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A Correntropy-Based Echo State Network With Application to Time Series Prediction
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作者 Xiufang Chen Zhenming Su +1 位作者 Long Jin Shuai Li 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 2025年第2期425-435,共11页
As a category of recurrent neural networks,echo state networks(ESNs)have been the topic of in-depth investigations and extensive applications in a diverse array of fields,with spectacular triumphs achieved.Nevertheles... As a category of recurrent neural networks,echo state networks(ESNs)have been the topic of in-depth investigations and extensive applications in a diverse array of fields,with spectacular triumphs achieved.Nevertheless,the traditional ESN and the majority of its variants are devised in the light of the second-order statistical information of data(e.g.,variance and covariance),while more information is neglected.In the context of information theoretic learning,correntropy demonstrates the capacity to grab more information from data.Therefore,under the guidelines of the maximum correntropy criterion,this paper proposes a correntropy-based echo state network(CESN)in which the first-order and higher-order information of data is captured,promoting robustness to noise.Furthermore,an incremental learning algorithm for the CESN is presented,which has the expertise to update the CESN when new data arrives,eliminating the need to retrain the network from scratch.Finally,experiments on benchmark problems and comparisons with existing works are provided to verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed CESN. 展开更多
关键词 Correntropy echo state network(ESN) noise time series prediction
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Echo State Network With Probabilistic Regularization for Time Series Prediction 被引量:3
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作者 Xiufang Chen Mei Liu Shuai Li 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第8期1743-1753,共11页
Recent decades have witnessed a trend that the echo state network(ESN)is widely utilized in field of time series prediction due to its powerful computational abilities.However,most of the existing research on ESN is c... Recent decades have witnessed a trend that the echo state network(ESN)is widely utilized in field of time series prediction due to its powerful computational abilities.However,most of the existing research on ESN is conducted under the assumption that data is free of noise or polluted by the Gaussian noise,which lacks robustness or even fails to solve real-world tasks.This work handles this issue by proposing a probabilistic regularized ESN(PRESN)with robustness guaranteed.Specifically,we design a novel objective function for minimizing both the mean and variance of modeling error,and then a scheme is derived for getting output weights of the PRESN.Furthermore,generalization performance,robustness,and unbiased estimation abilities of the PRESN are revealed by theoretical analyses.Finally,experiments on a benchmark dataset and two real-world datasets are conducted to verify the performance of the proposed PRESN.The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/LongJinlab/probabilistic-regularized-echo-state-network. 展开更多
关键词 echo state network(ESN) noise probabilistic regularization ROBUSTNESS
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Echo state network based symbol detection in chaotic baseband wireless communication
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作者 Huiping Yin Chao Bai Haipeng Ren 《Digital Communications and Networks》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第6期1319-1330,共12页
The Chaotic Baseband Wireless Communication System(CBWCS)is expected to eliminate the Inter-Symbol Interference(ISI)caused by multipath propagation by using the optimal decoding threshold that is the sum of the ISI ca... The Chaotic Baseband Wireless Communication System(CBWCS)is expected to eliminate the Inter-Symbol Interference(ISI)caused by multipath propagation by using the optimal decoding threshold that is the sum of the ISI caused by past decoded bits and the ISI caused by future transmitting bits.However,the current technique is only capable of removing partial effects of the ISI,because only past decoded bits are available for the suboptimal decoding threshold calculation.The unavailability of the future information needed for the optimal decoding threshold is an obstacle to further improve