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The Volume Estimates of Geodesic Balls on Finsler Gradient Ricci Solitons
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作者 CHENG Xinyue LIANG Zirui NI Qihui 《数学进展》 北大核心 2025年第6期1357-1367,共11页
In this paper,we study and characterize the volume estimates of geodesic balls on Finsler gradient Ricci solitons.We get the upper bounds on the volumes of geodesic balls of all three kinds of Finsler gradient Ricci s... In this paper,we study and characterize the volume estimates of geodesic balls on Finsler gradient Ricci solitons.We get the upper bounds on the volumes of geodesic balls of all three kinds of Finsler gradient Ricci solitons under certain condition about the Laplacian of thedistance function. 展开更多
关键词 Finsler metric measure manifold weighted Ricci curvature gradient Ricci soliton geodesic ball volume estimate
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STRICHARTZ AND SMOOTHING ESTIMATES FOR DISPERSIVE SEMI-GROUP e^(-itP(D)) IN WEIGHTED L^(2) SPACES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS
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作者 Jiecheng CHEN Shaolei RU Chenjing WU 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 2025年第2期401-415,共15页
Combining TT* argument and bilinear interpolation,this paper obtains the Strichartz and smoothing estimates of dispersive semigroup e^(-itP(D)) in weighted L^(2) spaces.Among other things,we recover the results in[1].... Combining TT* argument and bilinear interpolation,this paper obtains the Strichartz and smoothing estimates of dispersive semigroup e^(-itP(D)) in weighted L^(2) spaces.Among other things,we recover the results in[1].Moreover,the application of these results to the well-posedness of some equations are shown in the last section. 展开更多
关键词 Strichartz estimates smoothing estimates Morrey-Campanato class weighted L^(2)spaces WELL-POSEDNESS
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Estimating the final fatalities using early reported death count from the 2023 Kahramanmaras,Türkiye,M_(S) 8.0-7.9 earthquake doublet and revising the estimates over time
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作者 Yan Liu Zitao Wang Xuemin Zhang 《Earthquake Research Advances》 2025年第2期5-12,共8页
Earthquakes can cause significant damage and loss of life,necessitating immediate assessment of the resulting fatalities.Rapid assessment and timely revision of fatality estimates are crucial for effective emergency d... Earthquakes can cause significant damage and loss of life,necessitating immediate assessment of the resulting fatalities.Rapid assessment and timely revision of fatality estimates are crucial for effective emergency decisionmaking.This study using the February 6,2023,M_(S)8.0 and M_(S)7.9 Kahramanmaras,Türkiye earthquakes as an example to estimate the ultimate number of fatalities.An early Quick Rough Estimate(QRE)based on the number of deaths reported by the Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency of Türkiye(AFAD)is conducted,and it dynamically adjusts these estimates as new data becomes available.The range of estimates of the final number of deaths can be calculated as 31384–56475 based on the"the QRE of the second day multiplied by 2–3" rule,which incorporates the reported final deaths 50500.The Quasi-Linear and Adaptive Estimation(QLAE)method adaptively adjusts the final fatality estimate within two days and predicts subsequent reported deaths.The correct order of magnitude of the final death toll can be estimated as early as 13 hr after the M_(S)8.0 earthquake.In addition,additional earthquakes such as May 12,2008,M_(S)8.1 Wenchuan earthquake(China),September 8,2023,M_(S)7.2 Al Haouz earthquake(Morocco),November 3,2023,M_(S)5.8 Mid-Western Nepal earthquake,December 18,2023,M_(S)6.1 Jishishan earthquake(China),January 1,2024,M_(S)7.2 Noto Peninsula earthquake(Japan)and August 8,2023,Maui,Hawaii,fires are added again to verified the correctness of the model.The fatalities from the Maui fires are found to be approximately equivalent to those resulting from an M_(S)7.4 earthquake.These methods complement existing frameworks such as Quake Loss Assessment for Response and Mitigation(QLARM)and Prompt Assessment of Global. 展开更多
关键词 Kahramanmaras earthquake Earthquake fatality Human loss estimates Seismic risk 2023 Maui fires
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THE A PRIORI ESTIMATES FOR A CLASS OF GENERAL HESSIAN QUOTIENT TYPE EQUATIONS
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作者 Ni XIANG Yuni XIONG Jingyi YAO 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 2025年第3期867-884,共18页
