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BIM-Based Visualization System for Settlement Warning in Multi-Purpose Utility Tunnels(MUTs)
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作者 Ping Wu Jie Zou +1 位作者 Wangxin Li Yidong Xu 《Structural Durability & Health Monitoring》 2026年第1期283-301,共19页
The existing 2D settlement monitoring systems for utility tunnels are heavily reliant on manual interpretation of deformation data and empirical predictionmodels.Consequently,early anomalies(e.g.,minor cracks)are ofte... The existing 2D settlement monitoring systems for utility tunnels are heavily reliant on manual interpretation of deformation data and empirical predictionmodels.Consequently,early anomalies(e.g.,minor cracks)are often misjudged,and warnings lag by about 24 h without automated spatial localization.This study establishes a technical framework for requirements analysis,architectural design,and data-integration protocols.Revit parametric modelling is used to build a 3D tunnel model with structural elements,pipelines and 18 monitoring points(for displacement and joint width).Custom Revit API code integrated real-time sensor data into the BIM platform via an automated pipeline.The system achieved a spatial accuracy of±1 mm in locating deformation hotspots.Notifications are triggered within 10 s of anomaly detection,and the system renders 3D risk propagation paths in real-time.Realtime 3D visualization of risk propagation paths is also facilitated.The efficacy of the solution was validated in a Ningbo utility tunnel project,where it was demonstrated that it eliminates human-dependent judgment errors and reduces warning latency by 99.9%compared to conventional methods.The BIM-IoT integrated approach,which enables millimetre-level precision in risk identification and near-instantaneous response,establishes a new paradigm for intelligent infrastructure safety management. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-purpose utility tunnels settlement monitoring BIM-based visualization WARNING
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Optimal consumption-leisure, portfolio and retirement selection based on α-maxmin expected CES utility with ambiguity 被引量:23
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作者 FEI Wei-yin 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第4期435-454,共20页
This article studies optimal consumption-leisure, portfolio and retirement selection of an infinitely lived investor whose preference is formulated by a-maxmin expected CES utility which is to differentiate ambiguity ... This article studies optimal consumption-leisure, portfolio and retirement selection of an infinitely lived investor whose preference is formulated by a-maxmin expected CES utility which is to differentiate ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. Adopting the recursive multiple- priors utility and the technique of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), we transform the (^-maxmin expected CES utility into a classical expected CES utility under a new probability measure related to the degree of an investor's uncertainty. Our model investi- gates the optimal consumption-leisure-work selection, the optimal portfolio selection, and the optimal stopping problem. In this model, the investor is able to adjust her supply of labor flex- ibly above a certain minimum work-hour along with a retirement option. The problem can be analytically solved by using a variational inequality. And the optimal retirement time is given as the first time when her wealth exceeds a certain critical level. The optimal consumption-leisure and portfolio strategies before and after retirement are provided in closed forms. Finally, the distinctions of optimal consumption-leisure, portfolio and critical wealth level under ambiguity from those with no vagueness are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 α-maxmin expected CES utility stochastic control BSDEs optimization of utility variationalinequality optimal consumption-leisure-portfolio and retirement.
