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Improved Inverse First-Order Reliability Method for Analyzing Long-Term Response Extremes of Floating Structures
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作者 Junrong Wang Zhuolantai Bai +3 位作者 Botao Xie Jie Gui Haonan Gong Yantong Zhou 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 2025年第3期552-566,共15页
Long-term responses of floating structures pose a great concern in their design phase. Existing approaches for addressing long-term extreme responses are extremely cumbersome for adoption. This work aims to develop an... Long-term responses of floating structures pose a great concern in their design phase. Existing approaches for addressing long-term extreme responses are extremely cumbersome for adoption. This work aims to develop an approach for the long-term extreme-response analysis of floating structures. A modified gradient-based retrieval algorithm in conjunction with the inverse first-order reliability method(IFORM) is proposed to enable the use of convolution models in long-term extreme analysis of structures with an analytical formula of response amplitude operator(RAO). The proposed algorithm ensures convergence stability and iteration accuracy and exhibits a higher computational efficiency than the traditional backtracking method. However, when the RAO of general offshore structures cannot be analytically expressed, the convolutional integration method fails to function properly. A numerical discretization approach is further proposed for offshore structures in the case when the analytical expression of the RAO is not feasible. Through iterative discretization of environmental contours(ECs) and RAOs, a detailed procedure is proposed to calculate the long-term response extremes of offshore structures. The validity and accuracy of the proposed approach are tested using a floating offshore wind turbine as a numerical example. The long-term extreme heave responses of various return periods are calculated via the IFORM in conjunction with a numerical discretization approach. The environmental data corresponding to N-year structural responses are located inside the ECs, which indicates that the selection of design points directly along the ECs yields conservative design results. 展开更多
关键词 Long-term response analysis Floating structures Inverse first-order reliability method Convolution model Gradient-based retrieval algorithm Environmental contour method
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Efficient slope reliability and sensitivity analysis using quantile-based first-order second-moment method 被引量:2
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作者 Zhiyong Yang Chengchuan Yin +2 位作者 Xueyou Li Shuihua Jiang Dianqing Li 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第10期4192-4203,共12页
This paper introduces a novel approach for parameter sensitivity evaluation and efficient slope reliability analysis based on quantile-based first-order second-moment method(QFOSM).The core principles of the QFOSM are... This paper introduces a novel approach for parameter sensitivity evaluation and efficient slope reliability analysis based on quantile-based first-order second-moment method(QFOSM).The core principles of the QFOSM are elucidated geometrically from the perspective of expanding ellipsoids.Based on this geometric interpretation,the QFOSM is further extended to estimate sensitivity indices and assess the significance of various uncertain parameters involved in the slope system.The proposed method has the advantage of computational simplicity,akin to the conventional first-order second-moment method(FOSM),while providing estimation accuracy close to that of the first-order reliability method(FORM).Its performance is demonstrated with a numerical example and three slope examples.The results show that the proposed method can efficiently estimate the slope reliability and simultaneously evaluate the sensitivity of the uncertain parameters.The proposed method does not involve complex optimization or iteration required by the FORM.It can provide a valuable complement to the existing approximate reliability analysis methods,offering rapid sensitivity evaluation and slope reliability analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Slope reliability Sensitivity analysis QUANTILE first-order second-moment method(FOSM) first-order reliability method(FORM)
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Fatigue reliability assessment of turbine blade via direct probability integral method
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作者 Guohai CHEN Pengfei GAO +1 位作者 Hui LI Dixiong YANG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第4期305-320,共16页
Fatigue analysis of engine turbine blade is an essential issue.Due to various uncertainties during the manufacture and operation,the fatigue damage and life of turbine blade present randomness.In this study,the random... Fatigue analysis of engine turbine blade is an essential issue.Due to various uncertainties during the manufacture and operation,the fatigue damage and life of turbine blade present randomness.In this study,the randomness of structural parameters,working condition and vibration environment are considered for fatigue life predication and reliability assessment.First,the lowcycle fatigue problem is modelled as stochastic static system with random parameters,while the high-cycle fatigue problem is considered as stochastic dynamic system under random excitations.Then,to deal with the two failure modes,the novel Direct Probability Integral Method(DPIM)is proposed,which is efficient and accurate for solving stochastic static and dynamic systems.The probability density functions of accumulated damage and fatigue life of turbine blade for low-cycle and high-cycle fatigue problems are achieved,respectively.Furthermore,the time–frequency hybrid method is advanced to enhance the computational efficiency for governing equation of system.Finally,the results of typical examples demonstrate high accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method by comparison with Monte Carlo simulation and other methods.It is indicated that the DPIM is a unified method for predication of random fatigue life for low-cycle and highcycle fatigue problems.The rotational speed,density,fatigue strength coefficient,and fatigue plasticity index have a high sensitivity to fatigue reliability of engine turbine blade. 展开更多
