Background:Stomach cancer(SC)is one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide due to late-stage diagnosis and limited treatment.The transcriptomic,epigenomic,and proteomic,etc.,omics datasets generated by high-through...Background:Stomach cancer(SC)is one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide due to late-stage diagnosis and limited treatment.The transcriptomic,epigenomic,and proteomic,etc.,omics datasets generated by high-throughput sequencing technology have become prominent in biomedical research,and they reveal molecular aspects of cancer diagnosis and therapy.Despite the development of advanced sequencing technology,the presence of high-dimensionality in multi-omics data makes it challenging to interpret the data.Methods:In this study,we introduce RankXLAN,an explainable ensemble-based multi-omics framework that integrates feature selection(FS),ensemble learning,bioinformatics,and in-silico validation for robust biomarker detection,potential therapeutic drug-repurposing candidates’identification,and classification of SC.To enhance the interpretability of the model,we incorporated explainable artificial intelligence(SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis),as well as accuracy,precision,F1-score,recall,cross-validation,specificity,likelihood ratio(LR)+,LR−,and Youden index results.Results:The experimental results showed that the top four FS algorithms achieved improved results when applied to the ensemble learning classification model.The proposed ensemble model produced an area under the curve(AUC)score of 0.994 for gene expression,0.97 for methylation,and 0.96 for miRNA expression data.Through the integration of bioinformatics and ML approach of the transcriptomic and epigenomic multi-omics dataset,we identified potential marker genes,namely,UBE2D2,HPCAL4,IGHA1,DPT,and FN3K.In-silico molecular docking revealed a strong binding affinity between ANKRD13C and the FDA-approved drug Everolimus(binding affinity−10.1 kcal/mol),identifying ANKRD13C as a potential therapeutic drug-repurposing target for SC.Conclusion:The proposed framework RankXLAN outperforms other existing frameworks for serum biomarker identification,therapeutic target identification,and SC classification with multi-omics datasets.展开更多
In recent years,ransomware attacks have become one of the most common and destructive types of cyberattacks.Their impact is significant on the operations,finances and reputation of affected companies.Despite the effor...In recent years,ransomware attacks have become one of the most common and destructive types of cyberattacks.Their impact is significant on the operations,finances and reputation of affected companies.Despite the efforts of researchers and security experts to protect information systems from these attacks,the threat persists and the proposed solutions are not able to significantly stop the spread of ransomware attacks.The latest remarkable achievements of large language models(LLMs)in NLP tasks have caught the attention of cybersecurity researchers to integrate thesemodels into security threat detection.Thesemodels offer high embedding capabilities,able to extract rich semantic representations and paving theway formore accurate and adaptive solutions.In this context,we propose a new approach for ransomware detection based on an ensemblemethod that leverages three distinctLLMembeddingmodels.This ensemble strategy takes advantage of the variety of embedding methods and the strengths of each model.In the proposed solution,each embedding model is associated with an independently trainedMLP classifier.The predictions obtained are then merged using a weighted voting technique,assigning each model an influence proportional to its performance.This approach makes it possible to exploit the complementarity of representations,improve detection accuracy and robustness,and offer a more reliable solution in the face of the growing diversity and complexity of modern ransomware.展开更多
The surge in smishing attacks underscores the urgent need for robust,real-time detection systems powered by advanced deep learning models.This paper introduces PhishNet,a novel ensemble learning framework that integra...The surge in smishing attacks underscores the urgent need for robust,real-time detection systems powered by advanced deep learning models.This paper introduces PhishNet,a novel ensemble learning framework that integrates transformer-based models(RoBERTa)and large language models(LLMs)(GPT-OSS 120B,LLaMA3.370B,and Qwen332B)to enhance smishing detection performance significantly.To mitigate class imbalance,we apply synthetic data augmentation using T5 and leverage various text preprocessing techniques.Our system employs a duallayer voting mechanism:weighted majority voting among LLMs and a final ensemble vote to classify messages as ham,spam,or smishing.Experimental results show an average accuracy improvement from 96%to 98.5%compared to the best standalone transformer,and from 93%to 98.5%when compared to LLMs across datasets.Furthermore,we present a real-time,user-friendly application to operationalize our detection model for practical use.PhishNet demonstrates superior scalability,usability,and detection accuracy,filling critical gaps in current smishing detection methodologies.展开更多
Distributed Denial of Service(DDoS)attacks are one of the severe threats to network infrastructure,sometimes bypassing traditional diagnosis algorithms because of their evolving complexity.PresentMachine Learning(ML)t...Distributed Denial of Service(DDoS)attacks are one of the severe threats to network infrastructure,sometimes bypassing traditional diagnosis algorithms because of their evolving complexity.PresentMachine Learning(ML)techniques for DDoS attack diagnosis normally apply network traffic statistical features such as packet sizes and inter-arrival times.However,such techniques sometimes fail to capture complicated relations among various traffic flows.In this paper,we present a new multi-scale ensemble strategy given the Graph Neural Networks(GNNs)for improving DDoS detection.Our technique divides traffic into macro-and micro-level elements,letting various GNN models to get the two corase-scale anomalies and subtle,stealthy attack models.Through modeling network traffic as graph-structured data,GNNs efficiently learn intricate relations among network entities.The proposed ensemble learning algorithm combines the results of several GNNs to improve generalization,robustness,and scalability.Extensive experiments on three benchmark datasets—UNSW-NB15,CICIDS2017,and CICDDoS2019—show that our approach outperforms traditional machine learning and deep learning models in detecting both high-rate and low-rate(stealthy)DDoS attacks,with significant improvements in accuracy and recall.These findings demonstrate the suggested method’s applicability and robustness for real-world implementation in contexts where several DDoS patterns coexist.展开更多
Traditional mining in open pit mines often uses explosives,leading to environmental hazards,with flyrock being a critical issue.In detail,excess flying rock beyond the designated explosion area was identified as the p...Traditional mining in open pit mines often uses explosives,leading to environmental hazards,with flyrock being a critical issue.In detail,excess flying rock beyond the designated explosion area was identified as the primary cause of fatal and non-fatal blasting hazards in open pit mining.Therefore,the accurate and reliable prediction of flyrock becomes crucial for effectively managing and mitigating associated problems.This study used the Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LightGBM)model to predict flyrock in a lead-zinc mine,with promising results.To improve its accuracy,multi-verse optimizer(MVO)and ant lion optimizer(ALO)metaheuristic algorithms were introduced.Results showed MVO-LightGBM outperformed conventional LightGBM.Additionally,decision tree(DT),support vector machine(SVM),and classification and regression tree(CART)models were trained and compared with MVO-LightGBM.The MVO-LightGBM model excelled over DT,SVM,and CART.This study highlights MVO-LightGBM's effectiveness and potential for broader applications.Furthermore,a multiple parametric sensitivity analysis(MPSA)algorithm was employed to specify the sensitivity of parameters.MPSA results indicated that the highest and lowest sensitivities are relevant to blasted rock per hole and spacing with theγ=1752.12 andγ=49.52,respectively.展开更多