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THE SPIRIT OF CAPITALISM,NON-EXPECTEDUTILITY AND ASSET PRICING 被引量:3
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作者 Yang Yunhong 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 1999年第4期409-416,共8页
This paper investigates testable restrictions on the time-series behavior of consumption and asset returns implied by a representative agent model with the spirit of capitalism in which intertemporal preference is rep... This paper investigates testable restrictions on the time-series behavior of consumption and asset returns implied by a representative agent model with the spirit of capitalism in which intertemporal preference is represented by a utility function that generalizes conventional,time-additive,expected utility.In the recursive structure of preference,the author examines the implication for cosumptions,portfolio holdings,and stock-market prices when investors accumulate wealth not only for the sake of consumption but also for wealth-induced social status.When investors care about relative social status,the propensity to consume and risk-taking behavior will depend on social standards,and stock prices will be volatible.Hence,the spirit of capitalism seems to be a driving force behind stock-market volatility and economic growth.Because the elasticity df substitution and the coefficient of relative risk aversion are independent and the spirit of capitalism is introduced,the equity premium puzzle can be partially explained in the model. 展开更多
关键词 the spirit of capitalism non-expected utility asset pricing wealth growth
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Discussing an Expected Utility and Weighted Entropy Framework
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作者 José Pinto Casquilho 《Natural Science》 2014年第7期545-551,共7页
In this paper, it is discussed a framework combining traditional expected utility and weighted entropy (EU-WE)—also named mean contributive value index—which may be conceived as a decision aiding procedure, or a heu... In this paper, it is discussed a framework combining traditional expected utility and weighted entropy (EU-WE)—also named mean contributive value index—which may be conceived as a decision aiding procedure, or a heuristic device generating compositional scenarios, based on information theory concepts, namely weighted entropy. New proofs concerning the maximum value of the index and the evaluation of optimal proportions are outlined, with emphasis on the optimal value of the Lagrange multiplier and its meaning. The rationale is a procedure of maximizing the combined value of a system expressed as a mosaic, denoted by characteristic values of the states and their proportions. Other perspectives of application of this EU-WE framework are suggested. 展开更多
关键词 MOSAIC Composition expected utility WEIGHTED ENTROPY Mean Contributive Value
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Understanding Expected Utility for Decision Making
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作者 Somdeb Lahiri 《Management Studies》 2023年第2期93-104,共12页
In this paper,we present a brief version of de Finetti-Ramsey’s subjective probability theory and provide a rigorous yet intuitively plausible explanation of expected utility using elementary mathematics.In a final s... In this paper,we present a brief version of de Finetti-Ramsey’s subjective probability theory and provide a rigorous yet intuitively plausible explanation of expected utility using elementary mathematics.In a final section,we take up the case of some“Paradoxes in Expected Utility Theory”and try to reconcile them with the help of subjective probabilities. 展开更多