In this paper, we derive the a priori estimates for a class of more general (k, l)-Hessian quotient type equations involving u and Du on the right hand function. As an application we prove the Liouville theorem depend... In this paper, we derive the a priori estimates for a class of more general (k, l)-Hessian quotient type equations involving u and Du on the right hand function. As an application we prove the Liouville theorem depending on Pogorelov type estimates. On the other hand, we obtain the existence and uniqueness of the k-admissible solution for these general equations with the Neumann boundary condition, based on some growth conditions for the right hand function. 展开更多
关键词 Hessian quotient type equations the a priori estimates Neumann problems Liouville Theorem
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The estimation method is the primary source of uncertainty in cropland nitrate leaching estimates in China
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作者 Xingshuai Tian Huitong Yu +4 位作者 Jiahui Cong Yulong Yin Kai He Zihan Wang Zhenling Cui 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 2025年第6期2425-2437,共13页
Cropland nitrate leaching is the major nitrogen(N) loss pathway, and it contributes significantly to water pollution. However, cropland nitrate leaching estimates show great uncertainty due to variations in input data... Cropland nitrate leaching is the major nitrogen(N) loss pathway, and it contributes significantly to water pollution. However, cropland nitrate leaching estimates show great uncertainty due to variations in input datasets and estimation methods. Here, we presented a re-evaluation of Chinese cropland nitrate leaching, and identified and quantified the sources of uncertainty by integrating three cropland area datasets, three N input datasets, and three estimation methods. The results revealed that nitrate leaching from Chinese cropland averaged 6.7±0.6 Tg N yr^(-1)in 2010, ranging from 2.9 to 15.8 Tg N yr^(-1)across 27 different estimates. The primary contributor to the uncertainty was the estimation method, accounting for 45.1%, followed by the interaction of N input dataset and estimation method at 24.4%. The results of this study emphasize the need for adopting a robust estimation method and improving the compatibility between the estimation method and N input dataset to effectively reduce uncertainty. This analysis provides valuable insights for accurately estimating cropland nitrate leaching and contributes to ongoing efforts that address water pollution concerns. 展开更多
关键词 cropland nitrate leaching UNCERTAINTY cropland area nitrogen input estimation method
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Space and time estimates of second gradient thermal problems
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作者 J.R.FERNÁNDEZ V.PATA R.QUINTANILLA 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2025年第7期1403-1416,共14页
We consider the space and time decays of certain problems within the second gradient thermal law.Notably,for this thermal theory,the exponential time decay is precluded.First,the time estimates of polynomial type are ... We consider the space and time decays of certain problems within the second gradient thermal law.Notably,for this thermal theory,the exponential time decay is precluded.First,the time estimates of polynomial type are obtained for both the thermal equation and the one-dimensional thermoelastic system,where the impossibility of localization with respect to time is also established.Then,the space estimates are deduced for the multidimensional thermoelastic problem,which allow to show the exponential decay of the energy. 展开更多
关键词 second gradient theory THERMOELASTICITY spatial estimate polynomial decay
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Asymptotically Exact a Posteriori Error Estimates for Non-Symmetric Eigenvalue Problems
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作者 Jun ZHANG Jiayu HAN 《Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications》 2025年第3期411-426,共16页
This paper is devoted to the Polynomial Preserving Recovery (PPR) based a posteriori error analysis for the second-order elliptic non-symmetric eigenvalue problem. An asymptotically exact a posteriori error estimator ... This paper is devoted to the Polynomial Preserving Recovery (PPR) based a posteriori error analysis for the second-order elliptic non-symmetric eigenvalue problem. An asymptotically exact a posteriori error estimator is proposed for solving the convection-dominated non-symmetric eigenvalue problem with non-smooth eigenfunctions or multiple eigenvalues. Numerical examples confirm our theoretical analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Polynomial Preserving Recovery non-symmetric eigenvalue problem a posteriori error estimates