the Bit Error Rate(BER)performance.In contrast to the previous method using Echo State Network(ESN)to predict one future bit,the proposed method in this paper predicts the optimal decoding threshold directly using ESN.The proposed ESN-based threshold prediction method simplifies the symbol decoding operation by avoiding the iterative prediction of the output waveform points using ESN and accumulated error caused by the iterative operation.With this approach,the calculation complexity is reduced compared to the previous ESN-based approach.The proposed method achieves better BER performance compared to the previous method.The reason for this superior result is twofold.First,the proposed ESN is capable of using more future symbols information conveyed by the ESN input to obtain more accurate threshold rather than the previous method in which only one future symbol was available.Second,the proposed method here does not need to estimate the channel information using Least Squared(LS)method,which avoids the extra error caused by inaccurate channel information estimation.Simulation results and experiment based on a wireless open-access research platform under a practical wireless channel show the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Chaotic baseband wireless communication system(CBWCS) Inter-symbol interference(ISI) echo state network(ESN) Threshold prediction
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Stock Price Forecasting: An Echo State Network Approach
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作者 Guang Sun Jingjing Lin +6 位作者 Chen Yang Xiangyang Yin Ziyu Li Peng Guo Junqi Sun Xiaoping Fan Bin Pan 《Computer Systems Science & Engineering》 SCIE EI 2021年第3期509-520,共12页
Forecasting stock prices using deep learning models suffers from pro-blems such as low accuracy,slow convergence,and complex network structures.This study developed an echo state network(ESN)model to mitigate such pro... Forecasting stock prices using deep learning models suffers from pro-blems such as low accuracy,slow convergence,and complex network structures.This study developed an echo state network(ESN)model to mitigate such pro-blems.We compared our ESN with a long short-term memory(LSTM)network by forecasting the stock data of Kweichow Moutai,a leading enterprise in China’s liquor industry.By analyzing data for 120,240,and 300 days,we generated fore-cast data for the next 40,80,and 100 days,respectively,using both ESN and LSTM.In terms of accuracy,ESN had the unique advantage of capturing non-linear data.Mean absolute error(MAE)was used to present the accuracy results.The MAEs of the data forecast by ESN were 0.024,0.024,and 0.025,which were,respectively,0.065,0.007,and 0.009 less than those of LSTM.In terms of con-vergence,ESN has a reservoir state-space structure,which makes it perform faster than other models.Root-mean-square error(RMSE)was used to present the con-vergence time.In our experiment,the RMSEs of ESN were 0.22,0.27,and 0.26,which were,respectively,0.08,0.01,and 0.12 less than those of LSTM.In terms of network structure,ESN consists only of input,reservoir,and output spaces,making it a much simpler model than the others.The proposed ESN was found to be an effective model that,compared to others,converges faster,forecasts more accurately,and builds time-series analyses more easily. 展开更多
关键词 Stock data forecast echo state network deep learning
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A Prediction Method Based on Improved Echo State Network for COVID-19 Nonlinear Time Series
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作者 Banteng Liu Wei Chen +3 位作者 Yourong Chen Ping Sun Heli Jin Hao Chen 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2020年第12期113-122,共10页
<div style="text-align:justify;"> This paper proposes a prediction method based on improved Echo State Network for COVID-19 nonlinear time series, which improves the Echo State Network from the reservo... <div style="text-align:justify;"> This paper proposes a prediction method based on improved Echo State Network for COVID-19 nonlinear time series, which improves the Echo State Network from the reservoir topology and the output weight matrix, and adopt the ABC (Artificial Bee Colony) algorithm based on crossover and crowding strategy to optimize the parameters. Finally, the proposed method is simulated and the results show that it has stronger prediction ability for COVID-19 nonlinear time series. </div> 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Nonlinear Time Series PREDICTION echo state network
