期刊文献+
共找到226篇文章
< 1 2 12 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Study on Multilevel Fuzzy Synthetical Evaluating Model of Science & Technology Awarding
1
作者 Zhe Wang Xiaoxia Wang Daisong Li 《Chinese Business Review》 2004年第7期66-69,共4页
In order to realize the impersonality, justness, impartiality and rationality in the awarding work of science & technology, it is necessary to establish an evaluating model to make the evaluating course numeric as we... In order to realize the impersonality, justness, impartiality and rationality in the awarding work of science & technology, it is necessary to establish an evaluating model to make the evaluating course numeric as well as a complete system of evaluating indexes. The theory of fuzzy mathematics is adopted in this paper to establish a multilevel fuzzy synthetical model to quantitate the evaluating index system for science & technology awarding and to provide the scientific decision-making basis for science & technology awarding. 展开更多
关键词 science technology awarding fuzzy synthetical evaluating model
在线阅读 下载PDF
Evaluating vector winds over eastern China in 2022 predicted by the CMA-MESO model and ECMWF forecast 被引量:1
2
作者 Fang Huang Mingjian Zeng +4 位作者 Zhongfeng Xu Boni Wang Ming Sun Hangcheng Ge Shoukang Wu 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第4期41-47,共7页
Vector winds play a crucial role in weather and climate,as well as the effective utilization of wind energy resources.However,limited research has been conducted on treating the wind field as a vector field in the eva... Vector winds play a crucial role in weather and climate,as well as the effective utilization of wind energy resources.However,limited research has been conducted on treating the wind field as a vector field in the evaluation of numerical weather prediction models.In this study,the authors treat vector winds as a whole by employing a vector field evaluation method,and evaluate the mesoscale model of the China Meteorological Administration(CMA-MESO)and ECMWF forecast,with reference to ERA5 reanalysis,in terms of multiple aspects of vector winds over eastern China in 2022.The results show that the ECMWF forecast is superior to CMA-MESO in predicting the spatial distribution and intensity of 10-m vector winds.Both models overestimate the wind speed in East China,and CMA-MESO overestimates the wind speed to a greater extent.The forecasting skill of the vector wind field in both models decreases with increasing lead time.The forecasting skill of CMA-MESO fluctuates more and decreases faster than that of the ECMWF forecast.There is a significant negative correlation between the model vector wind forecasting skill and terrain height.This study provides a scientific evaluation of the local application of vector wind forecasts of the CMA-MESO model and ECMWF forecast. 展开更多
关键词 model evaluation Vector winds CMA-MESO ECMWF Forecasting skill
在线阅读 下载PDF
Application of Projection Pursuit Evaluation Model Based on Real-Coded Accelerating Genetic Algorithm in Evaluating Wetland Soil Quality Variations in the Sanjiang Plain, China 被引量:34
3
作者 FUQIANG XIEYONGGANG WEIZIMIN 《Pedosphere》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第3期249-256,共8页
A new technique of dimension reduction named projection pursuit is applied to model and evaluatewetland soil quality variations in the Sanjiang Plain, Helongjiang Province, China. By adopting the im-proved real-coded ... A new technique of dimension reduction named projection pursuit is applied to model and evaluatewetland soil quality variations in the Sanjiang Plain, Helongjiang Province, China. By adopting the im-proved real-coded accelerating genetic algorithm (RAGA), the projection direction is optimized and multi-dimensional indexes are converted into low-dimensional space. Classification of wetland soils and evaluationof wetland soil quality variations are realized by pursuing optimum projection direction and projection func-tion value. Therefore, by adopting this new method, any possible human interference can be avoided andsound results can be achieved in researching quality changes and classification of wetland soils. 展开更多
关键词 EVALUATION projection pursuit evaluation model real-coded acceleratinggenetic algorithm soil quality variations
在线阅读 下载PDF
Evaluating Common Land Model Energy Fluxes Using FLUXNET Data 被引量:5
4
作者 Xiangxiang ZHANG Yongjiu DAI +8 位作者 Hongzhi CUI Robert E.DICKINSON Siguang ZHU Nan WEI Binyan YAN Hua YUAN Wei SHANGGUAN Lili WANG Wenting FU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第9期1035-1046,共12页
Given the crucial role of land surface processes in global and regional climates, there is a pressing need to test and verify the performance of land surface models via comparisons to observations. In this study, the ... Given the crucial role of land surface processes in global and regional climates, there is a pressing need to test and verify the performance of land surface models via comparisons to observations. In this study, the eddy covariance measurements from 20 FLUXNET sites spanning more than 100 site-years were utilized to evaluate the performance of the Common Land Model (CoLM) over different vegetation types in various climate zones. A decomposition method was employed to separate both the observed and simulated energy fluxes, i.e., the sensible heat flux, latent heat flux, net radiation, and ground heat flux, at three timescales ranging from stepwise (30 rain) to monthly. A comparison between the simulations and observations indicated that CoLM produced satisfactory simulations of all four energy fluxes, although the different indexes did not exhibit consistent results among the different fluxes, A strong agreement between the simulations and observations was found for the seasonal cycles at the 20 sites, whereas CoLM underestimated the latent heat flux at the sites with distinct dry and wet seasons, which might be associated with its weakness in simulating soil water during the dry season. CoLM cannot explicitly simulate the midday depression of leaf gas exchange, which may explain why CoLM also has a maximum diurnal bias at noon in the summer. Of the eight selected vegetation types analyzed, CoLM performs best for evergreen broadleaf forests and worst for croplands and wetlands. 展开更多
