期刊文献+
共找到838,566篇文章
< 1 2 250 >
每页显示 20 50 100
A New Method to Calculate Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations for Ensemble Forecasting
1
作者 Junjie MA Wansuo DUAN +1 位作者 Zhuomin LIU Ye WANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第5期952-967,共16页
Orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations(O-CNOPs)have been used to generate ensemble forecasting members for achieving high forecasting skill of high-impact weather and climate events.However,highly effi... Orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations(O-CNOPs)have been used to generate ensemble forecasting members for achieving high forecasting skill of high-impact weather and climate events.However,highly efficient calculations for O-CNOPs are still challenging in the field of ensemble forecasting.In this study,we combine a gradient-based iterative idea with the Gram‒Schmidt orthogonalization,and propose an iterative optimization method to compute O-CNOPs.This method is different from the original sequential optimization method,and allows parallel computations of O-CNOPs,thus saving a large amount of computational time.We evaluate this method by using the Lorenz-96 model on the basis of the ensemble forecasting ability achieved and on the time consumed for computing O-CNOPs.The results demonstrate that the parallel iterative method causes O-CNOPs to yield reliable ensemble members and to achieve ensemble forecasting skills similar to or even slightly higher than those produced by the sequential method.Moreover,the parallel method significantly reduces the computational time for O-CNOPs.Therefore,the parallel iterative method provides a highly effective and efficient approach for calculating O-CNOPs for ensemble forecasts.Expectedly,it can play an important role in the application of the O-CNOPs to realistic ensemble forecasts for high-impact weather and climate events. 展开更多
关键词 initial uncertainty conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation optimization method ensemble forecasting
在线阅读 下载PDF
Comparison of Objective Forecasting Method Fit with Electrical Consumption Characteristics in Timor-Leste
2
作者 Ricardo Dominico Da Silva Jangkung Raharjo Sudarmono Sasmono 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第12期5073-5090,共18页
The rapid development of technology has led to an ever-increasing demand for electrical energy.In the context of Timor-Leste,which still relies on fossil energy sources with high operational costs and significant envi... The rapid development of technology has led to an ever-increasing demand for electrical energy.In the context of Timor-Leste,which still relies on fossil energy sources with high operational costs and significant environmental impacts,electricity load forecasting is a strategic measure to support the energy transition towards the Net Zero Emission(NZE)target by 2050.This study aims to utilize historical electricity load data for the period 2013–2024,as well as data on external factors affecting electricity consumption,to forecast electricity load in Timor-Leste in the next 10 years(2025–2035).The forecasting results are expected to support efforts in energy distribution efficiency,reduce operational costs,and inform decisions related to the sustainable energy transition.The method used in this study consists of two main approaches:the causality method,represented by the econometric Principal Component Analysis(PCA)model,which involves external factors in the data processing process,and the time series method,utilizing the LSTM,XGBoost,and hybrid(LSTM+XGBoost)models.In the time series method,data processing is combined with two approaches:the sliding window and the rolling recursive forecast.The performance of each model is evaluated using the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE),and Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE).The model with the lowest MAPE(<10%)is considered the best-performing model,indicating the highest accuracy.Additionally,a Monte Carlo simulation with 50,000 iterations was used to process the data and measure the prediction uncertainty,as well as test the calibration of the electricity load projection data.The results showed that the hybrid model(LSTM+XGBoost)with a rolling forecast recursive approach is the best-performing model in predicting electricity load in Timor-Leste.This model yields an RMSE of 75.76 MW,an MAE of 55.76 MW,and an MAPE of 5.27%,indicating a high level of accuracy.In addition,the model is also indicated as one that fits the characteristics of electricity load in Timor-Leste,as it produces the lowest percentage of forecasting error in predicting electricity load.The integration of the best model with Monte Carlo Simulation,which yields a p-value of 0.565,suggests that the results of electricity load projections for the period 2025–2035 are well-calibrated,reliable,accurate,and unbiased. 展开更多
关键词 Load forecasting econometric PCA LSTM XGBoost Monte Carlo sliding window rolling forecast RECURSIVE RETRAINING TIMOR-LESTE
在线阅读 下载PDF
