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Reconstruction of Probability Density Function for Gamma Distribution
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作者 FAN Jinwei LI Zhongsheng TIAN Bin 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2020年第4期327-333,共7页
The probability distributions of small sample data are difficult to determine,while a large proportion of samples occur in the early failure period,so it is particularly important to make full use of these data in the... The probability distributions of small sample data are difficult to determine,while a large proportion of samples occur in the early failure period,so it is particularly important to make full use of these data in the statistical analysis.Based on gamma distribution,four methods of probability density function(PDF)reconstruction with early failure data are proposed,and then the mean time between failures(MTBF)evaluation expressions are concluded from the reconstructed PDFs.Both theory analysis and an example show that method 2 is the best evaluation method in dealing with early-failure-small-sample data.The reconstruction methods of PDF also have certain guiding significance for other distribution types. 展开更多
关键词 small sample probability density function(PDF) gamma distribution early failure mean time between failures(MTBF)
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The Probability Density Function Related to Shallow Cumulus Entrainment Rate and Its Influencing Factors in a Large-Eddy Simulation 被引量:3
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作者 Lei ZHU Chunsong LU +5 位作者 Xiaoqi XU Xin HE Junjun LI Shi LUO Yuan WANG Fan WANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第1期173-187,共15页
The process of entrainment-mixing between cumulus clouds and the ambient air is important for the development of cumulus clouds.Accurately obtaining the entrainment rate(λ)is particularly important for its parameteri... The process of entrainment-mixing between cumulus clouds and the ambient air is important for the development of cumulus clouds.Accurately obtaining the entrainment rate(λ)is particularly important for its parameterization within the overall cumulus parameterization scheme.In this study,an improved bulk-plume method is proposed by solving the equations of two conserved variables simultaneously to calculateλof cumulus clouds in a large-eddy simulation.The results demonstrate that the improved bulk-plume method is more reliable than the traditional bulk-plume method,becauseλ,as calculated from the improved method,falls within the range ofλvalues obtained from the traditional method using different conserved variables.The probability density functions ofλfor all data,different times,and different heights can be well-fitted by a log-normal distribution,which supports the assumed stochastic entrainment process in previous studies.Further analysis demonstrate that the relationship betweenλand the vertical velocity is better than other thermodynamic/dynamical properties;thus,the vertical velocity is recommended as the primary influencing factor for the parameterization ofλin the future.The results of this study enhance the theoretical understanding ofλand its influencing factors and shed new light on the development ofλparameterization. 展开更多
关键词 large-eddy simulation cumulus clouds entrainment rate probability density functions spatial and temporal distribution
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Probability density function and estimation for error of digitized map coordinates in GIS 被引量:1
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作者 童小华 刘大杰 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 SCIE EI CAS 2004年第1期69-74,共6页
Traditionally, it is widely accepted that measurement error usually obeys the normal distribution. However, in this paper a new idea is proposed that the error in digitized data which is a major derived data source in... Traditionally, it is widely accepted that measurement error usually obeys the normal distribution. However, in this paper a new idea is proposed that the error in digitized data which is a major derived data source in GIS does not obey the normal distribution but the p-norm distribution with a determinate parameter. Assuming that the error is random and has the same statistical properties, the probability density function of the normal distribution, Laplace distribution and p-norm distribution are derived based on the arithmetic mean axiom, median axiom and p-median axiom, which means that the normal distribution is only one of these distributions but not the least one. Based on this ideal distribution fitness tests such as Skewness and Kurtosis coefficient test, Pearson chi-square chi(2) test and Kolmogorov test for digitized data are conducted. The results show that the error in map digitization obeys the p-norm distribution whose parameter is close to 1.60. A least p-norm estimation and the least square estimation of digitized data are further analyzed, showing that the least p-norm adjustment is better than the least square adjustment for digitized data processing in GIS. 展开更多
