A Swedish researcher guides foreign readers,especially those in Europe,in better understanding the priorities of China’s 15th Five-Year Plan(2026-2030).THESE days,European headlines are often occupied with internal d...A Swedish researcher guides foreign readers,especially those in Europe,in better understanding the priorities of China’s 15th Five-Year Plan(2026-2030).THESE days,European headlines are often occupied with internal debates and the challenges of a shifting global economic order.Amidst this media noise,it is easy to miss the significance of the recently published coherent and forward-looking vision for the next half-decade by the world’s second largest economy.展开更多
In view of the lack of patent big data in research on technology foresight in the industrial robot field, this paper introduces an improved method based on patent mining and knowledge map. Firstly, SAO structure is ex...In view of the lack of patent big data in research on technology foresight in the industrial robot field, this paper introduces an improved method based on patent mining and knowledge map. Firstly, SAO structure is extracted from selected patents, secondly, the similarity between patents is calculated based on extracted SAO structure, thirdly, patent network and patent map are drawn based on calculated patent similarity matrix, technology evolution process and future trends of industrial robot are summarized from patent network, and future potential technology opportunities are predicted based on technological vacancies identified from patent map. Finally, this paper identifies six key technical areas and four potential technical opportunities in the field of the industrial robot.展开更多
The paper provides mathematical analysis of sensitivity of different combination rules in the DS/AHP method when an alternative is added to the set of decision alternatives while solving foresight problems. Different ...The paper provides mathematical analysis of sensitivity of different combination rules in the DS/AHP method when an alternative is added to the set of decision alternatives while solving foresight problems. Different cases of rank reversals are defined and two sets of conditions for these cases using the method DS/AHP are considered. Rank reversals are illustrated when the DS/AHP method is used to solve practical problem of critical technologies of energy conservation and power efficiency evaluation in Ukraine. It is shown that the DS/AHP method is not sensitive to exclusion (or addition) of an irrelevant decision alternative from (or to) the set of decision alternatives.展开更多
Referring to the well established foreign language proficiency evaluation scale frameworks such as the CEFR （Common European Framework of Reference for Languages） in Europe and ILR （The Interagency Language Roundta...Referring to the well established foreign language proficiency evaluation scale frameworks such as the CEFR （Common European Framework of Reference for Languages） in Europe and ILR （The Interagency Language Roundtable） scale in the United States, Chinese language education authority is dedicating great efforts to the contruction of the Chinese targeted and tailored national proficiency evaluation system. This initiative will tremendously subvert the traditional language learning and testing mechanism, bring phenomenal transformations and innovations to the future language learning and teaching approaches and methodologies, and meanwhile impose great influence on the language concerning administration and profession.展开更多
Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles an...Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.展开更多
Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles an...Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.展开更多
The increasing importance of technology foresight has simultaneously raised the significance of methods that determine crucial areas and technologies.However,qualitative and quantitative methods have shortcomings.The ...The increasing importance of technology foresight has simultaneously raised the significance of methods that determine crucial areas and technologies.However,qualitative and quantitative methods have shortcomings.The former involve high costs and many limitations,while the latter lack expert experience.Intelligent knowledge management emphasizes human–machine integration,which combines the advantages of expert experience and data mining.Thus,we proposed a new technology foresight method based on intelligent knowledge management.This method constructs a technological online platform to increase the number of participating experts.A secondary mining is performed on the results of patent analysis and bibliometrics.Thus,forward-looking,innovative,and disruptive areas and relevant experts must be discovered through the following comprehensive process:Topic acquisition→topic delivery→topic monitoring→topic guidance→topic reclamation→topic sorting→topic evolution→topic conforming→expert recommendation.展开更多
文摘A Swedish researcher guides foreign readers,especially those in Europe,in better understanding the priorities of China’s 15th Five-Year Plan(2026-2030).THESE days,European headlines are often occupied with internal debates and the challenges of a shifting global economic order.Amidst this media noise,it is easy to miss the significance of the recently published coherent and forward-looking vision for the next half-decade by the world’s second largest economy.
文摘In view of the lack of patent big data in research on technology foresight in the industrial robot field, this paper introduces an improved method based on patent mining and knowledge map. Firstly, SAO structure is extracted from selected patents, secondly, the similarity between patents is calculated based on extracted SAO structure, thirdly, patent network and patent map are drawn based on calculated patent similarity matrix, technology evolution process and future trends of industrial robot are summarized from patent network, and future potential technology opportunities are predicted based on technological vacancies identified from patent map. Finally, this paper identifies six key technical areas and four potential technical opportunities in the field of the industrial robot.
文摘The paper provides mathematical analysis of sensitivity of different combination rules in the DS/AHP method when an alternative is added to the set of decision alternatives while solving foresight problems. Different cases of rank reversals are defined and two sets of conditions for these cases using the method DS/AHP are considered. Rank reversals are illustrated when the DS/AHP method is used to solve practical problem of critical technologies of energy conservation and power efficiency evaluation in Ukraine. It is shown that the DS/AHP method is not sensitive to exclusion (or addition) of an irrelevant decision alternative from (or to) the set of decision alternatives.
文摘Referring to the well established foreign language proficiency evaluation scale frameworks such as the CEFR （Common European Framework of Reference for Languages） in Europe and ILR （The Interagency Language Roundtable） scale in the United States, Chinese language education authority is dedicating great efforts to the contruction of the Chinese targeted and tailored national proficiency evaluation system. This initiative will tremendously subvert the traditional language learning and testing mechanism, bring phenomenal transformations and innovations to the future language learning and teaching approaches and methodologies, and meanwhile impose great influence on the language concerning administration and profession.
文摘Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.
文摘Developing strategic emerging industries is the major strategic initiative to accelerate the transformation of economic development while Technology Foresight is a very effective tool. This essay analyses the roles and limitations of Delphi method and Technology Roadmap in development of strategic emerging industries and offers suggestions on how to strengthen the effectiveness of Technology Foresight in it.
基金The work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.71471169,91546201 and 71071151).
文摘The increasing importance of technology foresight has simultaneously raised the significance of methods that determine crucial areas and technologies.However,qualitative and quantitative methods have shortcomings.The former involve high costs and many limitations,while the latter lack expert experience.Intelligent knowledge management emphasizes human–machine integration,which combines the advantages of expert experience and data mining.Thus,we proposed a new technology foresight method based on intelligent knowledge management.This method constructs a technological online platform to increase the number of participating experts.A secondary mining is performed on the results of patent analysis and bibliometrics.Thus,forward-looking,innovative,and disruptive areas and relevant experts must be discovered through the following comprehensive process:Topic acquisition→topic delivery→topic monitoring→topic guidance→topic reclamation→topic sorting→topic evolution→topic conforming→expert recommendation.