关键词 Engine turbine blade Low-cycle fatigue High-cycle fatigue Fatigue reliability Direct probability integral method
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Dimensional synchronous modeling-based enhanced Kriging algorithm and adaptive Copula method for multi-objective synthetical reliability analyses
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作者 Cheng LU Yunwen FENG +1 位作者 Chengwei FEI Da TENG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第9期144-165,共22页
To accomplish the reliability analyses of the correlation of multi-analytical objectives,an innovative framework of Dimensional Synchronous Modeling(DSM)and correlation analysis is developed based on the stepwise mode... To accomplish the reliability analyses of the correlation of multi-analytical objectives,an innovative framework of Dimensional Synchronous Modeling(DSM)and correlation analysis is developed based on the stepwise modeling strategy,cell array operation principle,and Copula theory.Under this framework,we propose a DSM-based Enhanced Kriging(DSMEK)algorithm to synchronously derive the modeling of multi-objective,and explore an adaptive Copula function approach to analyze the correlation among multiple objectives and to assess the synthetical reliability level.In the proposed DSMEK and adaptive Copula methods,the Kriging model is treated as the basis function of DSMEK model,the Multi-Objective Snake Optimizer(MOSO)algorithm is used to search the optimal values of hyperparameters of basis functions,the cell array operation principle is adopted to establish a whole model of multiple objectives,the goodness of fit is utilized to determine the forms of Copula functions,and the determined Copula functions are employed to perform the reliability analyses of the correlation of multi-analytical objectives.Furthermore,three examples,including multi-objective complex function approximation,aeroengine turbine bladeddisc multi-failure mode reliability analyses and aircraft landing gear system brake temperature reliability analyses,are performed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods,from the viewpoints of mathematics and engineering.The results show that the DSMEK and adaptive Copula approaches hold obvious advantages in terms of modeling features and simulation performance.The efforts of this work provide a useful way for the modeling of multi-analytical objectives and synthetical reliability analyses of complex structure/system with multi-output responses. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive Copula method Aeroengine turbine bladeddisc Aircraft landing gear system Correlation of multianalytical objectives Dimensional synchronous modeling-based enhanced Kriging algorithm reliability analyses
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Euler’s First-Order Explicit Method–Peridynamic Differential Operator for Solving Population Balance Equations of the Crystallization Process
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作者 Chunlei Ruan Cengceng Dong +2 位作者 Kunfeng Liang Zhijun Liu Xinru Bao 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第3期3033-3049,共17页
Using Euler’s first-order explicit(EE)method and the peridynamic differential operator(PDDO)to discretize the time and internal crystal-size derivatives,respectively,the Euler’s first-order explicit method–peridyna... Using Euler’s first-order explicit(EE)method and the peridynamic differential operator(PDDO)to discretize the time and internal crystal-size derivatives,respectively,the Euler’s first-order explicit method–peridynamic differential operator(EE–PDDO)was obtained for solving the one-dimensional population balance equation in crystallization.Four different conditions during crystallization were studied:size-independent growth,sizedependent growth in a batch process,nucleation and size-independent growth,and nucleation and size-dependent growth in a continuous process.The high accuracy of the EE–PDDO method was confirmed by comparing it with the numerical results obtained using the second-order upwind and HR-van methods.The method is characterized by non-oscillation and high accuracy,especially in the discontinuous and sharp crystal size distribution.The stability of the EE–PDDO method,choice of weight function in the PDDO method,and optimal time step are also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Population balance equation CRYSTALLIZATION peridynamic differential operator Euler’s first-order explicit method
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Reliability analysis of carbon fiber rod-reinforced umbilical cable under tension using an improved sampling method
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作者 Yu Zhang Hong-Yu Zhang +2 位作者 Ran Xia Si-Ao Jiang Fang Wang 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期2769-2778,共10页
