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Empirical analysis of electric vehicle charging load forecasting based on Monte Carlo simulation model
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作者 Kun Wei Guang Tian +3 位作者 Yang Yang Xufeng Zhang Yuanying Chi Yi Zheng 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2026年第1期131-142,共12页
With the rapid proliferation of electric vehicles,their charging loads pose new challenges to power grid stability and operational efficiency.To address this,this study employs a Monte Carlo simulation model to analyz... With the rapid proliferation of electric vehicles,their charging loads pose new challenges to power grid stability and operational efficiency.To address this,this study employs a Monte Carlo simulation model to analyze the charging load characteristics of six battery electric vehicle categories in Hebei Province,leveraging multi-source probabilistic distribution data under typical operational scenarios.The findings reveal that electric vehicle charging loads are primarily concentrated during midday and nighttime periods,with significant load fluctuations exerting substantial pressure on the grid.In response,this paper proposes strategic interventions including optimized charging infrastructure planning,time-of-use electricity pricing mechanisms,and smart charging technologies to balance grid loads.The results provide a theoretical foundation for electric vehicle load forecasting,smart grid dispatching,and vehicle-grid integration,thereby enhancing grid operational efficiency and sustainability. 展开更多
关键词 Electric vehicles Monte CarloLoad forecasting simulation analysis
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Quantifying the Cooling Potential of Urban Tree Species:A Trait-Based Approach Using Envi-Met Simulations and Regression Analysis
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作者 Pallavi Sharma Ramkishore Singh 《Research in Ecology》 2026年第1期169-184,共16页
Urban Heat Island(UHI)effects are exacerbated by the expansion of impervious surfaces and loss of vegetation in urban centers,leading to elevated air and surface temperatures and reduced thermal comfort.Urban trees,th... Urban Heat Island(UHI)effects are exacerbated by the expansion of impervious surfaces and loss of vegetation in urban centers,leading to elevated air and surface temperatures and reduced thermal comfort.Urban trees,through shading and evapotranspiration,are among the most effective Nature-based Solutions(NbS)for passive cooling.This study assesses the cooling potential of selected tree species by analyzing their morphological and physiological traits using a combination of ENVI-met microclimate simulations and multiple regression modeling.A total of 15 urban tree species were selected from the literature and analyzed based on their dependency of their cooling efficacy.Later validated in urban setting by Envi-met simulations.Key traits,such as Leaf Area Index(LAI),canopy density,transpiration rate,tree height,rooting depth,and water availability,were analyzed.Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted to quantify the contribution of each trait to ambient temperature reduction.Results revealed that LAI(R^(2)=0.76,p<0.001)and transpiration rate(R^(2)=0.71,p<0.001)were the most significant predictors of daytime cooling,while canopy openness and tree height were more strongly correlated with nighttime heat dissipation.High-performing species,such as Ficus benghalensis,Azadirachta indica,and Samanea saman,demonstrated a maximum temperature reduction of 2.5-4.2℃,especially in compact,low-rise,and mid-rise zones.The study provides a quantitative trait-based framework for tree selection in urban greening initiatives and offers evidence to guide landscape planning and UHI mitigation strategies through scientifically informed plantation design. 展开更多
关键词 Urban Heat Island Cooling Efficacy of Tree Species Regression analysis Envi-Met simulations
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Microstructure Analysis of TC4/Al 6063/Al 7075 Explosive Welded Composite Plate via Multi-scale Simulation and Experiment 被引量:1
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作者 Zhou Jianan Luo Ning +3 位作者 Liang Hanliang Chen Jinhua Liu Zhibing Zhou Xiaohong 《稀有金属材料与工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期27-38,共12页