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C^(2)estimates for a class of degenerate k-Hessian equations with gradient terms on closed Hermitian manifolds
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作者 WU Hanqing XU Lu 《纯粹数学与应用数学》 2025年第1期25-45,共21页
In this article,we are concerned with the C^(2)estimates for the k-convex solutions of a class of degenerate k-Hessian equations on closed Hermitian manifolds,whose function in the right-hand side is relevant to the u... In this article,we are concerned with the C^(2)estimates for the k-convex solutions of a class of degenerate k-Hessian equations on closed Hermitian manifolds,whose function in the right-hand side is relevant to the unknown function and its gradient.We will get C^(0)estimate by promoting others′results,and get the“HMW estimate”of this equation such that the conditions of using blow-up analysis are satisfied,and the gradient estimate and second-order estimate will be obtained.Such an estimate will be helpful to study the existence for the solution of the equation. 展开更多
关键词 C^(2)estimates degenerate k-Hessian equation closed Hermitian manifold
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ELLIPTIC EQUATION WITH CRITICAL EXPONENT AND DIPOLE POTENTIAL: EXISTENCE AND DECAY ESTIMATES
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作者 Yu SU Zhisu LIU Senli LIU 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 2025年第2期636-658,共23页
The paper is concerned with a class of elliptic equation with critical exponent and Dipole potential.More precisely,we make use of the refined Sobolev inequality with Morrey norm to obtain the existence and decay prop... The paper is concerned with a class of elliptic equation with critical exponent and Dipole potential.More precisely,we make use of the refined Sobolev inequality with Morrey norm to obtain the existence and decay properties of nonnegative radial ground state solutions. 展开更多
关键词 Dipole potential decay estimation Hardy Sobolev critical exponent Henon Sobolev critical exponent
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基于内窥镜视觉的机器人辅助手术中力估计方法
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作者 邢元 王建敏 +3 位作者 马剑雄 唐吉思 马志康 史靖 《天津大学学报(自然科学与工程技术版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期99-110,共12页
在机器人辅助微创手术中,精确的力反馈对于提高手术操作的安全性与质量至关重要.然而,现有的解决方案在实际应用场景中仍面临着如小型化、精准化和普适性等多重挑战,限制了其在复杂临床场景中的广泛应用.因此,如何实现高精度、低成本且... 在机器人辅助微创手术中,精确的力反馈对于提高手术操作的安全性与质量至关重要.然而,现有的解决方案在实际应用场景中仍面临着如小型化、精准化和普适性等多重挑战,限制了其在复杂临床场景中的广泛应用.因此,如何实现高精度、低成本且适用于多种组织类型的力估计成为研究重点.为此,基于手术机器人配备的内窥镜系统,构建了包含多种材料和丰富力学信息数据集,并提出了结合注意力机制的深度学习模型,以优化内窥镜视觉信息的特征提取,从而提升力估计的准确性和鲁棒性.模型以材料变形的内窥镜图像作为输入,结合卷积神经网络的特征提取能力和循环神经网络的时序建模能力,实现对手术器械与组织之间交互力的精确估计.此外,为进一步探究注意力机制在力估计任务中的作用和优化策略,提出了3种不同的注意力模块引入方案.实验结果表明:采用DenseNet-BiLSTM结构并引入SENet模块的模型在3种材料上取得了最佳性能,显著提升了模型的整体表现;同时,注意力模块的位置对不同组织材料的力估计效果具有差异性影响.研究验证了基于内窥镜视觉的深度学习方法在精确估计手术过程中器械与组织间的交互力方面的有效性和可行性,为未来机器人辅助微创手术系统的发展和优化提供了新的方向与理论依据. 展开更多
关键词 机器人辅助微创手术 视觉反馈 交互力估计 注意力机制 深度学习
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A PRIORI L_2 ERROR ESTIMATES FOR A NONLINEAR PARABOLIC SYSTEM BASED ON COMBINING THE METHOD OF CHARACTERISTICS WITH MIXED FINITE ELEMENT PROCEDURE 被引量:2
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作者 袁益让 《Numerical Mathematics A Journal of Chinese Universities(English Series)》 SCIE 1993年第1期11-24,共14页
A nonlinear parabolic system is derived to describe incompressible nuclear waste-disposal contamination in porous media. A sequential implicit tirne-stepping is defined, in which the pressure and Darcy velocity of the... A nonlinear parabolic system is derived to describe incompressible nuclear waste-disposal contamination in porous media. A sequential implicit tirne-stepping is defined, in which the pressure and Darcy velocity of the mixture are approximated simultaneously by a mixed finite element method and the brine, radionuclid and heat are treated by a combination of a Galerkin finite element method and the method of characteristics. Optimal-order convergence in L2 is proved. Time-truncation errors of standard procedures are reduced by time stepping along the characteristics of the hyperbolic part of the brine, radionuclide and heal equalios, temporal and spatial error are lossened by direct compulation of the velocity in the mixed method, as opposed to differentiation of the pressure. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear PARABOLIC system mixed FINITE element characlerisitics L2 estimates.
