[Objective] The aim was to establish Elman neural network model to predict the dynamic changes of temperature. [Method] Considering the inherent nature of temperature, and dy dint of the temperature in Chongqing durin...[Objective] The aim was to establish Elman neural network model to predict the dynamic changes of temperature. [Method] Considering the inherent nature of temperature, and dy dint of the temperature in Chongqing during 1951-2010, the Elman artificial neural network model was applied to predict the temperature. [Result] This simulation result suggested that the relative error was small and can have a good simulation to the future temperature changes. [Conclusion] The prediction result can guide agricultural production and further apply to the field of pricing the weather derivative products.展开更多
Autonomous underwater vehicles(AUV) work in a complex marine environment. Its system reliability and autonomous fault diagnosis are particularly important and can provide the basis for underwater vehicles to take corr...Autonomous underwater vehicles(AUV) work in a complex marine environment. Its system reliability and autonomous fault diagnosis are particularly important and can provide the basis for underwater vehicles to take corresponding security policy in a failure. Aiming at the characteristics of the underwater vehicle which has uncertain system and modeling difficulty, an improved Elman neural network is introduced which is applied to the underwater vehicle motion modeling. Through designing self-feedback connection with fixed gain in the unit connection as well as increasing the feedback of the output layer node, improved Elman network has faster convergence speed and generalization ability. This method for high-order nonlinear system has stronger identification ability. Firstly, the residual is calculated by comparing the output of the underwater vehicle model(estimation in the motion state) with the actual measured values. Secondly, characteristics of the residual are analyzed on the basis of fault judging criteria. Finally, actuator fault diagnosis of the autonomous underwater vehicle is carried out. The results of the simulation experiment show that the method is effective.展开更多
In order to remotely monitor and maintain large-scale complex equipment in real time, China Telecom plans to create a total solution that integrates remote data collection, transmission, storage, analysis and predicti...In order to remotely monitor and maintain large-scale complex equipment in real time, China Telecom plans to create a total solution that integrates remote data collection, transmission, storage, analysis and prediction. This solution can provide manufacturers with proactive, systematic, integrated operation and maintenance service, and the data analysis and health forecasting are the most important part. This paper conducts health management for the turbine blades. Elman neural network, and improved Elman neural network, i.e., outputhidden feedback(OHF) Elman neural network are studied as the main research methods. The results verify the applicability of OHF Elman neural network.展开更多
Due to the nature of ultra-short-acting opioid remifentanil of high time-varying,complex compartment model and low-accuracy of plasma concentration prediction,the traditional estimation method of population pharmacoki...Due to the nature of ultra-short-acting opioid remifentanil of high time-varying,complex compartment model and low-accuracy of plasma concentration prediction,the traditional estimation method of population pharmacokinetics parameters,nonlinear mixed effects model(NONMEM),has the abuses of tedious work and plenty of man-made jamming factors.The Elman feedback neural network was built.The relationships between the patients’plasma concentration of remifentanil and time,patient’age,gender,lean body mass,height,body surface area,sampling time,total dose,and injection rate through network training were obtained to predict the plasma concentration of remifentanil,and after that,it was compared with the results of NONMEM algorithm.In conclusion,the average error of Elman network is 6.34%,while that of NONMEM is 18.99%.The absolute average error of Elman network is 27.07%,while that of NONMEM is 38.09%.The experimental results indicate that Elman neural network could predict the plasma concentration of remifentanil rapidly and stably,with high accuracy and low error.For the characteristics of simple principle and fast computing speed,this method is suitable to data analysis of short-acting anesthesia drug population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamics.展开更多
The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a ...The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a complex problem and neural network performance is mainly influenced by proper hidden layer neuron units. This paper proposes new criteria for appropriate hidden layer neuron unit’s determination and attempts a novel hybrid method in order to achieve enhanced wind speed forecasting. This paper proposes the following two main innovative contributions 1) both either over fitting or under fitting issues are avoided by means of the proposed new criteria based hidden layer neuron unit’s estimation. 2) ELMAN neural network is optimized through Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer (MGWO). The proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) performance, effectiveness is confirmed by means of the comparison between Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Adaptive Gbest-guided Gravitational Search Algorithm (GGSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Cuckoo Search (CS), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Evolution Strategy (ES), Genetic Algorithm (GA) algorithms, meanwhile proposed new criteria effectiveness and precise are verified comparison with other existing selection criteria. Three real-time wind data sets are utilized in order to analysis the performance of the proposed approach. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) achieve the mean square error AVG ± STD of 4.1379e-11 ± 1.0567e-15, 6.3073e-11 ± 3.5708e-15 and 7.5840e-11 ± 1.1613e-14 respectively for evaluation on three real-time data sets. Hence, the proposed hybrid method is superior, precise, enhance wind speed forecasting than that of other existing methods and robust.展开更多