Android smartphones have become an integral part of our daily lives,becoming targets for ransomware attacks.Such attacks encrypt user information and ask for payment to recover it.Conventional detection mechanisms,suc...Android smartphones have become an integral part of our daily lives,becoming targets for ransomware attacks.Such attacks encrypt user information and ask for payment to recover it.Conventional detection mechanisms,such as signature-based and heuristic techniques,often fail to detect new and polymorphic ransomware samples.To address this challenge,we employed various ensemble classifiers,such as Random Forest,Gradient Boosting,Bagging,and AutoML models.We aimed to showcase how AutoML can automate processes such as model selection,feature engineering,and hyperparameter optimization,to minimize manual effort while ensuring or enhancing performance compared to traditional approaches.We used this framework to test it with a publicly available dataset from the Kaggle repository,which contains features for Android ransomware network traffic.The dataset comprises 392,024 flow records,divided into eleven groups.There are ten classes for various ransomware types,including SVpeng,PornDroid,Koler,WannaLocker,and Lockerpin.There is also a class for regular traffic.We applied a three-step procedure to select themost relevant features:filter,wrapper,and embeddedmethods.The Bagging classifier was highly accurate,correctly getting 99.84%of the time.The FLAML AutoML framework was evenmore accurate,correctly getting 99.85%of the time.This is indicative of howwellAutoML performs in improving things with minimal human assistance.Our findings indicate that AutoML is an efficient,scalable,and flexible method to discover Android ransomware,and it will facilitate the development of next-generation intrusion detection systems.展开更多
Optical non-reciprocity is a fundamental phenomenon in photonics.It is crucial for developing devices that rely on directional signal control,such as optical isolators and circulators.However,most research in this fie...Optical non-reciprocity is a fundamental phenomenon in photonics.It is crucial for developing devices that rely on directional signal control,such as optical isolators and circulators.However,most research in this field has focused on systems in equilibrium or steady states.In this work,we demonstrate a room-temperature Rydberg atomic platform where the unidirectional propagation of light acts as a switch to mediate time-crystalline-like collective oscillations through atomic synchronization.展开更多
Rice is one of the most important staple crops globally.Rice plant diseases can severely reduce crop yields and,in extreme cases,lead to total production loss.Early diagnosis enables timely intervention,mitigates dise...Rice is one of the most important staple crops globally.Rice plant diseases can severely reduce crop yields and,in extreme cases,lead to total production loss.Early diagnosis enables timely intervention,mitigates disease severity,supports effective treatment strategies,and reduces reliance on excessive pesticide use.Traditional machine learning approaches have been applied for automated rice disease diagnosis;however,these methods depend heavily on manual image preprocessing and handcrafted feature extraction,which are labor-intensive and time-consuming and often require domain expertise.Recently,end-to-end deep learning(DL) models have been introduced for this task,but they often lack robustness and generalizability across diverse datasets.To address these limitations,we propose a novel end-toend training framework for convolutional neural network(CNN) and attention-based model ensembles(E2ETCA).This framework integrates features from two state-of-the-art(SOTA) CNN models,Inception V3 and DenseNet-201,and an attention-based vision transformer(ViT) model.The fused features are passed through an additional fully connected layer with softmax activation for final classification.The entire process is trained end-to-end,enhancing its suitability for realworld deployment.Furthermore,we extract and analyze the learned features using a support vector machine(SVM),a traditional machine learning classifier,to provide comparative insights.We evaluate the proposed E2ETCA framework on three publicly available datasets,the Mendeley Rice Leaf Disease Image Samples dataset,the Kaggle Rice Diseases Image dataset,the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute dataset,and a combined version of all three.Using standard evaluation metrics(accuracy,precision,recall,and F1-score),our framework demonstrates superior performance compared to existing SOTA methods in rice disease diagnosis,with potential applicability to other agricultural disease detection tasks.展开更多
Artificial Intelligence(AI)is changing healthcare by helping with diagnosis.However,for doctors to trust AI tools,they need to be both accurate and easy to understand.In this study,we created a new machine learning sy...Artificial Intelligence(AI)is changing healthcare by helping with diagnosis.However,for doctors to trust AI tools,they need to be both accurate and easy to understand.In this study,we created a new machine learning system for the early detection of Autism Spectrum Disorder(ASD)in children.Our main goal was to build a model that is not only good at predicting ASD but also clear in its reasoning.For this,we combined several different models,including Random Forest,XGBoost,and Neural Networks,into a single,more powerful framework.We used two different types of datasets:(i)a standard behavioral dataset and(ii)a more complex multimodal dataset with images,audio,and physiological information.The datasets were carefully preprocessed for missing values,redundant features,and dataset imbalance to ensure fair learning.The results outperformed the state-of-the-art with a Regularized Neural Network,achieving 97.6%accuracy on behavioral data.Whereas,on the multimodal data,the accuracy is 98.2%.Other models also did well with accuracies consistently above 96%.We also used SHAP and LIME on a behavioral dataset for models’explainability.展开更多
This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble lear...This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble learning techniques:DAGGING(DG),MULTIBOOST(MB),and ADABOOST(AB).This combination resulted in three distinct ensemble models:DG-RBFN,MB-RBFN,and AB-RBFN.Additionally,a traditional weighted method,Information Value(IV),and a benchmark machine learning(ML)model,Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network(MLP),were employed for comparison and validation.The models were developed using ten landslide conditioning factors,which included slope,aspect,elevation,curvature,land cover,geomorphology,overburden depth,lithology,distance to rivers and distance to roads.These factors were instrumental in predicting the output variable,which was the probability of landslide occurrence.Statistical analysis of the models’performance indicated that the DG-RBFN model,with an Area Under ROC Curve(AUC)of 0.931,outperformed the other models.The AB-RBFN model achieved an AUC of 0.929,the MB-RBFN model had an AUC of 0.913,and the MLP model recorded an AUC of 0.926.These results suggest that the advanced ensemble ML model DG-RBFN was more accurate than traditional statistical model,single MLP model,and other ensemble models in preparing trustworthy landslide susceptibility maps,thereby enhancing land use planning and decision-making.展开更多
