Engineering tests can yield inaccurate data due to instrument errors,human factors,and environmental interference,introducing uncertainty in numerical model updating.This study employs the probability-box(p-box)method...Engineering tests can yield inaccurate data due to instrument errors,human factors,and environmental interference,introducing uncertainty in numerical model updating.This study employs the probability-box(p-box)method for representing observational uncertainty and develops a two-step approximate Bayesian computation(ABC)framework using time-series data.Within the ABC framework,Euclidean and Bhattacharyya distances are employed as uncertainty quantification metrics to delineate approximate likelihood functions in the initial and subsequent steps,respectively.A novel variational Bayesian Monte Carlo method is introduced to efficiently apply the ABC framework amidst observational uncertainty,resulting in rapid convergence and accurate parameter estimation with minimal iterations.The efficacy of the proposed updating strategy is validated by its application to a shear frame model excited by seismic wave and an aviation pump force sensor for thermal output analysis.The results affirm the efficiency,robustness,and practical applicability of the proposed method.展开更多
The effect of the wide and narrow azimuth 3D observation systems on seismic imaging precision is becoming a hot area for studies of high precision 3D seismic acquisition methods in recent years. In this paper we utili...The effect of the wide and narrow azimuth 3D observation systems on seismic imaging precision is becoming a hot area for studies of high precision 3D seismic acquisition methods in recent years. In this paper we utilize 3D physical seismic modeling experiments. A 3D channel sand body physical seismic model is constructed and two acquisition systems are designed with wide azimuth （16 lines） and narrow azimuth （8 lines） to model 3D seismic data acquisition and processing seismic work flows. From analysis of migrated time slice data with high quality and small size, we conclude that when the overlying layers are smooth and lateral velocities have little change, both wide and narrow azimuth observation systems in 3D acquisition can be used for obtaining high precision imaging and equivalent resolution of the channel sand body.展开更多
A fuzzy observations-based radial basis function neural network （FORBFNN） is presented for modeling nonlinear systems in which the observations of response are imprecise but can be represented as fuzzy membership fu...A fuzzy observations-based radial basis function neural network （FORBFNN） is presented for modeling nonlinear systems in which the observations of response are imprecise but can be represented as fuzzy membership functions. In the FORBFNN model, the weight coefficients of nodes in the hidden layer are identified by using the fuzzy expectation-maximization （ EM ） algorithm, whereas the optimal number of these nodes as well as the centers and widths of radial basis functions are automatically constructed by using a data-driven method. Namely, the method starts with an initial node, and then a new node is added in a hidden layer according to some rules. This procedure is not terminated until the model meets the preset requirements. The method considers both the accuracy and complexity of the model. Numerical simulation results show that the modeling method is effective, and the established model has high prediction accuracy.展开更多
A more general narrowband regular-shaped geometry-based statistical model(RS-GBSM) combined with the line of sight(LoS) and single bounce(SB) rays for unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) ...A more general narrowband regular-shaped geometry-based statistical model(RS-GBSM) combined with the line of sight(LoS) and single bounce(SB) rays for unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) channel is proposed in this paper. The channel characteristics, including space-time correlation function(STCF), Doppler power spectral density(DPSD), level crossing rate(LCR) and average fade duration(AFD), are derived based on the single sphere reference model for a non-isotropic environment. The corresponding sum-of-sinusoids(SoS) simulation models including both the deterministic model and statistical model with finite scatterers are also proposed for practicable implementation. The simulation results illustrate that the simulation models well reproduce the channel characteristics of the single sphere reference model with sufficient simulation scatterers. And the statistical model has a better approximation of the reference model in comparison with the deterministic one when the simulation trials of the stochastic model are sufficient. The effects of the parameters such as flight height, moving direction and Rice factor on the characteristics are also studied.展开更多
Sea ice drift is mainly controlled by ocean currents, local wind, and internal ice stress. Information on sea ice motion, especially in situ synchronous observation of an ice velocity, a current velocity, and a wind s...Sea ice drift is mainly controlled by ocean currents, local wind, and internal ice stress. Information on sea ice motion, especially in situ synchronous observation of an ice velocity, a current velocity, and a wind speed, is of great significance to identify ice drift characteristics. A sea ice substitute, the so-called "modelled ice", which is made by polypropylene material with a density similar to Bohai Sea ice, is used to complete a free drift experiment in the open sea. The trajectories of isolated modelled ice, currents and wind in the Bohai Sea during non-frozen and frozen periods are obtained. The results show that the currents play a major role while the wind plays a minor role in the free drift of isolated modelled ice when the wind is mild in the Bohai Sea. The modelled ice drift is significantly affected by the ocean current and wind based on the ice–current–wind relationship established by a multiple linear regression. The modelled ice velocity calculated by the multiple linear regression is close to that of the in situ observation, the magnitude of the error between the calculated and observed ice velocities is less than12.05%, and the velocity direction error is less than 6.21°. Thus, the ice velocity can be estimated based on the observed current velocity and wind speed when the in situ observed ice velocity is missing. And the modelled ice of same thickness with a smaller density is more sensitive to the current velocity and the wind speed changes. In addition, the modelled ice drift characteristics are shown to be close to those of the real sea ice, which indicates that the modelled ice can be used as a good substitute of real ice for in situ observation of the free ice drift in the open sea, which helps solve time availability, safety and logistics problems related to in situ observation on real ice.展开更多
