This study proposes a novel radar echo extrapolation algorithm,OF-ConvGRU,which integrates Optical Flow(OF)and Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit(ConvGRU)methods for improved nowcasting.Using the Standardized Radar Da...This study proposes a novel radar echo extrapolation algorithm,OF-ConvGRU,which integrates Optical Flow(OF)and Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit(ConvGRU)methods for improved nowcasting.Using the Standardized Radar Dataset of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,the performance of OF-ConvGRU was evaluated against OF and ConvGRU methods.Threat Score(TS)and Bias Score(BIAS)were employed to assess extrapolation accuracy across various echo intensities(20-50 dBz)and weather phenomena.Results demonstrate that OF-ConvGRU significantly enhances prediction accuracy for moderate-intensity echoes(30-40 dBz),effectively combining OF s precise motion estimation with ConvGRU s nonlinear learning capabilities.However,challenges persist in low-intensity(20 dBz)and high-intensity(50 dBz)echo predictions.The study reveals distinct advantages of each method in specific contexts,highlighting the importance of multi-method approaches in operational nowcasting.OF-ConvGRU shows promise in balancing short-term accuracy with long-term stability,particularly for complex weather systems.展开更多
Extrapolation on Temporal Knowledge Graphs(TKGs)aims to predict future knowledge from a set of historical Knowledge Graphs in chronological order.The temporally adjacent facts in TKGs naturally form event sequences,ca...Extrapolation on Temporal Knowledge Graphs(TKGs)aims to predict future knowledge from a set of historical Knowledge Graphs in chronological order.The temporally adjacent facts in TKGs naturally form event sequences,called event evolution patterns,implying informative temporal dependencies between events.Recently,many extrapolation works on TKGs have been devoted to modelling these evolutional patterns,but the task is still far from resolved because most existing works simply rely on encoding these patterns into entity representations while overlooking the significant information implied by relations of evolutional patterns.However,the authors realise that the temporal dependencies inherent in the relations of these event evolution patterns may guide the follow-up event prediction to some extent.To this end,a Temporal Relational Context-based Temporal Dependencies Learning Network(TRenD)is proposed to explore the temporal context of relations for more comprehensive learning of event evolution patterns,especially those temporal dependencies caused by interactive patterns of relations.Trend incorporates a semantic context unit to capture semantic correlations between relations,and a structural context unit to learn the interaction pattern of relations.By learning the temporal contexts of relations semantically and structurally,the authors gain insights into the underlying event evolution patterns,enabling to extract comprehensive historical information for future prediction better.Experimental results on benchmark datasets demonstrate the superiority of the model.展开更多
Autoregressive (AR) modeling is applied to data extrapolation of radio frequency (RF) echo signals, and Burg algorithm, which can be computed in small amount and lead to a stable prediction filter, is used to estimate...Autoregressive (AR) modeling is applied to data extrapolation of radio frequency (RF) echo signals, and Burg algorithm, which can be computed in small amount and lead to a stable prediction filter, is used to estimate the prediction parameters of AR modeling. The complex data samples are directly extrapolated to obtain the extrapolated echo data in the frequency domain. The small rotating angle data extrapolation and the large rotating angular data extrapolation are considered separately in azimuth domain. The method of data extrapolation for the small rotating angle is the same as that in frequency domain, while the amplitude samples of large rotating angle echo data are extrapolated to obtain extrapolated echo amplitude, and the complex data of large rotating angle echo samples are extrapolated to get the extrapolated echo phase respectively. The calculation results show that the extrapolated echo data obtained by the above mentioned methods are accurate.展开更多