关键词 probability density function distribution fitness test least p-norm estimation
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Fault-tolerant distributed fusion of PDFs using KLDs-induced functional FCM clustering
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作者 Zheng WEI Zhansheng DUAN 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第7期493-506,共14页
In distributed fusion,when one or more sensors are disturbed by faults,a common problem is that their local estimations are inconsistent with those of other fault-free sensors.Most of the existing fault-tolerant distr... In distributed fusion,when one or more sensors are disturbed by faults,a common problem is that their local estimations are inconsistent with those of other fault-free sensors.Most of the existing fault-tolerant distributed fusion algorithms,such as the Covariance Union(CU)and Faulttolerant Generalized Convex Combination(FGCC),are only used for the point estimation case where local estimates and their associated error covariances are provided.A treatment with focus on the fault-tolerant distributed fusions of arbitrary local Probability Density Functions(PDFs)is lacking.For this problem,we first propose Kullback–Leibler Divergence(KLD)and reversed KLD induced functional Fuzzy c-Means(FCM)clustering algorithms to soft cluster all local PDFs,respectively.On this basis,two fault-tolerant distributed fusion algorithms of arbitrary local PDFs are then developed.They select the representing PDF of the cluster with the largest sum of memberships as the fused PDF.Numerical examples verify the better fault tolerance of the developed two distributed fusion algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 Distributed fusion Fault tolerance probability density function(PDF) functional fuzzy c-means clustering Kullback-Leibler Divergence(KLD)
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The grain size distribution function of suspended load in the lower Yellow River
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作者 Zipu Ma 《River》 2025年第4期470-487,共18页
The log-normal distribution function(LNDF)and Weibull cumulative density function(WCDF)represent two prevalent approaches for characterizing sediment grain size distributions.This study analyzes annual average suspend... The log-normal distribution function(LNDF)and Weibull cumulative density function(WCDF)represent two prevalent approaches for characterizing sediment grain size distributions.This study analyzes annual average suspended load grain size data(standardized to equivalent settling diameters)from seven hydrological stations in the lower Yellow River(LYR)spanning 1962–2020,employing various distribution functions for grain size fitting.Results demonstrate that the Weibull probability density function(WPDF)offers significant advantages over both LNDF and WCDF in terms of fitting accuracy,parameter stability,simplicity,and practical applicability for characterizing suspended load grain size distributions in the LYR.Based on these findings,universal formulas were developed for the suspended load grain size distribution across the seven stations and the entire lower reaches,yielding determination coefficients(R2)exceeding 0.9.These formulas can be applied to estimate suspended load grain size in data-scarce cross-sections.The existence of such universal formulas suggests that interannual fluctuations in suspended load grain size in the LYR are constrained within a limited range,suggesting that sediment grain size may represent an inherent property of the river channel.This limited variability may be attributed to the fact that sediments in the LYR are primarily derived from a relatively fixed source region—the Loess Plateau.The observed stability over an extended period also offers valuable insights into the fundamental properties of river systems and their long-term behavior. 展开更多
