Thermodynamic and dynamic processes(TDP)significantly modulate the rapid variability of Arctic sea ice,with complex interactions between them.This study quantifies the Arctic sea ice budget of volume from 1989 to 2021...Thermodynamic and dynamic processes(TDP)significantly modulate the rapid variability of Arctic sea ice,with complex interactions between them.This study quantifies the Arctic sea ice budget of volume from 1989 to 2021 using data from NSIDC and PIOMAS.Results show that thermodynamic processes dominate seasonal Arctic sea ice budget variation,covering 40%of the sea ice zone,strongest at the margins and in the seasonal ice zone.Dynamic processes play a relay role,contributing less than half of that from thermodynamic processes.Their influence is strongest in winter and weakest in summer,closely linked to sea ice drift circulation.TDP exhibit opposite seasonal cycles,with thermodynamic processes inversely correlated with sea ice volume changes.Dynamic processes are most negatively correlated with thermodynamic processes when they precede by 21 d.After strong thermodynamic processes,dynamic processes become more pronounced,peaking 76 d later,indicating a seasonal coupled effect where dynamic processes sustain and amplify the sea ice changes initiated by thermodynamic processes.Significant long-term trends in TDP are identified.Thermodynamic processes have increased over the past three decades,particularly in June to July and October to November.Dynamic processes decreases from June to August but increases in September.This study enhances understanding of the complex interplay between TDP modulate Arctic sea ice changes and highlights potential decadal trends under climate change.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant no.2019YFA0607004)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant nos.42430411,42075024,42205029 and 42230405)。
文摘Thermodynamic and dynamic processes(TDP)significantly modulate the rapid variability of Arctic sea ice,with complex interactions between them.This study quantifies the Arctic sea ice budget of volume from 1989 to 2021 using data from NSIDC and PIOMAS.Results show that thermodynamic processes dominate seasonal Arctic sea ice budget variation,covering 40%of the sea ice zone,strongest at the margins and in the seasonal ice zone.Dynamic processes play a relay role,contributing less than half of that from thermodynamic processes.Their influence is strongest in winter and weakest in summer,closely linked to sea ice drift circulation.TDP exhibit opposite seasonal cycles,with thermodynamic processes inversely correlated with sea ice volume changes.Dynamic processes are most negatively correlated with thermodynamic processes when they precede by 21 d.After strong thermodynamic processes,dynamic processes become more pronounced,peaking 76 d later,indicating a seasonal coupled effect where dynamic processes sustain and amplify the sea ice changes initiated by thermodynamic processes.Significant long-term trends in TDP are identified.Thermodynamic processes have increased over the past three decades,particularly in June to July and October to November.Dynamic processes decreases from June to August but increases in September.This study enhances understanding of the complex interplay between TDP modulate Arctic sea ice changes and highlights potential decadal trends under climate change.