针对基于双向测距(Two Way Ranging,TWR)的超宽带(Ultra Wide Band,UWB)定位技术在温室场景下定位精度较低的问题,提出了一种基于多维处理的TWR测距优化方法,并在此基础上采用差分定位对UWB在温室场景下的定位误差进行修正。基于多维处...针对基于双向测距(Two Way Ranging,TWR)的超宽带(Ultra Wide Band,UWB)定位技术在温室场景下定位精度较低的问题,提出了一种基于多维处理的TWR测距优化方法,并在此基础上采用差分定位对UWB在温室场景下的定位误差进行修正。基于多维处理的TWR测距优化,主要以外推拟合的方式减少TWR测距的异常值,并利用粒子滤波对TWR测距系统的有色噪声进行处理。通过试验与传统的均值滤波和卡尔曼滤波进行对比发现:相较于均值滤波,本文方法的最大误差、误差均值、误差标准差分别降低了69.3%、73.8%、72.1%。基于差分定位的UWB优化方法,通过在常规三边定位的基础上引入位置已知的修正标签,将修正标签在UWB坐标系下到达各个固定基站的测量值与真实值的偏差作为修正值,利用固定基站将修正信息传送给待测标签,并对待测标签位置信息进行误差修正。试验结果表明:本文方法能在一定程度上提高UWB在温室场景下的定位精度。修正后,静态定位下的最大误差、平均绝对误差和均方根误差分别降低了11.56%、12.23%、11.57%,动态定位下的偏差均值、方差和标准差分别降低了9.06%、15.04%和7.84%。展开更多
A series of SnO2‐based catalysts modified by Mn, Zr, Ti and Pb oxides with a Sn/M （M=Mn, Zr, Ti and Pb） molar ratio of 9/1 were prepared by a co‐precipitation method and used for CH4 and CO oxidation. The Mn3＋, ...A series of SnO2‐based catalysts modified by Mn, Zr, Ti and Pb oxides with a Sn/M （M=Mn, Zr, Ti and Pb） molar ratio of 9/1 were prepared by a co‐precipitation method and used for CH4 and CO oxidation. The Mn3＋, Zr4＋, Ti4＋and Pb4＋cations are incorporated into the lattice of tetragonal rutile SnO2 to form a solid solution structure. As a consequence, the surface area and thermal stability of the catalysts are improved. Moreover, the oxygen species of the modified catalysts become easier to be reduced. Therefore, the oxidation activity over the catalysts was improved, except for the one modified by Pb oxide. Manganese oxide demonstrates the best promotional effects for SnO2. Using an X‐ray diffraction extrapolation method, the lattice capacity of SnO2 for Mn2O3 was 0.135 g Mn2O3/g SnO2, which indicates that to form stable solid solution, only 21%Sn4＋cations in the lattice can be maximally replaced by Mn3＋. If the amount of Mn3＋cations is over the capacity, Mn2O3 will be formed, which is not favorable for the activity of the catalysts. The Sn rich samples with only Sn‐Mn solid solution phase show higher activity than the ones with excess Mn2O3 species.展开更多
Transient control law ensures that the aeroengine transits to the command operating state rapidly and reliably. Most of the existing approaches for transient control law design have complicated principle and arithmeti...Transient control law ensures that the aeroengine transits to the command operating state rapidly and reliably. Most of the existing approaches for transient control law design have complicated principle and arithmetic. As a result, those approaches are not convenient for application. This paper proposes an extrapolation approach based on the set-point parameters to construct the transient control law, which has a good practicability. In this approach, the transient main fuel control law for acceleration and deceleration process is designed based on the main fuel flow on steady operating state. In order to analyze the designing feature of the extrapolation approach, the simulation results of several different transient control laws designed by the same approach are compared together. The analysis indicates that the aeroengine has a good performance in the transient process and the designing feature of the extrapolation approach conforms to the elements of the turbofan aeroengine.展开更多
Extending the lead time of precipitation nowcasts is vital to improvements in heavy rainfall warning, flood mitigation, and water resource management. Because the TREC vector （tracking radar echo by correlation） rep...Extending the lead time of precipitation nowcasts is vital to improvements in heavy rainfall warning, flood mitigation, and water resource management. Because the TREC vector （tracking radar echo by correlation） represents only the instantaneous trend of precipitation echo motion, the approach using derived echo motion vectors to extrapolate radar reflectivity as a rainfall forecast is not satisfactory if the lead time is beyond 30 minutes. For longer lead times, the effect of ambient winds on echo movement should be considered. In this paper, an extrapolation algorithm that extends forecast lead times up to 3 hours was developed to blend TREC vectors with model-predicted winds. The TREC vectors were derived from radar reflectivity patterns in 3 km height CAPPI （constant altitude plan position indicator） mosaics through a cross-correlation technique. The background steering winds were provided by predictions of the rapid update assimilation model CHAF （cycle of hourly assimilation and forecast）. A similarity index was designed to determine the vertical level at which model winds were applied in the extrapolation process, which occurs via a comparison between model winds and radar vectors. Based on a summer rainfall case study, it is found that the new algorithm provides a better forecast.展开更多