关键词 model evaluation Common Land model FLUXNET
在线阅读 下载PDF
Susceptibility-weighted imaging is suitable for evaluating signal strength in different brain regions of a rabbit model of acute hemorrhagic anemia 被引量:2
5
作者 Jun Xia Ni Xie +3 位作者 Anyu Yin Guozhao Teng Fan Lin Yi Lei 《Neural Regeneration Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第9期990-992,共3页
Acute hemorrhagic anemia can decrease blood flow and oxygen supply to brain, and affect its physiological function. While detecting changes in brain function in patients with acute hemorrhagic anemia is helpful for pr... Acute hemorrhagic anemia can decrease blood flow and oxygen supply to brain, and affect its physiological function. While detecting changes in brain function in patients with acute hemorrhagic anemia is helpful for preventing neurological complications and evaluating therapeutic effects, clinical changes in the nervous systems of these patients have not received much attention. In part, this is because current techniques can only indirectly detect changes in brain function following onset of anemia, which leads to lags between real changes in brain function and their detection. 展开更多
关键词 Susceptibility-weighted imaging is suitable for evaluating signal strength in different brain regions of a rabbit model of acute hemorrhagic anemia Figure
暂未订购
A Study on the Postgraduate Quality Evaluation Model and Its Recognition Analysis
6
作者 Peng Xu Xinyuan Liu Yuzhu Hu 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2025年第7期158-168,共11页
With the rapid development of generative artificial intelligence technologies,represented by large language models,university-level computer science education is undergoing a critical transition-from knowledge-based i... With the rapid development of generative artificial intelligence technologies,represented by large language models,university-level computer science education is undergoing a critical transition-from knowledge-based instruction to competency-oriented teaching.A postgraduate student competency evaluation model can serve as a framework to organize and guide both teaching and research activities at the postgraduate level.A number of relevant research efforts have already been conducted in this area.Graduate education plays a vital role not only as a continuation and enhancement of undergraduate education but also as essential preparation for future research endeavors.An analysis of the acceptance of competency evaluation models refers to the assessment of how various stakeholders perceive the importance of different components within the model.Investigating the degree of acceptance among diverse groups-such as current undergraduate students,current postgraduate students,graduates with less than three years of work experience,and those with more than three years of work experience-can offer valuable insights for improving and optimizing postgraduate education and training practices. 展开更多
关键词 POSTGRADUATE Quality evaluation model IMPORTANCE Recognition analysis
在线阅读 下载PDF
Application Value Analysis of a New Empowerment Teaching Method Based on Kirkpatrick’s Evaluation Model in Teaching Chinese Medicine Nursing in Otorhinolaryngology
7
作者 Xia Zhang Yue Xu 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2025年第6期305-311,共7页
Objective:To explore the application value of a new empowerment teaching method based on Kirkpatrick’s evaluation model in teaching Chinese medicine nursing in otorhinolaryngology.Methods:60 nurses who practiced in t... Objective:To explore the application value of a new empowerment teaching method based on Kirkpatrick’s evaluation model in teaching Chinese medicine nursing in otorhinolaryngology.Methods:60 nurses who practiced in the otolaryngology department of our hospital from June 2022 to October 2024 were included in the study and equally divided into two groups using a convenient sampling method.30 nurses who chose traditional Chinese medicine skill teaching management were included in the control group,and 30 nurses who chose the new empowerment teaching method based on Kirkpatrick’s evaluation model were included in the observation group.Relevant indicators such as clinical teaching environment perception,theoretical knowledge scores of Chinese medicine nursing,and excellent rate of practical operation assessment were compared.Results:The nurses in the observation group had higher scores for clinical teaching environment perception than the control group(P<0.05).However,the midterm and final exam scores for theoretical knowledge of Chinese medicine nursing were higher in the observation group than in the control group(P<0.05).Compared with the control group,the observation group had a higher excellent rate of practical operation assessment(93.33%>73.33%)and a higher Chinese medicine nursing ability score[(215.69±19.73)points>(184.87±15.66)points](P<0.05).Conclusion:Applying the new empowerment teaching method based on Kirkpatrick’s evaluation model to Chinese medicine nursing teaching in otolaryngology can help nurses understand the theoretical knowledge of Chinese medicine nursing and optimize the clinical teaching environment,thereby promoting their practical skills and Chinese medicine nursing abilities. 展开更多