The burgeoning market for lithium-ion batteries has stimulated a growing need for more reliable battery performance monitoring. Accurate state-of-health(SOH) estimation is critical for ensuring battery operational per...The burgeoning market for lithium-ion batteries has stimulated a growing need for more reliable battery performance monitoring. Accurate state-of-health(SOH) estimation is critical for ensuring battery operational performance. Despite numerous data-driven methods reported in existing research for battery SOH estimation, these methods often exhibit inconsistent performance across different application scenarios. To address this issue and overcome the performance limitations of individual data-driven models,integrating multiple models for SOH estimation has received considerable attention. Ensemble learning(EL) typically leverages the strengths of multiple base models to achieve more robust and accurate outputs. However, the lack of a clear review of current research hinders the further development of ensemble methods in SOH estimation. Therefore, this paper comprehensively reviews multi-model ensemble learning methods for battery SOH estimation. First, existing ensemble methods are systematically categorized into 6 classes based on their combination strategies. Different realizations and underlying connections are meticulously analyzed for each category of EL methods, highlighting distinctions, innovations, and typical applications. Subsequently, these ensemble methods are comprehensively compared in terms of base models, combination strategies, and publication trends. Evaluations across 6 dimensions underscore the outstanding performance of stacking-based ensemble methods. Following this, these ensemble methods are further inspected from the perspectives of weighted ensemble and diversity, aiming to inspire potential approaches for enhancing ensemble performance. Moreover, addressing challenges such as base model selection, measuring model robustness and uncertainty, and interpretability of ensemble models in practical applications is emphasized. Finally, future research prospects are outlined, specifically noting that deep learning ensemble is poised to advance ensemble methods for battery SOH estimation. The convergence of advanced machine learning with ensemble learning is anticipated to yield valuable avenues for research. Accelerated research in ensemble learning holds promising prospects for achieving more accurate and reliable battery SOH estimation under real-world conditions.展开更多
Deep learning algorithms have been rapidly incorporated into many different applications due to the increase in computational power and the availability of massive amounts of data.Recently,both deep learning and ensem...Deep learning algorithms have been rapidly incorporated into many different applications due to the increase in computational power and the availability of massive amounts of data.Recently,both deep learning and ensemble learning have been used to recognize underlying structures and patterns from high-level features to make predictions/decisions.With the growth in popularity of deep learning and ensemble learning algorithms,they have received significant attention from both scientists and the industrial community due to their superior ability to learn features from big data.Ensemble deep learning has exhibited significant performance in enhancing learning generalization through the use of multiple deep learning algorithms.Although ensemble deep learning has large quantities of training parameters,which results in time and space overheads,it performs much better than traditional ensemble learning.Ensemble deep learning has been successfully used in several areas,such as bioinformatics,finance,and health care.In this paper,we review and investigate recent ensemble deep learning algorithms and techniques in health care domains,medical imaging,health care data analytics,genomics,diagnosis,disease prevention,and drug discovery.We cover several widely used deep learning algorithms along with their architectures,including deep neural networks(DNNs),convolutional neural networks(CNNs),recurrent neural networks(RNNs),and generative adversarial networks(GANs).Common healthcare tasks,such as medical imaging,electronic health records,and genomics,are also demonstrated.Furthermore,in this review,the challenges inherent in reducing the burden on the healthcare system are discussed and explored.Finally,future directions and opportunities for enhancing healthcare model performance are discussed.展开更多
Smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0 are transforming traditional manufacturing processes by utilizing innovative technologies such as the artificial intelligence(AI)and internet of things(IoT)to enhance efficiency,re...Smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0 are transforming traditional manufacturing processes by utilizing innovative technologies such as the artificial intelligence(AI)and internet of things(IoT)to enhance efficiency,reduce costs,and ensure product quality.In light of the recent advancement of Industry 4.0,identifying defects has become important for ensuring the quality of products during the manufacturing process.In this research,we present an ensemble methodology for accurately classifying hot rolled steel surface defects by combining the strengths of four pre-trained convolutional neural network(CNN)architectures:VGG16,VGG19,Xception,and Mobile-Net V2,compensating for their individual weaknesses.We evaluated our methodology on the Xsteel surface defect dataset(XSDD),which comprises seven different classes.The ensemble methodology integrated the predictions of individual models through two methods:model averaging and weighted averaging.Our evaluation showed that the model averaging ensemble achieved an accuracy of 98.89%,a recall of 98.92%,a precision of 99.05%,and an F1-score of 98.97%,while the weighted averaging ensemble reached an accuracy of 99.72%,a recall of 99.74%,a precision of 99.67%,and an F1-score of 99.70%.The proposed weighted averaging ensemble model outperformed the model averaging method and the individual models in detecting defects in terms of accuracy,recall,precision,and F1-score.Comparative analysis with recent studies also showed the superior performance of our methodology.展开更多
As batteries become increasingly essential for energy storage technologies,battery prognosis,and diagnosis remain central to ensure reliable operation and effective management,as well as to aid the in-depth investigat...As batteries become increasingly essential for energy storage technologies,battery prognosis,and diagnosis remain central to ensure reliable operation and effective management,as well as to aid the in-depth investigation of degradation mechanisms.However,dynamic operating conditions,cell-to-cell inconsistencies,and limited availability of labeled data have posed significant challenges to accurate and robust prognosis and diagnosis.Herein,we introduce a time-series-decomposition-based ensembled lightweight learning model(TELL-Me),which employs a synergistic dual-module framework to facilitate accurate and reliable forecasting.The feature module formulates features with physical implications and sheds light on battery aging mechanisms,while the gradient module monitors capacity degradation rates and captures aging trend.TELL-Me achieves high accuracy in end-of-life prediction using minimal historical data from a single battery without requiring offline training dataset,and demonstrates impressive generality and robustness across various operating conditions and battery types.Additionally,by correlating feature contributions with degradation mechanisms across different datasets,TELL-Me is endowed with the diagnostic ability that not only enhances prediction reliability but also provides critical insights into the design and optimization of next-generation batteries.展开更多
