The formation water sample in oil and gas fields may be polluted in processes of testing, trial production, collection, storage, transportation and analysis, making the properties of formation water not be reflected t...The formation water sample in oil and gas fields may be polluted in processes of testing, trial production, collection, storage, transportation and analysis, making the properties of formation water not be reflected truly. This paper discusses identification methods and the data credibility evaluation method for formation water in oil and gas fields of petroliferous basins within China. The results of the study show that: (1) the identification methods of formation water include the basic methods of single factors such as physical characteristics, water composition characteristics, water type characteristics, and characteristic coefficients, as well as the comprehensive evaluation method of data credibility proposed on this basis, which mainly relies on the correlation analysis sodium chloride coefficient and desulfurization coefficient and combines geological background evaluation;(2) The basic identifying methods for formation water enable the preliminary identification of hydrochemical data and the preliminary screening of data on site, the proposed comprehensive method realizes the evaluation by classifying the CaCl2-type water into types A-I to A-VI and the NaHCO3-type water into types B-I to B-IV, so that researchers can make in-depth evaluation on the credibility of hydrochemical data and analysis of influencing factors;(3) When the basic methods are used to identify the formation water, the formation water containing anions such as CO_(3)^(2-), OH- and NO_(3)^(-), or the formation water with the sodium chloride coefficient and desulphurization coefficient not matching the geological setting, are all invaded with surface water or polluted by working fluid;(4) When the comprehensive method is used, the data credibility of A-I, A-II, B-I and B-II formation water can be evaluated effectively and accurately only if the geological setting analysis in respect of the factors such as formation environment, sampling conditions, condensate water, acid fluid, leaching of ancient weathering crust, and ancient atmospheric fresh water, is combined, although such formation water is believed with high credibility.展开更多
This paper introduced the basic theory and algorithm of the surrogate data method, which proposed a rigorous way to detect the random and seemingly stochastic characteristics in a system. The Gaussian data and the Ros...This paper introduced the basic theory and algorithm of the surrogate data method, which proposed a rigorous way to detect the random and seemingly stochastic characteristics in a system. The Gaussian data and the Rossler data were used to show the availability and effectivity of this method. According to the analysis by this method based on the short-circuiting current signals under the conditions of the same voltage and different wire feed speeds, it is demonstrated that the electrical signals time series exhibit apparently randomness when the welding parameters do not match. However, the electrical signals time series are deterministic when a match is found. The stability of short-circuiting transfer process could be judged exactly by the method of surrogate data.展开更多
It is not reasonable that one can only use the adjoint of model in data assimilation. The simulated numerical experiment shows that for the tidal model, the result of the adjoint of equation is almost the same as that...It is not reasonable that one can only use the adjoint of model in data assimilation. The simulated numerical experiment shows that for the tidal model, the result of the adjoint of equation is almost the same as that of the adjoint of model: the averaged absolute difference of the amplitude between observations and simulation is less than 5.0 cm and that of the phase-lag is less than 5.0°. The results are both in good agreement with the observed M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. For comparison, the traditional methods also have been used to simulate M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. The initial guess values of the boundary conditions are given first, and then are adjusted to acquire the simulated results that are as close as possible to the observations. As the boundary conditions contain 72 values, which should be adjusted and how to adjust them can only be partially solved by adjusting them many times. The satisfied results are hard to acquire even gigantic efforts are done. Here, the automation of the treatment of the open boundary conditions is realized. The method is unique and superior to the traditional methods. It is emphasized that if the adjoint of equation is used, tedious and complicated mathematical deduction can be avoided. Therefore the adjoint of equation should attract much attention.展开更多
Objective:To analyze the component law of Chinese patent medicines for anti-influenza and develop new prescriptions for anti-influenza by unsupervised data mining methods. Methods: Chinese patent medicine recipes for ...Objective:To analyze the component law of Chinese patent medicines for anti-influenza and develop new prescriptions for anti-influenza by unsupervised data mining methods. Methods: Chinese patent medicine recipes for anti-influenza were collected and recorded in the database, and then the correlation coefficient between herbs, core combinations of herbs and new prescriptions were analyzed by using modified mutual information, complex system entropy cluster and unsupervised hierarchical clustering, respectively. Results: Based on analysis of 126 Chinese patent medicine recipes, the frequency of each herb occurrence in these recipes, 54 frequently-used herb pairs, 34 core combinations were determined, and 4 new recipes for influenza were developed. Conclusion: Unsupervised data mining methods are able to mine the component law quickly and develop new prescriptions.展开更多