The umbilical cable is a vital component of subsea production systems that provide power,chemical agents,control signals et al.,and its requirement for reliability is exceedingly high.However,as the umbilical cable is... The umbilical cable is a vital component of subsea production systems that provide power,chemical agents,control signals et al.,and its requirement for reliability is exceedingly high.However,as the umbilical cable is a composite structure comprising multiple functional units,the reliability analysis of such cables involves numerous parameters that can impact calculation efficiency.In this paper,the reliability analysis of a new kind of umbilical cable with carbon fiber rod under tension is analyzed.The global dynamic analytical model is first established to determine the maximum tension load,then the local analytical model of umbilical cable including each unit are constructed by finite element method(FEM).Based on the mechanical analytical model,the reliability of umbilical cable under tension load is studied using response surface method(RSM)and Monte Carlo method.During the calculation process,a new tangent plane sampling method to calculate the response surface function(RSF)is proposed in this paper,which could make sampling points faster come close to the RSF curve,and it is proved that the calculation efficiency increases about 33%comparing with traditional method. 展开更多
关键词 Umbilical cable Carbon fiber rod Failure analysis Response surface method reliability
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Fuzzy stochastic generalized reliability studies on embankment systems based on first-order approximation theorem 被引量:1
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作者 Wang Yajun Zhang Wohua +2 位作者 Jin Weiliang Wu Changyu Ren Dachun 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2008年第4期36-46,共11页
In order to address the complex uncertainties caused by interfacing between the fuzziness and randomness of the safety problem for embankment engineering projects, and to evaluate the safety of embankment engineering ... In order to address the complex uncertainties caused by interfacing between the fuzziness and randomness of the safety problem for embankment engineering projects, and to evaluate the safety of embankment engineering projects more scientifically and reasonably, this study presents the fuzzy logic modeling of the stochastic finite element method (SFEM) based on the harmonious finite element (HFE) technique using a first-order approximation theorem. Fuzzy mathematical models of safety repertories were introduced into the SFEM to analyze the stability of embankments and foundations in order to describe the fuzzy failure procedure for the random safety performance function. The fuzzy models were developed with membership functions with half depressed gamma distribution, half depressed normal distribution, and half depressed echelon distribution. The fuzzy stochastic mathematical algorithm was used to comprehensively study the local failure mechanism of the main embankment section near Jingnan in the Yangtze River in terms of numerical analysis for the probability integration of reliability on the random field affected by three fuzzy factors. The result shows that the middle region of the embankment is the principal zone of concentrated failure due to local fractures. There is also some local shear failure on the embankment crust. This study provides a referential method for solving complex multi-uncertainty problems in engineering safety analysis. 展开更多
关键词 first-order approximation stochastic finite element method fuzzy math algorithm stability of embankment and foundation reliability
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A POSTERIORI ERROR ESTIMATE OF THE DSD METHOD FOR FIRST-ORDER HYPERBOLIC EQUATIONS
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作者 KANG Tong(康彤) +1 位作者 YU De-hao(余德浩) 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2002年第6期732-740,共9页
A posteriori error estimate of the discontinuous-streamline diffusion method for first-order hyperbolic equations was presented, which can be used to adjust space mesh reasonably. A numerical example is given to illus... A posteriori error estimate of the discontinuous-streamline diffusion method for first-order hyperbolic equations was presented, which can be used to adjust space mesh reasonably. A numerical example is given to illustrate the accuracy and feasibility of this method. 展开更多
关键词 posteriori error estimate discontinuous-streamline diffusion method first-order hyperbolic equation
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Fast First-Order Methods for Minimizing Convex Composite Functions
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作者 Qipeng Li Hongwei Liu Zexian Liu 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2019年第6期46-52,共7页
Two new versions of accelerated first-order methods for minimizing convex composite functions are proposed. In this paper, we first present an accelerated first-order method which chooses the step size 1/ Lk to be 1/ ... Two new versions of accelerated first-order methods for minimizing convex composite functions are proposed. In this paper, we first present an accelerated first-order method which chooses the step size 1/ Lk to be 1/ L0 at the beginning of each iteration and preserves the computational simplicity of the fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm. The first proposed algorithm is a non-monotone algorithm. To avoid this behavior, we present another accelerated monotone first-order method. The proposed two accelerated first-order methods are proved to have a better convergence rate for minimizing convex composite functions. Numerical results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed two accelerated first-order methods. 展开更多
关键词 first-order method iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm convex programming adaptive restart composite functions.
