The public procurement system in Bangladesh has been running by traditional manual process under the flagship of Public Procurement Act (PPA 2006) and Public Procurement Rules (PPR 2008). Public procurement agencies h...The public procurement system in Bangladesh has been running by traditional manual process under the flagship of Public Procurement Act (PPA 2006) and Public Procurement Rules (PPR 2008). Public procurement agencies have been facing challenges in this manual tendering system. To overcome this problem and to bring reality to the “Digital Bangladesh” slogan, the Government of Bangladesh introduced the e-Procurement system under the e-GP (Electronic Government Procurement) guideline 2011. After the inception of e-procurement, there is no e-procurement assessment model to improve the e-GP system. The purpose of this research is to develop a conceptual framework and to design an e-procurement assessment model. With this view, we have considered one of the biggest entity Roads and Highways Department (RHD) of the Government of Bangladesh, for field study. Mixed methods along with FGD (Focus Group Discussion), KII (Key Informant Interview), and survey questionnaires are used to collect data from RHD, and then Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) software is used for regression analysis and hypothesis testing to develop the e-Procurement assessment model. The novel contribution of the study lies in the test of the hypothesis that focuses on developing the conceptual model of the e-procurement assessment system in Bangladesh. Findings of the study are essential for all Procurement Entity (PE) and suppliers <i>i.e. </i> contractors of RHD who are engaged in the construction of the infrastructure project development project.展开更多
Modern battlefields exhibit high dynamism,where traditional static weighting methods in combat effectiveness assessment fail to capture real-time changes in indicator values,leading to limited assessment accuracy—esp...Modern battlefields exhibit high dynamism,where traditional static weighting methods in combat effectiveness assessment fail to capture real-time changes in indicator values,leading to limited assessment accuracy—especially critical in scenarios like sudden electronic warfare or degraded command,where static weights cannot reflect the operational value decay or surge of key indicators.To address this issue,this study proposes a dynamic adaptive weightingmethod for evaluation indicators based onG1-CRITIC-PIVW.First,theG1(Sequential Relationship Analysis Method)subjective weighting method—translates expert knowledge into indicator importance rankings—leverages expert knowledge to quantify the relative importance of indicators via sequential relationship ranking,while the CRITIC(Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation)objective weighting method—derives weights from data characteristics by integrating variability and inter-correlations—calculates weights by integrating indicator variability and inter-indicator correlations,ensuring data-driven objectivity.These two sets of weights are then fused using a deviation coefficient optimization model,minimizing the squared deviation from a reference weight and adjusting the fusion coefficient via Spearman’s rank correlation to resolve potential conflicts between subjective and objective judgments.Subsequently,the PIVW(Punishment-Incentive VariableWeight)theory—adapts weights to realtime indicator performance via penalty/incentive rules—is applied for dynamic adjustment.Scenario-specific penalty λ_(1) and incentive λ_(2) thresholds are set based on operational priorities and indicator volatility,penalizing indicators with values below λ_(1) and incentivizing those exceeding λ_(2) to reflect real-time indicator performance.Experimental validation was conducted using an Air Defense and Anti-Missile(ADAM)system effectiveness assessment framework,with data covering 7 indicators across 3 combat scenarios.Results show that compared to static weighting methods,the proposed method reduces MAE(Mean Absolute Error)by 15%-20% and weighted decision error rate by 84.2%,effectively reducing overestimation/underestimation of combat effectiveness in dynamic scenarios;compared to Entropy-TOPSIS,it lowers MAE by 12% while achieving a weighted Kendall’sτconsistency coefficient of 0.85,ensuring higher alignment with expert judgment.This method enhances the accuracy and scenario adaptability of effectiveness assessment,providing reliable decision support for dynamic battlefield environments.展开更多
This article introduces and compares risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism in gynecological patients at home and abroad.The models assessed included the Caprini risk assessment model,the G-Caprini risk ass...This article introduces and compares risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism in gynecological patients at home and abroad.The models assessed included the Caprini risk assessment model,the G-Caprini risk assessment model,the Rogers risk assessment model,the Autar risk assessment model,the gynecological patient surgical venous thrombosis risk assessment scale,the Wells score,the COMPASS-CAT thrombus risk assessment model,the Khorana risk assessment model,the Padua risk assessment model,and the Chaoyang model.The purpose of this study is to provide a foundation for developing a risk assessment tool for gynecological venous thromboembolism tailored to Chinese patients and to assist clinical health care workers in selecting appropriate risk assessment tools and guiding individualized prevention measures.展开更多
Design patterns offer reusable solutions for common software issues,enhancing quality.The advent of generative large language models(LLMs)marks progress in software development,but their efficacy in applying design pa...Design patterns offer reusable solutions for common software issues,enhancing quality.The advent of generative large language models(LLMs)marks progress in software development,but their efficacy in applying design patterns is not fully assessed.The recent introduction of generative large language models(LLMs)like ChatGPT and CoPilot has demonstrated significant promise in software development.They assist with a variety of tasks including code generation,modeling,bug fixing,and testing,leading to enhanced efficiency and productivity.Although initial uses of these LLMs have had a positive effect on software development,their potential influence on the application of design patterns remains unexplored.This study introduces a method to quantify LLMs’ability to implement design patterns,using Role-Based Metamodeling Language(RBML)for a rigorous specification of the pattern’s problem,solution,and transformation rules.The method evaluates the pattern applicability of a software application using the pattern’s problem specification.If deemed applicable,the application is input to the LLM for pattern application.The resulting application is assessed for conformance to the pattern’s solution specification and for completeness against the pattern’s transformation rules.Evaluating the method with ChatGPT 4 across three applications reveals ChatGPT’s high proficiency,achieving averages of 98%in conformance and 87%in completeness,thereby demonstrating the effectiveness of the method.Using RBML,this study confirms that LLMs,specifically ChatGPT 4,have great potential in effective and efficient application of design patterns with high conformance and completeness.This opens avenues for further integrating LLMs into complex software engineering processes.展开更多