关键词 Kirkpatrick evaluation model New empowerment teaching method Otolaryngology Chinese medicine nursing
暂未订购
Application Effect of Problem-Based Learning Combined with DOPS Evaluation Model in Standardized Nurse Training
8
作者 Wenjun Liang 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2025年第9期231-236,共6页
With the continuous development of the nursing discipline,standardized nurse training has always been a crucial link in the development of nursing science and plays an irreplaceable role in talent cultivation.However,... With the continuous development of the nursing discipline,standardized nurse training has always been a crucial link in the development of nursing science and plays an irreplaceable role in talent cultivation.However,in the current standardized training for some nurses,there are problems such as the simplification of nursing skill evaluation models and insufficient post competence of nurses.Therefore,optimizing the training model for nursing talents has become an inevitable measure.The problem-based learning(PBL)method and the Direct Observation of Procedural Skills(DOPS)evaluation model provide new directions and guidance for the development of training.Against this background,this paper explores effective approaches for standardized nurse training,starting from basic concepts and gradually delving into specific practical paths,aiming to improve the quality of talent cultivation and provide valuable references for other researchers. 展开更多
关键词 Problem-oriented DOPS evaluation model Standardized nurse training
在线阅读 下载PDF
Research on the Evaluation Model of Software Talent Cultivation Based on Multivariant Data Fusion
9
作者 Yin Chen Haoxuan Tang +4 位作者 Lei Zhang Tonghua Su Zhongjie Wang Ruihan Hu Shanli Xie 《计算机教育》 2025年第3期130-137,共8页
This paper proposes a multivariate data fusion based quality evaluation model for software talent cultivation.The model constructs a comprehensive ability and quality evaluation index system for college students from ... This paper proposes a multivariate data fusion based quality evaluation model for software talent cultivation.The model constructs a comprehensive ability and quality evaluation index system for college students from a perspective of engineering course,especially of software engineering.As for evaluation method,relying on the behavioral data of students during their school years,we aim to construct the evaluation model as objective as possible,effectively weakening the negative impact of personal subjective assumptions on the evaluation results. 展开更多
关键词 Quality evaluation model Software talent cultivation Behavioral data
在线阅读 下载PDF
An Introduction to the Synthesis Community Integrated Model Version 2(SYCIM2.0)and Its Simulation of the East Asian Summer Monsoon
10
作者 Wenjun LIANG Wenjie DONG +19 位作者 Danya XU Bin WANG Li LIU Yanli TANG Jie YANG Song WANG Fuhai DAO Duofan ZHENG Chenhao LI Fei LIU Shaobo QIAO Xian ZHU Kangyou ZHONG Siqi LI Lijuan LI Nan WEI Chiyue LIN Feng PAN Qingyang LI Hui HU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第11期2203-2222,共20页
Based on the C-Coupler platform,the semi-unstructured Climate System Model,Synthesis Community Integrated Model version 2(SYCIM2.0),has been developed at the School of Atmospheric Sciences,Sun Yat-sen University.SYCIM... Based on the C-Coupler platform,the semi-unstructured Climate System Model,Synthesis Community Integrated Model version 2(SYCIM2.0),has been developed at the School of Atmospheric Sciences,Sun Yat-sen University.SYCIM2.0 aims to meet the demand for seamless climate prediction through accurate climate simulations and projections.This paper provides an overview of SYCIM2.0 and highlights its key features,especially the coupling of an unstructured ocean model and the tuning process.An extensive evaluation of its performance,focusing on the East Asian Summer Monsoon(EASM),is presented based on long-term simulations with fixed external forcing.The results suggest that after nearly 240 years of integration,SYCIM2.0 achieves a quasi-equilibrium state,albeit with small trends in the net radiation flux at the top-of-atmosphere(TOA)and Earth’s surface,as well as with global mean near-surface temperatures.Compared to observational and reanalysis data,the model realistically simulates spatial patterns of sea surface temperature(SST)and precipitation centers to include their annual cycles,in addition to the lower-level wind fields in the EASM region.However,it exhibits a weakened and eastward-shifted Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH),resulting in an associated precipitation bias.SYCIM2.0 robustly captures the dominant mode of the EASM and its close relationship with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)but exhibits relatively poor performance in simulating the second leading mode and the associated air–sea interaction processes.Further comprehensive evaluations of SYCIM2.0 will be conducted in future studies. 展开更多
关键词 Climate System model East Asian Summer Monsoon model evaluation unstructured grid ENSO