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Chaotic climate system forecasting using an improved echo state network with sparse observations
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作者 Lin DING Yulong BAI +3 位作者 Donghai ZHENG Xiaoduo PAN Manhong FAN Xin LI 《Science China Earth Sciences》 2025年第7期2346-2360,共15页
Error accumulation in long-term predictions of chaotic climate systems is caused primarily by the model's high sensitivity to initial conditions and the absence of dynamic adjustment mechanisms,leading to gradual ... Error accumulation in long-term predictions of chaotic climate systems is caused primarily by the model's high sensitivity to initial conditions and the absence of dynamic adjustment mechanisms,leading to gradual forecast divergence.This presents a critical challenge to achieving stable long-term predictions.While current data-driven approaches perform well in short-term forecasting,their accuracy deteriorates significantly over time.To overcome this limitation,we propose an autonomous echo state network with a snow ablation optimizer(AESN-SAO),which significantly improves the adaptability and robustness of data-driven methods under varying initial conditions.This approach not only eliminates the need for manual hyperparameter tuning in traditional AESNs but also effectively mitigates the common issue of initial conditions sensitivity in chaotic climate systems.Furthermore,we introduce a sparse observation insertion mechanism based on the Lyapunov time and valid prediction time(VPT),which enables AESNSAO to correct errors prior to system divergence,effectively extending the prediction horizon.Numerical experiments conducted on the Lorenz-63 and Climate Lorenz-63 systems demonstrate that integrating sparse observations with AESN-SAO approach extends the VPT to approximately 99 Lyapunov times,markedly reducing error accumulation in long-term forecasts.This study provides a reliable and efficient framework for long-term predictions in climate systems with nonlinear and chaotic dynamics,with promising applications in weather forecasting,climate modeling,and disaster risk assessment. 展开更多
关键词 Sparse observation Autonomous echo state network Snow ablation optimizer Chaotic climate system
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Analysis of prediction performance in wavelet minimum complexity echo state network 被引量:1
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作者 CUI Hong-yan FENG Chen LIU Yun-jie 《The Journal of China Universities of Posts and Telecommunications》 EI CSCD 2013年第4期59-66,共8页
Echo state network (ESN) has become one of the most popular recurrent neural networks (RNN) for its good prediction performance of non-linear time series and simple training process. But several problems still pre... Echo state network (ESN) has become one of the most popular recurrent neural networks (RNN) for its good prediction performance of non-linear time series and simple training process. But several problems still prevent ESN from becoming a widely used tool. The most prominent problem is its high complexity with lots of random parameters. Aiming at this problem, a minimum complexity ESN model (MCESN) was proposed. In this paper, we proposed a new wavelet minimum complexity ESN model (WMCESN) to improve the prediction accuracy and increase the practical applicability. Our new model inherits the characters of minimum complexity ESN model using the fixed parameters and simple circle topology. We injected wavelet neurons to replace the original neurons in internal reservoir and designed a wavelet parameter matrix to reduce the computing time. By using different datasets, our new model performed better than the minimum complexity ESN model with normal neurons, but only utilized tiny time cost. We also used our own packets of transmission control protocol (TCP) and user datagram protocol (UDP) dataset to prove that our model can deal with the data packet bit prediction problem well. 展开更多
关键词 wavelet minimum complexity echo state network echo state network wavelet parameter matrix practical applicability
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Improvement of Shape Recognition Performance of Sendzimir Mill Control Systems Using Echo State Neural Networks 被引量:1
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作者 Jung-hyun PARK Seong-ik HAN Jong-shik KIM 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第3期321-327,共7页