It is widely recognized that assessments of the status of data-poor fish stocks are challenging and that Bayesian analysis is one of the methods which can be used to improve the reliability of stock assessments in dat...It is widely recognized that assessments of the status of data-poor fish stocks are challenging and that Bayesian analysis is one of the methods which can be used to improve the reliability of stock assessments in data-poor situations through borrowing strength from prior information deduced from species with good-quality data or other known information. Because there is considerable uncertainty remaining in the stock assessment of albacore tuna（Thunnus alalunga） in the Indian Ocean due to the limited and low-quality data, we investigate the advantages of a Bayesian method in data-poor stock assessment by using Indian Ocean albacore stock assessment as an example. Eight Bayesian biomass dynamics models with different prior assumptions and catch data series were developed to assess the stock. The results show（1） the rationality of choice of catch data series and assumption of parameters could be enhanced by analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters;（2） the reliability of the stock assessment could be improved by using demographic methods to construct a prior for the intrinsic rate of increase（r）. Because we can make use of more information to improve the rationality of parameter estimation and the reliability of the stock assessment compared with traditional statistical methods by incorporating any available knowledge into the informative priors and analyzing the posterior distribution based on Bayesian framework in data-poor situations, we suggest that the Bayesian method should be an alternative method to be applied in data-poor species stock assessment, such as Indian Ocean albacore.展开更多
A data-space inversion(DSI)method has been recently proposed and successfully applied to the history matching and production prediction of reservoirs.Based on Bayesian theory,DSI can directly and effectively obtain go...A data-space inversion(DSI)method has been recently proposed and successfully applied to the history matching and production prediction of reservoirs.Based on Bayesian theory,DSI can directly and effectively obtain good posterior flow predictions without inversion of geological parameters of reservoir model.This paper presents an improved DSI method to fast predict reservoir state fields(e.g.saturation and pressure profiles)via observed production data.Firstly,a large number of production curves and state data are generated by reservoir model simulation to expand the data space of original DSI.Then,efficient history matching only on the observed production data is carried out via the original DSI to obtain related parameters which reflects the weight of the real reservoir model relative to prior reservoir models.Finally,those parameters are used to predict the oil saturation and pressure profiles of the real reservoir model by combining large amounts of state data of prior reservoir models.Two examples including conventional heterogeneous and unconventional fractured reservoir are implemented to test the performances of predicting saturation and pressure profiles of this improved DSI method.Besides,this method is also tested in a real field and the obtained results show the high computational efficiency and high accuracy of the practical application of this method.展开更多
Due to the frequent changes of wind speed and wind direction,the accuracy of wind turbine(WT)power prediction using traditional data preprocessing method is low.This paper proposes a data preprocessing method which co...Due to the frequent changes of wind speed and wind direction,the accuracy of wind turbine(WT)power prediction using traditional data preprocessing method is low.This paper proposes a data preprocessing method which combines POT with DBSCAN(POT-DBSCAN)to improve the prediction efficiency of wind power prediction model.Firstly,according to the data of WT in the normal operation condition,the power prediction model ofWT is established based on the Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)Arithmetic which is combined with the BP Neural Network(PSO-BP).Secondly,the wind-power data obtained from the supervisory control and data acquisition(SCADA)system is preprocessed by the POT-DBSCAN method.Then,the power prediction of the preprocessed data is carried out by PSO-BP model.Finally,the necessity of preprocessing is verified by the indexes.This case analysis shows that the prediction result of POT-DBSCAN preprocessing is better than that of the Quartile method.Therefore,the accuracy of data and prediction model can be improved by using this method.展开更多
For random vibration of airborne platform, the accurate evaluation is a key indicator to ensure normal operation of airborne equipment in flight. However, only limited power spectral density（PSD） data can be obtaine...For random vibration of airborne platform, the accurate evaluation is a key indicator to ensure normal operation of airborne equipment in flight. However, only limited power spectral density（PSD） data can be obtained at the stage of flight test. Thus, those conventional evaluation methods cannot be employed when the distribution characteristics and priori information are unknown. In this paper, the fuzzy norm method（FNM） is proposed which combines the advantages of fuzzy theory and norm theory. The proposed method can deeply dig system information from limited data, which probability distribution is not taken into account. Firstly, the FNM is employed to evaluate variable interval and expanded uncertainty from limited PSD data, and the performance of FNM is demonstrated by confidence level, reliability and computing accuracy of expanded uncertainty. In addition, the optimal fuzzy parameters are discussed to meet the requirements of aviation standards and metrological practice. Finally, computer simulation is used to prove the adaptability of FNM. Compared with statistical methods, FNM has superiority for evaluating expanded uncertainty from limited data. The results show that the reliability of calculation and evaluation is superior to 95%.展开更多
Regarding the rapid compensation of the influence of the Earth＇ s disturbing gravity field upon trajectory calculation,the key point lies in how to derive the analytical solutions to the partial derivatives of the st...Regarding the rapid compensation of the influence of the Earth＇ s disturbing gravity field upon trajectory calculation,the key point lies in how to derive the analytical solutions to the partial derivatives of the state of burnout point with respect to the launch data.In view of this,this paper mainly expounds on two issues：one is based on the approximate analytical solution to the motion equation for the vacuum flight section of a long-range rocket,deriving the analytical solutions to the partial derivatives of the state of burnout point with respect to the changing rate of the finalstage pitch program;the other is based on the initial positioning and orientation error propagation mechanism,proposing the analytical calculation formula for the partial derivatives of the state of burnout point with respect to the launch azimuth.The calculation results of correction data are simulated and verified under different circumstances.The simulation results are as follows：（1） the accuracy of approximation between the analytical solutions and the results attained via the difference method is higher than 90%,and the ratio of calculation time between them is lower than 0.2%,thus demonstrating the accuracy of calculation of data corrections and advantages in calculation speed;（2） after the analytical solutions are compensated,the longitudinal landing deviation of the rocket is less than 20 m and the lateral landing deviation of the rocket is less than 10 m,demonstrating that the corrected data can meet the requirements for the hit accuracy of a long-range rocket.展开更多