In the present study, ELMAN artificial neural network model was developed to predict the change of NH3-N in aquaculture water. The in- dexes including feed ration, dissolved oxygen in water, water temperature, air tem...In the present study, ELMAN artificial neural network model was developed to predict the change of NH3-N in aquaculture water. The in- dexes including feed ration, dissolved oxygen in water, water temperature, air temperature, water turbidity, rainfall were recorded and chosen as the input variables, while the NHz-N content in the corresponding pond was chosen as output variable. The above data were collected everyday from June to October in 2014 and were used to develop model in this test, and the data collected in November of 2014 were chosen to evaluate the developed model. The results showed that the changing trend of NH3-N in aquaculture water could be simulated well by the model, the predictive absolute error mean was 0.016 mg/L, and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient was 0.74. The prediction model based on ELMAN neural network had a strong ability to describe the nonlinear dynamic changes of NH3-N content in aquaculture water, and it showed the good adaptability and accu- racy in practical application.展开更多
A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax depositi...A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.展开更多
<div style="text-align:justify;"> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">We first recall the sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output of a modified Elman neural network ...<div style="text-align:justify;"> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">We first recall the sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output of a modified Elman neural network with a periodic input found by using Mawhin’s continuation theorem of coincidence degree theory. Using this result, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output for an output hidden feedback Elman neural network with a periodic input. Examples illustrating these sufficient conditions are given.</span> </div>展开更多
This paper introduces a kind of diagnosis principle and learning algorithm of steam turbine fault diagnosis which based on Elman neural network. Comparing the results of the Elman neural network and the traditional BP...This paper introduces a kind of diagnosis principle and learning algorithm of steam turbine fault diagnosis which based on Elman neural network. Comparing the results of the Elman neural network and the traditional BP neural network diagnosis, the results shows that Elman neural network is an effective way to improve the learning speed , effectively suppress the minimum defects that the traditional neural network easily trapped in, and shorten the autonomous learning time. All these proves that the Elman neural network is an effective way to diagnose the steam turbine.展开更多
The stable operation of the central air conditioning water system always is a major difficulty for the control profession. Paper focus on the water system with multi variable, strong coupling, nonlinear, large time de...The stable operation of the central air conditioning water system always is a major difficulty for the control profession. Paper focus on the water system with multi variable, strong coupling, nonlinear, large time delay characteristics, presented use feed forward coupling compensation method, to eliminate the coupling effect between temperature and pressure. In this paper, the Elman neural network controller is designed for the first time, and the simulation results show that the response time of Elman neural network controller is shorter, the system is more stable and the overshoot is small.展开更多
The quantification of the relationship between morphological and color indicators in various organs of horticultural crops is of great significance for crop digital visualization research using computer vision technol...The quantification of the relationship between morphological and color indicators in various organs of horticultural crops is of great significance for crop digital visualization research using computer vision technology.To study this relationship,observational data from a six-year experiment were collected,focusing on seven kinds of color component values of different organs including root,stem,and leaf.Using the collected color data as input,a simulation model was established based on the Elman neural network for six horticultural crops including zizania,cucumber,celery,spinach,parsley,and tea.Results indicated that the horticultural crop morphology model based on the Elman neural network exhibited high simulation accuracy with root mean square error(RMSE)ranging from 0.14 to 1.05 cm and normalized root mean square error(NRMSE)ranging from 2.02% to 11.34% for the maximum root length simulation model.The simulation model for stem length and diameter had an RMSE ranging from 1.42 to 4.96 cm and 0.25 to 1.17 mm,respectively,with NRMSE ranging from 18.19%to 25.65%and 15.13%to 27.25%,respectively.Similarly,chlorophyll content,leaf length,leaf width,and leaf area simulation models exhibited RMSE ranging from 2.80 to 8.22 SPAD,0.44 to 18.04 cm,0.22 to 3.49 cm,and 0.25 to 36.39 cm2,respectively,with NRMSE ranging from 8.63% to 21.04%,15.00%to 22.87%,15.12%to 33.58%,and 6.88%to 24.90%,respectively.These findings provide essential theoretical support for precision agriculture in areas of water and fertilizer management,plant growth diagnosis,and yield prediction.展开更多