关键词 grain size lognormal distribution suspended load the lower Yellow River(LYR) Weibull cumulative density function(WCDF) Weibull probability density function(WPDF)
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Age-Related Changes in Probability Density Function of Pairwise Euclidean Distances between Multichannel Human EEG Signals
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作者 Mikhail Trifonov Vladimir Rozhkov 《Journal of Biosciences and Medicines》 2014年第4期19-23,共5页
The probability density functions (pdf’s) and the first order structure functions (SF’s) of the pairwise Euclidean distances between scaled multichannel human EEG signals at different time lags under hypoxia and in ... The probability density functions (pdf’s) and the first order structure functions (SF’s) of the pairwise Euclidean distances between scaled multichannel human EEG signals at different time lags under hypoxia and in resting state at different ages are estimated. It is found that the hyper gamma distribution is a good fit for the empirically derived pdf in all cases. It means that only two parameters (sample mean of EEG Euclidean distances at a given time lag and relevant coefficient of variation) may be used in the approximate classification of empirical pdf’s. Both these parameters tend to increase in the first twenty years of life and tend to decrease as healthy adults getting older. Our findings indicate that such age-related dependence of these parameters looks like as age- related dependence of the total brain white matter volume. It is shown that 15 min hypoxia (8% oxygen in nitrogen) causes a significant (about 50%) decrease of the mean relative displacement EEG value that is typical for the rest state. In some sense the impact of the oxygen deficit looks like the subject getting older during short-term period. 展开更多
关键词 EEG Development HYPOXIA probability density functionS HYPER GAMMA distribution
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Application of Maximum Entropy Principle to Studying the Distribution of Wave Heights in A Random Wave Field 被引量:6
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作者 周良明 郭佩芳 +1 位作者 王强 杜伊 《海洋工程:英文版》 EI 2004年第1期69-78,共10页
Based on the maximum entropy principle, a probability density function (PDF) is derived for the distribution of wave heights in a random wave field, without any more hypothesis. The present PDF, being a non-Rayleigh f... Based on the maximum entropy principle, a probability density function (PDF) is derived for the distribution of wave heights in a random wave field, without any more hypothesis. The present PDF, being a non-Rayleigh form, involves two parameters: the average wave height H— and the state parameter γ. The role of γ in the distribution of wave heights is examined. It is found that γ may be a certain measure of sea state. A least square method for determining γ from measured data is proposed. In virtue of the method, the values of γ are determined for three sea states from the data measured in the East China Sea. The present PDF is compared with the well known Rayleigh PDF of wave height and it is shown that it much better fits the data than the Rayleigh PDF. It is expected that the present PDF would fit some other wave variables, since its derivation is not restricted only to the wave height. 展开更多
关键词 information entropy wave heights maximum entropy probability density function Rayleigh distribution
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Application of Maximum Entropy Distribution to the Statistical Properties of Wave Groups 被引量:2
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作者 于定勇 李晶 刘华兴 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI 2007年第3期461-470,共10页
The new distributions of the statistics of wave groups based on the maximum entropy principle are presented. The maximum entropy distributions appear to be superior to conventional distributions when applied to a limi... The new distributions of the statistics of wave groups based on the maximum entropy principle are presented. The maximum entropy distributions appear to be superior to conventional distributions when applied to a limited amount of information. Its applications to the wave group properties show the effectiveness of the maximum entropy distribution. FFF filtering method is employed to obtain the wave envelope fast and efficiently. Comparisons of both the maximum entropy distribution and the distribution of Longuet-Higgins (1984) with the laboratory wind-wave data show that the former gives a better fit. 展开更多