Because of the challenge of compounding lightweight,high-strength Ti/Al alloys due to their considerable disparity in properties,Al 6063 as intermediate layer was proposed to fabricate TC4/Al 6063/Al 7075 three-layer ... Because of the challenge of compounding lightweight,high-strength Ti/Al alloys due to their considerable disparity in properties,Al 6063 as intermediate layer was proposed to fabricate TC4/Al 6063/Al 7075 three-layer composite plate by explosive welding.The microscopic properties of each bonding interface were elucidated through field emission scanning electron microscope and electron backscattered diffraction(EBSD).A methodology combining finite element method-smoothed particle hydrodynamics(FEM-SPH)and molecular dynamics(MD)was proposed for the analysis of the forming and evolution characteristics of explosive welding interfaces at multi-scale.The results demonstrate that the bonding interface morphologies of TC4/Al 6063 and Al 6063/Al 7075 exhibit a flat and wavy configuration,without discernible defects or cracks.The phenomenon of grain refinement is observed in the vicinity of the two bonding interfaces.Furthermore,the degree of plastic deformation of TC4 and Al 7075 is more pronounced than that of Al 6063 in the intermediate layer.The interface morphology characteristics obtained by FEM-SPH simulation exhibit a high degree of similarity to the experimental results.MD simulations reveal that the diffusion of interfacial elements predominantly occurs during the unloading phase,and the simulated thickness of interfacial diffusion aligns well with experimental outcomes.The introduction of intermediate layer in the explosive welding process can effectively produce high-quality titanium/aluminum alloy composite plates.Furthermore,this approach offers a multi-scale simulation strategy for the study of explosive welding bonding interfaces. 展开更多
关键词 TC4/Al 6063/Al 7075 composite plate explosive welding microstructure analysis multi-scale simulation
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Research on a Simulation Platform for Typical Internal Corrosion Defects in Natural Gas Pipelines Based on Big Data Analysis
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作者 Changchao Qi Lingdi Fu +2 位作者 Ming Wen Hao Qian Shuai Zhao 《Structural Durability & Health Monitoring》 2025年第4期1073-1087,共15页
The accuracy and reliability of non-destructive testing(NDT)approaches in detecting interior corrosion problems are critical,yet research in this field is limited.This work describes a novel way to monitor the structu... The accuracy and reliability of non-destructive testing(NDT)approaches in detecting interior corrosion problems are critical,yet research in this field is limited.This work describes a novel way to monitor the structural integrity of steel gas pipelines that uses advanced numerical modeling techniques to anticipate fracture development and corrosion effects.The objective is to increase pipeline dependability and safety through more precise,real-time health evaluations.Compared to previous approaches,our solution provides higher accuracy in fault detection and quantification,making it ideal for pipeline integritymonitoring in real-world applications.To solve this issue,statistical analysis was conducted on the size and directional distribution features of about 380,000 sets of internal corrosion faults,as well as simulations of erosion and wear patterns on bent pipes.Using real defectmorphologies,we developed a modeling framework for typical interior corrosion flaws.We evaluated and validated the applicability and effectiveness of in-service inspection processes,as well as conducted on-site comparison tests.The results show that(1)the length and width of corrosion defects follow a log-normal distribution,the clock orientation follows a normal distribution,and the peak depth follows a Freundlich EX function distribution pattern;(2)pipeline corrosion defect data can be classified into three classes using the K-means clustering algorithm,allowing rapid and convenient acquisition of typical size and orientation characteristics of internal corrosion defects;(3)the applicability range and boundary conditions of various NDT techniques were verified,establishing comprehensive selection principles for internal corrosion defect detection technology;(4)on-site inspection results showed a 31%The simulation and validation platform for typical interior corrosion issues greatly enhances the accuracy and reliability of detection data. 展开更多
关键词 Internal corrosion non-destructive testing techniques cluster analysis defect simulation feature analysis typical defects
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Highly efficient contact detection strategy of 3D discontinuous deformation analysis in continuous-discontinuous simulation
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作者 Jingyu Kang Xiaodong Fu +5 位作者 Qian Sheng Xing Wang Haifeng Ding Xuehan Zhao Tian Xi Shangwei Jiang 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2025年第11期6977-6992,共16页