This article presents an improved Elman neural network for reducing building vibrations during earthquakes.The adjustment coefficient is proposed to be added to the Elman network’s output layer to improve the control...This article presents an improved Elman neural network for reducing building vibrations during earthquakes.The adjustment coefficient is proposed to be added to the Elman network’s output layer to improve the controller’s performance when used to minimize vibrations in buildings.The parameters of the proposed Elman neural network model are optimized using the Balancing Composite Motion Optimization algorithm.The effectiveness of the proposed method is assessed using a three-story structure with an active dampening mechanism on the first level.The study also takes into account two kinds of Elman neural network input variables:displacement and velocity data on the first floor,as well as displacement and velocity readings across all three floors.This research uses two measures of fitness functions in the optimal process,the structure’s peak displacement and acceleration,to determine the best parameters for the proposed model.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated in restraining the vibration of the structure under a variety of earthquakes.Furthermore,the findings indicate that the proposed model maintains sustainability even when the maximum value of the actuator device is dropped.展开更多
In this work, a new neutron and γ （n/γ） discrimination method based on an Elman Neural Network （ENN） is proposed to improve the discrimination performance of liquid scintillator （LS） detectors. Neutron and γ ...In this work, a new neutron and γ （n/γ） discrimination method based on an Elman Neural Network （ENN） is proposed to improve the discrimination performance of liquid scintillator （LS） detectors. Neutron and γ data were acquired from an EJ-335 LS detector, which was exposed in a 241Am-9Be radiation field. Neutron and γ events were discriminated using two methods of artificial neural network including the ENN and a typical Back Propagation Neural Network （BPNN） as a control. The results show that the two methods have different n/γ discrimination performances. Compared to the BPNN, the ENN provides an improved of Figure of Merit （FOM） in n/γ discrimination. The FOM increases from 0.907 4- 0.034 to 0.953 4- 0.037 by using the new method of the ENN. The proposed n/γdiscrimination method based on ENN provides a new choice of pulse shape discrimination in neutron detection.展开更多
In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of ammonia(NH3)concentration prediction,which can provides a support to the ventilation control strategy,so as to reduce the impact of NH3 on the health and productivit...In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of ammonia(NH3)concentration prediction,which can provides a support to the ventilation control strategy,so as to reduce the impact of NH3 on the health and productivity of swine,this paper proposed an NH3 concentration prediction method based on Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD)and Elman neural network modelling.The NH3 concentration and other four environmental parameters including temperature,humidity,carbon dioxide and light intensity were decomposed into several different time-scale intrinsic mode functions(IMFs).Then,the Elman neural network prediction model was used to predict each IMF.The predicted NH3 was obtained by reconstructing all the IMFs by EMD.The results show that for the proposed method,the determination coefficient between the predicted and real measured value is 0.9856,the Mean Absolute Error is 0.7088 ppm,the Root Mean Square Error is 0.9096 ppm,and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error is 0.41%.Compared with the Elman neural network,the proposed method has a good improvement in the accuracy,and provide effective parameters for the environmental monitoring of the swine house and the regulation of the NH3 concentration.展开更多
Efficient and accurate health state estimation is crucial for lithium-ion battery(LIB)performance monitoring and economic evaluation.Effectively estimating the health state of LIBs online is the key but is also the mo...Efficient and accurate health state estimation is crucial for lithium-ion battery(LIB)performance monitoring and economic evaluation.Effectively estimating the health state of LIBs online is the key but is also the most difficult task for energy storage systems.With high adaptability and applicability advantages,battery health state estimation based on data-driven techniques has attracted extensive attention from researchers around the world.Artificial neural network(ANN)-based methods are often used for state estimations of LIBs.As one of the ANN methods,the Elman neural network(ENN)model has been improved to estimate the battery state more efficiently and accurately.In this paper,an improved ENN estimation method based on electrochemical impedance spectroscopy(EIS)and cuckoo search(CS)is established as the EIS-CS-ENN model to estimate the health state of LIBs.Also,the paper conducts a critical review of various ANN models against the EIS-CS-ENN model.This demonstrates that the EIS-CS-ENN model outperforms other models.The review also proves that,under the same conditions,selecting appropriate health indicators(HIs)according to the mathematical modeling ability and state requirements are the keys in estimating the health state efficiently.In the calculation process,several evaluation indicators are adopted to analyze and compare the modeling accuracy with other existing methods.Through the analysis of the evaluation results and the selection of HIs,conclusions and suggestions are put forward.Also,the robustness of the EIS-CS-ENN model for the health state estimation of LIBs is verified.展开更多
From the viewpoint of energy saving and improving transmission efficiency, the ZL50E wheel loader is taken as the study object. And the system model is analyzed based on the transmission system of the construction veh...From the viewpoint of energy saving and improving transmission efficiency, the ZL50E wheel loader is taken as the study object. And the system model is analyzed based on the transmission system of the construction vehicle. A new four-parameter shift schedule is presented, which can keep the torque converter working in the high efficiency area. The control algorithm based on the Elman recursive neural network is applied, and four-parameter control system is developed which is based on industrial computer. The system is used to collect data accurately and control 4D180 power-shift gearbox of ZL50E wheel loader shift timely. An experiment is done on automatic transmission test-bed, and the result indicates that the control system could reliably and safely work and improve the efficiency of hydraulic torque converter. Four-parameter shift strategy that takes into account the power consuming of the working pump has important operating significance and reflects the actual working status of construction vehicle.展开更多