关键词 maximum entropy distribution high run length wave group length probability density function wave envelope
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Adaptive Linear Filtering Design with Minimum Symbol Error Probability Criterion 被引量:2
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作者 Sheng Chen 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI 2006年第3期291-303,共13页
Adaptive digital filtering has traditionally been developed based on the minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion and has found ever-increasing applications in communications. This paper presents an alternative ad... Adaptive digital filtering has traditionally been developed based on the minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion and has found ever-increasing applications in communications. This paper presents an alternative adaptive filtering design based on the minimum symbol error rate (MSER) criterion for communication applications. It is shown that the MSER filtering is smarter, as it exploits the non-Gaussian distribution of filter output effectively. Consequently, it provides significant performance gain in terms of smaller symbol error over the MMSE approach. Adopting Parzen window or kernel density estimation for a probability density function, a block-data gradient adaptive MSER algorithm is derived. A stochastic gradient adaptive MSER algorithm, referred to as the least symbol error rate, is further developed for sample-by-sample adaptive implementation of the MSER filtering. Two applications, involving single-user channel equalization and beamforming assisted receiver, are included to demonstrate the effectiveness and generality of the proposed adaptive MSER filtering approach. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive filtering mean square error probability density function non-Gaussian distribution Parzen window estimate symbol error rate stochastic gradient algorithm.
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Nonlinear Properties of the Rice Statistical Distribution: Theory and Applications in Stochastic Data Analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Tatiana Yakovleva 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2019年第11期2767-2779,共13页
The paper considers the theoretical basics and the specific mathematical techniques having been developed for solving the tasks of the stochastic data analysis within the Rice statistical model in which the output sig... The paper considers the theoretical basics and the specific mathematical techniques having been developed for solving the tasks of the stochastic data analysis within the Rice statistical model in which the output signal’s amplitude is composed as a sum of the sought-for initial value and a random Gaussian noise. The Rician signal’s characteristics such as the average value and the noise dispersion have been shown to depend upon the Rice distribution’s parameters nonlinearly what has become a prerequisite for the development of a new approach to the stochastic Rician data analysis implying the joint signal and noise accurate evaluation. The joint computing of the Rice distribution’s parameters allows efficient reconstruction of the signal’s in-formative component against the noise background. A meaningful advantage of the proposed approach consists in the absence of restrictions connected with any a priori suppositions inherent to the traditional techniques. The results of the numerical experiments are provided confirming the efficiency of the elaborated approach to stochastic data analysis within the Rice statistical model. 展开更多
关键词 STOCHASTIC Data RICE distribution probability density function MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD Technique Method of MOMENTS Noise Dispersion
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Load distributions of some classic DHTs
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作者 Nie Xiaowen Lu Xianliang +2 位作者 Zhou Xu Tang Hui Li Lin 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第2期400-404,共5页
The load balance is a critical issue of distributed Hash table (DHT), and the previous work shows that there exists O(logn) imbalance of load in Chord. The load distribution of Chord, Pastry, and the virtual serve... The load balance is a critical issue of distributed Hash table (DHT), and the previous work shows that there exists O(logn) imbalance of load in Chord. The load distribution of Chord, Pastry, and the virtual servers (VS) balancing scheme and deduces the closed form expressions of the probability density function (PDF) and cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the load in these DHTs is analyzes. The analysis and simulation show that the load of all these DHTs obeys the gamma distribution with similar formed parameters. 展开更多
