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Risk factors for acute kidney injury following coronary artery bypass graft surgery in a Chinese population and development of a prediction model 被引量:4
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作者 Yang LI Xue-Jian HOU +5 位作者 Tao-Shuai LIU Shi-Jun XU Zhu-Hui HUANG Peng-Yun YAN Xiao-Yu XU Ran DONG 《Journal of Geriatric Cardiology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第9期711-719,共9页
BACKGROUND Acute kidney injury(AKI)after coronary artery bypass graft(CABG)surgery is associated with significant morbidity and mortality.This retrospective study aimed to establish a risk score for postoperative AKI ... BACKGROUND Acute kidney injury(AKI)after coronary artery bypass graft(CABG)surgery is associated with significant morbidity and mortality.This retrospective study aimed to establish a risk score for postoperative AKI in a Chinese population.METHODS A total of 1138 patients undergoing CABG were collected from September 2018 to May 2020 and divided into a derivation and validation cohort.AKI was defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes(KDIGO)criteria.Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent predictors of AKI,and the predictive ability of the model was determined using a receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.RESULTS The incidence of cardiac surgery–associated acute kidney injury(CSA-AKI)was 24.17%,and 0.53%of AKI patients required dialysis(AKI-D).Among the derivation cohort,multivariable logistic regression showed that age≥70 years,body mass index(BMI)≥25 kg/m2,estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR)≤60 mL/min per 1.73 m2,ejection fraction(EF)≤45%,use of statins,red blood cell transfusion,use of adrenaline,intra-aortic balloon pump(IABP)implantation,postoperative low cardiac output syndrome(LCOS)and reoperation for bleeding were independent predictors.The predictive model was scored from 0 to32 points with three risk categories.The AKI frequencies were as follows:0-8 points(15.9%),9-17 points(36.5%)and≥18 points(90.4%).The area under of the ROC curve was 0.730(95%CI:0.691-0.768)in the derivation cohort.The predictive index had good discrimination in the validation cohort,with an area under the curve of 0.735(95%CI:0.655-0.815).The model was well calibrated according to the Hosmer-Lemeshow test(P=0.372).CONCLUSION The performance of the prediction model was valid and accurate in predicting KDIGO-AKI after CABG surgery in Chinese patients,and could improve the early prognosis and clinical interventions. 展开更多
关键词 AKI RED Risk factors for acute kidney injury following coronary artery bypass graft surgery in a Chinese population and development of a prediction model
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Application of Pore Evolution and Fracture Development Coupled Models in the Prediction of Reservoir "Sweet Spots" in Tight Sandstones 被引量:3
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作者 ZHANG Linyan ZHUO Xizhun +3 位作者 MA Licheng CHEN Xiaoshuai SONG Licai ZHOU Xingui 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第3期1051-1052,共2页
The Chang-63 reservoir in the Huaqing area has widely developed tight sandstone "thick sand layers, but not reservoirs characterized by rich in oil", and it is thus necessary to further study its oil and gas enrichm... The Chang-63 reservoir in the Huaqing area has widely developed tight sandstone "thick sand layers, but not reservoirs characterized by rich in oil", and it is thus necessary to further study its oil and gas enrichment law. This study builds porosity and fracture development and evolution models in different deposition environments, through core observation, casting thin section, SEM, porosity and permeability analysis, burial history analysis, and "four-property-relationships" analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Sweet Spots in Tight Sandstones Application of Pore Evolution and Fracture development Coupled Models in the prediction of Reservoir
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Development of a risk score to guide targeted hepatitis C testing among human immunodeficiency virus patients in Cambodia
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作者 Anja De Weggheleire Jozefien Buyze +4 位作者 Sokkab An Sopheak Thai Johan van Griensven Sven Francque Lutgarde Lynen 《World Journal of Hepatology》 2021年第9期1167-1180,共14页
BACKGROUND The World Health Organization recommends testing all human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)patients for hepatitis C virus(HCV).In resource-constrained contexts with low-to-intermediate HCV prevalence among HIV p... BACKGROUND The World Health Organization recommends testing all human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)patients for hepatitis C virus(HCV).In resource-constrained contexts with low-to-intermediate HCV prevalence among HIV patients,as in Cambodia,targeted testing is,in the short-term,potentially more feasible and cost-effective.AIM To develop a clinical prediction score(CPS)to risk-stratify HIV patients for HCV coinfection(HCV RNA detected),and derive a decision rule to guide prioritization of HCV testing in settings where‘testing all’is not feasible or unaffordable in the short term.METHODS We used data of a cross-sectional HCV diagnostic study in the HIV cohort of Sihanouk Hospital Center of Hope in Phnom Penh.Key populations were very rare in this cohort.Score development relied on the Spiegelhalter and Knill-Jones method.Predictors with an adjusted likelihood ratio≥1.5 or≤0.67 were