关键词 subjective probability uncertain prospects expected utility of monetary gains
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Optimal Investment and Risk Control Strategy for an Insurer under the Framework of Expected Logarithmic Utility
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作者 Tingyun Wang 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2016年第2期286-294,共9页
In this paper, we consider an insurer who wants to maximize its expected utility of terminal wealth by selecting optimal investment and risk control strategies. The insurer’s risk process is modeled by a jump-diffusi... In this paper, we consider an insurer who wants to maximize its expected utility of terminal wealth by selecting optimal investment and risk control strategies. The insurer’s risk process is modeled by a jump-diffusion process and is negatively correlated with the returns of securities and derivatives in the financial market. In the financial model, a part of insurers’ wealth is invested into the financial market. Using a martingale approach, we obtain an explicit solution of optimal strategy for the insurer under logarithmic utility function. 展开更多
关键词 Jump-Diffusion Process Logarithmic utility Martingale Approach
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Utility and influence mechanism of densification modulation on grain boundary diffusion in NdFeB magnets 被引量:1
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作者 San'gen Luo Munan Yang +4 位作者 Shuwei Zhong Sajjad Ur Rehman Jiajie Li Xiaoqiang Yu Bin Yang 《Journal of Rare Earths》 2025年第3期569-577,I0006,共10页
Grain boundary diffusion technology is pivotal in the preparation of high-performance NdFeB magnets.This study investigates the factors that affect the efficiency of grain boundary diffusion,starting from the properti... Grain boundary diffusion technology is pivotal in the preparation of high-performance NdFeB magnets.This study investigates the factors that affect the efficiency of grain boundary diffusion,starting from the properties of the diffusion matrix.Through the adjustment of the sintering process,we effectively prepared magnets with varied densities that serve as the matrix for grain boundary diffusion with TbH,diffusion.The mobility characteristics of the Nd-rich phase during the densification stage are leveraged to ensure a more extensive distribution of heavy rare earth elements within the magnets.According to the experimental results,the increase in coercivity of low-density magnets after diffusion is significantly greater than that of relatively high-density magnets.The coercivity values measured are 805.32 kA/m for low-density magnets and 470.3 kA/m for high-density magnets.Additionally,grain boundary diffusion notably enhances the density of initial low-density magnets,addressing the issue of low density during the sintering stage.Before the diffusion treatment,the Nd-rich phases primarily concentrate at the triangular grain boundaries,resulting in an increased number of cavity defects in the magnets.These cavity defects contain atoms in a higher energy state,making them more prone to transition.Consequently,the diffusion activation energy at the void defects is lower than the intracrystalline diffusion activation energy,accelerating atom diffusion.The presence of larger cavities also provides more space for atom migration,thereby promoting the diffusion process.After the diffusion treatment,the proportion of bulk Nd-rich phases significantly decreases,and they infiltrate between the grains to fill the cavity defects,forming continuous fine grain boundaries.Based on these observations,the study aims to explore how to utilize this information to develop an efficient technique for grain boundary diffusion. 展开更多
