weibull distribution.The results indicate that graphical-GA are improved effectively and the evaluation of spindle can provide the basis for design and reliability growth.
