This study simulates the effective radiative forcing （ERF） of tropospheric ozone from 1850 to 2013 and its effects on global climate using an aerosol-climate coupled model, BCC_AGCM2.0. I_CUACE/Aero, in combination ...This study simulates the effective radiative forcing （ERF） of tropospheric ozone from 1850 to 2013 and its effects on global climate using an aerosol-climate coupled model, BCC_AGCM2.0. I_CUACE/Aero, in combination with OMI （Ozone Monitoring Instrument） satellite ozone data. According to the OMI observations, the global annual mean tropospheric col- umn ozone （TCO） was 33.9 DU in 2013, and the largest TCO was distributed in the belts between 30°N and 45°N and at approximately 30°S; the annual mean TCO was higher in the Northern Hemisphere than that in the Southern Hemisphere; and in boreal summer and autumn, the global mean TCO was higher than in winter and spring. The simulated ERF due to the change in tropospheric ozone concentration from 1850 to 2013 was 0.46 W m-2, thereby causing an increase in the global annual mean surface temperature by 0.36°C, and precipitation by 0.02 mm d-1 （the increase of surface temperature had a significance level above 95%）. The surface temperature was increased more obviously over the high latitudes in both hemispheres, with the maximum exceeding 1.4°C in Siberia. There were opposite changes in precipitation near the equator, with an increase of 0.5 mm d- 1 near the Hawaiian Islands and a decrease of about -0.6 mm d- 1 near the middle of the Indian Ocean.展开更多
An atmospheric general circulation model BCC_AGCM2.0 and observation data from ARIS were used to calculate the effective radiative forcing（ERF） due to increased methane concentration since pre-industrial times and i...An atmospheric general circulation model BCC_AGCM2.0 and observation data from ARIS were used to calculate the effective radiative forcing（ERF） due to increased methane concentration since pre-industrial times and its impacts on climate. The ERF of methane from 1750 to2011 was 0.46 W m^-2 by taking it as a well-mixed greenhouse gas, and the inhomogeneity of methane increased its ERF by about 0.02 W m^-2.The change of methane concentration since pre-industrial led to an increase of 0.31 ℃ in global mean surface air temperature and 0.02 mm d 1in global mean precipitation. The warming was prominent over the middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere（with a maximum increase exceeding 1.4℃）. The precipitation notably increased（maximum increase of 1.8 mm d^-1） over the ocean between 10°N and 20° N and significantly decreased（maximum decrease 〉-0.6 mm d^-1） between 10° S and 10° N. These changes caused a northward movement of precipitation cell in the Intertropical Convergence Zone（ITCZ）. Cloud cover significantly increased（by approximately 4%） in the high latitudes in both hemispheres, and sharply decreased（by approximately 3%） in tropical areas.展开更多
The effective radiative forcing （ERF） and associated surface air temperature change over eastern China are estimated using multi-model results from CMIP5 （Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5）. The model ...The effective radiative forcing （ERF） and associated surface air temperature change over eastern China are estimated using multi-model results from CMIP5 （Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5）. The model results show that, relative to 1850, the multi-model and annual mean aerosol ERF for the year 2005 is -4.14 W m^-2 at the top of the atmosphere over eastern China （20°-45°N, 105°-122.5°E）. As a result of this ERF, the multi-model and annual mean surface air temperature change in eastern China during 1850-2005 is -1.05℃, leading to a climate sensitivity of 0.24℃/ （Wm^-2） in this region.展开更多
This study evaluates the performance of a newly developed atmospheric chemistry–climate model,BCCAGCM_CUACE2.0(Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model_China Meteorological Administration Unified ...This study evaluates the performance of a newly developed atmospheric chemistry–climate model,BCCAGCM_CUACE2.0(Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model_China Meteorological Administration Unified Atmospheric Chemistry Environment)model,for determining past(2010)and future(2050)tropospheric ozone(O_(3))levels.The radiative forcing(RF),effective radiative forcing(ERF),and rapid adjustments(RAs,both atmospheric and cloud)due to changes in tropospheric O_(3)are then simulated by using the model.The results show that the model reproduces the tropospheric O_(3)distribution and the seasonal changes in O_(3)surface concentration in 2010 reasonably compared with site observations throughout China.The global annual mean burden of tropospheric O_(3)is simulated to have increased by 14.1 DU in 2010 relative to pre-industrial time,particularly in the Northern Hemisphere.Over the same period,tropospheric O_(3)burden has increased by 21.1 DU in China,with the largest increase occurring over Southeast China.Although the simulated tropospheric O_(3)burden exhibits a declining trend in global mean in the future,it increases over South Asia and Africa,according to the Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)4.5 and 8.5 scenarios.The global annual mean ERF of tropospheric O_(3)is estimated to be 0.25 W m^(−2)in 1850−2010,and it is 0.50 W m^(−2)over China.The corresponding atmospheric and cloud RAs caused by the increase of tropospheric O_(3)are estimated to be 0.02 and 0.03 W m^(−2),respectively.Under the RCP2.6,RCP4.5,RCP6.0,and RCP8.5 scenarios,the annual mean tropospheric O_(3)ERFs are projected to be 0.29(0.24),0.18(0.32),0.23(0.32),and 0.25(0.01)W m^(−2)over the globe(China),respectively.展开更多