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Design of improved error-rate sliding window decoder for SC-LDPC codes: reliable termination and channel value reuse
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作者 JIA Xishan LI Jining +3 位作者 YAO Yuan WANG Yifan LIU Bo XU Degang 《Optoelectronics Letters》 2025年第4期212-217,共6页
In this paper,an improved error-rate sliding window decoder is proposed for spatially coupled low-density parity-check(SC-LDPC)codes.For the conventional sliding window decoder,the message retention mechanism causes u... In this paper,an improved error-rate sliding window decoder is proposed for spatially coupled low-density parity-check(SC-LDPC)codes.For the conventional sliding window decoder,the message retention mechanism causes unreliable messages along the edges of belief propagation(BP)decoding in the current window to be kept for subsequent window decoding.To improve the reliability of the retained messages during the window transition,a reliable termination method is embedded,where the retained messages undergo more reliable parity checks.Additionally,decoding failure is unavoidable and even causes error propagation when the number of errors exceeds the error-correcting capability of the window.To mitigate this problem,a channel value reuse mechanism is designed,where the received channel values are utilized to reinitialize the window.Furthermore,considering the complexity and performance of decoding,a feasible sliding optimized window decoding(SOWD)scheme is introduced.Finally,simulation results confirm the superior performance of the proposed SOWD scheme in both the waterfall and error floor regions.This work has great potential in the applications of wireless optical communication and fiber optic communication. 展开更多
关键词 reliable termination message retention mechanism reliable termination method sliding window decoderthe error rate sliding window decoder belief propagation bp decoding retained messages
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Development prospects of residual stress detection methods
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作者 Xin LI Hanjun GAO Qiong WU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第7期601-603,共3页
In the aerospace field, residual stress directly affects the strength, fatigue life and dimensional stability of thin-walled structural components, and is a key factor to ensure flight safety and reliability. At prese... In the aerospace field, residual stress directly affects the strength, fatigue life and dimensional stability of thin-walled structural components, and is a key factor to ensure flight safety and reliability. At present, research on residual stress at home and abroad mainly focuses on the optimization of traditional detection technology, stress control of manufacturing process and service performance evaluation, among which research on residual stress detection methods mainly focuses on the improvement of the accuracy, sensitivity, reliability and other performance of existing detection methods, but it still faces many challenges such as extremely small detection range, low efficiency, large error and limited application range. 展开更多
关键词 residual stress flight safety reliability detection methods optimization traditional detection technology residual stress detection methods service performance evaluation IMPROVEMENT stress control
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Calibration and Reliability Analysis of Eccentric Compressive Concrete Column with High Strength Rebars
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作者 Baojun Qin Hong Jiang +1 位作者 Wei Zhang Xiang Liu 《Structural Durability & Health Monitoring》 2025年第5期1203-1220,共18页
The utilization of high-strength steel bars(HSSB)within concrete structures demonstrates significant advantages in material conservation and mechanical performance enhancement.Nevertheless,existing design codes exhibi... The utilization of high-strength steel bars(HSSB)within concrete structures demonstrates significant advantages in material conservation and mechanical performance enhancement.Nevertheless,existing design codes exhibit limitations in addressing the distinct statistical characteristics of HSSB,particularly regarding strength design parameters.For instance,GB50010-2010 fails to specify design strength values for reinforcement exceeding 600 MPa,creating technical barriers for advancing HSSB implementation.This study systematically investigates the reliability of eccentric compression concrete columns reinforced with 600 MPa-grade HSSB through high-order moment method analysis.Material partial factors were calibrated against target reliability indices prescribed by GB50068-2018,incorporating critical variables including live-to-dead load ratios,design methodologies,and service conditions.The findings show that the value of k significantly affects the calibration of material partial factors,impacting the reliability of bearing capacity.Considering various k values and target reliability indices,it is recommended that the material partialfactorbe setat1.15,implyingthatthedesignstrengthfor600MPahigh-strengthsteelbars shouldbe considered as 522 MPa.For safety levels I and II,load adjustment factors of 1.1 and 0.9,respectively,may be applied. 展开更多