This paper covers a novel method named wavelet packet transform based Elman recurrent neural network(WPTERNN) for the simultaneous kinetic determination of periodate and iodate. The wavelet packet representations of s...This paper covers a novel method named wavelet packet transform based Elman recurrent neural network(WPTERNN) for the simultaneous kinetic determination of periodate and iodate. The wavelet packet representations of signals provide a local time-frequency description, thus in the wavelet packet domain, the quality of the noise removal can be improved. The Elman recurrent network was applied to non-linear multivariate calibration. In this case, by means of optimization, the wavelet function, decomposition level and number of hidden nodes for WPTERNN method were selected as D4, 5 and 5 respectively. A program PWPTERNN was designed to perform multicomponent kinetic determination. The relative standard error of prediction(RSEP) for all the components with WPTERNN, Elman RNN and PLS were 3.23%, 11.8% and 10.9% respectively. The experimental results show that the method is better than the others.展开更多
In this paper, Hailin City of Heilongjiang Province, China is taken as the research area. As an important city in Heilongjiang Province, China, the sustainable development of its ecological environment is related to t...In this paper, Hailin City of Heilongjiang Province, China is taken as the research area. As an important city in Heilongjiang Province, China, the sustainable development of its ecological environment is related to the opening up, economic prosperity and social stability of Northeast China. In this paper, the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) of Hailin City in recent 20 years was calculated by using Landsat 5/8/9 series satellite images, and the temporal and spatial changes of the ecological environment in Hailin City were further analyzed and the influencing factors were discussed. From 2003 to 2023, the mean value of RSEI in Hailin City decreased and increased, and the ecological environment decreased slightly as a whole. RSEI declined most significantly from 2003 to 2008, and it increased from 2008 to 2013, decreased from 2013 to 2018, and increased from 2018 to 2023 again, with higher RSEI value in the south and lower RSEI value in the northwest. It is suggested to appropriately increase vegetation coverage in the northwest to improve ecological quality. As a result, the predicted value of Elman dynamic recurrent neural network model is consistent with the change trend of the mean value, and the prediction error converges quickly, which can accurately predict the ecological environment quality in the future study area.展开更多
An MI.P(Multi-Layer Perception)/Elman neural network is proposed in thispaper, which realizes classification with memory of past events using the real-time classificationof MI.P and the memorial functionality of Elman...An MI.P(Multi-Layer Perception)/Elman neural network is proposed in thispaper, which realizes classification with memory of past events using the real-time classificationof MI.P and the memorial functionality of Elman. The system's sensitivity for the memory of pastevents ean be easily reconfigured without retraining the whole network. This approach can he usedfor both misuse and anomaly detection system. The intrusion detection systems(TDSs) using the hybridMLP/Elman neural network are evaluated by the intrusion detection evaluation data sponsored by U.S.Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency CDARPA) Ihc results of experiment are presented inReceiver Operating Characteristic CROC) curves. Thc capabilites of these IDSs to identify DenyofService(DOS) and probing attacks are enhanced.展开更多
In this study, the authors developed an en- semble of Elman neural networks to forecast the spatial and temporal distribution of fossil-fuel emissions （ff） in 2009. The authors built and trained 29 Elman neural net-...In this study, the authors developed an en- semble of Elman neural networks to forecast the spatial and temporal distribution of fossil-fuel emissions （ff） in 2009. The authors built and trained 29 Elman neural net- works based on the monthly average grid emission data （1979-2008） from different geographical regions. A three-dimensional global chemical transport model, God- dard Earth Observing System （GEOS）-Chem, was applied to verify the effectiveness of the networks. The results showed that the networks captured the annual increasing trend and interannual variation of ff well. The difference between the simulations with the original and predicted ff ranged from -1 ppmv to 1 ppmv globally. Meanwhile, the authors evaluated the observed and simulated north-south gradient of the atmospheric CO2 concentrations near the surface. The two simulated gradients appeared to have a similar changing pattern to the observations, with a slightly higher background CO2 concentration, - 1 ppmv. The results indicate that the Elman neural network is a useful tool for better understanding the spatial and tem- poral distribution of the atmospheric C02 concentration and ft.展开更多
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(61001125)~~
文摘[Objective] The aim was to establish Elman neural network model to predict the dynamic changes of temperature. [Method] Considering the inherent nature of temperature, and dy dint of the temperature in Chongqing during 1951-2010, the Elman artificial neural network model was applied to predict the temperature. [Result] This simulation result suggested that the relative error was small and can have a good simulation to the future temperature changes. [Conclusion] The prediction result can guide agricultural production and further apply to the field of pricing the weather derivative products.