Test and Evaluation of Relative Humidity Forecast in Each Competition Area of the "14 th National Winter Games" by Intelligent Forecasting Methods
3
作者 Sitong LIU Xuefeng YANG 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 2025年第1期37-40,共4页
Based on ground observation data of relative humidity,the prediction performance of STNF and MIFS in each competition area during February 13-26,2024 was tested and evaluated by using two intelligent forecasting metho... Based on ground observation data of relative humidity,the prediction performance of STNF and MIFS in each competition area during February 13-26,2024 was tested and evaluated by using two intelligent forecasting methods(STNF and MIFS).The results show that STNF had better performance in forecasting relative humidity in high-altitude areas,and was suitable for fine forecasting under complex terrain.MIFS improved the short-term forecast of some low-altitude stations,but the long-term reliability was insufficient.STNF method performed better than MIFS during 0-24 h.As the prediction time extended to 24-72 h,the errors of both methods showed a systematic increase trend.STNF had higher precision,lower root mean square error and smaller mean error in most regions under the background of most weather systems,showing its superiority as a forecasting method of relative humidity.However,the precision of MIFS was slightly higher than that of STNF in Liangcheng without system background,revealing that MIFS may also be an effective option in some specific conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Intelligent forecast Relative humidity Model test
在线阅读 下载PDF
A Hybrid Deep Learning Method for Forecasting Reservoir Water Level from Sentinel-2 Satellite Images
4
作者 Hoang Thi Minh Chau Tran Thi Ngan +2 位作者 Nguyen Long Giang Tran Manh Tuan Tran Kim Chau 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第6期4915-4937,共23页
Global climate change,along with the rapid increase of the population,has put significant pressure on water security.A water reservoir is an effective solution for adjusting and ensuring water supply.In particular,the... Global climate change,along with the rapid increase of the population,has put significant pressure on water security.A water reservoir is an effective solution for adjusting and ensuring water supply.In particular,the reservoir water level is an essential physical indicator for the reservoirs.Forecasting the reservoir water level effectively assists the managers in making decisions and plans related to reservoir management policies.In recent years,deep learning models have been widely applied to solve forecasting problems.In this study,we propose a novel hybrid deep learning model namely the YOLOv9_ConvLSTM that integrates YOLOv9,ConvLSTM,and linear interpolation to predict reservoir water levels.It utilizes data from Sentinel-2 satellite images,generated from visible spectrum bands(Red-Blue-Green)to reconstruct true-color reservoir images.Adam is used as the optimization algorithm with the loss function being MSE(Mean Squared Error)to evaluate the model’s error during training.We implemented and validated the proposed model using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery for the An Khe reservoir in Vietnam.To assess its performance,we also conducted comparative experiments with other related models,including SegNet_ConvLSTM and UNet_ConvLSTM,on the same dataset.The model performances were validated using k-fold cross-validation and ANOVA analysis.The experimental results demonstrate that the YOLOv9_ConvLSTM model outperforms the compared models.It has been seen that the proposed approach serves as a valuable tool for reservoir water level forecasting using satellite imagery that contributes to effective water resource management. 展开更多
关键词 YOLOv9 ConvLSTM reservoir water level forecasting satellite images
在线阅读 下载PDF
Power forecasting method of ultra-short-term wind power cluster based on the convergence cross mapping algorithm
5
作者 Yuzhe Yang Weiye Song +5 位作者 Shuang Han Jie Yan Han Wang Qiangsheng Dai Xuesong Huo Yongqian Liu 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2025年第1期28-42,共15页
The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward... The development of wind power clusters has scaled in terms of both scale and coverage,and the impact of weather fluctuations on cluster output changes has become increasingly complex.Accurately identifying the forward-looking information of key wind farms in a cluster under different weather conditions is an effective method to improve the accuracy of ultrashort-term cluster power forecasting.To this end,this paper proposes a refined modeling method for ultrashort-term wind power cluster forecasting based on a convergent cross-mapping algorithm.From the perspective of causality,key meteorological forecasting factors under different cluster power fluctuation processes were screened,and refined training modeling was performed for different fluctuation processes.First,a wind process description index system and classification model at the wind power cluster level are established to realize the classification of typical fluctuation processes.A meteorological-cluster power causal relationship evaluation model based on the convergent cross-mapping algorithm is pro-posed to screen meteorological forecasting factors under multiple types of typical fluctuation processes.Finally,a refined modeling meth-od for a variety of different typical fluctuation processes is proposed,and the strong causal meteorological forecasting factors of each scenario are used as inputs to realize high-precision modeling and forecasting of ultra-short-term wind cluster power.An example anal-ysis shows that the short-term wind power cluster power forecasting accuracy of the proposed method can reach 88.55%,which is 1.57-7.32%higher than that of traditional methods. 展开更多