Wave energy resource is a very important ocean renewable energy. A reliable assessment of wave energy resources must be performed before they can be exploited. Compared with wave model, altimeter can provide more accu...Wave energy resource is a very important ocean renewable energy. A reliable assessment of wave energy resources must be performed before they can be exploited. Compared with wave model, altimeter can provide more accurate in situ observations for ocean wave which can be as a novel method for wave energy assessment.The advantage of altimeter data is to provide accurate significant wave height observations for wave. In order to develop characteristic and advantage of altimeter data and apply altimeter data to wave energy assessment, in this study, we established an assessing method for wave energy in local sea area which is dedicated to altimeter data.This method includes three parts including data selection and processing, establishment of evaluation indexes system and criterion of regional division. Then a case study of Northwest Pacific was performed to discuss specific application for this method. The results show that assessing method in this paper can assess reserves and temporal and spatial distribution effectively and provide scientific references for the siting of wave power plants and the design of wave energy convertors.展开更多
China vigorously is carrying out the construction of green building and ecological city during " The 12 th five-Year plan". Now,although the identification system of design and operation have been implemente...China vigorously is carrying out the construction of green building and ecological city during " The 12 th five-Year plan". Now,although the identification system of design and operation have been implemented in the evaluation of green building,lacking of appropriate evaluation after use. The actual operation results of many buildings,which have got a green building logo,are not satisfied from the user 's perspective. In this paper,an evaluation method that combines the actual building energy consumption and users' satisfaction has been discussed,based on the post occupancy evaluation( POE) theory and the Big data technology. Through the comparison and analysis of building objective operational metrics and users subjective feelings indicators,the green buildings' POE has been achieved. Finally,the study analyzes the assessed value of green building's POE from the three-time dimensions,short-term,medium-term and long-term. And the outlook of the direction is looking forward to the follow-up study.展开更多
Accurate gas viscosity determination is an important issue in the oil and gas industries.Experimental approaches for gas viscosity measurement are timeconsuming,expensive and hardly possible at high pressures and high...Accurate gas viscosity determination is an important issue in the oil and gas industries.Experimental approaches for gas viscosity measurement are timeconsuming,expensive and hardly possible at high pressures and high temperatures(HPHT).In this study,a number of correlations were developed to estimate gas viscosity by the use of group method of data handling(GMDH)type neural network and gene expression programming(GEP)techniques using a large data set containing more than 3000 experimental data points for methane,nitrogen,and hydrocarbon gas mixtures.It is worth mentioning that unlike many of viscosity correlations,the proposed ones in this study could compute gas viscosity at pressures ranging between 34 and 172 MPa and temperatures between 310 and 1300 K.Also,a comparison was performed between the results of these established models and the results of ten wellknown models reported in the literature.Average absolute relative errors of GMDH models were obtained 4.23%,0.64%,and 0.61%for hydrocarbon gas mixtures,methane,and nitrogen,respectively.In addition,graphical analyses indicate that the GMDH can predict gas viscosity with higher accuracy than GEP at HPHT conditions.Also,using leverage technique,valid,suspected and outlier data points were determined.Finally,trends of gas viscosity models at different conditions were evaluated.展开更多
This paper establishes the phase space in the light of spacial series data , discusses the fractal structure of geological data in terms of correlated functions and studies the chaos of these data . In addition , it i...This paper establishes the phase space in the light of spacial series data , discusses the fractal structure of geological data in terms of correlated functions and studies the chaos of these data . In addition , it introduces the R/S analysis for time series analysis into spacial series to calculate the structural fractal dimensions of ranges and standard deviation for spacial series data -and to establish the fractal dimension matrix and the procedures in plotting the fractal dimension anomaly diagram with vector distances of fractal dimension . At last , it has examples of its application .展开更多
Mineral exploration is done by different methods. Geophysical and geochemical studies are two powerful tools in this field. In integrated studies, the results of each study are used to determine the location of the dr...Mineral exploration is done by different methods. Geophysical and geochemical studies are two powerful tools in this field. In integrated studies, the results of each study are used to determine the location of the drilling boreholes. The purpose of this study is to use field geophysics to calculate the depth of mineral reserve. The study area is located 38 km from Zarand city called Jalalabad iron mine. In this study, gravimetric data were measured and mineral depth was calculated using the Euler method. 1314 readings have been performed in this area. The rocks of the region include volcanic and sedimentary. The source of the mineralization in the area is hydrothermal processes. After gravity measuring in the region, the data were corrected, then various methods such as anomalous map remaining in levels one and two, upward expansion, first and second-degree vertical derivatives, analytical method, and analytical signal were drawn, and finally, the depth of the deposit was estimated by Euler method. As a result, the depth of the mineral deposit was calculated to be between 20 and 30 meters on average.展开更多