Contact detection is the most time-consuming stage in 3D discontinuous deformation analysis(3D-DDA)computation.Improving the efficiency of 3D-DDA is beneficial for its application in large-scale computing.In this stud... Contact detection is the most time-consuming stage in 3D discontinuous deformation analysis(3D-DDA)computation.Improving the efficiency of 3D-DDA is beneficial for its application in large-scale computing.In this study,aiming at the continuous-discontinuous simulation of 3D-DDA,a highly efficient contact detection strategy is proposed.Firstly,the global direct search(GDS)method is integrated into the 3D-DDA framework to address intricate contact scenarios.Subsequently,all geometric elements,including blocks,faces,edges,and vertices are divided into searchable and unsearchable parts.Contacts between unsearchable geometric elements would be directly inherited,while only searchable geometric elements are involved in contact detection.This strategy significantly reduces the number of geometric elements involved in contact detection,thereby markedly enhancing the computation efficiency.Several examples are adopted to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the improved 3D-DDA method.The rock pillars with different mesh sizes are simulated under self-weight.The deformation and stress are consistent with the analytical results,and the smaller the mesh size,the higher the accuracy.The maximum speedup ratio is 38.46 for this case.Furthermore,the Brazilian splitting test on the discs with different flaws is conducted.The results show that the failure pattern of the samples is consistent with the results obtained by other methods and experiments,and the maximum speedup ratio is 266.73.Finally,a large-scale impact test is performed,and approximately 3.2 times enhanced efficiency is obtained.The proposed contact detection strategy significantly improves efficiency when the rock has not completely failed,which is more suitable for continuous-discontinuous simulation. 展开更多
关键词 3D discontinuous deformation analysis Contact detection Computation efficiency Continuous-discontinuous simulation FRACTURE
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Factors affecting the perceived stress and anxiety of novice nursing students in high-fidelity simulation education:a secondary qualitative analysis of focus group interviews
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作者 Natalie Lee Po-man Alice Chan Mei-ling Florence Wong Mei-Fung 《Frontiers of Nursing》 2025年第3期325-332,共8页
Objective:To gain insight into the potential factors that may cause perceived stress and anxiety in simulation education.Methods:A secondary qualitative analysis study using qualitative thematic synthesis.A local high... Objective:To gain insight into the potential factors that may cause perceived stress and anxiety in simulation education.Methods:A secondary qualitative analysis study using qualitative thematic synthesis.A local higher education institution that conducted pre-registration nursing programs.A total of 189 undergraduate nursing students that were never attained any clinical placement prior to the parent study.Focus group interviews were conducted to collect data that were then transcribed and analyzed through the qualitative thematic synthesis approach to develop themes.Results:Three themes were emerged from the participants’simulation experiences in terms of peoples(the observers vs the observed),actions(the prepared vs the unprepared),and settings(the realism vs the simulation).Conclusions:By considering and reviewing the current design and development of the simulation practice,the findings of this study contribute to the body of knowledge with valuable insights on stress and anxiety that may affect students’learning in simulation. 展开更多
关键词 high-fidelity simulation novice nursing students perceived anxiety perceived stress secondary qualitative analysis simulation-based education
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Furnace structure analysis for copper flash continuous smelting based on numerical simulation 被引量:9
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作者 汪金良 陈亚州 +1 位作者 张文海 张传福 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第12期3799-3807,共9页
According to the innate characteristic of four types of furnace, the copper flash continuous smelting (CFCS) furnace can be considered a synthetic reactor of two relatively independent processes: flash matte smelti... According to the innate characteristic of four types of furnace, the copper flash continuous smelting (CFCS) furnace can be considered a synthetic reactor of two relatively independent processes: flash matte smelting process (FMSP) and copper continuous converting process (CCCP). Then, the CFCS thermodynamic model was proposed by establishing the multi-phase equilibrium model of FMSP and the local-equilibrium model of CCCP, respectively, and by combining them through the smelting intermediates. Subsequently, the influences of the furnace structures were investigated using the model on the formation of blister copper, the Fe3O4 behavior, the copper loss in slag and the copper recovery rate. The results show that the type D furnace, with double flues and a slag partition wall, is an ideal CFCS reactor compared with the other three types furnaces. For CFCS, it is effective to design a partition wall in the furnace to make FMSP and CCCP perform in two relatively independent zones, respectively, and to make smelting gas and converting gas discharge from respective flues. 展开更多