关键词 Ultra-short-term wind power forecasting Wind power cluster Causality analysis Convergence cross mapping algorithm
在线阅读 下载PDF
Application of interval type-2 TSK FLS method based on IGWO algorithm in short-term photovoltaic power forecasting
6
作者 LI Jun ZENG Yuxiang 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 2025年第2期258-271,共14页
For short-term PV power prediction,based on interval type-2 Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy logic systems(IT2 TSK FLS),combined with improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)algorithm,an IGWO-IT2 TSK FLS method was proposed.Compare... For short-term PV power prediction,based on interval type-2 Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy logic systems(IT2 TSK FLS),combined with improved grey wolf optimizer(IGWO)algorithm,an IGWO-IT2 TSK FLS method was proposed.Compared with the type-1 TSK fuzzy logic system method,interval type-2 fuzzy sets could simultaneously model both intra-personal uncertainty and inter-personal uncertainty based on the training of the existing error back propagation(BP)algorithm,and the IGWO algorithm was used for training the model premise and consequent parameters to further improve the predictive performance of the model.By improving the gray wolf optimization algorithm,the early convergence judgment mechanism,nonlinear cosine adjustment strategy,and Levy flight strategy were introduced to improve the convergence speed of the algorithm and avoid the problem of falling into local optimum.The interval type-2 TSK FLS method based on the IGWO algorithm was applied to the real-world photovoltaic power time series forecasting instance.Under the same conditions,it was also compared with different IT2 TSK FLS methods,such as type I TSK FLS method,BP algorithm,genetic algorithm,differential evolution,particle swarm optimization,biogeography optimization,gray wolf optimization,etc.Experimental results showed that the proposed method based on IGWO algorithm outperformed other methods in performance,showing its effectiveness and application potential. 展开更多
关键词 photovoltaic power interval type-2 fuzzy logic system grey wolf optimizer algorithm forecast performance of model
在线阅读 下载PDF
A multi-task learning method for blast furnace gas forecasting based on coupling correlation analysis and inverted transformer
7
作者 Sheng Xie Jing-shu Zhang +2 位作者 Da-tao Shi Yang Guo Qi Zhang 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 2025年第10期3280-3297,共18页
Accurate forecasting of blast furnace gas(BFG)production is an essential prerequisite for reasonable energy scheduling and management to reduce carbon emissions.Coupling forecasting between BFG generation and consumpt... Accurate forecasting of blast furnace gas(BFG)production is an essential prerequisite for reasonable energy scheduling and management to reduce carbon emissions.Coupling forecasting between BFG generation and consumption dynamics was taken as the research object.A multi-task learning(MTL)method for BFG forecasting was proposed,which integrated a coupling correlation coefficient(CCC)and an inverted transformer structure.The CCC method could enhance key information extraction by establishing relationships between multiple prediction targets and relevant factors,while MTL effectively captured the inherent correlations between BFG generation and consumption.Finally,a real-world case study was conducted to compare the proposed model with four benchmark models.Results indicated significant reductions in average mean absolute percentage error by 33.37%,achieving 1.92%,with a computational time of 76 s.The sensitivity analysis of hyperparameters such as learning rate,batch size,and units of the long short-term memory layer highlights the importance of hyperparameter tuning. 展开更多
关键词 Byproduct gases forecasting Coupling correlation coefficient Multi-task learning Inverted transformer Bi-directional long short-term memory Blast furnace gas
原文传递
Online Learning for Subseasonal Forecasting over South China
8
作者 ZHANG Jia-wei LU Chu-han +3 位作者 CHEN Si-rong LIU Mei-chen ZHANG Yu-min SHEN Yi-chen 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 2026年第1期86-95,共10页