It is widely reported that CALPHAD is an extrapolation method when the thermodynamic properties of a multicomponent system are approximated by its subsystems.In this work the meaning of the words extrapolation and int...It is widely reported that CALPHAD is an extrapolation method when the thermodynamic properties of a multicomponent system are approximated by its subsystems.In this work the meaning of the words extrapolation and interpolation is discussed in context of the CALPHAD method.When assessing the properties in binary and ternary systems,extrapolation method is indeed often used.However,after assessment,the Gibbs energies are in fact interpolated from the lower order systems into the higher order systems in the compositional space.The metastable melting temperatures of bcc and hep in Re-W and the liquid miscibility gap in Mg-Zr system are predicted to illustrate the difference between interpolation and extrapolation.展开更多
To enhance the resolution of parameter estimation with limited samples received by a short passive array,an iterative nonparametric algorithm for estimating the frequencies and direction-of-arrivals(DOAs)of signals is...To enhance the resolution of parameter estimation with limited samples received by a short passive array,an iterative nonparametric algorithm for estimating the frequencies and direction-of-arrivals(DOAs)of signals is proposed.The cost function is constructed using 12-norm Gaussian entropy combined with an additional constraint,12-norm constraint or linear constraint.By minimizing the cost functions in the temporal and the spatial dimensions using corresponding iteration algorithms respectively,the sparse discrete Fourier transforms(DFTs)of temporal and spatial samples are obtained to represent the extrapolated sequences with much larger sizes than the original samples.Then frequency and angle estimates are obtained by performing the traditional simple methods on the extrapolated sequences.It is shown that the proposed algorithm offers increased resolution and significantly reduced sidelobes compared with the periodogram and beamforming based methods.And it achieves high precision compared with the high-resolution method with lower computational burden.Some numerical simulations and real data processing results are presented to verify the effectiveness of the method.展开更多
基金Scientific Research and Development Project of Hebei Meteorological Bureau(23ky08).
文摘This study proposes a novel radar echo extrapolation algorithm,OF-ConvGRU,which integrates Optical Flow(OF)and Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit(ConvGRU)methods for improved nowcasting.Using the Standardized Radar Dataset of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,the performance of OF-ConvGRU was evaluated against OF and ConvGRU methods.Threat Score(TS)and Bias Score(BIAS)were employed to assess extrapolation accuracy across various echo intensities(20-50 dBz)and weather phenomena.Results demonstrate that OF-ConvGRU significantly enhances prediction accuracy for moderate-intensity echoes(30-40 dBz),effectively combining OF s precise motion estimation with ConvGRU s nonlinear learning capabilities.However,challenges persist in low-intensity(20 dBz)and high-intensity(50 dBz)echo predictions.The study reveals distinct advantages of each method in specific contexts,highlighting the importance of multi-method approaches in operational nowcasting.OF-ConvGRU shows promise in balancing short-term accuracy with long-term stability,particularly for complex weather systems.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62302507)and the funding of Harbin Institute of Technology(Shenzhen)(No.20210035).