基金Project(2012T50331)supported by China Postdoctoral Science FoundationProject(2008AA092301-2)supported by the High-Tech Research and Development Program of China
文摘Autonomous underwater vehicles(AUV) work in a complex marine environment. Its system reliability and autonomous fault diagnosis are particularly important and can provide the basis for underwater vehicles to take corresponding security policy in a failure. Aiming at the characteristics of the underwater vehicle which has uncertain system and modeling difficulty, an improved Elman neural network is introduced which is applied to the underwater vehicle motion modeling. Through designing self-feedback connection with fixed gain in the unit connection as well as increasing the feedback of the output layer node, improved Elman network has faster convergence speed and generalization ability. This method for high-order nonlinear system has stronger identification ability. Firstly, the residual is calculated by comparing the output of the underwater vehicle model(estimation in the motion state) with the actual measured values. Secondly, characteristics of the residual are analyzed on the basis of fault judging criteria. Finally, actuator fault diagnosis of the autonomous underwater vehicle is carried out. The results of the simulation experiment show that the method is effective.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51505288 and 51875359)the TBT Project of Shanghai(No.18TBT003)the Project of Shanghai Telecom(No.17C1ZA0069SH301)
文摘In order to remotely monitor and maintain large-scale complex equipment in real time, China Telecom plans to create a total solution that integrates remote data collection, transmission, storage, analysis and prediction. This solution can provide manufacturers with proactive, systematic, integrated operation and maintenance service, and the data analysis and health forecasting are the most important part. This paper conducts health management for the turbine blades. Elman neural network, and improved Elman neural network, i.e., outputhidden feedback(OHF) Elman neural network are studied as the main research methods. The results verify the applicability of OHF Elman neural network.
基金Project(31200748)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Due to the nature of ultra-short-acting opioid remifentanil of high time-varying,complex compartment model and low-accuracy of plasma concentration prediction,the traditional estimation method of population pharmacokinetics parameters,nonlinear mixed effects model(NONMEM),has the abuses of tedious work and plenty of man-made jamming factors.The Elman feedback neural network was built.The relationships between the patients’plasma concentration of remifentanil and time,patient’age,gender,lean body mass,height,body surface area,sampling time,total dose,and injection rate through network training were obtained to predict the plasma concentration of remifentanil,and after that,it was compared with the results of NONMEM algorithm.In conclusion,the average error of Elman network is 6.34%,while that of NONMEM is 18.99%.The absolute average error of Elman network is 27.07%,while that of NONMEM is 38.09%.The experimental results indicate that Elman neural network could predict the plasma concentration of remifentanil rapidly and stably,with high accuracy and low error.For the characteristics of simple principle and fast computing speed,this method is suitable to data analysis of short-acting anesthesia drug population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamics.
文摘The scope of this paper is to forecast wind speed. Wind speed, temperature, wind direction, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and air pressure are the main factors make the wind speed forecasting as a complex problem and neural network performance is mainly influenced by proper hidden layer neuron units. This paper proposes new criteria for appropriate hidden layer neuron unit’s determination and attempts a novel hybrid method in order to achieve enhanced wind speed forecasting. This paper proposes the following two main innovative contributions 1) both either over fitting or under fitting issues are avoided by means of the proposed new criteria based hidden layer neuron unit’s estimation. 2) ELMAN neural network is optimized through Modified Grey Wolf Optimizer (MGWO). The proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) performance, effectiveness is confirmed by means of the comparison between Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Adaptive Gbest-guided Gravitational Search Algorithm (GGSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Cuckoo Search (CS), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Evolution Strategy (ES), Genetic Algorithm (GA) algorithms, meanwhile proposed new criteria effectiveness and precise are verified comparison with other existing selection criteria. Three real-time wind data sets are utilized in order to analysis the performance of the proposed approach. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid method (ELMAN-MGWO) achieve the mean square error AVG ± STD of 4.1379e-11 ± 1.0567e-15, 6.3073e-11 ± 3.5708e-15 and 7.5840e-11 ± 1.1613e-14 respectively for evaluation on three real-time data sets. Hence, the proposed hybrid method is superior, precise, enhance wind speed forecasting than that of other existing methods and robust.