关键词 NdFeB magnets DENSITY Grain boundary diffusion Defect utility Rare earths
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Leaders’ expectations of innovation and employees’ innovative behavior: The roles of employees’ expected positive performance outcomes and innovative self-efficacy
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作者 Qian Ma Hao Zhou 《Journal of Psychology in Africa》 2025年第1期7-19,共13页
Employees’innovative performance determines an organization’s innovation,which critically impacts its structural optimization and sustainability.Applying expectancy theory,we examined how and when the Pygmalion effe... Employees’innovative performance determines an organization’s innovation,which critically impacts its structural optimization and sustainability.Applying expectancy theory,we examined how and when the Pygmalion effect occurs in the relationship between leaders’expectations of innovation and employee innovative behavior.Our sample comprised 201 frontline employees(female=31.84%;mean age=41.48 years,SD=7.97 years)in a Chinese coal enterprise,who completed surveys on innovation expectations of leaders,expected positive performance outcomes,innovative self-efficacy and innovative behavior.The results revealed that employees’expected positive performance outcomes mediated the positive relationship between leaders’innovation expectations and their innovative behavior.Employees’innovative self-efficacy positively moderated the relationship between their expected positive performance outcomes and innovative behavior,with this relationship being stronger for employees with high innovative self-efficacy.Moreover,we validated the moderated mediation model.Findings suggest that leaders can stimulate employee innovative behavior through expressing expectations and they also need to consider the boundary conditions. 展开更多
关键词 expectations of innovation expected positive performance outcomes innovative behavior innovative self-efficacy organizational innovation
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Utility-Driven Edge Caching Optimization with Deep Reinforcement Learning under Uncertain Content Popularity
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作者 Mingoo Kwon Kyeongmin Kim Minseok Song 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第10期519-537,共19页
Efficient edge caching is essential for maximizing utility in video streaming systems,especially under constraints such as limited storage capacity and dynamically fluctuating content popularity.Utility,defined as the... Efficient edge caching is essential for maximizing utility in video streaming systems,especially under constraints such as limited storage capacity and dynamically fluctuating content popularity.Utility,defined as the benefit obtained per unit of cache bandwidth usage,degrades when static or greedy caching strategies fail to adapt to changing demand patterns.To address this,we propose a deep reinforcement learning(DRL)-based caching framework built upon the proximal policy optimization(PPO)algorithm.Our approach formulates edge caching as a sequential decision-making problem and introduces a reward model that balances cache hit performance and utility by prioritizing high-demand,high-quality content while penalizing degraded quality delivery.We construct a realistic synthetic dataset that captures both temporal variations and shifting content popularity to validate our model.Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed method improves utility by up to 135.9%and achieves an average improvement of 22.6%compared to traditional greedy algorithms and long short-term memory(LSTM)-based prediction models.Moreover,our method consistently performs well across a variety of utility functions,workload distributions,and storage limitations,underscoring its adaptability and robustness in dynamic video caching environments. 展开更多