Small-drone technology has opened a range of new applications for aerial transportation. These drones leverage the Internet of Things (IoT) to offer cross-location services for navigation. However, they are susceptibl...Small-drone technology has opened a range of new applications for aerial transportation. These drones leverage the Internet of Things (IoT) to offer cross-location services for navigation. However, they are susceptible to security and privacy threats due to hardware and architectural issues. Although small drones hold promise for expansion in both civil and defense sectors, they have safety, security, and privacy threats. Addressing these challenges is crucial to maintaining the security and uninterrupted operations of these drones. In this regard, this study investigates security, and preservation concerning both the drones and Internet of Drones (IoD), emphasizing the significance of creating drone networks that are secure and can robustly withstand interceptions and intrusions. The proposed framework incorporates a weighted voting ensemble model comprising three convolutional neural network (CNN) models to enhance intrusion detection within the network. The employed CNNs are customized 1D models optimized to obtain better performance. The output from these CNNs is voted using a weighted criterion using a 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3 ratio for three CNNs, respectively. Experiments involve using multiple benchmark datasets, achieving an impressive accuracy of up to 99.89% on drone data. The proposed model shows promising results concerning precision, recall, and F1 as indicated by their obtained values of 99.92%, 99.98%, and 99.97%, respectively. Furthermore, cross-validation and performance comparison with existing works is also carried out. Findings indicate that the proposed approach offers a prospective solution for detecting security threats for aerial systems and satellite systems with high accuracy.展开更多
In this paper,we consider the Fisher informations among three classical type β-ensembles when β>0 scales with n satisfying lim βn=∞.We offer the exact order of-the corresponding two Fisher informations,which in...In this paper,we consider the Fisher informations among three classical type β-ensembles when β>0 scales with n satisfying lim βn=∞.We offer the exact order of-the corresponding two Fisher informations,which indicates that theβ-Laguerre ensembles do not satisfy the logarithmic Sobolev inequality.We also give some limit theorems on the extremals of β-Jacobi ensembles for β>0 fixed.展开更多
Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally,necessitating advanced diagnostic tools to improve early detection and personalized targeted therapy.This review synthesizes ev...Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally,necessitating advanced diagnostic tools to improve early detection and personalized targeted therapy.This review synthesizes evidence on explainable ensemble learning approaches for HCC classification,emphasizing their integration with clinical workflows and multi-omics data.A systematic analysis[including datasets such as The Cancer Genome Atlas,Gene Expression Omnibus,and the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)datasets]revealed that explainable ensemble learning models achieve high diagnostic accuracy by combining clinical features,serum biomarkers such as alpha-fetoprotein,imaging features such as computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging,and genomic data.For instance,SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)-based random forests trained on NCBI GSE14520 microarray data(n=445)achieved 96.53%accuracy,while stacking ensembles applied to the SEER program data(n=1897)demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.779 for mortality prediction.Despite promising results,challenges persist,including the computational costs of SHAP and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations analyses(e.g.,TreeSHAP requiring distributed computing for metabolomics datasets)and dataset biases(e.g.,SEER’s Western population dominance limiting generalizability).Future research must address inter-cohort heterogeneity,standardize explainability metrics,and prioritize lightweight surrogate models for resource-limited settings.This review presents the potential of explainable ensemble learning frameworks to bridge the gap between predictive accuracy and clinical interpretability,though rigorous validation in independent,multi-center cohorts is critical for real-world deployment.展开更多
The biomass and coal co-pyrolysis (BCP) technology combines the advantages of both resources, achieving efficient resource complementarity, reducing reliance on coal, and minimizing pollutant emissions. However, this ...The biomass and coal co-pyrolysis (BCP) technology combines the advantages of both resources, achieving efficient resource complementarity, reducing reliance on coal, and minimizing pollutant emissions. However, this process still encounters numerous challenges in attaining optimal economic and environmental performance. Therefore, an ensemble learning (EL) framework is proposed for the BCP process in this study to optimize the synergistic benefits while minimizing negative environmental impacts. Six different ensemble learning models are developed to investigate the impact of input features, such as biomass characteristics, coal characteristics, and pyrolysis conditions on the product profit and CO_(2) emissions of the BCP processes. The Optuna method is further employed to automatically optimize the hyperparameters of BCP process models for enhancing their predictive accuracy and robustness. The results indicate that the categorical boosting (CAB) model of the BCP process has demonstrated exceptional performance in accurately predicting its product profit and CO_(2) emission (R2>0.92) after undergoing five-fold cross-validation. To enhance the interpretability of this preferred model, the Shapley additive explanations and partial dependence plot analyses are conducted to evaluate the impact and importance of biomass characteristics, coal characteristics, and pyrolysis conditions on the product profitability and CO_(2) emissions of the BCP processes. Finally, the preferred model coupled with a reference vector guided evolutionary algorithm is carried to identify the optimal conditions for maximizing the product profit of BCP process products while minimizing CO_(2) emissions. It indicates the optimal BCP process can achieve high product profits (5290.85 CNY·t−1) and low CO_(2) emissions (7.45 kg·t^(−1)).展开更多
While steady improvements have been achieved for the track forecasts of typhoons,there has been a lack of improvement for intensity forecasts.One challenge for intensity forecasts is to capture the rapid intensificati...While steady improvements have been achieved for the track forecasts of typhoons,there has been a lack of improvement for intensity forecasts.One challenge for intensity forecasts is to capture the rapid intensification(RI),whose nonlinear characteristics impose great difficulties for numerical models.The ensemble sensitivity analysis(ESA)method is used here to analyze the initial conditions that contribute to typhoon intensity forecasts,especially with RI.Six RI processes from five typhoons(Chaba,Haima,Meranti,Sarika,and Songda)in 2016,are applied with ESA,which also gives a composite initial condition that favors subsequent RI.Results from individual cases have generally similar patterns of ESA,but with different magnitudes,when various cumulus parameterization schemes are applied.To draw the initial conditions with statistical significance,sample-mean azimuthal components of ESA are obtained.Results of the composite sensitivity show that typhoons that experience RI in 24 h favor enhanced primary circulation from low to high levels,intensified secondary circulation with increased radial inflow at lower levels and increased radial outflow at upper levels,a prominent warm core at around 300 hPa,and increased humidity at low levels.As the forecast lead time increases,the patterns of ESA are retained,while the sensitivity magnitudes decay.Given the general and quantitative composite sensitivity along with associated uncertainties for different cumulus parameterization schemes,appropriate sampling of the composite sensitivity in numerical models could be beneficial to capturing the RI and improving the forecasting of typhoon intensity.展开更多
基金the Deanship of Research and Graduate Studies at King Khalid University,KSA,for funding this work through the Large Research Project under grant number RGP2/164/46.