Taking cities as objects being observed,urban remote sensing is an important branch of remote sensing.Given the complexity of the urban scenes,urban remote sensing observation requires data with a high temporal resolu...Taking cities as objects being observed,urban remote sensing is an important branch of remote sensing.Given the complexity of the urban scenes,urban remote sensing observation requires data with a high temporal resolution,high spatial resolution,and high spectral resolution.To the best of our knowledge,however,no satellite owns all the above character-istics.Thus,it is necessary to coordinate data from existing remote sensing satellites to meet the needs of urban observation.In this study,we abstracted the urban remote sensing observation process and proposed an urban spatio-temporal-spectral observation model,filling the gap of no existing urban remote sensing framework.In this study,we present four applications to elaborate on the specific applications of the proposed model:1)a spatiotemporal fusion model for synthesizing ideal data,2)a spatio-spectral observation model for urban vegetation biomass estimation,3)a temporal-spectral observation model for urban flood mapping,and 4)a spatio-temporal-spectral model for impervious surface extraction.We believe that the proposed model,although in a conceptual stage,can largely benefit urban observation by providing a new data fusion paradigm.展开更多
The current research of real-time observation for vehicle roll steer angle and compliance steer angle（both of them comprehensively referred as the additional steer angle in this paper） mainly employs the linear vehi...The current research of real-time observation for vehicle roll steer angle and compliance steer angle（both of them comprehensively referred as the additional steer angle in this paper） mainly employs the linear vehicle dynamic model, in which only the lateral acceleration of vehicle body is considered. The observation accuracy resorting to this method cannot meet the requirements of vehicle real-time stability control, especially under extreme driving conditions. The paper explores the solution resorting to experimental method. Firstly, a multi-body dynamic model of a passenger car is built based on the ADAMS/Car software, whose dynamic accuracy is verified by the same vehicle＇s roadway test data of steady static circular test. Based on this simulation platform, several influencing factors of additional steer angle under different driving conditions are quantitatively analyzed. Then ε-SVR algorithm is employed to build the additional steer angle prediction model, whose input vectors mainly include the sensor information of standard electronic stability control system（ESC）. The method of typical slalom tests and FMVSS 126 tests are adopted to make simulation, train model and test model＇s generalization performance. The test result shows that the influence of lateral acceleration on additional steer angle is maximal （the magnitude up to 1°）, followed by the longitudinal acceleration-deceleration and the road wave amplitude （the magnitude up to 0.3°）. Moreover, both the prediction accuracy and the calculation real-time of the model can meet the control requirements of ESC This research expands the accurate observation methods of the additional steer angle under extreme driving conditions.展开更多
This paper based on the essay [1], studies in case that replicated observations are available in some experimental points., the parameters estimation of one dimensional linear errors-in-variables (EV) models. Asymptot...This paper based on the essay [1], studies in case that replicated observations are available in some experimental points., the parameters estimation of one dimensional linear errors-in-variables (EV) models. Asymptotic normality is established.展开更多
The CarbonTracker(CT) model has been used in previous studies for understanding and predicting the sources, sinks, and dynamics that govern the distribution of atmospheric CO_2 at varying ranges of spatial and tempora...The CarbonTracker(CT) model has been used in previous studies for understanding and predicting the sources, sinks, and dynamics that govern the distribution of atmospheric CO_2 at varying ranges of spatial and temporal scales. However, there are still challenges for reproducing accurate model-simulated CO_2 concentrations close to the surface, typically associated with high spatial heterogeneity and land cover. In the present study, we evaluated the performance of nested-grid CT model simulations of CO_2 based on the CT2016 version through comparison with in-situ observations over East Asia covering the period 2009–13. We selected sites located in coastal, remote, inland, and mountain areas. The results are presented at diurnal and seasonal time periods. At target stations, model agreement with in-situ observations was varied in capturing the diurnal cycle. Overall, biases were less than 6.3 ppm on an all-hourly mean basis, and this was further reduced to a maximum of 4.6 ppm when considering only the daytime. For instance, at Anmyeondo, a small bias was obtained in winter, on the order of 0.2 ppm. The model revealed a diurnal amplitude of CO_2 that was nearly flat in winter at Gosan and Anmyeondo stations, while slightly overestimated in the summertime. The model's performance in reproducing the diurnal cycle remains a challenge and requires improvement. The model showed better agreement with the observations in capturing the seasonal variations of CO_2 during daytime at most sites, with a correlation coefficient ranging from 0.70 to 0.99. Also, model biases were within-0.3 and 1.3 ppm, except for inland stations(7.7 ppm).展开更多
This work proposes the application of an iterative learning model predictive control(ILMPC)approach based on an adaptive fault observer(FOBILMPC)for fault-tolerant control and trajectory tracking in air-breathing hype...This work proposes the application of an iterative learning model predictive control(ILMPC)approach based on an adaptive fault observer(FOBILMPC)for fault-tolerant control and trajectory tracking in air-breathing hypersonic vehicles.In order to increase the control amount,this online control legislation makes use of model predictive control(MPC)that is based on the concept of iterative learning control(ILC).By using offline data to decrease the linearized model’s faults,the strategy may effectively increase the robustness of the control system and guarantee that disturbances can be suppressed.An adaptive fault observer is created based on the suggested ILMPC approach in order to enhance overall fault tolerance by estimating and compensating for actuator disturbance and fault degree.During the derivation process,a linearized model of longitudinal dynamics is established.The suggested ILMPC approach is likely to be used in the design of hypersonic vehicle control systems since numerical simulations have demonstrated that it can decrease tracking error and speed up convergence when compared to the offline controller.展开更多