Transient stability assessment(TSA)based on artificial intelligence typically has two distinct model management approaches:a unified management approach for all faulted lines and a separate management approach for eac...Transient stability assessment(TSA)based on artificial intelligence typically has two distinct model management approaches:a unified management approach for all faulted lines and a separate management approach for each faulted line.To address the shortcomings of the aforementioned approaches,namely accuracy,training time,and model management complexity,a multi-model management approach for power system TSA based on multi-moment feature clustering has been proposed.First,the steady-state and transient features present under fault conditions were obtained through a transient simulation of line faults.The input sample set was then constructed using the aforementioned multi-moment electrical features and the embedded faulty line numbers.Subsequently,K-means clustering was conducted on each line based on the similarity of their electrical features,employing t-SNE dimensionality reduction.The PSO-CNN model was trained separately for each cluster to generate several independent TSA models.Finally,a model effectiveness evaluation system consisting of five metrics was established,and the effect of the sample imbalance ratio on the model effectiveness was investigated.The model effectiveness was evaluated using the IEEE 39-bus system algorithm.The results showed that the multi-model management strategy based on multi-moment feature clustering can effectively combine the two advantages of superior evaluation performance and streamlined model management by fully extracting system features.Moreover,this approach allows for more flexible adjustments to line topology changes.展开更多
Vulnerability assessment is a systematic process to identify security gaps in the design and evaluation of physical protection systems.Adversarial path planning is a widely used method for identifying potential vulner...Vulnerability assessment is a systematic process to identify security gaps in the design and evaluation of physical protection systems.Adversarial path planning is a widely used method for identifying potential vulnerabilities and threats to the security and resilience of critical infrastructures.However,achieving efficient path optimization in complex large-scale three-dimensional(3D)scenes remains a significant challenge for vulnerability assessment.This paper introduces a novel A^(*)-algorithmic framework for 3D security modeling and vulnerability assessment.Within this framework,the 3D facility models were first developed in 3ds Max and then incorporated into Unity for A^(*)heuristic pathfinding.The A^(*)-heuristic pathfinding algorithm was implemented with a geometric probability model to refine the detection and distance fields and achieve a rational approximation of the cost to reach the goal.An admissible heuristic is ensured by incorporating the minimum probability of detection(P_(D)^(min))and diagonal distance to estimate the heuristic function.The 3D A^(*)heuristic search was demonstrated using a hypothetical laboratory facility,where a comparison was also carried out between the A^(*)and Dijkstra algorithms for optimal path identification.Comparative results indicate that the proposed A^(*)-heuristic algorithm effectively identifies the most vulnerable adversarial pathfinding with high efficiency.Finally,the paper discusses hidden phenomena and open issues in efficient 3D pathfinding for security applications.展开更多
To enhance the prediction accuracy of landslides in in Longyan City,China,this study developed a methodology for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment based on a coupled model composed of a Geographic Information ...To enhance the prediction accuracy of landslides in in Longyan City,China,this study developed a methodology for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment based on a coupled model composed of a Geographic Information System(GIS)with integrated spatial data,a frequency ratio(FR)model,and a random forest(RF)model(also referred to as the coupled FR-RF model).The coupled FR-RF model was constructed based on the analysis of nine influential factors,including distance from roads,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),and slope.The performance of the coupled FR-RF model was assessed using metrics such as Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)and Precision-Recall(PR)curves,yielding Area Under the Curve(AUC)values of 0.93 and 0.95,which indicate high predictive accuracy and reliability for geological hazard forecasting.Based on the model predictions,five susceptibility levels were determined in the study area,providing crucial spatial information for geologic hazard prevention and control.The contributions of various influential factors to landslide susceptibility were determined using SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)analysis and the Gini index,enhancing the model interpretability and transparency.Additionally,this study discussed the limitations of the coupled FR-RF model and the prospects for its improvement using new technologies.This study provides an innovative method and theoretical support for geologic hazard prediction and management,holding promising prospects for application.展开更多
In order to evaluate the reliability of long-lifetime products with degradation data, a new proportional hazard degradation model is proposed. By the similarity between time-degradation data and stress-accelerated lif...In order to evaluate the reliability of long-lifetime products with degradation data, a new proportional hazard degradation model is proposed. By the similarity between time-degradation data and stress-accelerated lifetime, and the failure rate function of degradation data which is assumed to be proportional to the time covariate, the reliability assessment based on a proportional hazard degradation model is realized. The least squares method is used to estimate the model＇s parameters. Based on the failure rate of the degradation data and the proportion function of the known time, the failure rate and the reliability function under the given time and the predetermined failure threshold can be extrapolated. A long life GaAs laser is selected as a case study and its reliability is evaluated. The results show that the proposed method can accurately describe the degradation process and it is effective for the reliability assessment of long lifetime products.展开更多
Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synt...Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synthesis) on the systems consisting of different success failure model units. According to the fundamental method of the unit reliability assessment, the general models of system reliability approximate lower limits are given. Finally, this paper analyses the application of the assessment method by examples, the assessment results are neither conservative nor radical and very satisfactory. The assessment method can be popularized to the systems which have fixed reliability structural models.展开更多
The performance of corporate social responsibility is conducive to the con- tinuous improvement of their profitability, and promotes the upgrading of corporation value. However, it is difficult to confirm, calculate a...The performance of corporate social responsibility is conducive to the con- tinuous improvement of their profitability, and promotes the upgrading of corporation value. However, it is difficult to confirm, calculate and check the costs and benefits brought by the implementation of corporate social responsibility under the current ac- counting theory system, so it is difficult to estimate whether the fulfillment of corpo- rate social responsibility has any effects on the corporation value assessment. Therefore, based on corporate social responsibility, the correction mode of corpora- tion value assessment is put forward.展开更多