Debris flows are the one type of natural disaster that is most closely associated with hu- man activities. Debris flows are characterized as being widely distributed and frequently activated. Rainfall is an important ...Debris flows are the one type of natural disaster that is most closely associated with hu- man activities. Debris flows are characterized as being widely distributed and frequently activated. Rainfall is an important component of debris flows and is the most active factor when debris flows oc- cur. Rainfall also determines the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the hazards. A reasonable rainfall threshold target is essential to ensuring the accuracy of debris flow pre-warning. Such a threshold is important for the study of the mechanisms of debris flow formation, predicting the characteristics of future activities and the design of prevention and engineering control measures. Most mountainous areas have little data regarding rainfall and hazards, especially in debris flow forming re- gions. Therefore, both the traditional demonstration method and frequency calculated method cannot satisfy the debris flow pre-warning requirements. This study presents the characteristics of pre-warning regions, included the rainfall, hydrologic and topographic conditions. An analogous area with abundant data and the same conditions as the pre-warning region was selected, and the rainfall threshold was calculated by proxy. This method resolved the problem of debris flow pre-warning in ar- eas lacking data and provided a new approach for debris flow pre-warning in mountainous areas.展开更多
Based on the current situation of studying the thermodynamic property of Fe-C-Cr melt using the carbon saturated solubility, an experimental data treatment method of the carbon saturated solubility was put forward. Wi...Based on the current situation of studying the thermodynamic property of Fe-C-Cr melt using the carbon saturated solubility, an experimental data treatment method of the carbon saturated solubility was put forward. With this method a linear relationship ex- pression of the carbon saturated solubility in Fe-C-Cr melt was obtained, which intercept is dependent on temperature and independent of third component [Cr], but which slope is dependent on third component [Cr] and independent of temperature. Through this expression activity interaction coefficients at different temperatures were calculated and the relationship between activity interaction coefficients and temperature is also obtained.展开更多
Land resources are facing crises of being misused,especially for an intersection area between town and country,and land control has to be enforced.This paper presents a development of data mining method for land contr...Land resources are facing crises of being misused,especially for an intersection area between town and country,and land control has to be enforced.This paper presents a development of data mining method for land control.A vector_match method for the prerequisite of data mining i.e., data cleaning is proposed,which deals with both character and numeric data via vectorizing character_string and matching number.A minimal decision algorithm of rough set is used to discover the knowledge hidden in the data warehouse.In order to monitor land use dynamically and accurately,it is suggested to set up a real_time land control system based on GPS,digital photogrammetry and online data mining.Finally,the means is applied in the intersection area between town and country of Wuhan city,and a set of knowledge about land control is discovered.展开更多
Diagnosis methods based on machine learning and deep learning are widely used in the field of motor fault diagnosis.However,due to the fact that the data imbalance caused by the high cost of obtaining fault data will ...Diagnosis methods based on machine learning and deep learning are widely used in the field of motor fault diagnosis.However,due to the fact that the data imbalance caused by the high cost of obtaining fault data will lead to insufficient generalization performance of the diagnosis method.In response to this problem,a motor fault monitoring system is proposed,which includes a fault diagnosis method(Xgb_LR)based on the optimized gradient boosting decision tree(Xgboost)and logistic regression(LR)fusion model and a data augmentation method named data simulation neighborhood interpolation(DSNI).The Xgb_LR method combines the advantages of the two models and has positive adaptability to imbalanced data.Simultaneously,the DSNI method can be used as an auxiliary method of the diagnosis method to reduce the impact of data imbalance by expanding the original data(signal).Simulation experiments verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods.展开更多
It is important to reduce data redundancy of stereo video in practical applications.In this paper,first,a data embedding method for stereo video(DEMSV)is investigated by embedding the encoding data into the reference ...It is important to reduce data redundancy of stereo video in practical applications.In this paper,first,a data embedding method for stereo video(DEMSV)is investigated by embedding the encoding data into the reference frame to encode stereo video.It can use only one channel to transfer all the video data and the receiver can choose a monocular video decoder or stereo video decoder adaptively.Then,introducing the joint prediction scheme in the coding process of DEMSV,we propose a novel data embedding method for H.264 stereo video codec with joint prediction scheme(DEMSV-JPS)to achieve high coding efficiency.Experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain high peak signal-to-noise ratio(PSNR)and compression ratio(at least 33 dB for the test sequence).Comparing the testing methods using JPS and without using JPS,we prove that JPS can further improve the objective and visual quality.DEMSV-JPS shows such advantages and will be suitable to applications in real-time environments of stereo-video transmission.展开更多