关键词 reliability high-strength steel rebar concrete column material partial factor high-order moment method failure probability
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Fatigue correlation reliability evaluation of heavy-haul railway bridges
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作者 Mingyang ZHANG Mengcheng CHEN +2 位作者 Wei FANG Kaicheng XU Hong HUANG 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2025年第7期1295-1314,共20页
The fatigue of heavy-haul railway bridges is considered a key concern due to high stress levels and cyclic loading.The evaluation of fatigue reliability is required to include factor correlations.A major challenge is ... The fatigue of heavy-haul railway bridges is considered a key concern due to high stress levels and cyclic loading.The evaluation of fatigue reliability is required to include factor correlations.A major challenge is presented by the construction of the cumulative distribution function(CDF)and the description of correlations between random variables.In this study,the copula function is used to analyze the fatigue failure probability of the Shuohuang heavy-haul railway bridge.A C-vine copula(CVC)-based joint probability density function(JPDF)is derived with eight correlated parameters.To enhance efficiency in small failure probability calculations,the subset simulation and most probable point(MPP)Monte Carlo importance sampling are introduced based on the Rosenblatt transform and C-vine model.Comparisons with traditional Monte Carlo methods confirm that high accuracy and efficiency are achieved.The results show that when parameter correlations are ignored,failure probability is underestimated,increasing safety risks in bridge assessments. 展开更多
关键词 heavy-haul railway bridge fatigue correlation reliability correlated ran-dom variable C-vine copula(CVC) subset simulation method Monte Carlo important sampling
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An Efficient Method for Reliability-based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization 被引量:12
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作者 范辉 李为吉 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第4期335-340,共6页
Design for modem engineering system is becoming multidisciplinary and incorporates practical uncertainties; therefore, it is necessary to synthesize reliability analysis and the multidisciplinary design optimization ... Design for modem engineering system is becoming multidisciplinary and incorporates practical uncertainties; therefore, it is necessary to synthesize reliability analysis and the multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) techniques for the design of complex engineering system. An advanced first order second moment method-based concurrent subspace optimization approach is proposed based on the comparison and analysis of the existing multidisciplinary optimization techniques and the reliability analysis methods. It is seen through a canard configuration optimization for a three-surface transport that the proposed method is computationally efficient and practical with the least modification to the current deterministic optimization process. 展开更多
关键词 multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) concurrent subspace optimization reliability analysis advanced first order second moment method
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STOCHASTIC BOUNDARY ELEMENT METHODS FOR 3D PROBLEMS WITH BODY FORCES AND ITS APPLICATION IN RELIABILITY OF TURBINE DISKS
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作者 温卫东 康继东 孙晓玲 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 1995年第2期143-148,共6页
The stochastic boundary element method(SBEM)is developed in this paper for 3D problems with body forces and reliability analysis of engineering structures.The integral equations of SBEM are established by the approach... The stochastic boundary element method(SBEM)is developed in this paper for 3D problems with body forces and reliability analysis of engineering structures.The integral equations of SBEM are established by the approach of partial derivation with respect to stochastic variables,considering the yield limit,rotation speeds and material density to be the fundamental stochastic variables.Through analyzing a numerical example and a turbo-disk of an aeroengine,the results show that the method developed is successful. 展开更多