文摘Background:Stomach cancer(SC)is one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide due to late-stage diagnosis and limited treatment.The transcriptomic,epigenomic,and proteomic,etc.,omics datasets generated by high-throughput sequencing technology have become prominent in biomedical research,and they reveal molecular aspects of cancer diagnosis and therapy.Despite the development of advanced sequencing technology,the presence of high-dimensionality in multi-omics data makes it challenging to interpret the data.Methods:In this study,we introduce RankXLAN,an explainable ensemble-based multi-omics framework that integrates feature selection(FS),ensemble learning,bioinformatics,and in-silico validation for robust biomarker detection,potential therapeutic drug-repurposing candidates’identification,and classification of SC.To enhance the interpretability of the model,we incorporated explainable artificial intelligence(SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis),as well as accuracy,precision,F1-score,recall,cross-validation,specificity,likelihood ratio(LR)+,LR−,and Youden index results.Results:The experimental results showed that the top four FS algorithms achieved improved results when applied to the ensemble learning classification model.The proposed ensemble model produced an area under the curve(AUC)score of 0.994 for gene expression,0.97 for methylation,and 0.96 for miRNA expression data.Through the integration of bioinformatics and ML approach of the transcriptomic and epigenomic multi-omics dataset,we identified potential marker genes,namely,UBE2D2,HPCAL4,IGHA1,DPT,and FN3K.In-silico molecular docking revealed a strong binding affinity between ANKRD13C and the FDA-approved drug Everolimus(binding affinity−10.1 kcal/mol),identifying ANKRD13C as a potential therapeutic drug-repurposing target for SC.Conclusion:The proposed framework RankXLAN outperforms other existing frameworks for serum biomarker identification,therapeutic target identification,and SC classification with multi-omics datasets.
基金funded by the Deanship of Graduate Studies and Scientific Research at Jouf University under grant No.(DGSSR-2024-02-01176).
文摘In recent years,ransomware attacks have become one of the most common and destructive types of cyberattacks.Their impact is significant on the operations,finances and reputation of affected companies.Despite the efforts of researchers and security experts to protect information systems from these attacks,the threat persists and the proposed solutions are not able to significantly stop the spread of ransomware attacks.The latest remarkable achievements of large language models(LLMs)in NLP tasks have caught the attention of cybersecurity researchers to integrate thesemodels into security threat detection.Thesemodels offer high embedding capabilities,able to extract rich semantic representations and paving theway formore accurate and adaptive solutions.In this context,we propose a new approach for ransomware detection based on an ensemblemethod that leverages three distinctLLMembeddingmodels.This ensemble strategy takes advantage of the variety of embedding methods and the strengths of each model.In the proposed solution,each embedding model is associated with an independently trainedMLP classifier.The predictions obtained are then merged using a weighted voting technique,assigning each model an influence proportional to its performance.This approach makes it possible to exploit the complementarity of representations,improve detection accuracy and robustness,and offer a more reliable solution in the face of the growing diversity and complexity of modern ransomware.
基金funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR)at King Abdulaziz University,Jeddah,under Grant No.(GPIP:1074-612-2024).
文摘The surge in smishing attacks underscores the urgent need for robust,real-time detection systems powered by advanced deep learning models.This paper introduces PhishNet,a novel ensemble learning framework that integrates transformer-based models(RoBERTa)and large language models(LLMs)(GPT-OSS 120B,LLaMA3.370B,and Qwen332B)to enhance smishing detection performance significantly.To mitigate class imbalance,we apply synthetic data augmentation using T5 and leverage various text preprocessing techniques.Our system employs a duallayer voting mechanism:weighted majority voting among LLMs and a final ensemble vote to classify messages as ham,spam,or smishing.Experimental results show an average accuracy improvement from 96%to 98.5%compared to the best standalone transformer,and from 93%to 98.5%when compared to LLMs across datasets.Furthermore,we present a real-time,user-friendly application to operationalize our detection model for practical use.PhishNet demonstrates superior scalability,usability,and detection accuracy,filling critical gaps in current smishing detection methodologies.
文摘Distributed Denial of Service(DDoS)attacks are one of the severe threats to network infrastructure,sometimes bypassing traditional diagnosis algorithms because of their evolving complexity.PresentMachine Learning(ML)techniques for DDoS attack diagnosis normally apply network traffic statistical features such as packet sizes and inter-arrival times.However,such techniques sometimes fail to capture complicated relations among various traffic flows.In this paper,we present a new multi-scale ensemble strategy given the Graph Neural Networks(GNNs)for improving DDoS detection.Our technique divides traffic into macro-and micro-level elements,letting various GNN models to get the two corase-scale anomalies and subtle,stealthy attack models.Through modeling network traffic as graph-structured data,GNNs efficiently learn intricate relations among network entities.The proposed ensemble learning algorithm combines the results of several GNNs to improve generalization,robustness,and scalability.Extensive experiments on three benchmark datasets—UNSW-NB15,CICIDS2017,and CICDDoS2019—show that our approach outperforms traditional machine learning and deep learning models in detecting both high-rate and low-rate(stealthy)DDoS attacks,with significant improvements in accuracy and recall.These findings demonstrate the suggested method’s applicability and robustness for real-world implementation in contexts where several DDoS patterns coexist.
基金funded by the Key Laboratory of Geological Safety of Coastal Urban Underground Space,Ministry of Natural Resources of China(Grant No.BHKF2022Y02)Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province,China(Grant No.2024A1515011162)Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province,China(Grant No.ZR2024QE021).