An experience is presented using the finite element method （FEM） and data mining （DM） techniques to develop models that can be used to optimieze the skin-pass rolling process based on its operating conditions. A F...An experience is presented using the finite element method （FEM） and data mining （DM） techniques to develop models that can be used to optimieze the skin-pass rolling process based on its operating conditions. A FE model based on a real skin-pass process is built and validated. Based on this model, a group of FE models is simulated with different adjustment parameters and with different materials for the sheet; both variables are chosen from pre-set ranges, From all FE model simulations, a database is generated; this database is made up of the above mentioned adjustment parameters, sheet properties and the variables of the process arising from the simulation of the model. Various types of data mining algorithms are used to develop predictive models for each of the variables of the process.The best predictive models can be used to predict experimentally hard-to-measure variables （internal stresses, internal straine, etc.） which are useful in the optimal design of the process or to be applied in real time control systems of a skin-pass process in -plant.展开更多
基金Supported by the PetroChina Science and Technology Project(2023ZZ0202)。
文摘The formation water sample in oil and gas fields may be polluted in processes of testing, trial production, collection, storage, transportation and analysis, making the properties of formation water not be reflected truly. This paper discusses identification methods and the data credibility evaluation method for formation water in oil and gas fields of petroliferous basins within China. The results of the study show that: (1) the identification methods of formation water include the basic methods of single factors such as physical characteristics, water composition characteristics, water type characteristics, and characteristic coefficients, as well as the comprehensive evaluation method of data credibility proposed on this basis, which mainly relies on the correlation analysis sodium chloride coefficient and desulfurization coefficient and combines geological background evaluation;(2) The basic identifying methods for formation water enable the preliminary identification of hydrochemical data and the preliminary screening of data on site, the proposed comprehensive method realizes the evaluation by classifying the CaCl2-type water into types A-I to A-VI and the NaHCO3-type water into types B-I to B-IV, so that researchers can make in-depth evaluation on the credibility of hydrochemical data and analysis of influencing factors;(3) When the basic methods are used to identify the formation water, the formation water containing anions such as CO_(3)^(2-), OH- and NO_(3)^(-), or the formation water with the sodium chloride coefficient and desulphurization coefficient not matching the geological setting, are all invaded with surface water or polluted by working fluid;(4) When the comprehensive method is used, the data credibility of A-I, A-II, B-I and B-II formation water can be evaluated effectively and accurately only if the geological setting analysis in respect of the factors such as formation environment, sampling conditions, condensate water, acid fluid, leaching of ancient weathering crust, and ancient atmospheric fresh water, is combined, although such formation water is believed with high credibility.
基金supported by the Young Scientists Fund of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51205283)
文摘This paper introduced the basic theory and algorithm of the surrogate data method, which proposed a rigorous way to detect the random and seemingly stochastic characteristics in a system. The Gaussian data and the Rossler data were used to show the availability and effectivity of this method. According to the analysis by this method based on the short-circuiting current signals under the conditions of the same voltage and different wire feed speeds, it is demonstrated that the electrical signals time series exhibit apparently randomness when the welding parameters do not match. However, the electrical signals time series are deterministic when a match is found. The stability of short-circuiting transfer process could be judged exactly by the method of surrogate data.
文摘It is not reasonable that one can only use the adjoint of model in data assimilation. The simulated numerical experiment shows that for the tidal model, the result of the adjoint of equation is almost the same as that of the adjoint of model: the averaged absolute difference of the amplitude between observations and simulation is less than 5.0 cm and that of the phase-lag is less than 5.0°. The results are both in good agreement with the observed M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. For comparison, the traditional methods also have been used to simulate M2 tide in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea. The initial guess values of the boundary conditions are given first, and then are adjusted to acquire the simulated results that are as close as possible to the observations. As the boundary conditions contain 72 values, which should be adjusted and how to adjust them can only be partially solved by adjusting them many times. The satisfied results are hard to acquire even gigantic efforts are done. Here, the automation of the treatment of the open boundary conditions is realized. The method is unique and superior to the traditional methods. It is emphasized that if the adjoint of equation is used, tedious and complicated mathematical deduction can be avoided. Therefore the adjoint of equation should attract much attention.
基金supported by Scientific Research Special Project of TCM Profession (200907001E)Science and Technology Special Major Project for "Significant New Drugs Formulation" (2009ZX09301-005-02)
文摘Objective:To analyze the component law of Chinese patent medicines for anti-influenza and develop new prescriptions for anti-influenza by unsupervised data mining methods. Methods: Chinese patent medicine recipes for anti-influenza were collected and recorded in the database, and then the correlation coefficient between herbs, core combinations of herbs and new prescriptions were analyzed by using modified mutual information, complex system entropy cluster and unsupervised hierarchical clustering, respectively. Results: Based on analysis of 126 Chinese patent medicine recipes, the frequency of each herb occurrence in these recipes, 54 frequently-used herb pairs, 34 core combinations were determined, and 4 new recipes for influenza were developed. Conclusion: Unsupervised data mining methods are able to mine the component law quickly and develop new prescriptions.