Influences of the mixing treatments of anthropogenic aerosols on their effective radiative forcing （ERF） and global aridity are evaluated by using the BCC_AGCM2.0_CUACE/Aero, an aerosol-climate online coupled model....Influences of the mixing treatments of anthropogenic aerosols on their effective radiative forcing （ERF） and global aridity are evaluated by using the BCC_AGCM2.0_CUACE/Aero, an aerosol-climate online coupled model. Simula-tions show that the negative ERF due to external mixing （EM, a scheme in which all aerosol particles are treated as independent spheres formed by single substance） aerosols is largely reduced by the partial internal mixing （PIM, a scheme in which some of the aerosol particles are formed by one absorptive and one scattering substance） method. Compared to EM, PIM aerosols have much stronger absorptive ability and generally weaker hygroscopicity, which would lead to changes in radiative forcing, hence to climate. For the global mean values, the ERFs due to anthropo-genie aerosols since the pre-industrial are -1.02 and -1.68 W m^-2 for PIM and EM schemes, respectively. The vari-ables related to aridity such as global mean temperature, net radiation flux at the surface, and the potential evapora-tion capacity are all decreased by 2.18/1.61 K, 5.06/3.90 W m^-2, and 0.21/0.14 mm day^-1 since 1850 for EM and PIM schemes, respectively. According to the changes in aridity index, the anthropogenic aerosols have caused general hu-midification over central Asia, South America, Africa, and Australia, but great aridification over eastern China and the Tibetan Plateau since the pre-industrial in both mixing schemes. However, the aridification is considerably allevi-ated in China, but intensified in the Arabian Peninsula and East Africa in the PIM scheme.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41575002)
文摘This study simulates the effective radiative forcing （ERF） of tropospheric ozone from 1850 to 2013 and its effects on global climate using an aerosol-climate coupled model, BCC_AGCM2.0. I_CUACE/Aero, in combination with OMI （Ozone Monitoring Instrument） satellite ozone data. According to the OMI observations, the global annual mean tropospheric col- umn ozone （TCO） was 33.9 DU in 2013, and the largest TCO was distributed in the belts between 30°N and 45°N and at approximately 30°S; the annual mean TCO was higher in the Northern Hemisphere than that in the Southern Hemisphere; and in boreal summer and autumn, the global mean TCO was higher than in winter and spring. The simulated ERF due to the change in tropospheric ozone concentration from 1850 to 2013 was 0.46 W m-2, thereby causing an increase in the global annual mean surface temperature by 0.36°C, and precipitation by 0.02 mm d-1 （the increase of surface temperature had a significance level above 95%）. The surface temperature was increased more obviously over the high latitudes in both hemispheres, with the maximum exceeding 1.4°C in Siberia. There were opposite changes in precipitation near the equator, with an increase of 0.5 mm d- 1 near the Hawaiian Islands and a decrease of about -0.6 mm d- 1 near the middle of the Indian Ocean.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41575002, 91644211)
文摘An atmospheric general circulation model BCC_AGCM2.0 and observation data from ARIS were used to calculate the effective radiative forcing（ERF） due to increased methane concentration since pre-industrial times and its impacts on climate. The ERF of methane from 1750 to2011 was 0.46 W m^-2 by taking it as a well-mixed greenhouse gas, and the inhomogeneity of methane increased its ERF by about 0.02 W m^-2.The change of methane concentration since pre-industrial led to an increase of 0.31 ℃ in global mean surface air temperature and 0.02 mm d 1in global mean precipitation. The warming was prominent over the middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere（with a maximum increase exceeding 1.4℃）. The precipitation notably increased（maximum increase of 1.8 mm d^-1） over the ocean between 10°N and 20° N and significantly decreased（maximum decrease 〉-0.6 mm d^-1） between 10° S and 10° N. These changes caused a northward movement of precipitation cell in the Intertropical Convergence Zone（ITCZ）. Cloud cover significantly increased（by approximately 4%） in the high latitudes in both hemispheres, and sharply decreased（by approximately 3%） in tropical areas.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China[973 Program,grant number 2014CB441202]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers41475137 and 91544219]
文摘The effective radiative forcing （ERF） and associated surface air temperature change over eastern China are estimated using multi-model results from CMIP5 （Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5）. The model results show that, relative to 1850, the multi-model and annual mean aerosol ERF for the year 2005 is -4.14 W m^-2 at the top of the atmosphere over eastern China （20°-45°N, 105°-122.5°E）. As a result of this ERF, the multi-model and annual mean surface air temperature change in eastern China during 1850-2005 is -1.05℃, leading to a climate sensitivity of 0.24℃/ （Wm^-2） in this region.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFA0603502)Key National Natural Science Foundation of China(91644211 and 41975168)+1 种基金Science and Technology Development Fund of Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences(2021KJ004 and 2022KJ019)Science and Technology Fund of Beijing Meteorological Service(BMBKJ202003007).