文摘Traditional mining in open pit mines often uses explosives,leading to environmental hazards,with flyrock being a critical issue.In detail,excess flying rock beyond the designated explosion area was identified as the primary cause of fatal and non-fatal blasting hazards in open pit mining.Therefore,the accurate and reliable prediction of flyrock becomes crucial for effectively managing and mitigating associated problems.This study used the Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LightGBM)model to predict flyrock in a lead-zinc mine,with promising results.To improve its accuracy,multi-verse optimizer(MVO)and ant lion optimizer(ALO)metaheuristic algorithms were introduced.Results showed MVO-LightGBM outperformed conventional LightGBM.Additionally,decision tree(DT),support vector machine(SVM),and classification and regression tree(CART)models were trained and compared with MVO-LightGBM.The MVO-LightGBM model excelled over DT,SVM,and CART.This study highlights MVO-LightGBM's effectiveness and potential for broader applications.Furthermore,a multiple parametric sensitivity analysis(MPSA)algorithm was employed to specify the sensitivity of parameters.MPSA results indicated that the highest and lowest sensitivities are relevant to blasted rock per hole and spacing with theγ=1752.12 andγ=49.52,respectively.
基金supported through theOngoing Research Funding Program(ORF-2025-498),King Saud University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘Android smartphones have become an integral part of our daily lives,becoming targets for ransomware attacks.Such attacks encrypt user information and ask for payment to recover it.Conventional detection mechanisms,such as signature-based and heuristic techniques,often fail to detect new and polymorphic ransomware samples.To address this challenge,we employed various ensemble classifiers,such as Random Forest,Gradient Boosting,Bagging,and AutoML models.We aimed to showcase how AutoML can automate processes such as model selection,feature engineering,and hyperparameter optimization,to minimize manual effort while ensuring or enhancing performance compared to traditional approaches.We used this framework to test it with a publicly available dataset from the Kaggle repository,which contains features for Android ransomware network traffic.The dataset comprises 392,024 flow records,divided into eleven groups.There are ten classes for various ransomware types,including SVpeng,PornDroid,Koler,WannaLocker,and Lockerpin.There is also a class for regular traffic.We applied a three-step procedure to select themost relevant features:filter,wrapper,and embeddedmethods.The Bagging classifier was highly accurate,correctly getting 99.84%of the time.The FLAML AutoML framework was evenmore accurate,correctly getting 99.85%of the time.This is indicative of howwellAutoML performs in improving things with minimal human assistance.Our findings indicate that AutoML is an efficient,scalable,and flexible method to discover Android ransomware,and it will facilitate the development of next-generation intrusion detection systems.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.12274131)the Innovation Program for Quantum Science and Technology (Grant No.2024ZD0300101)。
文摘Optical non-reciprocity is a fundamental phenomenon in photonics.It is crucial for developing devices that rely on directional signal control,such as optical isolators and circulators.However,most research in this field has focused on systems in equilibrium or steady states.In this work,we demonstrate a room-temperature Rydberg atomic platform where the unidirectional propagation of light acts as a switch to mediate time-crystalline-like collective oscillations through atomic synchronization.
基金the Begum Rokeya University,Rangpur,and the United Arab Emirates University,UAE for partially supporting this work。
文摘Rice is one of the most important staple crops globally.Rice plant diseases can severely reduce crop yields and,in extreme cases,lead to total production loss.Early diagnosis enables timely intervention,mitigates disease severity,supports effective treatment strategies,and reduces reliance on excessive pesticide use.Traditional machine learning approaches have been applied for automated rice disease diagnosis;however,these methods depend heavily on manual image preprocessing and handcrafted feature extraction,which are labor-intensive and time-consuming and often require domain expertise.Recently,end-to-end deep learning(DL) models have been introduced for this task,but they often lack robustness and generalizability across diverse datasets.To address these limitations,we propose a novel end-toend training framework for convolutional neural network(CNN) and attention-based model ensembles(E2ETCA).This framework integrates features from two state-of-the-art(SOTA) CNN models,Inception V3 and DenseNet-201,and an attention-based vision transformer(ViT) model.The fused features are passed through an additional fully connected layer with softmax activation for final classification.The entire process is trained end-to-end,enhancing its suitability for realworld deployment.Furthermore,we extract and analyze the learned features using a support vector machine(SVM),a traditional machine learning classifier,to provide comparative insights.We evaluate the proposed E2ETCA framework on three publicly available datasets,the Mendeley Rice Leaf Disease Image Samples dataset,the Kaggle Rice Diseases Image dataset,the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute dataset,and a combined version of all three.Using standard evaluation metrics(accuracy,precision,recall,and F1-score),our framework demonstrates superior performance compared to existing SOTA methods in rice disease diagnosis,with potential applicability to other agricultural disease detection tasks.
基金the King Salman center for Disability Research for funding this work through Research Group No.KSRG-2024-050.
文摘Artificial Intelligence(AI)is changing healthcare by helping with diagnosis.However,for doctors to trust AI tools,they need to be both accurate and easy to understand.In this study,we created a new machine learning system for the early detection of Autism Spectrum Disorder(ASD)in children.Our main goal was to build a model that is not only good at predicting ASD but also clear in its reasoning.For this,we combined several different models,including Random Forest,XGBoost,and Neural Networks,into a single,more powerful framework.We used two different types of datasets:(i)a standard behavioral dataset and(ii)a more complex multimodal dataset with images,audio,and physiological information.The datasets were carefully preprocessed for missing values,redundant features,and dataset imbalance to ensure fair learning.The results outperformed the state-of-the-art with a Regularized Neural Network,achieving 97.6%accuracy on behavioral data.Whereas,on the multimodal data,the accuracy is 98.2%.Other models also did well with accuracies consistently above 96%.We also used SHAP and LIME on a behavioral dataset for models’explainability.
基金the University of Transport Technology under the project entitled“Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Mountainous Areas”with grant number DTTD2022-16.