retained,transformed to natural logarithms,and rounded to integers as score items.CPS performance was evaluated by the area-under-the-ROC curve(AUROC)with 95% confidence intervals(CI),and diagnostic accuracy at the different cut-offs.For the decision rule,HCV coinfection probability≥1% was agreed as test-threshold.RESULTS Among the 3045 enrolled HIV patients,106 had an HCV coinfection.Of the 11 candidate predictors(from history-taking,laboratory testing),seven had an adjusted likelihood ratio≥1.5 or≤0.67:≥50 years(+1 point),diabetes mellitus(+1),partner/household member with liver disease(+1),generalized pruritus(+1),platelets<200×10^(9)/L(+1),aspartate transaminase(AST)<30 IU/L(-1),AST-to-platelet ratio index(APRI)≥0.45(+1),and APRI<0.45(-1).The AUROC was 0.84(95%CI:0.80-0.89),indicating good discrimination of HCV/HIV coinfection and HIV mono-infection.The CPS result≥0 best fits the test-threshold(negative predictive value:99.2%,95%CI:98.8-99.6).Applying this threshold,30%(n=926)would be tested.Sixteen coinfections(15%)would have been missed,none with advanced fibrosis.CONCLUSION The CPS performed well in the derivation cohort,and bears potential for other contexts of low-to-intermediate prevalence and little onward risk of transmission(i.e.cohorts without major risk factors as injecting drug use,men having sex with men),and where available resources do not allow to test all HIV patients as recommended by WHO.However,the score requires external validation in other patient cohorts before any wider use can be considered. 展开更多
关键词 Hepatitis C virus Hepatitis C/human immunodeficiency virus coinfection Clinical prediction rule Targeted screening Cambodia development prediction model
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Trend Prediction Method Based on the Largest Lyapunov Exponent for Large Rotating Machine Equipments 被引量:5
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作者 徐小力 朱春梅 张建民 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第4期433-436,共4页
In order to predict electromechanical equipments' nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on... In order to predict electromechanical equipments' nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on chaos theory. The predict method of chaos time series and two methods of proposing f and F are dis- cussed. The arithmetic of max prediction time of chaos time series is provided. Aiming at the key part of large rotating mechanical equipments-bearing, used this prediction method the simulation experiment is carried out. The result shows that this method has excellent performance for condition trend prediction. 展开更多
关键词 largest Lyapunov exponent large rotating machine equipments developing condition prediction
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Mechanical vibration state and its defect severity development trend prediction for gas-insulated switchgear equipment:Attention-bidirectional gated recurrent unit model construction and experimental verification
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作者 Xu Li Jian Hao +3 位作者 Ruijin Liao Yao Zhong Ying Feng Ruilei Gong 《High Voltage》 2025年第4期831-844,共14页
Mechanical vibration defect is the key factor leading to sudden failure of gas-insulated switchgear(GIS)equipment.It is important to realise effective prediction of the me-chanical vibration state development trend of... Mechanical vibration defect is the key factor leading to sudden failure of gas-insulated switchgear(GIS)equipment.It is important to realise effective prediction of the me-chanical vibration state development trend of GIS equipment in order to improve its active safety protection level.This paper carried out research on the accurate prediction method and experimental validation of the mechanical vibration state and its defect severity development trend for the GIS equipment.Firstly,the deep and shallow vibration feature parameters for different mechanical defect signals were jointly extracted by time-domain features and deep belief network methods.Secondly,a new prediction model,incorporating the attention mechanism and the bidirectional gated recurrent unit(BiGRU),was constructed with the deep and shallow vibration feature parameters as inputs.Finally,the prediction trend effectiveness was verified based on the real-type GIS mechanical simulation platform and the field operation GIS equipment.Results show that the deep and shallow vibration feature extraction method proposed in this paper can characterise the mechanical defect information more comprehensively.The new prediction method of the vibration state trend based on the attention-BiGRU model shows ideal accuracy,and the predicted vibration state development trend is highly consistent with the actual,with an average absolute error of 0.063.The root mean square error(ERMSE)value of the prediction method is<5%,which reduces the relative error value at least 37% compared with the traditional prediction models.This paper provides a valuable reference for the proactive defence of GIS mechanical failure. 展开更多
关键词 defect severity mechanical vibration deep shallow vibrat accurate prediction method gas insulated switchgear improve its active safety protection levelthis development trend prediction attention bidirectional gated recurrent unit
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Development and validation of a radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer 被引量:97
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《Science Foundation in China》 CAS 2016年第4期35-35,共1页