In the imaging observation system, imaging task scheduling is an important topic. Most scholars study the imaging task scheduling from the perspective of static priority, and only a few from the perspective of dynamic...In the imaging observation system, imaging task scheduling is an important topic. Most scholars study the imaging task scheduling from the perspective of static priority, and only a few from the perspective of dynamic priority. However,the priority of the imaging task is dynamic in actual engineering. To supplement the research on imaging observation, this paper proposes the task priority model, dynamic scheduling strategy and Heuristic algorithm. At first, this paper analyzes the relevant theoretical basis of imaging observation, decomposes the task priority into four parts, including target priority, imaging task priority, track, telemetry & control(TT&C)requirement priority and data transmission requirement priority, summarizes the attribute factors that affect the above four types of priority in detail, and designs the corresponding priority model. Then, this paper takes the emergency tasks scheduling problem as the background, proposes the dynamic scheduling strategy and heuristic algorithm. Finally, the task priority model,dynamic scheduling strategy and heuristic algorithm are verified by experiments.展开更多
In a complex urban scene,observation from a single sensor unavoidably leads to voids in observations,failing to describe urban objects in a comprehensive manner.In this paper,we propose a spatio-temporal-spectral-angu...In a complex urban scene,observation from a single sensor unavoidably leads to voids in observations,failing to describe urban objects in a comprehensive manner.In this paper,we propose a spatio-temporal-spectral-angular observation model to integrate observations from UAV and mobile mapping vehicle platform,realizing a joint,coordinated observation operation from both air and ground.We develop a multi-source remote sensing data acquisition system to effectively acquire multi-angle data of complex urban scenes.Multi-source data fusion solves the missing data problem caused by occlusion and achieves accurate,rapid,and complete collection of holographic spatial and temporal information in complex urban scenes.We carried out an experiment on Baisha Town,Chongqing,China and obtained multi-sensor,multi-angle data from UAV and mobile mapping vehicle.We first extracted the point cloud from UAV and then integrated the UAV and mobile mapping vehicle point cloud.The inte-grated results combined both the characteristics of UAV and mobile mapping vehicle point cloud,confirming the practicability of the proposed joint data acquisition platform and the effectiveness of spatio-temporal-spectral-angular observation model.Compared with the observation from UAV or mobile mapping vehicle alone,the integrated system provides an effective data acquisition solution toward comprehensive urban monitoring.展开更多
The initial solidification process of microalloyed steels was simulated using a confocal scanning laser microscope,and the growth behavior of austenite grain was observed in situ.The method for measuring the initial a...The initial solidification process of microalloyed steels was simulated using a confocal scanning laser microscope,and the growth behavior of austenite grain was observed in situ.The method for measuring the initial austenite grain size was studied,and the M_(0)^(*)(the parameter to describe the grain boundary migration)values at different cooling rates were then calculated using the initial austenite grain size and the final grain size.Next,a newly modified model for predicting the austenite grain size was established by introducing the relationship between M_(0)^(*)and the cooling rate,and the value calculated from the modified model closely corresponds to the measured value,with average relative error being less than 5%.Further,the relationship between T^(γ)(the starting temperature for austenite grain growth)and equivalent carbon content C_(P)(C_(P)>0.18%)was obtained by in situ observation,and it was introduced into the modified model,which expanded the application scope of the model.Taking the continuous casting slab produced by a steel plant as the experimental object,the modified austenite grain size prediction model was used to predict the austenite grain size at different depths of oscillation mark on the surface of slab,and the predicted value was in good agreement with the actual measured value.展开更多
This paper addresses a modified auxiliary model stochastic gradient recursive parameter identification algorithm(M-AM-SGRPIA)for a class of single input single output(SISO)linear output error models with multi-thresho...This paper addresses a modified auxiliary model stochastic gradient recursive parameter identification algorithm(M-AM-SGRPIA)for a class of single input single output(SISO)linear output error models with multi-threshold quantized observations.It proves the convergence of the designed algorithm.A pattern-moving-based system dynamics description method with hybrid metrics is proposed for a kind of practical single input multiple output(SIMO)or SISO nonlinear systems,and a SISO linear output error model with multi-threshold quantized observations is adopted to approximate the unknown system.The system input design is accomplished using the measurement technology of random repeatability test,and the probabilistic characteristic of the explicit metric value is employed to estimate the implicit metric value of the pattern class variable.A modified auxiliary model stochastic gradient recursive algorithm(M-AM-SGRA)is designed to identify the model parameters,and the contraction mapping principle proves its convergence.Two numerical examples are given to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the achieved identification algorithm.展开更多
In the paper, the kinematic model of tectonic blocks in southwest China is studied based on the precision GPS observations carried out under the major subject of 'Studies on Current Crustal Movement and Geodynamic...In the paper, the kinematic model of tectonic blocks in southwest China is studied based on the precision GPS observations carried out under the major subject of 'Studies on Current Crustal Movement and Geodynamics' which belongs to the State Climbing Project. It is believed that at present, the data of high precision GPS observation may provide convincing information related to the horizontal movement of tectonic blocks in the Chinese mainland. The preliminary results obtained from the kinematic model have given some direct evidences for the research of dynamic mechanism of crustal deformation in the Chinese mainland and on the basis of which, the kinematic characteristics and their relations to the seismicity and seismic risk in the reobserved region are analysed. The preliminary observation results are encouraging.展开更多