Since the initiation of the subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction project by the World Meteorological Organization,the accuracy of model forecasts has improved notably.However,substantial discrepancies have been observed... Since the initiation of the subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction project by the World Meteorological Organization,the accuracy of model forecasts has improved notably.However,substantial discrepancies have been observed among forecast results produced by different ensemble members when applied to South China.To enhance the accuracy of sub-seasonal forecasts in this region,it is essential to develop new methods that can effectively leverage multiple predictive models.This study introduces a weighted ensemble forecasting method based on online learning to improve forecast accuracy.We utilized ensemble forecasts from three models:the Integrated Forecasting System model from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,the Climate Forecast System Version 2 model from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction,and the Beijing Climate Center-Climate Prediction System version 3 model from the China Meteorological Administration.The ensemble weights are trained using an online learning approach.The results indicate that the forecasts obtained through online learning outperform those of the original dynamical models.Compared to the simple ensemble results of the three models,the weighted ensemble model showed a stronger capability to capture temperature and precipitation patterns in South China.Therefore,this method has the potential to improve the accuracy of sub-seasonal forecasts in this region. 展开更多
关键词 online learning subseasonal forecasting weighted ensemble forecast
在线阅读 下载PDF
Shape-Aware Seq2Seq Model for Accurate Multistep Wind Speed Forecasting
9
作者 PANG Junheng DONG Sheng 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 2026年第1期55-73,共19页
Wind speed is a crucial parameter affecting wind energy utilization.However,its volatility leads to time-varying power output.Herein,a novel Seq2Seq model integrating deep learning,data denoising,and a shape-aware los... Wind speed is a crucial parameter affecting wind energy utilization.However,its volatility leads to time-varying power output.Herein,a novel Seq2Seq model integrating deep learning,data denoising,and a shape-aware loss function is proposed for accurate multistep wind speed forecasting.In this model,the wind speed data is first denoised using the maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform.Next,an encoder-decoder network based on a temporal convolutional network,bidirectional gated recurrent unit,and multihead self-attention is employed for forecasting.Additionally,to enhance the ability of the model to identify temporal dynamics,a shape-aware loss function,ITILDE-Q,is employed in the model.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed model,a comparative experiment and an ablation experiment were conducted using three datasets of measured wind speeds.Three error metrics and a similarity metric were adopted for comprehensive evaluation.The experimental results showed that the proposed model consistently outperforms benchmark models in all tested forecasting scenarios,with particularly pronounced differences in performance over longer forecast horizons.Furthermore,the synergistic interaction of the three key components contributes to the extraordinary performance of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 wind speed forecasting multistep forecasting deep learning time series Seq2Seq
在线阅读 下载PDF
Forecasting solar cycles using the time-series dense encoder deep learning model
10
作者 Cui Zhao Shangbin Yang +1 位作者 Jianguo Liu Shiyuan Liu 《Astronomical Techniques and Instruments》 2026年第1期43-54,共12页
The solar cycle(SC),a phenomenon caused by the quasi-periodic regular activities in the Sun,occurs approximately every 11 years.Intense solar activity can disrupt the Earth’s ionosphere,affecting communication and na... The solar cycle(SC),a phenomenon caused by the quasi-periodic regular activities in the Sun,occurs approximately every 11 years.Intense solar activity can disrupt the Earth’s ionosphere,affecting communication and navigation systems.Consequently,accurately predicting the intensity of the SC holds great significance,but predicting the SC involves a long-term time series,and many existing time series forecasting methods have fallen short in terms of accuracy and efficiency.The Time-series Dense Encoder model is a deep learning solution tailored for long time series prediction.Based on a multi-layer perceptron structure,it outperforms the best previously existing models in accuracy,while being efficiently trainable on general datasets.We propose a method based on this model for SC forecasting.Using a trained model,we predict the test set from SC 19 to SC 25 with an average mean absolute percentage error of 32.02,root mean square error of 30.3,mean absolute error of 23.32,and R^(2)(coefficient of determination)of 0.76,outperforming other deep learning models in terms of accuracy and training efficiency on sunspot number datasets.Subsequently,we use it to predict the peaks of SC 25 and SC 26.For SC 25,the peak time has ended,but a stronger peak is predicted for SC 26,of 199.3,within a range of 170.8-221.9,projected to occur during April 2034. 展开更多