基金Supported by Cultivation Project of Key and Emerging DisciplinesAnhui Academy of Agricultural Sciences(14A0520)+3 种基金Youth Innovation Foundation Project of DeanAnhui Academy of Agricultural Sciences(15B0520)Construction Item of Science Technology Innovation GroupAnhui Academy of Agricultural Sciences(13C0506)
文摘In the present study, ELMAN artificial neural network model was developed to predict the change of NH3-N in aquaculture water. The in- dexes including feed ration, dissolved oxygen in water, water temperature, air temperature, water turbidity, rainfall were recorded and chosen as the input variables, while the NHz-N content in the corresponding pond was chosen as output variable. The above data were collected everyday from June to October in 2014 and were used to develop model in this test, and the data collected in November of 2014 were chosen to evaluate the developed model. The results showed that the changing trend of NH3-N in aquaculture water could be simulated well by the model, the predictive absolute error mean was 0.016 mg/L, and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient was 0.74. The prediction model based on ELMAN neural network had a strong ability to describe the nonlinear dynamic changes of NH3-N content in aquaculture water, and it showed the good adaptability and accu- racy in practical application.
文摘A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.
文摘<div style="text-align:justify;"> <span style="font-family:Verdana;">We first recall the sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output of a modified Elman neural network with a periodic input found by using Mawhin’s continuation theorem of coincidence degree theory. Using this result, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of a periodic output for an output hidden feedback Elman neural network with a periodic input. Examples illustrating these sufficient conditions are given.</span> </div>
文摘This paper introduces a kind of diagnosis principle and learning algorithm of steam turbine fault diagnosis which based on Elman neural network. Comparing the results of the Elman neural network and the traditional BP neural network diagnosis, the results shows that Elman neural network is an effective way to improve the learning speed , effectively suppress the minimum defects that the traditional neural network easily trapped in, and shorten the autonomous learning time. All these proves that the Elman neural network is an effective way to diagnose the steam turbine.
文摘The stable operation of the central air conditioning water system always is a major difficulty for the control profession. Paper focus on the water system with multi variable, strong coupling, nonlinear, large time delay characteristics, presented use feed forward coupling compensation method, to eliminate the coupling effect between temperature and pressure. In this paper, the Elman neural network controller is designed for the first time, and the simulation results show that the response time of Elman neural network controller is shorter, the system is more stable and the overshoot is small.
基金supported by Soft Science Research Program Project in Zhejiang Province(Grant No.2022C35063)Lishui Public Welfare Technology Application Research Plan Project(Grant No.2024GYX14)+2 种基金Scientific Research Project of Tianjin Vegetable Industry Technology System Innovation Team(Grant No.201716)the Science and Technology Innovation Activity Plan for College Students in Zhejiang Province(New Talent Plan)(Grant No.2023R480014,2023R480021)the National College Student Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Programme(Grant No.S202210352001X,S202210352009,S202210352010).
文摘The quantification of the relationship between morphological and color indicators in various organs of horticultural crops is of great significance for crop digital visualization research using computer vision technology.To study this relationship,observational data from a six-year experiment were collected,focusing on seven kinds of color component values of different organs including root,stem,and leaf.Using the collected color data as input,a simulation model was established based on the Elman neural network for six horticultural crops including zizania,cucumber,celery,spinach,parsley,and tea.Results indicated that the horticultural crop morphology model based on the Elman neural network exhibited high simulation accuracy with root mean square error(RMSE)ranging from 0.14 to 1.05 cm and normalized root mean square error(NRMSE)ranging from 2.02% to 11.34% for the maximum root length simulation model.The simulation model for stem length and diameter had an RMSE ranging from 1.42 to 4.96 cm and 0.25 to 1.17 mm,respectively,with NRMSE ranging from 18.19%to 25.65%and 15.13%to 27.25%,respectively.Similarly,chlorophyll content,leaf length,leaf width,and leaf area simulation models exhibited RMSE ranging from 2.80 to 8.22 SPAD,0.44 to 18.04 cm,0.22 to 3.49 cm,and 0.25 to 36.39 cm2,respectively,with NRMSE ranging from 8.63% to 21.04%,15.00%to 22.87%,15.12%to 33.58%,and 6.88%to 24.90%,respectively.These findings provide essential theoretical support for precision agriculture in areas of water and fertilizer management,plant growth diagnosis,and yield prediction.