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基于最佳滑移率估计的汽车EMB防抱死控制
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作者 潘公宇 熊浩东 《郑州大学学报(工学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期58-65,共8页
为了解决传统的逻辑门限式ABS控制方法存在无法充分利用路面利用附着系数以及滑移率波动较大的问题,提出了一种基于最佳滑移率估计的汽车EMB防抱死控制策略。首先,建立轮胎滑移率与路面利用附着系数之间的非线性模型;其次,通过一种分段... 为了解决传统的逻辑门限式ABS控制方法存在无法充分利用路面利用附着系数以及滑移率波动较大的问题,提出了一种基于最佳滑移率估计的汽车EMB防抱死控制策略。首先,建立轮胎滑移率与路面利用附着系数之间的非线性模型;其次,通过一种分段式的估计算法来快速准确地跟踪最佳滑移率;最后,基于最佳滑移率的估计结果,设计了积分滑模控制器,通过精确调节EMB制动力矩和电机制动力矩,使前后轮的滑移率维持在各自的最佳滑移率,保证车辆在不同路面条件下的最佳制动距离。仿真结果表明:所采用的估计算法都能够快速准确识别当前路面的最佳滑移率,估计出的最佳滑移率在稳态时与实际的最佳滑移率的最大误差不超过3%,且积分滑模控制器可以精确控制滑移率保持在最佳滑移率附近,与CarSim内置的ABS控制策略相比,单一路面工况制动总时间缩短了10.8%,制动总距离减少了15.8%,对接路面工况制动总时间缩短了18.0%,制动总距离减少了22.2%。 展开更多
关键词 最佳滑移率 电子机械制动 ABS 估计算法 积分滑模控制
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环境治理数字化转型成效评估、动态演进与空间收敛
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作者 杨恺钧 罗灏飞 《生态经济》 北大核心 2026年第1期179-191,共13页
环境治理数字化转型是推动生态文明建设与治理能力现代化的重要路径,对实现绿色低碳高质量发展具有基础性支撑作用。论文基于中国30个省份2009—2023年的面板数据,采用Super-SBM模型测度环境治理数字化转型效率,并通过核密度估计、马尔... 环境治理数字化转型是推动生态文明建设与治理能力现代化的重要路径,对实现绿色低碳高质量发展具有基础性支撑作用。论文基于中国30个省份2009—2023年的面板数据,采用Super-SBM模型测度环境治理数字化转型效率,并通过核密度估计、马尔科夫链转移概率矩阵及空间收敛模型分析其动态演进与敛散特征。研究发现:(1)我国环境治理数字化转型效率总体呈上升趋势,但区域差异明显,呈现东高西低的核心—边缘结构。(2)各区域动态演进特征差异较大,转型效率存在“俱乐部收敛”现象,实现“跨越式”发展概率较小,且断点回归检验环境治理数字化转型政策对环境治理数字化转型效率具有正向推动作用。(3)全国及各区域环境治理数字化转型效率普遍存在σ收敛、绝对β收敛和条件β收敛特征。此外,产业结构、城镇化水平、科研投入、政府干预、人口密度和对外开放程度对不同区域环境治理数字化转型效率的影响存在显著异质性。 展开更多
关键词 环境治理数字化转型 Super-SBM模型 核密度估计 马尔科夫链 空间收敛模型
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一类Cahn-Hilliard-Navier-Stokes-Oono方程组的Cauchy问题
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作者 张雪 赵晓朋 《曲阜师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026年第1期67-72,共6页
研究了一类与两相流体界面扩散运动相关的Cahn-Hilliard-Navier-Stokes-Oono方程组的Cauchy问题.利用能量估计结合负Sobolev模范数估计,证明了方程组Cauchy问题强解的小初值整体存在性,并给出了整体强解高阶导数的衰减估计.