关键词 furnace structure copper flash continuous smelting numerical simulation thermodynamic analysis
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Electromagnetic simulation and experimental analysis of microwave heaters for asphalt pavements 被引量:3
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作者 朱松青 张志胜 史泰龙 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2011年第4期410-416,共7页
In order to study the thermoelectric efficiency of microwave heating and reproduction of asphalt pavements and the uniformity of reproduction temperature distribution, a waveguide excitation cavity is designed and app... In order to study the thermoelectric efficiency of microwave heating and reproduction of asphalt pavements and the uniformity of reproduction temperature distribution, a waveguide excitation cavity is designed and applied to the structural design of a microwave heater. The structural sizes of the incentive cavities are determined based on the waveguide transmission line theory. Using IE3D software, electromagnetic simulations are respectively carried out in four different situations, including the distances between the magnetron probes (antennas) and a short-circuit board, different horn electric lengths and aperture sizes, different dielectric properties of the asphalt mixture, and the distances between the asphalt surface and the mouth cavity. The results show that, when the distance between the magnetron probe and the short-circuit board is 32.5 ram, it is the best installation site; reduction of aerial length is the main factor in improving the heating uniformity. When the aggregate is limestone, the best heating effect can be produced. Maximum radiation efficiency can be realized by adjusting the space between the heater radiation port and the asphalt pavement. The experimental results of asphalt mixture heating in four different situations have a substantial agreement with the simulation results, which confirms that the developed microwave heater can achieve better impedance matching, thus improving the quality and efficiency of heating regeneration. 展开更多
关键词 microwave heater excitation cavity structural design electromagnetic simulation temperature distribution experimental analysis
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A FLEXIBLE SIMULATION TOOL FOR PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
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作者 舒炎泰 张平 +3 位作者 张燕 费亚中 贾明珠 金志刚 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 1996年第2期37+33-36,共5页
This paper presents RTSS simulation software with the capability for graphical model building and animation display. The RTSS simulation software consists of three separated parts: the simulation kernel, the model bui... This paper presents RTSS simulation software with the capability for graphical model building and animation display. The RTSS simulation software consists of three separated parts: the simulation kernel, the model building program and the result post processing program. The RTSS may run in the client/server mode. The main features of the RTSS software are more modular, more flexible and easier to upgrade. RTSS is built on object oriented technology, so it has more flexibility. The RTSS model of a system is an open queueing network. For modeling various data acquisition systems, communication networks and flexible manufacturing systems at different abstraction levels, RTSS has proven to be an extremely useful tool for performance analysis. 展开更多
关键词 simulation performance analysis QUEUEING
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Multi-Scale Modelling and Simulation of Graphene–PDMS and CNT–PDMS Flexible Capacitive Pressure Sensors for Enhanced Sensitivity
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作者 Rama Gautam Nikhil Marriwala +1 位作者 Reeta Devi Dhariya Singh Arya 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第5期330-346,共17页