With the support by the National Natural Science Foundation of China,the research team jointly led by Porf.Liu Zaiyi(刘再毅)at Guangdong General Hospital and Prof.Tian Jie(田捷)at the Key Laboratory of Molecular Imagi... With the support by the National Natural Science Foundation of China,the research team jointly led by Porf.Liu Zaiyi(刘再毅)at Guangdong General Hospital and Prof.Tian Jie(田捷)at the Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging,Chinese Academy of Sciences,developed a CT-based radiomics prediction model to preoperatively predict the lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer(CRC),which was published 展开更多
关键词 NODE development and validation of a radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer
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Progress on the Key Technology Development in Application of Ensemble Prediction Products Associated with TIGGE 被引量:2
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作者 矫梅燕 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2010年第1期136-136,共1页
This project is supported by the 2007 R & D Special Fund for Public Welfare by Ministry of Science and Technology and Ministry of Finance.Research tasks in this project are proposed based on the implementation plan o... This project is supported by the 2007 R & D Special Fund for Public Welfare by Ministry of Science and Technology and Ministry of Finance.Research tasks in this project are proposed based on the implementation plan of the"THORPEX(The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble(TIGGE)",a sub-project of the THORPEX international program. 展开更多
关键词 this Progress on the Key Technology development in Application of Ensemble prediction Products Associated with TIGGE
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Has the Prediction of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Improved Since the Late 1970s? 被引量:2
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作者 FAN Yi FAN Ke1 TIAN Baoqiang 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第6期833-852,共20页
Based on the evaluation of state-of-the-art coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models (CGCMs) from the ENSEMBLES (Ensemble-based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts) and DEME- TER (Developm... Based on the evaluation of state-of-the-art coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models (CGCMs) from the ENSEMBLES (Ensemble-based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts) and DEME- TER (Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction) projects, it is found that the prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) has improved since the late 1970s. These CGCMs show better skills in prediction of the atmospheric circulation and precipitation within the SCSSM domain during 1979-2005 than that during 1960-1978. Possible reasons for this improvement are investigated. First, the relationship between the SSTs over the tropical Pacific, North Pacific and tropical Indian Ocean, and SCSSM has intensified since the late 1970s. Meanwhile, the SCSSM-related SSTs, with their larger amplitude of interannual variability, have been better predicted. Moreover, the larger amplitude of the interannual variability of the SCSSM and improved initializations for CGCMs after the late 1970s contribute to the better prediction of the SCSSM. In addition, considering that the CGCMs have certain limitations in SCSSM rainfall prediction, we applied the year-to-year increment approach to these CGCMs from the DEMETER and ENSEMBLES projects to improve the prediction of SCSSM rainfall before and after the late 1970s. 展开更多
关键词 South China Sea summer monsoon prediction Ensemble-based predictions of Climate Chan-ges and Their Impacts development of a European Multimodel Ensemble System for Seasonalto Interannual prediction year-to-year increment prediction approach
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THE NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF DEVELOPING TURBULENT FLOW IN 3-D RECTANGULAR DUCTS
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作者 He Zi-san Ni Han-gen Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,P.R.China 《Journal of Hydrodynamics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1990年第1期48-55,共8页
Comparisons are made between experimental data and numerical predictions based on the k-e turbulent model of low Reynolds number applicable to developing turbulent flow in rectangular ducts of arbitrary aspect ratio.T... Comparisons are made between experimental data and numerical predictions based on the k-e turbulent model of low Reynolds number applicable to developing turbulent flow in rectangular ducts of arbitrary aspect ratio.The numerical procedure utilizes the separated-layers finite-analytical method.The merits of the k-e turbulent model of low Reynolds number and the computation procedure are assessed by means of comparison with results,referred to that of the length-scale model and the full-Reynolds-stress model used in recent years. 展开更多
关键词 THE NUMERICAL prediction OF DEVELOPING TURBULENT FLOW IN 3-D RECTANGULAR DUCTS FLOW
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Targeting tumor-intrinsic S100 calcium-binding protein A1 augments antitumor immunity and potentiates immunotherapy efficacy 被引量:1
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作者 Yufeng Guo Rui Wan +7 位作者 Jianchun Duan Li Yuan Zhijie Wang Jia Zhong Xue Zhang Zixiao Ma Hua Bai Jie Wang 《Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy》 2025年第4期2397-2411,共15页
