Global climate change,along with the rapid increase of the population,has put significant pressure on water security.A water reservoir is an effective solution for adjusting and ensuring water supply.In particular,the...Global climate change,along with the rapid increase of the population,has put significant pressure on water security.A water reservoir is an effective solution for adjusting and ensuring water supply.In particular,the reservoir water level is an essential physical indicator for the reservoirs.Forecasting the reservoir water level effectively assists the managers in making decisions and plans related to reservoir management policies.In recent years,deep learning models have been widely applied to solve forecasting problems.In this study,we propose a novel hybrid deep learning model namely the YOLOv9_ConvLSTM that integrates YOLOv9,ConvLSTM,and linear interpolation to predict reservoir water levels.It utilizes data from Sentinel-2 satellite images,generated from visible spectrum bands(Red-Blue-Green)to reconstruct true-color reservoir images.Adam is used as the optimization algorithm with the loss function being MSE(Mean Squared Error)to evaluate the model’s error during training.We implemented and validated the proposed model using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery for the An Khe reservoir in Vietnam.To assess its performance,we also conducted comparative experiments with other related models,including SegNet_ConvLSTM and UNet_ConvLSTM,on the same dataset.The model performances were validated using k-fold cross-validation and ANOVA analysis.The experimental results demonstrate that the YOLOv9_ConvLSTM model outperforms the compared models.It has been seen that the proposed approach serves as a valuable tool for reservoir water level forecasting using satellite imagery that contributes to effective water resource management.展开更多
Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Marko...Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model.The GMM takes advantage of the Grey System to predict the trend values and uses the Markov theory to forecast fluctuation values,and thus gives forecast results involving two aspects of information.The procedure for forecasting annul maximum water levels with the GMM contains five main steps:1) establish the GM(1,1) model based on the data series;2) estimate the trend values;3) establish a Markov Model based on relative error series;4) modify the relative errors caused in step 2,and then obtain the relative errors of the second order estimation;5) compare the results with measured data and estimate the accuracy.The historical water level records(from 1960 to 1992) at Yuqiao Hydrological Station in the estuary area of the Haihe River near Tianjin,China are utilized to calibrate and verify the proposed model according to the above steps.Every 25 years' data are regarded as a hydro-sequence.Eight groups of simulated results show reasonable agreement between the predicted values and the measured data.The GMM is also applied to the 10 other hydrological stations in the same estuary.The forecast results for all of the hydrological stations are good or acceptable.The feasibility and effectiveness of this new forecasting model have been proved in this paper.展开更多
基金funded by International School,Vietnam National University,Hanoi(VNU-IS)under project number CS.2023-10.
文摘Global climate change,along with the rapid increase of the population,has put significant pressure on water security.A water reservoir is an effective solution for adjusting and ensuring water supply.In particular,the reservoir water level is an essential physical indicator for the reservoirs.Forecasting the reservoir water level effectively assists the managers in making decisions and plans related to reservoir management policies.In recent years,deep learning models have been widely applied to solve forecasting problems.In this study,we propose a novel hybrid deep learning model namely the YOLOv9_ConvLSTM that integrates YOLOv9,ConvLSTM,and linear interpolation to predict reservoir water levels.It utilizes data from Sentinel-2 satellite images,generated from visible spectrum bands(Red-Blue-Green)to reconstruct true-color reservoir images.Adam is used as the optimization algorithm with the loss function being MSE(Mean Squared Error)to evaluate the model’s error during training.We implemented and validated the proposed model using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery for the An Khe reservoir in Vietnam.To assess its performance,we also conducted comparative experiments with other related models,including SegNet_ConvLSTM and UNet_ConvLSTM,on the same dataset.The model performances were validated using k-fold cross-validation and ANOVA analysis.The experimental results demonstrate that the YOLOv9_ConvLSTM model outperforms the compared models.It has been seen that the proposed approach serves as a valuable tool for reservoir water level forecasting using satellite imagery that contributes to effective water resource management.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (50879085)the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University(NCET-07-0778)the Key Technology Research Project of Dynamic Environmental Flume for Ocean Monitoring Facilities (201005027-4)
文摘Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model.The GMM takes advantage of the Grey System to predict the trend values and uses the Markov theory to forecast fluctuation values,and thus gives forecast results involving two aspects of information.The procedure for forecasting annul maximum water levels with the GMM contains five main steps:1) establish the GM(1,1) model based on the data series;2) estimate the trend values;3) establish a Markov Model based on relative error series;4) modify the relative errors caused in step 2,and then obtain the relative errors of the second order estimation;5) compare the results with measured data and estimate the accuracy.The historical water level records(from 1960 to 1992) at Yuqiao Hydrological Station in the estuary area of the Haihe River near Tianjin,China are utilized to calibrate and verify the proposed model according to the above steps.Every 25 years' data are regarded as a hydro-sequence.Eight groups of simulated results show reasonable agreement between the predicted values and the measured data.The GMM is also applied to the 10 other hydrological stations in the same estuary.The forecast results for all of the hydrological stations are good or acceptable.The feasibility and effectiveness of this new forecasting model have been proved in this paper.