基金funded by Hanoi University of Science and Technology,Vietnam(No.T2023-PC-013).
文摘This article presents an improved Elman neural network for reducing building vibrations during earthquakes.The adjustment coefficient is proposed to be added to the Elman network’s output layer to improve the controller’s performance when used to minimize vibrations in buildings.The parameters of the proposed Elman neural network model are optimized using the Balancing Composite Motion Optimization algorithm.The effectiveness of the proposed method is assessed using a three-story structure with an active dampening mechanism on the first level.The study also takes into account two kinds of Elman neural network input variables:displacement and velocity data on the first floor,as well as displacement and velocity readings across all three floors.This research uses two measures of fitness functions in the optimal process,the structure’s peak displacement and acceleration,to determine the best parameters for the proposed model.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated in restraining the vibration of the structure under a variety of earthquakes.Furthermore,the findings indicate that the proposed model maintains sustainability even when the maximum value of the actuator device is dropped.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(11275134,11475117)
文摘In this work, a new neutron and γ （n/γ） discrimination method based on an Elman Neural Network （ENN） is proposed to improve the discrimination performance of liquid scintillator （LS） detectors. Neutron and γ data were acquired from an EJ-335 LS detector, which was exposed in a 241Am-9Be radiation field. Neutron and γ events were discriminated using two methods of artificial neural network including the ENN and a typical Back Propagation Neural Network （BPNN） as a control. The results show that the two methods have different n/γ discrimination performances. Compared to the BPNN, the ENN provides an improved of Figure of Merit （FOM） in n/γ discrimination. The FOM increases from 0.907 4- 0.034 to 0.953 4- 0.037 by using the new method of the ENN. The proposed n/γdiscrimination method based on ENN provides a new choice of pulse shape discrimination in neutron detection.
基金This research is financially supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(2016YFD0700204-02)The“Young Talents”Project of Northeast Agricultural University(17QC20)+1 种基金Research on Attitude Fusion Zero Offset Correction and Decoupling Noise Reduction for Non-flat Production Flow Sensors,China Postdoctoral Fund(2016M601406)Central Guide to Local Science and Technology Development(ZY17C06)and The Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System(No.CARS-35).The authors are grateful to anonymous reviewers for their comments.
文摘In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of ammonia(NH3)concentration prediction,which can provides a support to the ventilation control strategy,so as to reduce the impact of NH3 on the health and productivity of swine,this paper proposed an NH3 concentration prediction method based on Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD)and Elman neural network modelling.The NH3 concentration and other four environmental parameters including temperature,humidity,carbon dioxide and light intensity were decomposed into several different time-scale intrinsic mode functions(IMFs).Then,the Elman neural network prediction model was used to predict each IMF.The predicted NH3 was obtained by reconstructing all the IMFs by EMD.The results show that for the proposed method,the determination coefficient between the predicted and real measured value is 0.9856,the Mean Absolute Error is 0.7088 ppm,the Root Mean Square Error is 0.9096 ppm,and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error is 0.41%.Compared with the Elman neural network,the proposed method has a good improvement in the accuracy,and provide effective parameters for the environmental monitoring of the swine house and the regulation of the NH3 concentration.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62173281 and No.61801407)the Sichuan Science and Technology Pro-gram(No.2019YFG0427 and No.2023YFG0108)+1 种基金the China Scholarship Council(No.201908515099)the Fund of Robot Technology used for the Special Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province(No.18kftk03).
文摘Efficient and accurate health state estimation is crucial for lithium-ion battery(LIB)performance monitoring and economic evaluation.Effectively estimating the health state of LIBs online is the key but is also the most difficult task for energy storage systems.With high adaptability and applicability advantages,battery health state estimation based on data-driven techniques has attracted extensive attention from researchers around the world.Artificial neural network(ANN)-based methods are often used for state estimations of LIBs.As one of the ANN methods,the Elman neural network(ENN)model has been improved to estimate the battery state more efficiently and accurately.In this paper,an improved ENN estimation method based on electrochemical impedance spectroscopy(EIS)and cuckoo search(CS)is established as the EIS-CS-ENN model to estimate the health state of LIBs.Also,the paper conducts a critical review of various ANN models against the EIS-CS-ENN model.This demonstrates that the EIS-CS-ENN model outperforms other models.The review also proves that,under the same conditions,selecting appropriate health indicators(HIs)according to the mathematical modeling ability and state requirements are the keys in estimating the health state efficiently.In the calculation process,several evaluation indicators are adopted to analyze and compare the modeling accuracy with other existing methods.Through the analysis of the evaluation results and the selection of HIs,conclusions and suggestions are put forward.Also,the robustness of the EIS-CS-ENN model for the health state estimation of LIBs is verified.