High rigidity twenty-high Sendzimir mills (ZRMs) are widely used for rolling stainless steels, silicon sheets, etc. A ZRM uses a small diameter work roll to produce massive rolling forces. Since a work roll with a s... High rigidity twenty-high Sendzimir mills (ZRMs) are widely used for rolling stainless steels, silicon sheets, etc. A ZRM uses a small diameter work roll to produce massive rolling forces. Since a work roll with a small diameter can be bent easily, strips often have complex shapes with mixed quarter and deep edge waves in the shape of plates. In order to solve this problem, fuzzy neural network controls are generally used for shape: recognition in ZRM control systems. Among various neural network types, the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) is typically used in current ZRMs. However, an MLP causes the loss of a large amount of shape recognition data. To improve the shape recognition per- formance of ZRM control systems, echo state networks (ESNs) are proposed to be used. Through simulation re- sults, it is found that shape recognition performance could be improved using the proposed ESN method. 展开更多
关键词 Sendzimir mill neural network multi-layer perceptron echo state network shape recognition
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Simplified Echo-State-Network Based Services Awareness for High-Speed Passive Optical Network 被引量:1
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作者 Huifeng Bai Dongshan Wang Yanbin Song 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第6期13-21,共9页
With the challenge from services diversity grows greatly,the service-oriented supporting ability is required to current high-speed passive optical network(PON) .Aimed to enhance the quality of service(Qo S) brought by... With the challenge from services diversity grows greatly,the service-oriented supporting ability is required to current high-speed passive optical network(PON) .Aimed to enhance the quality of service(Qo S) brought by diversified-services,this paper proposes an Simplified Echo State Network(SESN) Based Services Awareness scheme in High-Speed PON(Passive Optical Network) .In this proposed scheme,the ring topology is adopted in the reservoir of SESN to reduce the complexity of original Echo State Network,and system dynamics equation is introduced to keep the accuracy of SESN.According to the network architecture of 10G-EPON,a SESN Master is running in the OLT and a number of SESN Agents work in ONUs.The SESN Master plays the main function of service-awareness from the total view of various kinds services in 10G-EPON system,by fully SESN training.Then,the reservoir information of well-trained SESN in OLT will be broadcasted to all ONUs and those SESN Agents working in ONUs are allowed to conducts independent service-awareness function.Thus,resources allocation and transport policy are both determined just only in ONUs.Simulation results show that the proposed mechanism is able to better supporting ability for multiple services. 展开更多
关键词 passive optical network servicesawareness simplified echo state network reservoir computation
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Modeling deterministic echo state network with loop reservoir 被引量:1
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作者 Xiao-chuan SUN Hong-yan CUI +2 位作者 Ren-ping LIU Jian-ya CHEN Yun-jie LIU 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science C(Computers and Electronics)》 SCIE EI 2012年第9期689-701,共13页
Echo state network (ESN), which efficiently models nonlinear dynamic systems, has been proposed as a special form of recurrent neural network. However, most of the proposed ESNs consist of complex reservoir structures... Echo state network (ESN), which efficiently models nonlinear dynamic systems, has been proposed as a special form of recurrent neural network. However, most of the proposed ESNs consist of complex reservoir structures, leading to excessive computational cost. Recently, minimum complexity ESNs were proposed and proved to exhibit high performance and low computational cost. In this paper, we propose a simple deterministic ESN with a loop reservoir, i.e., an ESN with an adjacent-feedback loop reservoir. The novel reservoir is constructed by introducing regular adjacent feedback based on the simplest loop reservoir. Only a single free parameter is tuned, which considerably simplifies the ESN construction. The combination of a simplified reservoir and fewer free parameters provides superior prediction performance. In the benchmark datasets and real-world tasks, our scheme obtains higher prediction accuracy with relatively low complexity, compared to the classic ESN and the minimum complexity ESN. Furthermore, we prove that all the linear ESNs with the simplest loop reservoir possess the same memory capacity, arbitrarily converging to the optimal value. 展开更多