In this study,the multi-scale(meso and macro)modelling was used to predict the electric response of the material.Porosity was introduced through a sugar-templating process to enhance compressibility and sensitivity.Me... In this study,the multi-scale(meso and macro)modelling was used to predict the electric response of the material.Porosity was introduced through a sugar-templating process to enhance compressibility and sensitivity.Mean-field homogenization was employed to predict the electrical conductivity of the nanocomposites,which was validated experimentally through I–V characterisation,confirming stable Ohmic behavior.The homogenised material parameters were incorporated into COMSOLMultiphysics to simulate diaphragmdeflection and capacitance variation under applied pressure.Experimental results showed a linear and stable capacitance response at the force magnitude of 0–7 N.The Graphene nanoplatelets(GnP)–Polydimethylsiloxane(PDMS)sensor demonstrated superior sensitivity(0.0032 pF/N)compared to the CNT–PDMS sensor(0.0019 pF/N),attributed to improved filler dispersion and higher effective surface area of GnP.Finite element simulations were further conducted to evaluate stress distribution in a GnP–PDMS-based capacitive sensor integrated into a shoe insole for gait analysis.The results correlated well with experimental capacitance changes,validating the sensor’s mechanical reliability and pressure sensitivity.This comparative study establishes the GnP–PDMS composite as a more effective candidate for low-cost,biocompatible,and high-performance flexible pressure sensors in wearable biomedical and gait monitoring applications. 展开更多
关键词 Sensitivity COMSOL simulation GRAPHENE POLYDIMETHYLSILOXANE carbon nanotube pressure sensor gait analysis
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Integrated rapid analysis method for thermal environment in aircraft cabin
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作者 Banghua ZHAO Lei LIANG +1 位作者 Xuejun YANG Sujun DONG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2026年第2期141-150,共10页
To achieve efficient and refined thermal environment simulations for single-phase and two-phase flows in aircraft cabins,we propose an integrated analysis method.This approach enables rapid coupled heat transfer calcu... To achieve efficient and refined thermal environment simulations for single-phase and two-phase flows in aircraft cabins,we propose an integrated analysis method.This approach enables rapid coupled heat transfer calculations among single-phase flow,two-phase flow,and solids within a single time step.For single-phase fluid and solid equipment,a fast numerical algorithm for natural convection is developed using a loosely coupled strategy,dividing the single-phase flow into developmental stages for efficient temperature field computation.For two-phase flow and the fuel tank wall,a transient heat transfer model is constructed at the gas-liquid-solid boundary,facilitating fast thermal analysis.These methods are unified for integrated simulation of the cabin’s thermal environment.Validation based on two-dimensional models demonstrates a speedup by a factor of 7.9,while maintaining an average temperature error of less than 1%at two-phase nodes.The method’s robustness is confirmed under various high-temperature boundary conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Coupled heat transfer Fast simulation Integrated analysis Single-phase flow Two-phase flow
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Data-driven simulation of storm-enhanced density and tongue of ionization during the May 10–11,2024,superstorm
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作者 XiangYu Niu Jing Liu +4 位作者 JiaoJiao Zhang HaoNan Wu JianJun Liu YaQi Jin ShuHan Li 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 2026年第2期302-314,共13页
Storm-enhanced density(SED)and the tongue of ionization(TOI)are key ionospheric storm-time structures whose rapid evolution and fine-scale variability remain challenging to capture with conventional empirical high-lat... Storm-enhanced density(SED)and the tongue of ionization(TOI)are key ionospheric storm-time structures whose rapid evolution and fine-scale variability remain challenging to capture with conventional empirical high-latitude drivers.In this study,we examine the May 10–11,2024,superstorm using the Thermosphere–Ionosphere–Electrodynamics General Circulation Model(TIEGCM)with observation-constrained high-latitude forcing.Auroral precipitation parameters(energy flux and mean energy)are assimilated from a Defense Meteorological Satellite Program(DMSP)Special Sensor Ultraviolet Spectrographic Imager(SSUSI)using a multi-resolution Gaussian process(Lattice Kriging)approach,whereas high-latitude convection potentials are derived by assimilating Super Dual Auroral Radar Network(SuperDARN)observations with the Thomas and Shepherd(2018)model(TS18).For comparison,an additional simulation is performed using empirical models for both convection and auroral forcing.The results show that during the main phase of the May 10 storm,the data-driven simulation provides a more realistic depiction of the SED source region than does the empirical model run by capturing its rapid intensification more clearly and reproducing its spatial location and structural features with higher fidelity.These improvements lead to a more accurate representation of its poleward extension into the polar cap that develops into the TOI.Above the ionospheric F2 peak over the SED source region,SuperDARN-constrained potentials generate stronger and more localized E×B drifts that dominate plasma uplift and drive its transport into the polar cap,although neutral winds and downward ambipolar diffusion partially offset these effects.Below the F2 peak,neutral winds and photochemical processes play a major role in shaping the spatial extent and intensity of the SED and TOI.These results highlight the role of observation-constrained high-latitude drivers in representing ionosphere–thermosphere responses during extreme storms and suggest their relevance for improving physical interpretation and model performance. 展开更多