基金The Innovation Program of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission under contract No.14ZZ147the Opening Project of Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources(Shanghai Ocean University),Ministry of Education under contract No.A1-0209-15-0503-1
文摘It is widely recognized that assessments of the status of data-poor fish stocks are challenging and that Bayesian analysis is one of the methods which can be used to improve the reliability of stock assessments in data-poor situations through borrowing strength from prior information deduced from species with good-quality data or other known information. Because there is considerable uncertainty remaining in the stock assessment of albacore tuna（Thunnus alalunga） in the Indian Ocean due to the limited and low-quality data, we investigate the advantages of a Bayesian method in data-poor stock assessment by using Indian Ocean albacore stock assessment as an example. Eight Bayesian biomass dynamics models with different prior assumptions and catch data series were developed to assess the stock. The results show（1） the rationality of choice of catch data series and assumption of parameters could be enhanced by analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters;（2） the reliability of the stock assessment could be improved by using demographic methods to construct a prior for the intrinsic rate of increase（r）. Because we can make use of more information to improve the rationality of parameter estimation and the reliability of the stock assessment compared with traditional statistical methods by incorporating any available knowledge into the informative priors and analyzing the posterior distribution based on Bayesian framework in data-poor situations, we suggest that the Bayesian method should be an alternative method to be applied in data-poor species stock assessment, such as Indian Ocean albacore.
基金supported by Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhanjiang)(No.ZJW-2019-04)Cooperative Innovation Center of Unconventional Oil and Gas(Ministry of Education&Hubei Province),Yangtze University(No.UOG2020-17)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51874044,51922007)。
文摘A data-space inversion(DSI)method has been recently proposed and successfully applied to the history matching and production prediction of reservoirs.Based on Bayesian theory,DSI can directly and effectively obtain good posterior flow predictions without inversion of geological parameters of reservoir model.This paper presents an improved DSI method to fast predict reservoir state fields(e.g.saturation and pressure profiles)via observed production data.Firstly,a large number of production curves and state data are generated by reservoir model simulation to expand the data space of original DSI.Then,efficient history matching only on the observed production data is carried out via the original DSI to obtain related parameters which reflects the weight of the real reservoir model relative to prior reservoir models.Finally,those parameters are used to predict the oil saturation and pressure profiles of the real reservoir model by combining large amounts of state data of prior reservoir models.Two examples including conventional heterogeneous and unconventional fractured reservoir are implemented to test the performances of predicting saturation and pressure profiles of this improved DSI method.Besides,this method is also tested in a real field and the obtained results show the high computational efficiency and high accuracy of the practical application of this method.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51875199 and 51905165)Hunan Natural Science Fund Project(2019JJ50186)the Ke7y Research and Development Program of Hunan Province(No.2018GK2073).
文摘Due to the frequent changes of wind speed and wind direction,the accuracy of wind turbine(WT)power prediction using traditional data preprocessing method is low.This paper proposes a data preprocessing method which combines POT with DBSCAN(POT-DBSCAN)to improve the prediction efficiency of wind power prediction model.Firstly,according to the data of WT in the normal operation condition,the power prediction model ofWT is established based on the Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)Arithmetic which is combined with the BP Neural Network(PSO-BP).Secondly,the wind-power data obtained from the supervisory control and data acquisition(SCADA)system is preprocessed by the POT-DBSCAN method.Then,the power prediction of the preprocessed data is carried out by PSO-BP model.Finally,the necessity of preprocessing is verified by the indexes.This case analysis shows that the prediction result of POT-DBSCAN preprocessing is better than that of the Quartile method.Therefore,the accuracy of data and prediction model can be improved by using this method.
基金supported by Aeronautical Science Foundation of China (No. 20100251006)Technological Foundation Project of China (No. J132012C001)
文摘For random vibration of airborne platform, the accurate evaluation is a key indicator to ensure normal operation of airborne equipment in flight. However, only limited power spectral density（PSD） data can be obtained at the stage of flight test. Thus, those conventional evaluation methods cannot be employed when the distribution characteristics and priori information are unknown. In this paper, the fuzzy norm method（FNM） is proposed which combines the advantages of fuzzy theory and norm theory. The proposed method can deeply dig system information from limited data, which probability distribution is not taken into account. Firstly, the FNM is employed to evaluate variable interval and expanded uncertainty from limited PSD data, and the performance of FNM is demonstrated by confidence level, reliability and computing accuracy of expanded uncertainty. In addition, the optimal fuzzy parameters are discussed to meet the requirements of aviation standards and metrological practice. Finally, computer simulation is used to prove the adaptability of FNM. Compared with statistical methods, FNM has superiority for evaluating expanded uncertainty from limited data. The results show that the reliability of calculation and evaluation is superior to 95%.
