A research project on interaction between agroecosystems and global change has been accepted as a Category Ⅰ contribution to IGBP-GCTE (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme-Global Change & Terrestrial Ecos...A research project on interaction between agroecosystems and global change has been accepted as a Category Ⅰ contribution to IGBP-GCTE (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme-Global Change & Terrestrial Ecosystems) Core Research, the highest-level support GCTE has offered to an individual research project so far. This was confirmed by Prof. Noble, GCTE Chairman, in a letter to Prof. Peng Shaolin, Principal Investigator of展开更多
The purpose of improving weather forecast isto enhance the accuracy in weather prediction.An idealforecasting system would incorporate user-end information.In recent years,the meteorological community hasbegun to real...The purpose of improving weather forecast isto enhance the accuracy in weather prediction.An idealforecasting system would incorporate user-end information.In recent years,the meteorological community hasbegun to realize that while general improvements to thephysical characteristics of weather forecasting systems arebecoming asymptotically limited,the improvement fromthe user end still has potential.The weather forecastingsystem should include user interaction because user needsmay change with different weather.A study was conductedon the conceptual forecasting system that included adynamic,user-oriented interactive component.Thisresearch took advantage of the recently implementedTIGGE(THORPEX interactive grand global ensemble)project in China,a case study that was conducted to test thenew forecasting system with reservoir managers in LinyiCity,Shandong Province,a region rich in rivers andreservoirs in eastern China.A self-improving forecastsystem was developed involving user feedback throughouta flood season,changing thresholds for flood-inducingrainfall that were responsive to previous weather andhydrological conditions,and dynamic user-oriented assessmentsof the skill and uncertainty inherent in weatherprediction.This paper discusses ideas for developinginteractive,user-oriented forecast systems.展开更多
文摘A research project on interaction between agroecosystems and global change has been accepted as a Category Ⅰ contribution to IGBP-GCTE (International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme-Global Change & Terrestrial Ecosystems) Core Research, the highest-level support GCTE has offered to an individual research project so far. This was confirmed by Prof. Noble, GCTE Chairman, in a letter to Prof. Peng Shaolin, Principal Investigator of
基金This work was supported by the National Department Public Benefit Research Foundation of China(GYHY200706001 and GYHY200906007).
文摘The purpose of improving weather forecast isto enhance the accuracy in weather prediction.An idealforecasting system would incorporate user-end information.In recent years,the meteorological community hasbegun to realize that while general improvements to thephysical characteristics of weather forecasting systems arebecoming asymptotically limited,the improvement fromthe user end still has potential.The weather forecastingsystem should include user interaction because user needsmay change with different weather.A study was conductedon the conceptual forecasting system that included adynamic,user-oriented interactive component.Thisresearch took advantage of the recently implementedTIGGE(THORPEX interactive grand global ensemble)project in China,a case study that was conducted to test thenew forecasting system with reservoir managers in LinyiCity,Shandong Province,a region rich in rivers andreservoirs in eastern China.A self-improving forecastsystem was developed involving user feedback throughouta flood season,changing thresholds for flood-inducingrainfall that were responsive to previous weather andhydrological conditions,and dynamic user-oriented assessmentsof the skill and uncertainty inherent in weatherprediction.This paper discusses ideas for developinginteractive,user-oriented forecast systems.