关键词 data-driven simulation storm-enhanced density tongue of ionization continuity term analysis
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Analysis of the Pump-turbine S Characteristics Using the Detached Eddy Simulation Method 被引量:12
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作者 SUN Hui XIAO Ruofu +2 位作者 WANG Fujun XIAO Yexiang LIU Weichao 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第1期115-122,共8页
Current research on pump-turbine units is focused on the unstable operation at off-design conditions, with the characteristic curves in generating mode being S-shaped. Unlike in the traditional water turbines, pump-tu... Current research on pump-turbine units is focused on the unstable operation at off-design conditions, with the characteristic curves in generating mode being S-shaped. Unlike in the traditional water turbines, pump-turbine operation along the S-shaped curve can lead to difficulties during load rejection with unusual increases in the water pressure, which leads to machine vibrations. This paper describes both model tests and numerical simulations. A reduced scale model of a low specific speed pump-turbine was used for the performance tests, with comparisons to computational fluid dynamics(CFD) results. Predictions using the detached eddy simulation(DES) turbulence model, which is a combined Reynolds averaged Naviers-Stokes(RANS) and large eddy simulation(LES) model, are compared with the two-equation turbulence mode results. The external characteristics as well as the internal flow are for various guide vane openings to understand the unsteady flow along the so called S characteristics of a pump-turbine. Comparison of the experimental data with the CFD results for various conditions and times shows that DES model gives better agreement with experimental data than the two-equation turbulence model. For low flow conditions, the centrifugal forces and the large incident angle create large vortices between the guide vanes and the runner inlet in the runner passage, which is the main factor leading to the S-shaped characteristics. The turbulence model used here gives more accurate simulations of the internal flow characteristics of the pump-turbine and a more detailed force analysis which shows the mechanisms controlling of the S characteristics. 展开更多
关键词 PUMP-TURBINE S-shaped characteristics detached eddy simulation(DES) numerical analysis
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Simulation Analysis and Experimental Study of Defect Detection Underwater by ACFM Probe 被引量:10
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作者 李伟 陈国明 +1 位作者 张传荣 刘涛 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第2期277-282,共6页
This article studies the application of the alternating current field measurement (ACFM) method in defect detection for underwater structures. Numerical model of the ACFM system is built for structure surface defect... This article studies the application of the alternating current field measurement (ACFM) method in defect detection for underwater structures. Numerical model of the ACFM system is built for structure surface defect detection in seawater environment. Finite element simulation is performed to investigate rules and characteristics of the electromagnetic signal distribution in the defected area. In respect of the simulation results, underwater artificial crack detection experiments are designed and conducted for the ACFM system. The experiment results show that the ACFM system can detect cracks in underwater structures and the detection accuracy is higher than 85%. This can meet the engineering requirement of underwater structure defect detection. The results in this article can be applied to establish technical foundation for the optimization and development of ACFM based underwater structure defects detection system. 展开更多
关键词 ACFM underwater structure defect detection simulation analysis experimental study
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基于SolidWorks Simulation的大型艺术装置的改进优化
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作者 杨炎 《机械管理开发》 2026年第1期147-149,共3页