关键词 boundary element stochastic method STRENGTH reliability numerical analysis
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FNM method for estimating reliability of existing bridges
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作者 彭可可 黄培彦 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2009年第2期247-251,共5页
Combined with current specifications and stress characteristics of concrete filled steel tubular (CFST) arch bridges, the determination principle of safe-middle-failure threestage mode is given. Accordingly, damage ... Combined with current specifications and stress characteristics of concrete filled steel tubular (CFST) arch bridges, the determination principle of safe-middle-failure threestage mode is given. Accordingly, damage probability and failure probability and the corresponding reliability indices are calculated; a direct relationship between reliability indices and three-stage working status is made. Based on the three-stage working mode, a combined FNM (finite element-neural network- Monte-Carlo simulation) method is put forward to estimate the reliability of existing bridges. According to time-dependent reliability theory, subsequent service time is divided into several stages; minimum samples required by the Monte-Carlo method are generated by random sampling; training samples are calculated by the finite element method, and the training samples are extended by the neural network; failure probability and damage probability are calculated by the Monte-Carlo method. Thus, time dependent reliability indices are obtained, and the working status is judged. A case study is investigated to estimate the reliability of an actual bridge by the FNM method. The bridge is a CFST arch bridge with an 83.6 m span and it has been in operation for 10 years. According to analysis results, in the tenth year, the example bridge is still in safe status. This conclusion is consistent with the facts, which proves the feasibility of the FNM method for estimating the reliability of existing bridges. 展开更多
关键词 existing bridges time-dependent reliability threestage working mode Monte-Carlo simulation FNM method
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Landslide Reliability Analysis Based on Transfer Coefficient Method: A Case Study from Three Gorges Reservoir 被引量:11
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作者 毕仁能 Dominik Ehret +3 位作者 项伟 Joachim Rohn Markus Schleier 江洎洧 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第2期187-198,共12页
To evaluate the reliability of a landslide in a reservoir, the universal transfer coefficient method, which is popularized by the Chinese standard, is adopted as performance function in this study for: (1) common d... To evaluate the reliability of a landslide in a reservoir, the universal transfer coefficient method, which is popularized by the Chinese standard, is adopted as performance function in this study for: (1) common deterministic method stability evaluation; (2) reliability evaluation based on a Monte Carlo method; (3) comparison of landslide reliability under different water levels and under different correlation coefficients between soil shear strength parameters (c, Φ), respectively with mean, standard deviation, reliability coefficient and failure probability. This article uses the Bazimen (八字门) landslide, which is located at the outlet of Xiangxi (香溪) River in the Three Gorges Reservoir, as an example to evaluate its stability and reliability under different water levels with two-dimensional deterministic and probabilistic methods. With the assumption that constant mean and normal distributed shear strength parameters (c, Φ), correlation coefficient c, Φ=-1 based reliability analysis, compared with c, Φ=0 and 1, indicates obviously more increase of reliability index and lower standard deviation as water levels rise. To the case of a certain water level, c, Φ=-1 does not have constantly positive or negative effects on landslide reliability compared with c, Φ=0 or 1, but is associated with water level. Whereas the safety factor Fs by deterministic method, which is almost the same value as corresponding mean of safety factor from probabilistic analysis, will increase slightly as water level increases. 展开更多
关键词 transfer coefficient method Monte Carlo method water level fluctuation landslide stability reliability Three Gorges Reservoir.