关键词 distributed Hash table load balance probability density function cumulative distribution function
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The Distribution of the Concentration Ratio for Samples from a Uniform Population
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作者 Giovanni Girone Antonella Nannavecchia 《Applied Mathematics》 2015年第1期57-70,共14页
In the present paper we derived, with direct method, the exact expressions for the sampling probability density function of the Gini concentration ratio for samples from a uniform population of size n = 6, 7, 8, 9 and... In the present paper we derived, with direct method, the exact expressions for the sampling probability density function of the Gini concentration ratio for samples from a uniform population of size n = 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10. Moreover, we found some regularities of such distributions valid for any sample size. 展开更多
关键词 GINI Concentration Ratio UNIFORM distribution Order STATISTICS probability density function
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The New Mixed Generalized Erlang Distribution
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作者 Therrar Kadri Yara Ghannam 《Applied Mathematics》 2023年第8期497-511,共8页
In probability theory, the mixture distribution M has a density function for the collection of random variables and weighted by w<sub>i</sub> ≥ 0 and . These mixed distributions are used in various discip... In probability theory, the mixture distribution M has a density function for the collection of random variables and weighted by w<sub>i</sub> ≥ 0 and . These mixed distributions are used in various disciplines and aim to enrich the collection distribution to more parameters. A more general mixture is derived by Kadri and Halat, by proving the existence of such mixture by w<sub>i</sub> ∈ R, and maintaining . Kadri and Halat provided many examples and applications for such new mixed distributions. In this paper, we introduce a new mixed distribution of the Generalized Erlang distribution, which is derived from the Hypoexponential distribution. We characterize this new distribution by deriving simply closed expressions for the related functions of the probability density function, cumulative distribution function, moment generating function, reliability function, hazard function, and moments. 展开更多
关键词 Generalized Erlang distribution Mixed distribution probability density function Cumulative distribution function Moment Generating function Hazard Rate function Reliability function Moment of Order k
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Analysis of the Probability Model of Wind Load on the Offshore Wind Turbine
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作者 Bowen Jiang Mingjie Zhao +1 位作者 Pan Liu Ziyuan Tang 《Open Journal of Civil Engineering》 2015年第2期261-267,共7页
According to the actual measurement data, probability models of horizontal wind load were obtained based on wind velocity statistic and power spectral density function of fluctuating wind velocity through stochastic s... According to the actual measurement data, probability models of horizontal wind load were obtained based on wind velocity statistic and power spectral density function of fluctuating wind velocity through stochastic sampling and using spectrum analysis method. Through the comparison of two models, probability models of horizontal wind load based on probability models of fluctuating wind velocity were obtained by revising the mean and variance of fluctuating wind velocity. Results show that the variance takes lower value when the power spectral density function of fluctuating wind velocity is used to obtain the probability model of horizontal wind load. The quadratic term of fluctuating wind velocity takes a small contribution value in total wind load with almost no contribution to the model of horizontal wind load. It is convenient for practical engineering to obtain the models of horizontal wind load by using probability models of fluctuating wind velocity. 展开更多
关键词 The OFFSHORE WIND TURBINE Spectrum ANALYSIS Non-Central CHI-SQUARE distribution probability density function