关键词 Cahn-Hilliard-Navier-Stokes-Oono方程组 能量估计 CAUCHY问题
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Accurate Interconnection Length and Routing Channel Width Estimates for FPGAs
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作者 高海霞 马晓华 杨银堂 《Journal of Semiconductors》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2006年第7期1196-1200,共5页
We study the problem of the prediction of interconnection dimensions for FPGAs, including estimating interconnection length and channel width. Experimental results show that our estimates are more accurate than those ... We study the problem of the prediction of interconnection dimensions for FPGAs, including estimating interconnection length and channel width. Experimental results show that our estimates are more accurate than those of existing methods. 展开更多
关键词 FPGA interconnection length estimation channel width estimation
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旋翼无人机FMCW SAR成像系统设计
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作者 周鹏 蒋子仪 邱杭 《电子设计工程》 2026年第1期140-144,149,共6页
为了开发一套低成本且高实用性的旋翼无人机合成孔径雷达(Synthetic Aperture Radar,SAR)成像系统,该文以六旋翼无人机为载体,设计了线性调频连续波(Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave,FMCW)体制的毫米波雷达系统。通过优化硬件架构... 为了开发一套低成本且高实用性的旋翼无人机合成孔径雷达(Synthetic Aperture Radar,SAR)成像系统,该文以六旋翼无人机为载体,设计了线性调频连续波(Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave,FMCW)体制的毫米波雷达系统。通过优化硬件架构和改进传统SAR信号处理算法,提升了系统性能。进行了多点目标、小型无人船、停车场等场景的实际成像实验,结果表明,该系统在各类场景中的成像分辨率达到0.3 m,证明系统具有较高的成像精度和可靠性。该文为构建低成本SAR成像系统提供了一种有效解决方案。 展开更多
关键词 低成本合成孔径雷达系统 旋翼无人机 线性调频连续波 速度估计算法
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Time Delay Estimation of Target Echo Signal Based on Multi-bright Spot Echoes
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作者 Ge Yu Fan Du +1 位作者 Xiukun Li Yan Li 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 2026年第1期312-325,共14页
Accurate time delay estimation of target echo signals is a critical component of underwater target localization.In active sonar systems,echo signal processing is vulnerable to the effects of reverberation and noise in... Accurate time delay estimation of target echo signals is a critical component of underwater target localization.In active sonar systems,echo signal processing is vulnerable to the effects of reverberation and noise in the maritime environment.This paper proposes a novel method for estimating target time delay using multi-bright spot echoes,assuming the target’s size and depth are known.Aiming to effectively enhance the extraction of geometric features from the target echoes and mitigate the impact of reverberation and noise,the proposed approach employs the fractional order Fourier transform-frequency sliced wavelet transform to extract multi-bright spot echoes.Using the highlighting model theory and the target size information,an observation matrix is constructed to represent multi-angle incident signals and obtain the theoretical scattered echo signals from different angles.Aiming to accurately estimate the target’s time