关键词 echo state networks Loop reservoir structure Memory capacity
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Echo-state-network classification based multi-services awareness in high-speed optical passive networks
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作者 白晖峰 Ye Quanyi 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2017年第1期48-53,共6页
With the challenge of great growing of services diversity,service-oriented supporting ability is required by current high-speed passive optical network( PON). Aimed at enhancing the quality of service( Qo S) brought b... With the challenge of great growing of services diversity,service-oriented supporting ability is required by current high-speed passive optical network( PON). Aimed at enhancing the quality of service( Qo S) brought by diversified-services,this study proposes an echo state network( ESN)based multi-service awareness mechanism in 10-Gigabite ethernet passive optical network( 10GEPON). In the proposed approach,distributed architecture is adopted to realize this ESN based multi-service awareness. According to the network architecture of 10G-EPON,where a main ESN is running in OLT and a number of ESN agents works in ONUs. The main-ESN plays the main function of service-awareness from the total view of various kinds of services in 10G-EPON system,by full ESN training. Then,the reservoir information of well-trained ESN in OLT will be broadcasted to all ONUs and those ESN agents working in ONUs are allowed to conduct independent service-awareness function. Thus,resources allocation and transport policy are both determined only in ONUs. Simulation results show that the proposed mechanism is able to better support the ability of multiple services. 展开更多
关键词 10-Gigabite ethernet passive optical network (10G-EPON) multi-services aware-ness echo state network (ESN) reservoir computation
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Hierarchy echo state network based service-awareness in 10G-EPON
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作者 Bai Huifeng Wang Dongshan +1 位作者 Wang Licheng Wang Xiang 《The Journal of China Universities of Posts and Telecommunications》 EI CSCD 2016年第2期91-96,共6页
Aimed to enhance the supporting ability for diversified services, this paper proposes a hierarchy echo state network(HESE) based service-awareness(SA)(HESN-SA) mechanism in 10 Gbit/s Ethernet passive optical net... Aimed to enhance the supporting ability for diversified services, this paper proposes a hierarchy echo state network(HESE) based service-awareness(SA)(HESN-SA) mechanism in 10 Gbit/s Ethernet passive optical network(10G-EPON). In this HESN-SA, hierarchy architecture is adopted to realize echo state network(ESN) classification based SA. According to the network architecture of 10G-EPON, the parent-ESN(p-ESN) module works in the optical line terminal(OLT), while the sub-ESN(s-ESN) module is embedded in optical network units(ONUs). Thus, the p-ESN plays the main function of SA with a total view of this system, and s-ESN in each ONU conducts the SA function under the control of p-ESN. Thus, resources allocation and transport policy are both determined by the proposed mechanism through cooperation between OLT and ONUs. Simulation results show that the HESN-SA can improve the supporting ability for multiple services. 展开更多
关键词 passive optical network service-awareness hierarchy echo state network echo state network
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基于Echo State Neural Networks的短期交通流预测算法
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作者 宋炯 李佑慧 +1 位作者 朱文军 赵文珅 《价值工程》 2012年第18期175-177,共3页
在城市交通环境,交通流的正确预测是比较困难,因为多个十字路口,这使得预置的交通控制模型之间的相互作用和intertwinement不能保持始终高性能在所有的交通情况。
关键词 回声状态网络(ESN) 交通流量 预测
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Prediction for nonlinear time series by improved deep echo state network based on reservoir states reconstruction
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作者 Qiufeng Yu Hui Zhao +3 位作者 Li Teng Li Li Ansar Yasar Stephane Galland 《Autonomous Intelligent Systems》 2024年第1期368-378,共11页