暂未订购
Global open source and international standards promote the inclusive development of large models
11
作者 Lin Yonghua 《China Standardization》 2025年第5期25-25,共1页
In the era of AI,especially large models,the importance of open source has become increasingly prominent.First,open source allows innovation to avoid starting from scratch.Through iterative innovation,it promotes tech... In the era of AI,especially large models,the importance of open source has become increasingly prominent.First,open source allows innovation to avoid starting from scratch.Through iterative innovation,it promotes technical exchanges and learning globally.Second,resources required for large model R&D are difficult for a single institution to obtain.The evaluation of general large models also requires the participation of experts from various industries.Third,without open source collaboration,it is difficult to form a unified upper-layer software ecosystem.Therefore,open source has become an important cooperation mechanism to promote the development of AI and large models.There are two cases to illustrate how open source and international standards interact with each other. 展开更多
关键词 open source large model international standards inclusive development iterative innovationit large modelsthe evaluation general large models large models
原文传递
A hybrid coupled model for the tropical Pacific constructed by integrating ROMS with a statistical atmospheric model
12
作者 Rong-Hua ZHANG Wenzhe ZHANG +4 位作者 Yang YU Yinnan LI Feng TIAN Chuan GAO Hongna WANG 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 2025年第4期1037-1055,共19页
Numerical models are crucial for quantifying the ocean-atmosphere interactions associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)phenomenon in the tropical Pacific.Current coupled models often exhibit signifi... Numerical models are crucial for quantifying the ocean-atmosphere interactions associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)phenomenon in the tropical Pacific.Current coupled models often exhibit significant biases and inter-model differences in simulating ENSO,underscoring the need for alternative modeling approaches.The Regional Ocean Modeling System(ROMS)is a sophisticated ocean model widely used for regional studies and has been coupled with various atmospheric models.However,its application in simulating ENSO processes on a basin scale in the tropical Pacific has not been explored.For the first time,this study presents the development of a basin-scale hybrid coupled model(HCM)for the tropical Pacific,integrating ROMS with a statistical atmospheric model that captures the interannual relationships between sea surface temperature(SST)and wind stress anomalies.The HCM is evaluated for its capability to simulate the annual mean,seasonal,and interannual variations of the oceanic state in the tropical Pacific.Results demonstrate that the model effectively reproduces the ENSO cycle,with a dominant oscillation period of approximately two years.The ROMS-based HCM developed here offers an efficient and robust tool for investigating climate variability in the tropical Pacific. 展开更多
关键词 Regional Ocean modeling System(ROMS) statistical atmospheric model hybrid coupled model El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) model evaluation tropical Pacific
在线阅读 下载PDF
Evaluation Model of Carrying Capacity of Water Resources Based on Standardized Indices of Radial Basis Function
13
作者 臧蕾 李祚泳 刘伟 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2012年第6期1365-1367,共3页
[Objective] The aim was to study on RBF model about evaluation on carrying capacity of water resources based on standardized indices. [Method] The indices were transformed and the averages of standard values in differ... [Objective] The aim was to study on RBF model about evaluation on carrying capacity of water resources based on standardized indices. [Method] The indices were transformed and the averages of standard values in different levels were taken as the standardized values of components of central vectors for basic functions of RBF hidden nodes. Hence, the basic functions are suitable for most indices, simplifying expression and calculation of basic functions. [Result] RBF models concluded through Monkey-king Genetic Algorithm with weights optimization are used in evaluation on water carrying capacity in three districts in Changwu County in Shaanxi Province, which were in consistent with that through fuzzy evaluation. [Conclusion] RBF, simple and practical, is universal and popular. 展开更多
关键词 Indices standardization RBF Water resource Carrying capacity Evaluation model
在线阅读 下载PDF
Evaluation model for freeway incident management system 被引量:2
14
作者 何锭 倪富健 杨顺新 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2010年第1期126-131,共6页
In order to evaluate the general situation and find special problems of the freeway incident management system, an evaluation model is proposed. First, the expert appraisal approach is used to select the primary evalu... In order to evaluate the general situation and find special problems of the freeway incident management system, an evaluation model is proposed. First, the expert appraisal approach is used to select the primary evaluation index. As a result, 81 indices and the hierarchical structures of the index such as the object layer, the sub-object layer, the criterion layer and the index layer are determined. Then, based on the fuzzy characteristics of each index layer, the analytical hierarchy process(AHP)and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation are applied to generate the weight and the satisfaction of the index and the criterion layers. When analyzing the relationship between the sub-object layer and the object layer, it is easy to find that the number of sub-objects is too large and sub-objects are significantly redundant. The partial least square (PLS) is proposed to solve the problems. Finally, an application example, whose result has already been accepted and employed as the indication of a new project in improving incident management, is introduced and the result verifies the feasibility and efficiency of the model. 展开更多