The conventional Kalman filter（CKF）is widely used in tightly-coupled INS/GPS integrated navigation systems.The linearization accuracy of the CKF observation model is one of the decisive factors of the estimation acc...The conventional Kalman filter（CKF）is widely used in tightly-coupled INS/GPS integrated navigation systems.The linearization accuracy of the CKF observation model is one of the decisive factors of the estimation accuracy and therefore navigation accuracy.Additionally,the conventional observation model（COM）used by the filter may be divergent,which would result into some terrible accuracies of INS/GPS integration navigation in some cases.To improve the navigation accuracy,the linearization accuracy of the COM still needs further improvement.To deal with this issue,the observation model is modified with the linearization of the range and range rate equations in this paper.Compared with COM,the modified observation model（MOM）further considers the difference between the real user position and the position calculated by SINS.To verify the advantages of this model,INS/GPS integrated navigation simulation experiments are conducted with the usage of COM and MOM respectively.According to the simulation results,the positions（velocities）calculated using COM are divergent over time while the others using MOM are convergent,which demonstrates the higher linearization accuracy of MOM.展开更多
In this paper, a three-dimensional(3D) geometry- based stochastic scattering model(GBSSM) for wideband multi-input multi-output(MIMO) vehicle-to-vehicle(V2V) relay-based cooperative fading channel based on geometrical...In this paper, a three-dimensional(3D) geometry- based stochastic scattering model(GBSSM) for wideband multi-input multi-output(MIMO) vehicle-to-vehicle(V2V) relay-based cooperative fading channel based on geometrical three-cylinder is proposed. Non-line-of-sight(NLOS) propagation condition is assumed in amplify-and-forward(AF) cooperative networks from the source mobile station(S) to the destination mobile station(D) via the mobile relay station(R). We extend the proposed narrowband model to wideband and also introduce the carrier frequency and bandwidth into the model. To avoid complicated procedure in deriving the analytical expressions of the channel parameters and functions, the channel is realized first. By using the realized channel matrix, the channel properties are further investigated.展开更多
The structural equation model (SEM) concept is generally influenced by the presence of outliers and controlling variables. To a very large extent, this could have consequential effects on the parameters and the model ...The structural equation model (SEM) concept is generally influenced by the presence of outliers and controlling variables. To a very large extent, this could have consequential effects on the parameters and the model fitness. Though previous researches have studied outliers and controlling observations from various perspectives including the use of box plots, normal probability plots, among others, the use of uniform horizontal QQ plot is yet to be explored. This study is, therefore, aimed at applying uniform QQ plots to identifying outliers and possible controlling observations in SEM. The results showed that all the three methods of estimators manifest the ability to identify outliers and possible controlling observations in SEM. It was noted that the Anderson-Rubin estimator of QQ plot showed a more efficient or visual display of spotting outliers and possible controlling observations as compared to the other methods of estimators. Therefore, this paper provides an efficient way identifying outliers as it fragments the data set.展开更多
The prediction of the particle number concentration and liquid/ice water content of cloud is significant for many aspects of atmospheric science.However,given the uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions a...The prediction of the particle number concentration and liquid/ice water content of cloud is significant for many aspects of atmospheric science.However,given the uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions and imperfections of microphysical schemes,the accurate prediction of these microphysical properties of cloud is still a big challenge.The ensemble approach may be a viable way to reduce forecast uncertainties.In this paper,a large-scale stratiform cloud precipitation process is studied by comparing results of a 10-member ensemble forecast model with aircraft observation data.By means of the ensemble average,the prediction of bulk parameters such as liquid water content and ice water content can be improved in comparison with the control member,but the particle number concentrations are still one to two orders of magnitude less than those from observations.Intercomparison of raindrop size spectra reveals a big distinction between observations and predictions for particles with a diameter less than 1000μm.展开更多
Fractures play a crucial role in various fields such as hydrocarbon exploration,groundwater resources management,and earthquake research.The determination of fracture location and the estimation of parameters such as ...Fractures play a crucial role in various fields such as hydrocarbon exploration,groundwater resources management,and earthquake research.The determination of fracture location and the estimation of parameters such as fracture length and dip angle are the focus of geophysical work.In borehole observation system,the short distance between fractures and detectors leads to weak attenuation of elastic wave energy,and high-frequency source makes it easier to identify small-scale fractures.Compared to traditional monopole logging methods,dipole logging method has advantage of exciting pure shear waves sensitive to fractures,so its application is becoming increasingly widespread.However,since the reflected shear waves and scattered shear waves of fractures correspond to different fracture properties,how to distinguish and analyze these two kinds of waves is crucial for accurately characterizing the fracture parameters.To address this issue,numerical simulation of wave responses by a single fracture near a borehole in rock formation is performed,and the generation mechanism and characteristics of shear waves scattered by fractures are investigated.It is found that when the dip angle of the fracture surpasses a critical threshold,the S-wave will propagate to both endpoints of the fracture and generate scattered S-waves,resulting in two distinct scattered wave packets on the received waveform.When the polarization direction of the acoustic source is parallel to the strike of the fracture,the scattered SH-waves always have larger amplitude than the scattered SV-waves regardless of changing the fracture dip angle.Unlike SV-waves,the SH-waves scattered by the fracture do not have any mode conversion.Additionally,propagation of S-waves to a short length fracture can induce dipole mode vibration of the fracture within a wide frequency range.The phenomena of shear waves reflected and scattered by the fracture are further illustrated and verified by two field examples,thus showing the potential of scattered waves for fracture evaluation and characterization with borehole observation system.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U23B20105).