Scenario modelling and the risk assessment of natural disasters is one of the hotspots in disaster research. However, up until now, urban natural disaster risk assessments lack common procedures and programmes. This p...Scenario modelling and the risk assessment of natural disasters is one of the hotspots in disaster research. However, up until now, urban natural disaster risk assessments lack common procedures and programmes. This paper selects rainstorm waterlogging as a disaster to research, which is one of the most frequently occurring hazards for most cities in China. As an example, we used a small-scale integrated methodology to assess risks relating to rainstorm waterlogging hazards in the Jing＇an District of Shanghai. Based on the basic concept of disaster risk, this paper applies scenario modelling to express the risk of small-scale urban rainstorm waterlogging disasters in different return periods. Through this analysis of vulnerability and exposure, we simulate different disaster scenarios and propose a comprehensive analysis method and procedure for small-scale urban storm waterlogging disaster risk assessments. A grid-based Geographical Information System （GIS） approach, including an urban terrain model, an urban rainfall model and an urban drainage model, was applied to simulate inundation area and depth. Stage-damage curves for residential buildings and contents were then generated by the loss data of waterlogging from field surveys, which were further applied to analyse vulnerability, exposure and loss assessment. Finally, the exceedance probability curve for disaster damage was constructed using the damage of each simulated event and the respective exceedance probabilities. A framework was also developed for coupling the waterlogging risk with the risk planning and management through the exceedance probability curve and annual average waterlogging loss. This is a new exploration for small-scale urban natural disaster scenario simulation and risk assessment.展开更多
One of the difficulties frequently encountered in water quality assessment is that there are many factors and they cannot be assessed according to one factor, all the effect factors associated with water quality must ...One of the difficulties frequently encountered in water quality assessment is that there are many factors and they cannot be assessed according to one factor, all the effect factors associated with water quality must be used. In order to overcome this issues the projection pursuit principle is introduced into water quality assessment, and projection pursuit cluster(PPC) model is developed in this study. The PPC model makes the transition from high dimension to one-dimension. In other words, based on the PPC model, multifactor problem can be converted to one factor problem. The application of PPC model can be divided into four parts: (1) to estimate projection index function Q(); (2) to find the right projection direction ; (3) to calculate projection characteristic value of the i th sample z-i, and (4) to draw comprehensive analysis on the basis of z-i. On the other hand, the empirical formula of cutoff radius R is developed, which is benefit for the model to be used in practice. Finally, a case study of water quality assessment is proposed in this paper. The results showed that the PPC model is reasonable, and it is more objective and less subjective in water quality assessment. It is a new method for multivariate problem comprehensive analysis.展开更多
We applied the model of American Meteorological Society-Environmental Protection Agency Regulatory Model（AERMOD） as a tool for the analysis of nitrogen dioxide（NO2） emissions from a cement complex as a part of the...We applied the model of American Meteorological Society-Environmental Protection Agency Regulatory Model（AERMOD） as a tool for the analysis of nitrogen dioxide（NO2） emissions from a cement complex as a part of the environmental impact assessment.The dispersion of NO2 from four cement plants within the selected cement complex were investigated both by measurement and AERMOD simulation in dry and wet seasons.Simulated values of NO2 emissions were compared with those obtained during a 7-day continuous measurement campaign at 12 receptors.It was predicted that NO2 concentration peaks were found more within 1 to 5 km,where the measurement and simulation were in good agreement,than at the receptors 5 km further away from the reference point.The QuantileQuantile plots of NO2 concentrations in dry season were mostly fitted to the middle line compared to those in wet season.This can be attributed to high NO2 wet deposition.The results show that for both the measurement and the simulation using the AERMOD,NO2 concentrations do not exceed the NO2 concentration limit set by the National Ambient Air Quality Standards（NAAQS） of Thailand.This indicates that NO2 emissions from the cement complex have no significant impact on nearby communities.It can be concluded that the AERMOD can provide useful information to identify high pollution impact areas for the EIA guidelines.展开更多
The remaining useful life(RUL) prediction of mechanical products has been widely studied for online system performance reliability, device remanufacturing, and product safety(safety awareness and safety improvement). ...The remaining useful life(RUL) prediction of mechanical products has been widely studied for online system performance reliability, device remanufacturing, and product safety(safety awareness and safety improvement). These studies incorporated many di erent models, algorithms, and techniques for modeling and assessment. In this paper, methods of RUL assessment are summarized and expounded upon using two major methods: physics model based and data driven based methods. The advantages and disadvantages of each of these methods are deliberated and compared as well. Due to the intricacy of failure mechanism in system, and di culty in physics degradation observation, RUL assessment based on observations of performance variables turns into a science in evaluating the degradation. A modeling method from control systems, the state space model(SSM), as a first order hidden Markov, is presented. In the context of non-linear and non-Gaussian systems, the SSM methodology is capable of performing remaining life assessment by using Bayesian estimation(sequential Monte Carlo). Being e ective for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamics, the methodology can perform the assessment recursively online for applications in CBM(condition based maintenance), PHM(prognostics and health management), remanufacturing, and system performance reliability. Finally, the discussion raises concerns regarding online sensing data for SSM modeling and assessment of RUL.展开更多
In this study, a risk-based management model is developed and applied to an industrial zone. The models proposed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency and Han Bing have been improved by adding a residua...In this study, a risk-based management model is developed and applied to an industrial zone. The models proposed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency and Han Bing have been improved by adding a residual ratio of volatile organic compounds （VOC） after boiling and deleting the related parameters in half-life. Using this improved model, an integrated process was used to assess human health risk level in the study area. Compared with water quality analysis, the results highlight the importance of applying an integrated approach for decision making on risk levels and water protection. The results of this study demonstrated that： （1） Compared with these permissible level standards in China （GB 3838-2002） and National Primary Drinking Water Regulations of the United States, the residents＇ daily life had not been affected by the groundwater in this area （except for relative bad water quality of HB3-4 and HB3-6）; （2） The typical detected organic contaminants of all groundwater samples were chloroform, carbon tetrachloride, trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethene, and the pollution sources were mainly industrial sources by preliminary investigations; （3） As for groundwater, the non-carcinogenic risk values of all samples do not exceed the permissible level of 1.0 and the carcinogenic risk values are relatively lower than the permissible level of 1.00E-06 to 1.00E-04; （4） Drinking water pathway of trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethylene mainly contribute to increasing the health risk of residents＇ in study areas; （5） In terms of non-carcinogenic risk and carcinogenic risk, the health risk order for drinking water pathway and dermal contact pathway was： drinking water pathway 〉 dermal contact pathway.展开更多