关键词 Edge caching video-on-demand reinforcement learning utility optimization
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Sex-Specific Association of Telomere Length with Individualized Expected Years of Life Lost among 203,731 Males and 241,668 Females
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作者 Feifei Xu Chenjie Li +7 位作者 Yifan Wang Xiao Wang Yumnah Babar Shuang Liang Fan Yang Zhazheng He Honggang Yi Juncheng Dai 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 2025年第12期1520-1528,共9页
Objective Telomere length is a key aging biomarker,but its sex-specific impact on individualized life expectancy remains uncertain.This study explores sex differences in leukocyte telomere length(LTL)and individualize... Objective Telomere length is a key aging biomarker,but its sex-specific impact on individualized life expectancy remains uncertain.This study explores sex differences in leukocyte telomere length(LTL)and individualized expected years of life lost(YLL).Methods A prospective cohort of 445,399 participants(203,731 males and 241,668 females)from the UK Biobank was analyzed.LTL values were log-transformed,and YLL was calculated using life tables.Multiple linear regression was applied to examine sex-specific associations.Results In males,each standard deviation(S.D.)increase in LTL was linked to a 0.965-year decrease in YLL(95%CI:–1.025,–0.900;P<0.001).In females,longer LTL was related to a 0.102-year increase in YLL(95%CI:0.057,0.146;P<0.001).Among postmenopausal females,LTL showed a protective effect similar to that in males(0.387-year decrease,95%CI:−0.446,–0.328;P<0.001),while premenopausal females exhibited a detrimental association(0.705-year increase,95%CI:0.625,0.785;P<0.001).Comparable trends were observed across major aging-related diseases,pointing to a consistent biological pattern.Conclusion The influence of LTL on life expectancy varies significantly by sex,with protective associations seen in males and postmenopausal females.This suggests hormonal involvement in telomere dynamics.The results support integrating sex-specific perspectives into aging and telomere research and clinical practice. 展开更多
关键词 Individualized expected years of life lost Leukocyte telomere length SEX-SPECIFIC
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Personalized fund recommendation with dynamic utility learning
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作者 Jiaxin Wei Jia Liu 《Financial Innovation》 2025年第1期1558-1584,共27页
This study introduces a fund recommendation system based on the ε-greedy algorithm and an incremental learning framework.This model simulates the interaction process when customers browse the web-pages of fund produc... This study introduces a fund recommendation system based on the ε-greedy algorithm and an incremental learning framework.This model simulates the interaction process when customers browse the web-pages of fund products.Customers click on their preferred fund products when visiting a fund recommendation web-page.The system collects customer click sequences to continually estimate and update their utility function.The system generates product lists using the ε-greedy algorithm,where each product on the list has the probability of 1-ε of being selected as an exploitation strategy,and the probability of ε is chosen as the exploration strategy.We perform a series of numerical tests to evaluate the estimation performance with different values of ε. 展开更多