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Distributed Collaborative Response Surface Method for Mechanical Dynamic Assembly Reliability Design 被引量:25
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作者 BAI Guangchen FEI Chengwei 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第6期1160-1168,共9页
Because of the randomness of many impact factors influencing the dynamic assembly relationship of complex machinery, the reliability analysis of dynamic assembly relationship needs to be accomplished considering the r... Because of the randomness of many impact factors influencing the dynamic assembly relationship of complex machinery, the reliability analysis of dynamic assembly relationship needs to be accomplished considering the randomness from a probabilistic perspective. To improve the accuracy and efficiency of dynamic assembly relationship reliability analysis, the mechanical dynamic assembly reliability(MDAR) theory and a distributed collaborative response surface method(DCRSM) are proposed. The mathematic model of DCRSM is established based on the quadratic response surface function, and verified by the assembly relationship reliability analysis of aeroengine high pressure turbine(HPT) blade-tip radial running clearance(BTRRC). Through the comparison of the DCRSM, traditional response surface method(RSM) and Monte Carlo Method(MCM), the results show that the DCRSM is not able to accomplish the computational task which is impossible for the other methods when the number of simulation is more than 100 000 times, but also the computational precision for the DCRSM is basically consistent with the MCM and improved by 0.40-4.63% to the RSM, furthermore, the computational efficiency of DCRSM is up to about 188 times of the MCM and 55 times of the RSM under 10000 times simulations. The DCRSM is demonstrated to be a feasible and effective approach for markedly improving the computational efficiency and accuracy of MDAR analysis. Thus, the proposed research provides the promising theory and method for the MDAR design and optimization, and opens a novel research direction of probabilistic analysis for developing the high-performance and high-reliability of aeroengine. 展开更多
关键词 machinery dynamic assembly reliability analysis distributed collaborative response surface method blade-tip radial running clearance
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Reliability Sensitivity Algorithm Based on Stratified Importance Sampling Method for Multiple Failure Modes Systems 被引量:8
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作者 Zhang Feng Lu Zhenzhou +1 位作者 Cui Lijie Song Shufang 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第6期660-669,共10页
Combining the advantages of the stratified sampling and the importance sampling, a stratified importance sampling method (SISM) is presented to analyze the reliability sensitivity for structure with multiple failure... Combining the advantages of the stratified sampling and the importance sampling, a stratified importance sampling method (SISM) is presented to analyze the reliability sensitivity for structure with multiple failure modes. In the presented method, the variable space is divided into several disjoint subspace by n-dimensional coordinate planes at the mean point of the random vec- tor, and the importance sampling functions in the subspaces are constructed by keeping the sampling center at the mean point and augmenting the standard deviation by a factor of 2. The sample size generated from the importance sampling function in each subspace is determined by the contribution of the subspace to the reliability sensitivity, which can be estimated by iterative simulation in the sampling process. The formulae of the reliability sensitivity estimation, the variance and the coefficient of variation are derived for the presented SISM. Comparing with the Monte Carlo method, the stratified sampling method and the importance sampling method, the presented SISM has wider applicability and higher calculation efficiency, which is demonstrated by numerical examples. Finally, the reliability sensitivity analysis of flap structure is illustrated that the SISM can be applied to engineering structure. 展开更多
关键词 multiple failure modes reliability sensitivity Monte Carlo simulation stratified sampling method importance sam-piing method stratified importance sampling method (SISM)
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Sealing reliability modeling of aviation seal based on interval uncertainty method and multidimensional response surface 被引量:5
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作者 Baopeng LIAO Bo SUN +5 位作者 Yu LI Meichen YAN Yi REN Qiang FENG Dezhen YANG Kun ZHOU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第9期2188-2198,共11页
Many variables affect the sealing performance, and their distribution characteristics are difficult to obtain with probabilistic methods owing to the high cost involved. Numerous problems in engineering are similar du... Many variables affect the sealing performance, and their distribution characteristics are difficult to obtain with probabilistic methods owing to the high cost involved. Numerous problems in engineering are similar due to the appearance of small-sample parameters. In this study, the sealing reliability of an aviation seal was defined as the research object, and an interval uncertainty method and multidimensional response surface were proposed to calculate the sealing reliability.Based on this, we first analyzed the failure mechanism of the aviation seal and established a leakage rate model. Then, based on the non-probabilistic interval model, an interval uncertainty method was proposed to construct the analytical model. With reference to the limit state equation from the structural reliability theory, the multidimensional response surface was used for fast calculation.Then, we chose the single-cylinder gas steering gear used in aircraft as the case study, its sealing reliability in working and non-working statuses were calculated, and the results were verified with the actual maintenance records. By analyzing the sensitivity of some variables, we can improve the sealing reliability of the aviation seal by improving the surface roughness only if the cost allows.Finally, we consider that the method proposed in this study realizes the application of smallsample uncertainty analysis in reliability analysis, and could provide a feasible way to solve the similar problems in engineering with multidimensional and small-sample parameters. 展开更多
关键词 AVIATION SEAL Interval uncertainty method MULTIDIMENSIONAL response surface SEALING reliability Small-sample parameters
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