With the aim to enhance prediction accuracy for nonlinear time series,this paper put forward an improved deep Echo State Network based on reservoir states reconstruction driven by a Self-Normalizing Activation(SNA)fun... With the aim to enhance prediction accuracy for nonlinear time series,this paper put forward an improved deep Echo State Network based on reservoir states reconstruction driven by a Self-Normalizing Activation(SNA)function as the replacement for the traditional Hyperbolic tangent activation function to reduce the model’s sensitivity to hyper-parameters.The Strategy was implemented in a two-state reconstruction process byfirst inputting the time series data to the model separately.Once,the time data passes through the reservoirs and is activated by the SNA activation function,the new state for the reservoirs is created.The state is input to the next layer,and the concatenate states module saves.Pairs of states are selected from the activated multi-layer reservoirs and input into the state reconstruction module.Multiple input states are transformed through the state reconstruction module andfinally saved to the concatenate state module.Two evaluation metrics were used to benchmark against three other ESNs with SNA activation functions to achieve better prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 echo state networks Time series prediction Reconstruction model Self-normalizing activation function Reservoir computing
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Improved vocal effort modeling by exploiting echo state network and radial basis function network
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作者 Chao Hao Dong Liang Liu Yongli 《The Journal of China Universities of Posts and Telecommunications》 EI CSCD 2019年第3期98-104,共7页
The independent hypothesis between frames in vocal effect(VE) recognition makes it difficult for frame based spectral features to describe the intrinsic temporal correlation and dynamic change information in speech ph... The independent hypothesis between frames in vocal effect(VE) recognition makes it difficult for frame based spectral features to describe the intrinsic temporal correlation and dynamic change information in speech phenomena. A novel VE detection method based on echo state network(ESN) is proposed. The input sequences are mapped into a fixed-dimensionality vector in high dimensional coding space by reservoir of the ESN. Then, radial basis function(RBF) networks are employed to fit the probability density function(pdf) of each VE mode by using the vectors in the high dimensional coding space. Finally, the minimum error rate Bayesian decision is employed to judge the VE mode. The experiments which are conducted on isolated words test set achieve 79.5% average recognition accuracy, and the results show that the proposed method can overcome the defect of the independent hypothesis between frames effectively. 展开更多
关键词 VOCAL EFFORT echo state network RESERVOIR RADIAL BASIS function support vector machine
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A Hybrid Time-delay Prediction Method for Networked Control System 被引量:6
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作者 Zhong-Da Tian Xian-Wen Gao Kun Li 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI CSCD 2014年第1期19-24,共6页
This paper presents an Ethernet based hybrid method for predicting random time-delay in the networked control system.First,db3 wavelet is used to decompose and reconstruct time-delay sequence,and the approximation com... This paper presents an Ethernet based hybrid method for predicting random time-delay in the networked control system.First,db3 wavelet is used to decompose and reconstruct time-delay sequence,and the approximation component and detail components of time-delay sequences are fgured out.Next,one step prediction of time-delay is obtained through echo state network(ESN)model and auto-regressive integrated moving average model(ARIMA)according to the diferent characteristics of approximate component and detail components.Then,the fnal predictive value of time-delay is obtained by summation.Meanwhile,the parameters of echo state network is optimized by genetic algorithm.The simulation results indicate that higher accuracy can be achieved through this prediction method. 展开更多
关键词 networked control system wavelet transform auto-regressive integrated moving average model echo state network genetic algorithm time-delay prediction
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Intelligent Passive Detection of Aerial Target in Space-Air-Ground Integrated Networks 被引量:2