AIM:To explore the related risk factors for diabetic retinopathy(DR)in type 2 diabetes with insulin therapy.METHODS:We studied the relationships among blood glucose,serum C-peptide,plasma insulin,beta-cell function an...AIM:To explore the related risk factors for diabetic retinopathy(DR)in type 2 diabetes with insulin therapy.METHODS:We studied the relationships among blood glucose,serum C-peptide,plasma insulin,beta-cell function and the development of DR.Beta-cell function was assessed by a modified homeostasis model assessment(modified HOMA)which was gained by using C-peptide to replace insulin in the homeostasis model assessment(HOMA)of beta-cell function.We also studied the relationships between modified HOMA index and serum C-peptide response to 100 g tasteless steamed bread to determine the accuracy of modified HOMA.RESULTS:Our study group consisted of 170 type 2diabetic inpatients with DR(age:58.35±13.87y,mean±SD)and 205 type 2 diabetic inpatients with no DR(NDR)(age:65.52±11.59y).DR patients had higher age,longer diabetic duration,higher hypertension grade,higher postprandial plasma glucose,higher fluctuation level of plasma glucose,lower body mass index(BMI),lower postprandial serum insulin and C-peptide,lower fluctuation level of serum insulin and C-peptide(P【0.05).In our logistic regression model,duration of diabetes,hypertension grade,fasting plasma insulin and glycosylated hemoglobin(HbA1C)were significantly associated with the presence of DR after adjustment for confounding factors(P【0.05).CONCLUSION:Our results suggested although modified HOMA showed significant correlation to the occurrence of DR on Spearman’s rank-correlationanalysis,logistic regression showed no significant association between these two variables after adjustment for relevant confounding factors(such as age,sex,duration of diabetes,BMI,hypertension grade,HbA1C,plasma insulin).Duration of diabetes,hypertension grade,fasting plasma insulin and HbA1C were independently associated with the development of DR in Chinese type 2 diabetics.展开更多
The International Association of Hydrological Sciences （IAHS） recognized the lack of hydro- logical data as a world-wide problem in 2002 and adopted the Prediction of Ungauged Basins （PUB） as a decadal research ag...The International Association of Hydrological Sciences （IAHS） recognized the lack of hydro- logical data as a world-wide problem in 2002 and adopted the Prediction of Ungauged Basins （PUB） as a decadal research agenda during the period of 2003 to 2012. One of the objectives is to further develop methodologies for prediction in ungauged basins and to reduce uncertainties in model prediction. Estimation of stream flows is required for flood control, water quality control, valley habitat assessment and water budget of a country. However, the majority of water catchments, streams and valleys are ungauged in most developing countries. The main objective of this paper is to introduce the IHACRES （Identification of Hy- drographs and Components from Rainfall, Evaporation and Stream） model into African hydrological plan- ning as a methodology for water resources assessment, which in turn can be used to resolve water conflicts between communities and countries and to study the climate change issues. This is because the IHACRES model is applied for the estimation of flows in ungauged catchments whose physical catchments descriptors （PCDs） can be determined by driving variables （i.e. rainfall and temperature）; and also in gauged streams but whose gauging stations are no longer operational but historical data are available for model calibration. The model provides a valuable insight into the hydrologic behaviour of the upper water sources for valleys as well as provides a useful methodology for water resources assessment in situations of scarce financial resources in developing countries. In addition, it requires relatively few parameters in its calibration and has been successful applied in previous regionalization studies. It will also make possible the equitable distri- bution of water resources in international basins and rivers＇ catchments. This paper does not apply the model anywhere, but recommends it as a methodology for water resources assessment in order to cure water conflicts on the African continent.展开更多
Sanduao is an important sea-breeding bay in Fujian,South China and holds a high economic status in aquaculture.Quickly and accurately obtaining information including the distribution area,quantity,and aquaculture area...Sanduao is an important sea-breeding bay in Fujian,South China and holds a high economic status in aquaculture.Quickly and accurately obtaining information including the distribution area,quantity,and aquaculture area is important for breeding area planning,production value estimation,ecological survey,and storm surge prevention.However,as the aquaculture area expands,the seawater background becomes increasingly complex and spectral characteristics differ dramatically,making it difficult to determine the aquaculture area.In this study,we used a high-resolution remote-sensing satellite GF-2 image to introduce a deep-learning Richer Convolutional Features(RCF)network model to extract the aquaculture area.Then we used the density of aquaculture as an assessment index to assess the vulnerability of aquaculture areas in Sanduao.The results demonstrate that this method does not require land and water separation of the area in advance,and good extraction can be achieved in the areas with more sediment and waves,with an extraction accuracy>93%,which is suitable for large-scale aquaculture area extraction.Vulnerability assessment results indicate that the density of aquaculture in the eastern part of Sanduao is considerably high,reaching a higher vulnerability level than other parts.展开更多
Using physical simulation models, rainfall-induced landslides have been simulated under various rainfall intensities. During these simulations, we have monitored the physical and mechanical behaviors of the landslide ...Using physical simulation models, rainfall-induced landslides have been simulated under various rainfall intensities. During these simulations, we have monitored the physical and mechanical behaviors of the landslide over the slip surface at different heights of the model slopes, as well as taking the whole slope to identify its deformation and failure processes. The results show that the rainfall duration corresponding to the initiation of the debris landslide and is exponentially related to rainfall intensity. Corresponding to the three intervals of the rainfall intensity, there are three types of slope failure modes:(1) the small-slump failure at the leading edge of the slope;(2) the block-slump failure but sometimes there are large blocks sliding down;and(3) the bulk failure but sometimes there is the block-slump failure. Based on the total rainfall-lasting time and the associated proportion of failed mass volume, the early warning of debris landslide can be classified into five grades, i.e., red, orange to red, orange, yellow to orange and yellow, which correspond to the five slope failure modes, respectively.展开更多