关键词 Personalized fund recommendation ε-greedy algorithm Dynamic utility learning
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Empowering Underground Utility Tunnel Operation and Maintenance with Data Intelligence:Risk Factors,Prospects,and Challenges
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作者 Jie Zou Ping Wu +2 位作者 Jianwei Chen Weijie Fan Yidong Xu 《Structural Durability & Health Monitoring》 2025年第3期441-471,共31页
As an essential part of the urban infrastructure,underground utility tunnels have a long service life,complex structural performance evolution and dynamic changes both inside and outside the tunnel.These combined fact... As an essential part of the urban infrastructure,underground utility tunnels have a long service life,complex structural performance evolution and dynamic changes both inside and outside the tunnel.These combined factors result in a wide variety of disaster risks during the operation and maintenance phase,which make risk management and control particularly challenging.This work first reviews three common representative disaster factors during the operation and maintenance period:settlement,earthquakes,and explosions.It summarizes the causes of disasters,key technologies,and research methods.Then,it delves into the research on the intelligent operation and maintenance architecture for utility tunnels.Additionally,it explores the data challenges,monitoring technologies,and management platform architectures faced during the operation and maintenance process.This work provides new research perspectives for the long-term,healthy,and sustainable development of utility tunnels,which serve as the underground arteries of cities. 展开更多
关键词 Integrated utility tunnels operational hazards critical technologies intelligent maintenance smart platforms
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基于期望不一致理论的生成式人工智能用户信息效用测度研究
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作者 李颖 张彤 《情报理论与实践》 北大核心 2026年第1期88-95,共8页
[目的/意义]随着大语言模型应用的兴起,用户的信息获取渠道正在逐步转向新型的智能问答平台。这一转变产生的“多轮对话”序列数据可用作判断用户搜索效果的客观依据。[方法/过程]文章基于科研情境,探究用户信息搜寻行为中信息效用的构... [目的/意义]随着大语言模型应用的兴起,用户的信息获取渠道正在逐步转向新型的智能问答平台。这一转变产生的“多轮对话”序列数据可用作判断用户搜索效果的客观依据。[方法/过程]文章基于科研情境,探究用户信息搜寻行为中信息效用的构成原理。结合期望不一致理论,提出了信息效用测度模型,通过控制实验对不同用户认知背景下的信息效用价值进行测度。采用实验研究与定量数据分析相结合的方式,对用户与大语言模型的多轮交互流程进行了剖析,并采用累积效用值指标(Accumulate-Utility),探究用户信息搜寻过程中期望与实际体验间的差异给用户带来的效用变动,进一步验证了信息效用测度机制与信息效用模型框架的合理性。[结果/结论]信息效用模型框架较为合理地解释了用户信息搜寻的偏好情况、体验情况以及两者差异形成的最终效用水平,以及用户对不同属性任务的信息效用差异,进一步完善了分析信息搜寻效果的方法论。 展开更多
关键词 用户信息效用 期望不一致理论 累计效用值 生成式人工智能
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地方财政政策预期管理对企业预期的影响
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作者 匡小平 李辉 《统计与决策》 北大核心 2026年第1期142-148,共7页
地方财政政策预期管理是构建中国特色社会主义现代化预期管理制度的重要内容,也是实现“稳预期”的重要途径。文章基于2013—2023年我国地级市的面板数据探讨地方财政政策预期管理对企业预期的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:地方财政政... 地方财政政策预期管理是构建中国特色社会主义现代化预期管理制度的重要内容,也是实现“稳预期”的重要途径。文章基于2013—2023年我国地级市的面板数据探讨地方财政政策预期管理对企业预期的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:地方财政政策预期管理能够稳定企业预期,该结论经一系列检验后依旧稳健;异质性分析结果表明,地方财政政策预期管理对企业预期的影响在发达城市与欠发达城市企业、东部地区与中西部地区城市企业之间存在显著差异,且这种影响在欠发达城市及中西部地区城市的企业中更显著;在作用机制上,地方财政政策预期管理通过稳定居民消费预期及优化营商环境来稳定企业预期。 展开更多
关键词 地方财政政策预期管理 企业预期 稳消费 营商环境
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语言预期系统的构成与运作
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作者 陆方喆 朱斌 《汉语学习》 北大核心 2026年第1期25-34,共10页
本文从内容、主体、契合与状态四个维度揭示了语言预期系统的构成与运作方式,提出“情境—预期—现实”的预期认知框架。预期产生于人们日常生活与客观世界互动的实践过程中所获得的信念和愿望,其来源包括亲知、传闻与推理三类。现实符... 本文从内容、主体、契合与状态四个维度揭示了语言预期系统的构成与运作方式,提出“情境—预期—现实”的预期认知框架。预期产生于人们日常生活与客观世界互动的实践过程中所获得的信念和愿望,其来源包括亲知、传闻与推理三类。现实符合主体预期为合预期,不符合则是违预期。预期的主体包括个体、群体和交互预期三类。在预期句、合预期句以及反预期触发语、反预期标记所在的句子中,主体预期往往处于激活状态。未预期事件主要发生于主体预期处于抑制状态时,未预期不代表没有预期,只是预期没被激活。 展开更多