文摘Extrapolation on Temporal Knowledge Graphs(TKGs)aims to predict future knowledge from a set of historical Knowledge Graphs in chronological order.The temporally adjacent facts in TKGs naturally form event sequences,called event evolution patterns,implying informative temporal dependencies between events.Recently,many extrapolation works on TKGs have been devoted to modelling these evolutional patterns,but the task is still far from resolved because most existing works simply rely on encoding these patterns into entity representations while overlooking the significant information implied by relations of evolutional patterns.However,the authors realise that the temporal dependencies inherent in the relations of these event evolution patterns may guide the follow-up event prediction to some extent.To this end,a Temporal Relational Context-based Temporal Dependencies Learning Network(TRenD)is proposed to explore the temporal context of relations for more comprehensive learning of event evolution patterns,especially those temporal dependencies caused by interactive patterns of relations.Trend incorporates a semantic context unit to capture semantic correlations between relations,and a structural context unit to learn the interaction pattern of relations.By learning the temporal contexts of relations semantically and structurally,the authors gain insights into the underlying event evolution patterns,enabling to extract comprehensive historical information for future prediction better.Experimental results on benchmark datasets demonstrate the superiority of the model.
文摘Autoregressive (AR) modeling is applied to data extrapolation of radio frequency (RF) echo signals, and Burg algorithm, which can be computed in small amount and lead to a stable prediction filter, is used to estimate the prediction parameters of AR modeling. The complex data samples are directly extrapolated to obtain the extrapolated echo data in the frequency domain. The small rotating angle data extrapolation and the large rotating angular data extrapolation are considered separately in azimuth domain. The method of data extrapolation for the small rotating angle is the same as that in frequency domain, while the amplitude samples of large rotating angle echo data are extrapolated to obtain extrapolated echo amplitude, and the complex data of large rotating angle echo samples are extrapolated to get the extrapolated echo phase respectively. The calculation results show that the extrapolated echo data obtained by the above mentioned methods are accurate.
文摘针对基于双向测距(Two Way Ranging,TWR)的超宽带(Ultra Wide Band,UWB)定位技术在温室场景下定位精度较低的问题,提出了一种基于多维处理的TWR测距优化方法,并在此基础上采用差分定位对UWB在温室场景下的定位误差进行修正。基于多维处理的TWR测距优化,主要以外推拟合的方式减少TWR测距的异常值,并利用粒子滤波对TWR测距系统的有色噪声进行处理。通过试验与传统的均值滤波和卡尔曼滤波进行对比发现:相较于均值滤波,本文方法的最大误差、误差均值、误差标准差分别降低了69.3%、73.8%、72.1%。基于差分定位的UWB优化方法,通过在常规三边定位的基础上引入位置已知的修正标签,将修正标签在UWB坐标系下到达各个固定基站的测量值与真实值的偏差作为修正值,利用固定基站将修正信息传送给待测标签,并对待测标签位置信息进行误差修正。试验结果表明:本文方法能在一定程度上提高UWB在温室场景下的定位精度。修正后,静态定位下的最大误差、平均绝对误差和均方根误差分别降低了11.56%、12.23%、11.57%,动态定位下的偏差均值、方差和标准差分别降低了9.06%、15.04%和7.84%。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (21263015,21567016 and 21503106)the Education Department Foundation of Jiangxi Province (KJLD14005 and GJJ150016)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province (20142BAB213013 and 20151BBE50006),which are greatly acknowledged by the authors~~
文摘A series of SnO2‐based catalysts modified by Mn, Zr, Ti and Pb oxides with a Sn/M （M=Mn, Zr, Ti and Pb） molar ratio of 9/1 were prepared by a co‐precipitation method and used for CH4 and CO oxidation. The Mn3＋, Zr4＋, Ti4＋and Pb4＋cations are incorporated into the lattice of tetragonal rutile SnO2 to form a solid solution structure. As a consequence, the surface area and thermal stability of the catalysts are improved. Moreover, the oxygen species of the modified catalysts become easier to be reduced. Therefore, the oxidation activity over the catalysts was improved, except for the one modified by Pb oxide. Manganese oxide demonstrates the best promotional effects for SnO2. Using an X‐ray diffraction extrapolation method, the lattice capacity of SnO2 for Mn2O3 was 0.135 g Mn2O3/g SnO2, which indicates that to form stable solid solution, only 21%Sn4＋cations in the lattice can be maximally replaced by Mn3＋. If the amount of Mn3＋cations is over the capacity, Mn2O3 will be formed, which is not favorable for the activity of the catalysts. The Sn rich samples with only Sn‐Mn solid solution phase show higher activity than the ones with excess Mn2O3 species.