delay,waveform similarity coefficients and mean square error values between the theoretical return signals and received signals are computed across various incident angles and time delays.Simulation results show that,compared to the conventional matched filter,the proposed algorithm reduces the relative error by 65.9%-91.5%at a signal-to noise ratio of-25 dB,and by 66.7%-88.9%at a signal-to-reverberation ratio of−10 dB.This algorithm provides a new approach for the precise localization of submerged targets in shallow water environments. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-bright spot echoes Time-delay estimation Target echo signal Frequency sliced wavelet transform Fractional order fourier transform
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不确定性感知的标签噪声矫正算法
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作者 李英双 贾文玉 +2 位作者 杨莉 曾旺官 董永峰 《郑州大学学报(理学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期10-18,共9页
标签噪声通过在训练过程中降低对真实类别预测的置信度引入了不确定性问题,为了降低标签噪声的影响,提出了一种不确定性感知的标签噪声矫正算法(ULC)。首先,基于证据理论和主观逻辑理论,从样本的多个视图和标签信息中估计不确定性。其次... 标签噪声通过在训练过程中降低对真实类别预测的置信度引入了不确定性问题,为了降低标签噪声的影响,提出了一种不确定性感知的标签噪声矫正算法(ULC)。首先,基于证据理论和主观逻辑理论,从样本的多个视图和标签信息中估计不确定性。其次,采用双准则样本选择策略将数据集划分为三个子集,并使用联合预测矫正噪声标签。最后,采用不同的正则化策略处理各个子集以优化训练目标。在四个模拟标签噪声数据集和两个真实标签噪声数据集上进行对比实验。与DivideMix算法相比,在包含40%Pairflip类型噪声的CIFAR-10和CIFAR-100数据集上,ULC的分类准确率分别提升了10.58个百分点和15.84个百分点,矫正标签准确率分别达到了95.48%和81.32%。实验结果表明,ULC能够准确估计不确定性,提升矫正标签准确率和模型泛化性能。 展开更多
关键词 深度学习 标签噪声 不确定性估计 样本选择 标签矫正
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一种基于稀疏性的RIS辅助信道估计方法
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作者 刘佳璇 张笑剑 王丹 《计算机应用研究》 北大核心 2026年第1期234-239,共6页
为解决RIS(reconfigurable intelligent surface)辅助通信系统存在的两大核心挑战:高昂的导频资源消耗与异常用户(权重小于等于0.1的用户)导致的信道干扰,改进了基于改进正交匹配追踪算法(OMP)的双稀疏性信道估计方法(D-OMP)。改进算法... 为解决RIS(reconfigurable intelligent surface)辅助通信系统存在的两大核心挑战:高昂的导频资源消耗与异常用户(权重小于等于0.1的用户)导致的信道干扰,改进了基于改进正交匹配追踪算法(OMP)的双稀疏性信道估计方法(D-OMP)。改进算法充分利用级联信道在角度域的双稀疏性,针对D-OMP三阶段估计进行改进:a)联合估计多用户公共行支持,采用中位数能量检测代替均值计算有效抑制异常用户干扰;b)引入多用户加权,优化部分公共列支持;c)引入多用户加权系数自适应剔除异常用户,优化用户特定列支持。仿真结果表明,该算法在减少导频开销的同时,NMSE较传统OMP降低3 dB以上,且在低信噪比和异常用户干扰下保持稳定,显著提升系统鲁棒性。该算法通过双稀疏性联合估计与异常用户抑制机制,为高密度RIS组网提供了低复杂度的信道估计解决方案。 展开更多
关键词 可重构智能反射面 信道估计 级联信道 双稀疏性 正交匹配追踪
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遥感技术驱动的作物产量估算方法研究进展
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作者 张伟 王松寒 +7 位作者 和玉璞 杨士红 付萍杰 李庆 徐二帅 夏子龙 王洁 祁苏婷 《南京农业大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期1-17,共17页
在极端气候、资源约束等多重挑战背景下,发展高精度、高效率的作物产量估算方法对于保障粮食安全、指导农业政策与管理至关重要。遥感技术凭借其宏观、动态、快速获取作物空间连续信息的优势,已成为推动估产范式变革的核心驱动力。本文... 在极端气候、资源约束等多重挑战背景下,发展高精度、高效率的作物产量估算方法对于保障粮食安全、指导农业政策与管理至关重要。遥感技术凭借其宏观、动态、快速获取作物空间连续信息的优势,已成为推动估产范式变革的核心驱动力。本文系统梳理了遥感驱动的经验、半经验和机理模型等三类主流估产方法的原理、研究进展及特点,深入剖析了当前估产过程在样本、观测数据及模型方面存在的问题,针对性地提出了推广样本采集智能装备与数据共享、深化多源数据协同与尺度转换、融合机理与智能算法及强化不确定性量化等对策,最后展望了作物估产需重点关注的研究方向。本研究可为构建遥感技术驱动的高效稳健作物产量估算技术框架提供技术支撑,旨在为全球粮食安全智能决策与农业可持续发展提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 作物 产量估算 遥感技术 经验模型 半经验模型 机理模型
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