文摘Regarding the rapid compensation of the influence of the Earth＇ s disturbing gravity field upon trajectory calculation,the key point lies in how to derive the analytical solutions to the partial derivatives of the state of burnout point with respect to the launch data.In view of this,this paper mainly expounds on two issues：one is based on the approximate analytical solution to the motion equation for the vacuum flight section of a long-range rocket,deriving the analytical solutions to the partial derivatives of the state of burnout point with respect to the changing rate of the finalstage pitch program;the other is based on the initial positioning and orientation error propagation mechanism,proposing the analytical calculation formula for the partial derivatives of the state of burnout point with respect to the launch azimuth.The calculation results of correction data are simulated and verified under different circumstances.The simulation results are as follows：（1） the accuracy of approximation between the analytical solutions and the results attained via the difference method is higher than 90%,and the ratio of calculation time between them is lower than 0.2%,thus demonstrating the accuracy of calculation of data corrections and advantages in calculation speed;（2） after the analytical solutions are compensated,the longitudinal landing deviation of the rocket is less than 20 m and the lateral landing deviation of the rocket is less than 10 m,demonstrating that the corrected data can meet the requirements for the hit accuracy of a long-range rocket.
基金The Dragon III Project of ESA-MOST Dragon Cooperation under contract No.10412the Ocean Renewable Energy Special Fund Project of State Oceanic Administration under contract No.GHME2011ZC07the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)under contract No.41176157
文摘Wave energy resource is a very important ocean renewable energy. A reliable assessment of wave energy resources must be performed before they can be exploited. Compared with wave model, altimeter can provide more accurate in situ observations for ocean wave which can be as a novel method for wave energy assessment.The advantage of altimeter data is to provide accurate significant wave height observations for wave. In order to develop characteristic and advantage of altimeter data and apply altimeter data to wave energy assessment, in this study, we established an assessing method for wave energy in local sea area which is dedicated to altimeter data.This method includes three parts including data selection and processing, establishment of evaluation indexes system and criterion of regional division. Then a case study of Northwest Pacific was performed to discuss specific application for this method. The results show that assessing method in this paper can assess reserves and temporal and spatial distribution effectively and provide scientific references for the siting of wave power plants and the design of wave energy convertors.
文摘China vigorously is carrying out the construction of green building and ecological city during " The 12 th five-Year plan". Now,although the identification system of design and operation have been implemented in the evaluation of green building,lacking of appropriate evaluation after use. The actual operation results of many buildings,which have got a green building logo,are not satisfied from the user 's perspective. In this paper,an evaluation method that combines the actual building energy consumption and users' satisfaction has been discussed,based on the post occupancy evaluation( POE) theory and the Big data technology. Through the comparison and analysis of building objective operational metrics and users subjective feelings indicators,the green buildings' POE has been achieved. Finally,the study analyzes the assessed value of green building's POE from the three-time dimensions,short-term,medium-term and long-term. And the outlook of the direction is looking forward to the follow-up study.
文摘Accurate gas viscosity determination is an important issue in the oil and gas industries.Experimental approaches for gas viscosity measurement are timeconsuming,expensive and hardly possible at high pressures and high temperatures(HPHT).In this study,a number of correlations were developed to estimate gas viscosity by the use of group method of data handling(GMDH)type neural network and gene expression programming(GEP)techniques using a large data set containing more than 3000 experimental data points for methane,nitrogen,and hydrocarbon gas mixtures.It is worth mentioning that unlike many of viscosity correlations,the proposed ones in this study could compute gas viscosity at pressures ranging between 34 and 172 MPa and temperatures between 310 and 1300 K.Also,a comparison was performed between the results of these established models and the results of ten wellknown models reported in the literature.Average absolute relative errors of GMDH models were obtained 4.23%,0.64%,and 0.61%for hydrocarbon gas mixtures,methane,and nitrogen,respectively.In addition,graphical analyses indicate that the GMDH can predict gas viscosity with higher accuracy than GEP at HPHT conditions.Also,using leverage technique,valid,suspected and outlier data points were determined.Finally,trends of gas viscosity models at different conditions were evaluated.
文摘This paper establishes the phase space in the light of spacial series data , discusses the fractal structure of geological data in terms of correlated functions and studies the chaos of these data . In addition , it introduces the R/S analysis for time series analysis into spacial series to calculate the structural fractal dimensions of ranges and standard deviation for spacial series data -and to establish the fractal dimension matrix and the procedures in plotting the fractal dimension anomaly diagram with vector distances of fractal dimension . At last , it has examples of its application .