文摘Engineering tests can yield inaccurate data due to instrument errors,human factors,and environmental interference,introducing uncertainty in numerical model updating.This study employs the probability-box(p-box)method for representing observational uncertainty and develops a two-step approximate Bayesian computation(ABC)framework using time-series data.Within the ABC framework,Euclidean and Bhattacharyya distances are employed as uncertainty quantification metrics to delineate approximate likelihood functions in the initial and subsequent steps,respectively.A novel variational Bayesian Monte Carlo method is introduced to efficiently apply the ABC framework amidst observational uncertainty,resulting in rapid convergence and accurate parameter estimation with minimal iterations.The efficacy of the proposed updating strategy is validated by its application to a shear frame model excited by seismic wave and an aviation pump force sensor for thermal output analysis.The results affirm the efficiency,robustness,and practical applicability of the proposed method.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program (the 973 Program, No. 2007CB209601).
文摘The effect of the wide and narrow azimuth 3D observation systems on seismic imaging precision is becoming a hot area for studies of high precision 3D seismic acquisition methods in recent years. In this paper we utilize 3D physical seismic modeling experiments. A 3D channel sand body physical seismic model is constructed and two acquisition systems are designed with wide azimuth （16 lines） and narrow azimuth （8 lines） to model 3D seismic data acquisition and processing seismic work flows. From analysis of migrated time slice data with high quality and small size, we conclude that when the overlying layers are smooth and lateral velocities have little change, both wide and narrow azimuth observation systems in 3D acquisition can be used for obtaining high precision imaging and equivalent resolution of the channel sand body.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51106025,51106027,51036002)Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education(No.20130092110061)the Youth Foundation of Nanjing Institute of Technology(No.QKJA201303)
文摘A fuzzy observations-based radial basis function neural network （FORBFNN） is presented for modeling nonlinear systems in which the observations of response are imprecise but can be represented as fuzzy membership functions. In the FORBFNN model, the weight coefficients of nodes in the hidden layer are identified by using the fuzzy expectation-maximization （ EM ） algorithm, whereas the optimal number of these nodes as well as the centers and widths of radial basis functions are automatically constructed by using a data-driven method. Namely, the method starts with an initial node, and then a new node is added in a hidden layer according to some rules. This procedure is not terminated until the model meets the preset requirements. The method considers both the accuracy and complexity of the model. Numerical simulation results show that the modeling method is effective, and the established model has high prediction accuracy.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61622101 and Grant 61571020National Science and Technology Major Project under Grant 2018ZX03001031
文摘A more general narrowband regular-shaped geometry-based statistical model(RS-GBSM) combined with the line of sight(LoS) and single bounce(SB) rays for unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) channel is proposed in this paper. The channel characteristics, including space-time correlation function(STCF), Doppler power spectral density(DPSD), level crossing rate(LCR) and average fade duration(AFD), are derived based on the single sphere reference model for a non-isotropic environment. The corresponding sum-of-sinusoids(SoS) simulation models including both the deterministic model and statistical model with finite scatterers are also proposed for practicable implementation. The simulation results illustrate that the simulation models well reproduce the channel characteristics of the single sphere reference model with sufficient simulation scatterers. And the statistical model has a better approximation of the reference model in comparison with the deterministic one when the simulation trials of the stochastic model are sufficient. The effects of the parameters such as flight height, moving direction and Rice factor on the characteristics are also studied.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.41571510the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China under contract No.2014KJJCB02
文摘Sea ice drift is mainly controlled by ocean currents, local wind, and internal ice stress. Information on sea ice motion, especially in situ synchronous observation of an ice velocity, a current velocity, and a wind speed, is of great significance to identify ice drift characteristics. A sea ice substitute, the so-called "modelled ice", which is made by polypropylene material with a density similar to Bohai Sea ice, is used to complete a free drift experiment in the open sea. The trajectories of isolated modelled ice, currents and wind in the Bohai Sea during non-frozen and frozen periods are obtained. The results show that the currents play a major role while the wind plays a minor role in the free drift of isolated modelled ice when the wind is mild in the Bohai Sea. The modelled ice drift is significantly affected by the ocean current and wind based on the ice–current–wind relationship established by a multiple linear regression. The modelled ice velocity calculated by the multiple linear regression is close to that of the in situ observation, the magnitude of the error between the calculated and observed ice velocities is less than12.05%, and the velocity direction error is less than 6.21°. Thus, the ice velocity can be estimated based on the observed current velocity and wind speed when the in situ observed ice velocity is missing. And the modelled ice of same thickness with a smaller density is more sensitive to the current velocity and the wind speed changes. In addition, the modelled ice drift characteristics are shown to be close to those of the real sea ice, which indicates that the modelled ice can be used as a good substitute of real ice for in situ observation of the free ice drift in the open sea, which helps solve time availability, safety and logistics problems related to in situ observation on real ice.