大型艺术装置在常规设计中都是根据设计师经验进行,容易出现大量设计问题。基于此,以某大型艺术装置为研究对象,基于SolidWorks Simulation对装置的支撑腿结构进行了静力学分析。首先,对早期设计方案进行了有限元分析,结果表明在一定荷... 大型艺术装置在常规设计中都是根据设计师经验进行,容易出现大量设计问题。基于此,以某大型艺术装置为研究对象,基于SolidWorks Simulation对装置的支撑腿结构进行了静力学分析。首先,对早期设计方案进行了有限元分析,结果表明在一定荷载条件下支撑腿存在局部应力过载和整体变形严重的问题,从而验证了早期版本在施工过程中遇到的支撑问题,并验证了临时补救方案的合理性。最后针对施工过程中遇到的支撑问题,提出新的支撑方案,并重新建立了新的三维模型。通过对优化方案的静力学分析,验证了改进措施能够显著降低最大应力水平和结构变形。最终,新的设计方案成功用于设计施工,彻底解决了早期版本的设计缺陷,达到最初的设计预期。 展开更多
关键词 艺术装置 支撑腿 simulation 有限元分析
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STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF POYANG LAKE'S INFLUENCE ON TROPICAL CYCLONES 被引量:7
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作者 张胜军 陈联寿 李英 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2012年第2期249-262,共14页
Based on the Tropical Cyclone(TC briefly thereafter)Yearbook 1980-2009,this paper first analyzes the number and intensity change of the TCs which passed directly over or by the side of Poyang Lake(the distance of TC c... Based on the Tropical Cyclone(TC briefly thereafter)Yearbook 1980-2009,this paper first analyzes the number and intensity change of the TCs which passed directly over or by the side of Poyang Lake(the distance of TC center is less than 1°longitude or 1°latitude from the Lake)among all the landfalling TCs in China during the past 30 years.Two cases are examined in detail in this paper.One is severe typhoon Rananim with a speed of 3.26 m/s and a change of 1 hPa in intensity when it was passing the Lake.The other is super typhoon Saomai with a faster moving speed of 6.50 m/s and a larger change in intensity of 6 hPa.Through numerical simulation experiments,this paper analyzes how the change of underlying surface from water to land contributes to the differences in intensity,speed and mesoscale convection of the two TCs when they passed the Lake.Results show that the moisture and dynamic condition above the Lake were favorable for the maintenance of the intensity when Rananim was passing through Poyang Lake,despite the moisture supply from the ocean was cut off.As a result,there was strong convection around the lake which led to a rainfall spinning counter-clockwise as it was affected by the TC movement.However,little impact was seen in the Saomai case.These results indicate that for the TCs coming ashore on Poyang Lake with a slow speed,the large water body is conducive to the sustaining of the intensity and strengthening of the convection around the TC center and the subsequent heavy rainfall.On the contrary,a fast-moving TC is less likely to be influenced by the underlying surface in terms of intensity and speed. 展开更多
关键词 tropical cyclone LANDFALL statistical analysis numerical simulation Poyang Lake
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Safety analysis of wheel brake system based on STAMP/STPA and Monte Carlo simulation 被引量:8
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作者 HU Jianbo ZHENG Lei XU Shukui 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第6期1327-1339,共13页
The wheel brake system safety is a complex problem which refers to its technical state, operating environment, human factors, etc., in aircraft landing taxiing process. Usually, professors consider system safety with ... The wheel brake system safety is a complex problem which refers to its technical state, operating environment, human factors, etc., in aircraft landing taxiing process. Usually, professors consider system safety with traditional probability techniques based on the linear chain of events. However, it could not comprehensively analyze system safety problems, especially in operating environment, interaction of subsystems, and human factors. Thus,we consider system safety as a control problem based on the system-theoretic accident model, the processes(STAMP) model and the system theoretic process analysis(STPA) technique to compensate the deficiency of traditional techniques. Meanwhile,system safety simulation is considered as system control simulation, and Monte Carlo methods are used which consider the range of uncertain parameters and operation deviation to quantitatively study system safety influence factors in control simulation. Firstly,we construct the STAMP model and STPA feedback control loop of the wheel brake system based on the system functional requirement. Then four unsafe control actions are identified, and causes of them are analyzed. Finally, we construct the Monte Carlo simulation model to analyze different scenarios under disturbance. The results provide a basis for choosing corresponding process model variables in constructing the context table and show that appropriate brake strategies could prevent hazards in aircraft landing taxiing. 展开更多
关键词 safety analysis landing taxiing system-theoretic accident model and processes(STAMP) model and system theoretic process analysis(STPA)(STAMP/STPA) feedback control loop Monte Carlo simulation