An indicator system closely connected with eco-environment, in which indicator involves in such fields as society, economy, resources, environment and ecology, is first proposed for eco-environmental quality assessmen...An indicator system closely connected with eco-environment, in which indicator involves in such fields as society, economy, resources, environment and ecology, is first proposed for eco-environmental quality assessment. Then, a hierarchical model with four levels is established by virtue of these indicators and attributes. In the model, weights of indicators and attributes are determined by combining Delphi method with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and a statistic method is used to eliminate the influences arising from the differences in dimension and magnitude of indicators. On these grounds, an AHP-statistics model is provided for regional eco-environmental quality assessment. As a case, such AHP-statistics model is utilized in the dynamic analysis of regional eco-environmental assessment in Chaohu Lake basin. Study results show that natural environmental quality in the watershed was in the declining state while social environmental quality was in a markedly improved situation from 1996, and the synthetic eco-environmental quality was gradually and slowly improved under the common influences of both natural and social environmental factors. Example of application testified the capacities of above methodology to evaluate the real and dynamic state of regional eco-environmental quality.展开更多
文摘The public procurement system in Bangladesh has been running by traditional manual process under the flagship of Public Procurement Act (PPA 2006) and Public Procurement Rules (PPR 2008). Public procurement agencies have been facing challenges in this manual tendering system. To overcome this problem and to bring reality to the “Digital Bangladesh” slogan, the Government of Bangladesh introduced the e-Procurement system under the e-GP (Electronic Government Procurement) guideline 2011. After the inception of e-procurement, there is no e-procurement assessment model to improve the e-GP system. The purpose of this research is to develop a conceptual framework and to design an e-procurement assessment model. With this view, we have considered one of the biggest entity Roads and Highways Department (RHD) of the Government of Bangladesh, for field study. Mixed methods along with FGD (Focus Group Discussion), KII (Key Informant Interview), and survey questionnaires are used to collect data from RHD, and then Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) software is used for regression analysis and hypothesis testing to develop the e-Procurement assessment model. The novel contribution of the study lies in the test of the hypothesis that focuses on developing the conceptual model of the e-procurement assessment system in Bangladesh. Findings of the study are essential for all Procurement Entity (PE) and suppliers <i>i.e. </i> contractors of RHD who are engaged in the construction of the infrastructure project development project.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)under Grant Number 72071209.
文摘Modern battlefields exhibit high dynamism,where traditional static weighting methods in combat effectiveness assessment fail to capture real-time changes in indicator values,leading to limited assessment accuracy—especially critical in scenarios like sudden electronic warfare or degraded command,where static weights cannot reflect the operational value decay or surge of key indicators.To address this issue,this study proposes a dynamic adaptive weightingmethod for evaluation indicators based onG1-CRITIC-PIVW.First,theG1(Sequential Relationship Analysis Method)subjective weighting method—translates expert knowledge into indicator importance rankings—leverages expert knowledge to quantify the relative importance of indicators via sequential relationship ranking,while the CRITIC(Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation)objective weighting method—derives weights from data characteristics by integrating variability and inter-correlations—calculates weights by integrating indicator variability and inter-indicator correlations,ensuring data-driven objectivity.These two sets of weights are then fused using a deviation coefficient optimization model,minimizing the squared deviation from a reference weight and adjusting the fusion coefficient via Spearman’s rank correlation to resolve potential conflicts between subjective and objective judgments.Subsequently,the PIVW(Punishment-Incentive VariableWeight)theory—adapts weights to realtime indicator performance via penalty/incentive rules—is applied for dynamic adjustment.Scenario-specific penalty λ_(1) and incentive λ_(2) thresholds are set based on operational priorities and indicator volatility,penalizing indicators with values below λ_(1) and incentivizing those exceeding λ_(2) to reflect real-time indicator performance.Experimental validation was conducted using an Air Defense and Anti-Missile(ADAM)system effectiveness assessment framework,with data covering 7 indicators across 3 combat scenarios.Results show that compared to static weighting methods,the proposed method reduces MAE(Mean Absolute Error)by 15%-20% and weighted decision error rate by 84.2%,effectively reducing overestimation/underestimation of combat effectiveness in dynamic scenarios;compared to Entropy-TOPSIS,it lowers MAE by 12% while achieving a weighted Kendall’sτconsistency coefficient of 0.85,ensuring higher alignment with expert judgment.This method enhances the accuracy and scenario adaptability of effectiveness assessment,providing reliable decision support for dynamic battlefield environments.
基金funded by the National College Students Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program(S202310760049).
文摘This article introduces and compares risk assessment models for venous thromboembolism in gynecological patients at home and abroad.The models assessed included the Caprini risk assessment model,the G-Caprini risk assessment model,the Rogers risk assessment model,the Autar risk assessment model,the gynecological patient surgical venous thrombosis risk assessment scale,the Wells score,the COMPASS-CAT thrombus risk assessment model,the Khorana risk assessment model,the Padua risk assessment model,and the Chaoyang model.The purpose of this study is to provide a foundation for developing a risk assessment tool for gynecological venous thromboembolism tailored to Chinese patients and to assist clinical health care workers in selecting appropriate risk assessment tools and guiding individualized prevention measures.
文摘Design patterns offer reusable solutions for common software issues,enhancing quality.The advent of generative large language models(LLMs)marks progress in software development,but their efficacy in applying design patterns is not fully assessed.The recent introduction of generative large language models(LLMs)like ChatGPT and CoPilot has demonstrated significant promise in software development.They assist with a variety of tasks including code generation,modeling,bug fixing,and testing,leading to enhanced efficiency and productivity.Although initial uses of these LLMs have had a positive effect on software development,their potential influence on the application of design patterns remains unexplored.This study introduces a method to quantify LLMs’ability to implement design patterns,using Role-Based Metamodeling Language(RBML)for a rigorous specification of the pattern’s problem,solution,and transformation rules.The method evaluates the pattern applicability of a software application using the pattern’s problem specification.If deemed applicable,the application is input to the LLM for pattern application.The resulting application is assessed for conformance to the pattern’s solution specification and for completeness against the pattern’s transformation rules.Evaluating the method with ChatGPT 4 across three applications reveals ChatGPT’s high proficiency,achieving averages of 98%in conformance and 87%in completeness,thereby demonstrating the effectiveness of the method.Using RBML,this study confirms that LLMs,specifically ChatGPT 4,have great potential in effective and efficient application of design patterns with high conformance and completeness.This opens avenues for further integrating LLMs into complex software engineering processes.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of SGCC(5100-202199558A-0-5-ZN).