基金This work is supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2018YFB2100501]the Key Research and Development Program of Yunnan province in China[grant number 2018IB023]+2 种基金the Research Project from the Ministry of Natural Resources of China[grant number 4201⁃⁃240100123]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41771452,41771454,41890820,and 41901340]the Natural Science Fund of Hubei Province in China[grant number 2018CFA007].
文摘Taking cities as objects being observed,urban remote sensing is an important branch of remote sensing.Given the complexity of the urban scenes,urban remote sensing observation requires data with a high temporal resolution,high spatial resolution,and high spectral resolution.To the best of our knowledge,however,no satellite owns all the above character-istics.Thus,it is necessary to coordinate data from existing remote sensing satellites to meet the needs of urban observation.In this study,we abstracted the urban remote sensing observation process and proposed an urban spatio-temporal-spectral observation model,filling the gap of no existing urban remote sensing framework.In this study,we present four applications to elaborate on the specific applications of the proposed model:1)a spatiotemporal fusion model for synthesizing ideal data,2)a spatio-spectral observation model for urban vegetation biomass estimation,3)a temporal-spectral observation model for urban flood mapping,and 4)a spatio-temporal-spectral model for impervious surface extraction.We believe that the proposed model,although in a conceptual stage,can largely benefit urban observation by providing a new data fusion paradigm.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51105001)State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy,Tsinghua University,China(Grant No.KF14022)
文摘The current research of real-time observation for vehicle roll steer angle and compliance steer angle（both of them comprehensively referred as the additional steer angle in this paper） mainly employs the linear vehicle dynamic model, in which only the lateral acceleration of vehicle body is considered. The observation accuracy resorting to this method cannot meet the requirements of vehicle real-time stability control, especially under extreme driving conditions. The paper explores the solution resorting to experimental method. Firstly, a multi-body dynamic model of a passenger car is built based on the ADAMS/Car software, whose dynamic accuracy is verified by the same vehicle＇s roadway test data of steady static circular test. Based on this simulation platform, several influencing factors of additional steer angle under different driving conditions are quantitatively analyzed. Then ε-SVR algorithm is employed to build the additional steer angle prediction model, whose input vectors mainly include the sensor information of standard electronic stability control system（ESC）. The method of typical slalom tests and FMVSS 126 tests are adopted to make simulation, train model and test model＇s generalization performance. The test result shows that the influence of lateral acceleration on additional steer angle is maximal （the magnitude up to 1°）, followed by the longitudinal acceleration-deceleration and the road wave amplitude （the magnitude up to 0.3°）. Moreover, both the prediction accuracy and the calculation real-time of the model can meet the control requirements of ESC This research expands the accurate observation methods of the additional steer angle under extreme driving conditions.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 19631040)
文摘This paper based on the essay [1], studies in case that replicated observations are available in some experimental points., the parameters estimation of one dimensional linear errors-in-variables (EV) models. Asymptotic normality is established.
基金supported by the Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program "Research and Development for KMA Weather, and Earth system Services-Development and Assessment of AR6 Climate Change Scenarios" under Grant (KMA2018-00321)
文摘The CarbonTracker(CT) model has been used in previous studies for understanding and predicting the sources, sinks, and dynamics that govern the distribution of atmospheric CO_2 at varying ranges of spatial and temporal scales. However, there are still challenges for reproducing accurate model-simulated CO_2 concentrations close to the surface, typically associated with high spatial heterogeneity and land cover. In the present study, we evaluated the performance of nested-grid CT model simulations of CO_2 based on the CT2016 version through comparison with in-situ observations over East Asia covering the period 2009–13. We selected sites located in coastal, remote, inland, and mountain areas. The results are presented at diurnal and seasonal time periods. At target stations, model agreement with in-situ observations was varied in capturing the diurnal cycle. Overall, biases were less than 6.3 ppm on an all-hourly mean basis, and this was further reduced to a maximum of 4.6 ppm when considering only the daytime. For instance, at Anmyeondo, a small bias was obtained in winter, on the order of 0.2 ppm. The model revealed a diurnal amplitude of CO_2 that was nearly flat in winter at Gosan and Anmyeondo stations, while slightly overestimated in the summertime. The model's performance in reproducing the diurnal cycle remains a challenge and requires improvement. The model showed better agreement with the observations in capturing the seasonal variations of CO_2 during daytime at most sites, with a correlation coefficient ranging from 0.70 to 0.99. Also, model biases were within-0.3 and 1.3 ppm, except for inland stations(7.7 ppm).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12072090).