文摘Mineral exploration is done by different methods. Geophysical and geochemical studies are two powerful tools in this field. In integrated studies, the results of each study are used to determine the location of the drilling boreholes. The purpose of this study is to use field geophysics to calculate the depth of mineral reserve. The study area is located 38 km from Zarand city called Jalalabad iron mine. In this study, gravimetric data were measured and mineral depth was calculated using the Euler method. 1314 readings have been performed in this area. The rocks of the region include volcanic and sedimentary. The source of the mineralization in the area is hydrothermal processes. After gravity measuring in the region, the data were corrected, then various methods such as anomalous map remaining in levels one and two, upward expansion, first and second-degree vertical derivatives, analytical method, and analytical signal were drawn, and finally, the depth of the deposit was estimated by Euler method. As a result, the depth of the mineral deposit was calculated to be between 20 and 30 meters on average.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.40830742 and 40901007)
文摘Debris flows are the one type of natural disaster that is most closely associated with hu- man activities. Debris flows are characterized as being widely distributed and frequently activated. Rainfall is an important component of debris flows and is the most active factor when debris flows oc- cur. Rainfall also determines the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the hazards. A reasonable rainfall threshold target is essential to ensuring the accuracy of debris flow pre-warning. Such a threshold is important for the study of the mechanisms of debris flow formation, predicting the characteristics of future activities and the design of prevention and engineering control measures. Most mountainous areas have little data regarding rainfall and hazards, especially in debris flow forming re- gions. Therefore, both the traditional demonstration method and frequency calculated method cannot satisfy the debris flow pre-warning requirements. This study presents the characteristics of pre-warning regions, included the rainfall, hydrologic and topographic conditions. An analogous area with abundant data and the same conditions as the pre-warning region was selected, and the rainfall threshold was calculated by proxy. This method resolved the problem of debris flow pre-warning in ar- eas lacking data and provided a new approach for debris flow pre-warning in mountainous areas.
文摘Based on the current situation of studying the thermodynamic property of Fe-C-Cr melt using the carbon saturated solubility, an experimental data treatment method of the carbon saturated solubility was put forward. With this method a linear relationship ex- pression of the carbon saturated solubility in Fe-C-Cr melt was obtained, which intercept is dependent on temperature and independent of third component [Cr], but which slope is dependent on third component [Cr] and independent of temperature. Through this expression activity interaction coefficients at different temperatures were calculated and the relationship between activity interaction coefficients and temperature is also obtained.
基金ProjectsupportedbyResearchGrantofHongkongPolytechricUniversity (No .1 .34 .37.970 9) andNationalNatureScienceFoundationofChi
文摘Land resources are facing crises of being misused,especially for an intersection area between town and country,and land control has to be enforced.This paper presents a development of data mining method for land control.A vector_match method for the prerequisite of data mining i.e., data cleaning is proposed,which deals with both character and numeric data via vectorizing character_string and matching number.A minimal decision algorithm of rough set is used to discover the knowledge hidden in the data warehouse.In order to monitor land use dynamically and accurately,it is suggested to set up a real_time land control system based on GPS,digital photogrammetry and online data mining.Finally,the means is applied in the intersection area between town and country of Wuhan city,and a set of knowledge about land control is discovered.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61873032)。
文摘Diagnosis methods based on machine learning and deep learning are widely used in the field of motor fault diagnosis.However,due to the fact that the data imbalance caused by the high cost of obtaining fault data will lead to insufficient generalization performance of the diagnosis method.In response to this problem,a motor fault monitoring system is proposed,which includes a fault diagnosis method(Xgb_LR)based on the optimized gradient boosting decision tree(Xgboost)and logistic regression(LR)fusion model and a data augmentation method named data simulation neighborhood interpolation(DSNI).The Xgb_LR method combines the advantages of the two models and has positive adaptability to imbalanced data.Simultaneously,the DSNI method can be used as an auxiliary method of the diagnosis method to reduce the impact of data imbalance by expanding the original data(signal).Simulation experiments verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science foundation of China(60832003)
文摘It is important to reduce data redundancy of stereo video in practical applications.In this paper,first,a data embedding method for stereo video(DEMSV)is investigated by embedding the encoding data into the reference frame to encode stereo video.It can use only one channel to transfer all the video data and the receiver can choose a monocular video decoder or stereo video decoder adaptively.Then,introducing the joint prediction scheme in the coding process of DEMSV,we propose a novel data embedding method for H.264 stereo video codec with joint prediction scheme(DEMSV-JPS)to achieve high coding efficiency.Experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain high peak signal-to-noise ratio(PSNR)and compression ratio(at least 33 dB for the test sequence).Comparing the testing methods using JPS and without using JPS,we prove that JPS can further improve the objective and visual quality.DEMSV-JPS shows such advantages and will be suitable to applications in real-time environments of stereo-video transmission.
基金Item Sponsored by Spanish Ministry of Education and Science(DPI2007-61090)European Commission Research Programme of the Research Fund for Coal and Steel(RFS-PR-06035)
文摘An experience is presented using the finite element method （FEM） and data mining （DM） techniques to develop models that can be used to optimieze the skin-pass rolling process based on its operating conditions. A FE model based on a real skin-pass process is built and validated. Based on this model, a group of FE models is simulated with different adjustment parameters and with different materials for the sheet; both variables are chosen from pre-set ranges, From all FE model simulations, a database is generated; this database is made up of the above mentioned adjustment parameters, sheet properties and the variables of the process arising from the simulation of the model. Various types of data mining algorithms are used to develop predictive models for each of the variables of the process.The best predictive models can be used to predict experimentally hard-to-measure variables （internal stresses, internal straine, etc.） which are useful in the optimal design of the process or to be applied in real time control systems of a skin-pass process in -plant.