文摘Transient stability assessment(TSA)based on artificial intelligence typically has two distinct model management approaches:a unified management approach for all faulted lines and a separate management approach for each faulted line.To address the shortcomings of the aforementioned approaches,namely accuracy,training time,and model management complexity,a multi-model management approach for power system TSA based on multi-moment feature clustering has been proposed.First,the steady-state and transient features present under fault conditions were obtained through a transient simulation of line faults.The input sample set was then constructed using the aforementioned multi-moment electrical features and the embedded faulty line numbers.Subsequently,K-means clustering was conducted on each line based on the similarity of their electrical features,employing t-SNE dimensionality reduction.The PSO-CNN model was trained separately for each cluster to generate several independent TSA models.Finally,a model effectiveness evaluation system consisting of five metrics was established,and the effect of the sample imbalance ratio on the model effectiveness was investigated.The model effectiveness was evaluated using the IEEE 39-bus system algorithm.The results showed that the multi-model management strategy based on multi-moment feature clustering can effectively combine the two advantages of superior evaluation performance and streamlined model management by fully extracting system features.Moreover,this approach allows for more flexible adjustments to line topology changes.
基金supported by the fundings from 2024 Young Talents Program for Science and Technology Thinking Tanks(No.XMSB20240711041)2024 Student Research Program on Dynamic Simulation and Force-on-Force Exercise of Nuclear Security in 3D Interactive Environment Using Reinforcement Learning,Natural Science Foundation of Top Talent of SZTU(No.GDRC202407)+2 种基金Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(No.KCXFZ20240903092603005)Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(No.JCYJ20241202124703004)Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(No.KJZD20230923114117032)。
文摘Vulnerability assessment is a systematic process to identify security gaps in the design and evaluation of physical protection systems.Adversarial path planning is a widely used method for identifying potential vulnerabilities and threats to the security and resilience of critical infrastructures.However,achieving efficient path optimization in complex large-scale three-dimensional(3D)scenes remains a significant challenge for vulnerability assessment.This paper introduces a novel A^(*)-algorithmic framework for 3D security modeling and vulnerability assessment.Within this framework,the 3D facility models were first developed in 3ds Max and then incorporated into Unity for A^(*)heuristic pathfinding.The A^(*)-heuristic pathfinding algorithm was implemented with a geometric probability model to refine the detection and distance fields and achieve a rational approximation of the cost to reach the goal.An admissible heuristic is ensured by incorporating the minimum probability of detection(P_(D)^(min))and diagonal distance to estimate the heuristic function.The 3D A^(*)heuristic search was demonstrated using a hypothetical laboratory facility,where a comparison was also carried out between the A^(*)and Dijkstra algorithms for optimal path identification.Comparative results indicate that the proposed A^(*)-heuristic algorithm effectively identifies the most vulnerable adversarial pathfinding with high efficiency.Finally,the paper discusses hidden phenomena and open issues in efficient 3D pathfinding for security applications.
基金supported by the project of the China Geological Survey(DD20230591).
文摘To enhance the prediction accuracy of landslides in in Longyan City,China,this study developed a methodology for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment based on a coupled model composed of a Geographic Information System(GIS)with integrated spatial data,a frequency ratio(FR)model,and a random forest(RF)model(also referred to as the coupled FR-RF model).The coupled FR-RF model was constructed based on the analysis of nine influential factors,including distance from roads,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),and slope.The performance of the coupled FR-RF model was assessed using metrics such as Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)and Precision-Recall(PR)curves,yielding Area Under the Curve(AUC)values of 0.93 and 0.95,which indicate high predictive accuracy and reliability for geological hazard forecasting.Based on the model predictions,five susceptibility levels were determined in the study area,providing crucial spatial information for geologic hazard prevention and control.The contributions of various influential factors to landslide susceptibility were determined using SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)analysis and the Gini index,enhancing the model interpretability and transparency.Additionally,this study discussed the limitations of the coupled FR-RF model and the prospects for its improvement using new technologies.This study provides an innovative method and theoretical support for geologic hazard prediction and management,holding promising prospects for application.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.50405021)
文摘In order to evaluate the reliability of long-lifetime products with degradation data, a new proportional hazard degradation model is proposed. By the similarity between time-degradation data and stress-accelerated lifetime, and the failure rate function of degradation data which is assumed to be proportional to the time covariate, the reliability assessment based on a proportional hazard degradation model is realized. The least squares method is used to estimate the model＇s parameters. Based on the failure rate of the degradation data and the proportion function of the known time, the failure rate and the reliability function under the given time and the predetermined failure threshold can be extrapolated. A long life GaAs laser is selected as a case study and its reliability is evaluated. The results show that the proposed method can accurately describe the degradation process and it is effective for the reliability assessment of long lifetime products.
文摘Using the characteristic of addition of information quantity and the principle of equivalence of information quantity, this paper derives the general conversion formulae of the formation theory method conversion (synthesis) on the systems consisting of different success failure model units. According to the fundamental method of the unit reliability assessment, the general models of system reliability approximate lower limits are given. Finally, this paper analyses the application of the assessment method by examples, the assessment results are neither conservative nor radical and very satisfactory. The assessment method can be popularized to the systems which have fixed reliability structural models.
文摘The performance of corporate social responsibility is conducive to the con- tinuous improvement of their profitability, and promotes the upgrading of corporation value. However, it is difficult to confirm, calculate and check the costs and benefits brought by the implementation of corporate social responsibility under the current ac- counting theory system, so it is difficult to estimate whether the fulfillment of corpo- rate social responsibility has any effects on the corporation value assessment. Therefore, based on corporate social responsibility, the correction mode of corpora- tion value assessment is put forward.