文摘This work proposes the application of an iterative learning model predictive control(ILMPC)approach based on an adaptive fault observer(FOBILMPC)for fault-tolerant control and trajectory tracking in air-breathing hypersonic vehicles.In order to increase the control amount,this online control legislation makes use of model predictive control(MPC)that is based on the concept of iterative learning control(ILC).By using offline data to decrease the linearized model’s faults,the strategy may effectively increase the robustness of the control system and guarantee that disturbances can be suppressed.An adaptive fault observer is created based on the suggested ILMPC approach in order to enhance overall fault tolerance by estimating and compensating for actuator disturbance and fault degree.During the derivation process,a linearized model of longitudinal dynamics is established.The suggested ILMPC approach is likely to be used in the design of hypersonic vehicle control systems since numerical simulations have demonstrated that it can decrease tracking error and speed up convergence when compared to the offline controller.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61773120,61473301,71501180,71501179,61603400)。
文摘In the imaging observation system, imaging task scheduling is an important topic. Most scholars study the imaging task scheduling from the perspective of static priority, and only a few from the perspective of dynamic priority. However,the priority of the imaging task is dynamic in actual engineering. To supplement the research on imaging observation, this paper proposes the task priority model, dynamic scheduling strategy and Heuristic algorithm. At first, this paper analyzes the relevant theoretical basis of imaging observation, decomposes the task priority into four parts, including target priority, imaging task priority, track, telemetry & control(TT&C)requirement priority and data transmission requirement priority, summarizes the attribute factors that affect the above four types of priority in detail, and designs the corresponding priority model. Then, this paper takes the emergency tasks scheduling problem as the background, proposes the dynamic scheduling strategy and heuristic algorithm. Finally, the task priority model,dynamic scheduling strategy and heuristic algorithm are verified by experiments.
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42090012,41771452,41771454,and 41901340].
文摘In a complex urban scene,observation from a single sensor unavoidably leads to voids in observations,failing to describe urban objects in a comprehensive manner.In this paper,we propose a spatio-temporal-spectral-angular observation model to integrate observations from UAV and mobile mapping vehicle platform,realizing a joint,coordinated observation operation from both air and ground.We develop a multi-source remote sensing data acquisition system to effectively acquire multi-angle data of complex urban scenes.Multi-source data fusion solves the missing data problem caused by occlusion and achieves accurate,rapid,and complete collection of holographic spatial and temporal information in complex urban scenes.We carried out an experiment on Baisha Town,Chongqing,China and obtained multi-sensor,multi-angle data from UAV and mobile mapping vehicle.We first extracted the point cloud from UAV and then integrated the UAV and mobile mapping vehicle point cloud.The inte-grated results combined both the characteristics of UAV and mobile mapping vehicle point cloud,confirming the practicability of the proposed joint data acquisition platform and the effectiveness of spatio-temporal-spectral-angular observation model.Compared with the observation from UAV or mobile mapping vehicle alone,the integrated system provides an effective data acquisition solution toward comprehensive urban monitoring.
基金the Joint Fund of Iron and Steel Research of the National Natural Science Foundation of China and Baowu Group Corporation(Grant No.U1760103).
文摘The initial solidification process of microalloyed steels was simulated using a confocal scanning laser microscope,and the growth behavior of austenite grain was observed in situ.The method for measuring the initial austenite grain size was studied,and the M_(0)^(*)(the parameter to describe the grain boundary migration)values at different cooling rates were then calculated using the initial austenite grain size and the final grain size.Next,a newly modified model for predicting the austenite grain size was established by introducing the relationship between M_(0)^(*)and the cooling rate,and the value calculated from the modified model closely corresponds to the measured value,with average relative error being less than 5%.Further,the relationship between T^(γ)(the starting temperature for austenite grain growth)and equivalent carbon content C_(P)(C_(P)>0.18%)was obtained by in situ observation,and it was introduced into the modified model,which expanded the application scope of the model.Taking the continuous casting slab produced by a steel plant as the experimental object,the modified austenite grain size prediction model was used to predict the austenite grain size at different depths of oscillation mark on the surface of slab,and the predicted value was in good agreement with the actual measured value.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62076025).
文摘This paper addresses a modified auxiliary model stochastic gradient recursive parameter identification algorithm(M-AM-SGRPIA)for a class of single input single output(SISO)linear output error models with multi-threshold quantized observations.It proves the convergence of the designed algorithm.A pattern-moving-based system dynamics description method with hybrid metrics is proposed for a kind of practical single input multiple output(SIMO)or SISO nonlinear systems,and a SISO linear output error model with multi-threshold quantized observations is adopted to approximate the unknown system.The system input design is accomplished using the measurement technology of random repeatability test,and the probabilistic characteristic of the explicit metric value is employed to estimate the implicit metric value of the pattern class variable.A modified auxiliary model stochastic gradient recursive algorithm(M-AM-SGRA)is designed to identify the model parameters,and the contraction mapping principle proves its convergence.Two numerical examples are given to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the achieved identification algorithm.
