The stochastic extended finite-fault simulation method(EXSIM)is a widely used tool in seismological research,with applications in ground motion prediction and simulation,seismic hazard analysis,and engineering studies...The stochastic extended finite-fault simulation method(EXSIM)is a widely used tool in seismological research,with applications in ground motion prediction and simulation,seismic hazard analysis,and engineering studies.However,recent studies have revealed a significant limitation:EXSIM tends to overpredict ground motions in the low-to-intermediate frequency range,particularly for large thrust earthquakes that are often characterized by a double-corner-frequency source model.To address this issue and enhance simulation accuracy,this study introduces two key improvements:(1)a novel asperity-distributed stress-drop composite fault model and(2)a hybrid application of EXSIM with the composite fault model.The proposed method is validated through its application to the 2013 M_(w)6.7 Lushan earthquake that occurred in China and six thrust earthquakes with an M_(w)≥6.5 in Japan.By comparing the simulated ground motions with recorded data,the results demonstrate that the improved method achieves consistent accuracy across the high-and low-frequency spectrum(combined goodness-of-fit:CGOF<0.35).This study significantly broadens the applicability of stochastic finite-fault simulations,enabling more reliable predictions for a wider range of seismic scenarios,including complex thrust faulting events.展开更多
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China under Grant No.2022YFC3003601National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.52478570+1 种基金Heilongjiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation Outstanding Youth Program under Grant No.J020245002the Key Research and Development Program of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps under Grant No.2024AB077。
文摘The stochastic extended finite-fault simulation method(EXSIM)is a widely used tool in seismological research,with applications in ground motion prediction and simulation,seismic hazard analysis,and engineering studies.However,recent studies have revealed a significant limitation:EXSIM tends to overpredict ground motions in the low-to-intermediate frequency range,particularly for large thrust earthquakes that are often characterized by a double-corner-frequency source model.To address this issue and enhance simulation accuracy,this study introduces two key improvements:(1)a novel asperity-distributed stress-drop composite fault model and(2)a hybrid application of EXSIM with the composite fault model.The proposed method is validated through its application to the 2013 M_(w)6.7 Lushan earthquake that occurred in China and six thrust earthquakes with an M_(w)≥6.5 in Japan.By comparing the simulated ground motions with recorded data,the results demonstrate that the improved method achieves consistent accuracy across the high-and low-frequency spectrum(combined goodness-of-fit:CGOF<0.35).This study significantly broadens the applicability of stochastic finite-fault simulations,enabling more reliable predictions for a wider range of seismic scenarios,including complex thrust faulting events.