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作者 Mingqian Liu Chunheng Liu +3 位作者 Ming Li Yunfei Chen Shifei Zheng Nan Zhao 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期52-63,共12页
Passive detection of moving target is an important part of intelligent surveillance. Satellite has the potential to play a key role in many applications of space-air-ground integrated networks(SAGIN). In this paper, w... Passive detection of moving target is an important part of intelligent surveillance. Satellite has the potential to play a key role in many applications of space-air-ground integrated networks(SAGIN). In this paper, we propose a novel intelligent passive detection method for aerial target based on reservoir computing networks. Specifically, delayed feedback networks are utilized to refine the direct signals from the satellite in the reference channels. In addition, the satellite direct wave interference in the monitoring channels adopts adaptive interference suppression using the minimum mean square error filter. Furthermore, we employ decoupling echo state networks to predict the clutter interference in the monitoring channels and construct the detection statistics accordingly. Finally, a multilayer perceptron is adopted to detect the echo signal after interference suppression. Extensive simulations is conducted to evaluate the performance of our proposed method. Results show that the detection probability is almost 100% when the signal-to-interference ratio of echo signal is-36 dB, which demonstrates that our proposed method achieves efficient passive detection for aerial targets in typical SAGIN scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 aerial target detection decoupling echo state networks delayed feedback networks multilayer perceptron satellite illuminator space-air-ground integrated networks
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基于改进天牛群优化ESN的海上风机叶片腐蚀速率预测
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作者 舒征宇 黄启昀 +2 位作者 张紫格 任冠臣 鲍刚 《山东电力技术》 2026年第1期66-74,共9页
随着海上风电的迅速发展,风机叶片腐蚀速率预测对于海上风机叶片的日常运维极为重要,然而目前该领域多数研究成果考虑的腐蚀环境较为简单,难以直接应用于不间断运行的风机叶片腐蚀速率预测。为解决这一问题,建立一种结合改进天牛群优化(... 随着海上风电的迅速发展,风机叶片腐蚀速率预测对于海上风机叶片的日常运维极为重要,然而目前该领域多数研究成果考虑的腐蚀环境较为简单,难以直接应用于不间断运行的风机叶片腐蚀速率预测。为解决这一问题,建立一种结合改进天牛群优化(improved beetle swarm optimization,IBSO)算法和回声状态网络(echo state network,ESN)的海上风机叶片腐蚀速率预测模型(IBSO-ESN)。首先,对海上风机叶片腐蚀原理进行分析,确认主要腐蚀因素,尤其是考虑盐雾因素,并将主要腐蚀因素作为模型输入。其次,针对天牛群优化(beetle swarm optimization,BSO)算法存在的种群多样性低、易陷入局部最优问题,提出一种融合差分进化算法的IBSO算法,并利用其对ESN进行参数寻优。最后,应用参数最优ESN对海上风机叶片腐蚀速率进行预测。结果表明,该模型对于海上风机叶片前缘的均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(mean absolute percentage error,MAPE)分别为0.188、1.526%,叶尖区域的RMSE、MAPE分别为0.177 9、1.311%,均远低于对比模型,能够为海上风机叶片腐蚀防护工作提供决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 海上风机叶片 腐蚀防护 速率预测 天牛群优化 回声状态网络
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基于角度搜索策略粒子群的ESN优化方法
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作者 郭伟 张鑫雷 +2 位作者 杨乐 庞鑫 杨永康 《计算机工程与应用》 北大核心 2026年第4期111-123,共13页
针对传统回声状态网络(echo state network,ESN)储层权重随机生成导致网络预测性能波动较大的问题,提出了一种基于角度搜索策略粒子群算法(angle search particle swarm optimization,ASPSO)的ESN优化方法。该方法结合ESN储层权重优化... 针对传统回声状态网络(echo state network,ESN)储层权重随机生成导致网络预测性能波动较大的问题,提出了一种基于角度搜索策略粒子群算法(angle search particle swarm optimization,ASPSO)的ESN优化方法。该方法结合ESN储层权重优化的实际需求,在粒子群优化算法(particle swarm optimization,PSO)基础上引入角度搜索策略以增强搜索路径多样性,利用DDPG(deep deterministic policy gradient)强化学习算法实现超参数的动态自适应调整,并结合动态概率因子策略协调全局与局部搜索能力,从而有效提升ESN的收敛精度与稳定性。对人工数据集和实际瓦斯数据集进行仿真实验,结果表明所提出的ASPSO-ESN在保证预测准确率的同时,具有较高的收敛速度,验证了其在时序预测任务中的可行性与有效性。 展开更多
关键词 回声状态网络 粒子群优化算法 强化学习 角度搜索策略
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基于子空间映射的多任务储层计算方法
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作者 张昭昭 陈豪 +1 位作者 朱应钦 余文 《控制与决策》 北大核心 2026年第1期221-233,共13页
储层计算(RC)作为一种高效的循环神经网络训练范式,在处理单个时序任务时表现出色.但是在多任务场景下,不同任务引起的储层状态易发生混叠,限制了其应用.鉴于此,提出一种基于子空间映射的多任务储层计算框架,在传统的回声状态网络(ESN)... 储层计算(RC)作为一种高效的循环神经网络训练范式,在处理单个时序任务时表现出色.但是在多任务场景下,不同任务引起的储层状态易发生混叠,限制了其应用.鉴于此,提出一种基于子空间映射的多任务储层计算框架,在传统的回声状态网络(ESN)的基础上,设计并实现一种多任务回声状态网络(MT-ESN).该方法为每个任务分配唯一的二元映射向量,在每个时间步,任务对应的原始储层状态与其映射向量进行Hadamard积运算,将原始的高维储层状态选择性地投影至由其映射向量所定义的低维子空间内,从而实现不同任务储层状态轨迹在共享储层内部的结构化分离,从根本上抑制状态混叠现象,进而有效降低不同任务状态间的重叠度.通过对多个混沌吸引子短期预测和真实世界多个时序任务预测的实验验证,与标准ESN相比,MT-ESN能够在单一储层网络中显著提升多任务处理的准确性和稳定性,尤其是在长时预测中能够有效避免状态崩溃;t分布随机邻域嵌入(t-SNE)可视化也验证了其储层状态分离能力,研究还发现映射向量存在最优稀疏度.所提出方法为在资源受限设备上实现多任务储层计算提供了有效途径. 展开更多
关键词 回声状态网络 储层计算 时间序列预测 动态系统建模 多任务学习
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