关键词 语言 预期系统 构成 运作
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新发展阶段健全宏观经济治理体系:理论内涵、现实挑战与完善路径 被引量:1
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作者 张军 邓燕飞 《财经论丛》 北大核心 2026年第1期5-14,共10页
本文系统阐述从“宏观调控”到“宏观经济治理”的范式转变及其理论内涵,剖析新发展阶段宏观经济运行的“弱平衡”等六大复杂性特征,揭示传统凯恩斯主义政策框架在新形势下的局限性,形成一个包含现代化中央银行制度、超越常规的政策工... 本文系统阐述从“宏观调控”到“宏观经济治理”的范式转变及其理论内涵,剖析新发展阶段宏观经济运行的“弱平衡”等六大复杂性特征,揭示传统凯恩斯主义政策框架在新形势下的局限性,形成一个包含现代化中央银行制度、超越常规的政策工具、多元政策工具协同及宏观经济预期管理等四大支柱的宏观经济治理体系分析框架。最后,结合党的二十届四中全会关于健全宏观经济治理体系的战略部署,提出以国家战略规划为导向、深化财税金融体制改革、强化政策一致性评估和预期管理的实践路径,旨在为构建中国特色、顺应新发展阶段要求的宏观经济治理体系提供理论方向和政策参考。 展开更多
关键词 新发展阶段 宏观经济治理 多元政策工具 政策协同 预期管理
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回报承诺类型对投资者决策质心的影响:基于众筹项目的实证研究
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作者 王伟 刘海王 +2 位作者 郭丽环 衣长军 王洪伟 《管理工程学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期150-165,共16页
为了探索众筹项目回报承诺类型对投资者决策的影响机制,基于期望理论,本研究引入工程学中的质心概念量化群体参与意愿水平。本研究采用LDA与SBERT相结合的文本挖掘模型,将回报承诺类型划分为功利价值型和情感价值型,前者注重实用性与功... 为了探索众筹项目回报承诺类型对投资者决策的影响机制,基于期望理论,本研究引入工程学中的质心概念量化群体参与意愿水平。本研究采用LDA与SBERT相结合的文本挖掘模型,将回报承诺类型划分为功利价值型和情感价值型,前者注重实用性与功能性,包括实物型和虚拟型两类;而后者关注用户体验,包括服务型和参与型两类。本研究以Kickstarter平台上的9166个项目及其41496个回报承诺选项作为研究数据。实证结果表明:(1)回报承诺选项数量和回报承诺类型数量对投资者决策质心具有正向影响;(2)从回报效用角度看,提供功利价值回报比提供情感价值回报对投资者的正向影响更强;(3)从细粒度分析结果上看,实物型回报的积极作用最强,服务型回报的消极作用最强;(4)融资者国籍和回报描述文本详细度分别影响投资者的期望值和工具性,二者在回报承诺和决策质心之间具有正向调节作用。本研究完善了对基于回报的众筹模式的期望理论研究,为融资者以及众筹平台设计和优化众筹回报模式以提升融资绩效提供了理论依据和实践参考。 展开更多
关键词 众筹项目 回报承诺 期望理论 质心 文本挖掘
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县域期望寿命影响因素的地理加权回归分析
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作者 李娜 戴品远 +4 位作者 陈子冬 冯金梦 周晓燕 刘晓婷 钟节鸣 《中国慢性病预防与控制》 北大核心 2026年第1期10-15,共6页
目的揭示县域尺度期望寿命影响因素的空间异质性特征,为区域差异化健康政策制定提供科学依据。方法以浙江省84个县域为研究对象,收集2020年期望寿命及社会经济、医疗资源、环境污染、人口流动等影响因素数据。运用空间自相关分析期望寿... 目的揭示县域尺度期望寿命影响因素的空间异质性特征,为区域差异化健康政策制定提供科学依据。方法以浙江省84个县域为研究对象,收集2020年期望寿命及社会经济、医疗资源、环境污染、人口流动等影响因素数据。运用空间自相关分析期望寿命空间分布特征,采用普通最小二乘回归和逐步多重线性回归筛选关键变量,进一步运用地理加权回归模型分析影响因素空间异质性,并用区域系数来揭示局部空间的效应特征。采用R 4.2.1软件进行分析。结果浙江省县域期望寿命存在显著正空间自相关(Moran's I=0.349,P<0.01),呈明显空间聚集分布。地理加权回归模型纳入人均国内生产总值(GDP)、城镇化率、恩格尔系数、长期护理机构床位数、年均细颗粒物(PM2.5)浓度、省内移民比例、行政区划类型共7个变量,调整R2为61.41%。系数空间分布显示各因素影响效应存在一定空间异质性:其中恩格尔系数和省内移民比例呈负向效应,其他均为正向效应;人均GDP、恩格尔系数均是中部较高,西南较低;城镇化率、省内移民比例都是东北地区最高,中部地区最低;而长期护理机构床位数、年均PM2.5浓度则是西南地区最高,东北地区最低;但总体变化幅度较小。结论浙江省县域期望寿命受多因素影响且存在显著空间异质性。应基于空间差异特征实施差异化健康政策,统筹经济发展、环境治理和健康资源配置,促进区域健康公平。 展开更多
关键词 期望寿命 地理加权回归 空间分析 影响因素
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提振资本市场形成长期向好社会预期
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作者 冯科 《人民论坛·学术前沿》 北大核心 2026年第1期93-101,共9页
资本市场是形成和交易预期的场所,提振资本市场有利于提振社会预期和信心,更是启动内需促进经济增长的重要手段之一。当前,中国经济面临扩内需、稳增长、提信心等多重挑战,更需要一个稳健而富有活力的资本市场。应深入把握社会预期管理... 资本市场是形成和交易预期的场所,提振资本市场有利于提振社会预期和信心,更是启动内需促进经济增长的重要手段之一。当前,中国经济面临扩内需、稳增长、提信心等多重挑战,更需要一个稳健而富有活力的资本市场。应深入把握社会预期管理与资本市场发展间的内在联系与规律,通过科学制定政策、正确传达信号、完善制度体系、优化市场结构、培养长投理念、加强投资者保护等系统性举措,不断增强国内外投资者信心,引导形成对经济发展与资本市场的稳定、积极预期,促进各类经营主体释放内生动力和创新活力,实现资本市场与实体经济相互促进、协同发展。 展开更多
关键词 资本市场 社会预期 预期管理 长期向好
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高期望的双面效应:父母教育期望如何重塑青少年心理健康?——基于CFPS2022数据的实证分析
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作者 李楠 陶政宇 《中国青年研究》 北大核心 2026年第2期58-67,M0004,共11页
在当前家庭教育期望持续攀升而青少年心理问题日益凸显的背景下,本研究基于CFPS2022数据,系统探讨了父母教育期望对青少年心理健康的影响机制。研究发现:首先,父母教育期望对青少年心理健康具有直接正向促进作用;其次,这一促进作用通过... 在当前家庭教育期望持续攀升而青少年心理问题日益凸显的背景下,本研究基于CFPS2022数据,系统探讨了父母教育期望对青少年心理健康的影响机制。研究发现:首先,父母教育期望对青少年心理健康具有直接正向促进作用;其次,这一促进作用通过两条链式中介路径实现—正向路径表现为父母教育期望通过提升子代教育期望和增加学业关注度来改善心理健康,负向路径则表现为通过强化子代教育期望和增加课外辅导班对心理健康产生不利影响。此外,提升青少年的自我效能感以及良好稳定的同伴关系能够进一步促进父母教育期望对青少年心理健康的正向影响。本研究为“十五五”时期家庭教育高质量发展、促进青少年健康成长提供了重要的理论依据和实践指导。 展开更多
关键词 父母教育期望 青少年心理健康 子代教育期望 学业关注 学业要求
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