基金National Nature Science Foundation of China, No.41071324 No.40730526+2 种基金 Key Subject Developing Project by Shanghai Municipal Education Commission, No.J50402 Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality, No.08240514000 Leading Academic Discipline Project of Shanghai Normal University, No.DZL809
文摘Scenario modelling and the risk assessment of natural disasters is one of the hotspots in disaster research. However, up until now, urban natural disaster risk assessments lack common procedures and programmes. This paper selects rainstorm waterlogging as a disaster to research, which is one of the most frequently occurring hazards for most cities in China. As an example, we used a small-scale integrated methodology to assess risks relating to rainstorm waterlogging hazards in the Jing＇an District of Shanghai. Based on the basic concept of disaster risk, this paper applies scenario modelling to express the risk of small-scale urban rainstorm waterlogging disasters in different return periods. Through this analysis of vulnerability and exposure, we simulate different disaster scenarios and propose a comprehensive analysis method and procedure for small-scale urban storm waterlogging disaster risk assessments. A grid-based Geographical Information System （GIS） approach, including an urban terrain model, an urban rainfall model and an urban drainage model, was applied to simulate inundation area and depth. Stage-damage curves for residential buildings and contents were then generated by the loss data of waterlogging from field surveys, which were further applied to analyse vulnerability, exposure and loss assessment. Finally, the exceedance probability curve for disaster damage was constructed using the damage of each simulated event and the respective exceedance probabilities. A framework was also developed for coupling the waterlogging risk with the risk planning and management through the exceedance probability curve and annual average waterlogging loss. This is a new exploration for small-scale urban natural disaster scenario simulation and risk assessment.
文摘One of the difficulties frequently encountered in water quality assessment is that there are many factors and they cannot be assessed according to one factor, all the effect factors associated with water quality must be used. In order to overcome this issues the projection pursuit principle is introduced into water quality assessment, and projection pursuit cluster(PPC) model is developed in this study. The PPC model makes the transition from high dimension to one-dimension. In other words, based on the PPC model, multifactor problem can be converted to one factor problem. The application of PPC model can be divided into four parts: (1) to estimate projection index function Q(); (2) to find the right projection direction ; (3) to calculate projection characteristic value of the i th sample z-i, and (4) to draw comprehensive analysis on the basis of z-i. On the other hand, the empirical formula of cutoff radius R is developed, which is benefit for the model to be used in practice. Finally, a case study of water quality assessment is proposed in this paper. The results showed that the PPC model is reasonable, and it is more objective and less subjective in water quality assessment. It is a new method for multivariate problem comprehensive analysis.
基金the Royal Golden Jubilee Ph.D program (IUG50K0021)Thailand Research Fund (TRF) for the financial support
文摘We applied the model of American Meteorological Society-Environmental Protection Agency Regulatory Model（AERMOD） as a tool for the analysis of nitrogen dioxide（NO2） emissions from a cement complex as a part of the environmental impact assessment.The dispersion of NO2 from four cement plants within the selected cement complex were investigated both by measurement and AERMOD simulation in dry and wet seasons.Simulated values of NO2 emissions were compared with those obtained during a 7-day continuous measurement campaign at 12 receptors.It was predicted that NO2 concentration peaks were found more within 1 to 5 km,where the measurement and simulation were in good agreement,than at the receptors 5 km further away from the reference point.The QuantileQuantile plots of NO2 concentrations in dry season were mostly fitted to the middle line compared to those in wet season.This can be attributed to high NO2 wet deposition.The results show that for both the measurement and the simulation using the AERMOD,NO2 concentrations do not exceed the NO2 concentration limit set by the National Ambient Air Quality Standards（NAAQS） of Thailand.This indicates that NO2 emissions from the cement complex have no significant impact on nearby communities.It can be concluded that the AERMOD can provide useful information to identify high pollution impact areas for the EIA guidelines.
基金Supported by Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(Grant No.DUT17GF214)
文摘The remaining useful life(RUL) prediction of mechanical products has been widely studied for online system performance reliability, device remanufacturing, and product safety(safety awareness and safety improvement). These studies incorporated many di erent models, algorithms, and techniques for modeling and assessment. In this paper, methods of RUL assessment are summarized and expounded upon using two major methods: physics model based and data driven based methods. The advantages and disadvantages of each of these methods are deliberated and compared as well. Due to the intricacy of failure mechanism in system, and di culty in physics degradation observation, RUL assessment based on observations of performance variables turns into a science in evaluating the degradation. A modeling method from control systems, the state space model(SSM), as a first order hidden Markov, is presented. In the context of non-linear and non-Gaussian systems, the SSM methodology is capable of performing remaining life assessment by using Bayesian estimation(sequential Monte Carlo). Being e ective for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamics, the methodology can perform the assessment recursively online for applications in CBM(condition based maintenance), PHM(prognostics and health management), remanufacturing, and system performance reliability. Finally, the discussion raises concerns regarding online sensing data for SSM modeling and assessment of RUL.
基金supported by National Science and Technology Major Project(No2009 ZX 05039-003,2009 ZX 05039-004,2011ZX05060-005)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No 2010CB428801-1)state-owned land resources investigation(1212010430351)
文摘In this study, a risk-based management model is developed and applied to an industrial zone. The models proposed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency and Han Bing have been improved by adding a residual ratio of volatile organic compounds （VOC） after boiling and deleting the related parameters in half-life. Using this improved model, an integrated process was used to assess human health risk level in the study area. Compared with water quality analysis, the results highlight the importance of applying an integrated approach for decision making on risk levels and water protection. The results of this study demonstrated that： （1） Compared with these permissible level standards in China （GB 3838-2002） and National Primary Drinking Water Regulations of the United States, the residents＇ daily life had not been affected by the groundwater in this area （except for relative bad water quality of HB3-4 and HB3-6）; （2） The typical detected organic contaminants of all groundwater samples were chloroform, carbon tetrachloride, trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethene, and the pollution sources were mainly industrial sources by preliminary investigations; （3） As for groundwater, the non-carcinogenic risk values of all samples do not exceed the permissible level of 1.0 and the carcinogenic risk values are relatively lower than the permissible level of 1.00E-06 to 1.00E-04; （4） Drinking water pathway of trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethylene mainly contribute to increasing the health risk of residents＇ in study areas; （5） In terms of non-carcinogenic risk and carcinogenic risk, the health risk order for drinking water pathway and dermal contact pathway was： drinking water pathway 〉 dermal contact pathway.