关键词 Solar cycle forecasting TIDE Deep learning
在线阅读 下载PDF
Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Using the XGBoost Algorithm: An Application to the Turkish Electricity Market
11
作者 Yagmur Yılan Ahad Beykent 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第1期1649-1664,共16页
Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning ... Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning methods,accurate and reliable price forecasts can be achieved.This study forecasts day-ahead prices in Türkiye’s electricity market using eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost).We benchmark XGBoost against four alternatives—Support Vector Machines(SVM),Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM),Random Forest(RF),and Gradient Boosting(GBM)—using 8760 hourly observations from 2023 provided by Energy Exchange Istanbul(EXIST).All models were trained on an identical chronological 80/20 train–test split,with hyperparameters tuned via 5-fold cross-validation on the training set.XGBoost achieved the best performance(Mean Absolute Error(MAE)=144.8 TRY/MWh,Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)=201.8 TRY/MWh,coefficient of determination(R^(2))=0.923)while training in 94 s.To enhance interpretability and identify key drivers,we employed Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP),which highlighted a strong association between higher prices and increased natural-gas-based generation.The results provide a clear performance benchmark and practical guidance for selecting forecasting approaches in day-ahead electricity markets. 展开更多
关键词 Day-ahead electricity price forecasting machine learning XGBoost SHAP
在线阅读 下载PDF
Study on the effect of preparation method on denitration performance of Co-modified Ce/TiO_(2) catalyst
12
作者 YU Chao ZHANG Boya +2 位作者 SHEN Kai HAN Yuxuan ZHANG Yaping 《燃料化学学报(中英文)》 北大核心 2026年第3期79-91,共13页
This study systematically conducted preparation optimization and performance investigations on Co-modified Ce/TiO_(2) catalysts,with a focus on examining how preparation methods and Co loading regulate the catalyst’s... This study systematically conducted preparation optimization and performance investigations on Co-modified Ce/TiO_(2) catalysts,with a focus on examining how preparation methods and Co loading regulate the catalyst’s low-temperature denitrification activity.After identifying optimal preparation parameters via condition screening,multiple characterization techniques-including BET,XRD,XPS,H_(2)-TPR and in situ DRIFTS-were employed to deeply analyze the catalyst’s physicochemical properties and reaction mechanism.Results demonstrated that compared to the impregnation and co-precipitation methods,the Ce-Co_(0.025)/TiO_(2)-SG catalyst(prepared by the sol-gel method with a Co/Ti mass ratio of 0.025)exhibited significantly superior denitrification activity:NO conversion remained stably above 95%in the 225−350℃ temperature range,and it displayed high N_(2) selectivity.Characterization analysis revealed that abundant surface oxygen vacancies,a high proportion of Ce^(3+) species,and prominent acidic sites collectively contributed to enhancing its low-temperature denitrification performance.This work provides reference value for the development of highly efficient low-temperature denitrification catalysts. 展开更多
关键词 preparation method Co Ce/TiO_(2) low-temperature denitration NH3-SCR
在线阅读 下载PDF
A New Inversion-free Iterative Method for Solving the Nonlinear Matrix Equation and Its Application in Optimal Control
13
作者 GAO Xiangyu XIE Weiwei ZHANG Lina 《应用数学》 北大核心 2026年第1期143-150,共8页
In this paper,we consider the maximal positive definite solution of the nonlinear matrix equation.By using the idea of Algorithm 2.1 in ZHANG(2013),a new inversion-free method with a stepsize parameter is proposed to ... In this paper,we consider the maximal positive definite solution of the nonlinear matrix equation.By using the idea of Algorithm 2.1 in ZHANG(2013),a new inversion-free method with a stepsize parameter is proposed to obtain the maximal positive definite solution of nonlinear matrix equation X+A^(*)X|^(-α)A=Q with the case 0<α≤1.Based on this method,a new iterative algorithm is developed,and its convergence proof is given.Finally,two numerical examples are provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear matrix equation Maximal positive definite solution Inversion-free iterative method Optimal control
在线阅读 下载PDF
Broadband ground motion simulation and analysis of a near-fault 3D basin-mountain coupling site based on the hybrid method
14
作者 Liu Zhongxian Tang Kang +2 位作者 Li Chengcheng Yuan Xiaoming Zhang Hai 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 2026年第1期87-110,共24页