文摘In the paper, the kinematic model of tectonic blocks in southwest China is studied based on the precision GPS observations carried out under the major subject of 'Studies on Current Crustal Movement and Geodynamics' which belongs to the State Climbing Project. It is believed that at present, the data of high precision GPS observation may provide convincing information related to the horizontal movement of tectonic blocks in the Chinese mainland. The preliminary results obtained from the kinematic model have given some direct evidences for the research of dynamic mechanism of crustal deformation in the Chinese mainland and on the basis of which, the kinematic characteristics and their relations to the seismicity and seismic risk in the reobserved region are analysed. The preliminary observation results are encouraging.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61502257,41304031)
文摘The conventional Kalman filter（CKF）is widely used in tightly-coupled INS/GPS integrated navigation systems.The linearization accuracy of the CKF observation model is one of the decisive factors of the estimation accuracy and therefore navigation accuracy.Additionally,the conventional observation model（COM）used by the filter may be divergent,which would result into some terrible accuracies of INS/GPS integration navigation in some cases.To improve the navigation accuracy,the linearization accuracy of the COM still needs further improvement.To deal with this issue,the observation model is modified with the linearization of the range and range rate equations in this paper.Compared with COM,the modified observation model（MOM）further considers the difference between the real user position and the position calculated by SINS.To verify the advantages of this model,INS/GPS integrated navigation simulation experiments are conducted with the usage of COM and MOM respectively.According to the simulation results,the positions（velocities）calculated using COM are divergent over time while the others using MOM are convergent,which demonstrates the higher linearization accuracy of MOM.
基金supported by the open research fund of National Mobile Communications Research Laboratory, Southeast University (No. 2016D09)National Nature Science Foundation of China (NSFC) under grant No. 61372051
文摘In this paper, a three-dimensional(3D) geometry- based stochastic scattering model(GBSSM) for wideband multi-input multi-output(MIMO) vehicle-to-vehicle(V2V) relay-based cooperative fading channel based on geometrical three-cylinder is proposed. Non-line-of-sight(NLOS) propagation condition is assumed in amplify-and-forward(AF) cooperative networks from the source mobile station(S) to the destination mobile station(D) via the mobile relay station(R). We extend the proposed narrowband model to wideband and also introduce the carrier frequency and bandwidth into the model. To avoid complicated procedure in deriving the analytical expressions of the channel parameters and functions, the channel is realized first. By using the realized channel matrix, the channel properties are further investigated.
文摘The structural equation model (SEM) concept is generally influenced by the presence of outliers and controlling variables. To a very large extent, this could have consequential effects on the parameters and the model fitness. Though previous researches have studied outliers and controlling observations from various perspectives including the use of box plots, normal probability plots, among others, the use of uniform horizontal QQ plot is yet to be explored. This study is, therefore, aimed at applying uniform QQ plots to identifying outliers and possible controlling observations in SEM. The results showed that all the three methods of estimators manifest the ability to identify outliers and possible controlling observations in SEM. It was noted that the Anderson-Rubin estimator of QQ plot showed a more efficient or visual display of spotting outliers and possible controlling observations as compared to the other methods of estimators. Therefore, this paper provides an efficient way identifying outliers as it fragments the data set.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China grant number 2018YFC1507900the Demonstration Project of Artificial Precipitation Enhancement and Hail Suppression Operation Technology at the Eastern Side of the Taihang Mountains grant number hbrywcsy-2017-2sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China grant numbers 41530427 and 41875172。
文摘The prediction of the particle number concentration and liquid/ice water content of cloud is significant for many aspects of atmospheric science.However,given the uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions and imperfections of microphysical schemes,the accurate prediction of these microphysical properties of cloud is still a big challenge.The ensemble approach may be a viable way to reduce forecast uncertainties.In this paper,a large-scale stratiform cloud precipitation process is studied by comparing results of a 10-member ensemble forecast model with aircraft observation data.By means of the ensemble average,the prediction of bulk parameters such as liquid water content and ice water content can be improved in comparison with the control member,but the particle number concentrations are still one to two orders of magnitude less than those from observations.Intercomparison of raindrop size spectra reveals a big distinction between observations and predictions for particles with a diameter less than 1000μm.
基金supported by Scientific Research and Technology Development Project of CNPC(2024ZG38,2024ZG42)the CNPC Innovation Fund(2022DQ02-0307).
文摘Fractures play a crucial role in various fields such as hydrocarbon exploration,groundwater resources management,and earthquake research.The determination of fracture location and the estimation of parameters such as fracture length and dip angle are the focus of geophysical work.In borehole observation system,the short distance between fractures and detectors leads to weak attenuation of elastic wave energy,and high-frequency source makes it easier to identify small-scale fractures.Compared to traditional monopole logging methods,dipole logging method has advantage of exciting pure shear waves sensitive to fractures,so its application is becoming increasingly widespread.However,since the reflected shear waves and scattered shear waves of fractures correspond to different fracture properties,how to distinguish and analyze these two kinds of waves is crucial for accurately characterizing the fracture parameters.To address this issue,numerical simulation of wave responses by a single fracture near a borehole in rock formation is performed,and the generation mechanism and characteristics of shear waves scattered by fractures are investigated.It is found that when the dip angle of the fracture surpasses a critical threshold,the S-wave will propagate to both endpoints of the fracture and generate scattered S-waves,resulting in two distinct scattered wave packets on the received waveform.When the polarization direction of the acoustic source is parallel to the strike of the fracture,the scattered SH-waves always have larger amplitude than the scattered SV-waves regardless of changing the fracture dip angle.Unlike SV-waves,the SH-waves scattered by the fracture do not have any mode conversion.Additionally,propagation of S-waves to a short length fracture can induce dipole mode vibration of the fracture within a wide frequency range.The phenomena of shear waves reflected and scattered by the fracture are further illustrated and verified by two field examples,thus showing the potential of scattered waves for fracture evaluation and characterization with borehole observation system.