which highlights the necessity for developing predictive biomarkers and overcoming ICB resistance.Cancer cell-intrinsic features,especially those that can be dynamically monitored via liquid biopsy,represent a broader... which highlights the necessity for developing predictive biomarkers and overcoming ICB resistance.Cancer cell-intrinsic features,especially those that can be dynamically monitored via liquid biopsy,represent a broader scope for biomarker development.In addition,a potential mode of ICB resistance is tumor-intrinsic mechanisms leading to an immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment(TME).However,the underlying interactive network remains elusive,and the generalizable biomarkers and targeting strategies are still lacking.Here,we uncovered the potential of plasma S100 calcium-binding protein A1(S100A1)for determining ICB efficacy via liquid biopsy of patients with lung cancer.Multiomics and functional studies have suggested that tumor-intrinsic S100A1 expression correlated with an immunologically"cold"TME and resistance to ICB in multiple syngeneic murine tumors and tissue samples from patients with lung cancer.Mechanistic investigations demonstrated that interfering with the tumor-intrinsic S100A1/ubiquitin-specific protease 7/p65/granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor(GM-CSF)modulatory axis could potentiate an inflamed TME by promoting M1-like macrophage polarization and T cell function.GM-CSF priming was sufficient to enhance the ICB response in tumors with high S100A1 expression in preclinical models.These findings define S100A1 as a potential blood-based biomarker and a novel synergistic target for cancer immunotherapy. 展开更多
关键词 icb resistance targeting strategies tumor intrinsic developing predictive biomarkers icb resistancecancer s calcium binding protein liquid biopsyrepresent interactive network
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An autonomous robotic module for efficient surface tension measurements of formulations
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作者 Pim F.J.Dankloff Mats van Rossum +6 位作者 Mathieu G.Baltussen Stefan L.Hödl Derk H.W.ten Klooster Eline van de Voort Peter A.Korevaar Wilhelm T.S.Huck William E.Robinson 《npj Computational Materials》 2025年第1期3999-4008,共10页
Chemical space is vast,and the space of physical properties derived from it even more so.Despite over a century of physical chemistry measurements,we still lack large,well-organised data sets of key physical propertie... Chemical space is vast,and the space of physical properties derived from it even more so.Despite over a century of physical chemistry measurements,we still lack large,well-organised data sets of key physical properties such as the interfacial tension of surfactant solutions.Access to such data sets is essential to developing the next generation of predictive models for physicochemical properties using modern approaches such as artificial intelligence and machine learning(ML).Thus,we require experimental methods which can efficiently provide large,reproducible and informative data sets.In this work,we developed a robotic,automated pendant drop module for the efficient characterisation of the interfacial properties of surfactant-containing solutions.Provided with surfactant stock solutions,the module measures a surface tension isotherm,from which multiple important physical properties can be determined,including the critical micelle concentration and the maximum surface excess concentration.The module handles critical experimental challenges and decisions such as choosing an appropriate drop volume,detecting failed measurements and selecting concentration points to measure.To obtain a maximally informative dataset,the platform leverages an active learning algorithm combining Bayesian inference and mutual information to dynamically design experiments in response to collected data.We validate the platform by characterising a range of surfactants and demonstrate the effectiveness of its capabilities by mapping the surface tension of binary surfactant mixtures.This module lays the foundation for efficiently and autonomously generating informative datasets of the interfacial properties of surfactant formulations,paving the way to the next generation of ML models for the prediction of formulation properties. 展开更多
关键词 physical properties interfacial tension machine learning ml thuswe physical chemistry developing next generation predictive models physicochemical properties experimental metho data sets modern approaches
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Scenario Simulation of Urban Land Use and Ecosystem Service Coupling Major Function-Oriented Zoning
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作者 Tong Li Baoquan Jia +2 位作者 Qiumeng Zhang Wenrui Liu Youxin Fang 《Ecosystem Health and Sustainability》 CSCD 2024年第1期3-18,共16页
Simulations of land use/land cover(LULC)and ecosystem services(ES),which integrate national land policies,reflect the development of land and ecological functions under different scenarios and are crucial for accurate... Simulations of land use/land cover(LULC)and ecosystem services(ES),which integrate national land policies,reflect the development of land and ecological functions under different scenarios and are crucial for accurately predicting and optimizing urban ecosystem sustainable development. 展开更多
关键词 ecosystem services national land policies predicting optimizing urban ecosystem sustainable development urban land use development land ecological functions function oriented zoning scenario simulation ecosystem service coupling
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