This study presents an effective hybrid simulation approach for simulating broadband ground motion in complex near-fault locations.The approach utilizes a deterministic approach based on the spectral element method(SE... This study presents an effective hybrid simulation approach for simulating broadband ground motion in complex near-fault locations.The approach utilizes a deterministic approach based on the spectral element method(SEM),which is used to simulate low-frequency ground motion(f<1 Hz)by incorporating an innovative efficient discontinuous Galerkin(DG)method for grid division to accurately model basin sedimentary layers at reduced costs.It also introduces a comprehensive hybrid source model for high-frequency random scattering and a nonlinear analysis module for basin sedimentary layers.Deterministic outcomes are combined with modified three-dimensional stochastic finite fault method(3D-EXSIM)simulations of high-frequency ground motion(f>1 Hz).A fourth-order Butterworth filter with zero phase shift is employed for time-domain filtering of low-and high-frequency time series at a crossover frequency of 1 Hz,merging the low and high-frequency ground motions into a broadband time series.Taking an Ms 6.8 Luding earthquake,as an example,this hybrid method was used for a rapid and efficient simulation analysis of broadband ground motion in the region.The accuracy and efficiency of this hybrid method were verified through comparisons with actually observed station data and empirical attenuation curves.Deterministic method simulation results revealed the effects of mountainous topography,basin effects,nonlinear effects within the basin’s sedimentary layers,and a coupling interaction between the basin and the mountains.The findings are consistent with similar studies,showing that near-fault sedimentary basins significantly focus and amplify strong ground motion,and the soil’s nonlinear behavior in the basin influences ground motion to varying extents at different distances from the fault.The mountainous topography impacts the basin’s response to ground motion,leading to barrier effects.This research provides a scientific foundation for seismic zoning,urban planning,and seismic design in nearfault mountain basin regions. 展开更多
关键词 hybrid ground motion simulation method spectral element method three-dimensional stochastic finite fault method near-fault basin-mountain coupling effect basin effect nonlinear effect
在线阅读 下载PDF
A novel deep learning-based framework for forecasting
15
作者 Congqi Cao Ze Sun +2 位作者 Lanshu Hu Liujie Pan Yanning Zhang 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2026年第1期22-26,共5页
Deep learning-based methods have become alternatives to traditional numerical weather prediction systems,offering faster computation and the ability to utilize large historical datasets.However,the application of deep... Deep learning-based methods have become alternatives to traditional numerical weather prediction systems,offering faster computation and the ability to utilize large historical datasets.However,the application of deep learning to medium-range regional weather forecasting with limited data remains a significant challenge.In this work,three key solutions are proposed:(1)motivated by the need to improve model performance in data-scarce regional forecasting scenarios,the authors innovatively apply semantic segmentation models,to better capture spatiotemporal features and improve prediction accuracy;(2)recognizing the challenge of overfitting and the inability of traditional noise-based data augmentation methods to effectively enhance model robustness,a novel learnable Gaussian noise mechanism is introduced that allows the model to adaptively optimize perturbations for different locations,ensuring more effective learning;and(3)to address the issue of error accumulation in autoregressive prediction,as well as the challenge of learning difficulty and the lack of intermediate data utilization in one-shot prediction,the authors propose a cascade prediction approach that effectively resolves these problems while significantly improving model forecasting performance.The method achieves a competitive result in The East China Regional AI Medium Range Weather Forecasting Competition.Ablation experiments further validate the effectiveness of each component,highlighting their contributions to enhancing prediction performance. 展开更多
关键词 Weather forecasting Deep learning Semantic segmentation models Learnable Gaussian noise Cascade prediction
在线阅读 下载PDF
Establishment of a Determination Method for Fruit Texture in Chieh-qua Using Texture Analyzer
16
作者 Ying WANG Xuan DU Na LIU 《Agricultural Biotechnology》 2026年第1期54-59,共6页