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一种基于核数据变换方法的遥感图像谱聚类算法
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作者 赵海军 陈华月 崔梦天 《林业工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期130-137,共8页
随着遥感图像在各行各业的日益广泛应用,遥感图像的处理变得愈来愈重要。为了实现谱聚类算法应用于林业工程中的遥感图像处理,本研究提出了一种基于核数据变换和角距离度量的谱聚类新算法。首先,通过对基于多变量核特征提取的一般核熵... 随着遥感图像在各行各业的日益广泛应用,遥感图像的处理变得愈来愈重要。为了实现谱聚类算法应用于林业工程中的遥感图像处理,本研究提出了一种基于核数据变换和角距离度量的谱聚类新算法。首先,通过对基于多变量核特征提取的一般核熵成分分析法的分析,并运用信息论概念和核密度估计密切相关的瑞利二次熵,提出了最佳特征提取和无监督降维方法,即最佳核熵成分分析法。它根据类或聚类信息方面的数据结构,采用一个额外的旋转,使得成分之间的独立性最大化;在这些成分中最佳地捕捉数据的高信息势部分,直接找到关于保留成分的数量的最大化信息势的基,以确保得到的解比标准的核熵成分分析得到的解保留更多(或相等)的信息势;并提出了采用梯度上升法来求解最佳核熵成分分析优化问题,具体实现是采用了一种简单的提前终止方案,以确保梯度达到一个额外迭代不会显著修改成本函数的区域。其次,通过对最佳核熵成分分析变换和样本外扩展的分析,构建了一种基于角距离度量的谱聚类算法,它采用角距离度量的核k-均值聚类目标,而不是采用基于欧氏距离的度量。优化过程采用最佳核熵成分分析空间中的角距离,以保证收敛到局部最优,从而实现图像的聚类。采用多光谱卫星图像的实验结果表明,本研究提出的谱聚类算法不仅适用于遥感图像的云筛选问题,而且相比目前其他先进的聚类算法有更好的分类性能。 展开更多
关键词 遥感图像 非线性特征提取 概率密度函数 K-均值 瑞利熵 谱聚类
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基于时空聚类的上海内涝积水时空分布规律 被引量:1
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作者 周正正 徐嘉言 +3 位作者 刘曙光 万晖 孙丽 刘炎 《水科学进展》 北大核心 2025年第2期307-319,共13页
极端暴雨频发和快速城市化背景下,内涝积水是当前城市发展面临的重要挑战。研究基于2013—2023年上海市积水数据,采用K-means聚类和概率密度分析方法,探讨了内涝积水的季节性、空间分布及典型暴雨积水过程特征。结果表明:(1)内涝积水季... 极端暴雨频发和快速城市化背景下,内涝积水是当前城市发展面临的重要挑战。研究基于2013—2023年上海市积水数据,采用K-means聚类和概率密度分析方法,探讨了内涝积水的季节性、空间分布及典型暴雨积水过程特征。结果表明:(1)内涝积水季节性显著,夏季高发,与台风暴雨同期性强;(2)道路积水是最主要的积水类型,空间异质性突出,中心城区为高频发生区,主要受限于排水系统的局限性和调蓄空间不足;(3)K-means聚类识别的3类积水事件中,高风险区域集中在嘉定与市区的交界处,水深较大;(4)典型暴雨积水过程呈现“快积快消”特征,且持续时间小于等于10 h,建议风险预警时间控制在40 min以内。研究成果可为提升城市内涝治理的精细化管理和应急响应能力提供关键支撑。 展开更多
关键词 城市内涝 K-MEANS聚类 概率密度分析 时空分布 上海
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具有医疗资源有限和Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程的随机SIR传染病模型研究
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作者 刘晓虎 曹虹 聂麟飞 《应用数学》 北大核心 2025年第1期170-181,共12页
基于医疗资源的有限性和疾病的传播规律,提出一类具有Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程和一般发生率的随机SIR传染病模型.首先,讨论模型全局正解的存在唯一性并给出疾病灭绝性的充分条件.其次,通过构造合适的Lyapunov函数并应用It^o公式等方法,... 基于医疗资源的有限性和疾病的传播规律,提出一类具有Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程和一般发生率的随机SIR传染病模型.首先,讨论模型全局正解的存在唯一性并给出疾病灭绝性的充分条件.其次,通过构造合适的Lyapunov函数并应用It^o公式等方法,得到模型平稳分布的存在性.此外,通过求解Fokker-Planck方程,给出模型在拟地方病平衡点附近的密度函数的具体形式.最后通过数值模拟解释主要的理论结果并探讨随机扰动对疾病传播的影响. 展开更多
关键词 随机传染病模型 医疗资源有限 灭绝性 平稳分布 概率密度函数
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全环燃烧室出口温度场特征参数概率分布研究
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作者 张广岩 张弛 +2 位作者 王柏森 董丽丽 杜龙梅 《航空动力学报》 北大核心 2025年第8期86-95,共10页
为了高效准确地评估航空发动机燃烧室关键参数对出口温度分布系数(OTDF)和径向温度分布系数(RTDF)这两个出口温度场特征参数的影响,统计了多台份发动机燃烧室部件的燃油喷嘴质量流量数、喷嘴轴向安装位置、火焰筒主燃孔直径和掺混孔直径... 为了高效准确地评估航空发动机燃烧室关键参数对出口温度分布系数(OTDF)和径向温度分布系数(RTDF)这两个出口温度场特征参数的影响,统计了多台份发动机燃烧室部件的燃油喷嘴质量流量数、喷嘴轴向安装位置、火焰筒主燃孔直径和掺混孔直径等6个参数,对其分别进行无量纲化并核算了其概率密度分布函数(PDFs)。采用等面积间距法对该6个参数的概率密度分布分别取样,作为所发展的全环燃烧室出口温度分布低阶预估模型的输入,实现了变化参数条件下OTDF和RTDF的快速预测,获得了其概率密度分布,在概率95%的置信度区间内OTDF和RTDF的值分别不超过其大样本均值的1.044倍和1.169倍。将该6个参数相对其多台份发动机统计均值的比值确定在0.9~1.1的统一基准范围,作为模型输入获得OTDF和RTDF的分散性,识别出火焰筒掺混孔直径是影响出口温度分布性能分散性的高敏感性参数。 展开更多
关键词 全环燃烧室 出口温度分布系数 径向温度分布系数 概率密度函数 出口温度分布低阶预估
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求解多模概率分布Gamma混合模型的半EM算法
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作者 陈佳琪 何玉林 +1 位作者 成英超 黄哲学 《计算机应用》 北大核心 2025年第7期2153-2161,共9页
期望最大化(EM)算法在混合模型参数估计中发挥着重要作用,然而现有的EM算法在求解Gamma混合模型(GaMM)参数时存在局限性,主要体现在因近似计算导致的低质量参数估计,以及由于大量数值计算造成的计算效率低下问题。为了克服这些局限,并... 期望最大化(EM)算法在混合模型参数估计中发挥着重要作用,然而现有的EM算法在求解Gamma混合模型(GaMM)参数时存在局限性,主要体现在因近似计算导致的低质量参数估计,以及由于大量数值计算造成的计算效率低下问题。为了克服这些局限,并充分利用数据的多模性质,提出一种半EM(Semi-EM)算法求解用于估计多模概率分布的GaMM。首先,通过聚类探测数据的空间分布特性,以初始化GaMM参数,进而更准确地刻画数据的多模性;其次,在EM算法框架的基础上,对于缺乏封闭更新表达式而导致的参数更新困难问题,采用自定义的启发式策略对GaMM形状参数进行更新,使它们朝着最大化对数似然值的方向逐步调整,同时以封闭形式更新其他参数。经过一系列具有说服力的实验,验证了Semi-EM算法的可行性、合理性和有效性。实验结果表明,Semi-EM算法在精确估计多模概率分布方面优于对比的4种算法,具有更低的误差指标以及更高的对数似然值,表明该算法能提供更准确的模型参数估计,从而更精确地刻画数据的多模性质。 展开更多
关键词 多模概率密度函数 Gamma混合模型 期望最大化算法 聚类 对数似然函数
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基于Copula函数的不同风向下风能评估方法 被引量:1
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作者 徐远攀 《水电与新能源》 2025年第5期5-8,22,共5页
目前的风能评估大多是基于风速数据,忽略了风向变化的影响。为此,基于Copula函数提出了一种考虑风向的风能评估方法。首先采用某气象站连续风速、风向数据,构建拟合风速、风向分布的边缘分布模型,然后基于Copula函数,构建风速和风向的... 目前的风能评估大多是基于风速数据,忽略了风向变化的影响。为此,基于Copula函数提出了一种考虑风向的风能评估方法。首先采用某气象站连续风速、风向数据,构建拟合风速、风向分布的边缘分布模型,然后基于Copula函数,构建风速和风向的联合概率分布模型,计算了16个方向下的风能密度,其中ESE方向风能密度最大,可达500.7 W/m^(2),其他风向下风能密度明显低于ESE方向,最小值为34.1 W/m^(2)。所提出的方法可对不同风向下的风能进行评估,为风机的精确选址提供了重要参考依据。 展开更多
关键词 风力发电 风能预测 COPULA函数 联合概率分布 风能密度
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