基金support of Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (2011ZB51019)
文摘Transient control law ensures that the aeroengine transits to the command operating state rapidly and reliably. Most of the existing approaches for transient control law design have complicated principle and arithmetic. As a result, those approaches are not convenient for application. This paper proposes an extrapolation approach based on the set-point parameters to construct the transient control law, which has a good practicability. In this approach, the transient main fuel control law for acceleration and deceleration process is designed based on the main fuel flow on steady operating state. In order to analyze the designing feature of the extrapolation approach, the simulation results of several different transient control laws designed by the same approach are compared together. The analysis indicates that the aeroengine has a good performance in the transient process and the designing feature of the extrapolation approach conforms to the elements of the turbofan aeroengine.
基金This study was provided by Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province under Grant No. 5001121the China Meteorological Administration under Grant Nos. CMATG2005Y05 and CMATG2008Z10the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau under Grant Nos. 2007A2 and GRMC2007Z03
文摘Extending the lead time of precipitation nowcasts is vital to improvements in heavy rainfall warning, flood mitigation, and water resource management. Because the TREC vector （tracking radar echo by correlation） represents only the instantaneous trend of precipitation echo motion, the approach using derived echo motion vectors to extrapolate radar reflectivity as a rainfall forecast is not satisfactory if the lead time is beyond 30 minutes. For longer lead times, the effect of ambient winds on echo movement should be considered. In this paper, an extrapolation algorithm that extends forecast lead times up to 3 hours was developed to blend TREC vectors with model-predicted winds. The TREC vectors were derived from radar reflectivity patterns in 3 km height CAPPI （constant altitude plan position indicator） mosaics through a cross-correlation technique. The background steering winds were provided by predictions of the rapid update assimilation model CHAF （cycle of hourly assimilation and forecast）. A similarity index was designed to determine the vertical level at which model winds were applied in the extrapolation process, which occurs via a comparison between model winds and radar vectors. Based on a summer rainfall case study, it is found that the new algorithm provides a better forecast.
基金financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 51671118 and 51871143)Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST (No. 2017QNRC001)+2 种基金the “Chenguang” project supported by Shanghai Municipal Education Commission and Shanghai Education Development Foundation (No. 17CG42)Science and Technology Committee of Shanghai (No. 16520721800)Aeronautical Science Fund ¨Integrated computational research of the additive manufacturing for ultra-high strength Ti alloys¨(No. 2017ZF25022)
文摘It is widely reported that CALPHAD is an extrapolation method when the thermodynamic properties of a multicomponent system are approximated by its subsystems.In this work the meaning of the words extrapolation and interpolation is discussed in context of the CALPHAD method.When assessing the properties in binary and ternary systems,extrapolation method is indeed often used.However,after assessment,the Gibbs energies are in fact interpolated from the lower order systems into the higher order systems in the compositional space.The metastable melting temperatures of bcc and hep in Re-W and the liquid miscibility gap in Mg-Zr system are predicted to illustrate the difference between interpolation and extrapolation.
基金supported by the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University(NCET-06-0856)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60772068)
文摘To enhance the resolution of parameter estimation with limited samples received by a short passive array,an iterative nonparametric algorithm for estimating the frequencies and direction-of-arrivals(DOAs)of signals is proposed.The cost function is constructed using 12-norm Gaussian entropy combined with an additional constraint,12-norm constraint or linear constraint.By minimizing the cost functions in the temporal and the spatial dimensions using corresponding iteration algorithms respectively,the sparse discrete Fourier transforms(DFTs)of temporal and spatial samples are obtained to represent the extrapolated sequences with much larger sizes than the original samples.Then frequency and angle estimates are obtained by performing the traditional simple methods on the extrapolated sequences.It is shown that the proposed algorithm offers increased resolution and significantly reduced sidelobes compared with the periodogram and beamforming based methods.And it achieves high precision compared with the high-resolution method with lower computational burden.Some numerical simulations and real data processing results are presented to verify the effectiveness of the method.