[Objectives]This study was conducted to establish a quantitative assessment method for the textural quality of chieh-qua fruit.[Methods]Using two modes of a texture analyzer,namely TPA(texture profile analysis)and pun... [Objectives]This study was conducted to establish a quantitative assessment method for the textural quality of chieh-qua fruit.[Methods]Using two modes of a texture analyzer,namely TPA(texture profile analysis)and puncture,the index data of the fruit were obtained by setting different trigger forces,deformation levels,test speeds,as well as puncture speeds and puncture depths.The data included TPA hardness,adhesiveness,springiness,cohesiveness,gumminess,chewiness,resilience,as well as skin hardness,skin toughness,flesh hardness,fracturability,and compactness.[Results]Different deformation levels had a significant impact on all parameters.Hardness,adhesiveness,gumminess and chewiness showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing with the deformation level increasing.When the deformation level was 30%,the adhesiveness,gumminess and chewiness reached their maximum values.When the deformation level was 50%,TPA hardness reached its maximum.When the compression speed was 3 mm/s,the measured values of TPA hardness,adhesiveness,chewiness,and resilience were at their maximums.The skin hardness varied significantly under different trigger forces.When the trigger force was 15 g,the skin hardness reached a maximum value of 944.63 g,and the skin toughness,flesh hardness,fracturability,and compactness also reach their maximum values respectively.When the puncture depth was 12 mm,the flesh hardness and skin toughness reached their maximums of 682.51 g and 1.82 mm,respectively.In the TPA mode,the flesh hardness of chieh-qua showed an extremely significant negative correlation with springiness,cohesiveness,and resilience(P<0.01).The fruit fracturability detected by puncture had an extremely significant positive correlation with compactness(P<0.01).[Conclusions]The evaluation method for measuring chieh-qua texture by combining TPA and the puncture mode could accurately and quantitatively reflect the differences in the flesh texture quality of chieh-qua.The optimal parameters for texture measurement of chieh-qua fruit were determined as a 15 g trigger force with 50%deformation and a 3 mm/s compression speed in TPA mode,and a 15 g trigger force with a 12 mm puncture depth in puncture mode.Puncture speed was found to have no significant effect on the texture indices of chieh-qua. 展开更多
关键词 CHIEH-QUA Texture analyzer Texture quality Determination method
在线阅读 下载PDF
TransCarbonNet:Multi-Day Grid Carbon Intensity Forecasting Using Hybrid Self-Attention and Bi-LSTM Temporal Fusion for Sustainable Energy Management
17
作者 Amel Ksibi Hatoon Albadah +1 位作者 Ghadah Aldehim Manel Ayadi 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2026年第1期812-847,共36页
Sustainable energy systems will entail a change in the carbon intensity projections,which should be carried out in a proper manner to facilitate the smooth running of the grid and reduce greenhouse emissions.The prese... Sustainable energy systems will entail a change in the carbon intensity projections,which should be carried out in a proper manner to facilitate the smooth running of the grid and reduce greenhouse emissions.The present article outlines the TransCarbonNet,a novel hybrid deep learning framework with self-attention characteristics added to the bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(Bi-LSTM)network to forecast the carbon intensity of the grid several days.The proposed temporal fusion model not only learns the local temporal interactions but also the long-term patterns of the carbon emission data;hence,it is able to give suitable forecasts over a period of seven days.TransCarbonNet takes advantage of a multi-head self-attention element to identify significant temporal connections,which means the Bi-LSTM element calculates sequential dependencies in both directions.Massive tests on two actual data sets indicate much improved results in comparison with the existing results,with mean relative errors of 15.3 percent and 12.7 percent,respectively.The framework has given explicable weights of attention that reveal critical periods that influence carbon intensity alterations,and informed decisions on the management of carbon sustainability.The effectiveness of the proposed solution has been validated in numerous cases of operations,and TransCarbonNet is established to be an effective tool when it comes to carbon-friendly optimization of the grid. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon intensity forecasting self-attention mechanism bidirectional LSTM temporal fusion sustainable energy management smart grid optimization deep learning
在线阅读 下载PDF
A novel scaling method for the elastic ring supporting structure of an aero-engine rotor system: analytical and experimental investigations
18
作者 Lei LI Tianyue MA +4 位作者 Zhong LUO Dongwu GAO Xiangdong GE Hui MA Shibin WANG 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2026年第1期1-18,共18页
The testing of large structures is limited by high costs and long cycles, making scaling methods an attractive solution. However, the scaling process of elastic rings introduces complexities in multi-parameter geometr... The testing of large structures is limited by high costs and long cycles, making scaling methods an attractive solution. However, the scaling process of elastic rings introduces complexities in multi-parameter geometric distortions, leading to a diminution in the predictive accuracy of the distorted similitude. To address this challenge, this study formulates a novel set of scaling laws, tailored to account for the intricate geometric distortions associated with elastic rings. The proposed scaling laws are formulated based on the intrinsic deformation characteristics of elastic rings, rather than the traditional systemic governing equations. Numerical and experimental cases are conducted to assess the efficacy and precision of the proposed scaling laws, and the obtained results are compared with those achieved by traditional methods. The outcomes demonstrate that the scaling laws put forth by this study significantly enhance the predictive capabilities for deformations of elastic rings. 展开更多
