Count data with excess zeros encountered in many applications often exhibit extra variation. There- fore, zero-inflated Poisson （ZIP） model may fail to fit such data. In this paper, a zero-inflated double Poisson mo...Count data with excess zeros encountered in many applications often exhibit extra variation. There- fore, zero-inflated Poisson （ZIP） model may fail to fit such data. In this paper, a zero-inflated double Poisson model （ZIDP）, which is generalization of the ZIP model, is studied and the score tests for the significance of dis- persion and zero-inflation in ZIDP model are developed. Meanwhile, this work also develops homogeneous tests for dispersion and/or zero-inflation parameter, and corresponding score test statistics are obtained. One numer- ical example is given to illustrate our methodology and the properties of score test statistics are investigated through Monte Carlo simulations.展开更多
Background: Bivariate count data are commonly encountered in medicine, biology, engineering, epidemiology and many other applications. The Poisson distribution has been the model of choice to analyze such data. In mos...Background: Bivariate count data are commonly encountered in medicine, biology, engineering, epidemiology and many other applications. The Poisson distribution has been the model of choice to analyze such data. In most cases mutual independence among the variables is assumed, however this fails to take into accounts the correlation between the outcomes of interests. A special bivariate form of the multivariate Lagrange family of distribution, names Generalized Bivariate Poisson Distribution, is considered in this paper. Objectives: We estimate the model parameters using the method of maximum likelihood and show that the model fits the count variables representing components of metabolic syndrome in spousal pairs. We use the likelihood local score to test the significance of the correlation between the counts. We also construct confidence interval on the ratio of the two correlated Poisson means. Methods: Based on a random sample of pairs of count data, we show that the score test of independence is locally most powerful. We also provide a formula for sample size estimation for given level of significance and given power. The confidence intervals on the ratio of correlated Poisson means are constructed using the delta method, the Fieller’s theorem, and the nonparametric bootstrap. We illustrate the methodologies on metabolic syndrome data collected from 4000 spousal pairs. Results: The bivariate Poisson model fitted the metabolic syndrome data quite satisfactorily. Moreover, the three methods of confidence interval estimation were almost identical, meaning that they have the same interval width.展开更多
In this paper, we consider a double compound Poisson risk model involving two independent classes ofinsurance risks with a threshold dividend strategy. We derived the integro-differential equations （IDE） with certai...In this paper, we consider a double compound Poisson risk model involving two independent classes ofinsurance risks with a threshold dividend strategy. We derived the integro-differential equations （IDE） with certain boundary conditions for the present value of dividends until ruin. When the claims from both classes are exponentially distributed, we show that the threshold dividend strategy is an optimal dividend strategy.展开更多
基金Supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.11271193 and 11571073the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province under Grant No.BK20141326
文摘Count data with excess zeros encountered in many applications often exhibit extra variation. There- fore, zero-inflated Poisson （ZIP） model may fail to fit such data. In this paper, a zero-inflated double Poisson model （ZIDP）, which is generalization of the ZIP model, is studied and the score tests for the significance of dis- persion and zero-inflation in ZIDP model are developed. Meanwhile, this work also develops homogeneous tests for dispersion and/or zero-inflation parameter, and corresponding score test statistics are obtained. One numer- ical example is given to illustrate our methodology and the properties of score test statistics are investigated through Monte Carlo simulations.
文摘Background: Bivariate count data are commonly encountered in medicine, biology, engineering, epidemiology and many other applications. The Poisson distribution has been the model of choice to analyze such data. In most cases mutual independence among the variables is assumed, however this fails to take into accounts the correlation between the outcomes of interests. A special bivariate form of the multivariate Lagrange family of distribution, names Generalized Bivariate Poisson Distribution, is considered in this paper. Objectives: We estimate the model parameters using the method of maximum likelihood and show that the model fits the count variables representing components of metabolic syndrome in spousal pairs. We use the likelihood local score to test the significance of the correlation between the counts. We also construct confidence interval on the ratio of the two correlated Poisson means. Methods: Based on a random sample of pairs of count data, we show that the score test of independence is locally most powerful. We also provide a formula for sample size estimation for given level of significance and given power. The confidence intervals on the ratio of correlated Poisson means are constructed using the delta method, the Fieller’s theorem, and the nonparametric bootstrap. We illustrate the methodologies on metabolic syndrome data collected from 4000 spousal pairs. Results: The bivariate Poisson model fitted the metabolic syndrome data quite satisfactorily. Moreover, the three methods of confidence interval estimation were almost identical, meaning that they have the same interval width.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province (2008GQS0035)the Foundation of Zhejiang Provincial Education Department Research Projects (Y200803009)
文摘In this paper, we consider a double compound Poisson risk model involving two independent classes ofinsurance risks with a threshold dividend strategy. We derived the integro-differential equations （IDE） with certain boundary conditions for the present value of dividends until ruin. When the claims from both classes are exponentially distributed, we show that the threshold dividend strategy is an optimal dividend strategy.