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A High-resolution Simulation of Supertyphoon Rammasun(2014)--Part Ⅰ:Model Verification and Surface Energetics Analysis 被引量:3
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作者 Xinghai ZHANG Yihong DUAN +2 位作者 Yuqing WANG Na WEI Hao HU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第6期757-770,共14页
A 72-h high-resolution simulation of Supertyphoon Rammasun (2014) is performed using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting model. The model covers an initial 18-h spin-up, the 36-h rapid intensifica... A 72-h high-resolution simulation of Supertyphoon Rammasun (2014) is performed using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting model. The model covers an initial 18-h spin-up, the 36-h rapid intensification (RI) period in the northern South China Sea, and the 18-h period of weakening after landfall. The results show that the model reproduces the track, intensity, structure of the storm, and environmental circulations reasonably well. Analysis of the surface energetics under the storm indicates that the storm's intensification is closely related to the net energy gain rate (eg), defined as the difference between the energy production (PD) due to surface entropy flux and the energy dissipation (Ds) due to surface friction near the radius of maximum wind (RMW). Before and during the RI stage, the ~:g is high, indicating sufficient energy supply for the storm to intensify. However, the Sg decreases rapidly as the storm quickly intensifies, because the Ds increases more rapidly than the PD near the RMW. By the time the storm reaches its peak intensity, the Ds is about 20% larger than the PD near the RMW, leading to a local energetics deficit under the eyewall. During the mature stage, the PD and Ds can reach a balance within a radius of 86 km from the storm center (about 2.3 times the RMW). This implies that the local PD under the eyewall is not large enough to balance the Ds, and the radially inward energy transport from outside the eyewall must play an important role in maintaining the storm's intensity, as well as its intensification. 展开更多
关键词 Rammasun (2014) high-resolution simulation energetics analysis rapid intensification
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An Inverse Analysis of the Comprehensive Medium Parameters and a Simulation of the Crustal Deformation of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau 被引量:3
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作者 杨志强 陈建兵 +1 位作者 巨天乙 李天文 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第6期1250-1257,共8页
Based on the theory of finite element analysis, an inverse analysis model for the comprehensive medium parameters of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is set up. With the help of GPS velocity field, the comprehensive crustal ... Based on the theory of finite element analysis, an inverse analysis model for the comprehensive medium parameters of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is set up. With the help of GPS velocity field, the comprehensive crustal medium parameters of the plateau are inversely analyzed and the characteristics of the related movement macroscopically simulated. It is then concluded that the tectonic deformation of the plateau is mainly in the form of a N-S compression accompanied by an E-W stretching, and the present tectonic setting of the plateau should be the result of the collision between the Indian and the Eurasian continents during the Cenozoic. 展开更多
关键词 Qinghai-Tibet Plateau medium parameter inverse analysis on displacement simulation tectonic deformation
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Simulation Analysis of Car Front Collision Based on LS-DYNA and Hyper Works 被引量:6
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作者 Chunke Liu Xinping Song Jiao Wang 《Journal of Transportation Technologies》 2014年第4期337-342,共6页
Based on the basic principle of vehicle crash analysis using the finite element method, a car finite element model was built by using Hypermesh software. To simulate the front collision test of the car, the LS-DYNA so... Based on the basic principle of vehicle crash analysis using the finite element method, a car finite element model was built by using Hypermesh software. To simulate the front collision test of the car, the LS-DYNA software is adopted to calculate the deformation of the car and the acceleration time history curves during the crashing process;the anti-impact capability of the car is evaluated from this simulation. The results demonstrate that the improvement of local structure can promote the crashworthiness of the car, but the further improvement needs a major change of the car structure. 展开更多
关键词 FRONTAL COLLISION simulation analysis LS-DYNA HYPER WORKS
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