关键词 rotor system AERO-ENGINE elastic ring scaling method supporting structure
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multiphysics Implicit Coupling Method for Fluid,Particles,and Large-Deformation Structures
19
作者 Xiangxiang Wang Hualong Xie +3 位作者 Yue Yu Min Li Yubin Wang Fei Xing 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2026年第2期367-401,共35页
This study presents an implicit multiphysics coupling method integrating Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD),the Multiphase Particle-in-Cell(MPPIC)model,and the Finite Element Method(FEM),implemented with OpenFOAM,Calcu... This study presents an implicit multiphysics coupling method integrating Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD),the Multiphase Particle-in-Cell(MPPIC)model,and the Finite Element Method(FEM),implemented with OpenFOAM,CalculiX,and preCICE to simulate fluid-particle-structure interactions with large deformations.Mesh motion in the fluid field is handled using the radial basis function(RBF)method.The particle phase is modeled by MPPIC,where fluid-particle interaction is described through momentum exchange,and inter-particle collisions are characterized by collision stress.The structural field is solved by nonlinear FEM to capture large deformations induced by geometric nonlinearity.Coupling among fields is realized through a partitioned,parallel,and non-intrusive iterative strategy,ensuring stable transfer and convergence of interface forces and displacements.Notably,the influence of particles on the structure is not direct but mediated by the fluid,while structural motion directly affects particle dynamics.The results demonstrate that the proposed approach effectively captures multiphysics interaction processes and provides a valuable reference for numerical modeling of coupled fluid-particle-structure systems. 展开更多
关键词 Fluid-particle-structure interaction large deformation partitioned method non-intrusive coupling
在线阅读 下载PDF
Healthcare professionals’perspectives on disclosure of diagnosis and related issues in childhood cancer:A mixed methods systematic review
20
作者 Run Xie Xiaoyan Huang +4 位作者 Yiran Du Ying Gu Qiongfang Kang Hongsheng Wang Daqian Zhu 《International Journal of Nursing Sciences》 2026年第1期96-104,I0006,共10页
Objectives This review aimed to systematically synthesize the available research on the disclosure of diagnosis and related issues in childhood cancer from the perspectives of healthcare professionals,with the goal of... Objectives This review aimed to systematically synthesize the available research on the disclosure of diagnosis and related issues in childhood cancer from the perspectives of healthcare professionals,with the goal of informing the optimization of disclosure processes and meeting the communication needs of affected families.Methods In accordance with the Joanna Briggs Institute(JBI)methodology for mixed methods systematic reviews,the convergent segregated approach was used in this review.Articles were retrieved from 11 databases,including PubMed,Web of Science,CINAHL,CENTRAL,Embase,Ovid/Medline,PsycINFO,PsycArticles,Scopus,ERIC,and China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI).The quality of the selected articles was assessed using the Mixed Method Appraisal Tool(MMAT).The review protocol was registered on PROSPERO(CRD42024542746).Results A total of 21 studies from 10 countries were included.Their methodological quality was generally medium to high,with MMAT scores ranging from 60%to 100%.The synthesis yielded three core themes:1)the spectrum of professional and societal attitudes toward disclosure;2)the dynamic practices of navigating disclosure amid uncertainty,including timing and environment,stakeholders,and content of disclosure;and 3)factors influencing disclosure,including children’s,parental,healthcare professionals’,and socio-cultural factors.Conclusions This review synthesized the perspectives and experiences of healthcare professionals regarding disclosure in childhood cancer,highlighting the complexity and multidimensional nature of this process in clinical practice.Future research should further investigate the experiences and needs of children and their parents,explore cultural variations in disclosure practices,develop context-appropriate assessment tools,and construct multidimensional intervention strategies to enhance the humanistic care and professional effectiveness of the disclosure process. 展开更多
关键词 Communication CANCER DISCLOSURE Healthcare professionals Mixed methods PEDIATRIC Systematic review
暂未订购
上一页 1 2 250 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部