文摘This study evaluates the performance of a newly developed atmospheric chemistry–climate model,BCCAGCM_CUACE2.0(Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model_China Meteorological Administration Unified Atmospheric Chemistry Environment)model,for determining past(2010)and future(2050)tropospheric ozone(O_(3))levels.The radiative forcing(RF),effective radiative forcing(ERF),and rapid adjustments(RAs,both atmospheric and cloud)due to changes in tropospheric O_(3)are then simulated by using the model.The results show that the model reproduces the tropospheric O_(3)distribution and the seasonal changes in O_(3)surface concentration in 2010 reasonably compared with site observations throughout China.The global annual mean burden of tropospheric O_(3)is simulated to have increased by 14.1 DU in 2010 relative to pre-industrial time,particularly in the Northern Hemisphere.Over the same period,tropospheric O_(3)burden has increased by 21.1 DU in China,with the largest increase occurring over Southeast China.Although the simulated tropospheric O_(3)burden exhibits a declining trend in global mean in the future,it increases over South Asia and Africa,according to the Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)4.5 and 8.5 scenarios.The global annual mean ERF of tropospheric O_(3)is estimated to be 0.25 W m^(−2)in 1850−2010,and it is 0.50 W m^(−2)over China.The corresponding atmospheric and cloud RAs caused by the increase of tropospheric O_(3)are estimated to be 0.02 and 0.03 W m^(−2),respectively.Under the RCP2.6,RCP4.5,RCP6.0,and RCP8.5 scenarios,the annual mean tropospheric O_(3)ERFs are projected to be 0.29(0.24),0.18(0.32),0.23(0.32),and 0.25(0.01)W m^(−2)over the globe(China),respectively.
基金Supported by the(Key)National Natural Science Foundation of China(91644211 and 41575002)National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFA0603502)
文摘Influences of the mixing treatments of anthropogenic aerosols on their effective radiative forcing （ERF） and global aridity are evaluated by using the BCC_AGCM2.0_CUACE/Aero, an aerosol-climate online coupled model. Simula-tions show that the negative ERF due to external mixing （EM, a scheme in which all aerosol particles are treated as independent spheres formed by single substance） aerosols is largely reduced by the partial internal mixing （PIM, a scheme in which some of the aerosol particles are formed by one absorptive and one scattering substance） method. Compared to EM, PIM aerosols have much stronger absorptive ability and generally weaker hygroscopicity, which would lead to changes in radiative forcing, hence to climate. For the global mean values, the ERFs due to anthropo-genie aerosols since the pre-industrial are -1.02 and -1.68 W m^-2 for PIM and EM schemes, respectively. The vari-ables related to aridity such as global mean temperature, net radiation flux at the surface, and the potential evapora-tion capacity are all decreased by 2.18/1.61 K, 5.06/3.90 W m^-2, and 0.21/0.14 mm day^-1 since 1850 for EM and PIM schemes, respectively. According to the changes in aridity index, the anthropogenic aerosols have caused general hu-midification over central Asia, South America, Africa, and Australia, but great aridification over eastern China and the Tibetan Plateau since the pre-industrial in both mixing schemes. However, the aridification is considerably allevi-ated in China, but intensified in the Arabian Peninsula and East Africa in the PIM scheme.