文摘AIM:To explore the related risk factors for diabetic retinopathy(DR)in type 2 diabetes with insulin therapy.METHODS:We studied the relationships among blood glucose,serum C-peptide,plasma insulin,beta-cell function and the development of DR.Beta-cell function was assessed by a modified homeostasis model assessment(modified HOMA)which was gained by using C-peptide to replace insulin in the homeostasis model assessment(HOMA)of beta-cell function.We also studied the relationships between modified HOMA index and serum C-peptide response to 100 g tasteless steamed bread to determine the accuracy of modified HOMA.RESULTS:Our study group consisted of 170 type 2diabetic inpatients with DR(age:58.35±13.87y,mean±SD)and 205 type 2 diabetic inpatients with no DR(NDR)(age:65.52±11.59y).DR patients had higher age,longer diabetic duration,higher hypertension grade,higher postprandial plasma glucose,higher fluctuation level of plasma glucose,lower body mass index(BMI),lower postprandial serum insulin and C-peptide,lower fluctuation level of serum insulin and C-peptide(P【0.05).In our logistic regression model,duration of diabetes,hypertension grade,fasting plasma insulin and glycosylated hemoglobin(HbA1C)were significantly associated with the presence of DR after adjustment for confounding factors(P【0.05).CONCLUSION:Our results suggested although modified HOMA showed significant correlation to the occurrence of DR on Spearman’s rank-correlationanalysis,logistic regression showed no significant association between these two variables after adjustment for relevant confounding factors(such as age,sex,duration of diabetes,BMI,hypertension grade,HbA1C,plasma insulin).Duration of diabetes,hypertension grade,fasting plasma insulin and HbA1C were independently associated with the development of DR in Chinese type 2 diabetics.
文摘The International Association of Hydrological Sciences （IAHS） recognized the lack of hydro- logical data as a world-wide problem in 2002 and adopted the Prediction of Ungauged Basins （PUB） as a decadal research agenda during the period of 2003 to 2012. One of the objectives is to further develop methodologies for prediction in ungauged basins and to reduce uncertainties in model prediction. Estimation of stream flows is required for flood control, water quality control, valley habitat assessment and water budget of a country. However, the majority of water catchments, streams and valleys are ungauged in most developing countries. The main objective of this paper is to introduce the IHACRES （Identification of Hy- drographs and Components from Rainfall, Evaporation and Stream） model into African hydrological plan- ning as a methodology for water resources assessment, which in turn can be used to resolve water conflicts between communities and countries and to study the climate change issues. This is because the IHACRES model is applied for the estimation of flows in ungauged catchments whose physical catchments descriptors （PCDs） can be determined by driving variables （i.e. rainfall and temperature）; and also in gauged streams but whose gauging stations are no longer operational but historical data are available for model calibration. The model provides a valuable insight into the hydrologic behaviour of the upper water sources for valleys as well as provides a useful methodology for water resources assessment in situations of scarce financial resources in developing countries. In addition, it requires relatively few parameters in its calibration and has been successful applied in previous regionalization studies. It will also make possible the equitable distri- bution of water resources in international basins and rivers＇ catchments. This paper does not apply the model anywhere, but recommends it as a methodology for water resources assessment in order to cure water conflicts on the African continent.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC1402003)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41671436)the Innovation Project of LREIS(No.O88RAA01YA)
文摘Sanduao is an important sea-breeding bay in Fujian,South China and holds a high economic status in aquaculture.Quickly and accurately obtaining information including the distribution area,quantity,and aquaculture area is important for breeding area planning,production value estimation,ecological survey,and storm surge prevention.However,as the aquaculture area expands,the seawater background becomes increasingly complex and spectral characteristics differ dramatically,making it difficult to determine the aquaculture area.In this study,we used a high-resolution remote-sensing satellite GF-2 image to introduce a deep-learning Richer Convolutional Features(RCF)network model to extract the aquaculture area.Then we used the density of aquaculture as an assessment index to assess the vulnerability of aquaculture areas in Sanduao.The results demonstrate that this method does not require land and water separation of the area in advance,and good extraction can be achieved in the areas with more sediment and waves,with an extraction accuracy>93%,which is suitable for large-scale aquaculture area extraction.Vulnerability assessment results indicate that the density of aquaculture in the eastern part of Sanduao is considerably high,reaching a higher vulnerability level than other parts.
基金This research is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41807274,41630640)the Sichuan Science and Technology Program(No.2019E0R2230230)the Scientific Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.KFJ-STS-QYZD-172)。
文摘Using physical simulation models, rainfall-induced landslides have been simulated under various rainfall intensities. During these simulations, we have monitored the physical and mechanical behaviors of the landslide over the slip surface at different heights of the model slopes, as well as taking the whole slope to identify its deformation and failure processes. The results show that the rainfall duration corresponding to the initiation of the debris landslide and is exponentially related to rainfall intensity. Corresponding to the three intervals of the rainfall intensity, there are three types of slope failure modes:(1) the small-slump failure at the leading edge of the slope;(2) the block-slump failure but sometimes there are large blocks sliding down;and(3) the bulk failure but sometimes there is the block-slump failure. Based on the total rainfall-lasting time and the associated proportion of failed mass volume, the early warning of debris landslide can be classified into five grades, i.e., red, orange to red, orange, yellow to orange and yellow, which correspond to the five slope failure modes, respectively.
基金Under the auspices of Tackling Key Program for Science and Technology of Anhui Province (No. 07010302165)Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province (No. 050450303)
文摘An indicator system closely connected with eco-environment, in which indicator involves in such fields as society, economy, resources, environment and ecology, is first proposed for eco-environmental quality assessment. Then, a hierarchical model with four levels is established by virtue of these indicators and attributes. In the model, weights of indicators and attributes are determined by combining Delphi method with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and a statistic method is used to eliminate the influences arising from the differences in dimension and magnitude of indicators. On these grounds, an AHP-statistics model is provided for regional eco-environmental quality assessment. As a case, such AHP-statistics model is utilized in the dynamic analysis of regional eco-environmental assessment in Chaohu Lake basin. Study results show that natural environmental quality in the watershed was in the declining state while social environmental quality was in a markedly improved situation from 1996, and the synthetic eco-environmental quality was gradually and slowly improved under the common influences of both natural and social environmental factors. Example of application testified the capacities of above methodology to evaluate the real and dynamic state of regional eco-environmental quality.
