可信度是作战仿真的生命线,对作战仿真系统建设全生命周期进行校核、验证与确认(verification,validation and accreditation,VV&A)是确保其可信度的重要途径。合适的评估方法是进行可信度评估的前提条件。在全面分析与比较已有可...可信度是作战仿真的生命线,对作战仿真系统建设全生命周期进行校核、验证与确认(verification,validation and accreditation,VV&A)是确保其可信度的重要途径。合适的评估方法是进行可信度评估的前提条件。在全面分析与比较已有可信度评估方法基础上,针对作战仿真可信度评估中突出主题专家作用的特点,提出了一种基于主观综合评判的可信度评估方法,重点设计了基于专长权的主题专家权重定量计算方法。这些方法都被应用于"××作战仿真系统"的可信度评估工作中。实践表明,本文的研究对于作战仿真系统等复杂仿真系统的可信度评估非常有效。展开更多
This paper deals with the multiple experts multiple criteria decision making (MEMCDM) problem. To help experts in a committee in reaching a satisfactory decision outcome, a three phase decision making method is deve...This paper deals with the multiple experts multiple criteria decision making (MEMCDM) problem. To help experts in a committee in reaching a satisfactory decision outcome, a three phase decision making method is developed in this study. We describe the procedure of the proposed three phase method and its application in a case study. Three phases—the initial comparison test, criteria aggregation, and experts’ aggregation, are concerned with fuzzy evaluation of the multiple criteria, which is based on fuzzy preference ordering and membership functions of the fuzzy set theory. The algorithms are presented thoroughly for each phase of overall procedure of MEMCDM. The three phase method combines the Delphi interactive method and the evaluation of minimal separation measure from the ideal solution. Finally worthwhile directions for future research are summarized.展开更多
文摘可信度是作战仿真的生命线,对作战仿真系统建设全生命周期进行校核、验证与确认(verification,validation and accreditation,VV&A)是确保其可信度的重要途径。合适的评估方法是进行可信度评估的前提条件。在全面分析与比较已有可信度评估方法基础上,针对作战仿真可信度评估中突出主题专家作用的特点,提出了一种基于主观综合评判的可信度评估方法,重点设计了基于专长权的主题专家权重定量计算方法。这些方法都被应用于"××作战仿真系统"的可信度评估工作中。实践表明,本文的研究对于作战仿真系统等复杂仿真系统的可信度评估非常有效。
文摘This paper deals with the multiple experts multiple criteria decision making (MEMCDM) problem. To help experts in a committee in reaching a satisfactory decision outcome, a three phase decision making method is developed in this study. We describe the procedure of the proposed three phase method and its application in a case study. Three phases—the initial comparison test, criteria aggregation, and experts’ aggregation, are concerned with fuzzy evaluation of the multiple criteria, which is based on fuzzy preference ordering and membership functions of the fuzzy set theory. The algorithms are presented thoroughly for each phase of overall procedure of MEMCDM. The three phase method combines the Delphi interactive method and the evaluation of minimal separation measure from the ideal solution. Finally worthwhile directions for future research are summarized.