基金supported by Research Fund for Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (No.20020183003)
文摘From the viewpoint of energy saving and improving transmission efficiency, the ZL50E wheel loader is taken as the study object. And the system model is analyzed based on the transmission system of the construction vehicle. A new four-parameter shift schedule is presented, which can keep the torque converter working in the high efficiency area. The control algorithm based on the Elman recursive neural network is applied, and four-parameter control system is developed which is based on industrial computer. The system is used to collect data accurately and control 4D180 power-shift gearbox of ZL50E wheel loader shift timely. An experiment is done on automatic transmission test-bed, and the result indicates that the control system could reliably and safely work and improve the efficiency of hydraulic torque converter. Four-parameter shift strategy that takes into account the power consuming of the working pump has important operating significance and reflects the actual working status of construction vehicle.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.2 996 5 0 0 1) and Natural Science Foundation of InnerMongolia(No.2 0 0 2 2 0 80 2 0 115 )
文摘This paper covers a novel method named wavelet packet transform based Elman recurrent neural network(WPTERNN) for the simultaneous kinetic determination of periodate and iodate. The wavelet packet representations of signals provide a local time-frequency description, thus in the wavelet packet domain, the quality of the noise removal can be improved. The Elman recurrent network was applied to non-linear multivariate calibration. In this case, by means of optimization, the wavelet function, decomposition level and number of hidden nodes for WPTERNN method were selected as D4, 5 and 5 respectively. A program PWPTERNN was designed to perform multicomponent kinetic determination. The relative standard error of prediction(RSEP) for all the components with WPTERNN, Elman RNN and PLS were 3.23%, 11.8% and 10.9% respectively. The experimental results show that the method is better than the others.
文摘In this paper, Hailin City of Heilongjiang Province, China is taken as the research area. As an important city in Heilongjiang Province, China, the sustainable development of its ecological environment is related to the opening up, economic prosperity and social stability of Northeast China. In this paper, the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) of Hailin City in recent 20 years was calculated by using Landsat 5/8/9 series satellite images, and the temporal and spatial changes of the ecological environment in Hailin City were further analyzed and the influencing factors were discussed. From 2003 to 2023, the mean value of RSEI in Hailin City decreased and increased, and the ecological environment decreased slightly as a whole. RSEI declined most significantly from 2003 to 2008, and it increased from 2008 to 2013, decreased from 2013 to 2018, and increased from 2018 to 2023 again, with higher RSEI value in the south and lower RSEI value in the northwest. It is suggested to appropriately increase vegetation coverage in the northwest to improve ecological quality. As a result, the predicted value of Elman dynamic recurrent neural network model is consistent with the change trend of the mean value, and the prediction error converges quickly, which can accurately predict the ecological environment quality in the future study area.
文摘An MI.P(Multi-Layer Perception)/Elman neural network is proposed in thispaper, which realizes classification with memory of past events using the real-time classificationof MI.P and the memorial functionality of Elman. The system's sensitivity for the memory of pastevents ean be easily reconfigured without retraining the whole network. This approach can he usedfor both misuse and anomaly detection system. The intrusion detection systems(TDSs) using the hybridMLP/Elman neural network are evaluated by the intrusion detection evaluation data sponsored by U.S.Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency CDARPA) Ihc results of experiment are presented inReceiver Operating Characteristic CROC) curves. Thc capabilites of these IDSs to identify DenyofService(DOS) and probing attacks are enhanced.
基金supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change: Carbon Budget and Relevant Issues of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDA05040000)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41005023 and 41275046)
文摘In this study, the authors developed an en- semble of Elman neural networks to forecast the spatial and temporal distribution of fossil-fuel emissions （ff） in 2009. The authors built and trained 29 Elman neural net- works based on the monthly average grid emission data （1979-2008） from different geographical regions. A three-dimensional global chemical transport model, God- dard Earth Observing System （GEOS）-Chem, was applied to verify the effectiveness of the networks. The results showed that the networks captured the annual increasing trend and interannual variation of ff well. The difference between the simulations with the original and predicted ff ranged from -1 ppmv to 1 ppmv globally. Meanwhile, the authors evaluated the observed and simulated north-south gradient of the atmospheric CO2 concentrations near the surface. The two simulated gradients appeared to have a similar changing pattern to the observations, with a slightly higher background CO2 concentration, - 1 ppmv. The results indicate that the Elman neural network is a useful tool for better understanding the spatial and tem- poral distribution of the atmospheric C02 concentration and ft.