文摘This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble learning techniques:DAGGING(DG),MULTIBOOST(MB),and ADABOOST(AB).This combination resulted in three distinct ensemble models:DG-RBFN,MB-RBFN,and AB-RBFN.Additionally,a traditional weighted method,Information Value(IV),and a benchmark machine learning(ML)model,Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network(MLP),were employed for comparison and validation.The models were developed using ten landslide conditioning factors,which included slope,aspect,elevation,curvature,land cover,geomorphology,overburden depth,lithology,distance to rivers and distance to roads.These factors were instrumental in predicting the output variable,which was the probability of landslide occurrence.Statistical analysis of the models’performance indicated that the DG-RBFN model,with an Area Under ROC Curve(AUC)of 0.931,outperformed the other models.The AB-RBFN model achieved an AUC of 0.929,the MB-RBFN model had an AUC of 0.913,and the MLP model recorded an AUC of 0.926.These results suggest that the advanced ensemble ML model DG-RBFN was more accurate than traditional statistical model,single MLP model,and other ensemble models in preparing trustworthy landslide susceptibility maps,thereby enhancing land use planning and decision-making.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (52075420)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (xzy022023049)National Key Research and Development Program of China (2023YFB3408600)。
文摘The burgeoning market for lithium-ion batteries has stimulated a growing need for more reliable battery performance monitoring. Accurate state-of-health(SOH) estimation is critical for ensuring battery operational performance. Despite numerous data-driven methods reported in existing research for battery SOH estimation, these methods often exhibit inconsistent performance across different application scenarios. To address this issue and overcome the performance limitations of individual data-driven models,integrating multiple models for SOH estimation has received considerable attention. Ensemble learning(EL) typically leverages the strengths of multiple base models to achieve more robust and accurate outputs. However, the lack of a clear review of current research hinders the further development of ensemble methods in SOH estimation. Therefore, this paper comprehensively reviews multi-model ensemble learning methods for battery SOH estimation. First, existing ensemble methods are systematically categorized into 6 classes based on their combination strategies. Different realizations and underlying connections are meticulously analyzed for each category of EL methods, highlighting distinctions, innovations, and typical applications. Subsequently, these ensemble methods are comprehensively compared in terms of base models, combination strategies, and publication trends. Evaluations across 6 dimensions underscore the outstanding performance of stacking-based ensemble methods. Following this, these ensemble methods are further inspected from the perspectives of weighted ensemble and diversity, aiming to inspire potential approaches for enhancing ensemble performance. Moreover, addressing challenges such as base model selection, measuring model robustness and uncertainty, and interpretability of ensemble models in practical applications is emphasized. Finally, future research prospects are outlined, specifically noting that deep learning ensemble is poised to advance ensemble methods for battery SOH estimation. The convergence of advanced machine learning with ensemble learning is anticipated to yield valuable avenues for research. Accelerated research in ensemble learning holds promising prospects for achieving more accurate and reliable battery SOH estimation under real-world conditions.
基金funded by Taif University,Saudi Arabia,project No.(TU-DSPP-2024-263).
文摘Deep learning algorithms have been rapidly incorporated into many different applications due to the increase in computational power and the availability of massive amounts of data.Recently,both deep learning and ensemble learning have been used to recognize underlying structures and patterns from high-level features to make predictions/decisions.With the growth in popularity of deep learning and ensemble learning algorithms,they have received significant attention from both scientists and the industrial community due to their superior ability to learn features from big data.Ensemble deep learning has exhibited significant performance in enhancing learning generalization through the use of multiple deep learning algorithms.Although ensemble deep learning has large quantities of training parameters,which results in time and space overheads,it performs much better than traditional ensemble learning.Ensemble deep learning has been successfully used in several areas,such as bioinformatics,finance,and health care.In this paper,we review and investigate recent ensemble deep learning algorithms and techniques in health care domains,medical imaging,health care data analytics,genomics,diagnosis,disease prevention,and drug discovery.We cover several widely used deep learning algorithms along with their architectures,including deep neural networks(DNNs),convolutional neural networks(CNNs),recurrent neural networks(RNNs),and generative adversarial networks(GANs).Common healthcare tasks,such as medical imaging,electronic health records,and genomics,are also demonstrated.Furthermore,in this review,the challenges inherent in reducing the burden on the healthcare system are discussed and explored.Finally,future directions and opportunities for enhancing healthcare model performance are discussed.
基金supported by the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)funded by the Ministry of Education(NRF-2022R1I1A3063493).
文摘Smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0 are transforming traditional manufacturing processes by utilizing innovative technologies such as the artificial intelligence(AI)and internet of things(IoT)to enhance efficiency,reduce costs,and ensure product quality.In light of the recent advancement of Industry 4.0,identifying defects has become important for ensuring the quality of products during the manufacturing process.In this research,we present an ensemble methodology for accurately classifying hot rolled steel surface defects by combining the strengths of four pre-trained convolutional neural network(CNN)architectures:VGG16,VGG19,Xception,and Mobile-Net V2,compensating for their individual weaknesses.We evaluated our methodology on the Xsteel surface defect dataset(XSDD),which comprises seven different classes.The ensemble methodology integrated the predictions of individual models through two methods:model averaging and weighted averaging.Our evaluation showed that the model averaging ensemble achieved an accuracy of 98.89%,a recall of 98.92%,a precision of 99.05%,and an F1-score of 98.97%,while the weighted averaging ensemble reached an accuracy of 99.72%,a recall of 99.74%,a precision of 99.67%,and an F1-score of 99.70%.The proposed weighted averaging ensemble model outperformed the model averaging method and the individual models in detecting defects in terms of accuracy,recall,precision,and F1-score.Comparative analysis with recent studies also showed the superior performance of our methodology.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22379021 and 22479021)。
文摘As batteries become increasingly essential for energy storage technologies,battery prognosis,and diagnosis remain central to ensure reliable operation and effective management,as well as to aid the in-depth investigation of degradation mechanisms.However,dynamic operating conditions,cell-to-cell inconsistencies,and limited availability of labeled data have posed significant challenges to accurate and robust prognosis and diagnosis.Herein,we introduce a time-series-decomposition-based ensembled lightweight learning model(TELL-Me),which employs a synergistic dual-module framework to facilitate accurate and reliable forecasting.The feature module formulates features with physical implications and sheds light on battery aging mechanisms,while the gradient module monitors capacity degradation rates and captures aging trend.TELL-Me achieves high accuracy in end-of-life prediction using minimal historical data from a single battery without requiring offline training dataset,and demonstrates impressive generality and robustness across various operating conditions and battery types.Additionally,by correlating feature contributions with degradation mechanisms across different datasets,TELL-Me is endowed with the diagnostic ability that not only enhances prediction reliability but also provides critical insights into the design and optimization of next-generation batteries.