关键词 freeway incident management system evaluation model analytical hierarchical process fuzzy comprehensive evaluations partial least square
在线阅读 下载PDF
Catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model for water and mud inrush and its application in karst tunnels 被引量:24
15
作者 ZHU Jian-qun LI Tian-zheng 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1587-1598,共12页
This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the ... This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the dangerousness of this geological disaster.The losses that are caused by water and mud inrush are taken into consideration to account for its harmfulness.Then a risk evaluation model based on the dangerousness-harmfulness evaluation indicator system is constructed,which is more convincing in comparison with the traditional methods.The catastrophe theory is used to evaluate the risk level of water and mud inrush and it has great advantage in handling problems involving discontinuous catastrophe processes.To validate the proposed approach,the Qiyueshan tunnel of Yichang-Wanzhou Railway is taken as an example in which four target segments are evaluated using the risk evaluation model.Finally,the evaluation results are compared with the excavation data,which shows that the risk levels predicted by the proposed approach are in good agreements with that observed in engineering.In conclusion,the catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model is an efficient and effective approach for water and mud inrush in karst tunnels. 展开更多
关键词 risk evaluation model water and mud inrush catastrophe theory karst area TUNNELING
在线阅读 下载PDF
Residential environment index system and evaluation model established by subjective and objective methods 被引量:31
16
作者 葛坚 HOKAOKazunori 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 EI CSCD 2004年第9期1028-1034,共7页
In this research, the residential environment index system and evaluation model were established by means of subjective and objective methods. The methodology for establishing the evaluation system for residential env... In this research, the residential environment index system and evaluation model were established by means of subjective and objective methods. The methodology for establishing the evaluation system for residential environment was first analyzed; then the subjective evaluation data-base was established by questionnaire survey; and at the same time, the objective evaluation data-base was constructed by Geographic Information System (GIS); and then the related equation system between subjective and objective system was developed by multiple regression analysis. This research could benefit evaluation of the residential environment quality for various purposes, and also provide important rudimentary data-base for the development and improvement of residential environment for officials. Furthermore, the index system and evaluation model established in this research could construct a strong relation between subjective evaluation and objective data; and thus could provide a comprehensive, efficient and effective methodology for the evaluation of residential environment. 展开更多
关键词 Residential environment Index system Evaluation model Geographic information system (GIS)
在线阅读 下载PDF
A Fast Version of LASG/IAP Climate System Model and Its 1000-year Control Integration 被引量:39
17
作者 周天军 吴波 +2 位作者 闻新宇 李立娟 王斌 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第4期655-672,共18页
A fast version of the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG)/Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) climate system model is briefly documented. Th... A fast version of the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG)/Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) climate system model is briefly documented. The fast coupled model employs a low resolution version of the atmospheric component Grid Atmospheric Model of IAP/LASG (GAMIL), with the other parts of the model, namely an oceanic component LASG/IAP Climate Ocean Model (LICOM), land component Common Land Model (CLM), and sea ice component from National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate System Model (NCAR CCSM2), as the same as in the standard version of LASG/IAP Flexible Global Ocean Atmosphere Land System model (FGOALS_g). The parameterizations of physical and dynamical processes of the atmospheric component in the fast version are identical to the standard version, although some parameter values are different. However, by virtue of reduced horizontal resolution and increased time-step of the most time-consuming atmospheric component, it runs faster by a factor of 3 and can serve as a useful tool for longterm and large-ensemble integrations. A 1000-year control simulation of the present-day climate has been completed without flux adjustments. The final 600 years of