Anthrax is an infection caused by bacteria and it affects both human and animal populations. The disease can be categorized under zoonotic diseases and humans can contract infections through contact with infected anim...Anthrax is an infection caused by bacteria and it affects both human and animal populations. The disease can be categorized under zoonotic diseases and humans can contract infections through contact with infected animals, ingest contaminated dairy and animal products. In this paper, we developed a mathematical model for anthrax transmission dynamics in both human and animal populations with optimal control. The qualitative solution of the model behaviour was analyzed by determining Rhv, equilibrium points and sensitivity analysis. A vaccination class was incorporated into the model with waning immunity. Local and global stability of the model’s equilibria was found to be locally asymptotically stable whenever Rhv Rhv. It was revealed that reducing animal and human interaction rate, would decrease Rhv. We extended the model to optimal control in order to find the best control strategy in reducing anthrax infections. It showed that the effective strategy in combating the anthrax epidemics is vaccination of animals and prevention of humans.展开更多
Listeriosis is an illness caused by the germ<span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Listeria monocytogenes<span style="font-family:Verdana;">. Generally, humans are infected with listeriosi...Listeriosis is an illness caused by the germ<span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Listeria monocytogenes<span style="font-family:Verdana;">. Generally, humans are infected with listeriosis after eating contaminated food. Listeriosis mostly affects people with weakened immune systems, pregnant women and newborns. In this paper, a model describing the dynamics o<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">f Listeriosis is developed and analysed using ordinary differential equations. The model was analysed both quantitatively and qualitatively for its local and global stability, basic reproductive number and parameter contributions to the basic reproductive number to understand the impact of each parameter on the disease spread. The Listeriosis model has been extended to include time dependent control variables such as treatment of both humans and animals, vaccination and education of humans. Pontryagin<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">’<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">s Maximum Principle was introduced to obtain the best optimal control strategies required for curbing Listeriosis infections. Numerical simulation was performed and the results displayed graphically and discussed. Cost effectiveness analysis was conducted using the intervention averted ratio (IAR) concepts and it was revealed that the most effective intervention strategy is the treatment of infect<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">ed<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> humans and animals.展开更多
文摘Anthrax is an infection caused by bacteria and it affects both human and animal populations. The disease can be categorized under zoonotic diseases and humans can contract infections through contact with infected animals, ingest contaminated dairy and animal products. In this paper, we developed a mathematical model for anthrax transmission dynamics in both human and animal populations with optimal control. The qualitative solution of the model behaviour was analyzed by determining Rhv, equilibrium points and sensitivity analysis. A vaccination class was incorporated into the model with waning immunity. Local and global stability of the model’s equilibria was found to be locally asymptotically stable whenever Rhv Rhv. It was revealed that reducing animal and human interaction rate, would decrease Rhv. We extended the model to optimal control in order to find the best control strategy in reducing anthrax infections. It showed that the effective strategy in combating the anthrax epidemics is vaccination of animals and prevention of humans.
文摘Listeriosis is an illness caused by the germ<span style="font-family:Verdana;"> Listeria monocytogenes<span style="font-family:Verdana;">. Generally, humans are infected with listeriosis after eating contaminated food. Listeriosis mostly affects people with weakened immune systems, pregnant women and newborns. In this paper, a model describing the dynamics o<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">f Listeriosis is developed and analysed using ordinary differential equations. The model was analysed both quantitatively and qualitatively for its local and global stability, basic reproductive number and parameter contributions to the basic reproductive number to understand the impact of each parameter on the disease spread. The Listeriosis model has been extended to include time dependent control variables such as treatment of both humans and animals, vaccination and education of humans. Pontryagin<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">’<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">s Maximum Principle was introduced to obtain the best optimal control strategies required for curbing Listeriosis infections. Numerical simulation was performed and the results displayed graphically and discussed. Cost effectiveness analysis was conducted using the intervention averted ratio (IAR) concepts and it was revealed that the most effective intervention strategy is the treatment of infect<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">ed<span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> humans and animals.