文摘Small-drone technology has opened a range of new applications for aerial transportation. These drones leverage the Internet of Things (IoT) to offer cross-location services for navigation. However, they are susceptible to security and privacy threats due to hardware and architectural issues. Although small drones hold promise for expansion in both civil and defense sectors, they have safety, security, and privacy threats. Addressing these challenges is crucial to maintaining the security and uninterrupted operations of these drones. In this regard, this study investigates security, and preservation concerning both the drones and Internet of Drones (IoD), emphasizing the significance of creating drone networks that are secure and can robustly withstand interceptions and intrusions. The proposed framework incorporates a weighted voting ensemble model comprising three convolutional neural network (CNN) models to enhance intrusion detection within the network. The employed CNNs are customized 1D models optimized to obtain better performance. The output from these CNNs is voted using a weighted criterion using a 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3 ratio for three CNNs, respectively. Experiments involve using multiple benchmark datasets, achieving an impressive accuracy of up to 99.89% on drone data. The proposed model shows promising results concerning precision, recall, and F1 as indicated by their obtained values of 99.92%, 99.98%, and 99.97%, respectively. Furthermore, cross-validation and performance comparison with existing works is also carried out. Findings indicate that the proposed approach offers a prospective solution for detecting security threats for aerial systems and satellite systems with high accuracy.
基金supported by the NSFC(12171038)and 985 Projects。
文摘In this paper,we consider the Fisher informations among three classical type β-ensembles when β>0 scales with n satisfying lim βn=∞.We offer the exact order of-the corresponding two Fisher informations,which indicates that theβ-Laguerre ensembles do not satisfy the logarithmic Sobolev inequality.We also give some limit theorems on the extremals of β-Jacobi ensembles for β>0 fixed.
文摘Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally,necessitating advanced diagnostic tools to improve early detection and personalized targeted therapy.This review synthesizes evidence on explainable ensemble learning approaches for HCC classification,emphasizing their integration with clinical workflows and multi-omics data.A systematic analysis[including datasets such as The Cancer Genome Atlas,Gene Expression Omnibus,and the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)datasets]revealed that explainable ensemble learning models achieve high diagnostic accuracy by combining clinical features,serum biomarkers such as alpha-fetoprotein,imaging features such as computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging,and genomic data.For instance,SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)-based random forests trained on NCBI GSE14520 microarray data(n=445)achieved 96.53%accuracy,while stacking ensembles applied to the SEER program data(n=1897)demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.779 for mortality prediction.Despite promising results,challenges persist,including the computational costs of SHAP and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations analyses(e.g.,TreeSHAP requiring distributed computing for metabolomics datasets)and dataset biases(e.g.,SEER’s Western population dominance limiting generalizability).Future research must address inter-cohort heterogeneity,standardize explainability metrics,and prioritize lightweight surrogate models for resource-limited settings.This review presents the potential of explainable ensemble learning frameworks to bridge the gap between predictive accuracy and clinical interpretability,though rigorous validation in independent,multi-center cohorts is critical for real-world deployment.
基金support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22108052).
文摘The biomass and coal co-pyrolysis (BCP) technology combines the advantages of both resources, achieving efficient resource complementarity, reducing reliance on coal, and minimizing pollutant emissions. However, this process still encounters numerous challenges in attaining optimal economic and environmental performance. Therefore, an ensemble learning (EL) framework is proposed for the BCP process in this study to optimize the synergistic benefits while minimizing negative environmental impacts. Six different ensemble learning models are developed to investigate the impact of input features, such as biomass characteristics, coal characteristics, and pyrolysis conditions on the product profit and CO_(2) emissions of the BCP processes. The Optuna method is further employed to automatically optimize the hyperparameters of BCP process models for enhancing their predictive accuracy and robustness. The results indicate that the categorical boosting (CAB) model of the BCP process has demonstrated exceptional performance in accurately predicting its product profit and CO_(2) emission (R2>0.92) after undergoing five-fold cross-validation. To enhance the interpretability of this preferred model, the Shapley additive explanations and partial dependence plot analyses are conducted to evaluate the impact and importance of biomass characteristics, coal characteristics, and pyrolysis conditions on the product profitability and CO_(2) emissions of the BCP processes. Finally, the preferred model coupled with a reference vector guided evolutionary algorithm is carried to identify the optimal conditions for maximizing the product profit of BCP process products while minimizing CO_(2) emissions. It indicates the optimal BCP process can achieve high product profits (5290.85 CNY·t−1) and low CO_(2) emissions (7.45 kg·t^(−1)).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42192553 and 41922036]the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities–Cemac“GeoX”Interdisciplinary Program[grant number 020714380207]。
文摘While steady improvements have been achieved for the track forecasts of typhoons,there has been a lack of improvement for intensity forecasts.One challenge for intensity forecasts is to capture the rapid intensification(RI),whose nonlinear characteristics impose great difficulties for numerical models.The ensemble sensitivity analysis(ESA)method is used here to analyze the initial conditions that contribute to typhoon intensity forecasts,especially with RI.Six RI processes from five typhoons(Chaba,Haima,Meranti,Sarika,and Songda)in 2016,are applied with ESA,which also gives a composite initial condition that favors subsequent RI.Results from individual cases have generally similar patterns of ESA,but with different magnitudes,when various cumulus parameterization schemes are applied.To draw the initial conditions with statistical significance,sample-mean azimuthal components of ESA are obtained.Results of the composite sensitivity show that typhoons that experience RI in 24 h favor enhanced primary circulation from low to high levels,intensified secondary circulation with increased radial inflow at lower levels and increased radial outflow at upper levels,a prominent warm core at around 300 hPa,and increased humidity at low levels.As the forecast lead time increases,the patterns of ESA are retained,while the sensitivity magnitudes decay.Given the general and quantitative composite sensitivity along with associated uncertainties for different cumulus parameterization schemes,appropriate sampling of the composite sensitivity in numerical models could be beneficial to capturing the RI and improving the forecasting of typhoon intensity.