this simulation has virtually no trends in global mean sea surface temperatures and is recommended for internal variability studies. Several aspects of the control simulation's mean climate and variability are evaluated against the observational or reanalysis data. The strengths and weaknesses of the control simulation are evaluated. The mean atmospheric circulation is well simulated, except in high latitudes. The Asian-Australian monsoonal meridional cell shows realistic features, however, an artificial rainfall center is located to the eastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau persists throughout the year. The mean bias of SST resembles that of the standard version, appearing as a "double ITCZ" (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) associated with a westward extension of the equatorial eastern Pacific cold tongue. The sea ice extent is acceptable but has a higher concentration. The strength of Atlantic meridional overturning is 27.5 Sv. Evidence from the 600-year simulation suggests a modulation of internal variability on ENSO frequency, since both regular and irregular oscillations of ENSO are found during the different time periods of the long-term simulation. 展开更多
关键词 fast ocean-atmosphere coupled model low resolution model evaluation
在线阅读 下载PDF
Assessment of Indices of Temperature Extremes Simulated by Multiple CMIP5 Models over China 被引量:18
18
作者 DONG Siyan XU Ying +1 位作者 ZHOU Botao SHI Ying 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第8期1077-1091,共15页
Given that climate extremes in China might have serious regional and global consequences, an increasing number of studies are examining temperature extremes in China using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Pha... Given that climate extremes in China might have serious regional and global consequences, an increasing number of studies are examining temperature extremes in China using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models. This paper investigates recent changes in temperature extremes in China using 25 state-of-the-art global climate models participating in CMIP5. Thirteen indices that represent extreme temperature events were chosen and derived by daily maximum and minimum temperatures, including those representing the intensity (absolute indices and threshold indices), duration (duration indices), and frequency (percentile indices) of extreme temperature. The overall performance of each model is summarized by a "portrait" diagram based on relative root-mean-square error, which is the RMSE relative to the median RMSE of all models, revealing the multi-model ensemble simulation to be better than individual model for most indices. Compared with observations, the models are able to capture the main features of the spatial distribution of extreme temperature during 1986-2005. Overall, the CMIP5 models are able to depict the observed indices well, and the spatial structure of the ensemble result is better for threshold indices than frequency indices. The spread amongst the CMIP5 models in different subregions for intensity indices is small and the median CMIP5 is close to observations; however, for the duration and frequency indices there can be wide disagreement regarding the change between models and observations in some regions. The model ensemble also performs well in reproducing the observational trend of temperature extremes. All absolute indices increase over China during 1961-2005. 展开更多
关键词 temperature extremes China CMIP5 model evaluation
在线阅读 下载PDF
Assessment of CMIP6 and CMIP5 model performance for extreme temperature in China 被引量:24
19
作者 LUO Neng GUO Yan +2 位作者 GAO Zhibo CHEN Kexin CHOU Jieming 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2020年第6期589-597,共9页
Using the historical simulations from 27 models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5)and 27 models in phase 6(CMIP6),the authors evaluated the differences between CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in sim... Using the historical simulations from 27 models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5)and 27 models in phase 6(CMIP6),the authors evaluated the differences between CMIP5 and CMIP6 models in simulating the climate mean of extreme temperature over China through comparison with observations during 1979–2005.The CMIP6 models reproduce well the spatial distribution of annual maxima of daily maximum temperature(TXx),annual minima of daily minimum temperature(TNn),and frost days(FD).The model spread in CMIP6 is reduced relative to CMIP5 for some temperature indices,such as TXx,warm spell duration index(WSDI),and warm days(TX90 p).The multimodel median ensembles also capture the observed trend of extreme temperature.However,the CMIP6 models still have low skill in capturing TX90 p and cold nights(TN10 p)and have obvious cold biases or warm biases over the Tibetan Plateau.The ability of individual models varies for different indices,although some models outperform the others in terms of the average of all indices considered for different models.By comparing different version models from the same organization,the updated CMIP6 models show no significant difference from their counterparts from CMIP5 for some models.Compared with individual models,the median ensembles show better agreement with the observations for temperature indices and their means. 展开更多
关键词 Temperature extremes China CMIP6 CMIP5 model evaluation
在线阅读 下载PDF
上一页 1 2 12 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部